China Oilfield Services Limited (HKG:2883)
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Earnings Call: H2 2014

Mar 30, 2015

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the investor presentation of China Oilfield Services Limited to announce its annual result for 2014. Let me introduce the representative on the panel today, Mr. Liu Jian, Chairman of the company. Mr. Li Yong, CEO and President of the company. Mr. Li Feilong, CFO of the company. Mr. Yang Haijiang, Company Secretary. Let me pass the time to Mr. Li Feilong to walk us through the annual results first.

Li Feilong
CFO, China Oilfield Services

Good morning again. I guess you guys worked very late yesterday. My today's presentation will be divided into three parts. First of all, I'm going to start from the overview of COSL's results in year 2014. At the beginning of 2014, we had made a comprehensive and prudent judgment on the industry landscape for the company's business plans and strategies. Adhering to the principle of focus on the competitive business and the quality development since 2010, we implemented specific measures to enhance competitiveness and flexibility. As a result, we met all the operating targets of 2014 and laid a solid foundation for better response to the subsequent changes in the industry landscape. Next, I will walk you through COSL's operating review for 2014.

For COSL's 2014 financial performance, it fully showcased the good foundation of COSL, of which revenue increased 20.6% year-on-year and hit a record high since our listing. Operating profit and net profit both achieved a double-digit growth. As leasing and subcontracting expenses increased, operating margin slightly decreased. Besides, COSL's capital structure improved continuously during the year. Gearing ratio further dropped, and cash available for use stood up CNY 11.6 billion. This result laid a good foundation for the company faced with short-term industry challenges and achieving subsequent long-term healthy development. The offshore China and international markets both recorded a double-digit growth during 2014. In terms of business segment, the equipment segment and the well services segment saw different levels of growth. While the growth of the well service segment outperformed significantly the equipment segment.

Facing intensive competition in both the international and domestic markets, our operational efficiency and international competitiveness were subject to real-life tests. This include the most familiar case of Hai Yang Shi You 981, which completed the deepwater IPM operations in South China Sea ahead of schedule. All of these achievements showcase COSL's high-quality management, bringing sustainable results as well as offering customers value-added services. In 2014, we offer an array of high-quality services which foster regionalization of COSL's international business and diversification of our customers. In order to strengthen and improve our international business in four regions, we built logistic bases in Singapore and Mexico during the year. These bases are necessary in bringing our international business development to a large scale as well as further enhance COSL's internationalization for both equipment and well services segments.

The possession of equipment and technology for deepwater business and perform high-quality deepwater operations showcase an oilfield services company integrated competence. In year 2014, COSL achieved a breakthrough from providing single service deepwater services to deepwater IPM services. This operation received recognition from customers via revenue from deepwater operations as a percentage of total revenue climbed to 20%. Safety operations and environmental protection secure sustainable development of the company. In 2014, COSL scored the OSAR of 0.08 for year 2014, representing a stable and safe condition with significant risks under control. Besides, our energy-saving efforts achieved more than 100% the annual targets. COSL achieved breakthrough in R&D during 2014, which is one of the important drivers to push well services performance. These R&D achievements demonstrate our ability in fulfilling customers' demand for high-value-added technologies, as well as providing solutions to technical problems of oilfield surveying, exploration, and development.

Meanwhile, COSL also received recognition from the capital market. Next, we will look into the segment results. In 2014, international oil price experienced volatility and declines. Although our business segments were affected to different extents after the third quarter, we still achieved satisfactory overall results for the whole year. Revenue and profit of the drilling segment recorded a high double-digit growth, while margins slightly decreased due to the increase in the number of charter rigs. Both revenue and profit growth of the well services segment are superior than the other three segments, further accounting for 39% of the total revenue. Revenue of the marine support segment increased while profit remained flat, excluding the impairment loss of fixed assets due to one of the divestiture of chemical carriers. The geophysical and surveying segment faced the worst market condition environment, and results were relatively weaker.

