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Earnings Call: H2 2019

Mar 12, 2020

Lance Burbidge
Chief Investor Relations Officer, AIA Group

Welcome to AIA's 2019 Annual Results Presentation. I'm Lance Burbidge, Chief Investor Relations Officer. The ongoing impact of the COVID-19 virus means that today we are not having our usual face-to-face meeting. As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question later, you will need to use the telephone dial-in facility rather than the webcast. Today's agenda is on slide three. Our Group Chief Executive, Keng Hooi, will start with the key highlights of the Group's financial performance in 2019 and an update on our strategic progress. Then our Group Chief Financial Officer, Garth Jones, will take you through the financial results in detail. Our three Regional Chief Executives and the CEO of AIA China, Fisher Zhang, will update on progress in their respective markets. Keng Hooi will then set out how AIA is positioned to capture the significant growth opportunities available to us across the Asia- Pacific region.

Finally, we will open up the session to your questions. With that, let me pass over to Ng Keng Hooi.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Thank you, Lance, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be here this morning to present AIA's 2019 annual results. While it has been a challenging year, AIA has continued to deliver growth in all our main financial metrics. Let me begin with the key highlights on slide five. In 2019, headline value of new business grew by 6% to more than $4.1 billion. This supported a further increase in EV equity to $ 63.9 billion with 12% growth. Operating profit after tax was up 9% to $ 5.7 billion. Our operating return on equity remains strong at 14.4%. Underlying free surplus generation rose to $ 5.5 billion, an increase of 13% on the prior year. The Board continues to follow our prudent, sustainable, and progressive dividend policy and has recommended an increase of 10% in the final dividend.

This brings the total dividend to HKD 1.266 per share, up 11%. These solid results with growth in all our key financial metrics reflect the continued success of our focus on executing our strategic priorities. While our 2019 results are healthy, they were clearly impacted by the operating environment in the second half. Slide six shows the contrast in growth between Hong Kong and the rest of the Group. Our Hong Kong business saw very strong growth of 19% in the first half, but this was more than offset by the impact of social unrest in the second half. The overall 5% decline reflects a significant fall in sales to mainland Chinese visitors in the second half, which broadly tracked the decline in visitor arrivals. Our domestic customer segment continued to perform well throughout the year and reported double-digit growth.

Looking beyond Hong Kong, the Group achieved strong growth of 16% in 2019. AIA China had another excellent year with 27% growth. Our Other Markets also delivered very strong growth of 27%, led by Vietnam, the Philippines, and Australia. The three RCEs and Fisher will take you through the progress in our markets later on. Overall, in a year where our largest business saw a decline of more than 20% in the second half, AIA has still achieved positive growth in VONB. This performance continued to demonstrate the benefits of our unique platform and our focus across the Asia- Pacific region. On to slide seven. All of our teams continued to focus on executing our key strategic priorities in 2019. The scale and quality of our multi-channel distribution platforms enable us to provide professional financial advice to millions of customers.

Our agency remained the primary source of our new business and generated 74% of the Group's VONB. We continue to expand and enhance our Premier Agency programs with strong results over time as we transform our agencies across the region. Excluding Hong Kong, agency VONB grew by 16% in 2019. Our strategic partnership complements our agency and extends AIA's distribution reach. In 2019, bancassurance delivered excellent VONB growth with a substantial contribution to growth from our partnership in Vietnam, Thailand, and New Zealand, all activated within the past three years. In December, we were pleased to start our new partnership with CBA in Australia. We have had another year in Health and Well-being as we continue our journey towards being a lifelong partner for our customers. Overall membership of our wellness program has exceeded 1.7 million, up more than 40% in 2019.

AIA China launched a medical network for its high-end customers. We roll out Medix services to Malaysia, Thailand, and Indonesia, following the great results in Hong Kong and Singapore. Digital is a key enabler for our business. We continue to invest and leverage technology. In 2019, more than 95% of agency new business was submitted digitally. Over 60% of all new business was auto-underwritten. More than 80% of customer interactions can be performed digitally. Now on to progress in some of our key growth markets on slide eight. In Mainland China, we have made significant progress in our geographic expansion. In July, we opened new sales and service centers in Tianjin and Shijiazhuang. Starting operations in two cities at the same time has confirmed our capabilities and provided valuable experience for our future ambition. We recently announced the intention to subsidiarize AIA China.

This conversion will help us take advantage of the opening of China's life insurance market. We have submitted our conversion application and are waiting for CBIRC approval. AIA China has been preparing for some time, and subject to regulatory approval, the new subsidiary will form the foundation for our geographical expansion plans in Mainland China. We very much look forward to leveraging our differentiated model and help millions more Chinese families live healthier, longer, better lives. On to our emerging ASEAN markets, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Philippines. Our business in Indonesia returned to growth in the second half, helped by a strong result from our partnership with BCA. We deliver excellent performances from our businesses in Vietnam and the Philippines, with both agency and partnership distribution growing strongly. In all three markets, we are making good progress with quality recruitment programs in agency.

I talk about Tata AIA Life, our Indian JV, at the interim results. We have an excellent partner with Tata Sons, the country's preeminent conglomerate. Tata AIA Life is the market leader in pure retail protection sales, and our agency productivity is the best in the industry. I'm excited about progress we have made so far, and believe that our efforts are positioning Tata AIA Life to capture the significant long-term growth opportunity in India. You will hear more about the potential of these growth markets throughout the presentation this morning. Turning to slide nine. AIA's long track record of delivery has been built on our consistent focus on executing our strategic priorities. Despite near-term headwinds, AIA has continued to deliver growth in all our key metrics in 2019. These results reflect the tremendous hard work from all of our exceptional teams across the Group.

Now over to Garth, who will take you through the financial details. Yeah, Garth. Yeah.

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Thanks, Keng Hooi, and good morning, everyone. I'll start with slide 11. AIA's financial performance in 2019 demonstrates our continuing ability to deliver growth across all our key financial metrics. Volume of new business grew by 6% to over $4.1 billion. EV operating profit of $8.7 billion increased by 6%, reflecting VONB growth and the comparative opening EV. Operating ROEV remained strong, while declining slightly to 15.9%. EV equity increased 12% to nearly $64 billion. Operating profit after tax was up 9%, $5.7 billion, with operating ROE of 14.4%. Shareholders' allocated equity increased by 15% to $ 42.8 billion after the payment of nearly $2 billion of dividends, driven by the increased operating results and positive mark-to-market movements in our equity portfolio. Underlying free surplus generation increased by 13% to $ 5.5 billion. The AIA Co. solvency position remains strong after the impact of the CMLA acquisition in Australia.

Based on the strength of these results within the context of the macroeconomic and capital markets environment. Also reflecting our financial resilience and our confidence in the Group's prospects, we have recommended an increase of 10% in the final dividend to HKD 0.933 per share. This brings the total dividend per share in 2019 to HKD 1.266 per share, up 11% on 2018. The Board continues to follow our prudent, sustainable and progressive dividend policy while retaining the financial flexibility to fund future growth. These resilient financial results reflect AIA's continuing focus on executing our strategic priorities while exercising financial discipline to generate attractive returns. As usual, I'll now provide more detail in the three areas of growth, earnings and capital, and dividends, starting with growth on slide 13.

