Morning, everybody. We're gonna have the normal running order. I'll start off with an introduction and then an overview of performance. Darren's gonna go through financial and land promotion. I'll come back and do development and Stonebridge, and finish off with outlook. Our focus on high-quality land, prime developments, and premium homes has helped us to achieve total land and property sales of over GBP 350 million, or our share GBP 193 million. Demand from house builders have been particularly strong for our prime residential land, even though the housing market has been slow.
I'm pleased to say we've seen a significantly better planning environment since changes were made to the NPPF, and our early investment in Hallam back in 2024 has already started to pay off, allowing us to nearly triple the amount of planning applications made last year to 11,000 plots. Planning's also been secured for Golden Valley, and our industrial-focused JV, Origin, is performing well, with the initial schemes completing on time and budget, and we're committing more. We're managing to grow our development program. We completed on both the first tranche of the Stonebridge acquisition, becoming the majority owner, and on the sale of Henry Boot Construction. We continue therefore to simplify the group's structure and increase our focus on our core activities. Clearly, Stonebridge hasn't performed very well.
However, we've taken action and believe fundamentally it's a business that'll contribute to the growth, the group's growth and return in the future. Throughout this period, our balance sheets remained rock solid. Our NAV is just over GBP 3 per share, and as you all know, it's very conservatively assessed because all our land and developments are held at cost. Going through the operational performance, I'm pleased to say that last year, as a whole, we delivered a performance in line with market expectations against, at times, a challenging backdrop. There've been some great achievements in the year and some areas where we know, I know, we need to have a plan. We've got a plan, but also we need to do better. Hallam did exceptionally well, selling a record of nearly 4,000 plots, exceeding its budget by 13%.
We also replenished our consented sites ready for sale by achieving planning on nearly 4,200 plots. As I said, we submitted applications for 11,000 plots, and our aim is to achieve a similar amount this year. Our land portfolio has increased to 106,000 plots, and our consented stock now stands at just over 9,000. As I said last time, we continue to grow more or put more emphasis on securing planning consents and increasing plot sales because we think that the portfolio is big enough, it's got scale, and it's got balance. Turning to development. In the current environment, we've been very disciplined and selective over new projects, we've completed on £33 million of development. Origin's performing well with over 700,000 sq ft of industrial either recently completed or committed.
Lettings are being achieved ahead of business plan. The investment portfolio generated a great total return of just over 11%, and again, that's well ahead of the index. Looking at home building, Stonebridge completed on 185 homes, materially below our expectations, which isn't good enough. While selling prices were in line with budget, we experienced soft trading conditions with delays in securing detailed planning permissions impacting the opening of new sites. We also saw some cost overruns. However, we see great potential in this business, and to support this, we've added nearly 1,000 plots to the land bank. We've also started a reset towards the end of 2025 and expect to return to a small profit this year. Where does that mean we all got to?
It means once you add in construction and deduct central operating costs, group operating profit was GBP 33 million. Now, I just want to spend a minute on the medium-term targets. Although progress has been made against some of those objectives, persistent economic and political uncertainty has made it difficult to achieve them in the original timeframe. Also, as Darren's going to explain, there's been a reclassification of the group's main borrowing facility, meaning the capital employed measurement has increased. This, together with simplifying the group's structure, plus the improved outlook for Hallam, means we're going to look to refresh these targets during 2026. In particular, we need to look at the capital employed and return targets. On returns, I would add that as the vast majority of our sites are held in promotion and development agreements, options or discounted freehold, all of which is held at cost.
I remain confident that when normal levels of volume return to our markets, we can generate attractive gross margins. Also, we will look to increase the land promotion plot sales targets that we expect to achieve in the medium term. Looking at HBD, with the start of phase one of Golden Valley late this summer and other industrial projects, we anticipate committed developments rising to around GBP 150 million our share. Much of that profit will flow into next year and beyond. The investment portfolio, as I've already alluded to, is one of Henry Boot's successes. We continue to be patient in growing it with the emphasis on performance, not size. It's still expected to grow from the GBP 120 million as we complete on Origin developments.
If you look at Stonebridge, if you exclude 2025, over 10 years, output has increased by an average of 24% per annum. We still believe it is a growth business. We're still clear that operating in three regions and in a stable market, we can get to 600 homes per annum. As we change the group, we also need to change the way we work. In anticipation of the sale of HBC, the integration of Stonebridge, and our ambition to create a more agile and robust organization, we started our Future Ways of Working program in March of last year. The program is designed to drive efficiency, improve collaboration, and the sharing of expertise and resources across all of our three core businesses.
