Seplat Energy Plc (LON:SEPL)
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May 1, 2026, 4:35 PM GMT
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CMD 2025

Sep 18, 2025

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Amazingly, everyone's got in bang on time, so thank you very much for that. It means we can start literally at 2:30 P.M. Good afternoon, everybody. Good afternoon to everybody online, or good morning depending on where you're joining us from. Thank you very much for joining us today for our Capital Markets Day. It's been a lot of work to get here, that's for sure. My name's James Thompson. I'm the Head of Investor Relations here at Seplat Energy. Just before I start, quick safety moment, very important, obviously. Today there's no fire alarms planned. If there is one, it will not be a practice. Please make your way through the two exit doors on the side here. There'll be somebody from the London Stock Exchange in a hi-vis jacket who will take you down to the muster point outside. We've got a lot to get through today.

There's a pretty packed agenda here. I won't go through it in detail because we'll run through it, but just to say we're going to run for about an hour and a half for the first section, where we'll get to the bottom of the operations piece. Then we'll take a short break for 10 or 15 minutes, and then we'll come back for about another hour just to close and give you plenty of time for questions, after which those online will be leaving you, but those that are here in the room can join us outside for a drink. To get us started, we have our speakers here today, and I'll just introduce them from left to right. On the left there, Oke Emba, our Director of New Energy. Sat next to him is Ola Dotun Tsiak, who is our Managing Director, Offshore.

Names you'll be more familiar with: Samson Ezugworie, our Chief Operating Officer; Eleanor Adaralegbe, our Chief Financial Officer; and, finally, of course, Roger Brown, our Chief Executive Officer, who will start proceedings. Roger, the floor is yours.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

OK, hello everyone. Let me just start by going through, let me give you an overview of everything, and we're entitled to this presentation today, Building an African Energy Champion, something that Seplat's been doing since its foundation in 2009, and you'll see today quite some changes. Let's go into the next slide. Oh, I'm controlling the next slide. OK, there you go. It's all manual. You've got to work hard here, don't you? OK, here we go with our vision of growth, and you know, really today it's our first opportunity to set out to you the MPNU transaction, the acquisition of Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited in Nigeria, and I think now you'll see that the business is truly on its way to being a champion.

If you look at the three main boxes there, we're underpinning here on strong production growth, and the key message here is growth, not just in the five years we're showing you here today, but well into the next decade and beyond. The significant operational financial efficiency is coming, and you'll see that, and then a clear pathway to enhance shareholder returns, and we just announced today our revised dividend policy, which is going to turn a lot more return back to shareholders, and underpinning that is all our values. I won't go into too much detail on that at this stage. What is our investment case, and what are our key takeaways for you as investors and stakeholders?

I think our acquisition here, along with our existing business, and we shouldn't underestimate the power of our existing business with the offshore business, means that we can deliver enhanced shareholder returns over a long period of time. What's driving that is our giant resource base, and it is an enormous resource base, which then gives us the ability to group production, which will then in turn lead to shareholder returns. You'll see quite a lift of reserves here and contingent resources. We've got a couple of slides on that, and we'll go into some more detail around that, but just the headlines are 2.3 billion barrels of 2P+2C oil resources and gas, and on a gross JV basis, that's 5.5 billion. If you put it all together, we've got 40% of it. It's 5.5 billion barrels.

In terms of production growth, we're laying that out to 2030, and we're targeting over 200,000 barrels of oil equivalent, and on a JV basis, that's 500 million barrels of oil equivalent. This company now is a very sizable company and very material for Nigeria, with lots of upside potential, which we'll run through. You look at our strategy and positioning here, and we put this, I won't go through all the values. You can read that on the website, but the five main areas here just to highlight, scale. We have high quality. This is, without a shadow of a doubt, some of the best resource on the planet. 95% of our reserves we operate, and I think that's a very key point here.

We have control over 95% of our reserves, which is then generating material cash flow, and you can see there in the six months sales this year, you know, 92% sales are in USD. It's a USD in dominance business. Leadership, I think that's one thing that we have always set our store out from the start is that we're a truly indigenous company. You can see that. We're in a leading position, and our governance and our positioning on the market of the NGX and LSC is very important to us. The governance element, growth, and we'll talk a lot about the growth through the slide deck, but you'll see massive ambition of growth there. In terms of the portfolio diversification, we're in 11 blocks, five gas plants, three export terminals, 48 producing fields, and 47% of our reserves are onshore with 65% liquid.

What that's really saying is not only were seven blocks beforehand before we bought ExxonMobil Offshore, but now it's different because we're now operator, and we're operator of terminals. We're in much more control of our export, will it oil or will it be gas? That then feeds into the resilient infrastructure. Over the years, we have been putting plans in place to really improve our infrastructure and give much more stability to it, and those in return will give us enhanced returns. More to follow on that. Let's just put out our scorecard. When we went for our IPO back in 2014, we set out five main areas of our scorecard as a target in IPO, and let's run through those. The first one there was 100% reserves replacement. Beyond inorganic acquisition, we want to be able to replace reserves that we produce, and IPO with 100% reserve replacement.

You can see there by the end of 2024, we have not just inorganic growth, but also we have been able to convert a lot of contingent into 2P reserves. If you look at the gross operated production, we had a target of 85 post IPO. We're now 280, operated oil and gas production. Inorganic growth centered on Nigeria. At that point, we had one acquisition. Now we've got four and four major acquisitions, and I think the latest acquisition has really been the stepping stone to be able to execute quite a sizable company acquisition and actually able then to take it on and we'll grow it. We're very confident that we'll be able to grow this production with the staff we have. In terms of gas, when we started to take over the company all these years ago or started the company, gas was in its infancy.

Nigeria is a gas province. There is more gas than there is oil, but actually very few people had been investing, particularly in domestic gas. I think Seplat set out its stall by saying we're going to go and do this back in 2012. We had an ambition of 88 million scots, and by the end of 2024, you can see there are 450 million scots, and I really see this growing quite exponentially over the coming years. The dividend was very critical for us in ensuring that we return money to shareholders. By the end of 2024, we had paid a cumulative $719 million in dividends, and we've now set out our plans for increasing that even further. Let's look at progress since MPNU completion. We put this out before.

You'll see this on our results for the H1 2025, but you can see there in all the metrics, you know, we really are now putting in quite sizable increases in production, group revenues, EBITDA. Our dividends are increasing. Our credit rating has improved, and you'll see that in Eleanor's section, but we are now, we've pierced a sovereign ceiling. We're now rated higher than the equivalent Nigerian paper, which is a very big thing for us. In terms of CO2 emissions, which is our commitment to sustainability, we have plans to reduce that, and they're starting to come to fruition. Our production there is 134.5. Our target for the year is 120 to 140. You can see that we're in the upper end of that target range, and then you can see what our plan is in the next five years. Production operation is critical, and then financial performance.

I won't go into too much detail now because we've got sections on this in terms of our balance sheet strength and our capital allocation. Offshore performing from day one. What we find is when we acquired Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited, we have almost 850, extremely well-trained staff, extremely experienced. What we find, to our real pleasure, is very motivated to buy the story about this is about growth, and this growth is about aligning with Nigeria's production growth. It's good for the country. You can see there on the right-hand side, what we're showing there is the production by month last year and then post-acquisition for this year. I draw your attention to the averages. You might be able to see here, but I'll call them out for you. Last year's average is 149.6 thousand barrels of oil equivalent.

This year, in the half year, our average has now gone up to 177.5. That is a mixture of more production coming on stream, but also more reliability from the integrity and maintenance work we're doing, which I'm sure Tothen will get into when he gets to his section. A lot of that is reopening wells. We have idle wells, and again, I won't talk too much about it here. Tothen will deal with his section, but the secret here is bringing on previously shut-in wells, which is going to bring on more production. Motivated staff, and that's half the battle, having a staff that's motivated, aligned with the Seplat ethos and strategy. Let's now look at our roadmap to 2030, which is really looking at maximizing our value to all stakeholders.

In a couple of areas here, we look at the sort of small box there is 2020 to 2024, and then the bigger boxes there are 2026 through to 2030. You can see there in terms of all the metrics, right? You've got CapEx, OpEx, wells drilled, gas project sanctioned, and reserves produced. It's a multiple uplift. It's a step change. You've got $0.9 billion of CapEx in the previous five years. The next five years, $2.5 to $3 billion. You'll see there in terms of what we're going to do in the CapEx. OpEx, again, is three and a half to four times, $1 billion to three and a half to four. New wells drilled, 49 in the 2020 to 2024, now 120 to 150, and that's spread between the offshore and the onshore business.

Gas project sanctioned, and you'll see that us really ramping up the access to gas, and Oke Emba will run through that in his section. Then looking at the reserves produced, 89 million barrels of oil equivalent over the last four or five years. Going forward, 300 to 330, so quite a sizable uplift in reserves produced. Good news is we've got lots of reserves and resources to produce. Let's look at the roadmap to 2030, focusing on what most people in the room are really focused on, which is total shareholder return. We've got that grow, earn, and return. Grow, so working interest production, targeting in excess of 200,000 barrels of oil equivalent, and that on a JV basis is 500,000 barrels of oil equivalent. That's a 50% uplift around that from the six months in this year, and that's assumed for the full year.

In terms of earn, we have cumulative operating cash flow, $5 to $6 billion over that five-year period versus $2 billion in the 2020 to 2024, which is a 150% uplift on that. Returning the cumulative cash dividend with a new policy, we would expect or we're targeting a cumulative cash dividend over the five years of $1 billion, which we equivalent, assuming the shares don't change, at 600 odd million shares, it's about $1.66 a share. That's quite an uplift from where we were before. It's all a step change here in terms of returning to shareholders. Let's look briefly at our world-class resource base. Again, we have put out today a new reserve report. This is a reserve report that is an independent study done by Roger Scott. One thing I'd say about this before we kick off, we saw this resource in the acquisition case.

The problem we had is that because of the size of the acquisition, this was defined as a reverse takeover on the London Stock Exchange, and there are certain rules and regulations around that, which makes any CPR report you do limited. That's what we find. Our CPR didn't look at all the fields and effectively had to assume that ExxonMobil were running this. We had it running out to, I think, 2033. When you put in what Seplat's going to do with it, then you can see the uplift. It's what we saw previously rather than we've miraculously increased reserves here. It's a very important point. You look at 2P reserves, OK? Look at our 1,043 million barrels of oil equivalent, 2P. Slightly more offshore than onshore. This is on the 2P, 65% liquids, 32% gas, and 3% NGLs, non-gas liquids.

2C resources, and this is the element that we need to focus on to convert into reserves. It's 1.3, almost 1.3 billion barrels. Previously, it was 330 million. That's a huge uplift there of 280%. Again, that's weighted to the offshore gas, which you'll see in a second. 7% is onshore. 93% is offshore. It shows you, you know, Seplat Energy was very focused on its contingent resources. Now we're going to get after this for the offshore business. Translates into 2P+2C, which I think you'll see is quite sizable, 2.3 billion barrels. Even though we're going to uplift production, we have a lot more to go into the future. 25% of that is onshore, and 75% is offshore, and almost half and half between liquids and gas. I won't go into too much detail.

I'll let you look at this in your leisure, but we give you a little bit more detail on the offshore business with the CPR. You can see there that it's trying to explain that we've now looked at 16, or Roger Scott has looked at 16 more undeveloped fields. They've applied what we have done so far since we own it. You can see there in terms of the prior estimates and the new CPR for 2P offshore and 2C. Quite a sizable increase, and I'm sure you'll have a good look at that in your own time. If I look at drivers behind the changes, just reiterating what I said earlier, CPR based on sellers' development plan, not the buyers. Big difference. Drilling ended in 2036. Our drilling assumed to 2055. You can see the decline curve analysis there in the red line in that chart.

Much better at that decline curve analysis. On the other quite fancy chart on the right-hand side, quite detailed, but what that's looking at is new well count, new rig count, and the fact that we're going into 2055. That all has an impact in realizing higher 2P reserves and 2C resources. Again, this is another way to look at it, but what this is looking at is the growth. It's really saying is, you know, how big is all this resource? This is a 10 billion barrels, of which 4.4 billion is remaining. Yes, ExxonMobil's worked this. They've worked it for quite a number of years. They've accessed a lot of reserves and resources, but what we're showing here clearly is there's a lot more to come. It's really alive. Again, we'll show you just in terms of liquids, gas, et cetera. Let's put this in context, right?

It's important to sort of look at how do we then look like against some of the other European E&Ps you'll be familiar with. The left-hand chart there, you can see Seplat Energy, and you've got, well, we're in red and gray, but effectively it's 2P and 2C. The dark green is 2P, the light green is 2C. The dots you might be able to see, they're certainly in your printouts, you'll see them. What that is, is reserve production ratio. You can see Seplat's 21 years, and you can see all the other ones. One thing that we need to do is really start to work this. This is based on 2025 production. It's going to get better as we increase that production, but we really want to reduce that reserve production ratio because we're accessing. We're big, 2.3 billion barrels, and you can see against Harbor 3.2.