AIA's portfolio of businesses enables us to capitalize on the attractive growth opportunities that are available across Asia- Pacific. Keng Hooi has already noted that our Hong Kong business reported a 5% decline in VONB. AIA China continued its strong track record of growth with a 27% increase, and for the first time delivered over $1 billion of VONB in a year. AIA Thailand delivered 6% growth as we continued to benefit from the FA agency transformation and strong momentum in our long-term partnership with Bangkok Bank. Our business in Singapore was flat overall, as lower single premiums in the high net worth segments were balanced by growth in regular premium sales. The new quality recruitment program in Malaysia helped deliver solid agency growth, and the business reported 7% growth overall.

Our Other Markets achieved a very strong result, with 27% growth, with contributions to growth coming from our businesses in Vietnam, the Philippines, and Australia. In 2019, we've included our 49% share of the VONB of Tata AIA Life in India for the first time. Excluding India and its growth of 66%, Other Markets growth was very strong at 18%. Our Other Markets have now grown to be larger than AIA Thailand and our third largest geographic segment. Overall, the collective performance from our 18 businesses has delivered another year of VONB growth for the Group. AIA's unique portfolio of businesses, diverse product, and high-quality distribution enable us to deploy capital at highly attractive rates of return and optimize long-term shareholder value. Slide 14 shows that ANP increased to $6.6 billion, with more than 90% of ANP sourced from regular premium business.

ANP grew by 12% for the Group excluding Hong Kong. VONB margin increased by 2.9 percentage points to 62.9%. The increased margin was primarily driven by assumption changes and with around half of the increase here from the positive effect of the tax rule change in Mainland China, a similar picture to the interim results. New business margin on a PVNBP basis improved from 10% to 11%, driven by higher margins in both our participating and traditional protection business. Our continued focus is on growing total VONB, and as I've said many times, we do not target volume or margin alone. Slide 15 shows the movement in EV equity during the year. VONB growth levels and the comparative opening EV impacted by the stock market fall in 2018 resulted in an EV operating profit increase of 6% to $8.7 billion. Operating ROEV remained strong at 15.9%.

Operating variances remained positive and contributed $634 million. Other non-operating items added nearly $1 billion and included currency translation effects. Overall, our EV increased by $7.7 billion to $63.9 billion after the payment of shareholder dividends of nearly $2 billion. Our closing EV equity is shown after a deduction of $6.4 billion for additional consolidated reserving and capital requirements and the present value of un allocated Group office expenses. Moving on to slide 16. AIA's continuing positive operating experience reflects the quality of our in-force business and confirms the appropriateness of our EV assumptions. Mortality and morbidity claims experience remained positive, as was also the case for persistency and expense variances, reflecting both our pricing discipline for new business and the proactive management of our existing book. Our EV results continue to demonstrate the prudence in our operating assumptions.

Overall, cumulative operating variances since our IPO have added more than $2.6 billion to EV. Turning to slide 17 and our interest rate basis. AIA's EV methodology uses spot market yields and trends over time to our long-term assumptions. Our long-term assumptions smooth out short-term volatility. However, you will recall that at the interim results, I noted we would likely lower our assumptions at year end if the lower interest rate environment persisted. As such, we have reduced our long-term assumptions in several markets, and our weighted rate was in line with forward rates at 31st December 2019. As interest rates have moved markedly lower in some markets during the first months of 2020, we may lower our assumptions again, and depending on how circumstances develop, could potentially make adjustments at the interim rather than at the full year, as has been our practice since IPO.

We are not immune to short-term market volatility. However, our EV sensitivities are small and demonstrate the resilience of the Group's EV. To provide further context, we have estimated the EV based on the recent extremely low levels of interest rates, using a parallel downward shift in both spot rates and our long-term assumptions. For U.S. rates, we used a reduction of 140 basis points at all durations since year-end, resulting in a spot yield of 50 basis points for the 10-year treasury bond and a spot yield of 100 basis points for the 30-year. On this basis, the EV would fall by less than 7%. We continue to actively reprice new business to reflect changing environments and make adjustments to our pricing assumptions in light of current expectations of future experience, both economic and operating.

As with our operating variances, our cumulative investment return variances since IPO are also positive at $850 million. Slide 18 clearly demonstrates that over many years, we have progressively built a strong long-term track record by delivering sustainable, profitable growth at increasing scale. The compounding effect of which means that VONB in 2019 was more than 6x the result in 2010. Next, earnings, I will turn to our IFRS results on slide 20. Operating profit after tax increased by 9% to $5.7 billion. This growth reflects the 13% increase in total weighted premium income, offset by the unfavorable effect of lower interest rates, higher medical claims, and operating expenses. Our expense ratio overall increased slightly to 7.3%, mainly driven by higher expenses in Australia and New Zealand, where the expense ratio is above the Group average.

Slide 21 shows the breakdown of our operating profit after tax and demonstrates the benefit of our geographic diversity at scale across the region. AIA Hong Kong delivered 6% OPAT growth to $1.9 billion, as underlying business growth was partially offset by the impact of lower interest rates in the second half, particularly on participating business. OPAT from our business in Thailand grew by 3%. Greater scale of the business and improved persistency were offset by adverse medical claims experience and a further fall in interest rates in the second half. AIA China's OPAT increased by 28% and exceeded $1 billion for the first time. Growth in the size of the businesses in Malaysia and Singapore resulted in increased OPAT, despite higher medical claims in Malaysia, continuing pressure on the profitability of our HealthShield portfolio in Singapore.

Finally, Other Markets delivered 2% higher OPAT, as increased earnings due to strong new business growth were offset by a deterioration in operating experience in South Korea and higher operating expenses in Australia, as I mentioned earlier. In aggregate, OPAT grew by 9% in 2019, with each of our reportable market segments delivering positive growth. I mentioned that Hong Kong participating business saw a significant impact from lower interest rates, amplified due to the basis of our current IFRS 4 accounting policy for this business, as I'll now explain. The current treatment estimates the level of policyholder bonuses based on return expectations at the point of sale and maintains bonuses at this level when evaluating liabilities in all future periods, despite interest rates and policyholder bonuses changing over time.

We are looking at enhancing our accounting policy at the interim results to better reflect the economic position, bringing it more in line with market practice and our treatment of segregated participating business. There's more explanation on slide 62 in the presentation appendix. On the next slide 22, as usual, the movement in shareholder allocated equity is shown before the IFRS accounting treatment of AFS bonds. Allocated equity does, however, allow for Other Markets movements. The increase in allocated equity reflects our solid growth in operating profit, positive mark-to-market impacts on equities, and positive foreign exchange movements, partly offset by the payment of shareholder dividends. A one-time adjustment was made for the initial adoption of IFRS 16, which added $ 482 million to opening IFRS equity. Without this adjustment, ROE would have slightly increased. Overall, allocated equity was up 16% over the year. On to slide 23.

Our financial discipline over time has delivered increasing returns on equity on both an EV and IFRS basis. Progressively higher EV operating profit has driven ROEV up 440 basis points since IPO, even as our EV equity has grown to be 2.6x higher. The same increasing trend can be seen for OPAT and ROE, while shareholders allocated equity has more than doubled. These charts clearly demonstrate the highly attractive financial dynamics and underlying quality of our business. Finally, capital and dividends. Moving from left to right on slide 25. We took control of CommInsure Life in November with a net reduction of $1 billion in our free surplus, as I guided previously. Underlying free surplus generation increased by 13% to $5.5 billion, reflecting further growth in the business and continuing proactive management of the in-force.