In particular, drilling maintained a relatively active development momentum through equipment expansion, reasonable resources allocation, enhancement of operation efficiencies. The new added and leased rigs operating at high efficiency and drove revenue growth. At the same time, contribution from high-spec equipment increased and helped raise the average day income of the drilling fleet. Nevertheless, the calendar day utilization rate of the fleet decreased gradually, particularly in the fourth quarter, due to the lower oil prices and the more repair and maintenance seasonally. Well services achieved a 47% growth in revenue through enhancement of technology competitiveness. The growth in operating margin of the segment significantly exceeded the growth in revenue. Since marine support services are necessary for each stage of E&P process, demand in offshore China market was relatively stable. During the year, we complete divestiture and disposal of chemical carriers business in this segment to stay more focused.

The corrections in oil prices and reduction in E&P direct impact on geophysical segment. Decline in different magnitudes in work volumes and services rates since the beginning of the third quarter. Although we took a series of adjustment measurements and lower costs by optimizing working procedures and enhanced operating efficiencies, revenue and profits of this segment decreased. In the last section, let me walk through the outlook of COSL. The market landscape of the oilfield services industry is set to deteriorate further since 2015. The outlook is invisible with more uncertainties. With reference to the overall condition of oilfield services industry, the over-capacity of equipment to be worsened. Varying declines in contract coverage and service rates are seen. Market competition is intensifying. COSL encounters the same downward pressure as our international peers. This can be seen in the significantly increased difficulty in implementing operating activities.

COSL enjoys a more advantageous position than our peers as we have better fundamentals and a perceived comparative advantage that peers don't have. At this moment, survival is not a concern for COSL. Rather, we are thinking about how to make use of the industry challenges to explore new developments. Under the current market condition, we will be able to flexibly adjust our business model and closely work with our long-term strategic partners. Meanwhile, the synergies generated from equipment and technology segment enable us to have more resilience in coping with the fluctuation in the industry. In addition, our strong cash flow and good liquidity allow us to competitively and flexibly adopt different operating methods, giving us capital strength in the midst of a sluggish in oil prices. During the strategic guidance held in early February, we prepared this slide for your easy tracking of the risk status.

Changes in contract coverage occur for some risks, they are marked with an asterisk. Additions or reductions in contract periods are seen. Generally speaking, the market condition has worsened since early February. In particular, 30 rigs are covered by domestic and overseas full-year contracts. Breaking down by geography, 83% of it in the domestic market have contract coverage in 2015, while it is 7% of the rigs in international markets have contract coverage in 2015. COSL reacts to the dampened market demand by withdrawal of some charter rigs or bringing down the cost of leasing equipment. COSL is also proactively identifying markets for rigs pending contract confirmations for the year. We will update this with the market every now and then.

Recently, different levels within our company had intensive discussions on questions such as how to proactively and effectively react to changes in the industry as well as which market strategies should be adopted in different business segments. We have reached a high degree of consensus internally. Besides adjusting strategies, COSL has also set quantitative targets for lowering costs for different levels and make all our efforts to achieve the goal of improved operations in 2015. In the meantime, lay a solid foundation for medium to long-term development. With regards to the business model, we will endeavor to carry forward the integrated services, flexibly decide appropriate business model according to the actual circumstances that our clients face. We also see some new promising opportunities in international markets, and we are trying our best to win now. Catering to short-term, midterm, and the long term.

We still need to maintain CapEx at a considerable scale during the downward in oil prices. However, we will be more stringent and prudent in screening and evaluating projects. In 2015, most of the budget CapEx will be spent on the continuation of the existing projects in progress, selectively upgrading equipment, investing more in self-development high-end technology so as to enhance COSL's overall competitive advantage. Taking all things into consideration, as well as uphold our continuous and consistent principles, the board of directors propose to distribute the final dividend equivalent to CNY 0.48 per share. The proposal final dividend is subject to the approval by COSL's upcoming AGM in May. As a summary, 2015 will be a very challenging year for the whole industry as well as for COSL.