You've got Acker 2.4. We're quite sizable against VAR, Energy, and Ithaca. If you then look at the right-hand side, every good chart that anyone presents, you have to present your side, of course, but if you look at the enterprise value, we're tiny, right? We have 2.8 billion barrels, or $2.8 billion enterprise value against all the ratios. What we're really saying is, and it's up to us to start to prove this to you, is this enterprise value is the wrong thing. The leverage is low, OK, and I think the share has got a long way to go. More to follow on that. OK, let's play the video, please.

Speaker 3

Nigeria's energy sector is at the heart of national progress, driving growth, powering industries, and shaping the nation's future. At the center of this transformation is the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, led by Group Chief Executive Officer. Together with partners like Seplat Energy, the priority remains delivering reliable energy today while building a stronger, cleaner, and more sustainable energy future.

Seplat has been a pioneer in terms of domestic gas supply and domestic gas processing. That's something we are very proud of. Seplat has been known to be one of the top suppliers of domestic gas that is supporting one-third of our domestic gas power grid. That is a significant amount, to say the least. Building on that domestic gas supply also is the ANOH Gas Processing Plant project, which is now approaching commissioning, expected to supply another 300 million standard cubic feet into the domestic market. The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited Seplat JV has now initiated and commenced the capture and supply of LPG to the domestic market. Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited today is, as you know, a shareholder of the Dangote Refinery, which is currently doing well. Some of our existing refineries, we're also expecting to put them to shape.

Nigeria's energy sector is guided by a clear strategic vision focused on growth, energy security, and the transition to cleaner, more sustainable solutions. Driving this progress are key economic reforms, the momentum created through joint venture partnerships, and efforts to position Nigeria as an attractive destination for global investment.

NNPC doesn't act alone. We act with our partners in joint ventures, production sharing agreements, and other arrangements in which we partner with operators, other contractors as well. In terms of investments, the targets are also very clear that we should attract a minimum of $30 billion of additional investment by 2027 and double that by 2030 to $60 billion. For us, our primary focus is around providing clean energy to Nigerians and supporting that across West Africa. As you know, we now have the pipeline going up to Ghana, up to Ivory Coast now. Get access, get energy access to people. We are doing that through gas in different forms and shapes. I think that's what our main focus is.

At Seplat Energy, we are proud to partner in this journey, delivering reliable energy today while investing in cleaner solutions for tomorrow. Together, we are shaping the future of Nigeria's energy landscape.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

OK, so Nigeria, land of opportunity. This is not an economics presentation, so we'll just come through a couple of slides. I think the takeaway here is it is an improving domestic macro environment. I think some of the hard decisions have been taken by this presidency. We're starting to see the inflation rate at the back end there starting to come down. We're starting to see the bottom chart there, which is the exchange rate, a stabilization of the exchange rate, which obviously helps in terms of stabilizing the country. I think there are a lot of good directional steps by Nigeria, and it's a matter of just keeping this going, which will really help in terms of how we build our business. If you then look at the gas opportunity, and one of the reasons why we're very big into domestic gas is we believe in this market.

We can see there in some of the charts on the left, the electrification rate in Nigeria is very, very, very low. Urbanization rates are growing, so people need access to energy, electricity particularly. The far right there is actually the population prediction. Now, it's a prediction. We don't do population charts, but I think the direction here is this is a fast-growing population. It's growing quite dramatically. We believe, I mean, look at the numbers. It looks like Nigeria is adding the population of the UK every 10 years, or the UK or France. I'm sorry, the population of France every 10 years. It's a massively growing population. There's a ready undersupplied in electricity. We really see our gas, domestic gas play is really driving that.

As the Group CEO of Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited said there in the video, he said we're about a third, any day we're about a third gas to power in Nigeria. So about a third of the grid. It makes us very strategic as a JV with obviously Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited. The demand's there. There's no doubt about it. It's about then supplying it. The government has done a lot of executive orders really targeting getting the right electricity prices and getting much more investment into the sector. Looking at things like your neighbors supporting government policies, what the government's really looked at is let's get the oil and gas sector right, and let's start to get production up.

You can see there in terms of the first charts, the daily average oil production, it's on its way up, and it's a very low number, of course, back in 2022. The average gas production is on its way up. The far right one is the rig count. We're starting to see more rigs coming into Nigeria. What you'll see is the government and Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited are really focusing on how do we enable this? How do we make this work? There's a monthly meeting with Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, and what Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited is saying is how do we help? How do we get in? We're looking at bringing more rigs in, more equipment, and we need all of this to be able to grow in our ambitions. In terms of the production targets, ambitious, yes.

You can see there, June 2025, it's 1.7 million barrels a day. Target's 3 million barrels a day by 2030. On the gas side, it's 7.9 BCF a day, and the targets will get to 12. The electricity target there by 2030 is 8.5 thousand megawatts or 8.5 gigawatts. Realistically, Nigeria needs 100 to 200 gigawatts today. Those electricity targets, I think, are realistic, and the oil and gas targets are doable, but ambitious, and we all need to work together. Nigeria's open for business. Seplat Energy is very well positioned in Nigeria over the years that we've brought up our capabilities, and now we're ready to move this forward. Let's hear from Sam, who will take us through our operations.

Samson Ezugworie
COO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Thank you very much, Roger. Good afternoon, colleagues here in the room, and good morning, good evening, depending on where you're joining us from. I'm Sam, Samson Ezugworie, originally trained as a geologist, but today a businessman with a corner shop mentality. I would deepen the conversation that Roger had laid out already for us and build from our track record of performance over the past 15 years that has brought us to where we are today and lay a foundation for us to appreciate how we are going to deliver the program into the future. Roger already highlighted the asset base, which is now very much broad and significantly diversified and continues to diversify. You just listened to the video from the GCE of Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited where he laid out that we, as a joint venture, are now brought in LPGs into the market.

That's liquefied petroleum gas. If you see our new product line and the diverse nature of it, 11 blocks in total, seven onshore, four offshore, resource base now in excess of 2.3 billion barrels. What you see is clearly that by the time you look back again at our first half of result this year, our product to the market is beginning to grow and diversify. We now produce crude, condensates, NGLs, LPGs, and gas into the market. We're now producing into both domestic and export markets. Of significance, and I would like to take away from here, is again how resilient our infrastructure is beginning to become. We have been in the onshore space where our infrastructure has ever become very improving and resilient in terms of export to the market.

If you look back in around quarter four of 2022, that was when we began to see marked improvement in our export route resilience onshore. We used to have losses on the line to the export in double digits. By quarter four, 2022, our losses came down to single digits, and up until then, to today, we are sub 5% of losses on the line. The new acquisition has brought in a different type of resilience where we now have owned and operated three export terminals, and we can now control our products from where we're headed to the terminals. That is very foundational and is something that you need to keep at the back of your mind as we run through the sessions going forward. Roger started talking about our proven track record in country. On this, I would really like you to reflect on the people capabilities.

We have well and deep-trained professionals that have been running the assets. If you look at the operational efficiency of our existing assets prior to the acquisition of the offshore assets, I think our dollar per barrel is really highly competitive. You can also see the production growth from IPO to the first half of 2025. This lays the foundation for the future plan where we now want to take our production to JV number of 500,000 barrels per day production. This, again, you can put in context of the country's aspirations. The country would like to get to 2 million barrels of production. This, again, tells you that Seplat Energy is beginning to be very significant in country because we control about 25% of the country production numbers.

Roger already spoke about the uplift in the offshore, but also of significance is how we begin, how we drive operational efficiency proactively. If you look at the Oben gas plant, which is one of our flagship gas plants in Nigeria, when we took it over, it was 90 million scf per day. We upgraded it to 465 million scf per day. Post the turnaround maintenance that we had in August 2024, not only have we improved production output from the plant, but the plant has maintained 100% uptime and availability. Again, leaning to what we do in making sure that we keep our plants and our facilities up and running. Here is just to give you a flavor of the four key foundations or building blocks of our operations. We anchor on safety, and our well-established safety leadership culture in our operations has been the leading foundation for us.

We have well-trained, well-motivated frontline barrier managers who ensure that our operations are safe in the frontline. The whole mindset is no hurt, no harm. With that, we now focus on our asset integrity, and the key assumption here and the whole intent is to ensure that our facilities are up and available at all times, minimizing downtimes, and ensuring that we do not incur unnecessary deferment in our production.

Our production assurance is one area that we've invested in heavily in the past, laying the foundation for what you see today, because that is when we had to manage all the risks and fluxes that we had in our export to the market through the building of AEP, a line onshore, and then additionally buffer tanks in our facilities just to ensure that we can hold our products for a little time while, if and any, in the event that any of the pipelines go down. All of them translating into the operational efficiency mindset, which is the corner shop mentality that I talked about. It's about dollar per barrel. How do we ensure that we have a competitive dollar per barrel production and operations? This is laying out our operational footprint just on one page.

You can see from the top left, our onshore assets, down to the southeast, our offshore assets. In there, you will see the green lines. The green lines are our pipeline network for oil export to the terminals, and the red lines are our pipeline network systems for gas, domestic gas into the network. I think the key message you need to take away from here is, again, if you see the pie chart on the top, it shows you our vulnerability before the current acquisition. We were heavily reliant on export systems that are third-party managed and not in our control. Post-acquisition, you can now see that we have a greater percentage of our export systems within our control, and you can see that by first half of 2024, we had actually had zero lifting.

By this half equivalent time in this current year, we have about 64% lifting already. That gives you a flavor for how much of control we are now having of our products from production to the market. Now trying to lay out for us our program and our development plan up until 2030 and how we intend to realize them. This is really very simple. You can count the key activities on your fingers. First is the onshore growth is going to see a significant uplift in a few months before the end of this year. You listen to the GCE of NNPC. We are now at that point where our Asanot project is coming on stream. We have introduced live hydrocarbon into the plant, and I will show you pictures in the subsequent slides. We are very much there, close.

The most challenging part of that project was the OB3 pipeline. We haven't solved that problem at the moment, but we are temporarily going to channel the gas into Nigeria LNG for the short time and short period. Once the line is completed, we switch it back to the domestic market. That is number one. Number two is our efforts at the moment, which you're already seeing the results in the offshore space, where we continue to carry out the integrity and reliability maintenance activities to lay the foundation for the future growth in our offshore assets. We continue to run the same asset integrity management systems onshore. The next bit is now the idle ware restoration program, which we already started in the offshore space. Dr. Wu will take some time to talk about it in his own section. It's about laying the foundation for drilling.

Onshore, we are in continuous drilling activities already, and I will, in a subsequent slide, show you a bit more of that. This is maybe the time to give you the context for the drilling. We have a four-rig program onshore in the 2026 to 2030 program, and I can assure you that we have all rig contracts in place, and three of the rigs are already currently working in our facilities, in our assets, and the fourth rig is coming into operations before the end of the year. Similarly, in the offshore, we have a three-rig program starting with one next year, and we have a contract for all four rigs. Dr. Wu will, again, lay more emphasis to that. That gives you some level of comfort for what the drilling program is. It's about infield drilling, onshore, offshore, and then the material gas projects that Dr. Wu will give you more flavor into. Come together, we have a program to drill about 120 to 150 wells within this five-year window. 60 of those, 60 plus of those wells are onshore, and the balance offshore. The next thing I would like to spend a bit more time on and give you a bit of insight into is our decarbonization agenda. Onshore, again, happy to announce that we are on track to deliver our end-of-routine flaring programs by this half of the year. Just on the bottom left there, you will see a live picture. That is the OHG cells in the OML 53. Those are the compressors that were already on foundation about three months ago. We are in the phase of commissioning those assets, those facilities.

Come the second half of this year, as we promised, we will bring to an end routine flaring in all our onshore operations. Now, following this new acquisition, we have now also reevaluated our decarbonization strategy for the offshore business, and we have a line of sight to reducing that to 50% or more by 2030. This is giving you a deeper flavor into our key activities in 2025, which lays the foundation for the 2026 plus. In the infrastructure offshore, the key thing that is ongoing at the moment as we speak is the inlet gas exchanger replacement project. The offshore maintenance program, the idle ware restoration program, they all continue. We continue to build additional redundancy and resilience in our export systems onshore.

We continue with the drilling activities, and contracts are in place already for the 2026 plus. Our gas project continues with ANOH Gas Processing Plant coming on stream subsequently in the next couple of months, weeks, actually. The new gas projects coming in from offshore. This is just to lay out for you the program for between 2026 to 2030 in a very simple schematic way. This is almost repeating the same thing that I've said before, but if you just want a quick takeaway, this is the program on one page. If I then summarize, it's really important to see how your business that we manage on your behalf has really transformed given the recent acquisition.