As with the expected return on opening EV, UFSG for 2019 uses start of period investment return assumptions and will reflect the changes to long-term assumptions made at the end of 2019 in the first half of 2020. New business investment of $1.5 billion was 2% lower than 2018 as the new business strain effect of increased sales volumes was balanced by the impact of the tax rule change in Mainland China. Investment return variances, exchange rates and other items were - $0.6 billion in aggregate. After the $2 billion payment for increased shareholder dividends, the closing free surplus was $14.9 billion. I've said consistently that we hold free surplus to enable investment in new business, take advantage of inorganic opportunities, and absorb the effects of capital market stress. The significant fall in government bond yields in 2019 and further decline in 2020 are an example of such stress.

We provided more details of the effect of investment return variances and other to highlight the impact from lower interest rates, particularly in respect of AIA Thailand and AIA Hong Kong under the Hong Kong Insurance Ordinance. This was partly offset by a net positive from mark-to-market gains on equities and other items. I would note that persistent very low interest rates could slow free surplus emergence and remittances from some of our businesses. While the recent drop in U.S. government bond yields has had an impact on our free surplus position, the Group remains financially strong. As at today, the solvency ratio of AIA Co. remains above 300%, and all our businesses meet their prescribed regulatory capital requirements. Overall, and after the acquisition of CMLA, free surplus was up slightly over the year.

Slide 26 provides an update as to the changing capital framework in Hong Kong, which I outlined at the interim results. Our Group supervisor, the Hong Kong Insurance Authority, intends to make two major changes that will affect our regulatory capital position. First, the HKIA will introduce a formal group-wide supervision framework for Hong Kong-based multinational insurance groups such as AIA. We still expect that this will become effective in July 2020. Second, the HKIA is also working to replace the existing HKIO solvency requirements with a risk-based capital framework. The HKIA has recently indicated that the new Hong Kong RBC basis is now expected to be tabled to the legislature in 2022. We estimate that we will first report on this basis in 2024, later than I mentioned at the interims.

While this changing capital landscape and its timeline creates uncertainty, we remain confident of the Group's capital strength and our strong solvency position. Our primary objective is to achieve profitable new business growth at increasing scale and generate superior, sustainable value for our shareholders. We aim to demonstrate that our strong growth in value of new business translates over time into earnings growth, increased cash generation and shareholder dividends, as shown on this slide and the next slide 28. The Board has recommended an increase in the final dividend to HKD 0.933 per share, bringing the total dividend for 2019 to HKD 1.266 per share, up by 11% over 2018. The increase considers the strength of these results within the context of the macroeconomic and capital markets environment, whilst also reflecting our financial resilience and our confidence in the Group's prospects.

In conclusion, on slide 29, the Group's results in 2019 reflect a very strong first half, impacted in the second half by external factors, particularly in Hong Kong. We delivered growth in all our main financial metrics and we remain financially strong. We continue to invest capital in high quality business with attractive returns and continue to grow VONB. IFRS operating profit increased further and benefited from the effects of additional scale and geographic diversification. Free surplus generation rose 13%, enabling us to finance new business growth and a further increase in the shareholder dividend. Our disciplined financial management and continuing ability to build sustainable value for our shareholders are reflected in today's results. I'll now hand over to Jacky, Hak Leh, Bill, and Fisher, who will cover progress in their respective businesses.

Jacky Chan
Regional CEO, AIA Group

Thank you, Garth. Good morning, everyone. I'm very pleased to be here today to present AIA Hong Kong's full year results, as well as an update on our response to COVID-19 in Hong Kong. I will also share with you an overview of our Group's Premier Agency strategy and format of its regional rollout. Let me first take you through the full year results from Hong Kong. If you can, please refer to slide 31. While AIA Hong Kong delivered very strong 19% VONB growth in the first half, the impact of the social unrest in the second half drove a 5% reduction in VONB for 2019. Our business was supported by double-digit growth in VONB from our domestic customers.

This was offset by a decline in VONB mainland Chinese visitor customer segment in the second half of 2019, which broadly tracked the reduction in visitors' arrival to Hong Kong. ANP decreased by 11% to $2.4 billion, while VONB margin increased to 66.1%, driven by enhanced profitability in our long-term savings and protection products. This year, we launched a series of marketing initiatives to promote protection products. This focus on protection was also supported by AIA Vitality integrated products, which saw more than 25% VONB growth during the year. Agency channel delivered positive VONB growth in 2019, demonstrating the quality of our people and execution of our Premier Agency strategy against challenging market backdrop. Our quality recruit and active agents continued to grow throughout the year. We launched AIA Smart, a digital platform that helped improve user experience and enhance agent activity.

VONB from our partnership distribution reported double-digit growth in the first half, experienced a substantial decline in the second half of 2019, due to lower sales from the mainland Chinese visitor customer segment and increased competition in the retail IFA channel. Let me give you an update on the latest COVID-19 situation for AIA Hong Kong. If you could refer to slide 32. In the current quarter, we see that people in Hong Kong are generally avoiding public places and are reluctant to conduct face-to-face meetings as a result of COVID-19. We have also observed a slump in retail business activity, with additional impact from Mainland China's suspension of the Individual Visit Scheme to Hong Kong and Macau, effective January 29th.

Hong Kong's average daily arrivals from Mainland China dropped by 98% year-on-year in February, with a direct impact on our sales in our mainland Chinese visitor customer segment. Sales to our domestic customers have been constrained given the reluctance to meet in person. It is critical that we help our agents succeed during these temporary challenges. We have proactively taken a number of supportive measures, such as activating iAgency, which increases digital engagement of our agency force by allowing our agents to conduct online recruitment, training, financial review, and after-sales services, as well as remote signature and one-time password submission. We have temporarily relaxed the performance requirement for our agents. We also welcome positive relief measures enacted by the Hong Kong Insurance Authority in light of health concerns from COVID-19.

These include temporary measures in the selling process of tax-deductible Voluntary Health Insurance Scheme and Qualifying Deferred Annuity Policy in order to minimize face-to-face meetings between insurers and their clients. At AIA Hong Kong, we always prioritize the well-being and safety of our customers and the broader community. As a result, we have extended extra coverage to our customers by launching free enhanced protection benefits, one-off lump sum diagnosis benefits, and a waiver for the usual 30-day waiting period. We are also offering complimentary one-off lump sum diagnosis and death benefits for frontline cleaning workers who are dedicated to safeguarding the health of our community. As we face these uncertain times together in Hong Kong, I want to reiterate our commitment to community, our customers, employees, partners, and agents.

The importance of our agency channel in Hong Kong cannot be overstated, and earlier I mentioned that some of the ways we are supporting our agency force during these near-term challenges. Needless to say, AIA is also continuously dedicated to supporting our agency's long-term success, and I would like to now take you through what we have accomplished during our Group's agency transformation and how our Premier Agency strategy has developed throughout the region. If you could, please turn to slide 33. AIA's proprietary tied agency remains our primary distribution channel and a core growth engine for the Group. Our differentiated Premier Agency strategy is a key competitive advantage for AIA, and its success is underpinned by an end-to-end agent customer value chain, whereby we begin by recruiting high-caliber talent and providing agents with bespoke training and clear career development pathway.

We then leverage extensive performance management to further enhance the professionalism and quality of our agency force and improve engagement with customers. We are also continuously invest in digital technology that provides effective support for our agents and agency leaders across all of their key activities, such as customer acquisition and servicing, in order to provide best-in-class customer experience. In 2011, AIA Hong Kong was our first market to launch the Quality Recruitment Program, closely followed up by AIA China in 2013, and then AIA Singapore in 2016. Since then, we have rolled out these programs regionally to our business in Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Since 2010, our number of active agents has more than doubled, and their productivity increased at 2.7x .

