Welcome to Pearson's 2024 interim results and strategic update. Today, we'll host a presentation followed by a Q&A session. There will be two ways to submit your questions. If you'd like to ask your question personally, please use the numbers that are displayed on screen. These lines will be open following the main presentation. Alternatively, please type your questions into the Questions tab at the top right of the screen, and we'll address them in turn at the end. With that, I'll hand over to Omar.
Thank you, Jo. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us today for our interim results and strategy update. I've been really looking forward to spending this time with you. We have a busy session. I'm gonna kick us off today by sharing my early impressions on the business, and then I'm gonna hand over to Sally to break down our interim results that you, many of you will have already seen in our RNS this morning. Next, I'll share with you our strategy update and what it means for our business going forward. Sally will then highlight what this means for all of you financially, and then we'll move to Q&A.
For the first part of the conversation, it's just Sally and me, and then for the Q&A, I've asked some of our wonderful team to join us here, many of whom you've met before: Art Valentine, Gio Giovannelli, Tom ap Simon, Tony Prentice, Sue Kolloru, and our new face, Vishal Gupta. Okay, since I last saw you for prelims in March, I've continued my listening and learning journey. I've had the pleasure of meeting hundreds and hundreds of our people, dozens of our customers, including following our sellers around with their customers. I met about 20 investors, a wide range of partners, and with our Pearson executive team, we've conducted about 20 town halls around the world. Also, starting in early March through June, we ran a process with about 65 of our top leaders to look at every single aspect of our business.
We brought this group together physically and covered all the topics that you would expect: market, competition, customers, operations, and more. We organized the group into action teams, addressing core business performance and growth, people and culture, data, AI, and product, and strategic partnerships. I have to tell you that the journey so far has been very exciting. I've learned a lot, and I continue to learn each day, and working with this team has been thoroughly enjoyable. Let me share a few perspectives with you on our business today. As I told you in March, Pearson does three things really well. We create and curate high-quality content in the form of learning materials and assessments. This ranges from assessment materials for surgery and nursing exams to author-driven content in Pearson+ .
We distribute this content primarily through digital systems such as the VUE Testing system or the Pearson Connexus platform for virtual schools. We build and verify skills through assessments like Certiport and PDRI, capabilities like Faethm for skills design and diagnosis, and Credly for credentialing. As you can see, Pearson offers a very diverse array of products across multiple learning and education segments, and this gives our business resilience and a range of options for future growth. Also, I've learned that under the hood, we have two distinct business models. The first is B2B services, for example, VUE, virtual schools, Pearson School Qualifications, and the second is the software business model. For example, higher ed courseware or clinical assessments or Mondly. I find that thinking about the business in this way really helps us see many areas of value creation upside.
Let me share three observations about our business. Firstly, we have five strong businesses, each with clear lines of accountability and each on a growth trajectory. I've kicked the tires on sales, sales operations, cost structure, processes, technology systems, skills, and capabilities, and I can confirm, as I told you in March, that Pearson is a solid business on a solid foundation that provides a platform with many good strategic options. As we look forward to understand future opportunity, we see that Assessments and Qualifications is a great operation. It is well-run, it is highly trusted by customers, it scales well, and it's trusted in the most high-stakes situations. Virtual Schools has lots of potential as one of just two national players. Again, it performs an invaluable service. It is trusted and is back on a growth footing after a couple of lost customers in past years.
English Language Learning. This is an entrepreneurial team, and notwithstanding the ups and downs of market trends, for example, in PTE, the team under Gio has responded extremely well by diving into hybrid institutional opportunities, because they're on the detail, they're very focused on execution and getting results. Workforce Skills, as you know, consists of two parts: the traditional strength in vocational qualifications in GED, the U.S. high school diploma equivalent, is there, and it performs very well from a growth and a margin perspective. In the last couple of years, the company invested heavily in solutions, given the clear upside potential in the worlds of skills and certifications. This is an area of focus for us and is why we have Vishal Gupta, who's landed very well, thank you, Vishal, focused on beefing up the go-to-market capability as we scale that offering.
It's no secret that the Achilles heel of Pearson for the last 10 years has been US higher ed. Many of the issues were exogenous: secondary market, open educational resources, piracy, and enrollment swings. But some were of our own making.... For example, with product stability, sales team focus, and innovation in the core product. On the external factors, we see a significant reduction in their impact today, and on the internal factors, higher ed is competitive again. This is why we're confident for a return to growth this year for the first time since 2014. I'm happy with our portfolio as it stands. Pearson is a unique company in a class of its own, delivering strong profitability, great cash flow conversion, and is diversified across customer segments and services.
In fact, we're the only B2B services company serving the full breadth of K-12 and higher ed institutions and students, governments, employers, and employees across a wide range of learning and education services. Each of our assets has a purpose in making us the natural home for learning and education. Secondly, Pearson is a trusted business. As I spoke to our customers, ranging from enterprise leaders, to professional associations, to higher ed leaders, to school leaders, to franchise owners, I heard over and over what people value in Pearson. Firstly, this is our people and culture. They're collegiate, customer-responsive, and care deeply about helping learners around the world. In other words, they're strongly mission-driven, and our customers feel this. Next is our domain industry knowledge. As I mentioned, Pearson is the home of learning and education.
We're connected deeply to networks of authors, institutions, educators, policymakers, students, companies, startups, and more, all in the space of learning and education. And these networks have resulted in several petabytes of data, high quality, leading-edge content and learning assessments, and a deep insight into how people learn. We also hear all the time from our customers that we are the gold standard. We're trusted by governments, professional organizations, educational institutions, and companies to set standards and then carry those standards for them. Finally, about two-thirds of Pearson's business is pure assessments. Think of VUE, BTEC, Clinical, GED, Pearson Test of English, Versant. While the remaining one-third is products and services with assessments embedded. This means that our core business is assessments and verification, which is increasingly important in a world of AI, because in a world of AI, anyone can make out they know almost anything.
But at some point, we need to demonstrate skills and learning, and this is where assessments are so important. In March, we set out our strategic priorities for the year. We said that we will hit consensus numbers for 2024, that we would focus on the workforce opportunity, and that we'll drive AI through our products and services. And we see AI as a tool that accelerates value and growth for Pearson. I'm happy to say that we're on track to meet our commitments for 2024, and Sally will take you through our interims update now, where you'll see a little more detail on these numbers. After Sally does this, I'll get into the strategy update, where I'll expand further on workforce and AI. Over to you, Sally.
Thanks, Omar, and hi, everyone. We've delivered another good performance in the first half, with underlying sales, excluding OPM, up 2% and adjusted operating profit up 4% to GBP 250 million. Earnings per share were flat at 25.6p, with higher net interest costs offset by the impact of the reduced share count, both predominantly due to the share buyback. Operating cash performance was again strong, up GBP 50 million from last year, with good underlying fundamentals as well as some phasing and FX benefits. Free cash flow was also strong, up GBP 77 million, given that operating cash performance and that below-the-line reorganization costs have now fallen away.
