Barratt Redrow plc (LON:BTRW)
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May 1, 2026, 4:37 PM GMT
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Earnings Call: H1 2024

Feb 7, 2024

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay, I think we're going to make a start. So, first of all, good morning, all, and thank you all for coming. I know that some of you, for some of you, it's unscheduled. So we're really conscious that there's a lot to get through, and we are sure that there's going to be plenty of questions. So we're gonna spend most of the time on the transaction announced today, and clearly less time than we would normally do on results for both companies. So first of all, just in terms of introductions, we have people dialed in online who are not on our video. So, with me is Steven Boyes, Barratt's Chief Operating Officer and Deputy Chief Executive. Mike Scott, the CFO of Barratt, to my left.

Matthew Pratt, Group Chief Executive of Redrow, and Barbara Richmond, the Group Finance Director of Redrow. So as you'll see from the announcement this morning, in addition to our half-year results, we are really delighted to be announcing the recommended combination of Barratt and Redrow. The new company will be called Barratt Redrow PLC, and today, we're gonna be talking you through the details and the background to this really exciting combination, and how it's going to help both businesses build together, how we're gonna create a really exceptional UK home builder in terms of quality, service, and sustainability. So moving on in terms of the running order for this morning. As I said, the first part of the presentation will focus on the creation of Barratt Redrow PLC.

Then, we're going to have a short section on Barratt half-year results, which Mike will guide us through. And then Barbara will talk us through the Redrow half-year results. And then we're gonna move on to a joint Q&A, which I'm very, very much looking forward to chairing. And we're going to be, you know, aiming to try and leave as much time as possible for Q&A. But just to flag, and John Messenger will be keeping us on time, is that we are looking to close no later than 10. So, please do think about that in terms of placing questions. So I just wanted to start by saying that I really strongly believe that the combination we've announced today is going to create a truly exceptional UK home builder.

I think you all know that when you look at both businesses, we're hugely focused in terms of quality, service, and sustainability. And then crucially, this is against a backdrop of a very significant shortage of high-quality homes in the UK. So the combination is going to allow us to accelerate the delivery of the type of homes that the country needs. Underpinning the future success of Barratt Redrow is our combined portfolio of what are clearly very highly respected and differentiated brands: Barratt, David Wilson, and Redrow. This is going to enable us to drive output across our combined pipelines and what is clearly a complementary footprint. And, I think Matthew is gonna give us a few thoughts on it.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Yeah. Thank you, David. I mean, clearly, this is an important moment for our two businesses. We're two well-regarded house builders within the UK, and like us, Barratt is committed to quality, service, and sustainability. We are both innovators, and this is an opportunity to realize significant cost synergies. The combination will give us the opportunity to share best practice across everything we do. And finally, I think both businesses are already highly regarded in the market, and working together will only improve that.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thanks very much, Matthew. And so on to the next page, we're setting out the headline terms of the transaction, which is recommended by both boards. So it's an all-share combination, where each Redrow shareholder will receive 1.44 new Barratt shares for every Redrow share they own. The offer values the equity of Redrow at approximately GBP 2.5 billion. Following completion, Redrow shareholders will hold 32.8% of the combined group, and Barratt shareholders will hold 67.2% of the combined group. We expect to achieve pre-tax cost synergies of at least GBP 90 million on an annual run rate basis by the end of the third year following completion, and we're gonna cover that in a little more detail later, Mike is.

We expect the transaction to be accretive to both Barratt's and Redrow's adjusted earnings per share in the first year after completion, excluding the one-off costs of delivering the synergies. I just also note, and I know that he is here this morning, and that the transaction has the full support of Steve Morgan, Redrow's founder, and a very significant shareholder in the Redrow business. So we've said we both, Barratt and Redrow, believe that the combination is really compelling. It's going to help us to address the country's housing shortage. We are going to create a really exceptional home builder. Quality service and sustainability are clearly so important, but also it's important that we do accelerate delivery of high quality homes through the three brands. We've identified the opportunity to realize cost synergies, and Mike's gonna talk through that in the presentation.

But we also believe that based on our strong track record of integrating other businesses and brands, that we can achieve this integration both rapidly and efficiently. Within a cyclical industry, this combination will maintain a robust balance sheet and will be better protected to operate through the cycle, and it's going to be a strong platform for us to deliver improved shareholder returns over the medium term. And finally, we do believe that the combination of Barratt and Redrow will deliver significant benefits for other stakeholders. Firstly, our highly skilled and dedicated employees within both groups, our suppliers, our other partners, and most importantly, our customers, who are going to have access to a wider range of homes at more price points. And Steven will talk us through more about how good a fit the combination is going to be.

Steven Boyes
COO and Deputy CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. At the heart of this combination are two culturally aligned organizations with a shared focus on quality, customers, and sustainability. I think the awards and external recognition we've set out on this slide bear testament to these credentials. In terms of quality, Barratt site managers have been awarded more Pride in the Job awards than any other home builder for 19 years in a row. Redrow also received a significant number of Pride in the Job awards in 2023, and we are both rated as excellent on Trustpilot. In terms of customer service, in 2023, Barratt was awarded a HBF five-star rating by its customers for the 14th successive year, more than any other major home builder. Redrow also has an impressive record of achieving five-star HBF customer satisfaction ratings for the last five years.

In terms of sustainability, Barratt is included in the CDP A-List for leadership on sustainability. We were also awarded the 2023 Innovation Award for our eHome2 project, which reflects our pioneering efforts towards a low carbon and climate resilient future. Redrow holds a double A rating from MSCI for its commitment to an ESG investment standards. We're proud of what we've created at Barratt, and we've always been impressed by the way Matthew, Barbara, and their team run Redrow. This like-minded approach will ensure that Barratt Redrow continues to put the customers at the heart of everything we do. As you can see from this map, Barratt is a leading U.K. home builder, with 29 operating divisions located across the U.K. Since the business was founded in 1958, we've built more than 500,000 homes, creating great new places to live throughout the country.

In the financial year 2023, we delivered more than 17,000 new homes and had a land pipeline of almost 75,000 plots.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Thank you, Steven, and thank you for your kind words. Across 50 years and over, and over 120,000 homes, Redrow has earned a strong reputation for building premium homes and thriving communities. We currently operate through 12 regional divisions across England and Wales. We have a land pipeline of over 24,000 plots, and last year delivered over 5,400 completions across both private and affordable homes. Here, you can see how complementary the combined geographic footprint of Barratt Redrow is. In addition to an attractive portfolio of sites in current development, our combined land pipeline brings together almost 100,000 future plots and the capacity to accelerate housing delivery. Together, we will be positioned to build in excess of 22,000 homes each year, reaching customers across a wider geographic footprint and with a complementary product range.

The combined group will have a strong portfolio of three high-quality complementary brands. This is clear differentiation within this portfolio across price points and positioning in the market. Barratt will continue to serve first-time buyers and families. David Wilson will continue to offer larger homes for mover uppers and families, and the Redrow brand will be established as the premium brand in our portfolio, targeting the upper end of the average selling price range. We'll continue to develop attractive and innovative homes across all three brands, focused on design excellence, build quality, home running cost efficiency, and sustainability. This portfolio will be able to meet customers' needs across a wide range of house types and price points. We expect this to be three-brand strategy will allow us to accelerate delivery of high-quality homes across suitable sites.

