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Earnings Call: H1 2018

Nov 14, 2017

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Right. Good morning. Thank you for joining us for our half-year results presentations. I'm delighted to report on another solid set of results and record fundraising numbers. Our performance this first half, I think, underlines the strength of the business model and also highlights the high degree of visibility and the growth of the fee income. From an operational standpoint, there are three main themes. Fundraising, investing, and portfolio performance. Fundraising, it's been a record half for us. EUR 5.7 billion raised, and we're on track for a record fundraising year. This is largely for this half due to the success of our largest ever fundraise for our senior debt strategy in Europe. That is cementing our leadership position in direct lending in Europe. It's also importantly, and I'll come back to that later, it's helping us kickstart our senior debt strategy in North America.

Another thing to mention about the senior debt fundraise, SDP is a strategy that features fees on invested, so these fundraised amounts are not yet translating into fee income and profit. They will as we start investing. Our first deal for that new vintage should close in January. Nevertheless, because we have been able to increase the average fee rate on this strategy by about 25%, this represents a meaningful reserve of future fee income and profit. On the investment side, the general market environment remains highly competitive. Nevertheless, we're investing very well across our strategies, and more than ever, this is down to the strength of the origination platform. It's all about origination in this market environment. Portfolio performance, all of our portfolios are performing well, and very few assets are underperforming.

This is the result of a combination of things, investment discipline, the very strong focus we have on downside protection, also, obviously, we are benefiting from generally favorable economic conditions. Financial highlights. This half is a milestone for ICG. Our IC profits are back to a more normalized level. You may remember last year we had one-off accounting capital gains. For the first time this half, FMC profits have surpassed IC profits, and by some margin. This is on the back of a very strong semester for the fund management company. Profits are up 30%, essentially driven by an increase in fee income. The other thing I'd point to in these financial highlights is that as per our policy, interim dividends are up 20%. Our strategic priorities. This is a slide you will be familiar with. Actually, it hasn't changed in a long time.

I think it should. We've made a lot of progress achieving our targets. By and large, we're two years ahead of plan. I think it's time for us to refresh this slide and look beyond 2020. That's something to look forward to at our upcoming capital markets day. Back to financial results. Phil?

Philip Keller
Chief Finance and Operating Officer, ICG

Morning, everyone. A very good first half across all of the KPIs in the business. Fundraising, GBP 5.7 billion. Our AUM is now EUR 27.2 billion. Margin for the fund manager at 45%. The co-investment rate, so the balance sheet compared to total AUM, has dropped from 8.4% to 7% in the half, which is also a really good indication of our leveraging of the asset base. Looking at the segmental results. Continued strong trajectory for the fund management company. Revenue up 18%, profits at GBP 44.3 million, up 30%. The margin, as I mentioned, 45%, as some of the strategies that we launched two, three, four years ago are really beginning to hit their stride. The investment company at a more normalized level of return. What we've done now is shown the investment company with the impairments up in the investment returns.

We now see all of the flows that result from investing under one line, which is exactly as our clients who invest in our funds alongside us would see the results from their investments. Investment returns at 14%. Over the last few years, that's been 13%-14%, pretty consistent now without the release of the capital gains that we saw in the last financial year. Of course, as Benoît mentioned, fund management profit GBP 44.3 million, IC profit GBP 36.7 million. A nice bit of clear water between the two. The fluctuations in the balance sheet in this half really reflect its subordination to the fund management growth strategy. The biggest change in the balance sheet has been through the increase in the assets that we hold for syndication, second line down, moving from GBP 90 million to GBP 294 million.

We use the balance sheet in order to assist the fund management company in its growth and its development. This is a great example of how we use the balance sheet to facilitate the success of the fund manager. In this case, the buildup of that line on the balance sheet was assisting mature strategy European Mezzanine, where we warehoused on the balance sheet two assets, GBP 200 million worth of assets, that have subsequently been syndicated. What that has allowed us to do in the European Mezz strategy has been to underwrite larger deals and to be more in control of those deals, but also allows us to offer co-invest to our most important clients. A really good use of the balance sheet there to drive the fund manager.