These results are a testament to our focus on quality recruitment, use of digital tools to enhance agents' activities, and overall commitment to our differentiated Premier Agency strategy. In closing, I'm pleased to share with you the results of our resilient Hong Kong business, as well as the success of and our long-term commitment to the Premier Agency strategy. Thank you very much. Now let me hand over to Hak Leh.

Hak Leh Tan
Regional CEO, AIA Group

Thank you, Jacky, and good morning, everyone. I'll cover the performance of AIA Singapore and AIA Malaysia, and provide you with a brief update on the progress we made in AIA Myanmar, the Group's newest business unit. Please refer to slide 35. AIA Singapore delivered $352 million of VONB in 2019, with a stable VONB margin of 65.5%. Overall growth in regular business was offset by lower single premium sales from the partnership distribution channel. In 2019, and for the fifth consecutive year, our agency channel maintained its market leadership with the largest number of MDRT- registered members in Singapore. We also deliver a healthy increase in number of active agents, contributing to modest VONB growth. We remain committed to our Premier Agency strategy, continuing to focus on quality recruitment, professional career development, and investment in next generation integrated digital platforms. Our strategic partnership with Citibank delivered double-digit VONB growth.

This growth was supported by an increase in both the number and productivity of insurance specialists, serving the mass affluent and retail customer segments. We saw a decline in single premium high-net-worth business, especially from our non-exclusive channels, due to intense market competition as we maintain our prudent pricing discipline while focusing on enhancing our product propositions and quality customer service. In 2019, we launched an innovative bespoke wealth solution, which offers a combination of high protection and exclusive access to a select group of leading institutional asset managers. We also launched two critical illness products with first-in-the-market features. The first covered mental illness, and the second provides comprehensive protection across all stages of critical illness, starting from the diagnosis of chronic conditions. As part of our roadmap towards a seamless customer digital experience, we roll out a next-gen app, which fully integrates our customer portal with AIA Vitality program.

Since launch, this has been very widely adopted. Now, moving on to AIA Malaysia on slide 36. Our business in Malaysia continued to deliver positive results in 2019, with VONB growth of 7%. Our focus on transforming the agency channel has delivered strong results, with double-digit VONB growth. We implemented a new quality recruitment program in 2019, which accounted for half of total new recruits. Quality recruits are 2x more active than standard new recruits, contributing to excellent overall VONB growth from new agents in 2019. Our strategic partnership with Public Bank delivered strong double-digit growth from in-branch distribution, supported by an increase in the number of active insurance specialists. However, partnership distribution growth was offset by lower direct marketing sales due to a decline in consumer confidence for telemarketing.

Our Takaful segment continued to perform well with double-digit VONB growth, driven by strong credit life sales from bancassurance channel. AIA Malaysia continued to strengthen our product propositions in 2019. We introduced a first-in-the-market mental health benefit to further enhance our award-winning innovative health rider. We also launched customer medical case management services through our regional partnership with Medix. Our award-winning AIA Vitality program continues to expand rapidly, with memberships increased by over 40% in 2019. Let me update you on our latest market, AIA Myanmar. In November 2019, AIA was granted a license to operate life insurance business through 100% wholly- owned subsidiary. We have made good progress on building a multi-channel distribution platform, with a strong pipeline for agency recruits and an exclusive long-term strategic partnership with AYA Financial Group and Max Myanmar Group.

We are delighted with the promising start in Myanmar, a market with immense long-term potential. In closing, as a market leader in both Singapore and Malaysia with superior distribution channels, comprehensive product propositions, and a focus on delivering quality service to our customers, we remain confident that AIA is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the long-term growth potential of these markets and to deliver our brand promise of helping our customers live healthier, longer, better lives. With that, I now hand over to Bill for his updates.

Bill Lisle
Regional CEO, AIA Group

Thank you, Hak Leh, and good morning, everyone. Let me update you on the progress we've made in Thailand, our Other Markets, and India. Please refer to slide 38. AIA Thailand delivered 6% VONB growth, supported by strong sales momentum from both the financial advisor program and our exclusive partnership with Bangkok Bank. Our FA program continues to transform the quality and professionalism of our market leading agency force. In 2019, FA represented 15% of our total agents in Thailand, however, contributed more than 30% of the total agency VONB. The activity ratio of our new FA agents is more than double that of our standard new agents, driven by our focused training and development program. We've also continued to focus on the productivity of our entire agency force, resulting in a further reduction in the number of less productive agents.

Our strategic partnership bancassurance partners, Bangkok Bank, delivered very strong VONB growth, building on the successful launch of the partnership in 2018. The overall productivity for the partnership was supported by increased training of the in-branch insurance specialists, as well as bank staff across Bangkok Bank's nationwide retail network. Our market- leading position in protection and unit-linked products was reinforced by the activation of our regional partnership with Medix, in personal medical case management in the affluent customer segment. Digitalization has played a significant role in AIA Thailand's continued enhancement of its distribution, customer experience, and operational efficiency. In particular, we added new e-payment options, which makes it easier for our customers to pay premiums and has also improved persistency. Now on to our Other Markets on slide 39. Overall, we delivered very strong VONB growth of 27% in 2019.

Let me take you through some of the key highlights by markets. AIA Vietnam continued its strong track record of performance with excellent VONB growth. Agency delivered strong VONB growth by increasing productivity through a continued focus on our Premier Agency strategy. Our bancas surance channel more than doubled VONB, as we increased the number of active insurance specialists in our strategic partnership with VPBank and our other domestic bank partners. AIA Indonesia's overall VONB declined in 2019, as we continued focusing on transforming our agency. However, our business returned to growth in the second half, driven by the strong performance of our strategic partnership with BCA. New recruitment and activity management initiatives helped drive strong growth in the number of active in-branch insurance specialists. Our business in the Philippines delivered excellent VONB growth from both our agency and bancas surance channels.

Agency VONB growth was supported by a shift in product mix towards a new traditional protection product with comprehensive critical illness benefits, modeled on our flagship protection product in AIA China. Our joint venture with BPI also achieved very strong VONB growth, supported by double-digit growth in the number of active in-branch insurance specialists. Please move to slide 40. AIA Australia and AIA New Zealand together delivered strong double-digit VONB growth, despite subdued customer sentiment and a decline in total premiums for the life insurance industry in Australia. In New Zealand, we took control of Sovereign in July 2018. We will complete the final steps of our integration in the first half of 2020. We had strong VONB growth in the independent financial advisor channel, and having launched AIA Vitality by integrating the program into our new flagship protection products.

On November 1st, 2019, we were pleased to announce the execution of a Joint Cooperation Agreement with CBA in Australia, which enables AIA to begin, manage, and integrate CMLA, and as such, allows AIA to sell its products to CBA's extensive customer base. We also extended our bancassurance partnerships with CBA in Australia and ASB in New Zealand from 20-25 years. AIA Korea's VONB decreased in 2019 despite positive growth in ANP, as margins fell in the direct marketing channel following a regulatory mandated repricing in the second quarter. We also launched a new digital direct channel aimed at accelerating insurance sales to AIA Vitality members from our strategic partnership with SK Telecom. AIA Taiwan delivered very strong VONB growth, primarily driven by strong bancassurance sales, which focus on offering insurance solutions that meet targeted customer needs for legacy planning and retirement.