This includes reshaping teams within the group to result in a leaner central function where we've reduced heads by 23%, and we've also reformed our Executive Committee. We've also implemented for the first time, the first phase of Dynamics 365, bringing all our data together to be used more effectively for decision-making. The program has already delivered a reduction in central overheads of 20% in 2025, with further savings anticipated in 2026. Darren, over to you.
Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. This year we are presenting our financial results, including discontinued operations. Hopefully, this will give a clearer picture of performance over the period. Discontinued operations are Henry Boot Construction, which we sold on the final day of last year. We performed well in a challenging environment, although revenue reduced by 6% to GBP 307 million as a result of lower new home sales, which were partially offset by higher strategic land disposals. A reduction in admin expenses was offset by lower gains on property sales and revaluations, resulting in operating profit being marginally lower at GBP 33 million, with underlying profit of GBP 28 million, and that excludes valuation movements on completed investment properties. Our return on capital employed was 7.5% before the revised classification of the group's main borrowing facility that Tim mentioned.
That is reconciled on a slide in the appendix for anybody looking for the detail on that. As Tim's already also mentioned, we've significant opportunities across our portfolio and through the cycle, we continue to believe we can deliver attractive returns. Earnings per share increased by 1% to 17.6 pence, and we have increased the dividend by 2% with our decision to hold the final dividend at last year's level, consistent with our policy to invest selectively while acknowledging the importance of delivering an income return to our shareholders. Looking to the balance sheet, investment property, including our share of joint ventures, has increased to GBP 119 million, and that's after more than GBP 15 million of profitable sales during the period. We've seen further strong rental growth for our industrial assets and made good progress growing our Origin joint venture.
Inventories increased by GBP 35 million as we added to our consented land bank within Stonebridge Homes. We anticipate our investment will be more limited this year as we look to recycle capital from both work in progress and via selective land sales to optimize site size and increase outlet numbers over the medium term. Following investment in land and developments and the sale of Henry Boot Construction, net debt increased to GBP 108 million, with 20% gearing slightly above our target range of 10%-20%. We expect gearing to move back towards the top end of our target range this year as we look to complete several disposals across the group. Although, again, this will be largely H2 weighted. In January 2025, we completed the acquisition of 12.5% of Stonebridge Homes, taking our ownership to 62.5%.
As a result of this and the distribution of dividends, our underlying net asset value per share, excluding the pension surplus, was flat at 312 pence. Looking at the cash flow, the cash flow bridge here shows how cash from operations, investment property sales, and debt funding have allowed us to continue to invest in home building and property development within our Origin joint venture. Cash inflows from operations totaled GBP 9 million as returns in the period comfortably covered payments for interest, tax, and dividends. Along with this, profitable sales of investment property generated GBP 15 million, and this cash generation has been recycled into GBP 37 million of investment in inventories to grow land and work in progress in Stonebridge.
Investment in our development program and funding of planning costs within Hallam to bring forward sites for sale has been broadly self-funded from disposals, recycling capital back into inventory, which is broadly flat over the year for those businesses. As previously mentioned, we purchased a further 12.5% of Stonebridge. That was for a fixed sum of GBP 10 million with future fixed payments and, importantly, final performance-related adjustments expected to conclude in 2031, following us taking full control at the end of 2029. While we continue to grow our Origin joint venture, this is actually largely funded from returns on land disposals into the joint venture itself, with net cash generated of GBP 1 million. Other working capital increased by GBP 22 million following land sales to house builders on deferred payment terms and the sale of Henry Boot Construction.
As such, we ended the period with net debt of GBP 108 million. If I can move on now into the operational review and starting with land promotion. Hallam sold a record 3,957 plots in the period, and this demonstrates strong demand for our prime deliverable sites from house builders. At an average gross profit per plot of GBP 11,400, we achieved an operating profit of GBP 32.9 million. An absolutely amazing result, 34% up on the previous year. This result was achieved from sites sold which took an average of 13 years to deliver, but which achieved an average ungeared IRR of 27%. Again, an absolutely fantastic result.
Over the term, our land promotion business has delivered significant returns with the return on capital employed averaging 17% over the last 10 years and above the group's target range. While there have been annual variations, even during the initial COVID period, the business achieved double-digit returns. The scale of the portfolio allows us to mitigate site-specific risks, and while we are clearly correlated to demand in the housing market, this can be mitigated to some extent through forward sales. As we move forward, our focus is on continuing to secure planning permissions and increasing sales while continuing to grow the portfolio at a modest level. Following the government's revision to the NPPF, we have seen positive changes to the planning system, which have significantly increased our ability to secure outline consents.