There will be a survival of the fittest scenario where only the best companies stay afloat due to the current downward trend of oil prices. That said, it is a great opportunity for COSL to enhance our capability and raise the quality of management experience in the market. COSL will comprehend the skills to proactively react to different trends and pursue new corporate development. Here comes to the end of my presentation. We are now opening the floor for questions. Thank you.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Thank you, Mr. Li. Now we open the floor for questions. Please raise your hand if you have questions and identify the company you are representing, and ask the question one by one to allow some time for translation. Gentleman in the front.

Scott Darling
Analyst, JP Morgan

Good morning, gentlemen. Thank you ever so much for the presentation. It's Scott Darling from JP Morgan. Your drilling contracts in that page in your presentation have changed quite a bit. Would it be possible to give us guidance on total fleet utilization this year? And where are you thinking day rates will end up? Could they be 30% down or so? The second quick question is-

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Maybe let us translate the first one and answer the first one. Let's translate his part first.

Li Feilong
CFO, China Oilfield Services

This year, honestly, we have been facing significant challenges, and we anticipate this to continue into the next year. Looking at the contract that we currently have on hand, as far as drilling is concerned, the offshore utilization rate is around 80%, whereas the outer seas utilization rate of the vessels is around 70%. This part, the further waters part, has been subject to quite big changes. As for the day rates, we have finished our negotiation with CNOOC, for the nearshore day rates indeed it will be reduced

Speaker 10

However, the rate of reduction would not be as steep as the rate of dropping for oil prices. However, for COSL, and I believe also for the industry too, this drop would be a historic high as far as the ratio is concerned. Also regarding the international market, judging from the contracts that we already have on hand, and I mean long-term contracts, at the moment, we have not received any request for price reduction as yet. However, for those contracts that we are bidding now, newly bidded contracts, meaning, there would be some significant drops as far as prices versus before.

Scott Darling
Analyst, JP Morgan

Just a quick follow-up. Geophysical weakness, could you talk about that and sort of your outlook for the geophysical segment? Could that actually lose money this year? What are your views on sort of managing that? Thank you.

Speaker 10

Well, yes, indeed. Since quarter four of last year, this segment has seen some significant difficulties. Actually for the industry as a whole, globally, the leasing rate as of this moment is around 50%, and that applies to COSL too. Also, this segment indeed went through very cruel competition last year, and we have seen a significant drop in prices. In 2015, the geophysical and surveying segment would be the segment of COSL that would face the hardest time. However, we will try our very best to try to safeguard that this segment does not lose money. Thank you.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Lawrence.

Speaker 7

Good morning. Thank you. I am from BOC International. I have two questions relating to the financial data. Last year, there has been some provision regarding fixed assets. Now I'd like to know which asset were these provisions specifically done to. The second question is relating to the cutting of cost, because last year we have indeed cut a lot of cost. I would like to ask whether you have any specific targets for cost-cutting this year.

Li Feilong
CFO, China Oilfield Services

Thank you for your question. We have all along been assessing our impairment needs according to market situation as well as the asset quality and asset status of our company. The provision that we have done last year was actually targeted towards a new vessel in our drilling segment, and that's a new vessel in [Hai Yang], and that will be stopping operation until later on this year.

Also we will continue to monitor the asset valuation of our company as well as new market changes and market situation. This is actually a requirement of the management on our behalf.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

As for cost control, this has always been a work and a target that we have persisted in doing.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Especially given the drastic decline in the industry and the market since the last part of last year, we have taken the responsibility of cost control and cost cutting to be an even more important goal of ours.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

We have also set very specific cost control targets and put in very comprehensive cost control measures.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

The measures that we would consider is to further reduce any waste of resources and also to reduce any unnecessary costs.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Regardless of what measures we would put in place, safety and service quality would still be the pivotal considerations.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Thank you. Next question, please.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

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Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Well, let me supplement a bit more on the cost control measures that we have taken effect. Mr. Li just now covered the overall situation. I'd like to give you just several examples so that you know what we mean by being comprehensive. Since the end of last year, the entire management has started to ride on economy class when we fly to other cities and using ourselves as an example. Secondly, previously we used to lease some rigs. Now that the market is no longer good, we may stop leasing those rigs. Thirdly, there are some older vessels that we had been able to use or charter out during good market times. However, now that the market has turned down, we actually have plans to hasten up the divesting of these older vessels.

