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Earnings Call: H2 2021

Aug 26, 2021

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the FY21 full-year results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star and one on your telephone keypad. You can also submit your questions on the web. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today on Thursday, the 26th of August 2021. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Alistair Cox. Please go ahead.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Thank you. Morning, everybody. Welcome to our FY21 results. We've all obviously lived through a year like no other, and I really hope this is the last time that we have to present our results virtually. I do think we've got a strong story to tell today, one that involves structural growth opportunities, cyclical recovery, and self-improvement. As usual, I'll take you through the operating review. Paul will then address the detailed financials and our current trading, and then I'll finish off with an update on our strategy. Of course, the year was dominated by the pandemic and what we were doing about it, but it was also a year of two distinct halves, during which I think we've made more changes to the business in 12 months than I think we've ever done before. We've learned some incredibly valuable lessons.

I think those will stand us in good stead for many years to come as we set out to continually improve our business and to take it beyond our previous peak profits. Looking back one year ago, the year started with the toughest macroeconomic backdrop that we've ever faced, and literally millions of people and organizations struggling just to get through the pandemic. Just 12 months on, we're now in a world where businesses are increasingly confident. They're aggressively hiring. Candidate confidence is strong. Skill shortages are evident virtually everywhere, and we're seeing real wage inflation starting to emerge in a way that we haven't seen for many years. Here in Hays, we've never experienced such a sharp downturn and then an equally sharp recovery in any of our 53 years in business.

Obviously, given such massive change, I think our purpose as a business, that is to help organizations to thrive and for people to advance their careers, that's never been more relevant, and it's been an incredibly busy period, and there's a lot to talk about. Let me pull out just three key points from this slide. Firstly, a time of such great anxiety with so many people under immense personal stress. I think it's incredibly rewarding that we placed over 280,000 people into a new job last year. At the start of the pandemic, the idea that people would go through an entire recruitment process virtually was completely unproven, and I could not have predicted that. However, this is now standard practice, and it opens up a whole host of new ways that we can deliver our services going forward.

We've also helped millions of other people with career advice, guidance, and training so that they can get on with their careers. For example, we had over 850,000 unique training courses were completed across all of our online portals in the last 12 months. That's over 26 million minutes of online learning, and it shows our contribution to helping people fulfill their potential. Secondly, we very deliberately protected the infrastructure and the capability of our business because we knew that we would need it in time, and we wanted to be on the front foot when that time came. I could not have predicted the speed with which we would return to growth, and our investment in our people is obviously now paying off.

For example, consultant productivity hit record highs in our fourth quarter, and activity was strong enough for us to warrant adding another 10% to our head count in H2. That will drive further fee growth both this year and beyond. We also think that COVID will change aspects of the world of work permanently. Our Strategic Growth Initiatives are designed to capitalize on the longer-term structural growth opportunities in the most likely future in-demand recruitment sectors. We added around 250 consultants into the SGI program last year. The program is going very well. I'll come back to that in a few minutes in the strategy section. Thirdly, we're seeing other major changes in the world of work. Remote working is opening employers' eyes on where they can look for future workers. Organizations are intent on improving their workforce diversity and promoting social mobility.

Governments and businesses are joining up to tackle the huge issues of climate change and sustainability. Yet skill shortages are becoming ever more acute everywhere. As businesses struggle to find talent, they're turning to experts such as ourselves to solve that problem. All of these shifts are opportunities for us. Again, I'll come back to them shortly. Trading obviously improved through the year, which I'll cover in the next slide. Cash collection has been excellent. I want to give a special mention to our credit control teams because they delivered record low debtor days. It's clear to me that the strong support that our shareholders gave us over one year ago enabled us to invest when our markets were at their lows. That gave us a head start as we position Hays to be stronger than ever in the future.

Those investments are now starting to pay off, and consequently, we've raised our ambitions and our expectations accordingly. However, the financial position that we're now in means it's appropriate to restart cash returns to shareholders via core and special dividends, starting with GBP 150 million special this November. Finally, all of this only happens because of the hard work of all of our people. Their commitment, resolve, and their mutual support has been the one thing I'm most proud of, and I'd like to thank them publicly for all that they've done because they've been exceptional. We've learned together how a more flexible working style combining the best of the office environment, as well as remote working, can both increase productivity as well as the employee experience. That's an incredibly powerful lesson. I'm sure it will make for a better business for all stakeholders in the future.

Let me turn now to our financial results. Group fees decreased by 8% to GBP 918.1 million. Trading began to stabilize last summer, and we saw good sequential improvement from September 2020 onwards. I think our quarterly fee sequence says it all. First quarter down 29%, second quarter down 19%, third quarter down 10%, and the fourth quarter up 39%. Our temp business is 61% of the group net fees, and that fell by 6%. Perm fell a little steeper, down 10%. However, both perm and temp rebounded in the second half, with temp fees up 9% and perm up 18%. At the global sector level, life sciences grew a strong 12%, and we saw resilience in technology, which is only down 5%, but that includes the second half up 7%. HTS continued to take market share and outperformed our group average with flat fees.

With such dramatic changes in the market, we're obviously very active on managing costs and headcount. With first half fees down 24%, cost control was vital then. Consultant headcount was down 350 right at the start of the first half. However, as markets recovered, we also reacted quickly to the strong cyclical recovery. We added 650 consultants in the second half, net ending up 300 over the year. With such an improvement in fee momentum, our operating profit performance also increased significantly in the second half. It exceeded our earlier expectations. Overall, we made GBP 95.1 million last year. GBP 70 million of that came in the second half, despite GBP 11 million of second half investment into our SGI program. In summary, as a CEO, it's hard to be pleased when your operating profits fall 31%.

However, our performance was well above where I would have thought possible at the start of the year, and I think the business has delivered on many fronts. Let me give you additional color on each division, and as usual, we'll start in Australia and New Zealand. ANZ delivered one of our most resilient performances. Fees fell by 10%, but strong cost control limited the operating profit decline to 21%. Temp fees were down 11%, but perm was more volatile, and while it was down only 6% over the full year, this includes a strong rebound in the second half when it grew by a third as business confidence improved and skill shortages intensified.