We indeed have a gigantic resource base, and we have an active drilling program, development program, growth program to take us to well over 200,000 barrels of oil per day working in trash production, an equivalent of over 500,000 barrels per day. Safety and our resources are very key to our agenda and our ability to deliver this. This is an area where we have well-established safety culture to lead us to our promise. Offshore decarbonization is a key agenda item for us in the program. We would then come and layer on top of this the long-term exploration strategy because we still believe that we have significant untapped resources underneath these giant assets that we've acquired. I will take just a short moment and give you a little bit deep dive into the onshore program, and then I will bring you on Dr. Wu to give you more flavor in the offshore space. This is the same map you've seen before, but there are a few messages that I would really like you to take away from here. Even with the acquisition of the offshore assets, the onshore assets still hold significant value for you and for the group. Production is still very strong, 55K at the half-year production, and continues to be very strong. We will come again by the end of the quarter, quarter three, to give you further updates on our production performance, but it continues to be very strong based on our safety and asset integrity management systems. Resource base is still very significant, 2P resources.

I think by the time the lineup comes on stream, you will see that the offshore business is still a very significant cash engine for the group, especially in the next couple of years. Last but not the least is just to highlight again that I mentioned earlier that we are going to be drilling about 60-odd wells. You will see our drilling history and program. In a four-rig situation, we have in the past drilled about 25 wells in a year. If you just count on your fingers that we have four rigs already on contract and you start drilling by January, we have an average of 45 to 60 days per well. We can drill much more than 24 wells in a year per rig, you know, four rig strings. That gives you some kind of flavor for why we have built the program that we have built.

The intent is that by the time we hit 2030, we would have drilled our 200th well in the onshore asset since we took over these assets. Last but not the least is just the step change in our operating environment because sometimes when we talk about the resilience that we build in our export systems, it may actually not be so obvious and very visible. If you look at that, you see the step change that by the fourth quarter of 2022, we have moved from double-digit losses on our export lines to the market to sub 5%. We remained consistently at that operating level since the end of 2022. Ladies and gentlemen, that's the operating foundation that we've laid, how we have come this far, and we have now taken you on a journey building into the future. At that point, I will bring you on Dr. Wu who will give you a bit more on the offshore program. Thank you.

Oladotun Isiaka
Managing Director, Seplat Energy

Thank you very much, Sam. Good afternoon. I'm probably the least known to you guys on the panel. I've been asked to introduce myself. My name is Ola Dotun Tsiak. I'm a heritage ExxonMobil. Approximately three decades of experience working with ExxonMobil. 26 of those were with Mobil Producing Nigeria. I know these assets. My experience spans the full breadth of the upstream. I started as a project engineer, construction. I did reservoir engineering, business planning, operations management, engineering management. Three of those were in the United States, covering the whole of U.S. production, deep water operations. My last role in ExxonMobil was Development Director, and I was responsible for long-term development and strategy. I had responsibilities for exploration, geosciences, commercial drilling, reservoir. I know the business. I'll therefore start with this statement that I made on the day of changing control. This is nine months after.

I can say confidently that I was right. I was right that this asset is now in the hands of a willing investor. I don't speak for just myself. I speak for 800 employees, approximately 1,000 contractors that are highly motivated, that are aligned with our vision, and are excited about the future. This is for a multitude of reasons. The primary one, as far as I'm concerned, is the fact that we have the right investor, a willing investor that has brought the funds to move activities that we've always wanted to move forward. That has built a lot of trust with the organization. They are keyed into the future of the company. They are aligned, heavily motivated, willing to go. Let's talk about offshore. This is Seplat's newly acquired assets, significantly larger. It's more diverse. Six-month performance, 80,000 barrels per day oil equivalent. That's above plan.

We're already delivering. Further evidence of what Roger and Sam have talked about in terms of what we've done onshore when we promise we deliver. We're doing the same for the offshore business. The CPR, Roger talked about it a little bit earlier on, has grown. I'll just say it's about three times what it was at the time of the acquisition. In summary, on this slide, I'd like for you to take away three words. Scale, diversity, and control. In terms of scale, the resource is huge. There's stuff to go after and for a very long time. What that means is cash flow for our shareholders. OK, the second one is diversity. We're onshore, we're offshore, different geographies to operate in. That brings balance to our portfolio. The third one is control.

We have full control of the molecule from the reservoir through the facilities all the way to point of sales. We don't depend on third parties. Full control. Those are the three words that I'd like for you to take away on this slide. Let's do a 2025 recap. We've rapidly stepped up activity levels post completion of the transaction. We've started with low risk, low spend, but high-value type activities. Maintenance, we're doing restoration of idle wells and a little bit of minor project activity. On maintenance and idle wells, I have specific slides that will dig into that a little bit later. Let me just talk about the IGE. It's on one of our extraction facilities, the inlet gas exchanger. It went down three years ago, and our extraction has been based on pressure drop, which is not as efficient.

We're in the process of putting the IGE back in place. We've lifted it in position, and it should be back online next month. When that happens, we have better efficiency, and we'll be able to extract more NGLs. This rapid increase is already paying dividends, as you see in the plot on the top right. You can see that versus where we were at the time of changing control, we've inclined production approximately 17%. That's in addition to offset infield decline because in the oil and gas business, your volumes are always declining. In summary, we're already delivering. The next slide here for the geologists in the audience, you quickly see that this is a world-class resource play. The subsurface is prolific and very well defined. I know the geologists are probably not that many. For the non-geologists, four words for you to take away. One is the tank.

Two, it's the quality of the resource. Three, the density of the resource. Four, the future. In terms of the tank, the tank is very well defined. Those four cocky dots you see there, it's just saying that the tank is very well defined. We know the reservoirs, and in terms of drilling, you know where to go. Low risk. The second wall talks about the quality. The rock itself, the sandstones that are, you know, easy. It talks about how easy it is for the hydrocarbons to move through the rock to get to the wall ball and ultimately to the surface. This is the reservoir engineer's dream in terms of rocks. OK, we've got good rocks in our JV. In addition, our crude is API 36 to 38 for the JV, and I think 40 to 42 for YOHO. It attracts a premium from a price perspective.

The third is density. We have 400 reservoirs to go after. There's a lot to work on here. The last one really is the icing on the cake. The lower sands that you see on the bottom of that plot there talks about the source rock. It's called the tall sands. Those sands are known to still be maturing as of today. The exploration potential is also there. OK, those are the four keywords I'd like for you to take away on this slide. Integrity. Let me just start by saying safety is priority for us. It's been priority with the prior operator. It continues to be priority for us. It will always be priority for us. However, in addition to safety, asset integrity is also important. We are in a marine environment, so corrosion is ever present.

It's important that you continue to spend on asset integrity so that you put life in your facilities. The growth aspirations that we are putting forward to you guys can then be confidently put on top of that solid foundation. Having said that, because we were the ones running the assets before CIC, myself, along with 800 strong employees, 1,000 contractors, we're still the same set of folks running the assets as of today. We have already delivered over the past nine months in terms of the 2025 recap that I just talked about. Therefore, our five-year plan is built on continuing what we've done in 2025 and extending it till the end of the decade. It's that simple in terms of facilities integrity, pipelines, risers, coatings, structures. When it comes to reliability, you're talking about machinery, instrumentation, and controls. You're talking about your electrical instruments.

Bottom line, you want to keep your uptime high and reduce your downtime. The reason for this is simple. There's real value to it. We have a plan housing our unscheduled downtime by the end of the decade. When you put numbers to it, it could be circa 30,000 to 40,000 barrels per day of value that you are getting from this set of activities. The same applies to reservoir integrity. What you're doing on the surface, you want to do on the subsurface. You want to keep the integrity of the subsurface intact. Compression is important. Your injection wells are important, and you want to be putting the gas in the better reservoirs. The insert picture you see to the right there is one of the examples of what we're doing. We've gone to that location. We've fixed the gratings. We've fixed the handrails. We've done the coating.

Folks are able to access the platform and go do work. That simple. It's just an example of what we're doing from an asset integrity perspective. Funding for which we've been unable to get with the prior operator because of portfolio competitiveness. Not that we didn't know that these opportunities existed. Next, the idle well program. What I wanted to do with this is first describe what we mean by idle wells. A well goes offline. You get to the location. You try to bring it online. You're unsuccessful. It stays down for a considerable period of time for various reasons. It could be surface. It could be subsurface related. Surface in terms of the valve is stuck. The valve is passing. The well air control panel is damaged. It's corroded. The trees are, the piping is leaking. For whatever reason, you're unable to bring it back online.

Or a subsurface issue. Not enough pressure. You have to leave it down for the pressure to build up. It could be high casing pressure. It could be an SCSSV that is leaking. For whatever reason, it stays down for a very long time. One, it's produced before. It's capable of producing. It's a finite inventory, if you will. That's what we term as idle wells. At the beginning of the year, we had set out to work on 50 plus idle wells. Mid-year, we're at 29, delivering 26,000 barrels per day. Based on where we are, we believe we will still be able to handle another 20 to 30 before the end of the year. In terms of the opportunity space, we started with about 400-ish wells, assessed 100 of them not to have future use.

Either the zones had been fully swept, pressures had dropped, or not enough resource to make it economic. For this one, I'll just close with a few takeaways for you. One is that the program, as you can imagine, because we are doing the better wells first, the program itself in terms of value will reduce over time. We've built lower average rates per well into the future. Regardless of that, it's still profitable, very profitable. The program is finite. I'd like to leave you, before leaving this slide, I'd have to leave you with this further comment that I've heard Roger and Sam talk about before. The only reason we've been able to do this is because of the people. OK, the people that were running this before had the institutional knowledge, are the ones that put this plan in place, are the ones that executed this plan.

Next slide here talks about infield drilling. OK, we have the enabling contracts in place. We're already in discussions with the rig provider, and we're going to narrow down on the specific rig that will be worked on this within the next one month. Ultimately, what we're looking to do is to bring one rig online next year, get our logistics in place. On the back end, you start bringing the additional rigs because ultimately you need a multi-rig program to capture your efficiencies by spreading your fixed costs over more than one rig. The last point here is that unlike the idle well program that terminates, this is what takes over as your volumes grow way into the future. The same comments that I made on the people apply here too.

This has been done by folks that know the assets, and therefore there's high availability in terms of the opportunity space. Satellite fields development. There's some sequence to what we're doing here. There's operations and maintenance, which is what we've focused on, and then there's idle wells. OK, those two are low risk, low spend, high value deliveries. On the back end, we're going after infield drilling. The next thing would then be other types of drilling that require project activity and then exploration. There's a sequence to it. This talks to how we're going to go do the projects that would capture the additional drilling on the back end of our infield drilling program. These are projects that we require because the well air platforms are unable, the existing ones.

We cannot drill from them either because there are no slots or too far, and you need to go put new well air platforms in place. It would be remiss of me not to mention exploration before I leave the slide. We do not have exploration in the near term because of the sequence that I just described. We're focused on the near term and the medium term as regards to our 2P+2C, and then exploration will come on the back end. This is my closing slide. It brings it all together. We're already delivering. The nine months performance shows that. Medium to long term, we'll be looking at infield drilling, and that's also attractive. In all we do, safety continues to be our priority.

As Sam said, we will work with the regulators to develop a plan for decarbonization on the offshore and then deliver on the plan as the offshore.

The onshore has delivered, we've also got exploration potential, which we would work on the back end of our contingent resources. Back to the top, this is a proven world-class resource. Now you can see why Roger called it a sleeping giant. I'll most likely stop calling it a sleeping giant because as far as I'm concerned, the giant is reawakening already. I do want to close on the people issue. The 800 folks, employees, the 1,000 contractors that we talked about, these are guys with institutional knowledge, know the assets inside out. This is not a new set of folks running the business for us. Thank you. Hand over to Oke to handle the gas side.

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

Thank you very much, Dotun. Good afternoon, everyone. For those of us in the room, and good morning, good afternoon, depending on where you're joining us from. My name is Oke Emba. I'm the Director of New Energy. Just like Dotun, I used to work for ExxonMobil in the past, but not as many years as Dotun has with ExxonMobil. Also, good to add that I'm one of the pioneers of Seplat. I've been part of this growth story from the beginning. You can imagine how excited I am as to where the business is today and even the greater opportunities that lie ahead of us. I welcome you to this part of the presentation. I'll be deepening the conversation by providing more insights into our midstream gas business. I'll start with this slide, which really shows you the spread and the diversity in our gas business.

Dotun used three words earlier: scale, control. In the gas business, diversity is something that you see very clearly. At the top of that chart, you see our Western assets, as we call them, which has been the bedrock of our gas-to-power supply in Nigeria. The Group CEO of Nigerian National Petroleum Company talked about our leading position in the domestic market in Nigeria. We have done that out of that cluster you see at the top end, where we have Oben Gas Plant and Sapele Gas Plant. We've achieved a high level of reliability out of Oben supplying at least five power plants within Nigeria. As we come down on that trajectory, you see the ANOH Gas Processing Plant at the middle of that plot. ANOH Gas Processing Plant is going through commissioning as we speak and expected to achieve first gas in the fourth quarter of this year.