Steven Boyes
COO and Deputy CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thank you, Matthew. We have a proven track record of acquiring, integrating, and nurturing attractive brands. Back in 2007, we acquired Wilson Bowden, including David Wilson Homes, which was successfully integrated over a period of 18 months... We have continued to invest in and develop David Wilson since acquisition. We've been a good steward of the brand, improving the service and quality associated with it. We've also transformed it from being largely regional into a truly national brand. As a result, it has become a more important and valuable part of the group over time, going from approximately one quarter to one third of group completions. We've also successfully integrated Gladman, our promotional land business, and Oregon, our timber frame manufacturing business, into the group.

We've achieved this whilst preserving the skill sets and know-how they've brought into Barratt, and both brands are benefiting from our investment in growth. Along with the Redrow team, we intend to do exactly the same with the integration of Redrow, protecting, nurturing, and investing in the brand and its strong customer proposition. We've seen through David Wilson that applying a multi-brand strategy delivers a positive impact on site performance, and this can be seen in this example, Grey Towers Village, a site up in the northeast, in Nunthorpe, near Middlesbrough. It was a David Wilson site when we acquired, and operated very successfully from the financial year 2016 through to 2020, delivering excellent build quality, five-star customer service, as well as securing both Pride in the Job awards and the U.K. Supreme Award in 2019.

Reflecting the impact of the COVID pandemic, we made the decision to dual brand Grey Towers, adding Barratt Homes to the site and opening a Barratt sales outlet and show home suite to the site. You can see on the right-hand side of this page, what dual branding meant in terms of performance of the site. Completions increased to 110% from the pre-COVID average. The reservation rate increased almost 100%, to an average rate of 0.94 per week in FY 2022 and FY 2023. Since the introduction of the Barratt brand, the site has maintained its build quality and customer service success. This is reflected in both its five-star status and continued Pride in the Job Award success, with Leanne Hardcastle becoming a Pride in the Job Award winner in 2023.

You can see why we're so excited about what we can do with three distinct brands. We will accelerate the delivery of homes from the combined land pipeline by introducing the Redrow brand to appropriate Barratt sites, and vice versa. With that, I'll hand over to Mike to now pick up the financials.

Mike Scott
CFO, Barratt Redrow

Thank you, Steven. So you've heard about the strategic and operational benefits of the combination, but let me now touch on the material financial benefits that we see. So for now, we focused on cost synergies. We do also believe there will be scope for revenue synergies over time, but we're not in a position to quantify these at the moment. So we've estimated at least GBP 90 million of pre-tax cost synergies, which is a big number, but it's a number that we're very confident in our ability to deliver. The savings are going to come from both Barratt's and Redrow's cost bases across the following areas, applying a best-in-class approach. So firstly, procurement-related savings, primarily from direct materials, are expected to contribute approximately 38% of the synergies. Secondly, optimization of our divisional structure is expected to contribute 37%.

Finally, consolidation of central and support functions, delivering roughly 25% of the total. Now, broadly, half of the annual run rate pre-tax cost synergies will be realized by the end of the first year following combination, with around 90% delivered by the end of the second year following completion. Full run rate will be achieved by the end of the third year. The associated one-off pre-tax cost to achieve the synergies, we currently believe to be around GBP 73 million. We'll also maintain a robust balance sheet in the combined group. This is an all-share deal, and critically, that means there's no leverage being used. The combined group's balance sheet will be net cash positive, including land creditors, and it will provide both resilience through the cycle and allow the combined group to respond to changing market conditions.

We'll maintain a highly selective approach to land acquisition, and we'll maintain Barratt's existing dividend policy of cover of 1.75 times on the ordinary dividend, based on adjusted earnings per share. In line with our track record of returning surplus capital to shareholders, our policy remains that, where appropriate, and after investment in the business and ordinary dividends, excess cash will be returned to shareholders by means of a share buyback or a special dividend.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thanks, Mike. And, you know, in, in addition to the benefits for both sets of shareholders, which I think are, are very clear, we also strongly believe that the combination will benefit the wider stakeholders of both Redrow and Barratt. I think both businesses would say that our people, our teams are, are absolutely our greatest asset and our greatest advocates for our business. And we believe that employees will benefit within the wider group, so more development opportunities, more variety in terms of roles, as well as, being part of what is an industry-leading reward program. Suppliers are going to benefit from more visibility, more scale, and more certainty of delivery, which should give them more confidence to invest in the skilled labor and the production facilities that are clearly critical for the future of the sector.

Finally, customers and communities will benefit from accelerated delivery of much needed housing across a complementary housing range, more price points, and a broader geographic footprint. Here's our combined leadership team and board, and this is clearly a strong board and a strong management team, with the skills and experience needed to successfully deliver the integration and drive future growth for the combined group. Upon completion of the transaction, Matthew, who is currently Group Chief Executive for Redrow, will join the board and assume the role of CEO of Redrow and Group Executive Director. Nicky Dulieu and Geeta Nanda will also join the board of the combined group as non-executive directors. In addition, Barbara, currently Group Finance Director of Redrow, will join the combined group to support the integration for a period of at least 12 months from the deal completion.

On that note, I'll pass on to Barbara to outline the plan for integration.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

Thanks, David. So we've a clear plan on how we'll manage this integration, both efficiently and effectively. And both the Barratt team and the Redrow team have strong track records of successfully integrating businesses and driving synergies. We expect the integration to be substantially complete within 18 months of completion, as Mike said. Our approach will be to maintain the Redrow brand and add the Heritage Collection to the Barratt portfolio. We'll apply best-in-class philosophy to the consolidation of central and support functions. We'll review the divisional office structure and optimize geographical coverage across the group. And we'll consider a range of additional opportunities, as Mike said, for both revenue and cost synergies.

We'll do that by drawing upon the strong experience and the shared cultures of both teams, while carefully managing the delivery of those cost synergies and maintaining our focus at all times on operational excellence, build quality, and of course, customer service. Back to David.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thank you. Thanks very much, Barbara. So to give you an idea on timing of this process, we've obviously formally announced the transaction today. We'll post and publish all the required shareholder documents by mid-April 2024. We expect the shareholder votes to happen in about mid-May 2024, and we expect completion in the second half of this calendar year. The deal is conditional on CMA approval and also, as I said, the approval of both sets of shareholders. So I hope that today's presentation has given you a good sense of what Barratt Redrow is all about. But I'd just like to quickly recap on what our ambitions are and what we mean when we say we're going to be building together. So building together means a new business model for the long term.

We're going to continue to build thriving communities with exceptional build quality and customer service. We're going to deliver sustainably with a framework for future homes, great places, and better living. And we're going to deliver the homes this country needs by driving and accelerating completions. But we're going to do this with the same discipline you've seen from both businesses over the past few years, continuing to drive building efficiency and increase sustainability through use of modern methods of construction, maintaining a highly selective and a disciplined approach to land buying. And I want to leave you with our operating framework ambitions, as set out on the right-hand side of the page.