Our balance sheet remains robust, with net debt at June 2024 of GBP 1.2 billion, 0.3 billion pounds more than last year, given the GBP 500 million pound share buyback and dividends, which were partially offset by strong free cash flow. Reflecting our strong performance and our confidence in the outlook, we're proposing a 6% increase in the interim dividend to 7.4p. Touching on the key elements of divisional sales performance, Assessments and Qualifications grew 2%, with growth across VUE, Clinical, and UK and international qualifications, partially offset by an expected small decline in US student assessments. VUE renewed and won a number of key contracts, all of which support future pipeline growth. We're also pleased with the growth in PDRI, where we saw strong volumes across the TSA and United States Air Force contracts.
We continue to expect low to mid-single-digit sales growth in A&Q for the full year. In virtual learning, sales decreased 8%, most of which is attributable to the final portion of the OPM ASU contract in H1 last year. Virtual Schools was down 1%, reflecting the previously announced contract losses for the current academic year. We've already announced the opening of 3 new schools this year and a further 19 career programs, and we continue to expect Virtual School sales to decline at a similar rate to 2023 in 2024, and for the division to return to growth in 2025. Higher education sales were down 2%, in line with our expectations, and there are encouraging signs of progress in HE, with spring market adoption data indicating small share gains.
In H1, we saw 3% growth in core text units, 2% growth in US digital subscriptions, 25% growth in inclusive access, and K-12 growth of 12%, given the strong adoption cycle fundamentals in that market this year. Pearson+ performed well, with 5 million registered users and 1.1 million paid subscriptions for the 2023/2024 academic year. The latter representing 18% growth. So we continue to be confident that higher education will return to growth in the second half and for the full year. We are, of course, keeping a close eye on the FAFSA student aid situation, given the uncertainty it creates around enrollments, but we currently expect any impact to be immaterial. Lastly, on higher ed, the usual reminder of the impact on digital growth, shifting rev rec from Q3 to Q4.
English language learning grew 11%, with strong growth in institutional and Mondly, partially offsetting a sales decline in PTE. We've continued to gain market share in PTE despite a market which has declined, given the tightening of migration and international study in H1. The Argentina FX impact discussed at Q1 has faded as expected and will be immaterial in a full year context. Given the current market dynamics for PTE, we expect sales to be flat to down this year, offset by strong growth in other English language learning elements, such that we continue to expect high single-digit sales growth for the division as a whole. Our market share gains in PTE and the ramp-up for Canada mean we are well-placed for English high stakes testing market growth, which we expect in the medium term, given demographic projections.
Workforce skills grew 6%, with strong performances in vocational qualifications, GED and Credly, driven by strong renewals. Turning to profit. Group adjusted operating profit was up 4% to GBP 250 million, with the trading performance alongside net cost phasing and savings, partially offset by inflation and restructuring charges in higher education. These were always expected to be weighted to the first half. Divisionally, profits improved, with the exception of virtual learning, given that highlighted impact of OPM on H1 profit in 2023. We remain on track to meet the group's sales, profit, tax, and interest expectations I laid out at prelims, and as a reminder, every 1 cent movement in the FX rate equates to GBP 5 million of adjusted operating profit.
In summary, H1, we've seen sales growth, a 4% increase in profit, and a GBP 77 million increase in free cash flow, and we remain on track for the full year guidance. At which point, I will hand back to Omar for our strategic update.
Thank you, Sally. As I listened to our investors, I was trying to understand: what are they really thinking, and what are their, really, their past experiences with Pearson? And at the bottom of it all, I heard essentially three questions. Firstly, can this team execute? Secondly, is this really a mid-single-digit growth company in the medium term? And thirdly, Pearson seems complex. What are the small number of things they're really gonna focus on and be excellent at? These are fair questions, and I want to take you through an outside-in perspective on the company that I hope will answer these questions for you. We formed this perspective with our team of leaders from across the company, who took part in our business review process, the one that I described earlier.
As we share our update, we also want to show you some of the progress our teams are making with applying AI in our product suites, which is, of course, one of our strategic priorities for 2024. This time last year, you saw a demo of AI capabilities planned for our higher ed products. We've executed against that and expanded that plan further for back to school. So I want to begin by just rolling one of those demos. If we could play the demo, please.
Students are enthusiastic about the AI tools we launched last fall in Mastering, MyLab, and Pearson+, with more than 2 million student interactions with the tools. We're expanding the tools into international markets and into more MyLab and Mastering titles for fall, and we're pushing AI technology even further. In Pearson+ Channels, we're rolling out three new features for fall. Let's see how they work if I'm a chemistry student. Our first new feature allows me to upload my professor's syllabus. I just drop it in ... Then the AI generates a personalized learning experience and puts what I need to learn in the order that's on my syllabus. I can click into any of the assigned chapters and immediately get the videos and practice questions I need. Next, if I need to get unstuck on a hard concept, our AI tutor is now in Pearson+ Channels.
When I ask the tutor for help, it gives me the steps to solve my question and gives me video content and practice questions. Next, if I don't understand the concepts in a Channels video, I can use our third and newest, most cutting-edge feature. I can click on the AI tutor window that's right on the video. The video stops, and the tutor can answer my questions about the video concepts. It's kind of like I'm raising my hand to ask the video a question. While we're increasing the depth of student AI engagement, we're not forgetting about their instructors. We're rolling out our first AI instructor tools in Mastering and MyLab titles this fall. These tools use AI to help instructors build assignments for their students and adjust them based on length and difficulty.
Finally, we're adapting the tool for the K-12 landscape for the first time in Connections Academy. When high school students struggle with quizzes and practice tests, they can now use the same AI study tool available in Mastering, with step-by-step help to walk them through tough material. It's an important step forward for younger students as AI becomes part of the way everyone learns.
Isn't that cool? The, the hand raise thing there is literally the AI is seeing what the student is seeing in real time in the video, so they can interrupt it and essentially chat mid-video for explanations. We'll have more on how AI is adding value to Pearson and its customers as we move through the presentation. So I'm going to begin the strategy update by giving you the six conclusions, six headline conclusions, and then I'm going to break each of these into more detail on the subsequent slides. Firstly, there are two powerful secular trends that will power Pearson's growth over the next 10 years. And what's more, these trends sharpen why our purpose is so relevant in the world.
The two large secular trends that will drive our market and Pearson's growth are the shifts in demographics that are happening and the growth in the power of AI. These increase the importance of learning, skills, verified skills, talent sourcing, and talent management. And serving these needs means Pearson will unlock growth and margin. Next, Pearson has a very powerful why. We know that people benefit hugely from learning. People need to learn to progress in their lives, and Pearson is the world's lifelong learning company. Then we turn our attention to shareholder value creation and have four value drivers. First, our market analysis shows us that we are strong leaders in subsegments of the market that are about $15 billion in size, but that have been growing at about 2%.