We're almost there. At the bottom part of that chart, you see the newly acquired offshore assets that then give us the opportunity to play in the export gas market. What I really like you to take away from this slide is that we have the reserves, we have the resources, we have clear projects that will monetize this gas. I will go through those projects in a bit. We have strong demand within the country, both for domestic gas and export gas. The fiscal terms are good. The tax incentives are there. This is going to be a part of the business that delivers a lot of value. That was the reason we described it as the engine of growth for the company. On this slide, I want to talk about the gas processing infrastructure we already have in place.

One thing I'd like you to take away is to achieve the growth that we are talking about today, we don't need to make new investments in gas processing infrastructure. The facilities are already there, spread out between the onshore and the offshore. Total capacity is more than 2.6 bcf a day. Material foundations to drive the growth that you're going to see in the gas business. I also outlined three new gas projects. Roger talked about it earlier, and I will take them one by one to give you some flavor. At the bottom, there is ANOH project, which I said is now under commissioning to achieve first gas in the fourth quarter. On this slide, towards the top right, I like to show the scale of the growth that you're going to see in our gas business in the next five years.

At the top right, you will see the JV gas production more than doubling in the next five years. I will take you through the individual projects that will deliver that growth. Very clear and very visible to us. We intend to get to 1 bcf per day in JV gas production ourselves by the end of the decade. That's a material level that we are targeting, and we have clarity as to how we get to that point. On the bottom left, you see ANOH Gas Processing Plant, which is going to be a key part of the growth onshore. On the offshore element, you see the opportunities there that I will go through in a moment that underpins that growth. Let's start to unpack these significant growth opportunities that we have, starting onshore.

Again, ANOH Gas Processing Plant is the leading project there, going through commissioning to achieve first gas in the fourth quarter of this year. The investment is already made. Very significant resource base, 4.6 bcf unitized volume. RJV has access to 50% of that volume, and that's what our gas plants will monetize over the period. Capacity for 300 million scf a day. Dry gas sales, 250 million scf a day at the start, going to Nigeria LNG. That supply will continue until the OB3 pipeline is in place. We have de-risked that pipeline. We are able to commence production and sales from ANOH Gas Processing Plant and sustain that until the domestic pipeline is in place. We are not just stopping at pipeline gas. You see that word diversity running through in terms of product yield as well.

We are getting into LPG, both from ANOH and Sapele gas plants. Also, the LPG from the offshore assets coming through BRT is also now coming into the domestic market. This is why we are important to government because we are helping to drive that energy transition and decarbonization agenda of the country. By making LPG available to Nigerians, we are displacing higher polluting biomass as a way of cooking and delivering cleaner cooking fuel. We are also investing in CNG to make gas available to businesses, manufacturers who are not connected to the domestic pipeline network. Again, advancing our goal of displacing diesel and improving access to energy for Nigerians. Also, because of the significant gas processing infrastructure we have onshore, we have the opportunity to target third-party gas opportunities and monetize them using the existing infrastructure we already have.

Now, I'm going over to the offshore element of this exciting route. We are taking it in phases. The first phase of this route is a low-cost, low-risk development that will double our gas supply to Nigeria LNG by 2026. As of today, we deliver about 120 million scops of gas to Nigeria LNG. We are embarking on a capacity upgrade project, basically some pipeline modifications, risers that will enable us to deliver an additional 120 million scops of gas to Nigeria LNG by next year. That project is already underway and will be completed next year. Again, low investment to double our current gas sales capacity to Nigeria LNG. We go to the second project to increase our gas sales. This is a new pipeline and also to BRT pipeline, a 54-kilometer pipeline, 20-inch that will increase our ability to deliver even more volumes of gas to Nigeria LNG.

As you know, Nigeria LNG is a world-class LNG facility, very reliable operator. These sales to Nigeria LNG will be in USD. They have the capacity to take the gas. They are ready for the gas today. There will be stable offtake, regular payments in USD. We're actually quite excited about that opportunity. For this second expansion project, as I said, it's a 54-kilometer pipeline. The important thing I'd like you to note is that the majority of those line pipes are already in country. We have them in storage. This is well under our control. We're going to be laying these lines along existing pipelines. The right-of-way is already there. We understand the terrain very well. We already have a pipeline in that axis, so just laying a new one beside that. End-to-end project is under our control. We will be tying in directly to Nigeria LNG.

From the wellhead down to the customer, it will be through a pipeline owned and operated by us, reducing some of the risks associated with relying on third-party infrastructure. The last of these opportunities offshore is Yoho, which is in a different cluster. We have gas at Yoho, and our plan for monetizing that gas is making it available to a company that wants to build a floating LNG project beside us there in Yoho. Again, pre-AFID stage, looking to have that gas ready by 2029. I'm trying to then bring it all together in this last slide, which is essentially going through what the gas business means for Seplat Energy. First of all, recognize the significant growth that's going to happen between now and 2030, going from 460 million scf a day to 1 bcf a day JV gas sales and production.

The projects that will take us to 1 bcf are very clear. It is our current supply from onshore today, the ANOH Gas Processing Plant coming on in quarter four, increasing our supply to Nigeria LNG, first by 120 million scf phase one of that expansion project, and another 240 million scf in phase two of that expansion project that will take us to 1 bcf a day. The Yoho project, the floating LNG project, will be a top-up, will be an upside. The path to 1 bcf a day JV gas sales is well under our control. We have an enhanced scale coming from the offshore gas assets that we have acquired, and we are now able to play in the export market. The gas business provides us stable long-term cash flow.

These agreements are 15 to 20 years in terms of duration, and we have a number of these agreements not tied to our price. They provide a very stable cash flow into the long term, and the scale of these cash flows is increasing as we move from where we are today and double our gas sales over the next five years. We earn very strong margins from our gas business as a result of the favorable tax stamps and the fiscal incentives from government. As we grow our gas business, we are growing the overall profitability of the business. Diversification was a word that Dotun used earlier. It is so true for our gas business. It is now very well diversified.

We have onshore assets, we have offshore assets, we play in the domestic market, in the export market, and in both Naira and USD cash flow, and also multi-products from pipeline gas to LPG and to CNG. A lot of diversification in this business will help us navigate any challenges that arise at any time. The CEO of Nigerian National Petroleum Company couldn't have put it much better. We are a strong partner of government with respect to energy security. As we further grow our gas business, we strengthen that relationship between us and the government. We're going to be taking a break soon, a short break. Before we do, we have a video play out for you that I'd like you to watch.

Speaker 3

Thank you very much.

Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream. Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels big ambitions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Very good. Thank you very much, speakers. The first half was run perfectly to time, which is great. It makes me very happy. We're about 10 to the hour. Time for a 10-minute break. If we could come back pretty much bang on 4:00 P.M. to get started, that would be wonderful. Please, go and stretch your legs. If you're listening online, go and get a cup of tea. We'll see you back at 4:00 P.M. OK? Great.

Speaker 3

Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream. Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths, and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels big ambitions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy. Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream. Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths, and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels bigger visions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy. Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream.

Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths, and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels bigger visions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy. Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream. Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths, and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels bigger visions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy. Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream.

Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths, and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels bigger visions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy. Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream. Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths, and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels bigger visions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy. Tomorrow begins when the lights come on, when families come together and people dream.

Tomorrow is fueled by energy, energy that opens doors, lights up paths, and kindles curiosity, where energy that uplifts ignites futures and fuels bigger visions. Energy that gives vision and reconnects hearts, energy that flows into every corner of life. Because energy means more when it has purpose. Seplat Energy, transforming lives through energy.

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Good afternoon and welcome back from the break. I was going to say it's late afternoon and maybe people were asleep, but I think this presentation is going to keep everybody up. I'm really looking forward to going through the presentation with you. Welcome and thank you for coming. I know a lot of people, a few people actually traveled quite a distance to come. I mean, some people came from Nigeria. Thank you very much for making time to join us physically here today. We also have a lot of people online. Thank you for making the time. Welcome again to Seplat Energy's Capital Markets Day presentation. My name is Eleanor Adaralegbe. I'm the CFO of Seplat Energy. Honestly, just sitting there listening to this again, I'm bubbling inside so much. I'm not sure how you are feeling, but I'm super excited. I've been part of the Seplat story.

I've been in the company 11 years. I've grown with the company. Just like Oke said, I'm super excited about what we've delivered so far and obviously where we're going. This is the first time we'll be sharing information on our medium-term plan. We've never really done this. I mean, talk about five years out. We've always sort of given a one-year guidance story. There's a lot to really say. We're very confident about the message of the company. The acquisition, of course, with the shallow water business is a phenomenal increase to our portfolio. This has really given us an opportunity to say more about what we're doing. I'll kick off the other way. I'll just kick off. You heard the story about the history of the company.

I think it's important to always keep reflecting on the history because it's the history of the company that's really allowed us to even be here and start to think about the future. This company started operating in 2010, a fairly new company. Within three, four years, listed on the stock exchange in Nigeria and in London. Even that alone was a phenomenal feat. At the IPO, as has been shared, Roger spoke about it. The targets we set at that time, very ambitious targets back in 2014. What have we done? We've either met them or far exceeded them, focusing on reserves, production, the right things. I feel that we even surprised ourselves at the end of the decade when we were celebrating 10 years since IPO. We surprised ourselves. We're very pleased about our progress.

Of course, a lot of what we shared with you, we've invested $2 billion in capex to grow production, do what we've done with reserves. In that time, since IPO, we had over $2 billion in free cash flow and almost over $700 million we've given back to shareholders in dividends. Very, very strong performance. You know, being able to do this is because really we've maintained a very strong balance sheet. I'll share more with you because that's going to be a focus of our story. In this period, and that's why I said the history is so important, Seplat Energy has developed capacity and today is really one of the strongest operators in the country, if not one of the best. We're very favorable with our partners. They're very pleased with us. Cost has been a focus for us. We've been very disciplined with cost.

It's all of this that is really leading us to sort of the story for the future. Premised on that background, if I go to the next slide, it's really talking about our financial philosophy. Really, our philosophy is not changing. It's the same philosophy that has delivered the returns from the past. That philosophy is very simple, right? It's really about investing to grow the asset base. Again, the asset base we have, we're actually blessed with this resource that we have. I think that's the beginning of our story. We have a massive resource base. Inside that massive resource base is an opportunity to deliver. You've been hearing a lot of what the previous presenters have been talking about. We deliver. We say what we're going to do and we deliver. Our philosophy is very simple. We invest to grow the asset base.

We continue to maintain discipline, discipline on costs, discipline on our leverage. That's why we've then really magnified the robustness of our balance sheet today. Because we can do all these things, we're now then saying returns to our shareholders are really sustainable long term and is a key value for us. For us, my message really on this slide is we've done it before because the philosophy worked. OK? We focused on the business. Going forward, we're going to keep doing the things that we've done. When we took over the assets from Shell back in 2010, we took those assets. That's what our DNA has been. Take the assets from the IOCs, grow them, develop them, and get value for them from discipline in cost and also in leverage. Going forward, I'm sure people are looking forward to the end of this presentation.

I'll be sharing with you the updates to our dividend policy because we have the opportunity to do that. This dividend policy is going to provide clarity on how the shareholders will get returns. Moving forward, we're then going to talk about how do we allocate the capital. From the history, our financial discipline, how are we then allocating capital? The philosophy of our capital allocation, again, is the same. It's the same things we've done for our capital. Again, reiterating, the resource base is massive, wealth of resources. At the core of our business are really three key drivers. That's what I want to leave you with. The three key drivers are, one, we monetize our oil and gas. The resource allows us to monetize. That's our focus. Cost and discipline around cost is our next focus. Then funding the asset growth. You heard the stories about diversification.

Our story of diversification is actually an interesting one. There was a time when we only had one major route to market. Today, we have multiple because the focus for us in our philosophy for capital allocation was to fund the diversification. Today, we can talk about multiple routes to market. We can talk about different gas. I mean, Oke was talking about LPG, CNG. That's the philosophy that we adopted. All of these drivers are what underpins the consistent cash generation, which is what you're going to be hearing me talk about throughout my presentation. This is a cash-generative business. It's like that because of the way we've run it. If you look at the right-hand side of the chart, it's really about staying disciplined on our balance sheets. That's how we always start to think about what we do. We're very disciplined. The leverage is low.

We've been very conservative. I'll speak more to that in coming slides. The next thing is prioritize CapEx, meaningful CapEx, the right level of CapEx that goes through a proper process. After that, it's dividend. We prioritize our shareholders. Last is the surplus cash. We've always maintained that surplus cash is critical for our business. It not only gives us the buffer, considering there's volatility in the environment. There were times when our routes to market were completely down. Things like surplus cash and maintaining a buffer were very important to us. With that surplus cash, we'll do a number of things. As that surplus cash is growing, we will enhance what I've just described, which is the balance sheets, CapEx, and dividend. Also, that's where when we talk about inorganic growth, that's where it comes from.