On the liability side, securely funded the average remaining life of our debt is 4.3 years. The gearing is nicely within the range that we've articulated for a few years now. Cash flow profile, a little bit different to last year. Last year, we saw an unusually high level of realizations from the balance sheet because we were seeing off some of the last of the older, larger balance sheet positions, of which now there are hardly any left. This half, you can see GBP 261 million, GBP 204 million deployed. As we saw, a strong half for deployment, but particularly strong using the assets for syndication balance, as I mentioned before. Both in terms of the long-term book and assets held for syndication, we saw good levels of deployment, indicating strong investment activity, and again, all in service of the fund management company.

Looking at fundraising, a great fundraising half dominated by SDP 3, but also saw issuance of a CLO and really good development in liquid credit funds, which we have been investing in for a while, and real estate. The outflows below the line in orange have actually been higher this half than they have been for a long time at GBP 1.4 billion. There is mainly in assets that we are holding, we are investing in alongside our European Mezz and Senior Debt Partners funds. A very active market, we saw a reasonable number of realizations there. That EUR 1.4 billion for the half compares to EUR 1.5 for the whole of last year. In addition, there was a EUR 0.8 billion reduction in AUM as a result of FX because the euro strengthened against both the dollar and sterling.

Fee-earning AUM actually also experienced about just under a GBP 600 million euro reduction as a result of FX. We do expect fee-earning AUM to grow during the second half and really drive fee growth into the end of the year. In terms of guidance going forward for fundraising and for AUM, I expect to see realizations to be of a similar level in the second half to the first half because we see activity continue. Obviously, it is unpredictable, but we are seeing the same sort of momentum. For fundraising, I expect the second half is going to be more in line with our long-term guidance, which is GBP 4 billion a year through the cycle. Please don't double the first half to get to the full year. I thought this would be interesting. This shows the power, really, of the ICG income model.

What we have done here is just taken all of the funds that we currently have raised and we are currently managing and shown the contracted fees based on existing AUM. If we raised nothing more and just invested out what we have, this would be the fee levels that we would earn over time. The total amount is GBP 815 million of fees. It compares to GBP 139 million last year. It does not include performance fees, which if we include under fairly conservative assumptions, that gives us roughly seven years of revenues that are contracted to the company as we stand here today. Across all our asset classes, we are not seeing pressure on fee rates. If anything, we have seen some of the pricing dynamics move in our favor. There is no significant change. We have had a slight increase.

The increase in the liquid strategies and raising of a new CLO slightly suppressed the weighted average fee rate from 91 basis points to 89 basis points. Just to take SDP 3 as an example, the fund we have just raised, we have raised at 85 basis points with no discounts. The previous fund, SDP 2, had an effective rate of 68 basis points. A very nice uplift for a larger fund, which shows where we are within the pricing dynamics with our clients. Performance fees for the half are GBP 9.3 million, and I expect the full year to be roughly in line with the guidance that we have given in the past of GBP 15 million to GBP 20 million. Good uplift, really good uplift in the margin for the half at 45%.

Result of the fact that the new products that we've introduced are really beginning to have a material contribution to the profit in the fund management company. Over time, we'll always put new business costs through this P&L, so it will be subject to fluctuations as we continue to invest in our platform. For the fund management company, no significant increase in costs with some operational leverage beginning to come through. Staff costs are up 8% on this time last year, 5% as a result of headcount, and the rest is salary increases. The incentive line is much higher than a year ago, but similar to the prior half, as last year, the incentives costs were weighted to the second half of the year. Expect them this year to be reasonably well in line with the full year last year.

Overall, though, we've focused on cost discipline in the last 12 months. Although we saw an increase in the cost of the fund management company of 9% compared to half one last year, there's actually a reduction of GBP 2 million compared to the prior half. Moving on to the investment company. I think it's becoming very clear now that the balance sheet results are the outcome of allocations made three to seven years ago as we made co-investment decisions related to what we invested into our funds. What we see now is a balance sheet book, an investment company book, where the co-investment ratio is 7%, down from 8.4% six months ago, as I mentioned, a bias towards the higher returning assets.