The planning environment has been positive for securing outline consents, and during 2025, we achieved planning for nearly 4,200 plots, a 39% increase on the previous year. This is also a significant increase when compared to the 3-year average of around 600 plots to the end of 2023, given we saw the positive impact of planning changes start to come through in late 2024. We've been successful in utilizing the appeal system to unlock more sites, and we've won appeals on nearly 3,000 plots across 7 sites in 2025. This included 1,000 plots in Ashford, in Kent, in December, which is currently under offer. We made good progress on our target of submitting 10,000 plots into planning last year, with just over 11,000 plots submitted.
We expect to submit a similar level this year. Plots with planning increased to over 9,000, and with a further 19,000 plots awaiting determination in this supportive environment, we expect our stock of plots with planning to increase over time. We continue to manage one of the largest strategic land portfolios in the country with over 105,000 plots, of which 76% is in the Midlands and South, where values tend to be higher. With the balance of freehold and promotion agreements, we're able to manage capital investment appropriately between risk and reward, taking advantage of the right time in the cycle when acquiring freehold land, which is more capital intensive. Our use of planning promotion agreements provides a capital-light investment structure and gives us our USP against house builders by marketing the sites to drive best value for our landowners.
Our five-year average plot sales are running at almost 3,100 plots per annum, and we anticipate plot sales of over 4,000 this year, which will increase our rolling average closer to our medium-term target of 3,500 plots. Sales in the period delivered an average of GBP 11,000 gross profit per plot, driven by a particularly profitable freehold sale in Ambrosden, bringing the five-year average back up to GBP 10,000 per plot, a level that we believe remains achievable over the medium term. While we anticipate volume of plots in 2026 will increase, the anticipated sales mix with a higher percentage of promotion agreements and a lower share of freeholds is likely to result in profit per plot being lower than our typical rate of GBP 10,000 per plot, with a corresponding impact on operating profit.
With our portfolio all held at cost with no gain on securing planning recognized until the land is sold, this continues to reflect a significant uplift in value not recognized in our balance sheet. As shown in the table at the top, based on the recently achieved gross profit per plot of GBP 10,000, the 9,000 plots that we have with planning have the potential to deliver gross profit of GBP 90 million over the short term. In addition to this, we have almost 20,000 plots awaiting determination. This significantly de-risks 27% of our total land bank and has the potential to deliver a further GBP 196 million of gross profit. The full portfolio over time has the potential to deliver over GBP 1 billion of gross profit.
As we did for the first time at the interim results in September, we're presenting an illustrative net present value for the total portfolio, which can be seen in the table down at the bottom. These figures are based on a range of gross profit per plot, but using average hold periods and making adjustments for overheads and tax. The matrix also includes a range of discount rates. If we use 10,000 per plot, this shows a potential discounted profit after tax to come of GBP 181 million-GBP 256 million, which is equivalent to an overall NAV uplift of between 43% and 61%.
Whilst there are, of course, risks to unlock this value, the business has a strong track record of mitigating these, and with a portfolio of over 200 sites, is not reliant on a few large schemes to deliver returns. On that, I shall hand you back to Tim.
Yeah. Thank you, Darren. I'm gonna turn to property investment and development. We completed on GBP 119 million of development, our share GBP 33 million, with 32% of the schemes having been pre-let or pre-sold. Understandably, we've been selective in starting developments, with the majority of our completions coming from Origin, which I'm gonna provide more details on the next slide. Our committed schemes now total GBP 66 million, our share GBP 18 million. Our share of the estimated total profit is GBP 4 million or 28% profit on cost, of which 30% has been taken to date. In the case of Origin schemes, this doesn't include the profit achieved in transferring the land to the joint venture, nor the potential to earn promote fees.
We'll remain selective in building up our committed program, but as I'll explain, we've got significant near-term opportunity from our GBP 1.4 billion pipeline. Now, in terms of Origin, the initial JV was seeded with three sites with a combined total of GBP 100 million GDV or nearly 450,000 sq ft of industrial. All the schemes recently completed on time and budget. In line with the ambition to scale up Origin, at the end of 2025, we added a further three schemes totaling around 260,000 sq ft with a GDV of GBP 56 million. That total is GBP 156 million. Our share is GBP 39 million. Out of the total of 700,000 sq ft, I'm pleased to say 134,000 sq ft is let or under offer.
Lettings, as I've said already, are ahead of business plan. Now, I've talked about the strong pipeline, and that puts us in a good position to respond quickly to market conditions. I'll talk you through these three schemes, starting off with Golden Valley. We're working with our partner, the Cheltenham Borough Council. We expect to obtain detailed consent shortly on phase one. We've agreed terms with the anchor tenant and other occupiers in the cybersecurity field, and the scheme is fully funded by the public sector. We're aiming to start on site late summer. Last year, we secured planning to develop Freeport 36, a 5.5 million sq ft industrial and manufacturing park with buildings ranging from 40,000 to 1 million sq ft in size. This is in partnership with the landowner, St. John's College, Cambridge.