Li Feilong
CFO, China Oilfield Services

We actually have a comprehensive plan in place for cost control that covers various aspects of our management.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Thank you. Next question, please. There are many questions. We'll take the questions from the middle of the gentlemen.

Simon Powell
Analyst, CLSA

Hi, thanks very much. Just a follow-up to the initial question from my colleague to the right of me on day rates.

Speaker 10

Can you speak a little bit louder?

Simon Powell
Analyst, CLSA

Sure. Just a follow-up on the question that came from my colleague regarding day rates. I realize, I guess things have changed. You're not going to give us actual what the rates are. I also note in your results announcement to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, a statement here about prices in the China offshore oil and gas market will be similar to the global market. Can we confirm that CNOOC and COSL have decided to use international global day rates for setting of day rates in offshore China?

Speaker 10

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Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

实际上中国市场的价格从来就不是一个国际市场的价格。

Speaker 10

As a matter of fact, the price that have been used in China has never been the same as the one used in international markets.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

For the last decade or so, this is something that we have always been saying. The relationship between CNOOC and us indeed is a very special one. CNOOC is our biggest customer, whereas we are the most important service provider to CNOOC. The price that CNOOC and COSL has always been working on is a price that has been discounted based on international pricing.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Therefore one cannot simply say that the offshore prices would be the same as international prices. In fact, I would think that for drilling as well as well services, there is no such thing as one international price, because each market would have their own unique pricing.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Therefore, we can only say that the trend would be aligned with international pricing trend. However, the specific number would not be the same.

Simon Powell
Analyst, CLSA

Thank you. I had one other question on that if I can. I just wanted to know on your graph with respect to rig operational status 2015, and in particular the international semi-subs and jackups, you show six and three respectively contracted throughout the year. I was wondering on those six and three that are contracted throughout the year, are there any potential price renegotiation clauses in those contracts? Point number one. Point number two, are there any layup possibilities in any of those contracts like we saw in 2014 with one of your semis in Norway? Thank you very much.

Speaker 10

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Speaker 9

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Speaker 10

I'd like to clarify your question. You were referring to what slide? Slide 15. Sorry, slide 21 in our presentation saying that we have six contracts for the jackups and three contracts for the semi-submersible rigs. You were also asking whether in 2015 we should expect to see something that is similar to the COSLPioneer situation, where we had to terminate the contract early. Is that your question, sir?

Simon Powell
Analyst, CLSA

No, the question was whether you have renegotiation clauses in any of those international semis or jackups. The second point was whether you have any layup clauses like we saw in 2014 on your semi-subs.

Speaker 10

Can you clarify for me what layup is?

Simon Powell
Analyst, CLSA

Layup means they just reduce the negotiated price by half.

Speaker 10

Okay。

Simon Powell
Analyst, CLSA

They put the rig aside and it doesn't have any utilization.

Speaker 10

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Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Just now I have said that the current international market and for those contracts that we have already signed, at this point of time, we do not see any changes occurring. The market changes so quickly and if the international oil prices continue to drop, it is really very hard to anticipate or to say what type of measures would be put in place.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

I would think that something like the COSLPioneer situation would be very unlikely to occur again because as per contract arrangements, despite the rig is not operational, the oil companies still have to pay us a very hefty suspension fee and this is something that they would really try not to do. Paying us over $100,000 per day while we do nothing, this is really something that they don't like to see happening.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Thank you. Maybe we take three more questions. Gentleman at that side.

Li Guonan
Analyst, UBS

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Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Good morning. I am Li Guonan from UBS. I have several questions. The first one is about revenue and profitability. As you know, CNOOC has cut down on its capital expenditure for 30% and the same is happening to North American companies as well as international companies. Can we safely assume that for COSL, 2015 revenue would drop by 30% and profitability would also slow down versus that of 2014?