In fact, the acquisition that we completed in December, the shallow water operations of ExxonMobil, part of it came from this surplus cash. This is how every decision we make in the company, this is how we think about it: balance sheets, operations, dividend. We discuss how we will deploy surplus cash. Let's move on. Now, this slide just gives you some of the numbers. It's the same framework, the same philosophy. If you look at the past, the way we deployed capital is what I just described in the previous slide. In the last five years, we delivered about $2 billion in cash flow from operations after tax. In the plan that we're sharing with you today, with a lot of what you've heard, that's almost three times in value from where we were in the last five years.

We're saying our after-tax cash flow from operations is going to be between $5 and $6 billion. Massive uplift, step change. If you look at the shades of the colors, the dividend is there. You can see almost, it seems almost similar. Obviously, with a huge step change, it's going to be massive. We'll talk about that. I think what you need to focus on this slide is the scale. We're saying almost three times what we've delivered in the past five years. When you look at the bottom left-hand side, it talks to the way that we deploy capital: CapEx, OpEx, dividend, and managing our balance sheets. Let me go on. The next slide. Now, this is the last slide on capital allocation. You can't really get away from capital allocation without describing how you think about sensitivities.

When we do our business plans, we always sensitize oil price again because oil is the biggest part of the contribution for revenue for us. In our base plan at $65 per barrel, we do have surplus cash. CapEx, OpEx is preserved. Even dividend is preserved. I'll get into details on how we're thinking about dividend. At the higher oil prices, as you can see from the chart, obviously, the surplus cash grows. Let's talk about the downside, which is one thing that even in our board, they always want to see the downside and how are you going to deal with the downside? What kind of CapEx levels are you going to have? Already, as part of the way we plan, we think about that. One thing we've done with this plan that we've shared with you is we've stress-tested the plan at $50 per barrel in oil.

With $50 per barrel, we do have some flexibility now. In 2016 and 2017, when we had the Transfacados pipeline that was down for almost 18 months, we still managed. We weren't really getting a lot of production, but we still managed to work on CapEx in low oil prices as well. Like during the COVID, we managed to be very flexible with CapEx. One other advantage in Nigeria, when oil price is low, rig activity tends to go down. Vendors and contractors are willing to renegotiate terms with you. There's a lot of flexibility in our plan that deals with the low oil prices. The management team has a track record in managing volatility in oil prices. I think one last bit I'll leave with you on this slide is with every $10 change in price, there's around $180 million improvement in our cash flow after tax.

Remember, this is over five years. This slide is just really helping you see that there's an importance in the way that we think about what we do. More than anything, it's to overlay the hedging that is in our policy and that we do periodically. I think we've talked about hedging before. What we do is to protect the downside. If you followed our story, you would know that hedging is a big part of our work. OK, let's move on. How do we finance the plan? Financing the plan, again, is back to the balance sheet. It's a very conscious way that we're delivering value to our stakeholders, to the shareholders. Here really is just highlighting the robustness of the liquidity that we have. At the end of the first half of 2025, we had over $400 million in cash. We'd also paid down our RCF.

We have quite a bit of liquidity even today as we speak. Again, further buttressing the point about the conservatism of our balance sheets and our leverage, net debt to EBITDA is 0.5 times. Very, very strong. If I may say this, when you compare us to our peers in the international market, we have one of the strongest balance sheets. This is not a recent thing. It's actually been like that for a long time. You can take a look yourself. Some of you may already know this. Now, in addition, it's obviously the credit rating upgrades that we got from Fitch and Moody's. For us, it's very positive because it really speaks to the trust and the confidence that the market has in our company. Also, you know, Roger mentioned this earlier, we also pierced the sovereign. Again, very significant.

As part of what we do with managing our balance sheet, we refinanced our bond in March of 2025, just a few months ago. We're very proud of that exercise. We got, you know, it was the right timing. Today, that bond is trading at a premium and yield is just over 8%. Everyone who knows our story, who has invested in us, is very pleased with the returns that they've seen. I think over and above this is really the access that we have to the market. Obviously, we have a lot of good relationships with the banks. They're very happy with us. We've raised over $4 billion in the last 10 to 12 years, and we've paid back 75% of that. Again, speaking to the focus on our leverage and how we want to keep that conservative.

Next is a little bit more information on this slide, and you can take a look yourself. I think what I'd like you to focus on primarily is really this net leverage planning. We had previously shared with the market that we always wanted to be at less than two times net debt to EBITDA. You can see from the chart, apart from in the COVID year, we've largely operated at less than one times net debt to EBITDA. It doesn't matter the oil price, whether the oil price is at $80 or whether it's at $60, we're still managing to keep the leverage pretty conservative. Of course, in very, very low oil prices, maybe it will be different, and we had a time like that when it went up slightly, but very manageable.

Now, in the plan for 2026 to 2030, we are expecting the operating range to be within the 0.5 to one times net debt to EBITDA, and we expect to be in the lower part of that range. All I'm speaking to here is really strength of the balance sheet. That is what is going to support things like volatility in oil price. It's also what is supporting the growth projections that we are presenting to you today. Now I'll go into a bit more details on the CapEx and the OpEx, how we prioritize our capital expenditure. We spend a lot of time on this as a management team, series and series of meetings discussing and challenging projects that we want to embark on. Of course, we have a process where we decide on what project even makes it to a decision on the table.

This is what you see on the screen, the way we rank our capital projects. Of course, you heard it today, asset integrity, safety, sustainability, our decarbonization efforts are a priority for us. That's number one, followed by monetizing our oil and gas. We've talked about the huge resource base, and monetizing that obviously is a key focus for us. Oil takes a fairly big piece, and you can imagine why that will require a lot of drilling. There's still a focus on gas for us. This is how we prioritize and rank. There obviously would be opportunities for exploration, as you would have heard today. We have around 5%. Strategically, we would provide for that where we see the right opportunities to do so. Priorities in how we rank our capital projects.

Now, in our guidance, how we're guiding over the period, this is an important slide because what you can see here is if you just look to the right-hand side of the chart and you look at what we were doing with CapEx from 2020 to 2024, and that is in the onshore business, consistent capital investments in our business. That's what we do. We invest. When I talked about what we do is we invest to grow. Without investing, you're not going to grow the assets. That is not exactly what we saw in the offshore business. We're now going to start doing that as part of our DNA, invest to grow, deliver value. Now, in the light green shades, we're now showing how we will start to ramp up CapEx year on year. We've started a little bit in 2025.

In 2026, we're going to ramp up a bit more. What we'll see is that CapEx will end up peaking at around 2028 and then start to soften a little bit. What's important to note here is that these are investments for growth and for long-term growth. Even though CapEx is starting to come down sort of at the end of this cycle that we're describing, production is actually going up. That's why when we talk about the average here, we're talking about the CapEx over the five years, $2.5 to $3 billion, very significant. We've also talked about how we're going to deliver this, the right people. We have the competencies, the skill in the business. The business is generating the cash to fund it. That's another thing that we're very, very disciplined about. Whatever we want to do, the business has to fund it. OK?

Maybe one last thing to leave with you on this slide, or maybe two last things to leave with you on this slide is, and we will get to the tax story in a little bit, but these investments are part of what is going to create the shield for the taxes. We've been getting a lot of questions on the taxes when people saw the initial when we closed the deal back in December. All we kept saying was, give us time. We will do this. That's exactly what this plan is demonstrating. With the investments, we will start to build those capital allowances. We'll see that, obviously, we see that starting to come down. I think that's all I wanted to share with you on this slide.

Maybe just to say that keep at the back of your mind the resource in this business because everything you see on this slide about the investment is really based on the resource. Maybe to add as well, the fact that the onshore business investments will continue. Sam was talking about that. Those investments will continue. They will start to taper towards the end, but at least we'll continue to improve on those investments. Now we're going to one of our favorite topics on costs. I had said before, we've talked a lot about our framework and how cost is a key part of the way we run our business. Now we have a much bigger business, which means we also have the opportunity of scale and synergies.

Since we closed this transaction in December, we've already started to build some of those efficiencies in the business. There are going to be opportunities to renegotiate contracts. Being larger means we have the scale, so we can get discounts. We'll start to see that coming through. Everything around efficiencies and optimization will be a key focus for us. In addition, we'll also look at working capital improvements that are going to be an upside to the plan. I think just look at the chart. I think that message is very clear. It's really that we will be bringing OpEx down to around $10 per boe by the end of the cycle. Thinking about what we've delivered in the first half of the year, we gave a guidance on OpEx from $14 to $15 per boe, dollars per boe. We're doing better than that.

We expect to sort of come maybe just underneath that. The target remains $10 per boe at the end of this plan in 2030. Next is the corporate break-even. Again, just the focus for you here is really, it's about scale. If you think about the volumes that we've delivered in the last five years at just over 100 million barrels of oil equivalent, the next five years is almost three times. For our business, you can go away with around $40 per boe as the break-even cost. What we've done in the chart is also shown a blended average price. Now that we have oil, gas, we want you to see what the blended average price is. You can see around $39 to $40 is our break-even. It depends on the oil price. We do have some variable costings in like taxes.

We have some operating costs that are variable. If the oil price is different, then that may move a little bit. I'll leave you with the free cash flow number there. It's over $9 per boe. Think about the scale. I guess you can do the math. It's very clear that we'll be generating value in this business. Next is the tax. An interesting story for us on the tax. For us, like I said to you already, we've said repeatedly that once we invest, we will deal with the tax. Let me leave three key messages with you on this slide. I think I've said it previously already. Capital expenditure will create the capital allowances that will provide the shield. That's number one. Number two is the PIA.

I don't know how many of you know this, but the Petroleum Industry Act, which finally got enacted into law in 2021, has been on for maybe 10 years. We finally got it in 2021. The execution of that act is, obviously, it's being progressed. There are some things that have started and some things that are still upcoming. The Petroleum Industry Act is the next best thing for a business like ours. The reason is this. Yes, the tax rates are lower. The royalty rates are lower. There's also the way that the act has been designed. It's been designed to reward efficiency. It's been designed to reward companies that can deliver in a disciplined and an efficient way. That's why in our plan, we've planned that the PIA, the conversion of PIA for the onshore business, will kick off in 2026. I mean, we talked about it before.

We imagine for the next quarter, we'll try and get that sorted. Into 2026, we've planned that we will convert to PIA in the onshore business. In the offshore business, we've given it a bit more time because we didn't start at the same time. In our plan, we've said we'll convert to PIA in 2027. Because of this act, that's also very, it's supporting what you can see on the screen around where we think we're going to be with our effective tax rate. You can see as of six months, it was significant. Obviously, that will taper down very significantly. I have just a few minutes. This is really the exciting bit of my presentation. I love this slide. I love this story. I mean, when we listed back in 2014, one of our focuses was that we would progressively reward our shareholders. That's what we're delivering.

It's quite exciting to think about what we've said we're going to do and now having an opportunity to do that. Again, our dividend policy is linked to our cash generation. That's the first message. In the past, we've provided you with, we'll tell you it's $0.05 per share. We'll do a top-up depending on the market. Today, we're saying it's 40% of our free cash flow capped at 50%. That is, we've now made it clear. You can plan for that. Obviously, we'll be giving you estimates. You can plan for our estimated free cash flow. I think what is most important is the fact that we'll provide a base to this dividend, which means that even though it will be within the 40% of free cash flow, we're guaranteeing $120 million a year, which translates to $0.20 per share, $0.05 per quarter.

That translates to around $1 billion over the next five years. What this does is it provides the flexibility so the shareholders can benefit from the upside. When there's higher oil price, the shareholders will benefit from that with a focus knowing that you're going away with at least $120 million of dividend. It's fixed for certainty. That's what we're describing on this slide. Moving on, this is showing you how it's going to work. We've provided the information on the past. You can see what the growth has been. I think it's very important to note that even the base dividend at $120 million per year is already, over five years, that's $600 million. That far exceeds what we've given to the shareholders in the past five years. You can see the ramp-up. Remember the picture I showed you about the CapEx spend?

When the CapEx starts to ramp up, production is also growing. Over the five years, you will see we're targeting the $1 billion. I think another exciting point to raise here is that this dividend policy is effective immediately, which is for our third quarter results, we'll start to provide that increase. We're moving from $0.046 per share to $0.05 per share in 3Q, and we'll maintain that in 4Q. Again, annual minimum dividend, $120 million per annum, translates into $0.20 per share. This is capped at $50 per barrel. If the oil price is lower than that, then we'll have a conversation with the board and decide what we'll do. Maybe leave you with the fact that, remember my story about balance sheet, balance sheet, and the robustness of our balance sheet. That also will support whatever decisions that we're making with our dividend.