The initial phase of the pandemic was less severe in ANZ than the rest of the world, hence fees did not fall as far as in some other areas in Q4 financial year 2020 and in our first half. Once the long-term lockdowns in Victoria ended around November, we quickly saw positive momentum return both in temp and perm, particularly in our fourth quarter. Today, Australia is still in a continuing cycle of lockdowns. I think it's too early to say what impact that may have on sentiment. However, as with our experiences in Europe, Australian markets appear to have found a way to cope with remote working. Significant skill shortages are magnified by the borders remaining closed, meaning that migration is nonexistent today. I also want to give a special shout-out to New Zealand.

The team there produced what I think is a remarkable performance, and fees grew by 14%. New Zealand's been a major success story since we put new leadership in there just over three years ago, and I'm very optimistic that there's a lot more that we can do there. Finally, as demand, activity, and momentum all accelerated sharply in the second half, we invested in the business, and we grew consultant headcount by 17% year-on-year. Turning now to our largest country, Germany, net fees fell by 7% and profit was down 42% as we largely maintained our productive capacity. The first half fees were down 26%, although there were clear signs of improving business confidence, generally from the second quarter onwards. Performance improved sharply in our second half with fees up 18%, including good monthly sequential fee growth through the fourth quarter.

Contracting, which is where we operate a freelance model primarily in the technology sector, is our largest business, and that was relatively resilient, down only 5% in the year. Momentum again improved throughout the year, and most encouragingly, we had a record year-end number of contractors working. Our temp business was down 3%, but that masks a 45% decline in the first half. A large proportion of that was due to underutilization of temp workers. Again, trends have improved significantly and temp utilization is currently at historic high levels, which Paul will cover later. The bottom line is Germany needs more highly skilled temp talent, and as the leader in this space, of course, we'll continue to open up that market. Finally, perm is our smallest part of the business. That declined by 18%, but the sector is now enjoying improved momentum.

If you remember, just before the pandemic, we restructured the German business to improve our client focus in both the larger strategic accounts as well as with more local clients. That refocus is paying off because we gained share in both areas. I personally believe that Germany is our largest profit growth opportunity over the next two years. It also remains the most exciting long-term recruitment opportunity in the world today. We intend to continue to reinforce our leadership position there. Moving now to the U.K. and Ireland. We saw good sequential fee improvement through the year and a sharp positive turnaround in profitability in the second half. Overall, fees fell by 11%. We made an operating profit of GBP 11.5 million, with all of that coming in H2.

Our largest business of temp fell by 9%, and it was more resilient than perm, which was obviously more volatile and was down 14%. Both temp and perm fees grew sequentially in each quarter of the year, delivering growth of 5% and 19% respectively in the second half. The public sector fell by 3%. That outperformed the private sector, which was down 14%. The private sector rebounded significantly faster in the second half as business confidence surged. As we exited the year, trends were positive across all parts of the U.K. business. Consultant headcount declined 4% year on year, but it increased 11% in our second half as we invested into the recovery. On to the rest of our world. Our rest of world division comprises of 28 countries.

While net fees declined by 6%, we delivered GBP 12.5 million of operating profit, again, all made in the second half. Despite the divisional fee decline, six countries still delivered all-time annual fee records, including the U.S., Switzerland, and Russia. 11 countries produced record half-year performances, and I think that demonstrates how varied our world has been, as well as the benefits of our diversification. In Europe outside Germany, net fees declined by 5%, with operating profit down 23%. Fees increased by 12% in the second half, with good improvements in all our major markets. France, which is our largest rest of the world country, decreased by 11%. Belgium and the Netherlands were down 17% and 15% respectively. On the other hand, fees in Russia, Italy, and Spain were much stronger, increasing by 6%, 5%, and 2%, respectively.

Across the world in Asia, net fees declined by 11%, with operating profit down 29%. Fees in the first half fell by 28%. They then increased by 12% in H2. Mainland China was particularly strong, grew 17%, and Malaysia delivered a record. It was up 11%. On the other hand, Hong Kong and Japan were much tougher, down 32% and 28% respectively, and we've made management changes in both those businesses. Across in the Americas, fees decreased by 2%, with the first half down 20% and the second half up 19%. The States, which is our second largest rest of the world country and one of our strongest growth prospects, grew by 4%, including a stunning final quarter performance up 55%, helped by a high exposure to a red-hot technology market. Fees in Canada were down 15% but improved through the second half.

Brazil was a standout performer, up 9% and doing increasingly well. Overall in the Americas, as underlying profitability rebounded, we reinvested all of our gains to build our U.S. business even faster. With such a broad portfolio, we're certainly not short of structural growth opportunities across the rest of the world, and we increased headcount by 7% as activity grew, and we see several countries in the rest of the world that offer massive potential for many years to come. In summary, it's hugely encouraging to see how quickly the world has adapted and how we're now seeing strong trading conditions in all of our key markets. Again, I'd like to thank all of our people across the world for their resilience and enterprise and for taking tough decisions every day.

Our financial strength enabled us to get onto the front foot early on, setting out an aggressive growth plan while the world was still in turmoil. I personally feel more ambitious for what we can achieve than ever before. There's a very palpable sense of engagement and optimism around the business. While we've achieved a lot in the last year, we all think that there's a lot more to come. The combination of strong business confidence, a war for talent in a skill-short market, a willingness to look further afield for future employees, and underlying wage growth all bode well for us. Let me now hand over to Paul for a deeper look at our financial performance and an overview on current trading. Paul?

Paul Venables
CFO, Hays

Thank you, Alistair, and good morning, everyone. Firstly, this slide is a reminder of the context to trading in FY 2021. When the pandemic hit in March 2020, our fee decline was comparable in scale to the 2008 global financial crisis that occurred in only six weeks rather than eight months, and of course, impacted every country simultaneously. The first half of FY 2021 continued to be significantly impacted by the pandemic. However, trading stabilized through the summer, and we then saw strong sequential improvement starting in Q2 and accelerating in the second half. Encouragingly, our inflection back to growth occurred far faster and on a much greater scale than our recovery following the GFC.