A 4.5-year land pipeline, a balance sheet in a net cash position, a dividend policy of 1.75 times cover, and an increase in our future minimum land buying hurdle rates at 24% gross margin to ensure that we capture and sustain synergies, and we will continue to target to deliver a 25% pre-tax return on capital employed for our developments. So we recognize that this is just the beginning, don't we, Matthew?

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

We do, David.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

We hope that you share our excitement that we feel about creating what is going to be a really exceptional house builder on quality, service, and sustainability. I'm now going to hand over to Mike. Mike is going to give us a quick update on our half year performance, and as I mentioned earlier, Mike will present, and then Barbara will present, and then we'll take questions on the overall package. Thank you.

Mike Scott
CFO, Barratt Redrow

Thanks, David. So, as David said, let me briefly cover our half year performance. It will be brief, I promise, and then I'll pass to Barbara, to do the same for Redrow. Our normal full results deck is up on the website, for anyone who'd like to see that. So let me start with an overview. We're on track to deliver completions in line with our previous guidance, and I'll touch on current trading in a few minutes. Our total home completions in the half were 28.5% lower, at 6,171. And that reflects the challenges that we face in a tough market throughout the half. This fed through to a reduction in adjusted operating profit to GBP 155 million.

Adjusted operating margin was 8.4%, against the backdrop of our reduced volume and the operational gearing impact of that, lower average sales prices, and the ongoing impact of build cost inflation. Our results included adjusted items relating primarily to external wall systems, which totaled GBP 61.9 million, and I'll come on and just touch on that in a bit more detail in a few minutes. With the reduction in profit before tax, adjusted EPS was 11.8 pence, and based on our dividend cover of 1.75 times, we'll pay an interim dividend of 4.4 pence. Our return on capital has reduced to 12.8%, and that's a consequence of the lower margins that I've touched on, and also a reduction in asset turn as sales performance slowed. But fundamentally, our balance sheet remains strong.

We had net cash of GBP 753 million, and that was after paying the final dividend of GBP 228 million. So turning now to sales performance, our wholly owned net private reservation rate was 0.48 in the half, and that's up 9% year-on-year, and improved sequentially as we moved through the half against the comparative period with very low sales rates in Q4 FY 2023. The reservation rate improved as mortgage rates eased lower from August, and although the autumn selling season was slightly muted, demand held up right into the Christmas break. The contribution from multi-unit deals for PRS and affordable housing contributed 0.06 to the sales rate in the half, which was around 13% of private net reservations.

That was broadly in line with the 0.05 from the prior year. Our average outlet numbers were up slightly by 2% at 367 compared to last year. Looking to the full year, we continue to expect that average sales outlet numbers will be around 6% lower than FY 2023, which reflects both lower outlet opening numbers and also the sell-through of some sites closing. In the bottom table, we've again also detailed the absolute movements in our private order book in half year 2024 and 2023, where you can see our private reservations have grown in absolute terms by just over 12%, and our private order book has now stabilized at around 3,600 homes. Now, some detail around adjusted operating margin, and this chart details the key movements bringing the half relative to half year 2023.

The most significant impact came from lower completion volumes, which was responsible for a 660 basis point reduction relative to the last half year. We continued to see build cost inflation of around 7% in the income statement in the first half, and we expect to see this reduced sharply in the second. This, in combination with the underlying softening and selling prices, reduced margin by 540 basis points. The trajectory of build cost inflation is clearly lower, and on a spot basis, we now think it's very low to slightly deflationary. We'd expect to see that feed through into the income statement in future financial years.

We saw a reversal of last year's impact from impaired developments in London by 80 basis points, and also more normalized charges for our completed developments than last year, which contributed a further 70 basis points to margin performance. Other changes in sales mix and a small impact from administrative expenses made up the final 50 basis point move on year-on-year. Now to our adjusted items in the half, and you can see here we've incurred a total charge of GBP 61.9 million. The charge represents an increase to the contingencies held within our provision and covers two elements. The first is the impact of rising costs coming through from the Building Safety Fund, over which we have little visibility and no control, and a small number of buildings for which specific additional works are being identified, contributing to additional costs.

We've also disclosed this morning a new contingent liability, which is not within the provision, for a development with three buildings. They have a unique external curtain wall system, which requires a detailed fire test to be undertaken to allow it to be assessed under PAS 9980. This work will take up to a year to undertake, and the results are clearly highly uncertain, and if necessary, we'll provide a further update on that in due course. So moving on now to our usual guidance slide. I'm just going to highlight three quick points for, for FY 2024, where our position has changed. So given current trading performance, we've narrowed our guidance range and expect to deliver between 13.5 and 14,000 total home completions for the year.

Secondly, our net interest charge is around GBP 20 million, and that's unchanged, but we expect to see the cash and non-cash components of that increase. Lastly, a small reduction to the effective tax rate from 29% to 28%. So now let me turn to an update on current trading through to the 28th of January. And as you can see, we've had a really positive start to the year, with a reservation rate of 0.6, and only a small contribution of 0.04 from multi-unit sales. Customer sentiment appears to be improving, supported by lower inflation, energy costs, and mortgage interest rates, but this reflects only a couple of weeks trading in the new year, and therefore we're cautious about how sustainable it will be.

Our sales outlets position is now reflecting the closeout of extended sites and is in line with our guidance that I mentioned a few minutes ago. And finally, we're 86% forward sold with respect to private completions for the year, and that's slightly ahead of the position at this point a year ago. And so with that, let me hand across to Barbara.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

Thanks, Mike. So I'll briefly cover the Redrow results for the first half of 2024. Unusually brief for me. Starting with the financial overview, I mean, despite numerous macroeconomic headwinds, I think we've produced a resilient set of results for the first half. Our group revenue was GBP 756 million, which resulted in a pre-tax profit of GBP 84 million in the first half, against GBP 189 million in the first half last year. Earnings per share were GBP 0.187, and in line with our dividend policy, we've declared an interim dividend of GBP 0.05 per share. We ended the first half with a net cash balance of GBP 121 million, ahead of both our guidance and the position in December 2022.

If we now move on to the income statement, as expected, homes revenue was down 24% due to lower volumes and flat overall selling prices. Other revenue returned to a more normal level of GBP 4 million from the elevated 2023 figure, which was due to a number of large land sales, and that gives total revenue of GBP 756 million, which is 27% lower than last year. Gross profit was GBP 143 million, which is a gross margin of 18.9%, compared to 24.9% in half one 2023. This was due to the combined impact of higher incentive levels, higher build cost, and the higher proportion of affordable housing. In the second half, we expect the gross margin to be a little lower for two main reasons.

Firstly, the gross margin on private homes will be slightly lower due to the impact of increased incentives. Secondly, the proportion of affordable housing will be higher, and their geographical mix weighted to regions where prices are particularly low, thus impacting the overall gross margin. As a result of these factors, we're expecting the full year gross margin to be between 17.5% and 18%. Operating expenses were GBP 1 million lower year-on-year, despite the cost of the restructuring we undertook last summer, as the benefits of that restructuring came through in the second quarter. I expect second half operating expenses to be lower than those in the first half. So we generated an operating profit of GBP 86 million, which is an operating margin of 11.4%.