We've already got occupier interest, and again, we're aiming to start on site later this year. Then finally, as we pivot our urban development to more specialized cyber and tech subsector, in conjunction with the Imperial War Museum, we've submitted planning to develop Duxford AvTech, a 430,000 sq ft campus close to Cambridge, dedicated to developing low and zero carbon aircraft technology. As I said, the investment portfolio's been one of our successes. Our total return was 11.1% in 2025, again ahead of the index at 7.1%. The line graph, as I usually show, shows that our total return compared with the index since the start of 2020 is 7.8% versus the index at 3.8%. We're outperforming the index by over 100%.
During the period, we secured GBP 17.7 million worth of sales at an average 12% premium to book. The largest scale sale was Scamous Down, where we secured planning for a new 245,000 sq ft industrial. The property was sold for GBP 9.5 million, achieving an IRR of 25% per annum. Post period, we completed the sale of a supermarket that we'd previously developed in Warminster for GBP 8.6 million at a 7% premium to valuation. Looking at Stonebridge. Stonebridge completed on 185 homes in 2025 at an average private selling price of GBP 403,000. The majority of the operating loss was due to completions being materially below our expectations of 240-250 homes. Completions were lower due to several reasons.
As you know, the housing market was subdued last year, and our net private reservation rate was also affected by trading from outlets where we were towards the end of our sales program. In essence, we weren't offering the full range of homes on those sites. Delays in securing detailed planning also reduced the opening of new sales outlets. We operated from an average of 9 outlets compared to the budget of 12. In addition, around 30 completions moved into 2026 as build schedules were delayed by utility connections and changes in planning conditions. The remainder was caused by cost overruns related to unusual ground conditions and additional costs associated with extended site durations. Again, those extended site durations were caused by slower sales rates. In response, we've increased contingency within schemes to better reflect per-project delivery time.
Since becoming the majority owner, we've identified key priorities to improve and professionalize the business. This includes making major changes to the senior management team. In particular, we've replaced the managing director with the interim appointment of Ed Hutchinson, our MD of HBD. Ed has got extensive experience in building and construction processes, as well as land acquisition and planning. He's already making an impact on the business. We've also replaced the FD with an experienced senior member of Henry Boot's finance team. Supported by our group functions, we're investing in our Stonebridge people and systems to strengthen our capability and customer experience. We're also focusing on enhancing operational efficiency to create stronger links between teams. Using Hallam Land, we've reviewed the land portfolio to better align scale and location with our premium home strategy.
While it's still early in the year, we've seen an improvement in trading with the sales rate for the 11 weeks to the 15th of March at 0.43. That's up 25% year-on-year. This week, which has just ended, and that wasn't in the sales figures, guess what? One of the best weeks we've ever had, and that would increase the sales rate year to date to 0.5. Our guidance for 2026 is completions of between 200-220 homes. Finishing off with outlook. As we consider our markets at the start of this year, we've been encouraged by the continued demand for our high-quality land, early signs of letting activity in HBD, and sales rates improving at Stonebridge.
However, we'll need to see how prolonged the conflict is in Iran to gauge the extent, if any, on the effect of the outlook for 2026. Regardless, we continue to make good strategic progress by focusing on quality projects within land promotion, development, and home building. Hallam remains a core driver of value where we are growing its store of worth. We expect to have another good year, although we anticipate a sales mix with a higher percentage of promotion agreements and less freeholds, so our profit per plot is likely to be lower. HBD is preparing to commit to more of its near-term developments, with industrial remaining a key focus through Origin alongside nationally significant schemes like Golden Valley. We anticipate Stonebridge Homes will begin to recover during 2026, as I've said, making a small profit.
With a clear reset plan, we believe we'll get back on track to achieve our medium-term growth targets. As in previous years, we expect our performance to be H2 weighted. However, there are significant opportunities across our portfolio, plus the benefit of a rock-solid balance sheet, leaving us well-positioned to not only deliver against market expectations for 2026, but also to get back on track to hitting our growth and return targets in the medium term. Thank you.
We've got some questions, and I think we'll wait for the mic.
Yeah.
I feel as though Tom just beat Adrian to the draw.
Thank you. It's Tom Musson at Berenberg. Maybe if I ask one first on Hallam Land sales in 2026. Sounds like from what you're saying, you might have some visibility on gross profitability levels, just given the mix of land types that you're talking about. Are you able to perhaps quantify how far below that 10,000 GBP profit per plot average you might expect to transact on this year?