On this slide, we've showed the quarterly fee trends overall and by region since Q1 FY 2019. Global economic conditions have been slowing well before the pandemic, with business confidence falling and clients becoming increasingly cautious on hiring.

As the pandemic unfolded in Q3 and Q4 FY20, severe restrictions and lockdowns caused the fastest fee decline in our 53-year history. The relative level of fee decline per region in Q4 FY20 was very much linked to the severity and length of each country's lockdown. We entered FY21 with fees sequentially stable, and as lockdown restrictions eased in our main markets, client activity and fees began to show signs of modest sequential improvement in Q1. With client and candidate activity increasing, we saw strong sequential increase in fees from October 2020 to March 2021, and good sequential fee growth through to June. As one might expect, the initial recovery in Q2 was driven by temp. However, the second half recovery has increasingly been led by perm, and both clients and candidate confidence improved.

Encouragingly, we've seen a uniformity of recovery across all major markets, importantly to date, second and third-wave lockdowns have tended to delay rather than derail the recovery. As the top right of the slide shows, Germany had the greatest H1, H2 rebound in fees, with a positive swing of 44%, considering the longer length of contracted and temp assignments, offers the greatest opportunity for profit growth for the group over the next two to three years. Overall, I'm pleased to say we began FY22 with good sequential momentum in most markets. Summarizing a year characterized by accelerating recovery from the pandemic, net fees decreased by 8% on a like-for-like basis. Operating profit declined by 31% to GBP 95.1 million, of which GBP 20 million, sorry, GBP 70 million was made in the second half.

This is well ahead of our prior expectations, which were upgraded at both the Q3 and Q4 trading updates. We delivered another strong cash performance driven by excellent credit control, and as a result, we finished the year with net cash of GBP 411 million. The strong recovery in group profitability in the second half, our balance sheet strength, and our confidence in our future prospects have enabled us to restart dividend payments with a core of GBP 0.0122 and special of GBP 0.0893. Moving on to the income statement, turnover decreased by 6%, with the decrease between turnover and fees primarily due to the greater resilience of temp, especially our large corporate accounts business. The difference between headline and like-for-like fee growth rates is primarily the result of the depreciation and the average rate of exchange between sterling and the Australian dollar.

Overall, FX movements increased net fees and operating profit by GBP 1.1 million and GBP 2.6 million respectively. Basic earnings per share was GBP 0.0367, a 30% decline versus prior year, reflecting the group's lower profit, the increase in average number of shares followed our equity raise in 2020, and this was partially offset by lower effective tax rate and net finance charge. Alistair covered regional trading earlier, but I'll cover two technical issues. Firstly, an update on our German temp business, where as required under German law, we employ temp workers. Temp fees declined by 3% in FY21. However, this masked a significant difference in performance between each half. In the first half, fees fell by 45%, highly impacted by the underutilization of employed temps and temp severance costs, which reduced fees by a combined circa GBP 6 million.

Encouragingly, there were no further severance or underutilization costs in the second half. German temp fees improved substantially, up 79% year-on-year, and by an underlying 16% excluding similar one-off costs in the second half FY 2020. Average temp volumes improved through the second half. We saw very high levels of temp utilization helped by lower than normal levels of vacation taken, some of which will reverse in the coming months, and lower levels of sickness leave. Secondly, group profits were helped by GBP 3.9 million of government assistance around the world. As you know, we exited all major government support schemes in Q1. There was no benefit from U.K. furlough schemes in FY 2021 operating profit. Moving on to look at the performances of our perm and temp businesses.

Our perm business, 39% of net fees declined by 10%, with an 11% decrease in volume and 1% increase in average perm fee. Our temp business, 61% of group net fees decreased by 6%. This comprised a volume decline of 8%, a 20 basis point decrease in underlying temp margins due to the greater resilience in our larger corporate accounts business, partially offset by a 3% positive effect of mix, which is driven by higher-paid specialisms, especially technology and higher hours worked. On this slide, we've set out an operating profit bridge between FY 2020 and FY 2021. Starting with the FY 2020 pre-exceptional profit of GBP 135 million, we add the positive impact of exchange on profit of GBP 2.6 million and subtract the 8% decline in like-for-like fees of GBP 79.2 million explained by Alistair earlier.

Through our actions, we reduced total cost by a net GBP 36.7 million, comprising firstly, payroll cost savings of GBP 41.5 million, with the reduction of GBP 41 million in base pay, five and a half million of other payroll, partially offset by GBP 5 million higher commission and bonus payments. Secondly, overhead savings of GBP 14 million, comprising GBP 13 million lower travel and entertaining costs, almost GBP 9 million of lower bad debt charges, partially offset by higher depreciation of GBP 5 million and other costs, mainly IT, of GBP 2.6 million. Thirdly, global government support decreased by GBP 3.8 million versus FY 2020. Finally, as Alistair will cover later, we've invested circa GBP 15 million via our strategic growth initiatives. Overall, we delivered significant cost savings in FY 2021, and at the same time invested in our SGI program. Moving on to exchange.

As a reminder, our P&L is sensitive to changes in key exchange rates, namely the Australian dollar and especially the euro. Exchange movements over the last few months, especially in the Australian dollar, are likely to have a significant negative impact on FY22 profitability. Moving on to our conversion rate. Group conversion rate decreased by 320 basis points to 10.4%. This comprised a conversion rate of 5.9% in half one, improving significantly to 14.1% in half two, despite investments in SGI and consultant headcount. This recovery was more dramatic in those regions more impacted by the pandemic lockdowns, especially the U.K. and Germany. We expect to see a material improvement in conversion rates over the next few years, with an expected drop-through of incremental fees to profits of circa 40%-50% in FY22, and above 50% in FY23.