With interest expense at GBP 2 million, our profit before tax was GBP 84 million, compared to GBP 198 million last year. Moving on now to the geographical analysis of revenue, you can see that the regional businesses experienced revenues between 28% and 33% lower due to market conditions. Colindale revenue was actually GBP 61 million higher due to the affordable sale to Barnet Council, along with more private legal completions. Let's look at revenue by category. Private revenue overall was down 30% due to the reduced volumes. Revenue from private apartments increased by GBP 18 million, and their average selling price by 37%, again, due to the Colindale completions I mentioned earlier.

Affordable revenue was up 21% to GBP 126 million, due to a small increase in volume, but a 19% increase in average selling price, again, due to that geographical mix effect. Affordable revenue represented 16.8% of homes revenue in the first half, a substantial increase on last year when it was only 10.5%. In the second half, we expect affordable homes to comprise 17.8% of homes revenue, making it 17.3% for the full year, and that compares with only 12.4% in 2023. Now moving on to the cash flow. EBITDA was GBP 89 million. Our net investment in land was only GBP 8 million, compared to GBP 70 million in the same period last year due to the reduced land buying.

Work in progress increased by GBP 56 million, with the usual build-up for second-half completions. However, the increase was less than the GBP 97 million in the first half of last year due to the quieter market. Spend on fire safety amounted to GBP 7 million in the period. The movement in other working capital was an absorption of GBP 38 million due to the reduced trade creditors as a consequence of the lower WIP build-up. This resulted in an operating cash outflow of GBP 20 million. The non-operating cash flow was the usual dividends and tax, and so the net movement was a reduction of GBP 114 million to GBP 121 million, which was, of course, ahead of our guidance, and we expect our cash balance at the end of the financial year to be over GBP 260 million.

Now, moving on to the guidance for the full year, and this hasn't changed from what we said in November at the time of the AGM, when we stated that while the range of outcomes for revenue and PBT are the same as September, due to the subdued autumn sales market, we expect the results to be towards the lower end of the range, so no change there. Our percentage of 2024 revenue that we've already achieved as at last weekend, if we only include exchanged plots in the order book, is 74%. But if we include reservations not yet exchanged, that figure is 88%, and the equivalent figures last year were 85% and 95%. So now let's move on to look at first half trading.

Our private sales rate per outlet per week during the first half was 0.36, a little less than the prior year, reflecting that subdued housing market I mentioned earlier. Cancellations remained elevated at 26%, albeit they were below last year's level of 28%, and that was basically due to continuing chain issues. Now looking at current trading, I'm pleased to report the new calendar year has begun with a return of strong interest from our customers. We entered the second half with an order book of GBP 800 million, GBP 500 million private, and our net reservation rate per outlet for the first five weeks was 0.52, above the 0.51 in the same period in financial year 2023.

While this is only the start of the important spring selling season, it's encouraging to see signs of a return to a more normal sales market. With that, I'll hand back to David.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thank you, Barbara. Thank you very much. I'm sure everyone would agree that from Mike and Barbara is a model as to how to present half your results. Two, two companies in 11 minutes. So, thank you, thank you very much. Now, just before we move on to questions, just I need to remind you. I have a disclaimer to remind you that we're now in a code offer period. I know you all know that. And so there's restrictions on what we can say and questions that we can answer, and those restrictions will cover both things under the code offer and any questions that we don't like the look of. Okay, so I'm gonna chair the Q&A, and we'll start.

If you could sort of identify yourself and give us your questions, and John is gonna keep our track on overall time. You have to wait for the microphone as well. That's the other rule.

Harry Goad
Equity Analyst, Berenberg

Yeah, good morning. Congratulations, and good luck. You've got Harry Goad here from Berenberg. Two, two for me, please. Well, I guess for David and the Barratt team is: Can you give us a little bit of history about how you have thought about sort of merger acquisition opportunities going back over the last couple of years? And the supplementary to that is, if conditions in the land market had been different, if there was more attractive land valuations out there, how would you be thinking about that relative to this transaction? And then secondly, with regard to the operating multiple brands on sites, could we be thinking about sort of structurally higher sales rates in the future than what either of the businesses could have done in the past? Thank you.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay, Harry. Hi, good morning. Thank you. So I think if I just deal with both of those questions. So in terms of rates of sale, we would look at it on an outlet basis rather than a site basis. And therefore, if we currently have Barratt and David Wilson on one site, we would count it as two outlets. And therefore, having more outlets and more brands on site isn't going to create a structurally higher rate of sale per outlet, but it will create a higher rate of sale in aggregate per site. So Steven touched on the example in the Northeast, where we've created a second outlet. We've pretty much doubled the rate of sale, but we would be counting it as two outlets. Nonetheless, we're delivering 100 units rather than delivering 50 units.

So clearly, in absolute terms, it's a very significant change. And, I mean, just to expand on that, slightly, you know, we touched on it in the presentation, but we see really for Redrow and Barratt and David Wilson, really three sets of opportunities. So first of all, to be able to take existing outlets and, say, bring Barratt onto a Redrow outlet or to bring Redrow onto an existing outlet within the Barratt business, most likely sitting alongside the Barratt brand to give that clear product differentiation, or in some cases, having all three brands on the same site. Secondly, we see the opportunity to expand Redrow's geography, and we see that as being a good opportunity, subject to appropriate markets and appropriate average selling prices.

And then thirdly, in terms of future land acquisition, it allows us to look at larger sites than we might normally have looked at. So I think it helps us hugely. We, we don't see it in any way as being an acquisition that we're looking at because of the situation of the current land market. I mean, we, we see that the, the combination of these two businesses is, is genuinely bringing two businesses together that are very aligned and very complementary. And, and clearly, both businesses will, in the combined group, continue to, to, to operate, within the land market. So hopefully that covers it.

Aynsley Lammin
Equity Analyst, Investec

Thanks. Aynsley Lammin from Investec. Just two for me. I guess, based a bit around the historical context, you know, no big M&A in the sector, there's always been the view that maybe the diseconomies of sales start to kind of feed in around 20,000. Just interested to hear your view of that. You, you've mentioned the acceleration of delivery. Do you see the combined group being able to deliver 25,000, 30,000 homes in a normal market, or should we think more about getting to a level and giving more capital back? And then secondly, just on the CMA, kind of interested to hear, you know, what your expectations are there. Do you expect any issues that we should be thinking about? Thanks.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

So in terms of size of business, and I'll pass over to Matthew after I've given my initial thoughts on size of business, but I don't in any way see that 22,000 homes is a cap. But equally, you know, we're not setting about just trying to chase volume. We believe that there is a genuine opportunity to bring brands to the market, bring our strong housing brands to the market in a different way that can result in incremental volume, but it's clearly going to give more choice on a site-by-site basis. And again, I'd go back to Steven's example. I mean, we could have given lots of examples of a similar branding strategy, where I think you are really enhancing the mix that's going into the marketplace.

We've said in the medium term that we should be thinking about building up to 22,000 as a guide. So I think that's the thoughts. I mean, Matthew, do you want to?