If you take those two things together, what you see is an increasingly efficient leveraging of our asset base in order to drive the fund manager. The returns on the investment company at 14% and somewhat normalized compared to last year, where they were inflated up by 3% to 17% because of the release of gains from the AFS reserve. I think the tone and the way we see the investment company is it is subservient to the fund management company. We use the investment company and the allocation decisions are to build funds, to seed new funds, to warehouse assets, to develop new fund strategies, and to support existing fund franchises. Looking briefly at valuation returns, these are the non-contractual returns on our balance sheet and directionally similar to the income on our funds.

Capital gains, if we ignore the gains released from reserves last year, half one mark-to-market gains were a little bit above the six-month average, if you look at the dark blue block, driven by benign listed markets and good performance in the underlying portfolios. Impairments at GBP 10 million, actually as low as I can remember them for a half. There's no new problems in the portfolios, and our fund portfolios are universally performing well. Like the fund management company, the investment company cost base shows good cost discipline with staff costs in line with this time last year. There was a spike in the second half of the staff costs related to a one-off cost associated with the Recovery Fund 2008 transaction that consummated last year. Incentives in line with the prior half. Non-staff costs up a bit this year, this half.

This is mainly related to due diligence on failed transactions, which is inevitable in our business, particularly across the broad range of strategies that we engage in. Inevitable but very difficult to predict, but we'll always look to do some deals that we won't manage to do and have spent some money in the process. Guidance remains unchanged across the board, with the exception of tax, which I've discussed with quite a few of you already this morning, either outside or on the phone, which we expect to come down to low single digits over the short term, which for modeling purposes I would suggest would be for two years. Fundraising in the second half in line with our long-term guidance. I think in summary, with all metrics moving as we would hope and as we expected, this half has been a very good half for us financially.

With that, back to Benoît for the operational review.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Thanks, Phil. Right, our operating model. You're all so familiar with this by now. As I pointed to earlier, at the broadest level, our operating model is simple. It's raising money, investing that money, and managing it to generate superior returns. I'll look at each of these activities in turn. The fundraising environment is extremely favorable, and particularly for us. These are recent Preqin statistics. What they show is that long-term allocation plans from institutional investors clearly favor the strategies that we are deploying, the strategies where we are strong. Be it private debt, private equity, real assets. There's a clear focus on our alternative strategies. This is not a temporary phenomenon. If you look at the smaller bar chart on the right-hand side, what you can see is that this is a trend, okay? There is a clear trend.

There is a structural shift towards our strategies. In addition to that is this momentum is disproportionately benefiting larger, well-established managers with a strong track record. There's no doubt that ICG has, and is clearly benefiting from this general market trend. This translates into our numbers. I'll come back to SDP. We've been successful in the first half in other strategies as well, actually, in all of the other strategies that were in the market for us. We closed on our first strategic secondary strategy at close to $1.1 billion. That is well north of what we had initially anticipated for what is a first-time fund. We raised a number of mandate for real estate. Now, that's an ongoing effort, but quite successful in this first half. Quite a promising development is we've started to see some real traction in our credit fund management business.

Phil was mentioning that earlier. We've raised about EUR 600 million for several of our more liquid strategies, notably European loans and alternative credit. On the back of some significant hires we've made over the past couple of years, it is good to start to see some momentum there because that's a volume-driven business. We want to see some volume gathering there. Going back. Back to SDP. That's obviously the success story of this first half. There are a number of things I think are worth mentioning there. One, it's obviously we're very proud of this result. This is a strategy that five years ago did not exist. That now is boasting close to EUR 8 billion of AUM. Obviously, a very good result. A few things I'd like to point to when looking at this fundraising effort.

One, if you're looking at the two pie charts on the right. One is we've raised money both from existing and new investors, and that's important. You want both. Existing investors, of course, because it's a vote of confidence, and it's a sign of success of the strategy, and it's easier. You also want to take advantage of a successful strategy, a strategy that is in strong demand to increase your investor base. That's exactly what we've done. This is by design. We've looked for this balance between existing investors who had very significant appetite for the strategy, but also leaving enough space to bring on enough new relationships. The other point that's worth mentioning in this fundraising is how appealing this strategy is to pension funds. That's not surprising. It's a senior secured asset. It's generating a cash coupon.