We're confident we'll drive our conversion rate back to and beyond the pre-pandemic conversion rate over the medium term. Moving on to interest and tax. The net finance charge for the year decreased to GBP 7 million. The largest component is a non-cash IFRS 16 interest on lease liabilities. Looking forward, we expect the net finance charge for FY22 to be circa GBP 8 million, with the increase driven by non-cash pension charge. Turning to tax, our effective tax rate decreased to 30.2%, driven by the geographic mix of profits, the impact of reduced trading losses in certain countries, and the partial recognition of U.K. deferred tax assets. Importantly, we expect the ETR in FY22 to be circa 30%. On this slide, we've summarized the key components of our cash flow. The chart on the left details our sources of cash flow, starting with profit of GBP 95.1 million.

We add back non-cash items of GBP 78.3 million, predominantly IFRS 16 property depreciation, other fixed asset depreciation and amortization, and share-based payments. We then add working capital inflow of GBP 7.4 million, which reflects strong cash collection with debtor days reducing to a record low of 33, which fully funded the significant rebound in the temp book during the year. Then we deduct lease payments of GBP 50 million. This leaves an operating cash flow of GBP 130.8 million, representing a strong underlying conversion of profit into cash of 138%. From this, we paid tax of GBP 31.8 million and net interest of GBP 0.9 million, leading to free cash flow of GBP 98.1 million. On the right-hand side, we detail how we've used the cash generated.

The main items are CapEx of GBP 18.8 million, pension deficit payments of GBP 16.7 million, and the purchase of our own shares of GBP 6.4 million at an average price of GBP 1.099 to satisfy employee share-based award obligations over the next two years. In FY 2022, we expect CapEx to be circa GBP 25 million. On DSO, our hard work on credit control has delivered a six-day reduction in debtor days from 39 days in FY 2019 to a record low of 33 days in FY 2021. The strong cash performance, combined with the proceeds of our April 2020 equity raise, mean we ended the year with net cash of GBP 411 million. The group has in place a GBP 210 million revolving credit facility that reduces in November 2024 to GBP 170 million and expires in 2025.

On this slide, we compare the balance sheet as of June 2021 and 2020. The four main movements are the decrease in IAS 19 pension accounting surplus to GBP 47 million, with a reduction in scheme asset values partially offset by increase in discount rate and by company contributions. The decrease in working capital, as explained earlier. The payment of GBP 118.3 million of all the FY20 deferred payroll taxes and VAT. Finally, a decrease in provisions due to use of restructuring provisions set up in FY20. Moving on to dividends. Our highly cash generative business model has been the foundation of our strong track record of returning capital to shareholders over the last 20 years, including the payment of GBP 374 million in dividends during the financial years 2017 to 2019.

Our priorities for free cash flow remain unchanged, namely to fund the group's investment and development, maintain a strong balance sheet, deliver a core dividend at a level which is sustainable, progressive, and appropriate, and pay surplus cash to shareholders via special dividends. Now, we reiterated our policy on core and special dividends at the interims. Given the strong recovery in group profitability in the second half of the year, our strong balance sheet, and our confidence in our outlook, we are proposing the following. Firstly, to resume our core dividend at three times earnings cover, commencing with one single payment to FY21 at GBP 0.0122, and our target dividend cover remains two to three times earnings. Secondly, to return GBP 150 million of surplus cash in one single payment of GBP 0.0893, also in November. Looking forward, the board expects to restart ongoing special dividends in FY22.

Our policy for such dividends will be based on distributing all funds above the previously announced GBP 100 million cash buffer at each financial year end. Additionally, at 31st December 2020, we budgeted for a further GBP 130 million of working capital rebuild as our temp book grows. We saw GBP 20 million working capital outflow in half two, reducing the balance to GBP 110 million, which will further reduce as our working capital grows and working capital increases, including any normalization in client payment terms. Of course, any ongoing special dividends will also be dependent on a positive economic outlook. During FY21, we've initiated a series of actions to further streamline certain areas of our business and drive material annual cost savings in the future.

Firstly, by reducing our property footprint and its cost, we anticipate annual savings of circa GBP 10 million per year within the next five years. Secondly, we've identified opportunities to further improve the efficiencies of our back office functions by the increased use of automation and of existing lower cost shared service centers to drive annual savings of, again, GBP 10 million within three to five years. Finally, we expect GBP 10 million of the cost savings already achieved during the pandemic on reduced travel to be permanent as we continue making better use of video technology across the business. For example, we set out a flight reduction target of 40% versus pre-pandemic levels, and clearly this also helps our net zero journey. Finally, we also anticipate the cash benefits to substantially lower debtor days.

Even if we see some normalization in client payment terms, from the GBP 90 million benefit that I explained earlier, I'd expect to retain about half of this, which in course will lead to greater cash return to shareholders over the next few years. In summary, given the impact of the pandemic on the global economy and society, we delivered an increasingly strong profit performance, driven by the fastest sequential improvement in fee generation in our history. Having started the year at break-even profitability, we balanced managing our cost base with strategically investing for the long term and protecting our core infrastructure. As fees rebounded, we began investing to accelerate our recovery, and despite significant second half investment, consultant productivity reached record levels in Q4. Our investment in the second half will drive fee growth in FY 2022 and beyond.

Our strong cash performance has given us our strongest balance sheet ever. Given this balance sheet strength and our encouraging sequential improvement during the year, especially in the second half, the board is proposing to pay a combined GBP 0.1015 in core and special dividends. Moving on to current trading. We've made a good start to FY22. Overall, temp and contracting markets are performing well, and conditions in perm are strong. Candidate confidence is high, with clear signs of skill shortages and wage inflation in certain industries. We expect our total SGI investment in FY22 will be circa GBP 20 million, and including those SGI plans, we expect consultant headcount will increase by circa 5% in Q1.