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

I don't think this is entirely the relationship that one would be looking into. Yes, indeed. CNOOC has announced some significant drops in their reports. However, for COSL, all along, our business has not been limited only to the offshore Chinese markets. Indeed, the offshore Chinese market is as best as it can be right now. Our focus is entirely into developing our international business. In fact, there are several projects which the negotiations are coming to a close and these are very important projects. If nothing goes wrong, then we anticipate that there would be breakthrough in such negotiation in the next month or so. Indeed, the oil prices downward trend has been causing a lot of pain for oil service providers.

However, it actually took us by surprise in the sense that all along we have been emphasizing on our integrated project management ability and we have been asking the oil companies to give us IPM projects and all along they have not been willing to do so.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

When the oil prices are good, this IPM choice would not be a natural choice for the oil companies. However, when the oil prices comes down, there are many more companies now that are showing interest in such model because this IPM approach could save them a lot of management cost and other costs.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

I also know that our international peers either have only well services offerings and no drilling offerings, or they can only drill and they cannot provide any well services. However, we are a total solution provider and now that we have observed that there may be an opportunity, and because many of the oil companies are coming to us saying that "Why don't you take this project over and do it all for us and provide us with a comprehensive quote?" In the course of trying to do this, we discover that we actually have a very big edge over our competitors, our peers, and we are highly competitive in this IPM capability. The oil prices changing so greatly actually does mean a lot of challenges for the rest of the industry. However, for COSL, it might just mean that we would discover a brave new world.

Maybe we have been thinking through this opportunity, our IPM business could become really strong and big.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Well, therefore, to answer your question, yes, CNOOC has dropped their CapEx by 30%. For COSL, when compared to 2014, ours would definitely go down, no doubt. However, whether it would go down by such a large percentage, that may not necessarily be the case.

Li Guonan
Analyst, UBS

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Speaker 10

Also we noticed that some other companies in the Chinese market itself are actually buying marine equipment and wanting to use these equipment to develop businesses in China, companies such as Sinopec. Facing this challenge, what would be our strategy? Would we focus more onto our land operation or what is it that we have in place?

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Well, for the Chinese offshore business, competition has always been there. At the beginning, we compete with international players and then later on we compete with Chinese companies like PetroChina and Sinopec. Well, competition is only something very natural. It is something that one should come to expect.

Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

For COSL, our development strategy has always been to focus on areas where we have strength, and we have always been focusing on marine operations. I don't think that when there are competitions for the nearshore waters, then we go on land. If this is a strategy that we would go after, then it would indeed be very chaotic, jumping from land to sea and back to land again, whenever there are competitions. We focus very much in all of our resources on marine operations and developing our marine business. In this area, we think that it's good to have competition, because competition only makes us stronger.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Thank you. We take the last two questions. Please be specific and precise.

Simon Powell
Analyst, CLSA

Thank you very much. Simon Powell from CLSA. I just want to follow up on what you said in terms of potential divestiture. If I look at your Nanhai fleet of semi-subs, they're very old and they may never work again. Would you consider simply just scrapping them?

Speaker 10

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Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

I have already indicated that we are systematically assessing the asset quality of our older and the larger pieces of equipment. We will adjust our policies and measures according to market changes, and we will do whatever we should.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

Thank you. One last question, please. Gentleman in the middle.

Speaker 8

Good morning, gentlemen. I am Daniel from Uridium Capital. Just one question. What's your guidance on the well services segment? It seems performing well last year. Also, to what degree is the low oil price will impact this segment? Thank you.

Speaker 10

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Li Yong
CEO and President, China Oilfield Services

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Speaker 10

Well, for well services, the segment indeed you have already known that CNOOC's offshore business jobs are coming down, they're reducing in quantity. Therefore the demand for well services in this particular area would of course come down. However, I have also explained just now that we are in the process of negotiating for several important and large-scale projects. If we are successful in bringing these to fruition, and all these negotiations are for IPM, integrated project management models. If we are successful in doing this, then while on the one hand, I dare not say that we can perform better than last year, but I feel quite confident to tell you that the well services segment would be the best performing segment of all four COSL segments.

Yang Haijiang
Company Secretary, China Oilfield Services

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Now I announce the end of today's presentation. Bye.