Do you want me to-
Yeah
Well, first of all, we've got pretty good visibility. We've got 15 sites that we anticipate that we will sell this year. The majority of those sites have either exchanged or under offer, and then a minority of them are either in the market or about to go to the market. If you think about it, that makes sense, doesn't it? Because selling big bits of land takes some time. We're getting our ducks in a row. We do know the mix of the likely profit per plot, so long as, of course, we achieve the prices that we are anticipating. I've got to say, so far this year, we've had a good run, and you saw the demand that we had for our residential land last year.
The house builders want to buy land. Yeah, we've got a view on what the profit will be, and it's likely to be about 20% below the long-term average. Got anything that you want to add?
Yes. The chart on slide 13, where we showed the five-year kind of profit per plot returns, if you go back to 2021, 2022, those were years when we were kind of heavily weighted to the promotion agreements, and they were kind of GBP 6,000-GBP 8,000 gross profit per plot. I don't think we'll be down at the 6. To Tim's point, we're probably gonna be at kind of around that 8 mark.
Awesome. Very helpful. Thank you. Maybe just one on the balance sheet. Appreciate you're targeting the top end of the 10%-20% range by the year end. Just wondering what the pro forma is on gearing today, just given that we've had the Warminster Waitrose sale, but also the additional tranche paid for Stonebridge in February. Maybe just then, given capital commitments, should we expect that gearing moves still a bit higher at the half year before coming down again in the second half?
Yeah. It's very much gonna be dependent on the transactions we get through between now and the half year. Clearly, we are the transaction-led business, and some of those, certainly in Hallam Land land sales, are quite significant in terms of cash. Where they land either side of the half year can make quite a bit of difference to where our gearing might be. As we've said, we're H2-weighted, so I'd certainly like to think we're targeting gearing back down towards that top end at the end of the year. Through the midpoint, I'd like to think we can keep it stable from where we started, but it will be very much dependent on where the Hallam Land disposals, in particular, fall either side of the half year.
Yeah. Yeah. Tom, sometimes there's a mismatch, isn't there, between investing in the business and you can see today that we've continued to invest in the business and then getting cash back as we sell. We're just trying to manage that cash flow.
Helpful. Thank you.
Adrian.
Morning. A couple of questions, if I may, on Stonebridge. Average number of sites in 2025 was 9. You were targeting 12. Could you perhaps give an indication of where you'd like average number of sites to be? How good start to the year in terms of sales rate, is that skewed to any particular sites, or is it sort of a relatively even spread of sales rates across all of the sites? Then the last one, you talked about ground conditions hindering activity in 2025. Was that weather related or was that geology?
Yeah. Right. I'll have a go at that. In terms of sites, as I said, we traded from 9 on average last year against a budget of 12. We're looking to trade from 14 this year, but 3 of those will already be close to closing. It depends on how you work out the average, but probably gonna be over 11. We will end up trading on average on more sites in 2026.
Then obviously what we're trying to do in 2027 and 2028 through building up the land bank, which we've done last year, but we were doing it the year before as well, trying to grow those outlets like all house builders are doing at the moment. In terms of the good start to the year, if you looked at the weekend, we had sales on every single site. You always have some sites that you think are better than others. That's the natural way of a portfolio. In our budget, we're not relying on certain sites to knock out the stars to achieve it. It's been...
Bearing in mind what we went through last year and bearing in mind that Henry Boot now has the majority ownership, we're trying to be pretty balanced in the assessment of our budget, so we're not gonna be relying on just one or two sites. Then you asked about the site conditions. They were peculiar to the sites. It wasn't about the weather.
Yeah. It was, well, two elements. One element was the geology, and the other element was a change in building regulations that meant we had to do more work in the ground to meet those regulations.
Yeah. Christian.
Thank you. Christen Hjorth from Deutsche Bank. Two from me, please. We'll maybe stick with Stonebridge to start. I mean, you know, I suppose, Tim, looking back, you sort of pointed to the strong growth up until 2024 in Stonebridge and then the various things that went wrong in 2025. What do you think is the catalyst? Was that just, you know, a lot of bad luck? Was it, you know, had there been some management changes? Had there been some strategy changes? Just thinking on reflection, why was 25 when it happened and what is sort of changing? Obviously, you touched on the management, but in terms of strategy looking forward.
Yeah.
The second one is, you know, obviously you guys are trading on a reasonably decent discount to book, and the ROCE is lower than you'd want it to be. I look at Hallam, fantastic ROCE. Obviously it's very poor in some of the other parts of the business. I'm just wondering if there's anything you can do there, for example, reducing capital employed, you know, selling assets, et cetera, just to return or to improve ROCE in some of those other parts of the business.