At a regional level, the only specific comment I'd make is that it's too early to quantify the negative impact of recent lockdowns in most states in Australia, especially New South Wales and Victoria. Finally, I would also highlight that currency movements are likely to have a larger negative impact as group profit increases in FY 2022. With that, I'll hand you back to Alistair, who will update you on strategy before we answer your questions.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Thanks very much, Paul. Let me now show you a little bit more detail of what's behind our strategic investment program so you can see actually what we're doing as well as why, as well as some of the early paybacks that we're now starting to get. We've talked a lot in the past about some of the major changes that are underway in our world, we call those mega trends, and how we're building our strategy to capitalize on those changes. I think many of the changes that we're seeing will have a very profound and long-lasting impact on the job market, and over the last year, we've seen the pandemic influence and accelerate those mega trends.

For example, we're seeing candidates and companies increasingly seeking more flexible ways of working, particularly in the higher skilled, higher salary, technical white-collar sectors, areas such as technology, life sciences, engineering. Contracting or freelancing is also increasingly becoming a preferred career path for many professionals. That means companies can tap into those highly skilled resources when they need them. That gives them more flexibility versus a purely permanent workforce. As the world has been forced into remote working over the last 18 months, the demands for greater flexibility have also grown massively. Hybrid and remote working today is becoming a must-have for many organizations. I think the next stage will be the realization that if work can be conducted remotely, then it can be done from almost anywhere.

That opens the prospects of more geographically diverse talent pools, and with the leading global network and insights into talent almost everywhere in the world, that obviously plays to our advantage. The pace of industry change has also accelerated, with some industries and skill sets in decline, while others see exponential growth. Market requirements are changing faster than skill supply, and that's creating skill shortages in many parts of the world now. Resolving this requires significant investment in training and upskilling, and that needs coordinating at a national level, so it'll obviously take time to resolve. In the meantime, the conditions are now in place for real wage inflation around the world, and we're increasingly seeing evidence of that as the war for talent intensifies.

There'll obviously be some real winners in the skills market, where the demand for talent is only likely to increase and where talented employees are likely to command a premium. The technology and the green economy sectors are obvious examples of that. There will be others too, including such areas as life sciences or specialist engineering niches. With so much change as the world moves to an ever more digital age, companies are struggling to find the talent they need today. That's where we provide a highly valuable service, because we're investing in building the talent pools of the future. An in-house HR department, a smaller local agency, or an agency that doesn't have the right brand to attract talent will find life increasingly difficult.

However, all of these changes give us the opportunity to grow our share further, playing to the strategy that we've now followed for the last decade and which we're now accelerating. That brings me to our strategic growth initiatives. Think for a moment of our business as following two simultaneous investment paths. The first is to capitalize on the cyclical recovery that we're currently enjoying as the world bounces back from the lows of last year. We need more capacity across virtually all of our business, replacing that which we lost over the last 18 months as we quite rightly reduced our cost base. As I said earlier, we increased group consultant headcount by around 650 in the second half alone, the majority of whom were replacement capacity across the entire business. There's nothing new in that, what I would call business as usual investment.

We're just doing it at greater scale than we've ever done before as the world has never seen such a violent decline followed by such a sharp recovery. The second investment path, however, is to accelerate our structural growth and to position the business over time to be right at the heart of what the world will soon need as opposed to what it needed in the past. That's where the SGI Program comes in. Back in May 2020, we asked ourselves the question: What will the world need once the pandemic has passed and how will it want those services delivered? We then asked ourselves: How can we put ourselves in the path of that evolution, grow our market share, and position ourselves as the leader in that future world? Now, transforming in this way means that we take a longer-term view on investment and payback.

Hence, we've ring-fenced funds to invest in structurally attractive, what I'd call dial-moving initiatives, which will significantly accelerate our growth once the pandemic passes, but which may have a payback beyond one year. We identified 20 individual projects last year across all of our divisions, and there are several common themes such as investing in technology, life sciences or engineering, scaling our large corporate account business, as well as enhancing our brand and our customer experience. Now, over the year, we allocated around GBP 15 million into such structural projects, putting in place the management infrastructure as well as 250 heads across specific projects in Asia, Australia, Europe, the U.K. and North America. I'm delighted with the performance so far as we're seeing real traction in every single area that we've targeted.

That level of success gives us the confidence to accelerate in FY22, and we expect to add another 350 consultants into those initiatives this year. That's on top of whatever BAU additions we'll need to include to meet demand from the cyclical recovery. Let me make this real with a few examples. Last year, we added 45 heads to our tech business in France, and that almost doubled the technology business there. That's the equivalent in terms of scale of buying a small to medium-sized tech recruiter with fees of around, say, EUR 5 million-EUR 10 million, but we'd rather spend the money organically. Each year, we'll do the same again because we see no limit to the IT market and over time, the shape of our French business will obviously shift to reflect this. Over in the States, we added 20 heads to our life sciences business.

Again, that's the equivalent of a niche acquisition in terms of scale, and productivity improved strongly throughout the year. We should get around GBP 2.5 million of incremental fees from this cohort alone this year and much more next year as they move into full productivity. Around the world, our sales teams I think have done a great job at bringing home high volume contracts with larger clients. To fulfill those opportunities, we've built or we've expanded existing delivery centers across Asia, Europe, ANZ and the U.S., and we're making far greater and more innovative use of our Indian shared service center. Finally, we've invested in our digital estate because we believe that world-class digital customer experience is fundamental in today's world. With hindsight, I'm delighted that we got onto the front foot so quickly.

We started these investments well before the economy showed any signs of recovery. Our financial strength gave us the freedom to think longer term. We're doing things faster and at a greater scale than we've ever done before. As a result, our ambition for what we can become is greater than it's ever been before. These plans should take us well beyond previous peak profits. The best example of that ambition is arguably in technology. We're already a global leader in tech recruitment with the scale and the geographic coverage that perhaps only two or three companies in the world have today. We recently launched Hays Technology as a global brand, supporting our ability to deliver highly skilled tech experts globally and at scale. That's a great place to find ourselves today.