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

No, I think ultimately, if you look at it from Redrow's point of view or the group's point of view, ultimately, you know, there were more Redrow homes built. And I think it's fair to say we're probably not in certain areas. Much today was discussed, we pulled out Scotland. But ultimately, you know, there is opportunities in Scotland, but there's probably not an opportunity for us to have a full operational division there. But actually, this acquisition or this merger gives us an opportunity to work together, that the fact that, you know, you could still probably do 200 a year out of somewhere like Scotland, we're certainly not in the Northeast. So there's clearly opportunities there. And you can see, you know, the Redrow brand is really pushing in terms of downsizer market, which is a growing market.

I think we'll have opportunities to grow the business on the back of that as well. So you can see, we're not stuck at an arbitrary figure of 20,000. You know, there's certainly more growth in there.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Just the second point in terms of the CMA. So we've said this morning that the proposed combination is subject to both shareholder approval and regulatory approval. With regard to the CMA, I mean, we're very confident of the combination being approved by the CMA.

Ami Galla
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Ami Galla from Citi. My first question was on Oregon and how much does this enhanced scale can be utilized to increase your timber frame utilization, especially knowing that the Redrow product type was quite niche and specific. Is that something that you can also kind of fit into the broader standardization framework that Barratt has? And the second one was on the sort of multi-brand approach. Barratt, more recently, had gone down the route of, shared ownership, you know, having more shared ownership and, PRS, to kind of accelerate this sort of site utilization. Now, with the multi-brand approach, do you really need that, or would that still be an aspect that you would tap into, knowing that you do need more affordable channels, too?

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Certainly. Yeah, thank you. So I'll just make a comment initially about timber frame, and then I'll pass to Steven on timber frame, just to talk about our strategy in terms of timber frame. But I think in terms of what Barratt is doing, in relation to partnerships, so for example, we're acquiring sites from Homes England, in what I think would be commonly described as a partnership model, or what we're doing in terms of private rental, where we signed at the beginning of 2022, an agreement with Citra, who are part of Lloyds Banking Group, to do more private rental homes. I mean, this doesn't in any way change our ambitions in those areas.

And we see that both partnerships for us, big, big opportunity but mainly for the Barratt and the David Wilson businesses, and therefore, we will continue to pursue that. In terms of timber frame, again, our main focus would tend to be on the Barratt brand, but if I pass to Steven.

Steven Boyes
COO and Deputy CEO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah, yeah. Good, good morning. Yeah, as David says, the main priority for Oregon is to roll out the timber frame into the Barratt business. The Barratt product was specifically designed for timber frame. It's simpler, straightforward, high levels of repeatability. So when we acquired Oregon, 2019, we'd already sort of designed the Barratt product with that in mind, that it would be more timber frame going forward. You know, the David Wilson, and clearly, the Redrow product, have a lot more complications to their elevations, and the plan is to continue to roll timber frame out to Barratt, which, you know, is a substantial size of our business in terms of volumes. Okay, hope that answers that question.

Ami Galla
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Thank you.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thank you.

Glynis Johnson
Senior Equity Analyst, Jefferies

Morning. Glynis Johnson, Jefferies. Three, if I may.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

Only three?

Glynis Johnson
Senior Equity Analyst, Jefferies

Couple of parts, Barbara, couple of parts.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

Losing your touch, Glynis.

Glynis Johnson
Senior Equity Analyst, Jefferies

First one, to both parties, why now? Be lovely to hear why not, certainly, 12 months ago. You know, what is the urgency? Second of all, just in terms of the synergies, are they based on a certain level of delivery of homes? Is there a certain completions? And the third one actually is a couple of parts, Barbara. It's about the practicalities, really. How long would it actually take to put Redrow homes on the planning of a Barratt site, Barratt homes? Do they really fit on Redrow sites that have been bought for a Redrow product? And then, forgive me, I don't know really what the difference is between David Wilson and Redrow. They have a very similar selling price-

Very similar square footage. One is for downsizers, one is for up movers. Are they actually any different in terms of what you get as a customer? Is there additional sales you can make by putting the two on the site?

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay. So if I’ll start with the sort of why now, and then Mike will talk about synergies and so on. And sorry, Glynis, the third question was?

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Redrow, David Wilson.

Glynis Johnson
Senior Equity Analyst, Jefferies

What's the difference between Redrow and David Wilson?

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Oh, practice difference between, I can answer that.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah, no, that's fine.

Glynis Johnson
Senior Equity Analyst, Jefferies

Yeah.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay. So I mean, I mean, I think why now? That's true of any combination. I mean, you've got to announce at a point in time. So I think the key thing from our point of view is we see that as a medium or long-term strategic move, having the three brands under one portfolio is a really strong strategy. And, I mean, we've outlined it this morning. Part of it is synergies, which Mike will talk about in terms of cost synergies, but part of it is being able to optimize revenues and to deliver more homes, and we absolutely see that there's big opportunities in terms of being able to do that across the portfolio.

In terms of the differentiation between the brands, between David Wilson and Redrow, I think there is a very clear differentiation between the brands. I know Matthew is going to confirm that shortly, but I really do think there's a very clear differentiation. And I think brand differentiation in our portfolio of brands is fundamental, so we will be absolutely clear in terms of the delivery that we can achieve that differentiation. And I touched on it in an earlier question. I mean, price point is a very, very important part of the differentiation, and therefore, there's markets that you can see that David Wilson would find it more difficult to operate in, and there's markets that Redrow would find it more difficult to operate in.

So I think the deployment of the brands is the absolutely key part of that strategy. But, in standing in a David Wilson home or a Redrow home, I think there is a clear differentiation for the consumer. Matthew?

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Yeah, I mean, I think if you look at the product, that's the obvious thing, and the difference in style is very, very unique. In fact, so with our Heritage Collection is 1930s Arts and Crafts. So, I mean, that's, that's the first point. The one thing I would say about Redrow is the fact that, you know, I've talked a lot about the fact that the downsizer market is a growing market, and that continues to be, and it's quite interesting in Redrow, in the sense of what level we get downsizer markets, 'cause we can, you know, go to GBP 1 million and still get downsizers.

You know, in fact, the higher you go, the tendency you do get more, because I think what you tend to think of a Redrow product is certainly, you know, it's got the style of an old house and looks, but then, you know, the modern interior. But, I mean, the difference between them, but, give the one thing I would say about, well, Redrow, we've got higher ASP, as David's already pointed out. I think it's fair to say that you, you've got now probably a bit more of a mixed policies coming in across planning authorities. I think it's fair to say that they want to see a bit of a broader range, so we've probably, in some instances, had to go to put some more two beds in and three beds.

Actually, this combination between the two businesses would be, you know, probably very well joined up, that, you know, if Barratt's continued on doing what they're good in terms of the first-time buyers and the two bed, and we could concentrate more on the larger size and split the site on that basis, that would help us a lot. You know, also, you know, the fact that the three-story tends to be a bit more David Wilson on the three-story side as well. But there is a distinct difference between Redrow and David Wilson, which I think most customers would recognize in it. The fact that they're in the same areas, but, I mean, I think we've very much highlighted what the brands do and what the, you know, upward movers and the fact of the premium product.