To wrap up, exciting story for Seplat Energy. Like I said, I've been part of this story, so very excited, again, to be here. I'll leave you with this: it's cash generation. Cash generation. The cash generation is because of the way that we run our business. Our balance sheet is very strong. Leverage is maintained at decent levels. That's how it's been historically, and that's how we're planning it for the future. Our CapEx, we fund our CapEx running through a very detailed process, and our CapEx is funded from our existing business. We've talked about cost and the discipline around cost, and we've also talked about how we're going to solve what has been sort of the tax concerns. Remember, we're growing the pie, so the government's still getting the rewards from the tax, but we're just now going to be more efficient. Thank you for listening.

I think that this, for me, today is a very exciting day to talk about long term. We have the long-term information when we're in our management team and at our meetings, and we always want to share it. Today that we've managed to get to where we are and sharing this information with you gives me a lot of pleasure. Hopefully, those of you that are already investors are happy with the performance that we presented to you today and looking forward to those that are not investing, maybe looking forward to investing. Thank you very much. We're going to have Q&A. I'm sure you can throw the questions at us. Thank you for listening. Oh, Roger. Roger's next. Sorry.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Wow. Hope everyone's OK. We're almost at the end. That's good news before we get to Q&A. Just three slides. Let's move on. This morning, we put an R&S out. In the R&S, we talked about the potential divestment. Let me just give you a slide on it. The disclosure this morning is that we're in discussions with NNPC on a potential sell down of 10%. We got 40% in the JV, and it would go down to 30% to the extent this went through. These are discussions. The reason why we're disclosing them now is, obviously, we've set out a plan to 2030, and a potential in that is a potential sell down. It's not guaranteed, but it's a potential. We just want to give you some metrics here of the impact. You can see there, we've looked at the reserves, production, CapEx, and dividend.

If you look at the reserves themselves, if you look at the 2P, you can see it's going from 1.043 billion barrels to 906. It's not a massive impact in the 2P because a lot of that 2P sits in the onshore business, which we obviously have matured over the years. In the 2C, the 2P+2C, you can see there's a lot of contingent we brought in. That's where the big upgrades have been in the reserve report. You can see they're going from 2.3 billion to 1.873. It's quite a big impact there. What we've done is, because we had such a big upgrade today in the reserves, we were reporting 2P reserves of 886. Even at 30%, there's an upgrade in those reserves. The 2P+2C, we were reporting 1.2 billion barrels, and that would go up, you can see, to 1.873 billion barrels.

There's still upgrades in 2P, just 2P+2C, but not obviously as much. In terms of production, we're targeting an excess of 200,000 barrels. If the sale went through, we'll go to 170. It's still quite a material business. CapEx will naturally reduce from $2.5 to $3 billion to $2 billion to $2.5 billion, so about $500 million out of the CapEx. I think the most important thing here, which we have looked at very carefully, is the dividend policy. It doesn't change. The 120 is guaranteed, the 40 to 50% of free cash flow, and the target of $1 billion, we don't see changing. We put that out there. We will update you as things progress. As I said, and as we said in the disclosure, we must put this in front of you, but there's nothing guaranteed. It would all be subject to a substantive agreement and those terms.

Let me wrap up in the closing remarks before we get to Q&A. Let's just summarize as much as possible. We've thrown a lot of information at you. You're going to need to chew it and understand it. Let's just put it into four sections here. The key thing here is, I think one of the big things of Seplat's success has been stakeholder relations. It's so critical. It's very different from the North Sea or U.S. Stakeholders are integrated within your business, and those relationships are your license to operate and your success as a business. We nurture. We have a very highly skilled, experienced staff, 99% Nigerian. You can see that today. We are very much positioning ourselves as a sort of national champion, and we work very closely with all those stakeholders. In governance, it's really important for us in governance.

There really is not just having policies, but actually adhering to the policies. We're dual-listed on London and Lagos, and we actually have the Chief Executive of the Nigerian Stock Exchange in front of us here today. It shows you how important it is to travel up from Nigeria. We have all of our compliance. It's very important. Sustainability and our commitment to carbon reduction is very critical. In terms of financial prudence, I think Eleanor ran through that in quite a lot of detail. What I'd take away from this here is we've been very successful in debt capital markets. We've raised $4.4 billion. We have not gone back to the equity market since we listed in 2014, where we raised half a billion dollars. It's very important.

It's very unusual that you can, as a company, put this level of acquisitions, particularly the ExxonMobil acquisition, with zero equity issuance. There's no intention for us to do anymore. We don't need to because we get the cash flows. It's very good for existing shareholders. What's happening is, if you look at your reserves per share or resources per share or all the other metrics per share, they're all going up. I wish the share price.

But anyway, financial proof is very critical in how we do it. In operational expertise, it is critical. It is subsurface. I don't put it very well. There is no doubt this is some of the best subsurface on the planet. It's how you manage it and how you get it to market. That's a success. That's the success that Seplat brings to the party here in our operational expertise. The final slide is delivering on a roadmap to 2030. We call it clear, well-defined. Hopefully, it is clear and well-defined. It's certainly a lot of information to take in there. Strong balance sheet, upgraded reserves, strong resource. It's transformational. The business has transformed. Now we'll then work our way through how we deliver this growth. We've got a different revenue mix, different risk profile. I think a lower risk profile in that.

Strong short cycle drivers in the growth, our production targets. What we've done is since we acquired on the 12th of December, we're taking this Capital Markets Day in September. Some people should have said you should have come earlier, maybe come in May. What we wanted to do was actually fully understand our business. When we set out a five-year plan, we want to have confidence we can deliver on that plan, whether it be growth rates in the production, cost control, and everything else. We spent an awful lot of time as a management team bringing this to you today. We're very confident we'll deliver it. Therefore, the free cash flow then will support the dividend. The 2030 roadmap really sets the foundation. We're going to try and accelerate and do better to drive this continued growth into the next decade. Thank you very much, everyone, for listening.

It was a bit of a bombarding of information. Now we're going to get to the stage of the day where we do Q&A. Please, whatever questions you've got, everyone at the top table will answer them. Thank you very much.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Very good, very good. Thank you very much to the speakers in good time again. Excellent. That means we've got plenty of time for questions. As Roger said, there's been quite a lot of information here today, so a bit of time to digest, but we do have a lot of time for questions. We've got a couple of roving mics here in the room. Please, can you just wait for that to come to you? The room's quite small, so we can all talk and hear each other, but those online won't be able to hear anything. Please do wait for that and then go ahead and ask your question.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Who's going to start us off?

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Excellent, Colin. Here we go. Will, can you pass it over to Colin?

Colin Smith
Head - Research, Capital Access Group

Thanks very much. I'm Colin Smith from Capital Access Group. I have a lot of questions, so I'll group them and pass the mic on and come back. Since we've got the people who actually make the business run here, I'd like to start with some questions on the operations first. You talked quite a lot about reactivating idle wells and then implementing a drilling program and facilities management. Could you talk a little bit about potentially whether you need more platforms on the assets that you've got and perhaps more immediately what the drive position is? Is there more you can do with, I'm assuming there's water injection in place already, that you can do more with that or whether you can do something with gas as a further means of accelerating the production potential that you've got in the assets? That's my first question.

I have a couple on LNG as well, if I may. I think you said that you were going, you were anticipating doing LNG at some point in the future with someone who would actually do the development. You would sell the gas to them. I wonder if you could just talk a little bit around that. Also confirm that in the guidance you've given, there is no gas assumed for LNG within that 2030 timeframe and maybe talk a little bit about that. The gas that you've got from the offshore operations that you're planning to put into Nigeria LNG, could you talk a little bit about Nigeria LNG's capacity to take that gas, if that is a constraint or not a constraint? Maybe if you could do something around the pricing on that, and I'll stop it at that.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

I think we'll pass that over, probably, I don't know, between Samson and Dotun, probably. I think LNG, if Oke, do you want to have a go at that? I'll augment that as needed.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

I think it's on. It's on.

Samson Ezugworie
COO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Okay, so I'll get this going. Thanks for the question. During the presentation, on one of the slides, I indicated that there's a sequence to what we're doing here, where we're going after the low risk, low spend, high value opportunities, operations, maintenance, idle well restoration on the back end in field drilling. I said on the back end of that will be more drilling that require projects. In this five-year window, answering your first question here, we have drilling opportunities that cannot be accessed from existing wellhead platforms, which means we have to go spot new wellhead platforms in place closer to the resource, either because it's too far from a drilling, complexity perspective or because the slots are just not vacant. Usari ADC is one, and then SFD2 is the other one. I'll let Oke answer the question on UTM.

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

All right, thank you. Thank you very much. Your question was whether we plan to invest in an LNG facility during the plant cycle. When I mention LNG, there are two parts to that. One is the supply to Nigeria LNG, which is an existing plant. We supply about 120 million scops a day today. The plan is to ramp that up to 240 and then to 480. A four-fold growth in supply to Nigeria LNG over the next five years. The other project I mentioned, which is a floating LNG project, is not going to be delivered by us. There's a third party who will build the floating LNG. Our job is to make the investments in the NAG fuels facilities to make the gas ready over the period. The cost of the investments we will make to make the gas available is in the plan.

A third party will deliver that project. On your second question, which is whether volumes relating to LNG are in the plan, I believe my first response addresses that the volumes to Nigeria LNG are in the plan. As I took time to mention during my presentation, the path to 1 BCF, which is our target by 2030, doesn't have to include the floating LNG project. We will get to 1 BCF whether that project is ready within the plan period or not. You asked whether Nigeria LNG has the capacity to take all of this gas. The answer is yes. They are running considerably below capacity at the moment, and they have Train Seven coming also, where they will require additional gas volumes. Thanks.

Oladotun Isiaka
Managing Director, Seplat Energy

I'll come on the back end and answer your question on gas injection, water injection. We have not built any of that into the plan. The aspirations for the federal government are actually to get gas to sales. It will be difficult to get any project associated with additional gas injection. What we have in plan is gas lift type opportunities where the reservoir pressure has dropped to the point where it needs some level of assistance. You go in, you install mandrels, you use gas to lift the oil to surface. Those have been built into the plan in some form or shape. Thank you.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Yeah.

Maybe let me just add, because it's quite an important point here, whether we get involved in LNG or not. We've taken a view that in the offshore business, there's a lot of gas and it's ready for blowdown, it's ready for monetization. The government really wants to monetize that gas and so do we. We looked at projects which would bring that gas to market sooner rather than anything else. Nigeria LNG, for anyone who's, I don't know who's familiar with it, it's a flagship project. It's one of the best projects in Nigeria. It has top quality shareholders in it and it needs gas. Having a reliable supply of gas into that plant, it's got first rate off-takers for it. For us, it's all about getting that volume up. We want to be hitting 480 million scuffs into Nigeria LNG.

It can take it and taking that over a 15, 20-year horizon. That is where the success of this, I don't think we put this into the investment case. I know we didn't in any level. I think this is real upside for investors. The other thing is that our intention also is to bring a gas project into Akwa Ibom state, which is where the assets are located. It's very important we're doing that and we're working with Nigerian National Petroleum Company, our partner, actually to see if we can accelerate one of the projects there as well. There'll be other projects. What we've done here is just put down what we see as the most certain projects, but there'll be more coming.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Okay, Colin, is that good? Yeah, just in front here. Len, have we got a mic?

Lanre Buluro
Managing Director, Chapel Hill Denham

Len, Ray Baloor from Chapel Hill Denham and well done, guys. You talked about how prolific the assets are in Nigeria. The management team we've known for a while, knowing Roger since day one, Sam, everyone, Eleanor, the next 11 trying to understand the bench because we need someone to continue to execute. We've seen a refreshed board. What can just speak to the bench and who's behind and who will take over this, you know, succession planning? Just to get this to the clarity.

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Nice one.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Okay, perhaps I should answer that one. Although none of us look old, I guess it's the same. Look, we are blessed with an incredible bench, right? We've got some here today. You've got Chioma Afe in the front here. We've got Edith Onwuchekwa, Joe Mafian. We have an amazing bench and way deeper than that. The benefit actually of the acquisition is we now have about 1,400 extremely well-trained staff and actually very senior level. What we're doing at the minute is we're looking at the integration of it all, which is a very critical thing that we, over the course of this, before the end of this year, we put it all together. In the succession planning around that, with the structure, is to then generate the future. I have no qualms at all. It's incredible.

We're lucky because Seplat Energy has been able to always attract the best in my view. Also, the things that IOCs have done an amazing job in creating a massive amount of talent in Nigeria. They're not sitting here today, but there is a bench, big bench behind it.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Okay, questions? There's one at the back there. I can't see. Chris, maybe?