Our Tech business has grown from around GBP 100 million of fees in 2011 to a quarter of a billion GBP prior to the pandemic. That's a CAGR of about 12%. Technology was relatively resilient through the pandemic. It was down only 5% last year, for example. Encouragingly, fees in our final quarter were 2% above the pre-pandemic fee level. I absolutely expect us to deliver record Tech fees in FY22. We've also built, as you can see here, a highly diversified business. A decade ago, Germany represented 57% of our Tech fees while the rest of the world division was only 15%. Today, while Germany is still our largest technology business at 43% of the total, it has more than doubled its own fees in the last decade. The rest of the world has more than doubled in our mix to 34% of the total.

Fees in EMEA ex Germany grew by 19% CAGR over that period, even with the impact of the pandemic. Over in the U.S., we now have a tech business of real scale. It just delivered a record quarter in our final quarter last year. Here in the U.K., despite the pandemic, we grew our tech fees by 9% last year. These results are the product of our focus to build the undisputed global leader in technology recruitment. However, our ambition now is to double our technology fees to GBP 500 million in the next five years. That requires a CAGR of just under 15%, which while it's demanding, it's only slightly faster than that which we achieved in the decade up to COVID. In my mind, there are four key drivers for how we'll get there.

Firstly, every country we're in can contribute, but we can certainly double our German fees again and potentially triple our United States fees. Secondly, we'll expand our products and services, for example, building large contracting businesses in all of our major markets, winning more outsourced MSP deals, and growing our James Harvard business, which focuses on project services. Nearshoring or offshoring are also exciting areas because we can advise clients on where best to look for their technology talent around the world. Thirdly, there are many newer verticals where we can build a leadership position, such as cybersecurity, Amazon Web Services, enterprise apps such as Salesforce or Workday, marketing tech, big data, or robotics and automation. We're already in some of these niches. Some of them we're not yet in, but they're all large opportunities.

Finally, we can pursue growth across multiple client types, whether those be large enterprises, for example, going through their own digital transformation or the smallest startup. Fintech is a hot market. We also have native tech organizations as well as the large public sector. Getting to GBP 250 million fees in the last decade has given us the scalable infrastructure, the management expertise, the brand, and the industry partnerships to now accelerate our growth. I absolutely believe that a global leadership position in tech with GBP 500 million in fees will be an enviable as well as a valuable place to find ourselves, and that's what we intend to build. In conclusion, we have a clear strategy that becomes more relevant by the day, and we've got world-class management teams across all of our countries.

Profits were up significantly in the second half, and we started FY22 with good momentum driven by the hard work and dedication of our colleagues worldwide, a stronger than expected cyclical recovery, and the benefit of our earlier investments. Consultant productivity is at record levels and we're adding heads, but we're also retaining the operational rigor that characterizes Hays. We're growing profits in the short term, but we're also investing for the longer term. We now see a clear route back to and then exceeding pre-pandemic levels of profit, and that's faster than I could have envisaged even just six months ago. We're highly cash generative and reinvestment is always our priority, but with such confidence in our future, we're proposing to resume core and special dividends, paying a total of GBP 0.1015 to shareholders this November.

While there'll still be chapters to write in this pandemic story, we're already capitalizing on the many opportunities the world is presenting us, and we're very excited about our future. We'd now be delighted to take all of your questions.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star and one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press the hash key. Once again, to ask a question, please press star and one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Rory McKenzie from UBS. Please ask your question.

Rory McKenzie
Analyst, UBS

Morning all. It's Rory here. Hope everyone's doing well. Three from me, please. Firstly, on current trading, appreciate it feels like most of the world has been on holiday through August. How do you assess whether trends are continuing to improve sequentially across the regions? I appreciate you said it's too early to quantify the risks in Australia, but should we expect that to now slow sequentially? Secondly, on the structural aims to recover and grow profits. You've been clear on the capacity that you're putting in, but can you talk about the client demand side that's meeting? Are you seeing the aggregate market share gains that you need to achieve a good return on investment?

For example, looking at the 250 SGI Hays added this year, they're set to generate, I think you said about GBP 100,000 in net fees next year, which is still well below the group average of about GBP 160. How should we think about the productivity of that capacity? Just thirdly, on the cash return, should we treat all working capital outflows over the next two years as part of that original GBP 130 million buffer? Just wondering how to distinguish between what's maybe structural and what's just a rebuild. Thank you.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Thank you, Rory. Maybe Paul can talk about the first and the last one, trading and the working capital, and I'll pick up on the investment program.

Paul Venables
CFO, Hays

Yeah, I think on the trading part of it, Rory, clearly the summer is always slightly more difficult to read the tea leaves, specifically within Europe. What have we tried to say today? We've tried to say two separate things. In many of the markets, there's still strong, good opportunities. Certainly in Perm, I think the pleasing part is the contractor market, kind of a high-end temp, which, as everybody knows, is high salary and high margin. That is also picking up as well. We've had a good start to the year. July and August are always much lower months than June for us. I think if we adjusted for things like working days, we're certainly on a good sequential growth path from where we are today. We're happy, but of course, September is always by far the biggest quarter in the month.

It's about 38%-39% of the fees for the quarter. We'll give you a greater update in the middle of October, but a good start to the year, and hopefully that was clear enough in the announcement. On the cash returns, actually, it's relatively simple. Whatever the working capital outflow is going to be over the next two years, that is picked up straight away by that buffer. Whereas normally in trying to determine the level of cash outflow, of course, one of the largest reductions in cash in our business will be working capital outflow, but this time we've already got that protected in the buffer, and therefore, it wouldn't be a deduction in getting to any special dividend over the next two years.

Then finally, as I tried to allude to, at some point in the future, we have to say, "Well, you know what? The reduction in debtor days from 39 to 33, wherever it eventually lands, whether that's 33, 34, 35, whatever, that's final." I think in about two years' time, that buffer will just disappear completely, Rory. I think the really pleasing aspect under however you do your modeling, the next three years, we're talking about a good GBP 500 million worth of cash returns.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Thanks, Paul. Let me talk about the program and what we're trying to do and the evidence that we're seeing. Really there's two themes behind the Strategic Growth Investment Program. Number one is to more quickly structurally open up those sectors that we think are going to be extremely large and buoyant sectors in the future. Technology we've talked a lot about, that's an obvious one. Other areas such as life sciences, engineering, over time, the green economy, are all going to be massive sectors with big skill shortages. Even though we're one of the biggest tech players in the world today, the sky is the limit in terms of how big we could become in that space, simply because the market is so massive and it's changing so quickly. We want to open up those sectors.