Mike, do you want to pick up on synergies?

Mike Scott
CFO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah, if I just touch on synergies quickly. So, I mean, we've been through a really detailed exercise, as you would imagine, over the past few weeks with the Redrow team and our team to look at where the synergies can come from. And you'll know the way that accountants report on that, so we're very confident that we can deliver the GBP 90 million of synergies. It's based on the businesses as they are today. So I mean, we've looked, we talked about three distinct buckets. The first being the alignment of the procurement process and the supply chains and so on. There's a, you know, there's a good opportunity there when the businesses come together. And then, the remainder of the synergies come from the physical combination of the business.

So we've talked about optimizing the geographical coverage of the divisional offices, so there will be some that, you know, that fall out of the network as part of that. And then when we look at the head office and central functions, clearly there will be duplication of roles, you know, if you think about the PLC infrastructure and head office infrastructure. So, you know, there's a lot of work we still need to do to make that into, you know, a sort of detailed plan, but we are very confident that we can deliver the numbers. I think it's also important just to point out that, you know, we don't expect to see any reduction in site numbers, so construction and sales, you know, will be largely protected because we need to grow the business from the date of the combination.

Glynis Johnson
Senior Equity Analyst, Jefferies

Sorry, just the speed of being able to put a Redrow home into the planning on a Barratt site and vice versa.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

I think there's plenty of opportunities. I mean, if you actually look at. So I think we'd combine our land portfolios in terms of the fact, I think some would probably, if they're large enough, would have a three-brand. I think there's some way to do a two-brand. And I think also there's actually areas where probably some of our land may lend itself to Barratt's, and therefore, they put theirs on there, and some of the land that the Barratt and the Barratt Group own, that we would put ours on there. I think in terms of timing, you have to take it on board, right? I understand that.

I don't think we see it as a particular issue, certainly not on the larger sites where you're just adding another brand on, where effectively you are adding you, as we said earlier, about outlets. It'll be a new outlet. It'll be a scheme that you're taking more plots off, a piece of land. But you know, it's in terms of, you know, you're talking about six months in terms of planning. I mean, ultimately, normally, when you've got the reserved matters, the sort of the battle with the planning authorities is over at that point, and actually coming along and potentially putting something else is probably less of a position. It's more the principle in the first case.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thanks. You got the microphone?

Chris Millington
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Numis

Chris Millington from Deutsche Numis. Can I ask firstly, just about embedded landbank margins? You've both commented on them before. Do you think the landbank margin you're buying in Redrow is higher than what you can achieve in the open market? That's number one. Second one is just really about what the trigger to excess cash returns would be. You've mentioned a couple of times in the meeting this morning. The final one is just to explore current trading in early 2024. Just, I presume you've seen a sequential improvement for both companies, but also, can you just comment around incentive levels and whether or not you're changing those in light of the high sales rate?

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah, well, I think if Mike picks off, I mean, he, Mike covered current trading, so if Mike picks up in terms of excess cash and current trading. I mean, I think in terms of margin, I mean, our activity and Redrow's activity, and I think most companies' activity in the land market over the last 12, 15 months has been quite muted. We see that there is land that is coming through to the market, and it has been coming through to the market during 2023 with planning consents that is available to purchase, and levels of interest are lower. I mean, clearly, there's more volatility on cost, and there's been more volatility in terms of demand and selling prices.

So we don't see there being any great shortage of land in the market, and we see opportunities to buy land. I think it's much more about, is this the right time? And certainly, some indicators that things are more stable. And I maybe ask Steven to kind of comment on that a little bit more. In terms of the, you know, the underlying margins within the Redrow business and the implications in terms of the transaction, we're very comfortable with that. You know, we see that, as we've said, you know, we see it's earnings enhancing for both businesses in the first year. We see our ability to continue to deliver strong margins from both of the underlying landbanks is good.

Chris Millington
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Numis

Shall I just touch on land, yeah?

Mike Scott
CFO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah, in terms of land, Chris, we've got good visibility of what's in the pipeline. I think the last sort of 3-6 months, there's been a number of sites that have come out into the market that haven't sold. You know, the agents have been embarrassed in some cases, that they've only had 2 or 3 offers for those sites. So there's, you know, held back, and the planning, a lot of cases, a lot of the sites will be coming out in spring 2024. So that's what, you know, speaking to most of the agents, their plan is to try and get some land out, perhaps before there's a change of government and perhaps different levels of taxation on land. There is a lot of large sites in the system.

I think we've mentioned that in previous meetings, that, the planning system, function of NPPF, was to bring forward, bolt-on communities, you know, 150-200 unit sites, but there is now a lot of, sustainable urban extensions coming through, 500-1,000 unit sites. This, this arrangement will certainly help on those sort of sites, where you've got, you know, large sites where you can sort of split, in some cases, three ways.

Chris Millington
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Numis

And do you think it meets your hurdle rate of 24%, the acquisition?

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah, we do. When we look at the returns that are coming through in the short and medium term, we see the opportunity for very strong returns. I mean, we've Mike's obviously talked through in terms of cost synergies, and we've talked about the ability to drive more revenues, and we see that as being absolutely key.

Mike Scott
CFO, Barratt Redrow

I'll pick up on the other parts, Chris. Just on, on the margin point, I mean, clearly, that is dependent on delivery of the synergies, so that won't all be delivered on day one. That will take, you know, it'll flow through as the synergies are delivered over the first couple of years. On excess cash, I mean, I think that the philosophy is very similar. Both companies, you know, have run conservative balance. We both have a very sort of similar outlook on, you know, the levels of conservatism that we apply. And I, I think that will carry through into the combined group. And in terms of the thought process, we'll go through, clearly, there's a, there's a growth agenda, so we want to invest in part of the combined group, so there will be a call on cash, for that.

Both businesses have building safety provisions, so, you know, we know that, that there will be some outflows on that over the next three or four years, so we, we need to take that into account. And then, you know, beyond that, we would, we would clearly look to return excess capital in the way that we've sort of looked at it in, in the last few years. So I think the philosophy will be very consistent. And then coming on to, to first-half trading, so you're right, I think quarter-on-quarter, we've, we saw improvement, and, since Christmas, as I said, the rate at 0.6 is strong, and I think it's a good indicator coming into the spring selling season, that, you know, the customer is, is feeling in a better place.

For Barratt, the incentive levels we're offering are still pretty similar to where they were before Christmas. The increased demand hasn't sort of flowed through into affirming a pricing at this point. If you look, we do the sort of like-for-like plots year on year. In the first half, we've just seen price deflation of about 6%, which really is reflecting the, you know, the incentives and so on that we talked about as we went through last year. So we're still seeing the incentives at the 6%-7% level, but, you know, clearly, we'll keep that under review as we come into the spring selling season.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Yeah, I think pleased with how the market's picked up, driven mainly by mortgage rates and the change in the mortgage rates, but you know, it's the same principle. At the moment, incentive rates remain the same. I think it's fair to say we're not looking to adjust them yet. We want to see this rate continue, and then but ultimately, if the rate continues, that incentive rate will come down. It's economics, really. Let you do that.