The markets that we're targeting going forward are $80 billion in size and grow at 5% or more. Second, as you know, Pearson has been on a journey from being a holding company to an operating company. This ongoing journey, with increasing focus on organic growth and execution, gives us opportunity to drive more performance from our existing 5 core businesses. Thirdly, we can unlock execution-based synergies from across the business units, from products and services bundling, secondly, from a modern approach to software and product development, and finally, from a focus on strategic partnerships. The fourth shareholder value driver is that we see 2 important growth vectors in enterprise skills and early careers that are good adjacencies that we will focus on.
I don't really want you to plug these into your models quite yet, but as we develop the work in the space, we'll keep you fully updated. So let's double-click on each of these six elements. With our team, we started by looking at the external context around us, and we broke it down into four areas. These were the macro environment, including government spending, geopolitics, consumer trends. Then our own industry, where we studied the education and learning markets, EdTech, content, classroom trends. Then our competitive landscape, from the traditional to the EdTech players, to the range of platform businesses. And finally, we look at technology in all its forms that are relevant to learning and education.
I won't get into all the details, but I will share with you that we've gone deep on the data in these areas, and we've codified them in our Pearson Fact Book that our leaders now use to guide our decisions. But the two trends that emerge, emerge as the most pertinent growth drivers. The first is the demographic shift. This means that of the baby boomer generation, most are leaving in the next six years, which increases pressure on talent sourcing in already constrained markets. The second is the fast development of ever more powerful AI models. The combination of these two trends means that CEOs today are trying hard to, firstly, find new pools of talent to access. Think, for example, of 135,000 GED graduates that we graduate in the US every year.
Secondly, work out how people's skills can develop at a pace to cope with the advances in technology and AI. We already assess and certify millions of people in technology skills each year. Thirdly, they need to figure out how to design the future workforce that takes account of skills that can be automated or augmented by AI... This is a very real talent management question, and we have many of the elements needed to address this challenge. Technology, of course, continues to accelerate, and AI is the big story and will have profound implications over the next 10 years in the worlds of learning and education, thanks to the power of personalization with multimodal models, even if we are in a hype bubble in the short term.
But coming together, these two trends challenge us to keep growing human skills at a pace that can somehow match the incredible speed of development in new technology, in the context of a workforce with fewer people who are augmented by AI. And it's this combination that creates great opportunities for Pearson in the worlds of work and learning. Now, let me turn to our purpose. We know that the minute a child is born, it starts learning. Learning is a very human trait. Like sleep and nutrition, learning is vital in our lives, and we know that when we learn more, we get happier, we get healthier, we live longer, and we can earn more. We know that with every extra year of education, there is a 2% reduction in mortality risks.
And yet, in a market like the United States, there are already 40 million adults without a high school diploma. The world badly needs more learning, and Pearson is the world's lifelong learning company. Our people are propelled by this why, and our purpose is to help people realize the life they imagine through learning. This is our why. So in addition to studying the trends, we also took a deep, hard look at our market, and I want to illustrate this to you by looking at a very simplified version of the United States market. At the top level, this is a $2 trillion per annum market. What our team did is we broke this along two dimensions. Firstly, the customer segments, the demand side, so think K-12, higher ed, and enterprise.
Then the supply side, from offerings from content to tech services and solutions, this is where a lot of higher edtech resides, to the actual delivery of the content and services. Exactly as you would expect, about $1.9 trillion is down to things like the physical delivery of learning in the form of teacher and facility costs. We've excluded this as not being part of the business that we want to focus on. To give you a sense, we actually broke down the supply side into approximately 35 different types of market services, and then we looked at the TAM, the growth rates, and the profit trends for every cell in the matrix. Once we created our market analysis, we asked ourselves two things. Firstly, how is Pearson positioned in this particular cell in a segment today?
Secondly, we asked, how are the profit pools going to move over the next few years, given the trends that we've learned about that we looked at before? It's that work that's guiding our thinking on the market segments and the adjacencies that we will focus on. As we dug into the market analysis, we found that Pearson is strongly established in segments worth about $15 billion, and they grow at about 2% per annum, and you can see those in navy. We also identified another set of segments, illustrated in light blue, where we already have presence or that provide a close adjacency to us where we're confident we can build a strong position. These segments, inclusive of our core market, are worth about $80 billion, and they collectively grow at 5% or faster.
For example, three areas where we have strength and can grow further are in the areas of learning apps, technology workforce content, and organizational evaluations and analytics. We're establishing a new capital allocation approach internally that prioritizes these higher growth segments over time. In other words, we will invest at a faster rate in the higher growth segments going forward, and this will contribute to a higher, more sustained growth rate for the business over time. The second conclusion that we have is that simply by focusing on organic growth and performance management, we can continue to drive value in our core five businesses. Our leaders have already done a lot of good work on the journey from holding company to operating company, driving growth and meaningful margin expansion. But as we discussed with our teams, just because we're fit, doesn't mean we don't continue to get to the gym.
Our team is focusing hard on areas ranging from sales, sales operations, go-to-market execution, process optimization, vendor consolidation, our performance culture, building more execution muscle. Specifically, we're focusing on increasing customer centricity in our work, investing in our leaders, increasing clarity on our performance expectations by every role across the company, and driving collaboration in pursuit of value. Aggressive deployment of modern technology is clearly a lever in all of this. Our teams are now working on leveraging AI to improve customer services, for example, in customer-facing chatbots, AI assistance for our agents, and call transcribing. Also, to improve our productivity and performance in content generation, and of course, in the core product suites themselves. We can see that effective deployment of technology will help us realize millions of dollars in savings over the medium term. Tens of millions of dollars of savings in the medium term.
The beauty of these conclusions is that we see a solid route to continued performance improvement as part of our normal rhythms of business. Beyond these areas that apply across each of the five businesses. Each individual business unit has its own view of how to better drive growth as they execute against our corporate strategy. For example, in Assessments and Qualifications and English Language Learning, we see opportunity in geographic and vertical sector expansion. In higher ed, we can continue to accelerate the modernization of our courseware assets with AI. The same applies in virtual schools. In workforce skills, we see good growth opportunities in product bundling for enterprises, in further professionalization of our sales motions, and our approach for cross-selling vocational and professional assessments. And as you can see, each of the divisions is increasing its investment in AI capabilities across the board.
Our consumer product development teams also drive innovation into the business. For example, the AI study tools developed in Pearson+ have been rapidly expanded across our platform portfolio, so that by this fall, we will have over 60 Pearson+ and over 80 platform titles featuring the latest office hours and AI study tools. These teams are also drivers of the practical synergies when it comes to building software. More on this in a moment. And you can assume that an increasing focus on producing consumer-grade software is a key feature for our businesses going forward. So in addition to driving growth from capital allocation and driving performance in our five core businesses, we can also drive value from synergies across the business, and we're tackling these carefully so as to not diffuse accountability. And the synergies fall in three distinct areas. Firstly, product and service bundling.