The second theme behind SGI is we want to grow our market share at the big end of town as well as at the smaller end of town. Those are the two themes. The 250 people that went into the business, they were split roughly 50/50, 125 in each half. You're right to do that mathematics of 100,000 from each person on average. I think this is where statistics almost sort of get in the way, Rory. Some of those people will have only just come in and will be still at the early stage of working their way up the productivity curve. The ones that have been in the longest have only been in around about a year now, and many of those are going into areas such as the contracting business that we're building all around the world.

As we all know, it takes a little longer for people to ramp up to full-time steady state productivity when you're working on a contractor day book. Whereas you're right with your math for this coming financial year, then we'd expect to see the productivity of each of those individuals continue to march upwards before they hit steady state, which will be more like FY 2023. Clearly, the average number will be somewhat depressed because in FY 2022, we fully expect to bring even more people in. We have to be a little bit careful differentiating between what is an individual's performance versus what is an average performance.

What I would say is we would not be as confident about putting in the 350 people that we've said we're going to, unless we saw that the initial slug of 250 was already starting to deliver as we're investing them around the world. When it comes to market share, looking for evidence, I can give you a whole list of different contracts that we've won in the bigger end of town over the last 12 months. We've won a big piece of work with Cognizant in the U.S., obviously in the tech sector. In Australia, we've expanded our Commonwealth Bank arrangement. We originally had an MSP there. We've now expanded that into an RPO as well. In Germany, we're a leading supplier to Volkswagen in their autonomy division, which is the electric car part of Volkswagen. Big RPO in Germany.

Deloitte, again, big outsource arrangement we've won in Australia, and here in the U.K. with OVO Energy, one of the biggest renewable energy suppliers in electricity in the U.K., won a big RPO there. Our investment into growing share, particularly at the big end of town, is obviously paying dividends. Again, we'd expect to double down on that as we're coming into the new year.

Paul Venables
CFO, Hays

One last point, Rory. I realize I didn't answer your ANZ comment. On ANZ, I guess so far so good. What has traditionally happened, this has been a very tough third phase lockdown, specifically in New South Wales. What traditionally happens is it just stops any further sequential growth, and I guess that's where we are in Australia at the moment. I think we're pretty happy with that. As you guys know, we had a very strong Q4. If we could hold that level that we got to in Q4, I still think we're then well-placed to re-accelerate growth. I think for those of you that follow Australia, you can actually see that their vaccine rollout has accelerated dramatically over the last few weeks.

I think for us, we may have another two or three months worth of pain, but I don't see it going beyond that.

Rory McKenzie
Analyst, UBS

Great. That's really helpful. All answers. Thanks very much.

Operator

And as a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star and one on your telephone. Your next question comes from the line of Kean Marden from Jefferies.

Kean Marden
Analyst, Jefferies

Morning, all. I have three as well. First of all, on France, it looks like some decent job advertisement momentum from your business sort of through June and into July. You haven't really called out France to a great degree today. I'm just wondering whether you've been encouraged by some of the lead indicator momentum in that business over the last few months. Secondly, still on rest of the world, does that division now have sufficient scale that the conversion rate at the peak of the next cycle will be much higher than the sort of 11%-12% that you've delivered at the peak of the last two cycles? Do you intend to still be quite aggressive with investment there?

Thirdly, just picking up on that statement of work developments, does that come with higher turnover but potentially higher risk as well for you to manage?

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Let me talk about France very quickly, and then Paul, if you want to talk about conversion rates in rest of the world, and maybe we'll both do statement of work. We're very pleased with France. France obviously has been grappling with the pandemic and their own issues, just like the rest of the world. France was a little bit slower to start to show clear signs of recovery, but that has come through over the summer. I'm very encouraged by some of the more recent sort of uplifts that we're seeing in activity and trading and confidence across the whole of the French business. It is one of our sectors that we're investing in aggressively through the SGI program just like we did last year. We're doing the same again this year, so increasingly optimistic about the French business.

Paul Venables
CFO, Hays

I think on the conversion rate, Kean, you're absolutely right. I would be very confident that we will exceed previous conversion rates in the rest of the world. Clearly within that, we've got the U.S. where we're putting material levels of investment in. Actually, I think we'll actually see some quite significant improvements in profitability this year in that market because I think we've got such great traction. We had two record fee performances in the last quarter. I'm sure we'll have another one in this quarter. We've got a very beautiful business in IT, but we're also building a very exciting opportunity for us in construction property. Whilst we'll continue to invest in the U.S., having scaled the management infrastructure so significantly over the last few years for a much bigger business, we'll absolutely start to leverage that.

That alone, with the bounce back we will get in a number of other markets means we will go well beyond the level of conversion rate we had higher. Yeah, I think I would agree with almost your question.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Then on the statement of work, using technology as the main sector where we're doing this at the moment, Kean. The vast majority of IT recruitment is still find me a DevOps person or find me a cybersecurity person. However, there is increasing impetus behind organizations saying, "I actually need to get a project delivered. Can you advise me on the scale of the team and put that team together so they actually come in and work on that project?" There's obviously a broad spectrum of how close to that is that project service to say just find me six people, all the way through to put in place a full-blown SAP system. There's a very broad spectrum of profiles. Clearly in my last job all those years ago, we were at the right-hand end of that spectrum.