It's generating a much higher yield than fixed income. For pension funds looking for yield and looking to diversify away from traditional fixed income, it's a very good asset class to be in. That's not surprising. Last but not least, and I've alluded to that earlier. The reason we've raised significantly more than what we had initially budgeted is not because of the demand. The demand was not the constraint. We were several times oversubscribed, okay? We set the level of the fund at the level that we thought we could reasonably invest in the market in a reasonable period of time. The reason we increased it is we were able to broaden the mandate of the strategy to include an up to 30% sleeve for North America. We've basically created a, call it $1.5 billion potential sleeve to launch a North American senior debt strategy.

That's very powerful because it shows the strength of the platform. That's exactly what this is supposed to be doing. We're taking a successful existing strategy and existing geographic platform to create, in a very efficient way, to create a new product. It's very good for our U.S. base. It's creating scale. We're essentially going to be relying on existing executives in North America, particularly from the mezzanine team. Very efficient, very cost-efficient. It's also a lot quicker than going out to raise a completely new strategy with a first-time fund, which takes several years. A very good outcome. Beyond the headline fundraising numbers, it's one of the big wins of this first half. Looking to the next semester, the next half. The focus will be mainly on our second North American mezzanine fund, which is called Private Debt Fund II.

The first vintage has been very successful. It's exceeded target returns by some margin. So we, market allowing, we are hoping to increase the size of this strategy for the second vintage. The first fund was just short of $600 million of third-party funds under management. We're also going to be out in market with our Real Estate Partnership Fund V, Likewise, we are going to try to increase the size of that fund compared to the previous vintage. Finally, I was mentioning that earlier, this is a constant effort, we will keep on building on the momentum we're starting to see in the first half in our credit fund management. European loans, global loans, alternative credit. Investing. This slide is identical to the slide presented last time we met, the reason is the market hasn't changed.

It's still a very competitive market across geographies, across asset classes. Still record levels of available capital. We're still investing well in that market. As we pointed to before, this is down to a combination of investment discipline, very strong focus on origination. You've heard this before, the fact that we have a very local approach. This is clearly a competitive advantage in this market. When markets are that buoyant, you want to be able to have the ability to choose between as many opportunities as possible. It's all down to origination. This is translating into strong investment performance, as you could see on the chart on the right-hand side. Bit more difficult in Asia, as you could see, they have a reasonably good pipeline, it will only take a couple of deals for each to get back on the line.

By and large, you could see where in many strategies we're either on target or well above deployment target. I believe I said this last time, to me, this is the most important graph of the presentation. There's a lot of information there. One, if you look at strategies that have fees on invested capital, such as Senior Debt Partners. If you look at this slide, particularly if you look at it dynamically, comparing it to previous versions, you get a pretty good idea of how quickly these strategies are deploying and therefore how quickly fee-earning AUM is increasing. That's one thing. Second thing is, you can also get a pretty good feel as to which strategies are going to come back to market and when. Two points to mention here. We've had two strategies that have done particularly well investing over the past six months.

That's Strategic Secondaries and European Mezz. So it's likely that for both of these strategies, we will bring forward the next fundraising, the fundraising for the next vintage. If I take the case of European Mezzanine Fund VII, we had initially anticipated that this would be a calendar 2019, maybe partially 2020 fundraise. We're likely to bring this forward by some 12 months. This is likely to be an 2018 effort, maybe overlapping into 2019. I'm talking calendar years here. That's positive news, obviously. In both instances, it's positive news. Incidentally, both of these strategies, Strategic Secondaries and European Mezzanines, have fees on uncommitted capital. Portfolio performance, managing our investments. Two approaches there, top-down, bottom-up. Top-down is we're looking at the fund level. Bottom-up, we're looking at it on a deal-by-deal, transaction-by-transaction.

At a fund level, what's important about this slide, which is also because of how long our investment periods are, this is a slide that's unlikely to evolve very quickly. What's important about this slide is what it means for our investors, our LPs. What it tells our LPs is that we're quite consistent. Unusually so. It's very rare for a fund manager to not have a failed fund or a failed vintage. Even best-known, well-known managers have several failed vintages. We have none. That's a very powerful message to our investors, particularly as some investors are thinking about a potential downturn in whenever a few years or the potential end of a credit cycle, and they're looking for downside protection. They will be looking for consistency of performance. That's a very significant competitive advantage. This track record is one of our most significant intangible assets.