We're working on the incentive regime to make it easier for our sellers to bundle products where it makes sense. It does make sense for institutional and enterprise buyers. So we see packages like PDRI and TalentLens, or TalentLens and Versant, or VUE and Credly becoming increasingly meaningful as we make it easier for our buyers to buy. Secondly, on product development, I touched on this a little bit earlier, but with consumer-grade software, I want us to go a bit deeper here. By recognizing that, in fact, Pearson is a major software product developer, and that by simply adopting modern approaches to product design, development, and deployment, we can bring a range of revenue and margin synergies to the business. This comes from common services, common data platforms, harmonized tech stacks, tooling best practices, and more.
We're reviewing in detail our product processes and policies as we evolve this part of the business. Thirdly, strategic partnering. Historically, we maybe treated our vendors a little bit all in the same way, without spending enough time distinguishing between transactional and more strategic relationships. This opens up possibilities in reciprocal trade, joint go-to-markets, and joint innovation. As we consolidate down to a smaller number of strategic partners, we can drive top and bottom-line synergies. Dave Treat, our new CTO, will be very helpful in advancing some of these agendas. We're planning on reviewing our strategic KPIs to reflect on the changes that I've been hinting at here across the business, and we'll update you on that in our prelims next year.
Now, before I move on to talk about our medium-term growth vectors, let's look at some of the up-and-coming AI tools in English language learning, virtual schools, and workforce skills. Please roll the video.
We're currently working on a tool for English language learning that makes lesson creation easier, with an AI-driven platform for English teachers. If I'm an English teacher, I may spend hours creating lessons from Pearson courseware, searching the web for materials, or creating my own. Now, AI can do it for me with Teaching Pal. Let's say I want a lesson on climate change, so I select the proficiency level I need. I choose the topic of what I want to teach, and it gives me more topic recommendations. Then, I choose the kind of activities I want to include for the student, like reading, speaking, or writing. The AI generates a custom lesson plan, complete with content like grammar practice, reading passages, or vocabulary tests. I can rearrange the content, add more activities, or even bring in content I've created myself.
We've also built help for Connections Academy teachers by adding AI to the tools that help them build custom assessments. Teachers can choose their subject, the student grade level, and the types of questions that they want, like multiple choice or fill in the blank. Then, teachers can let the AI do the work. Within minutes, they'll get a fully AI-generated assessment with various types of questions that they can edit, adjust, or further customize for their students. Finally, in Workforce Skills, we're adding skill proficiency levels to our Faethm capability. We'll start using AI to better define skill needs for people at all levels, from early career workers to C-suite executives.
I hope you like that one as well. Okay, finally, in addition to the growth drivers that I've just talked about, we also do see two medium-term growth vectors that are a very good fit for Pearson. The first is early careers.
With tens of millions of jobs needing to be filled in the coming years, for example, we already have a gap of 511,000 roles for nursing jobs, 300,000 roles for engineering, and 273,000 allied health roles in the U.S. alone. We see a strong need for new approaches and alliances to talent development based around career and technical education, apprenticeships, and partnerships with educational institutions and enterprises. By building on our strong network of educational institutions, our unrivaled IP, and existing strengths, including GED and vocational qualifications, plus our relationships with enterprises, we're uniquely positioned to support both educational institutions and enterprises as AI and demographics reshape the future workforce. Also, enterprise skills. As you know, we made workforce a strategic priority for this year.
The reason is that that market is very significant, and Pearson has several very relevant capabilities there. Vishal is focused on the following things: helping pre-assess new employees, identifying high-value skills and aptitude in candidates for early careers, learning and upskilling pathways, diagnosing learning, and future-proofing skills in the age of AI. And finally, redesigning the future workforce, augmenting and automating away tasks, changing the nature of work and jobs. We can support employers with bundled solutions from across all of Pearson. Therefore, on the back of our market analysis, we're targeting capital allocation to faster growth areas. By focusing on performance in our core business, we see profit opportunity for profit expansion, and we can add to this with synergies that are based on our execution orientation.
Finally, even if I said, "Don't put it in your models," we see good room for medium-term expansion in the two growth vectors that I just spoke about. What does this all add up to? Let me hand over to Sally to share our financial summary with you.
Thank you. I'll start by outlining the overall financials and then dive a bit deeper on cost. Of course, the group guidance I have previously given for 2024 and 2025 is consistent and still stands. As we look out to the medium term beyond this, we will be focusing our effort and investment, as Omar explained, on a larger aggregate market that's growing at 5%+. So you can expect a CAGR underlying sales growth of mid-single digits. As we continue to drive operational improvements, we expect to be able to deliver sustained margin improvement over time that will equate to an average of 40 basis points per annum beyond 2025, and we expect to maintain strong free cash flow conversion in the region of 90%-100% on average across that period.
The Pearson investment proposition provides diversified access to the growing learning market, strong financials, and highly rated planet, people, and product credentials. In terms of capital allocation, we are realigning our investment priorities around where we see the best opportunities for growth and returns. Firstly, assessments and verifications, and then enterprise skills and early careers. English language learning is, of course, relevant to each of these areas of investment focus. We expect to invest, both organically and inorganically, always following the disciplined approach that Omar will describe shortly. We will continue to maintain a strong balance sheet, by which I mean net debt to EBITDA of around 2x, on average, over time, equating approximately to the guidelines of our rating agencies.
Shorter term, it will likely be somewhat lower than that, as we want to have the flexibility to make selective, high-returning investments to complement or accelerate growth in line with our allocation priorities. Our dividend policy is progressive and sustainable, and having bought back GBP 1 billion of our shares in the last few years, we don't, at present, plan to further extend our buyback program. But we are committed to regularly reviewing this in the context of foreseeable investment opportunities and maintaining a strong but sufficient balance sheet. We are also focused on continuing cost efficiency and customer experience. Our last AI demo demonstrates some of the early ways we are using the strategies this technology enables.
A core focus of AI efforts inside Pearson is making content production more efficient, with a tool to speed up the tedious work of copy editing. If I'm a copy editor on a higher education book about construction, I can upload a chapter, and I'll get a fully edited text. The tool is smart enough to give me nuanced notes and suggestions about building codes and the correct use of technical terms. This ensures authors have the most relevant and accurate content. We're also putting AI to use in different customer service venues, like accelerating rebates for customers. And we're giving our employees a secure tool that lets them access various AI models for help with generating presentations, images, and written materials, all to encourage employees to build AI skills, be more creative, and infuse AI in their daily work.
So let me expand on this. We've identified a number of technology-enabled initiatives, which we expect to unlock tens of billions GBP of savings over the medium term. Initially, those savings will be offset by our restructuring costs, but as these pay back, they will enable us to further invest in the opportunities Omar's highlighted to drive future growth. You saw what we're doing in customer services and content in the video. In addition to this, our technology teams will continue to consolidate the services used across our business units to remove duplication and ensure the highest quality security. ... We will choose partners who use the latest technologies to reduce outsourced costs, as well as enhance the trading balance. The improved product design processes and tools Omar discussed will enhance our consumer-grade product, as well as reducing the related cost base.