Chris Millington
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Numis

It's not rocket science.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

No.

Gregor Kuglitsch
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, UBS

Thank you. Gregor Kuglitsch from UBS. Maybe just sort of a broad point on the sort of level of due diligence that's been going on in sort of both directions, I guess, and I think you sort of talked about best practice sharing and, I guess, sort of operational improvements. I guess I want to understand, what have you learned, if anything, from each other in this process to sort of lead you to believe that ultimately there's some sort of benefit to be had from, you know, sharing best practice and so on? And maybe coming back to the excess capital definition, I mean, I think there's a slide suggesting that you sort of want to be net line credit to neutral, right? Or positive, right, so cash minus.

And then, I guess there's another, I think, roughly GBP 1 billion of provisions, if you add the two up, give or take. So should we really be thinking about the sum of the three before you start thinking about capital returns over and above a dividend? And then, maybe a final point on the margin. I mean, with, if you're kind of gunning for the gross, as you are with the new overhead structure, are you suggesting the business should be making a 20% operating margin? Is that roughly what you're steering us towards? Thank you.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay. Well if I pick up maybe in terms of the level of due diligence, and I'm sure Matthew would like to talk about that as well, and then if we let Mike pick up in terms of excess capital and provisions and also in terms of the operating margin percentages. I mean, I think in terms of the due diligence, I mean, the actual due diligence that we've done is just appropriate for a transaction. You know, we're buying a listed company. And because it's an all share combination, then the reality is that Redrow have undertaken due diligence in relation to to Barratt as well. I mean, from our point of view, I would say that everything we did on due diligence was just confirmatory in terms of what we expected.

You know, very well-run business, very conservative balance sheet. I think we've been just very impressed and found it quite compelling as to how similar the businesses are, and there's nothing in terms of our interaction with the team interaction with Matthew and Barbara, and some of their team, that tells us anything other than that. So it's been really, you know, excellent from that point of view. Matthew's loved it as well.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Oh, absolutely loved it. Yeah, yeah. I think the reality is we didn't need the due diligence to tell us that we're culturally aligned. We always knew we were culturally aligned in terms of business. You can see that from the outside, you know. And so ultimately, when you see this is a long-term tie-up, it'll benefit both businesses, and you can see it from a mile away, you know. In many ways, we're already leading the industry, you know, between the two of us, sustainability, what we do with our employees, our trainees, how we treat our customers in terms of quality, in terms of the customer service they give. And ultimately, you will always know that when two businesses come together, one will do it a little bit better than the other, one will do it differently than the other.

And we'll work through that and basically pick off the best of it each. You know, we're looking forward to learning from these guys in certain areas, and I'm sure they're interested in learning what how we do it. And, you know, we'll come up with the best thing, but ultimately, we'll continue as two businesses, as one business, leading the industry in everything that we do.

Gregor Kuglitsch
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, UBS

All right.

Mike Scott
CFO, Barratt Redrow

So if I pick up the other two bits. So, I mean, on excess cash, I think, you know, you're right in what you're saying. It's, you know, what I was saying to Chris a few minutes ago, is that we'll look at it in terms of land provisions and, you know, then other uses for the cash. So that's a reasonable framework to use. And as I said, I don't think there will be any significant change in the way that we look at when, you know, when we'd make excess distributions. On operating margins, we were not guiding to a combined operating margin. I think we've obviously said 24% growth, and you'd expect between 4% and 5% of SG&A costs, but down to operating.

So, you know, you're gonna be in that 19-20 range. You know, so I think we'll come back, and we're getting well ahead of ourselves at this stage, so we'll come back with guidance for the combined group, you know, when the time is right.

Gregor Kuglitsch
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, UBS

Thank you.

Will Jones
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Redburn Atlantic

Thank you. Will Jones from Redburn Atlantic. Three, if I can, please. First, sorry to come back to landbank gross margins, but I think the Barratt release has a disclosed 18.5% for the landbank at December, down from just under 20 at June. Could you just run us through the assumptions on that, please, regarding any future cost movements and the level of volume against that? And just to be completely clear, there is no equivalent for the Redrow landbank at December, is that right? You haven't done that historically, so I assume that's.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

No, we've not. No.

Will Jones
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Redburn Atlantic

Yeah. Okay.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

Just no. That will do.

Will Jones
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Redburn Atlantic

That will. No, great.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

And off.

Will Jones
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Redburn Atlantic

Second one was just around outlets. I think in the most recent period in the release for Barratt, it's 330 down from 370 odd, which is more than a 10% fall. How do we see that against the 6% guidance for the year to June? And I know it moved around quite a bit last year, so perhaps it's just the comparative, and presumably no, but would you give us any steer on what the combined group outlet position may be, approximately year to June 2025? And then the last one was just around divisions. I know the whole industry has been reviewing its divisional structure anyway, in light of the downturn. Do you think either business would have been closing offices irrespective of the transaction, just given the volume environment? Thanks.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay. I think if Mike picks up in terms of landbank and the margin in the landbank, Steven can just talk about outlets, which clearly is gonna be a by-product of what we've been doing as Barratt in terms of land acquisition. But the one thing I would say on outlets is we have held outlets relatively high, and hence, we've held output relatively high. And one of the ways that we've been able to do that has been doing more dual branding, bringing more Barratt onto David Wilson, as Steven outlined this morning, and also bringing more David Wilson onto Barratt. So really, more dual branding has been a key part of that. In terms of divisions, I'll let Matthew obviously answer in terms of the Redrow position.

But our position has been very clear. You know, we've said publicly that we want to maintain capacity. And the way we've addressed that. And I understand that different companies take different routes, but we said in October 2022 that we were going to apply a recruitment freeze, and we've applied that. You know, it's not been a hard freeze in that if somebody's left, we haven't always said we won't replace them, because sometimes we do need to replace them. But our headcount is down around about 10% by applying a recruitment freeze. But we've wanted to maintain the divisional network, because we all know that the market will improve at some point, and therefore, having that capacity is key. So, but that, that's, you know, been our consistent position on it.

I mean, Matthew, do you want to just pick up [crosstalk] Yeah, no, I mean, we- standalone thoughts?

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Yeah. I mean, it's, it's fairly relevant go looking backwards, isn't it? This is about, this is about business going forward and the future it can hold. But, you know, we, we had no plans to close any more divisions either, you know? But it- but, I mean, we're talking about the future more than, you know, the, the past of what's happened, and, you know, we're excited about the prospects of what this, this, this deal will bring us. Mike, do you want to pick up on land bank?

Mike Scott
CFO, Barratt Redrow

On the land bank, yeah, I mean, so we obviously reflect current trading conditions in the margin that we see in the land bank, so that's factoring in our view of current selling prices and current build costs. And as we've said, clearly, they've both been under pressure, you know, over the past few months, so that's just really reflecting the current position in that. And in terms of volumes, clearly it's based on the volume guidance that we've given, and the way it flows through, so it's really based on our view of the business as we're running it today. And as you say, there's been a reduction in the first half, but really, that's just reflecting the cost and sales price pressures that we've previously talked about.