By the same token, it's important for our shareholders as well because this speaks to the strength of the business model and to future value creation through more fundraising. If we look at the deal level, transaction by transaction, looking at the performance of transactions that have actually exited during the period. What this is telling us is that it's a very favorable period. These numbers by our historical standards are very high. Typically, even in a very successful fund, you will have better performers and poor performers. In the current environment, pretty much all of the deals exiting are very good performers. We have one exception, which was in one of our real estate funds, but that's more true to form. It's actually in one fund, Fund IV, that is performing extremely well, and that's what you typically expect to see.

All the others are performing or have performed extremely well. Anecdotally, actually, it may not be so anecdotal. The two outliers at the top, so the two transactions that have significantly outperformed, are two transactions from our European Mezz Fund V. This is likely to turn out to be, if not our best, maybe our best vintage, but certainly an excellent vintage. This is important why? It's important because this is what investors will be looking at when we go out fundraising Fund VII, because Fund VI will be too recent. We've discussed this, I think, in the past. Investors tend to look at the prior fund. They will be looking at Fund V performance. That's a strong indication of how investors are likely to perceive us as we go back to market with the next vintage.

In conclusion, record fundraising, a strong focus that we maintain on broadening the platform, adding more strategies, and obviously a strong success this half with the launch of our North American Senior Debt. Portfolios are all performing well. We're investing at a solid pace. It's gratifying to see the FMC profit up 30%. This period is a strong period for us. Undoubtedly, I think I can safely say we're somewhat ahead of plan. The strategy is clear and it's delivering results, we're pleased. On that note, thank you very much, and we'll be happy to take questions.

Speaker 6

Two questions, if I may. First, if I take you back to page 25 on SDP III. You sort of say how much was raised from existing investors and by type. Obviously, how much of that was raised in the U.S.? Obviously, you're strong in Europe, and that's obviously a market you've been investing in.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Sure. Yep.

Speaker 6

My second question is very simply, you've outlined in some ways how the balance sheet is subservient to the fund management company and the progress there. But also clearly the balance sheet is benefiting from strong investments, particularly from the sort of Mezz funds. Clearly, with Europe VII looming on the horizon, has any thought been given to how much you might invest in that, given the clear trade-off one way or indeed the other? Thank you.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Yeah. SDP geographic split from memory.

Philip Keller
Chief Finance and Operating Officer, ICG

16.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Right. We're south of 20% for the U.S. There is a reason for that. It's actually lower than, for instance, what we have in mezzanine. There is a reason for that, is we have refused to put leverage on the fund. A lot of U.S. investors are looking to generate double-digit by putting leverage on it. Now, I could go into a long explanation as to why we think it's not a good idea, why we think people think they're taking senior debt risk, but they're not as soon as they're putting leverage, and why, if you're putting leverage, you should be managing the portfolio in a very different way. In particular, by having significantly more diversification in your portfolio, which nobody does. We've refused to put in leverage, and we've been quite dogmatic about it, as you can tell.

As a result, we've had a number of large pension funds in the U.S., but we've kind of cherry-picked. Those who absolutely wanted leverage, we've just said, "Come into our Mezz fund. You will get the high returns without having to structure it." Do you want to take the Well, I can take it. We don't have an answer, so I'll take that. Your question about have you thought-

Philip Keller
Chief Finance and Operating Officer, ICG

Sorry.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

have you thought about the next vintage? It's too early. You're right, it's a trade-off. It's a trade-off with multiple components. Yes, you're right. We like these assets on the balance sheet because they're very high yielding. At the same time, as you've heard, we're trying to maximize the efficiency of the balance sheet. There's another variable to take into account is our ambitions for that fund. This is something we haven't yet decided. It also depends on market environment. If you decide to increase the size of the fund, it's more difficult to decrease your position. You may want to keep it stable and not increase it. There are many variables in that, and it's too early. I mean, we're not quite there yet for the next Mezz fund.

These are the variables that we are thinking about when we're thinking about allocation.