These initiatives will drive better operational performance, improved customer experience, and enhanced productivity. Now, back to Omar to close us out.
Thanks, Sally. Thank you, Sally. Hopefully, this gives you a good sense of how we're thinking about our capital structure and future financial posture. I want to dig into the one area that Sally touched on here on M&A. In our leadership team, we're being very, very clear about the criteria under which we may consider acquisitions. Firstly, we will strongly prefer deals that are part of a pre-agreed strategy. Next, we expect our teams to originate thoughtfully and build up solid pipelines of possible deals over time. In other words, we will be proactive. Deals need to have very clear synergies with our core business. Synergies can be capability extensions that bring us into a new area, or perhaps they may extend our reach into newer markets. Very important for me, we're very mindful of who can do an acquisition.
This means landing deals in areas with a track record of past success. And finally, it has to be a good deal at a good price. If one steps back, we can see that Pearson is rapidly evolving. Once upon a time, it was a holding company with a set of loosely held assets, where the company moved in and out of different markets. Now, we're a unified operating company with very clear, higher growth, addressable markets, with a capital allocation approach focused on assessments and verifications, early careers, and enterprise skills. As you can see, the analog publishing business is a very small part of our current and future business, and the company today is a digital learning and assessments company. It serves its customers through convenient, usable, and AI-powered platforms.
Our company is well-focused, with 80% of our revenues coming from the U.S. and the U.K., and we're moving quickly from a legacy culture to a more modern one oriented on execution and high performance. So to wrap up, Pearson is the world's lifelong learning company. We have 17,000 people who are exceptionally focused on this mission and on helping individuals realize the life they imagine through learning. We have a strong core business in the worlds of learning and education through our assessments and verification strength, which is the bulk of our business. And we can grow value around this core through organic business performance, targeted capital allocation, and disciplined M&A.
In the medium term, our growth is fueled by the two secular trends of the demographic shift and the expansion of AI, which drive demand in our two natural adjacencies of early careers and enterprise skills. We're allocating capital in the United States to a large market of $80 billion that grows at 5% or more, and we're committed to growing at mid-single digit underlying sales CAGR, while also driving margin expansion of at least 40 basis points on average per annum. You can put those in your models. We're making this happen through a capital allocation approach targeted against this strategy, a deep focus on product innovation, and an increased execution orientation through our performance culture. We're well advanced with our 2024 priorities, with progress on our numbers, on AI, and on workforce.
For the coming years, we're focused on a small number of growth areas with a clear path to sustained growth with a leadership team that is oriented on execution. With that, let's go to Q&A. I think we've got mics at the back here. So we'll go to... We'll come to Nick. So go ahead, Sarah. Well, Sarah's closer, and yeah.
Hi, good morning. It's Adam Berlin from UBS.
Hey, Adam. Good to see you.
Thank you very much for the presentation. Good to see you. I'll just ask two areas of questions. The first is, I'm trying to understand the difference between your core business growing at 2% and the guidance for mid-single-digit growth. Maybe you can help a little bit by explaining, you know, how much of the business today is core versus in these growth areas. And can you maybe tell us, are you thinking it's lots of little things that you're doing in these growth areas that will add up to accelerate from 2 to 5? Or is it, are there 2 or 3 kind of big things you're excited about, you can tell us about today that can give us more confidence that you can get from that 2 to 5? That's the first question.
The second question is just on, on more for Sally, on the restructuring costs. Can you explain a bit more about the size and the timing of those restructuring costs, and whether they'll continue to be reported above the line, or will you continue to, or will you go back to what you were doing before and, and report them below the line? Thank you.
All right, so Adam, I'm gonna try and be super, super clear so that there's zero confusion. So the 2% figure related to those navy blue boxes. What we're saying is those are the markets that Pearson is predominantly has been focused on and where we have high market share. Actually, we've, as you know, performed faster than that recently. So it's just that the markets that we've been more invested in, where we have higher market share, have, on average, grown at 2%. What we're saying is looking forward, there's a set of other markets, the light blue ones, which are adjacent, that we're already in, but that we've been less intentional about, and they grow at 5% or more. So when you ask me, like, why am I confident about the mid-single digit thing? It's actually fairly simple.
Each of the five businesses is already performing very nicely. Look at what A&Q did last year. Workforce and ELL are ahead of that number, and higher ed, as we've said, is coming back, return to growth. So we know that the core business is actually performing very nicely in that direction anyway, so it doesn't need any, like, huge stretch of the imagination. Now, in addition to that, Sally and I are gonna be intentional with our internal capital allocation approach to say, "All right, when we make our budgets for next year, and when we make our budgets for the year after, where are we gonna put disproportionate investment?" And so we're gonna be a bit mindful about the segments that grow faster, and they'll probably see a bit more of the investment focus over time, and that's why we feel very comfortable with that.
The restructuring one, I think, is very easy, but Sally, why don't you?
Hi, Adam. So first of all, just to be super clear, 2024 and 2025 guidance, and then the 40 basis points beyond 2025, all the investment needs we have are within that and within the free cash flow, 90%-100%. So in answer to the last bit of your question, restructuring costs above, above the line, and the comment that I'm making is you don't immediately see those cost benefits fall straight through, 'cause I've got to, I've got to pay, pay for them. But on average, I usually think of about six months, sometimes a year, but usually on average, six months' worth of that saving goes into restructuring costs in the first instance, and then you see it, it come through.
Thanks, Sally. Nick?
Yeah, morning. It's Nick Dempsey from Barclays. I've got three, please. So the first one, if mid-single digit is 3.5-6.4, then I guess the 2024 organic guidance is between 2-10, which isn't, which isn't... It's quite a wide range, really. It's not especially helpful, is it? Is it possible at this point or as we go to the nine-month stage, to narrow what you're expecting for 2025, when we're backing it out of that three-year mid-single digit? Second question: this year in higher education, you've talked about winning some small share and adoptions, but beyond that, what visibility do you have on the second half? I mean, historically, we've been watching this, and it hasn't been great at this time of year.
So how do you know that you're gonna grow in the second half? Is it because you're gonna push price? Just to tack on to that, why are you confident that the FAFSA form debacle isn't going to have an impact on the number of students going to college this year? And then, sorry, just the third one is, in ELL, institutional going really strongly this year. I think if, if we've got high single digit for the division and PTE is flat to down, we need 16-17, something like that, for institutional or at least institutional plus monthly. That's not a normal year, I guess. So will we see a fall-off, a tough comp effect from that next year, and then still some headwinds in PTE next year?
All right, but you definitely cheated there, Nick. There are at least, like, five in there, but it's good. We're gonna manage. No problem. So on the mid-single digit for 2024, 2025, I think, Sally, maybe you should take that one, and then I'll come to Tom on higher ed.
Okay, so I guess I'll answer it simply, which I think you said 3.5-6.4. I think 4-6, and I'd be aiming in the, in the middle of that range and then trying to push the teams to deliver more than that. So that's the way I'd look at it, and maybe not widen that range quite, quite so much as you had been. We're really confident of getting that growth for the reasons that Omar outlined.