Yeah. Okay. Right. I think with Stonebridge, it's often the way, isn't it, that there are a range of things that affect performance and I talked through those. I was open in the presentation. I think that first of all, in hindsight, we set a pretty challenging budget, and in setting that budget, probably there was just a bit of the market is going back to normal and it didn't. It was an awkward market for everybody. Actually, if you look at the stats, if you were selling premium homes, it was just a bit harder. The market definitely didn't help.
You know, when I kinda like look at a mental bridge between the operating profit and the loss that we made, the majority of it was about completions. The big part of that majority was about the market. In terms of completions, I've talked about the fact that we had 30 plots that went over to the next year and some of the outlets we didn't trade from enough outlets, and that's a planning issue. You know, we're good at planning, aren't we? The planning sometimes in terms of getting detailed planning consent is very hard. That's the big part. If you look at it again in terms of performance, we had some cost overruns, which I talked about.
Then also because we've gone into the business and looked in detail at the delivery programs, we also want some extra contingency, and that then becomes a cost on you. What's that? That's partly bad luck on some of the costs, partly as Darren's explained, changes in building regulations. You can't do anything about that. I think that also what we can do is we can be more thoughtful about how we plan and build out schemes. I think we can be more thoughtful how we promote the sites and train and develop the sales team. That then goes to, was the business being run the way that we wanted to run the business going forward? No, it wasn't. Part of that is management.
As you know, we've materially changed the senior management team. The MD, we're in the process of changing the MD. We've got a fantastic interim MD, Ed Hutchinson. Darren, we've changed the FD, and we've also decided that we don't need an overall operations director. We will have changed the SMT. We'll have reduced it from 11 people to seven people. That's not about cutting costs. That's actually about increasing efficiency so that the MD knows who they're managing, has got a reasonable team to manage, and that they're collaborating. I think that we've recognized that it wasn't going to plan, started to really get to the bottom of it in the summer.
Started to act on it in the early autumn, and then we've got what we're calling a fresh start plan in the business because we want it to be positive. We don't want it be negative. We've got something called a fresh start plan, where we're really, really clear about what the priorities are, and also this is definitely a Henry Boot. Henry Boot, everybody's in it together, and everybody is aware of what we're trying to achieve, and everybody's motivated and partly responsible for the success. We're definitely bringing that into Stonebridge, and I think as a result, the team will be better.
I've spent quite a lot of time in Stonebridge as has Darren, and considering being open today, you know, I'm responsible, so I'm not saying it's just them, but bearing in mind they've not had a good year, and bearing in mind there's been a lot of change, they're up for it. What I think is good is that we've gone around, and we've agonized over the homes. I've actually gone and seen customers, and I've asked them about the homes. Do you know what? People like our houses. People like the layout. They like the locations. They like the size of it. They like the quality. So fundamentally, it's good.
Yeah.
What we've got to do is we've got to be slicker building and selling and keeping our customers happy. We can do that. I think you talked about what's happened, management change, and then what was your final question on Stonebridge?
It wasn't Stonebridge. It was more around the return on capital employed.
Yeah, yeah.
Just capital, I suppose, in general.
Yeah, yeah.
Whether you can release it.
Well, look, I'm gonna let Darren talk in a bit of detail and by the time I've finished, he'll have been able to write a dissertation, won't he? In great detail. Let Darren talk about it. Look, I mean, first of all, Christen, you've been following Henry Boot for quite a long time. The reason why we have more than one business is that we all know that businesses have good moments and not so good moments. We like the diversity that the three businesses have, and they are not mathematically absolutely diversified, but they definitely have some differences. If you look at Hallam, that will be the best year they've ever had, right? And then with HBD, I think HBD have done very well.
Their return on capital employed will not be sparkling. It will be about 4%. They're a commercial development business, and commercial development has been in a subdued market. The values haven't been falling, but the levels of activity, even in the industrial market, which is the standout market, have not been high once you've taken out the big lettings to the Amazons of the world and the big investment deals where Blackstone have been buying up platforms. The day-to-day market, it's an okay market, but there's not a lot of activity. As a developer, we rely on activity. We've got to do lettings, and then we want to sell buildings and recycle capital. I think that HBD in the circumstance have had a good year, and then the investment portfolio speaks for itself.
This year, really, Stonebridge has made a significant difference, hasn't it? You can do the math. If Stonebridge had performed in line with its budget, our return on capital employed would have been very, very decent. Then, yeah, we have to keep on thinking about how we can boost our return on capital employed. I said it in the presentation. The one thing that gives me confidence is if you look at our portfolio, it's rich with opportunity. We've got our land portfolio, and you can tell we've got a CFO who models that to within an inch of his life.