Philip Keller
Chief Finance and Operating Officer, ICG

You never know if you've made the right decision until you've had a successful fundraise, and then you don't know whether you made the optimal decision.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

There is no doubt. I was talking about pension funds and SDP. There is no doubt that, particularly for pension funds, the fact that we are investing our own balance sheet is a very significant advantage. I mean, for them, it's always top of the list as to why they like our strategies. To the point where I've heard, and this was not for Mezz, this was for private equity, but the same logic applies. I've recently heard A couple of large U.S. managers thinking about developing their own balance sheet exactly for that reason.

David McCann
Director, Numis

Morning. Morning, David McCann from Numis. Just two questions, please. The first just on Senior Debt Partners III again. The fund's targeting what sounds like an 8%, 9% type yield, cash yield type levels. I appreciate the fund isn't invested yet, but what would be the type of issuers that you're going after there, where you believe you'll be able to get those kind of yields? The second question, just on the gross fundraising target, which is GBP 4 billion. You've had that for a number of years now. Clearly the business is much bigger. You've got more teams, et cetera. Do you think that the GBP 4 billion number perhaps needs to be refreshed at some point? If so, what would that be? Thank you.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

I'll take your first question, the first part of your question, and Philip can comment on guidance. Sorry, you have to remind me, first part of your question on SDP?

David McCann
Director, Numis

Just the type of the issuers.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Type of issuers. It's quite broad. These are private corporates in Europe and now North America. They tend to be mid-size companies. What's important to understand, and that's one of the reasons we've been successful in this strategy and why I think this segment of the market will keep on consolidating and will keep on benefiting is, to do senior debt, you need very sizable funds. Even for a mid-size company, because you're putting, say, 4-5 turns of leverage on them, even a relatively small company of 20 million, 30 million, 40 million EBITDA, you're immediately talking a couple of hundred million of investment per transaction. If you want enough diversification in your fund, which you should, because it's a senior debt strategy, you need very large funds.

You need the size to be credible and to be able to do those transactions, and very few managers have this size, that's giving us a competitive advantage. The target is European mid-market, which is where we've always operated. That's where we've operated in the Mezz for close to 30 years now.

Philip Keller
Chief Finance and Operating Officer, ICG

On guidance remains where it is, GBP 4 billion. The GBP 4 billion is very much through the cycle. It's something we look at constantly. We're about to go into a planning cycle as we go into year-end and look at the budget in the next 5 years as we do every year. There's an opportunity for us to re-look at that with the board. At the moment, the guidance stays where it is.

Gurjit Kambo
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi, good morning. Gurjit Kambo, J.P. Morgan. Just two questions. Firstly, just on the competitive environment. We obviously cover traditional asset managers in our universe, and a number of them have talked about moving into private markets. Just your thoughts on that competition coming. Secondly, just in terms of performance of your funds, obviously clearly been very strong. How are clients thinking about target returns? Are they sort of accepting that returns could be lower in the future, or are they sort of expecting target returns to remain stable?

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

For now, I'll start with your last part of your question. For now, our returns haven't come down. It's hard to say. Are investors expecting returns to come down? Perhaps. In the end, it's not that meaningful because the premium you're getting compared to the public markets today has never been this wide. Even if it tightened a bit, which it's not showing any sign of so far, you're still at a very significant premium. Hence the success of what is one of our lower yielding strategy, which is Senior Debt. First part, sorry, you have to remind me.

Gurjit Kambo
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Just on the competition and from some of the more traditional players.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

There's plenty of competition from all sorts. The more traditional players, we haven't seen them much yet, to be fair. Maybe we will. It's a very different approach. What you will find is that managers who tend to be strong in the more liquid end of the market are typically not very strong on the closed end, because it's a completely different approach. Typically, the way they approach it is through the easiest entry point, which is Senior Debt. In Europe, I think it's too late. I think the positions are established. There are a few that have made some efforts. If you look at what they haven't raised all this much. Even though you would think that they're in a very good position to raise significant amounts, that's not what we've observed. Certainly for Europe and Senior Debt, I think it's too late.

I think the positions are largely established. They could be present in other strategies. Having said that, we've always had very significant competition. It's always a competitive world. Pre the financial crisis, the banks were our biggest competitors, at least for a while. I'm sure we'll have other competitors in the future.

Gurjit Kambo
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Thank you.