Thank you, Sally. All right, so on higher ed, I mean, I'll make a couple of comments, and then, Tom, if you wouldn't mind chipping in, too. You know, under Tom's leadership, the team has fundamentally restructured how our sales team approach the market. The product is fully in the cloud and way more resilient than it was previously. And I've gone and kicked the tires on sort of some of the details around things like how we do sales operations, and I have to tell you that it's a very professional shop now in terms of what we're doing. Now, in terms of back to school, yes, I mean, I think as a company, we've disappointed often in the past on that, so we're very mindful of that when we're giving you the guidance that we're giving you.
But, Tom, why don't you say a couple of bit about why we feel comfortable about it?
Yeah, sure. Thanks, and Nick, appreciated the three-part question on higher education among all the other questions. So I think from a FAFSA perspective first, and if you take a step back, clearly, the FAFSA thing has been a debacle, and we've seen that, really unfolding over the last six months, and it's been fairly painful to watch. I, I think at a macro level, you know, FAFSA clearly only applies to a subset of the population, which actually needs federal financial aid, so you've got to back that out. Then you've got to understand, you know, how that impacts the freshmen and the other cohorts in university today. And so we've done that, and so we've looked at it in a number of different ways.
We've modeled best-case, worst-case scenarios, and actually, we feel fairly good, you know, to Sally's point earlier, that it'll be a relatively immaterial number. Then if you sort of take a step back and you think about the performance of the business, as Omar mentioned, we've put a lot of practice in place in terms of sales operations, the sales team go-to-market. We've brought in a new chief revenue officer, and we've done a lot of things to improve how we go to market. You know, in short, you know, as we talked about earlier, we've seen market share gains in two-year and four-year across all parts of the portfolio in the first half of the year.
We're very pleased with that, and that was on the back of, you know, the fundamentals around product stability and the sales team being out and about in the market. In the second half, we've obviously done a lot around retention. We've done a lot around the new pipeline and takeaways. We know where we think we've won. We're clear as to what that means in terms of some of the things you've seen from an instructor tool perspective as it relates to AI, as it relates to things like the AI from a student perspective, things like the integrated reading assignments, some of the changes we've been making from a product perspective. So we feel fairly good about all of that.
In terms of the growth, the other thing I would say about 2024, of course, is the K-12 adoption cycle is also a positive, and so that also underpins our confidence. So if you just take a step back, whether it's sort of the quantitative metrics, the qualitative feedback from the sales force, we feel very good about where we are at this time of year, getting into the key selling season.
... Thanks, Tom. I mean, I'm gonna just sort of pile on a little bit to what Tom said. It's like once upon a time, Pearson was very famous for being the innovator in the world of learning and education, and maybe we allowed ourselves to go a bit off the boil at one point. In reality now, with all these AI tools, we're seeing higher win rates and great takeaway results in Tom's team, because actually, our sellers are telling us, like, the feedback from students and professors is, like, incredibly positive about how helpful this stuff is for them in their lives.
Right, so on the ELL question, I don't wanna embarrass Gio here, but the fact is, this team, as I mentioned earlier, is really in the detail of their markets, market by market, and really understanding where the growth comes from. And so, I mean, Gio is gonna comment on institutional in a minute and where we see that going, but as you look at PTE, I encourage you to look at some of the other players in the market and look at what that implies around share, on the Pearson side, 'cause I think the team is doing extremely well, indeed, in a market where there are some political winds around migration in the current period. But go ahead, Gio, on institutional.
Yes, thank you, Nick. It's a very good question. So I feel confident about maintaining the high single-digit guidance for this year, but also for next year, and I'll tell you the reasons why. In PTE, which, as you say, is less than half of our revenue, we have done very well on relative terms. So the market is declining about 9%-10% as of today, 16%, and we've declined only 9%, so we've been gaining share. The reason why I feel confident about PTE over time is that we can, one, expand our addressable market. For example, we just started leveraging Canada, which is a big market for us. We have other smaller markets in which we're gaining recognition. We have professional recognitions, and so over time, we can expand the market.
At the same time, we're gaining share in key, sending geographies like India and China. In both of them, we have numbers that show that our share has significantly increased. And over time, I think we have a very good product in which we're making, you know, continuous improvement, so I feel pretty good about PTE. As of institutional, you're correctly saying it's, it needs significant double-digit growth. We will deliver that. Let me give you a couple of reasons why. Institutional, our institutional business has about a 7% market share in a market that is worth approximately GBP 3 billion. Of those GBP 3 billion, 1 is in proficiency assessment, where we just scratched the surface.
So again, in the same rationale I gave you before, we can expand our addressable market by focusing on segments that we haven't really looked at so far. Second, in geography terms, we're pretty strong in LatAm and the Middle East, but we have opportunities to further growth. The share is very small, and we can continue to do so. And third, and most importantly, we're infusing AI in our products, so we have some incredible assets. If you think what we... the Global Scale of English is a granular scale that allows us to tag every bit of content assessment to a single standard, and that allows us to design personalized path for growth. So that also increases our possibility to grow revenue over time. Thank you.
Right.
Just on those PTE numbers, 'cause there's quite a lot we're throwing at you. So, from a markets perspective, as Gio said, about 16% down. Then when you look at volumes, around about 10% down. When it comes to revenue, just 2% down. So performance like that in that market is something the team are rightly very proud of.
Thank you. I think Luke was next, and yeah.
It's on?
Yeah.
Luke Holbrook from Morgan Stanley. My first question is on the tens of millions of pounds of cost savings that you're alluding to. Just interested to hear practical examples of where that lies. Is this AI resulting in a step change of cost savings that you can make? It just seems like every set of results, there's more costs to come out. The second question is just, you've done a lot of analysis on the TAMs. Just be interested to hear your discussion on market share, something that, that maybe was missing in that part of the presentation, maybe on higher ed or VUE or just something to draw out there. And then the final question was just on the way that you're viewing Pearson now from more of a, a holding company to an operating company.
Are you comfortable with the way that the segmentation is currently split? Is that something that you're looking at or on the way that you would rather Pearson be viewed from an equity perspective? Thank you.
Thank you very much. I think we'll start maybe with the cost one with you, Sally, in terms of, early thoughts there. I mean... But I just want to reiterate one of the key messages, Luke, which is we look at the business, we need to improve every day. I mean, so the mindset is, I look at myself and say: How do I improve? I ask the team, like: How are you gonna improve? And then we ask the rest of the team how are they improving. So that's, like, just part of the philosophy, of like, raising the performance bar on ourselves is a key part of what we do. So the fact that we can make savings over time shouldn't be surprising. That should be just what we do.
But obviously, with the advent of AI and the productivity gains you can get there, that just gives you some options. But Sally, if you'd like to double-click.