I've been there before. I would absolutely make the point that what we're looking at here, while in theory might carry some additional risk, it's very manageable, understandable, and marginal risk because we're really just putting a wrapper around the people that we will be supplying anyway and saying, okay, they're going to work on this particular project. Obviously, we make sure that contractually it's crystal clear exactly what they're on the hook to deliver, who's supervising them, what the milestones for payment might be, et cetera. We've been doing it for some time in places like the U.K. and Germany. We just feel that now is the time to start to accelerate our investment and capability in that space. Hence we're putting further investment into it.

Paul Venables
CFO, Hays

I'd add just the following ones. First of all, Kean, to the extent of our IT projects, Steve Weston signs off on the nature of the deliverables within our capabilities. I'm involved in reviewing the commercials on every single contract that goes on within that business on a global basis. The size of our business today is in kind of the GBP 10 million-GBP 15 million fee opportunity. We put a cap on the size of every project we do. It is much higher return, and so far over our kind of five years we've been doing it, we've had no issues. I think we've got greater capabilities today, but part from the market, whether it is in sections of IT, also in some sections of engineering, is moving down this space, and therefore it's important that we increase the capability and size our business there.

I think it's a good opportunity for us, specifically within the tech space.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Yeah. I think my final point on this, Kean, it plays to our advantage, and I think because of our skill set and our sort of approach to this is a good thing for us, and we seek to accelerate it.

Kean Marden
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks very much. That's very helpful. Thanks, Alistair.

Operator

At the moment, we have no further questions. Please continue. Oh, excuse me. We've got one more question. It's from the line of Andy Grobler from Credit Suisse. Please ask your question.

Andy Grobler
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hi, good morning. Sorry, Alistair, with the questions. Three from me as well. A very simple housekeeping one to start with. Amortization went up quite sharply in the year. Could you just talk us through why and expectations going forward? Secondly, within tech, we've had a fair bit of M&A activity in that sector in the last few weeks. What are your thoughts in terms of how that potentially changes those end markets? Thirdly, you've continued down the route that you've done for forever really of organic growth in terms of consultants. Was there a thought about trying to build up these businesses with experienced hires? I mean, one of your key competitors has taken that path, did you think that that created potentially other issues? Thank you.

Paul Venables
CFO, Hays

Amortizations are a relatively straightforward one. We finished a number of projects that we've talked about before in Germany, just towards the start of the pandemic, and that has a full amortization charge in the P&L this year. I think the nature of our CapEx going forward also means that it's going to be more amortization versus depreciation in that the days of, I think big property expansion, fit out, et cetera, is reduced. More of our CapEx is in the IT space. We do internal development in a lot of areas. We use Wipro, et cetera, for parts of that, all managed by Steve Weston. I think it's going to be a bit more amortization, but this year it was the German projects.

Andy Grobler
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Okay.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Just talking about tech, Andy, you're right. Almost every time we open our morning email, somebody's bought something, and it's either a project services business or a tech business. This morning it was a tech business. There's a lot of activity going on. I understand why people are doing that as they're seeking to build scale. Our view on acquisitions hasn't really changed. We do look for add-on platform businesses that we can have a base, if you like, which is exactly what we did with Veredus in the U.S. six years ago now, and then organically build from there. Our approach really hasn't changed. Having put in place around the world pretty much all of the platforms that we need, now the challenge is how do we accelerate investment into them?

As the market changes and new subspecialisms and niches of skill sets emerge, then how do we open up one of those niches very quickly? For example, in the U.S. in the last 12 months, we've opened up a cybersecurity practice. We felt it was more appropriate that we would recruit the talent. We actually did bring in an external leader who was doing cybersecurity recruitment to actually build that practice for us. Everything under them has been organic investment behind them. We've built almost from scratch. We've built a currently quite small, but in the future will be much bigger cybersecurity niche in the U.S. We're doing the same in the U.K. now, and we'll obviously do the same in different countries as we roll it around the world. Our approach hasn't really changed.

I think when you do these big blockbuster deals, the business can get incredibly distracted with integration, all the cultural aspects that come along with that. This is a red hot market today, Andy, in terms of tech all around the world. My guys in the U.S. who've been in the business for 25 years in the world of recruitment have never seen a market backdrop like it. The last thing I want is to be somehow distracted by trying to put something together when I can simply go out and invest in my own people, whether that's reallocating people towards it or bringing new people on board and training them and building our own business as opposed to trying to integrate somebody else's business. That really is our theme. Linked to that is your point around experienced hires.

We have longheld the view that our culture is strongest if we grow our own, and that hasn't changed. However, as we start to open up some of these new areas, we do recognize that there are some highly talented, highly experienced individuals out there who would fit in perfectly well within our own culture and come here. We'll ring-fence investment around them to build a team in the likeness of the rest of Hays, and that's what we've done. We've done that successfully in places like the U.S. and the U.K., predominantly in this early stage. I think out of those several handfuls of people, we're not talking hundreds of people, we're talking about senior leaders to come in and build teams around them. Every single one of them has been incredibly successful.

I think it's the way we've chosen those people and integrated them into Hays as opposed to just say, "Please join us. Here's a lot of money. Go and build a business." It's far more thoughtful than that because the last thing we want to do is to somehow undermine and over time destroy the culture that we've spent 50 years building. It might be a nice short-term boost to bring in some billers, but is that the right long-term thing for our business? I do not think so. I think having really excellent leaders, whether they're homegrown or brought in and then building a Hays business around them, that's how we'll build a strong cultural business over time. Remember, we're not just in this for the next two, three years. We're building a business that's going to be here for the next 20, 30, 50 years.

Andy Grobler
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Excellent. Thank you very much.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Thanks, Andrew.

Operator

Another reminder, please press star one to ask a question. We have no further questions.

Alistair Cox
CEO, Hays

Okay. Well, if that's all the questions answered, thank you very much, everybody, for coming on the call. As I hope you've taken away, we've got a great story to tell. We're very excited about the future. Who could have anticipated a year ago we'd be telling the story like we're telling today? We're very much on the front foot. Very excited about this year, but also very excited about where we're going over the next three, four, five years. It's a red hot market. It's a great time to be in recruitment and look forward to talking to you all in the near future.

Operator

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.

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