We've got a development pipeline, and we know all those projects on that development pipeline, and most of them, so the capital employed in the development pipeline is about GBP 60 million, yeah? We've got GBP 1.4 billion of potential development for GBP 60 million. That is not bad. We have appraisals on all of those, and they all make money. What we've got to do is we've got to have a degree of active market so that we can develop, and we can let, and we can sell on. I think that the development business will restore its return on capital employed. With Stonebridge, I think it has still got to get a bit bigger before it starts helping us materially with the return on capital employed.
I think that we can achieve that. Just because of a bad year, I'm not dismissing it, but just because of a bad year, I don't think that will knock us off what we can achieve in the medium term. Therefore, I get to the place where I look at the returns on capital employed that we have historically achieved, and I think there's no reason why we can't do that in the future. We'll have to get through a period where there's uncertainty, there's some cost in the system, and also there's some low levels of trading. Now, if Darren can think of anything I've missed. You will give a more financial answer to it than me.
I think Tim makes a valid point, and the returns are a big part of our return on capital employed, clearly, and we need to get back to our markets being in a place where they're really delivering what we know they can deliver to drive that metric. I think you're absolutely right, though, in terms of self-help and what we can do to look at the balance sheet ourselves and where we're deploying capital, which I think is probably a mix. If you take Hallam at the moment, we've just said they've never had such a good run at obtaining outline planning permissions. We've increased submissions fourfold over the last year and a half of what we are putting into planning, and a planning application is not a cheap exercise.
They've done really well at recycling returns to maintain their capital employed broadly flat. We definitely don't want to be pulling back on their activities at the moment while the environment for them is so good. Hopefully we'll keep capital employed flat, but definitely don't want to see that actually coming down in any way. I think on property development, the business knows the market that it's in, and as Tim's pointed out, it's definitely a very capital light model for the pipeline of opportunities we've got. At the same time, that doesn't mean they won't look at what is in the investment portfolio, what is in the opportunity pipeline to see whether or not they can return capital to the group. Warminster, for example, great example of a sale that they've looked at in the investment portfolio.
Looked at when might be the best time to actually exit that asset in the environment we're in. Absolutely great result to be able to sell that now. I think Stonebridge then is the final one where, given the results and returns of last year and given the reduction in volume, what they actually were incredibly good at last year is obtaining land. So we've invested a huge amount in that business in land. The capital employed is therefore now, I'd say, at the limit of where we want to go with that business at this current time.
As we move forward, the focus will be on getting the outlet numbers up, and if some of the larger sites that we've acquired over the last year, we're able to sell some of the future phases that don't impact short-term delivery and either return funds in to reduce capital employed or actually recycle those into other smaller sites where we can then look to start increasing outlet numbers. I think that's the one where it's a bit of a balancing game for us as we move forward.
Thank you.
Good. Sam, I'm surprised you've got energy left after that long-winded answer from management. Go on.
It's really just to follow up on the last answer from Darren, actually. In that context of not putting more capital into Stonebridge-
Mm-hmm
...or materially more going forward, what's the right length of land bank for that business? Assuming you still wanna eventually reach 600-
Yeah
plots per annum.
Well, we definitely want to reach 600-
Yeah
homes per annum. That ambition hasn't reduced. Do you?
Look, we're growing from a small level, aren't we? We've been building the land bank up as we go. I think an ideal for us is probably gonna be four or five years in the land bank that's coming forward. But where we're at now with the volumes that we've achieved and the way the land bank's grown, we've definitely pushed beyond that. It's twofold, isn't it? If we can get the outlets up, get the actual volumes back up, all of a sudden the land bank perversely resets itself.
Yeah
to where you want to be.
Great. Thanks.
Okay.
Okay. Richard?
Conscious of time.
Yeah.
Just a few questions on here, so I'll just go through them in no particular order. Could you discuss the pension scheme and when the next valuation will take place, and whether you expect to remain in surplus?
That's definitely coming my way.
Isn't it?
We've just signed off on the last valuation, which is effectively at the end of the previous year. We've got two years until we're into the next valuation process. The end of last year, we got a GBP 9 million surplus. That's come down. Given the economic environment, we're into GBP 3 million surplus at the moment. 90% of the liabilities in that scheme are now hedged. Therefore, the actual impact on the scheme of those global movements is a lot less than it ever used to be. Therefore, I would hope, never say never, but I'd hope that we stay in surplus now on the valuation methodology. The valuations follow different standards, and what we are looking at is the long-term game of being able to exit the scheme.
On an exit valuation, we do still have a deficit. We're probably at GBP 89 million. Which means for me, I'd like to think in the next 4 or 5 years, maybe, we'll be able to look to get out of that scheme.