Yeah, absolutely. So, there are opportunities that come about over time, and, and you've always heard me talk about Pearson being cost conscious, and that's about every time there's a new technology that comes out or a new opportunity, or we see something that somebody else is doing, we make sure that we're on that and using that to Pearson's benefit. That's what you'd expect from us, and that's what we do. And we've got lots of projects underway at the moment. Some of the folks at the back of the room will be leading them here, but that they're in the areas that I called out.
So customer services is a real opportunity for us, and each time I called each of these out, I was trying to demonstrate that it's not just about cost savings, there are other benefits from it as well. So in the customer services space, it means that we'll be able to improve our customer expectations as well, which has a top line as well as a bottom-line impact to it. So customer services content, you saw that video on the screen. Actually, Gio's team have been really leading the way internally to develop these schools so that the many hundreds of people we have across the business who are developing content on a day-to-day basis, who are programming in our software products, are doing it in an ever more efficient way.
Then there's the use of technology services across the business, making sure that we do it once and then share that across the business from a technology point of view, but also from a product point of view in Tony's team, so that we're using the expertise we have centrally.
...And then last but not least, the work that we do with our partners, so our vendors and our partners across the business, making sure that we choose partners who are using those technologies themselves, 'cause that will improve the cost to us. And also looking at those relationships and making sure we're, you know, we're commercially helping people as a with our products in those businesses as well. Sorry.
I'm gonna give you, like, a little sort of a bit of an aha moment that I had, Luke, when I was starting to understand Pearson. As, as you know, because of the way Pearson grew up, with all these different assets coming together, it turns out each one of them was building software on different technology stacks with different vendors. So the minute you look at that and go like: Huh, I can, if I'm doing AI for item generation to build up an assessment, I don't need to do that 15 times. I can do it once. And that kind of approach gives us very clear line of sight to, to things that we can do here. On your market share one, I'm gonna duck it a little bit, but I'll, I'll tell you, I'll tell you why.
It depends on what you think the denominator is. If you think the denominator is GBP 15 billion, you get a market share number. If you think the denominator is GBP 80 billion, you realize that our market share is relatively small, and there's a huge upside space to grow into, and that's the focus that we have. So yes, VUE in its markets is very strong. Higher Ed in its markets is very strong. You know what those numbers are. But actually, it depends how you frame the TAM. And we've looked and very forensically to say exactly which bits of TAMs are utterly addressable by Pearson, because we have brand legitimacy, because we have skills and capabilities, and we already have a presence, but we just need to focus on it a bit more.
And so that's the intent on how we go after the market share. On the comment about the segments and how they are, I like the five businesses as they are today. It's very helpful. I love the fact that you have decision rights pushed as close to the market as possible, that you have people who know the market well and can make decisions on the basis of sensing the market. So that's something that, you know, for now, I'm very good with where we're at. Tom. And sorry, then the gentleman behind Tom.
Good morning. It's James Tate from Goldman Sachs.
Hey, James.
Thanks for the presentation. I've got two questions, please. I think firstly, Omar, as part of your updated strategy, you're really looking to unlock revenue synergies across the business units through bundling and cross-selling. I'm just interested, where do you see the most significant opportunities, and when do you expect to start realizing benefits here at scale? Then secondly, what has been the customer feedback from the strategy shift in Workforce Skills towards a more modular offering? And do you expect to maintain the current levels of investment in the business beyond 2024, or do you think it will start to come down? Thank you.
Yeah. So I'm gonna talk to Art a little bit on bundling, and he can maybe refer you to some of the work he's doing jointly with Vishal in a space that we see something that's quite interesting there. On the modular one, I mean, we can, we could talk about it a little bit. The customers, they don't come to us and say: "Hey, like..." You know, they, they're not, if you like, focused on what we've publicly said about our strategy or whatever. They're focused on, like, how do you solve this problem? And so the pro-- there's three sets of problems that we're seeing that they want help with and that we're docking with, and Vishal will get into that with you for a moment. But let's start with the bundling question first. Art, why don't you?
Yeah, sure, sure thing, Omar. So you would have seen in the presentation that we went through a couple of examples that reference the VUE business and different parts of the VUE business. And I'll just start with, hopefully, a not too obvious base point. VUE is one of the example businesses that is at the heart of verification. If you come out of VUE with a passing result, that means something about your knowledge, which is very interesting to the enterprises that Vishal is selling to. So for example, our recent PDRI acquisition is very, very strong in assessing the skills of potential hires, very focused on the federal government, and we're quite happy with how that's performing thus far, but very nice synergy into the enterprise world.
The second example of that is an offering that sits within the Workforce Skills group called TalentLens, which is a part of the Pearson portfolio that is similarly focused on pre-hire assessments. Very interesting synergy opportunities with what we have in PDRI. Excuse me. Then one last example that I'll share with you, James, is the Credly offering. So imagine a world in which someone comes out of VUE, which leads them to a verification that is valuable in the workforce, and then that shows up in their Credly profile, showcasing to their current employer and potential future employers the richness of that verification. Building stronger bridges between those parts of the offering is a good example of the type of bundling that we're talking about.
Thank you, Art. So Vishal, do you wanna pick up on how you're thinking about solutions, and particularly with the modular question?
Sure. Thanks. Thanks, Omar. So, you know, I wanna pick up a bit on what Art was referring to. So we are really going after three problem statements for our clients, right? Problem statement one is all around what we call as talent planning. And when we say planning, this is really about looking at your current talent base for their skills.... particularly in the world of AI, what skills do you have today? What skills will you build for the future? Which skills will be automated away, you know, tasks will be automated away with AI? So that's one problem statement, which most of our clients are talking to us about. The second one is what we call as talent sourcing, and that is really about building, you know, talent pipelines, doing pre-assessments for people.
The example that Art gave around, around TalentLens and PDRI, that's one of the bundles that we want to have in that space. So that's really a second space, which, by the way, is a very fast-growing market as well. And the third one is what we call as talent development, which is really about learning, assessing, and credentializing. So that's the cycle there. Again, a market in which we have a presence across the board, but we are gonna be laser-focused on that. Again, a very large space for us to grow on. So those are some of the navy blue areas where we have a presence, as Omar was saying, but we see significant headroom for further growth as well.
Thanks, Vishal. Tom?
Thank you. It's Tom from Citi, and thank you for the presentation, and the opportunity to ask a question. The first one, sort of a philosophical one, then bleeding into an actual question, I suppose, is, in general, are you willing, going forward, to sacrifice margin in order to deliver better growth? And then, I suppose, the pointed part of that is, in 2025, you're guiding to 16%-17% margins, and I think, you know, currently, we're looking for about mid-16s for this year. So I suppose, could we see margin at a group level dip before moving back up if there's a growth opportunity? So that was the... Well, it's the first two questions, isn't it? The next one is on AI and, in particular, higher ed, but I guess maybe philosophically for the whole group.
Should we think about the AI aspirations being about driving adoption share rather than sort of pricing per se? I know, I think it was Adam asked about pricing in higher ed earlier on, but I, you know, whether we could touch on that as well, whether there's scope to price off the, what seems to be strong success of the AI plan. And then the final thing, pipeline for deals. I mean, you did talk a little bit about your criteria more broadly, but is there stuff sort of, you know, that's oven-ready?