Arun Mahey
Analyst, Macquarie

Arun Mahey, Macquarie. Hi. Just two. I think one on just looking at fund performance. Would you be able to talk a little bit about what's happening in Asia and what challenges you're facing-

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Sure

Arun Mahey
Analyst, Macquarie

or how the development of that project is going? The second question is on just broader product development. Are you doing anything newer apart from the themes and replication of themes? Are you looking at any other different strategies in the medium-term horizon? Thank you.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

Asia. Two things. The performance in Asia is very good. It's their deployment that's lagging. That's a function of the market. The markets in Asia have been difficult for some time. Difficult in the sense that there isn't all that much deal flow, and we do not want to compromise on quality. That has led to a slight lag for these funds. Having said that, as I said earlier, if I take Asia Pac, which is our Mezz fund in Asia, we have an investment committee right after this. They have a number of deals in their pipeline. For them, it would only take two deals to get right back up on plan. Nothing to be particularly concerned about for now. We're watching it, but at the same time, this is not something you want to force.

That's always the difficulty in our industry, is you do want to incentivize the teams to do deals, but at the same time, you don't want to put so much pressure that you start doing the deals that you shouldn't be doing. We certainly don't want to go there. New strategies, we're constantly thinking about new strategies, and we're constantly talking to teams. Having said that, it's difficult, because you need an alignment of stars. You need the right team with the right sort of product, where there is a philosophical match with who we are, the same approach to risk. You need to be careful. Yes, we're constantly talking to teams. We will certainly add on more strategies as we go along. There's no doubt that when we're able to do what we've done for North American senior debt, that's the best possible growth.

Because we're doing this with a team we know. It's our Mezz team in the U.S. We're doing this on the back of a very successful strategy for European senior debt. That's the best way to grow, because it is a brand-new product, but you don't have to go through all the risk of finding a new team, going through a first-time fund, having to seed it. We don't have to seed this through the balance sheet because it's essentially seeded by the European senior debt strategy. Does that answer your question?

Arun Mahey
Analyst, Macquarie

Yeah. Just a bit. I was wondering, I think if you look at sort of medium-term developments of the franchise, are you just going to replicate what you have in Europe across different jurisdictions? If I asked you in a 10-year horizon, what do you think is missing in terms of your suite of products?

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

No. Listen, I think we need to do all of that. Bringing what we do in Europe to other geographies, if it's possible, if it's applicable, it may not always be. That's obviously a relatively straightforward thing to do because we have almost immediate credibility. We should certainly do that. I was giving the example of North American senior debt. At the same time, we need to keep thinking about broadening the suite of products, to use your expression. We know where we have potential gaps that fit into our sort of approach to investment, but that we don't have and that our investors like as asset classes. We're not in infrastructure. It's very difficult. This is a market where positions are very established. It's not necessarily an easy segment of the market to get into.

That's one our investors like, and it's the sort of risk that we feel familiar with. We spoke about distressed, for instance. We've had a distressed strategy. You may not remember, in the financial crisis, we raised a sidecar to our main Mezz fund to do precisely distressed. We called it the recovery fund. We always have the ability, if the market turns, to raise a recovery fund too. Interestingly, we've had demand from investors saying, "Whenever you're back with the recovery fund too, we're interested." It's there. Should we do more? It's a question mark. The distressed funds have had a volatile performance in the past 10 years. I think the private, very corporate restructuring-driven distressed approach hasn't worked very well in Europe, which is not a surprise. I think you have to wait for a real financial crisis to try that.

Are there more optimistic opportunities to find by taking advantage of some inefficiencies in the real estate market and some NPLs? Perhaps. These are all topics that we keep discussing.

Arun Mahey
Analyst, Macquarie

Thank you.

Benoît Durteste
CEO and Chief Investment Officer, ICG

It has to be Sorry. It has to be scalable as well. We're becoming of a size where there are plenty of good ideas for small strategies. They have to be scalable. We also have to be mindful that we've been relatively successful in growing the fund management, so that, as you could see, we're out in the market with a number of strategies every year. There's such a thing as investor fatigue. We can't be knocking on their door with another ICG product every 48 hours. We need to focus on strategies that have or can build real scale. Any other question? Okay. Well, thank you very much for attending.