Chris Wheaton
MD - Oil & Gas, Stifel Financial

Thanks, James. Chris Wheaton from Stifel. Three questions, if I may. Firstly, on the operations upside, the potential for doing more things like, you know, very simple stuff like bringing back, reactivating old wells. I'm interested if you could talk more about how much of that production growth target to 2030 is actually that simple, simple things to do, given that really interesting anecdote that the heat exchanger had been out for three years and ExxonMobil had never bothered to replace it. That speaks to an asset base that needs a bit of tender loving care that could deliver quite quick upside at quite attractive returns. That's my first question.

The second question was, I'm trying to get a handle on what the incremental capital cost of the program is for the next five years, how much on a per boe basis, how much of that resource base does that $2.5 to $3 billion capex actually put into production? Because what I'm trying to work out is what's the unit capex and therefore what's the recycle ratio and therefore the return on investment. My last question is probably one for Eleanor on balance sheet. If the potential divestment of that 10% stake in the joint venture did go ahead, is it likely that could be returned to shareholders upfront? If it's left as cash on balance sheet, it's going to mean basically an unlevered balance sheet. That sounds an inefficiency that Seplat Energy wouldn't find attractive. I'm interested in that decision on incremental cash return should the divestment go ahead.

I know we're talking theoretically, but we can speculate. Those are my questions. Thank you.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Okay, maybe I think certainly the first one, Dotun, you pick that up. Eleanor, you probably pick up the other two.

Oladotun Isiaka
Managing Director, Seplat Energy

Thank you. In terms of the idle wells, I did mention that we started off with approximately just a little bit over 400 wells. We did the first evaluation and 100 of them had no future use, so we're left with 300 wells. This year, we planned to do 50 plus. As of the middle of the year, we've done 29. We look to get another 20 to 30 before the end of the year. Our basis for going forward is 60 plus wells per year. By the end of the decade, we hope to have fully liquidated everything. I also noted that the quality of the program will decline over time.

In terms of the rates that we have built into the plan to the end of the year, it's somewhere around 200 to 400 barrels per day per well that we have factored in for those 60 wells that we'll drill per year till 2030. Yes. Yes.

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Okay, thank you for the question. I'll just take the last one first. We've already baked in the, and assuming that the deal does go through, we've already baked that into our plan over five years. We will look at the options on whether we would reward the shareholders earlier. I think the message to leave with you is that over this five-year period, the $1 billion is the target. If we get cash flow sooner, it means that the shareholders will benefit that earlier. In the plan, if that doesn't happen in the plan, you'll see that the shareholders will get rewarded sort of towards the end of the plan. We've considered all of that. Now, our capex, I mean, we shared the pie chart that shows around 55% of our cash flow from operations is going to capex.

When you look at it from the break-even side, when I showed the chart on the average realized price, around 20% of that is going to the $2.5 to $3 billion of capex. Thank you.

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

an operations person, safety has been my priority. Making sure that the people that we keep in the front line, no one hurts him or herself, is a key awakening part of my life. My phone, even when I go to bed, is active because I would like to know. We have a mantra. Please. We preach it because, again, we know that safety is a hearts and mind thing. Our front line barrier managers have a mandate to ensure that our people do the right things when we are not watching. We have a widespread footprint and we cannot be everywhere. That is why we have the safety leaders in the front line. Safety is the most critical thing for me that keeps me awake just to ensure that we keep everybody who is working in our facilities safe each and every time.

Oladotun Isiaka
Managing Director, Seplat Energy

Aside from the dividends that I'll get, that I'll eventually be dreaming about, it doesn't really keep me up per se. I would rephrase by saying what I focus on, because what I focus on, the team fully understands, are already implementing and executing. My focus areas, just as Sam talked about, is safety. We have a slogan in the field where we want employees to come to work and return to their families, even in a better state than they came. Folks in the field live by this. Safety is always a priority. I mentioned it earlier on. It was pre-CIC, it is as of today, and it will forever be a priority for us. The other one is asset integrity.

You will see from the plans that we've put in place that we are investing in the assets to make sure that the life is put back in them to serve as the foundation for the growth that we are looking to bring forward.

Samson Ezugworie
COO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

For me, my colleagues from the upstream have talked about safety. I buy into that vision, but as someone in the more commercial part of the business, being part of the gas business in Seplat Energy from the onset, I have seen how we've grown supply, especially into the domestic market, and how important we have become to supporting the power sector in Nigeria. My concern and focus has been how do we keep this journey going, realizing the importance of the role we play in the domestic market, access to energy, and contributing to that decarbonization story. The acquisition of the offshore asset was an answer to my prayer. Now we have the resource at the right scale to not only maintain our role, but to take it further up.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Great. I wasn't asked, but it's the Capital Markets Day, and I'm going to sleep well tonight. Sorry, here we go. James.

James Carmichael
Energy Equity Analyst, Berenberg

Thanks. Hi, James Carmichael from Barenburg. Just a couple. Firstly, on the Nigerian National Petroleum Company divestment, just wondering if you could give us a bit more sort of background on how that came about, the rationale for that. I guess whether there's any sort of link to or benefit to the receivables position. Secondly, just on the domestic gas opportunities, it feels like you've got lots of spare capacity in the facilities. The assets obviously got good capacity. What's the sort of, I guess, the distribution network situation like? Is that a bottleneck? Just generally, how quickly can that business grow? Thanks.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Okay, I maybe ticked off with the first one. Maybe you do the second question. First of all, receivables pay, there's no linkage at all. I think just generally for quite a while now, the government's been focused on not having a receivables position. The whole industry has really benefited from that, and receivables have now come down to very manageable levels, if not even having any receivables. It's transformed the industry, and we've got to thank the partner and the government for doing that. The genesis of the discussions around the 10% goes back somewhat. What it is, is, you know, Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited's desire to increase its stake in the assets. That's all I can say at the minute on that one. The discussions are ongoing. We will obviously update the market as appropriate.

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

Should I take the other question?

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Yep.

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

With respect to spare capacities, on the onshore part of our gas portfolio, where we have about 55 million scf of gas processing capacity, obviously there is some spare capacity there. During my presentation, I talked about the clear strategy we have to leverage gas resources around us in proximal location to the gas plant and secure additional volumes to fill up that spare capacity. We've made quite some progress in those efforts, and we are confident that some of those will come in within the five-year period that we are talking about. Looking at the offshore part of the portfolio at OML, for instance, what you've seen from the presentation earlier is even though those resources and assets have been there, the previous owner didn't quite invest into unlocking those resources already there. You heard me mention increasing supply to Nigeria LNG to up to 480 million scf.

That will be coming from the ANOH Gas Processing Plant that has a capacity of 600 million scf per day. As we achieve that, that takes the capacity utilization to about 80%. At EAP, the other part of the assets, Roger talked about projects in Akwa Ibom State. As we mature and develop those projects, we'll be able to utilize the capacity that's already in place to deliver gas into Akwa Ibom State.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Thanks. Okay, next one.

Dragan Trajkov
Equity Research Analyst, Alternative Resource Capital

Thank you. Dragan Trekov with Alternative Resource Capital. You spoke a lot about diversification within Nigeria, but not a word about diversification outside Nigeria. Any thoughts around that?

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Oh, Nigeria. Okay. Maybe I'll go with this. Look, it's something that we have discussed for years. What I would say is, we've looked at lots of opportunities outside Nigeria, but not outside Africa. I think that's a clarification there. We've always come back to the same point, which is, first of all, when you bring your operational guys into the data room, the technical guys, they just love Nigeria, right? The other regions just aren't as good, right? Therefore, we've always looked at the opportunities within Nigeria as a dominance within the country. It's a postcode we know, we understand the DNA is there and everything else. I'd never say never, but we've just bought a very big asset or a big company, and you can see there's a lot of opportunity for us to grow that. From our organic business, we can grow quite heavily.

We'll always have a business development team looking at opportunities. We'll look at Nigerian opportunities, we'll look at regional opportunities, and we'll put it through the normal decision-making that we do. We'll see how things go in the future. We're not in any rush at the minute. We always wanted, before we bought Mobil, we were looking for a very scalable, sizable opportunity. To be honest with you, having been at the company for quite a number of years, that was the genesis of Seplat. Genesis of Seplat was to list, to do things properly, to demonstrate access to capital so that therefore we could transact on a very big transaction in country, and we've just done one. That's where we're going to be very busy in the coming months, years. We'll have a BD team looking at other opportunities.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Okay, yes. Now.

Alastair Syme
Managing Director, Citigroup

Thanks. Alastair Simon from City. A couple of questions on gas. Can you remind us how gas prices are set in the domestic market and how that is expected to evolve? Secondly, do you think you'll always stay as a sort of a gas wholesaler, or do you think you need to move further downstream, potentially into the power generation segment?

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

Thank you for the question. In Nigeria, for gas pricing, you have it in two elements. There's a regulated gas pricing regime, and there's a willing buyer, willing seller regime. Every gas producer in Nigeria has got volumes that you need to sell to customers at that regulated pricing. For us in Seplat, as a portfolio, especially on our onshore, that's about 30% of our gas production from the onshore business. The remaining 70% we're able to sell on a willing buyer, willing seller basis. The growth offshore that I talked about going to Nigeria LNG, that's on a willing buyer, willing seller basis, and the other floating LNG opportunity that I also mentioned. The expectation for Nigeria is that we will move from that portion of regulated pricing to a full willing buyer, willing seller market. It's going to be a journey, but that's the direction of travel.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Maybe I'll ask the second question, which is, you know, do we want to go down the value chain? Do we want to go into power? We have a strategy that deals with that. We have a three-prong strategy, and one of them is into electricity. We've looked at it at length. We've looked at lots of opportunities in it, in the power sector. We actually had a quite long debate with the board last week with a strategy session where this came up in a lot of conversation. The outcome of that was that the reason why we've not proceeded with the acquisition in the power sector is just either a mixture of timing. We've been busy in other things, or actually the risk profile or that opportunity wasn't quite right for us as a business.

We still leave it as part of our strategy, but actually our big focus is, and you can see it in the presentation, is our second leg. Obviously the first leg, which is oil and gas upstream, but it's really this gas business. It's really to accelerate that gas business and really be very meaningful in it. That gas will then supply the power sector. At least if we're not in the power sector in the short term, we're actually doing the vital feedstock that's going into that power sector. When the opportunity fits within our criteria, then we'll actually, we'll then look to go into the electricity sector, but probably nothing for the short term because of just opportunities that we see coming across our desk.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Okay, we have a question in the back.

Kemi Iyinbor
Head, Corporate Banking, Firstbank UK

Good evening, everyone, and big well done to the Seplat team. My name is Kemi from First Bank UK, and I've got two questions. The first one is around vandalism and whether or not and to what extent this impacts Seplat's business. You've been speaking about the gas and increased supplies to Nigeria LNG. We know that Nigeria LNG declared a force majeure a while back with respect to gas coming from its offstream suppliers. Is this something that impacts Seplat? That's one. The second question is on community relations. Are there any active issues of note that perhaps you could speak to? Thank you.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Okay. Do you want to do the... Do you want to deal with the vendors? Sam, do you want to deal with the community or do you want to do both?

Samson Ezugworie
COO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

I can do vandalism and community and then yourself.

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

I'll do the Nigeria LNG one.

Samson Ezugworie
COO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

You do the NLNG one. Thank you very much, Kemi, for the questions. If you recall, there is a slide I presented that showed the massive improvement in our access to the market that showed that we were, prior to quarter four of 2022, in the double digits on losses on our integrated pipeline routes to the market. Since then, there has been quite a number of things going on within the country. The Nigerian National Petroleum Company and the government security agencies have been very active in working the entire security architecture for all the oil and gas infrastructure in the country. That has materially led to the results that you've seen. Internally, we have our own machinery to make sure that our pipeline access to the market is all very well surveyed. We have an active surveillance strategy on all the lines.

That has led us to a point where, on an annual basis, since quarter four of 2022, we have seen less than 5% losses on the lines. In the renewed strategy with the current leadership of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company, we come together. It used to be bi-weekly, but now once a month. We look at the entire pipeline systems in Nigeria and how they are all operationally green at a time. In terms of losses on the lines, which speaks to the vandalism, there is a massive improvement since 2022, and it has remained as such. In terms of historical trending, you will then see that there is a bit of control, if not largely in control. I leave that there. I begin to talk about our community. We at Seplat Energy are very deliberate and intentional in our relationship with our communities. We call them neighbors.

We don't call them host communities. It is for a reason that if you had studied biology, there is this relationship between hosts and parasites. We don't really exist in that nature with our neighbors. We call them neighbors for a reason. We have them so intertwined in our activities. The video you watched is just the tip of the iceberg in terms of what we do for the society and the communities where we operate. There is one that is very close to my heart. It's the Eye Can See programme, where we restore sight to people who are partially blind. The last time we commissioned an eye center in Sapele, I was out there, and we took out the staples on people's eyes who were partially blind after the surgery. They could see the two fingers. They actually believed that a miracle had happened in their lives.