Finally, in our Other Markets, I will now update you on the progress of our business in India. Please refer to slide 41. Our JV in India delivered 66% VONB growth. We have a diversified multi- distribution channel business with the agency channel, our diversified portfolio of partnerships, and our broker relationships, all contributing substantially to ANP. The business differentiates itself in the Indian life insurance market with a protection focused product strategy, where in 2019, we maintained our industry leading position in pure retail protection. In addition, our agency force is the most productive in India. We are committed to continue growing a high quality Premier Agency that measured on ANP per agent, generates 5x the productivity of an average agent in the industry.

We are executing an end-to-end digitalization strategy to deliver enhanced capabilities and services that increase digital submission, automate the underwriting process, and improve customer experience through self-service. In summary, we are very pleased with the progress of our Other Markets, and we look forward to further strong, diversified growth. Thank you very much, and now let me hand over to Fisher.

Fisher Zhang
CEO of AIA China, AIA Group

Thank you, Bill. Good morning, everyone. I will update you on AIA China's progress in 2019, as well as our initiatives to help our people and the communities in response to the recent outbreak of COVID-19. I will also provide more details of AIA China's differentiated Health and Well-being strategy. If you can, please turn to slide 43. In 2019, AIA China delivered a very strong performance with 27% increase in VONB. We continue to focus on executing our differentiated Premier Agency strategy through quality recruitment, best in class training, and our advanced digital support platforms. These initiatives drove the further double-digit increase in active agents and higher agent productivity. AIA Xiao You, our AI chatbot, provided around 250,000 instant response amounts, dealing with 95% of all agent inquiries.

We have made strong progress with our total Health and Well-being strategy, enhancing support to our customers across their entire healthcare journey. Our wellness program was enhanced with enriched features and partners. We upgrade our flagship all-in-one protection product with expanded coverage and benefits, and we roll out our hospital network, case management, and recovery support. We also launched innovative products embedded with closing loop end-to-end solutions of insurance protection with health and medical services. In July 2019, we opened sales and service centers in Tianjin and Shijiazhuang, the capital city of Hebei. Early results are encouraging, and our experience has been valuable as we plan for future expansion. Following the announcement of the further opening of Mainland China for foreign life insurers, we have applied to convert our Shanghai branch into a subsidiary.

Subject to regulatory approval, this will form the foundation for our geographic expansion plans, and we continue our preparation for this opportunity. The sustained performance by AIA China in an industry context once again demonstrate that we have the right strategy, the right distribution, and the right products to benefit from the structural growth drivers in Mainland China's life insurance market. Moving to slide 44 and the COVID-19 outbreak. The spread of COVID-19 has impacted customer and business sentiment, and people are generally avoiding public places and face-to-face meetings. AIA China has implemented initiatives to support our customers, employees, and agency force. While we canceled the face-to-face agency activities for safety reasons, we rapidly enhanced our digital platforms to enable agent recruitment, training, as well as activity management to be conducted fully online.

Our newly enhanced sales portal enables our agents to complete the entire selling process remotely for our key products. We have launched a series of customer engagement, agency recruitment, and retention programs to help maintain our agency momentum and retention. Supporting our customer and the communities is a priority. For confirmed COVID-19 cases, our customers are entitled to extra death benefits, and our all-in-one policyholders are offered 30% additional sum assured. A new green service channel, including special case management services, has been launched to support our customers. We provided free insurance coverage to volunteer medical workers in selected hospitals, and we donate medical supplies throughout our partner charity organizations. We have also supported WeDoctor by funding their free online consultation services. In AIA, our staff and our agents are fully committed to supporting our communities and the customers during these current tough times.

Next, I want to share some details of AIA China's Health and Well-being strategy and how this further differentiate our business. Please turn to slide 45. AIA China has been expanding our customer proposition from protection focus to total health and wellbeing by providing value-added support to our customers across their entire healthcare journey, from prevention to recovery. Our enhanced wellness program offers a variety of health check activities and rewards to engage members, and to help them live a healthy lifestyle. At the end of 2019, we had over 500,000 members, and we have an upsell ratio more than 2x that of non-members. We launched our medical network at the beginning of 2019 to support our high-end customers, and we have already directly contracted more than 650 domestic and international providers in major cities with direct billing services.

We provide dedicated services to them when they are in need, including a 24-hour hotline, priority appointment, claim service, and personal case management. Our innovative products are tailored to specific customer needs, leverage services from WeDoctor and other partners to support our customers throughout their individual medical and recovery journeys. We also roll out our new chronic disease management platform to provide an expanded range of the services for our Group scheme members, including online consultation, diagnosis, prescription, medicine delivery, and claims. In closing, I'm pleased with the strong progress we have made in Mainland China, I'm looking forward to continuing to capture the opportunities available to us. Thank you very much. Now, let me hand back to Keng Hooi.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Thank you, Fisher. I'm now on slide 47. I've said many times that AIA is not immune to market volatility and external shocks. While 2019 saw some headwinds, this morning you have heard that we have remained focused on executing our strategic priorities, supporting continued growth across our key metrics. The first few months of our 2020 have seen the emergence of the COVID-19 virus. Jacky and Fisher covered some of the initiatives to support our agents, our customers, and our wider communities. Since late January, we have seen a significant impact on the Group's new business sales from reduced face-to-face meetings. AIA has successfully managed through many different economic cycles over the last century. AIA remains financially strong, and in 2019, we paid out more than $14 billion in benefits and claims to our customers.

We have the leading insurance brand in Asia, and we exist to support our customers when they need it. While our business faces near-term challenges, we manage AIA for the long term to capture the tremendous opportunities available to us across Asia- Pacific. Slide 48 reminds you of the powerful structural drivers that underpin AIA's continuing ability to deliver profitable growth over the long term. Rapid urbanization, increasing wealth, and low levels of private insurance continue to drive the substantial growth opportunities available for all of our businesses. Middle-class growth provides an additional and powerful structural driver. We are in the midst of a period where more than 1 billion people will enter the middle class across China, India, and our emerging ASEAN countries by 2025. These structural drivers across all of our markets will generate a rapidly growing need for professional advice, long-term savings, and protection.

Turning to slide 49. AIA is in a unique position to leverage this incredible Asian potential. We have 100% ownership of nearly all of our businesses across Asia- Pacific. Our brand and financial strength benefit from our 100- years history. AIA's strategic priorities are fully aligned with the structural growth drivers across our markets. We have worked hard for decades to build our distribution platforms. Distribution is key, and the scale and quality of our platforms are sustainable competitive advantages for AIA. You have heard today how we continue to strengthen and differentiate AIA using digital and value-added services. Our results to date are impressive. In 2019, VONB from both agency and partnership distribution was 6x the VONB at IPO. Our businesses in Hong Kong and Mainland China each deliver more VONB than the entire Group in 2010. Our Other Markets segment has now surpassed Thailand.

While we are proud of these achievements, the scale of our future opportunity is immense and growing. All of AIA's 18 markets offer excellent prospect for delivering sustainable growth for our shareholders. I'm particularly excited about our opportunities in Mainland China, emerging ASEAN, and India. AIA's platform enables us to take advantage of all these opportunities at scale. In particular, we have unrivaled distribution strength as shown on slide 50. Scale, quality, and breadth of our distribution platform makes it very difficult to replicate. Proprietary agency remains our core distribution channel. You heard from Jacky about our ongoing drive to improve agency quality and how we leverage technology. This helps to ensure that our agents are able to meet the growing demands of our customers. The agency is complemented by our expanding Group of strategic partners, including some of the leading financial players in our markets.