Yeah.
Thank you.
I'm actually gonna take most of those. I might drag Tom and Tony a little bit in the second one. I mean, this is, like, a philosophical question you said. And if you do the relative value of growth or the Holst analysis on Pearson, et cetera, it will tell you that, like, an incremental point of growth will give you more share, you know, share value, shareholder value than margin. We have zero intention of reducing our margins. So just, just to be clear, but we understand the power of growth. There's a lot of evidence out there. I remember AQR did this analysis ages ago. I mean, like, you can have growth and margins. Like, good, good companies weirdly do growth and margins and ESG. I mean, that's just, like, what good companies do.
So I think we should have that aspiration of ourselves. So, yeah. I mean, I could talk more about it, but I think you get the idea. So-
Can I just pick up-
Yeah.
the 16 to 17 point, 'cause I've heard people are kind of, "She's saying 16 to 17. I was kinda hoping for 17." The reality is, the 17 is more likely than the 16, and we are, as Omar's just said, focused on margins, so.
On the AI topic, I mean, the way I think about the AI thing, and I mean, maybe I'll pull you guys in. The beauty of AI, it allows you to personalize an interaction. I mean, it's just a very powerful tool. Then, if you're an instructor constructing a course, and there's a whole load of drudgery of, like, finding the PowerPoints from last year to build a new curriculum and setting new assessments and figuring out the classroom schedule, and our ambition is to free up instructors and educators to be able to coach students and, like, interact with people. So the AI does the inhuman stuff, so the humans can do the human stuff. I mean, that's the intent. On the student side, again, you know, we all learn in different ways.
We have different modalities that suit us. Some, some people like listening, some people like watching, some people like reading, and so being able to interact with an AI that understands how I'm learning and I can interrogate it at the right moment is a very powerful way. So the way I think about the AI is actually it's a very... I mean, it solves problems for learners, but it's a great engagement tool. It keeps people in the Pearson platform, where you can solve their problems. That, that's the right way, I think, to think about it. But I, I don't know. Tom, Tony, do you wanna add to that?
Maybe just one thing to add. In Omar's thing, he showed how we're moving to be a digital company, and I think just to build on what he's saying, because we now have these experiences where we're getting from the students what they're doing, you know, we used to just throw a book and, like, God knows what we did. I was just last week looking. I can tell you by topic exactly what the students are struggling with. Like, I was looking yesterday at biology, where we now know, yesterday, most students were struggling on DNA, tomorrow, et cetera. So there's so much power in what Omar is saying around how we can bring those experience, how we can bring them real time to create more value, to free up time for teachers and to help students learn.
That's the only add I would put.
That's perfect. Thank you, Tony. On the pipeline for deals, I just want to be incredibly clear. Our focus is on medium to long-term shareholder value expansion. That's our focus. And so that means that you would expect us to know exactly what's happening in our landscape and the market around us and understand exactly what is in play or what may be in play and what we would want to be in play. But that's for us to do. It's our homework. But M&A is just a tool. It's a tool to accelerate a growth strategy that we've already talked about in assessments and verifications or early careers or enterprise skills. And if we do M&A, it'll have to fit the criteria that I outlined earlier. Any other comments? Any other questions? Oh, Joe, on the platform. Go ahead.
Don't worry about me. I've got three questions from Sami, from BNP Paribas. So first one is: As you plan to focus investments on assessment and verifications and then enterprise learning and early careers, shall we understand that higher education and virtual schools are no longer core and up for disposal if an attractive opportunity presented itself? Second question from Sami is: Can you comment on your exposure to the K-12 adoption cycle, which looks like a driver of the 2024 return to growth in HE? How big is K-12 adoption revenues, and is it just AP revenues, or have you gone back into the K-12 adoption market after selling to Savvas? And then the third question from Sami is: Why did the number of enterprises in Workforce Solutions fall in first half 2024 versus 2023?
Yeah. Sami, thank you very much for your questions. On the first one, as I said, I'm very happy with the portfolio that we have. Each piece of the portfolio performs a role in making us the home of learning and education. Assessments and verifications is not only A and Q, just to be clear. Assessments and verifications happens across almost every bit of Pearson. So think about BTEC and GED and Versant and PTE. They're not in A and Q, but they're assessments. Also, in higher ed courseware, it's full of assessments. So we do assessments across the business. And so, no, there are no plans to change the portfolio, because we're focusing on assessments and verifications. On the K-12 adoption cycle, Tom, I'd like you to pick that one up, please.
Sure. I, I'd also just make the point, Sami, that, you know, higher education and virtual schools, they're early career businesses, because you kind of need one of each of those to get somewhere for most of the time in your career. So it's kind of important in that context. I mean, I think the K-12 adoption cycle, so firstly, we're not going back into competing with Savvas or building, you know, the full K-12 curriculum, so we're not doing that. This is AP and CTE product, which already exists in the higher education landscape. We sell that into the K-12 space. So the way to think about it is, you know, that there's obviously a market that's relatively steady state in some parts, and then you've got some adoption benefits in some parts as well.
We're seeing a material spike in the adoption cycle this year. And, you know, it's not a huge part of the business, it's an important part of the business, and so that's why it's giving us some confidence in the bump this year in terms of growth.
Thanks, Tom. Vishal, do you want to pick up on the shape of the curve in Workforce?
Yes, exactly. So, you would have noticed a drop in the number of enterprise customers, but I do want to clarify that's by design, because what we did was we went through an exercise to look at the large number of customers we have, and some of the customers what we found was very small in size, very limited stickiness, and no ability to really grow in those customers. So we have kind of been very thoughtful about that, and together with those customers, we found a way to exit those relationships. That's why you see a drop, but that's been pretty much by design.
Yeah. I mean, I think, Sami, on enterprise, whenever you have a Pareto curve, the profitability tends to follow the Pareto curve. Like, at the bottom end of the tail, it's like, it's not necessarily where you want to be. So, like, keeping a sharp focus on the shape of the Pareto is an important part of for what we do in enterprise.
One more from individual investor, James Gunn. If Pearson looking to enhance their learning experience, are they looking to collaborate with AI companies?
Oh, so I mentioned one of the key sources of synergies that applies across the five businesses is strategic partnering. And when I mean, and I, and I really do believe this, that the best companies in the world innovate fast and heavily, and no one company is big enough to innovate alone. I mean, and if you need evidence, look at Microsoft with OpenAI. I mean, it's literally a very, very critical way of driving the performance and growth of a business in the medium term. So yes, of course, you would expect us to build out some strategic partnerships. We see those in the areas of content, we see those in the areas of learning, and we certainly see them in the areas of technology, including AI. Okay.
So I think, ladies and gentlemen, thank you so much for being with us and giving us your time. We appreciate it a lot. But I think this is the end of our formal part of the day, and look forward to seeing you soon. Take care.