Steven Boyes
COO and Deputy CEO, Barratt Redrow

In terms of outlet, we'll in the first half, we averaged 367. We only opened 15, which is a function of the land buying and the planning process. I think at the end of December, we ended up about 342, and regarding to the fact that the average outlets in the year will be 6% down from the starting position of 367. But you know, throughout that period, we have been continuing to dual brand our sites, and we've got further sites in the pipeline to and outlets to open from our existing portfolio. But as I say, it's a function of the land and planning system and the market we've had. Some of the sites have been extended in life because of the slower sales rate, but the recent sales level activity pickup will also impact the outlet numbers.

Will Jones
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Redburn Atlantic

And the combined group, too early, I imagine?

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Yes, asked and answered.

Clyde Lewis
Senior Research Analyst, Peel Hunt

Thank you. Clyde Lewis at Peel Hunt. Three, if I may, as well. Firstly, around the synergies, and I suppose the sort of changes you're going to start making to the business. Are you gonna do anything until the deal is actually completed, or will you actually start to have conversations with the suppliers? 'Cause obviously, they can see the deal, the likelihood it's gonna get done. Will you begin that process ahead of sort of formal completion? And I suppose also thinking about land deals that might come up again, the bigger sites that will obviously sort of tick the box in a bigger way. Will you actually sort of start that process a little bit ahead of time? That was the first question. Second one, question was really around Gladman.

Does that now become, you know, I suppose, a bigger plus in terms of what they've got in their portfolio, given the bigger group in terms of the size? Are you gonna be able to utilize their skill set and their land bank more than you were currently planning to do? And the third one was on the state of the market and how it would change, I suppose, you know, how easy the deal is to integrate. Is a stronger market easier for you to integrate and get going in terms of the synergies, or is it actually does it make it tougher for you in terms of sort of how that process of getting to the GBP 90 million comes through?

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay. I think I'm just gonna have a try at those myself, Clyde, okay? So slightly rashly. You know, in terms of the question about synergies and what we're going to do, et cetera, I mean, the answer is, we're not going to do anything until we get shareholder approval and until we get regulatory approval. I mean, on the Barratt side, and I'm sure on the Redrow side, independently, we'll be doing a lot of thinking about it, and we've been doing a lot of thinking about it already. But actual things happening, no. The one point I would just pick up in terms of land, I mean, we've got a couple of sites that we're looking at that we're just sort of thinking, actually, they would be ideal for a three-brand brand strategy.

But if we need to make those decisions pre completion of the combination, we'll decide whether we go ahead anyway or we don't go ahead, and we'll almost certainly just go ahead anyway. So we're not gonna wait and see. I mean, Gladman, you know, we said at the time, and that's the thing about a public company, it all gets written down. And, you know, we did say, and what I really liked about Gladman and what I really like about this, and what I really liked about Oregon, is that they were really long-term strategic moves. I mean, Oregon, clearly, we are moving our production to timber frame. Gladman was about being more invested in that type of business.

Gladman being primarily a promotional business, but with a lot of land skills, and we feel that we've benefited hugely within the wider group in terms of the Gladman skills. So potentially, we know that Redrow have a lot of land skills. So I think that will all work well, but we still see Gladman as being a real pro plus for the group, you know, standalone of the combination. In terms of the market, I mean, I think that's the classic thing of, you know, what do you wish for? Well, obviously, we wish for a strong market, and if the outcome is that the market's strong, and it's more difficult to do the integration, well, that will be a good thing.

But I think, we certainly feel that in current trading, we're seeing something that's a little bit more positive than we saw back in October. I don't think either business is getting carried away, but bottom line, we'd much rather have a really strong market and a delayed integration. But we demonstrated, previously, and Redrow themselves have demonstrated previously in terms of integrating a business, that, you know, we know what to do. So I think we can put the processes in place. We'll have a strong team to deal with it, and it's in everyone's interest to get the integration to be as fast as possible.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Can I just add a couple of things now? I think, I think in terms of timing, when you said talk about doing it at the top of the market or doing it probably, certainly not the top of the market now, I think, I think it probably is the right time. We don't want to be doing it at the top of the market. It's hard to do this sort of stuff at the top of the market while you're trying to buy land and do everything with it. At this point, we can integrate a business. Be nice to see that the market's coming.

We're really pleased with good trading, but actually gets us in a great position, and then we'll have the cash ready for when we need to, you know, get out there and start buying sites and moving forward. So, but as I always said, this is a really long-term tie-up. This is, this is about businesses coming together for a long time, and that's what we're excited about in terms of a business tie-up. But, yeah, it's, it's easier at this time of doing it than it is at the top end of the market, although we would like that to come very soon.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay, I'm not sure how we're doing time-wise, but, I can't see John. Oh, okay.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

He's pointing.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

John looks quite relaxed. He's fine.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Yeah.

Cedar Ekblom
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Morning, it's just one question.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah, yeah.

Cedar Ekblom
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Sorry. Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley. I just wanted to ask on the CMA side of things. You expressed quite a high level of confidence that you think this will be approved. I wonder if we need to think about the ongoing housing market study. I don't know if you've sounded anyone out at the CMA. Just talk a little bit about why you have such high confidence that this is likely to sail through.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Yeah. I think that, you know, we, we understand what's required in terms of looking at the market and looking at the positioning of this combination. And obviously, that, that's a consideration for both boards. It's not, it's not just a consideration for the Barratt board. So I think it demonstrates the fact that we're here this morning, that we're very confident the transaction will get cleared. I mean, really beyond that, it's a CMA process, and clearly, as you would expect, we will cooperate fully with the CMA, and we'll seek to get the process completed as quickly as we can, but we've a very high level of confidence.

John Messenger
Investor Relations Director, Barratt Redrow

Okay, and David, just on from the web, we just have one question. So if I could just ask that one, and then we can go for any final questions on the floor. And it was.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Is this a real question, John?

John Messenger
Investor Relations Director, Barratt Redrow

It is. It wasn't designed to give you a breather. No, it's actually, the others have been answered in the room. It was just when you consider the combination looking ahead, will there be any change in the affordable content that you think the combined group would need to deliver, or would that be a simple aggregation of what is done by Redrow and Barratt separately today?

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

I mean, so the principle of it, there would be no change. There's no reason for there to be a change in terms of affordable under a Section 106. But I think the way the affordable is delivered may alter, and Matthew touched on it in terms of if, for example, Barratt and Redrow were sharing a site, then the way we deliver the affordable may be different to the way that Redrow currently deliver the affordable. But that's something that we need to look at in time, and it will depend, it will depend on a site-by-site basis.

John Messenger
Investor Relations Director, Barratt Redrow

Thank you. That's-

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Thank you, John.

John Messenger
Investor Relations Director, Barratt Redrow

Concludes the web questions that haven't been answered.

David Thomas
CEO, Barratt Redrow

Okay. It looks like we've concluded the questions in the room. I think I'm just looking around. So I thank you very much. I mean, I know for some of you, it was a completely unscheduled announcement, and for some of you, it was a slightly different announcement. But I do really appreciate your time, so thank you very much, everyone.

Barbara Richmond
Group Finance Director, Redrow

Thank you.

Matthew Pratt
CEO, Redrow

Thank you.

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