We have started a multi-year digital transformation of how we work with our strategic bank partners. In spite of our excellent results since IPO, we are not complacent and continue to focus on enhancing our capabilities. Across all of our markets, distribution is key to assessing the tremendous opportunities for profitable growth that are available to AIA. Finally, slide 51. AIA is a unique company in the right place at the right time. We have significant and sustainable competitive advantages, clear and aligned strategic priorities, and we continue to focus on execution. AIA also benefit from an experienced and proven management team. Although I will soon be leaving that team, I'm delighted to be passing the role of Group Chief Executive and President on to Lee Yuan Siong. Yuan Siong brings invaluable experience, skills, and talent to AIA, and I'm certain that he will drive the Group to new heights.

He's here with us today, and I would like him to say a few words.

Yuan Siong Lee
Group CEO and President Designate, AIA Group

Thank you, Keng Hooi. I'm very excited to take on the role of leading AIA, a company which I have long admired. It is my job to take advantage of the immense opportunities in Asia. Today, I will not talk about my vision for AIA. That is for later. After less than two weeks at AIA, it is already clear to me the depth of talent across the Group, and I am really looking forward to leading this incredible organization.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Thank you, Yuan Siong. As you know, I will retire from my role as Group Chief Executive and President in May. I've been privileged to lead this remarkable Group for the past three years as we have continued building on our track record since IPO. Our focus on executing our strategic priorities has enabled AIA to deliver continued growth across all of our key financial metrics in 2019. I'm confident that AIA is ideally positioned and will continue to deliver long-term value for our shareholders as we help our millions of customers live healthier, longer, better lives. Now over to you for questions. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, sir. We will now poll for questions. If you'd like to register for questions, please press star one on your telephone. Ladies and gentlemen, dial star one to register for questions. Our first question come from Kailesh Mistry from HSBC in Hong Kong. Thank you.

Kailesh Mistry
Analyst, HSBC

Hi. Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one is on interest rates, predictably. Just to clarify the sensitivity that Garth gave, the greater than 300% solvency ratio and 7% EV down, that was for marking to market earlier this week, and was that for interest rates and equities and other asset classes or just interest rates? Related to that, obviously we had the sensitivities for new business embedded value IFRS for lower interest rates, but that's a parallel shift. Can you help us understand what the impact would be for a slightly more flatter yield curve environment? On slide 62, what is the message here? Is it that if you change the accounting, then the impacts that we saw in 2019 will not recur because you would make that change at the outset?

In order to achieve that, would you have to take a step change reduction in the OPAT to adjust to that accounting standard? The second question's effectively around new business sales. Just wanted to understand, I understand obviously restrictions on movement will have an impact. How much of that has been offset by online sales, if at all? Clearly you can do most things, it would appear, online. Obviously, I just wanted to understand if there has been a substitution effect or if that still remains a work in progress. Thank you.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Let me get Garth to answer on the interest rate. Obviously, there's a lot of volatility out there. It's on daily basis. Yeah. Garth, and then I'll answer on the online sales. Yeah.

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Thanks, Kailesh. A few questions there. Clearly, the business that we sell is long-term savings and protection business rather than spread products. We have both a robust financial position. I said that our solvency at AIA Group was above 300%, and all our businesses meet their prescribed capital requirements. That's because we have a liability-led approach to matching our assets and liabilities as closely as possible. The sensitivity I gave was to give some indication of the embedded value if interest rates moved. That was done by looking at a shift in interest rate. I mentioned a shift of 140 basis points reduction across the entire yield curve, and also obviously adjusting the risk discount rates. On that basis, the EV would fall less than 7%.

For our new business, obviously, we actively reprice our products and reflect the changing environment as we adjust our pricing assumptions based on expectations of future experience, both economic and operating. We also obviously invest in other things than government bonds. We have a portfolio of bonds, corporate bonds, that you see in the portfolio, and equities, with a large part of our business being a business where we can adjust the returns for policyholders through policyholder bonuses. Obviously any impact in market fluctuations emerges as investment variances in the EV analysis movement. We've seen that the cumulative variances since IPO are $ 850 million positive. In terms of the one-time change, there'll be a slight adjustment, obviously we'll explain how that works through at the interim. We can go into more detail offline as to how exactly that works.

The big difference is that instead of the bonuses being fixed, and the difference between the assumptions we have in setting the bonuses and the interest rate that we currently have coming straight through, then we have a basis whereby we would reflect that as we do with our other par funds, effectively. It's technical. I'm happy to take it offline or you can talk to us. Yeah.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Yeah. Kailesh, on your question on online sales, obviously, because of the challenges of doing face-to-face meetings and all that, our business has shifted towards more digital and online. I just want to mention, just China, because China is the one that is most affected. The whole country is being locked down during the period until more relieved. Yeah. The China team, under the leadership of Fisher, has been very quick to move a lot of people more to online. Yeah. As it turns out, the online way of doing things has very quickly got a lot of our agents back into active activities. For instance, in term of online morning meeting for agents, 70% of our agents log in online to participate in the meeting. Yeah. Recruitment activity is very high, there are many who join recruiting seminars that we run in China.

There's very strong recruitment of new agents that continue. On the sales side, unfortunately, there is some impact due to what is happening there. As you know, most our sales in the past are done face to face by the agent. Our agents are slowly shifting towards online sales. I would say that recently we see the number going up to about 60% of our sales are done online. Without any face-to-face interaction. Still, it takes a bit more time for a lot more of the sales to move to online. It's not going to completely replicate what has been done in the past. We are pleased to see the development in China and where it is, too.

Kailesh Mistry
Analyst, HSBC

Okay. Can I just briefly come back on that second point about sales done online? Has it led to a shift in the type of product that was sold, i.e., are you selling a different product mix online versus what you would've done if it was face-to-face? I'm not sure if Garth has answered the question around the impact of a flatter yield curve.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Let me address the question on online. There's no change in terms of the products mix and all that. I think it's all about allowing our people to do a digital signature and sign off the whole deal. Yes, worked out well. As I said, our business has always been done via agency on a face-to-face basis. That is the strength of our business in China. In a way, the face-to-face part is still very critical, yeah. Over time, we hope to see that improving, yeah. Garth, on

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Yeah. I think I gave the sensitivity there, Kailesh, and I also gave an indication that that would result in 10-year U.S. treasury rates of 50 basis points and 100 basis points at the 30- year and flat thereafter. Yeah.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Okay.

Kailesh Mistry
Analyst, HSBC

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, should you have any question, please press star one on your telephone touch pad. Thank you. Our next question come from Thomas Wang from Goldman Sachs. Thank you.

Thomas Wang
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi. Morning. A few questions around bond yield and interest rate. Firstly, for Garth, just to clarify a bit more. Firstly, on EV sensitivity, the 7%, what if you don't change risk discount rate? What would be the EV sensitivity there? Secondly, on that accounting change, you are unlocking the policyholder bonus assumptions and assume interest rate assumptions are unlocking all other assumptions as well, such as the mortality, morbidity improvement. I'm assuming you're unlocking all of assumptions there, so you have to replace everything to the current assumptions. Is that the case? If that's the case, does it mean your liability going forward will be moving with your investment result and offsetting variances? One last bit of clarity. What's your relative liability duration at this moment? What would that roughly look like? Thank you.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Garth, you want to answer that? Maybe some of these you may have to take offline with Thomas.