Great, thanks. Okay, so next question. Grateful if you could help us understand the decision to substantially increase the land bank at Stonebridge in 2025 when you could see the soft trading and delays in opening new outlets and now subsequent decision to dispose of land at Stonebridge. Secondly, does the management believe that the transaction structure to acquire the 50% of Stonebridge based on 1.6 times tangible gross asset value and not linked to profitability was the right structure?
I think that in terms of carrying on buying land in 2025, it was the right thing to do because we want to get into a position where we've got enough land so that we can get to 600 homes per annum. Also, sometimes you have opportunities to buy land that fit into your regional network, and you have to take them. To be absolutely clear, I believe Darren has in both the presentation and in answering questions about Stonebridge, we've bought some land, and some of those sites are large, and it's a pretty well-known tactic to look to either partner or to sell off some of the parcels of that land to other house builders. We're not doing anything unusual there.
In fact, it's the right thing to do. In terms of the transaction, at a strategic level, absolutely the right thing for us to do. I talked about the growth that we've seen in Stonebridge, and we firmly believe that we'll continue to see growth in Stonebridge. That growth going forward, even off the 270 homes that we did in 2024, would be at between 15% and 16% per annum. There are not many growth businesses that you can take control of. At a strategic level, it fits well into us.
We haven't really talked about it today, but don't forget, Road Link is running off, and we don't have HBC anymore, so we do have to look for parts of the business to grow in order to cover that cost. In terms of the price, the absolute right thing in terms of the price was it was performance led. If we look at what we thought we would pay through modeling when the deal was agreed in December 2024, and what we think that we will pay today, it is materially lower. So that performance does bite. Yeah. I think the other thing that we did and we were trying to take control of something, you know, there's always a premium to take control of something.
What we did was we were very, very thoughtful about the phasing. We will have control of that business, but we will not pay the final phase of or final tranche of the payment until 2031, and that will help return on capital employed. Am I disappointed that we didn't have a good year last year? Yes, I am. And that's right for me to say that, isn't it? Have we got a plan for growing and recovering Stonebridge? Yes, we have. Is it the right thing strategically for Henry Boot in the medium term? Yes, it is.
Great. Thanks. I'll just quickly whisk through these. Should interest rates climb during 2026, what impact do you think this will have on completions at Hallam and Stonebridge Homes? Do you expect the trend of securing planning via appeal to continue as high as a high proportion of planning wins during 2026?
Okay. Well, look, I'll do the planning one. You do the interest rate one. In terms of planning, we believe that the environment to get outline planning consent, not detailed consent, outline planning consent, and that is what Hallam does. We think that that is as favorable as it's been in many generations. Do we think that that means that the route to get planning through appeal will continue to be successful? I want to say we did seven sites last year on appeal. Yeah. You know Henry Boot, we generally work with authorities. We do not often go to appeal. The reason why we're going to appeal is that we're assessing it. We're being logical, aren't we?
We're assessing it, and we're thinking, "Yeah, we can win these appeals, and if necessary, we will go again, and we will appeal." One of the reasons why planning authorities have responded pretty quickly to the changes in the planning policy is because they know that if they don't, they'll have people like us taking them to appeal, and the chances are they will lose those appeals. Yeah, $64,000 question, interest rates.
Clearly our markets interlink to interest rates, particularly around the mortgage products, and the sale of homes in Stonebridge. I think if you look at commentators at the moment, whether interest rates are set to go up or come down is a bit of a mixed view at the moment, and to some degree, anybody's guess with what goes on from here. I think the initial reaction that we've seen the market starting to increase mortgage product rates on the long-term forecast debt cost, particularly in response to what is happening in the Middle East, has had no immediate impact from what we've seen. In fact, as Tim's just said, we've had our best-selling weekend ever in Stonebridge Homes just gone. It feels like where rates are currently at is manageable for most households.
We'll have to see how the Middle East continues and unfolds, and if that is prolonged, then we could start seeing an impact, clearly. I think from the Hallam side of things, however, most of the house builders are, I think, in a similar position to us, currently seeing good kind of upticks in activity levels. I think what a lot of them are suffering from at the moment, similar to what we've been speaking about, is the number of outlets they can secure and get open, which I think is why we are continuing to see good levels of interest for Hallam Land sites. I think as we move forward, that will therefore be less impacted by any movement on interest rates, unless there's a significant shift in the market.
I know you've got an eye on time, Richard, but everything that I read says that monetary policy is still restrictive. Look, who knows? With war in Iran, inflation could go up, and the bank could adjust because of that. Still, it feels based on the slow growth of the economy, the fact that the interest rates are likely over a medium term to be restrictive, still feels as though interest rates in the medium term might adjust for events, but they should still come down a bit. Look, who knows? If that does happen, that would be very, very good for our markets.
Great. Thank you.
Okay. Had quite a few questions today, haven't we? Thank you very much. Good to see you all.