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Yeah. Especially the accounting treatment. I think the important thing to notice there is, in the accounting treatment, what we're saying is, as on slide 62, you'll see that the current accounting treatment under IFRS 4 effectively assumes that policy holders' bonuses based on the investment expectations at the point of sale, and then those bonuses do not change. They're basically set at issue. What happens in practice is that, as we have done with our equities, and the treatment of equities in the IFRS 4 accounts, as equities move, bonuses move, and that's reflected in the IFRS 4 accounts now. What we haven't to date is reflected the way that interest rates then impact bonuses. The intention is to do that, to make it more reflective of the economics. The other assumptions, to answer the question, would remain at the locked-in level.

It's not a case of unlocking, it's just a case of presentation in the IFRS 4 accounts. Yeah.

Thomas Wang
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks. Your EV sensitivity if you don't change your risk discount rate?

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Yeah. Well, you have the sensitivities in the pack.

Thomas Wang
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay.

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

On risk discount rates. As you will see, as we've progressively changed our investment assumptions over the years, the difference between the risk-free and the risk discount rate reflects the risk inherent in producing the profits that emerge, and that usually changes consistently.

Thomas Wang
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question come from Charles Zhou from Credit Suisse. Thank you.

Charles Zhou
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hi. Thank you. Hi, Garth. I also have a question for you about the sensitivity that you show in your presentation. You mentioned that 50 basis points decrease in interest will lead to a 1.3% deduction for embedded value. Can you maybe explain to us, do you mean that you just reduce both the interest rates and also the risk discount rate? How do you treat with the adjusted net worth? For this one, do you assume that other things are unchanged? Do you also consider, are there any other factors that you consider, maybe policyholders' return will also be reduced because of the lower yield? What you offer to your customers and et cetera? Can you maybe just give us a little bit more colors on this one? This is the first question.

My second question is about, I think Keng Hooi mentioned several times about the distribution is very unique for AIA. Maybe can you give us some colors about how's the recruitment now in Hong Kong and also in China? Lastly, I know that we should not solely focus on your value of new business margin, but I think for China, the margin's already 93%, 94%. And some of other China insurance company also mention about intensified competition from small and medium-sized company, particularly for the protection products. What is the overall, the value of new business sales and also the margin outlook in China? Thank you.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Yeah. Garth, did you want to take that?

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Yes. I'd like to take the EV question first, as that's very simple. I think the critical thing to remember is that the EV is an economic approach. As you reduce the interest rates there in the sensitivity, or you increase the rates in the sensitivity, then the risk discount rates will change accordingly, reflecting the same risk involved in producing the future cash flows. Also, policyholders and so on to all be consistent. It's looking forward and taking an economic approach. The IFRS 4 accounts are non-economic. You can see further details on page 202 of the accounts.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

First, Charles, on the margin, I would say you actually answered the question. We don't focus on margin. We focus on the absolute VONB number. We expect competition all the time. As we have shared with you, our differentiated strategy in terms of our agency in China allow us to sell protection product on a consistent and long-term basis. That's what we've been doing. Let me pass over to Fisher in terms of the agency recruitment, and then after that, perhaps Jacky can talk about the Hong Kong recruitment as well. Just to say that earlier I mentioned that, because of the online approach, the recruitment has been strong. Let me pass over to Fisher. Fisher?

Fisher Zhang
CEO of AIA China, AIA Group

Okay. Thank you, Keng Hooi. As Keng Hooi said, AIA China has responded very quickly with a comprehensive initiative to support our agency force. For example, we enhanced our digital platform and leveraged various solutions on mobile-based smart meeting, and also internet-based video conference and broadcasting to conduct online agency recruitment, e-interview. I think fully online. Our agent are of a very high quality, and the morale is very good. As Keng Hooi said, we do have a very strong recruitment during this lockdown period. I also want to talk about the competition. At AIA China, we have stayed focused on the executing of a differentiated strategy. The Premier Agency strategy and also our total health and wellness proposition. AIA China has the most productive agency force amongst the key player. For example, revenue fee per agent is 4.9x the industry average.

I think our full-time professional agents can provide high quality advice and are better able to serve the needs of our customer. Our differentiated total health and wellness solutions, in cooperative with our protection and long-term saving product proposition, are designed to meet the specific needs of our customer who high value the professional service offered by our premium agent. I think the competition has been, and will always been there, but we are confident that our differentiated strategy will continue to set AIA China apart and put us in advantage position. That's all. Thank you. Let me pass to Jacky.

Jacky Chan
Regional CEO, AIA Group

Thank you. Yeah. Thank you. In respect of AIA Hong Kong agency, I have to say that we believe we are one of the best agency force in the world. This is really a model under our Premier Agency strategy. As I said before, in 2019, our number of active agent and recruitment in Hong Kong continued to grow throughout 2019. In the current challenging environment, because of COVID-19, AIA Hong Kong agency force adopt a number of digital tools. This is really a good testing of this situation. Our agency force in Hong Kong conduct e-morning meeting. They go through iAcademy e-training, and including recruitment. We also have iRecruit go through digital tools to recruit agents. In the past one or two months, we continue to be able to recruit agent.

I have to say that, in view of this COVID-19, the impact is more social distancing. There is still an impact on this because of people avoiding face-to-face contact. I have to say that we are really one of the best agent force in the world, and we are well positioned to capture the long-term opportunities we have in Hong Kong.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Charles, I have to say this, okay? Jacky is very modest. He says he's one of the best. I have been in this business 40 years. The Hong Kong agency is the best in the world to me. They've been very strong despite all the challenges that we are facing. Last year, the domestic business in Hong Kong grew by double digit. I'm confident that when all this short-term impact of what we are seeing are over, our Hong Kong business will continue to grow and will be strong going forward into the future. We have always talked about our agency, our Premier Agency, our differentiated agency in China. Our strong agency in Hong Kong and all our agency all over our markets, we always focus on Premier Agency. We are not following other companies. Other companies, they focus on pure numbers.

We look at only Premier Agency, highly productive agents. That is the difference between AIA Group and a lot of our competitors. That is the difference that continue to help us grow on a sustainable basis going into future. Yeah.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, should you have any question, please press star one on your telephone touchpad. Thank you. Our next question come from Leon Qi from Daiwa. Thank you.

Leon Qi
Analyst, Daiwa

Hi. Thanks. This is Leon Qi from Daiwa. I also have three questions today. Firstly, I want to follow- up on the COVID-19 impact on China, or just want to go to a bit more specifics. I presume that currently in China, most of the new recruits are predominantly done online. Are we actually seeing any significant changes in the profile of these agents from whole education background, ages, previous work experience, et cetera, when we are done these recruits online versus previously mostly offline? Interestingly, Fisher just now mentioned that WeDoctor. I understand that the new business contribution from WeDoctor might still be insignificant for us, are we really seeing a pickup in the momentum in this kind of innovative channel recently, given the virus outbreak and the lockdown situation in many cities in China? Well, secondly, is about our new branches.

Understand that our Tianjin and Shijiazhuang branches became operational since last August. Is it possible if management could share with us some differences in terms of the agency background, productivity, and product mixes in these new areas versus our existing footprint in China? We just want to look at our strategy in these new areas. Lastly, still want to follow up on the accounting changes related to the participating bonds. Just want to confirm with management that on page 62 of the presentation deck, on the bottom right, we are taking liabilities lower to reflect the lower policyholder basis. Is the magnitude of that revisions on the liability side exactly the same as the asset side changes? Just want to confirm if this is the case. Thank you.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Leon, let me answer the question around the new branches. I will pass the question on COVID-19 and also WeDoctor to Fisher. Of course, Garth, you answer the last bit. I was there at the branch opening for both Tianjin and Shijiazhuang. I can tell you the quality of the agent is as good as all our other agents here. The number of percentage of agents who are graduates and all, they are consistent, the same as what we see in our other branches. We are very pleased with the new joiner in both these branches. Let me pass over to Fisher to talk about the agents recruited online and also the WeDoctor thing.

Fisher Zhang
CEO of AIA China, AIA Group

Okay. Thank you, Keng Hooi. For the first question, the recruitment during this COVID-19 period, I think the short answer is no. We won't sacrifice the quality. We look at the experience of the last month, is as good as past. With the second question about the WeDoctor. I want to point out the WeDoctor is not a channel. It's a strategic partner. The partnership with WeDoctor presents an excellent opportunity to further improve our customers' healthcare experience in Mainland China by accessing their market-leading network of healthcare specialists and hospitals. We have started to offer WeDoctor's healthcare service package to our policyholders since last year, including online consultation and appointment, hospitalization arrangement, and health assessment. We gradually deepen our cooperation with WeDoctor. For example, we launched two single disease insurance product for breast cancer and leukemia. The two very important customer segment.

This kind of product provide end-to-end solution via a closed loop of service, medicine service, and insurance protection. In September, the breast cancer protection product won the outstanding case of financial service award, granted by the Asian Financial Cooperation Association. As I mentioned earlier, in addition, we also launched the chronic disease management platform with WeDoctor for our Group scheme members in last year. The platform provides a wide range of services, including online consultation, diagnosis, and prescription drug delivery. We expect to continue extending this kind of cooperation, which can benefit all the customers of the two parties. That's all. Thank you.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Yep. Garth?

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

I think, again, going back to this accounting treatment for the par funds. I think the critical thing to remember is that the IFRS 4 accounts are not economic. What we are looking to do with this change is to make the IFRS 4 accounts and the presentation of them more reflective of the economics. If you think about it, we do that already for the equities, for example, where the policyholder bonuses are locked in, and then we have a variation against what we expected from the equities as a movement. Similarly, you'd expect that as we go forward, there'll be a difference between the interest rates that were assumed in setting the bonuses, and the interest rates that are currently prevalent. There'd be a variation in the actual bonuses against the bonuses that were expected.

That will now flow through into the accounts and be more reflective of the actual position. It's very similar to the way that we do the statutory participating funds in Other Markets. If you think that the current lower interest rates will reduce bonuses, then the liabilities otherwise would have stayed the same. What they should do is increase all that slightly.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Thanks, Garth. We'll take the last two questions.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question come from Ken Fan from CICC in Shanghai. Thank you.

Speaker 15

Thank you. This is Dan from CICC. I have two quick questions for the Hong Kong market. First is, has there been a visible change in the product mix in the second half 2019 Hong Kong, given less and less new business are coming from MCV? Could you put some color on the current status of the agents, including morale and living standard of agents, provided they have to live off much lower income for the past six months? Should we worry about that? Thank you.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Yeah. Thanks, Dan. Let me pass this over to Jacky, since this is a Hong Kong question. Yeah. Jacky?

Jacky Chan
Regional CEO, AIA Group

Thank you. First of all, with respect of the product mix, I have to say that in 2019, our overall margin increased because of the shift to more profitable long-term protection and long-term saving product. That was already with the second half impact of 2019. We remain financially disciplined in managing our product through all kinds of product repricing in view of the emerging and current situation. With respect of the agency force, I have to say that we haven't seen any impact in the attrition of our agents. As I said, the number of active agent and the number of recruitment in 2019 grow throughout the whole year. In the current situation, we believe this is a temporary kind of situation. We already activate all kinds of digital tools and also support our agency force.

I also want to say that for Hong Kong, the Hong Kong government is also very supportive. They launched the VHIS and QDAP sales over the digital platform. We are, of course, fully supportive of this measure, and we will continue to discuss and work with our regulatory authority to expand the product offering. So far, we haven't seen any impact in persistency or agent attrition.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

I just want to add to say that, obviously the coronavirus thing is the most changing thing facing the world today. Our expectation is, it is temporary, but it has a significant impact, as we say in our announcement, in our businesses. First quarter, in term of the new business will be disrupted. I just want to say that the team has been very proactive in term of moving a lot of our activities into digital online. We have a business contingency plans and incident management in all our markets. I must say that I'm proud that our people managed this whole thing, this whole disruption well. Clearly, the safety of our people and our agency is top in our mind.

We'll do all we could to ensure that our people all go through this disruption and come out stronger than when we enter this particular situation. I'm pleased that everyone working very hard to make sure that we minimize the impact our business. Obviously, during this period, there's a lot of our staff. We give them flexibility to work from home, particularly in both Hong Kong and China. China obviously is mandated by the government at one stage. I want to say that in China, things are getting back to normal. This week, all our staff in our branches in China has gone back to office. During the lockdown period, they can't do it, but now they are going back to office.

We can't say how long the impact will be, but you can see that both the government of China and Hong Kong has taken some very firm and strong measure to try to stop this virus. Yeah. Last question.

Operator

Thank you. Next question come from Jenny Jiang from Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong. Thank you.

Jenny Jiang
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, management. Thanks for your time this morning. Two questions. One is also probably on this new yield trend, but slightly from a different perspective. Are you expecting a significant change for the product strategy in Hong Kong in general, given the kind of declining yield and maybe potential implementation of the Solvency II in a couple of years? Are you seeing anyone exiting from kind of guaranteed segments? We understand that for AIA, we have some par funds with probably no guarantees. Are you expecting that to change over time to maybe linked products? If you can give us some breakdown, say, how big your savings product in Hong Kong, that would be great. The second question is probably on China. We're applying for this China subsidiarization. When do you expect this to be complete?

In terms of impact, we understand there's going to be some capital release. Can you give us some color around that? Maybe give us some full perspective of this change. Any tax implications or other benefits you can enjoy being a subsidiary going forward for your China expansion. Thank you very much.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Let me get Garth to answer, Jenny, your first question. Yeah.

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Yeah. I think, Jenny, your first question was around our product strategy, I believe, in Hong Kong. That will remain as it already is. It is focused on protection and long-term savings. We sell a variety of products, and I don't think there's an expectation to dramatically shift that product mix from the current mix. We'll continue to sell the products that we're selling. The savings products are predominantly participating products, and they're based on long-term to create bonuses and returns for our policyholders. Yeah.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Yep. Jenny, as you know, the announcement on the full opening of the China market only recently. The opening was from 1st of January 2020. We are delighted that the market is fully open to foreign players. Yeah. We have been waiting for this for many years, as you know. We have been asked many times, will this come? It comes, yeah. We have submitted our application to subsidiarize at the end of December. Now it's with CBIRC. We are working very closely with the regulator, CBIRC, to again, our business subsidiarize. Once we get approval, our plan is to submit for new geography. Yeah. I think, the whole process has gone as smoothly as we are hoping for, yeah. I would expect, hopefully, all these things to be done before I retire, yeah. I'm sure it will get done soon. Yeah.

We are hopeful that we are making good progress in this area. Yeah. Thank you.

Lance Burbidge
Chief Investor Relations Officer, AIA Group

Okay. Thank you everyone, and if you have further questions, obviously come through to Investor Relations.

Keng Hooi Ng
Group CEO, AIA Group

Thank you. Yeah.

Garth Jones
Group CFO, AIA Group

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you for your patience. This conclude your conference. Thank you.