This is how we intentionally and deliberately get into the hearts and minds of the people where we work. I will end on supply chain because, again, we are very intentional about the things we do. Supply chain is one area where we've also thrived in empowering and supporting the communities where we live, where we work, and our neighbors, such that there are some specific contracts that are exclusively reserved for our neighbors. No matter what capacity and capability deficiencies they have, we support them through and make sure that we lead them. If it is safety deficiency, we work, hold their hands. We've taken it a few notches up. We are now in the process of linking them up with banks that could help them finance those activities.

Last but not the least is that we also have a dedicated supply chain program for women in the oil and gas industry, making sure that we have a very diverse and inclusive program that deals with all the community issues. Long and the short story is that we have zero and absolute zero deferment or production interference because of our misalignment or rough relationship with our neighbors. It is a significant license to operate. Thank you, Kemi, for that question. I can probably go on and on and on because this is really the foundation and the bread and butter of our business.

Oladotun Isiaka
Managing Director, Seplat Energy

Before Oke comes in, I'd like to corroborate that. From a Heritage Jackson perspective, it was a shift for us. Seplat Energy is more proactive when it comes to engaging with the communities.

At CIC, we deliberately, based on this new approach, engage with all the chiefs, the kings, the clan leaders, the local government chairman. The data shows over the last nine months, we've not had a single blockade of our facilities. Just wanted to chip that in.

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

Thank you. Thank you very much. Thanks, Kemi, for your question. You asked whether the previous declaration of force majeure by Nigeria LNG on gas supply, if it was a risk for us. I think it's actually an opportunity for us. Historically, Nigeria LNG was supplied by the shareholders. Because of those supply challenges, they've become more open to receiving gas from third parties. That's really the window of opportunity that we have to then deliver additional gas volumes into that facility. Thanks.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Thank you, Kemi. Any more questions in the room? Colin, you want to have another round? Go for it.

Colin Smith
Head - Research, Capital Access Group

Thanks. Colin Smith again from Capital Access Group. Just a couple of specifics in the presentation itself. On the slide of capex, slide 72, you're basically showing it peaking around about 2028 and then beginning to tail off through 2030. Presumably, I mean, I assume that is essentially a function of the guidance you've given us today and not your actual expectation given the resource base that you've got. First question. Second question, just in terms of the tax guidance that you've given, can you talk a little bit more about the trajectory between where we are now and the 60% of P&L tax and 40% of cash flow tax that you showed in that slide?

Sticking with the overall theme, you show, I guess, around about $1 billion worth of surplus cash being generated after investment and after payment of the, or, and after fulfillment of the dividend policy that you have set out. Could you talk a little bit about, and I know it's very early days, kind of the balance of what you think you would do with that surplus cash?

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Yeah. Okay. Thank you. In the slide, you're right. The capex estimate that we provided, again, remember we talked about spending based on cash generated from the business. Obviously, we're always going to be constrained. We worked on our capex program within that constraint. As we start to ramp up capex, obviously, we're going to be ramping up production as well. That's the focus. You're right. There are huge opportunities. We're delivering about 300 million barrels of oil equivalent in that, in the five-year window. As you know, the reserves that we've described are way bigger, 2.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent. I know 2P+2C, but again, there's still room in 2P to do that. Now, on the tax slide, specifically, we were around 91% effective tax rate at the end of six months. Remember, the effective tax rate considers the cash taxes and also the non-cash taxes.

We have a mix of the current tax and deferred tax. That's actually what you use to determine that calculation. One of the advantages of the CPR and these additional reserves is that it then supports lower depletion costs over the cycle. That's part of what you will see come through and why we're sort of projecting that over the cycle, it starts to come down from an effective tax rate basis. On the cash taxes side, it's predominantly what I described in the presentation, which is the more that you invest, you build that shield. Obviously, you start paying lower taxes. Beyond the PIA is also the incentives that the PIA provides for the gas business. We've been describing today the investments we want to do in gas. We are going to be taking advantage, of course, of some of those incentives. That would also start to come down. Was that what was the last question?

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

The excess cash flow.

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Yes, that's a good question. We've talked about the cap for dividend at 50%. For the other 50%, we've talked about balance sheet management. We'll continue to do that. If you look at the debt that we have today, there's an opportunity to delever our balance sheet. We've also talked about potentially inorganic growth. We could do more inorganic growth opportunities as well. There were discussions around exploration. It's really following that capital allocation methodology and just keeping to that process. We could enhance the balance sheet as I described, do more in CapEx, and then dividend, obviously, as the pie gets bigger, the shareholders get more. If there's any inorganic opportunity that we want to go after that meets our criteria, then we can go after that as well.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Thank you. Colin. Anish. On the other front here.

Anish Kapadia
Energy Analyst, Hannam & Partners

Good afternoon. Thanks for a great presentation. It's Anish Kapadia from Hanuman Partners. I'd want a short question in terms of capital allocation as well. Any thought of in terms of that excess cash going towards buybacks, given the value that you see in the company? I suppose the second one, you know, when I look at the resource base, especially this new resource base with the upgraded contingent resource, it's a huge resource relative to your production. You do have an aggressive growth plan over the next few years, but you're not really eating too much into that resource base. What I wanted to understand is what's constraining you on going faster to access that resource base? Is it capital? Is it people? Is it infrastructure? Can you just talk about what's holding you back and how you could accelerate further? Thank you.

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Buybacks. It is in our policy. We could potentially look at that. There is an opportunity, certainly with buybacks, and we can communicate that when that time comes.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Yeah, I think that is, but we've looked at buybacks before. I mean, there's not a lot of shares in issue in circulation for us as a business. You know, we've not issued share capital at the start. We haven't issued share capital since. We have a lot of long-term holders of the stock, and the daily trades are not very big. We actually looked at, you know, capital allocation is actually increasing the dividend, looking at other ways to do it. We wouldn't rule it out, but it's just quite difficult to achieve it. In terms of your question, in terms of your reserve production ratio, and can we, what's restricting us? What's stopping us from accelerating? A couple of things is, at the minute, you know, we put up there 21 years on a 2P basis.

I mean, I don't think that truly reflects the uplift that's based in 2025 production levels. I think it'll come down from there. It's really about all those projects that we're showing in the offshore, particularly in the offshore business. A lot of them are gas-related projects. What we didn't want to do today was projects that we hadn't advanced enough or, you know, we hadn't importantly got our partner over the line on, right? We've brought a number of quite well thought-out gas projects, but there are more that we can do. I don't think it's a case of capital. I mean, we can see the capital generation there. It's about working them up and actually getting them credible to the point that we can bring to the board for approval and then put them.

That's why I kind of indicated there are other projects we can do, one into Akwa Ibom State. We're under a lot of pressure, not pressure, good pressure, good opportunities, bringing opportunities to us in terms of the offshore business. We're looking at what's realistic of the timeframe. It's more work really, rather than we're not resource constrained, I don't think, and we're not capability constrained as a business.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Thanks, Anish. Brad.

Speaker 16

How much of the 300 million boe you plan to produce in the next five years is from your 2C number versus from your 2P number? Over that five years, do you expect, like how much of the 2C do you expect to be transitioned into 2P?

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

I don't have the exact figure, but it's primarily 2P. I don't have the exact figure, but it's primarily 2P.

Samson Ezugworie
COO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Gas? The 2C conversion?

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

Yeah, for the oil. I don't have the specific.

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Which is the bulk of the $300 million?

Okechukwu Mba
Director, New Energy, Seplat Energy

$300 million as it comes, yes, I think, yes. Let's take it away again, just so that we don't give you the wrong answer. Yeah, please.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

James.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Are we going to go to the very back? Brad will come back. Can you just wait for a microphone, please?

Gavin Levy
Senior Desk Analyst & DCM Strategist, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Hi, Gavin Levy here from Oppenheimer. Could you just talk to your capital structure plans? Because you, I think you recently repaid DRCF and there's a contingent, sorry, deferred consideration. I think it's, is it $250 something million that June, December? And obviously, you've announced the CapEx plans. Could you talk about sort of options with regards to, yeah, just managing the liabilities and any, yeah, any potential fundraising? Thanks.

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Yeah. Yeah, sure. Thank you. Again, it's back to the way that we would manage the balance sheet. We still have some debt that we can pay down. We could potentially deliver our debt. We have a prepayment facility that we took as part of closing the deal.

We've already baked in the deferred consideration in our planning, and we can handle that. No plans to look at debt again this year. Over the cycle, we've talked about the fact that we do have the flexibility. Potentially, if there's more opportunities, we'll look at that. For now, we'll maintain the leverage as I've described. The cash that we have and that we're generating in our business, that's part of the plans to settle that deferred consideration. Then, like I said, potentially pay down any debt that we have right now. Thank you.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Any more in the room? We've got a few online, which I can pick up. Part of our discount to European peers we showed in the slides is the Nigeria risk factor. Being on the ground, you might see Nigeria differently. What are our investors missing on Nigeria? What can you do to close that valuating discount?

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Maybe I'll go with that then. Ask a non-Nigerian that question. We've got quite a few in the front row who can help us. What I'd say is it's an understanding. Having operated in country since inception, there's this perception in Nigeria and the complexity of Nigeria. It's not as complex as people think it is, but it's just the information flow. Before Seplat Energy existed, there wasn't really any independence. It was a dominance of the national oil company, the international IOCs, and some smaller players. Actually, what you're seeing with Seplat Energy now, and particularly the scale that Seplat Energy is, we're starting to get much more knowledge coming to the market. That is what the risk factor I think is within Nigeria. It's the uncertainty.

With this current government, what this current government is trying to do, and I think it's doing a pretty good job of it, although you might not see it yet in the international market, is actually trying to make business easier. It's an enabling environment. As Sam was saying, there's a regular engagement in NNPCs. How do we unlock the business? How do we make it simpler? The presidential directives are really about how do we make it a more investable place? That is incentives. There was a lot of issues around local contents. Really good thing. It's a brilliant thing. Actually, we had a lot of what we call rent seekers. What would happen is you'd have international suppliers who would then have to use a local company. That kind of choked the system. The presidential directive is really to remove that from it.

It's actually bringing a lot more infrastructure in the country. There's been a lot of steps to open up the markets, make it much more visible. I think it's a perception. That's all it is. It's a perception issue. Look, the quality of the oil, low sulfur, great API. It's the same barrel. In fact, it's a better barrel of oil than you're seeing elsewhere. The extraction of that oil, you start to see us demonstrate that you can extract it in a very affordable way and then actually get it out to the market. I think it's just time. I think demonstration, what we're trying to do today, and actually, I think delivering what we said we're doing today. Once we start to do that, we'll see more companies coming to market.

What you've seen is the IOCs in the last year, there's been a wholesale revision of ownership on the onshore and the shallow water offshore in Nigeria into independent hands. You're going to start to see them increase production. You're going to start to see them come to the market. We've said from day one, you know, we don't just want to be by ourselves. We want five to 10 sizable companies that the international market can see. Once you start to see them succeed, I think that discount will narrow. I really genuinely do.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Thank you. Question, a couple of questions here on gas. We mentioned in the slides that ANOH will temporarily supply Nigeria LNG. Is the required pipeline infrastructure already in place to support that? Can we give any kind of color on the timeline to that being operational?

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Maybe I'll deal with that quickly. Yes, it's in place. There is a pipeline that was owned by Agip, is now owned by Oando. There's a pipeline that goes, there's a spur line that connects from the ANOH Gas Processing Plant into the Oando system. There's plenty of knowledge in that system, and it connects right into Nigeria LNG. In fact, we inject into that pipeline from the offshore. Our offshore gas goes through BRT, and then it connects into that Oando pipeline. It's already in place. Our focus now is to really get the gas flowing into Nigeria LNG around that, and also other off-takers from ANOH. The government is still pushing ahead with the OB3 pipeline. It wants to connect that Eastern gas into the West, and importantly, connect it into the AKK pipeline, which will take it north. There have been some technical challenges around that.

For our focus on ANOH, it's less important on the OB3 now because we've got an export, or we've got a route for that gas. I can tell you that the government wants to have the OB3 in place, and once it's in place, we will then route that gas up into where Oben is, and then it'll take it north. At the same time, obviously, we're working the offshore. Once we get the offshore up and running and operating in scale, then we'll supply Nigeria LNG. It's either going to be from ANOH or from the offshore or the combination of the two.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Very good. Any more in the room? Just while I keep going. We mentioned Dangote Refinery in the video. How is Dangote Refinery affecting our business today?

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Let me go with that one again. There's no direct link. I mean, what with the Dangote Refinery is, you know, they're obviously taking feedstock, and every producer is making offers to supply feedstock to the refinery. We have made multiple offers around that. We've actually supplied crude into the refinery. What we have is in our structure, we have off-takers. On the Exxon, the seven new assets, it's Exxon or lifting through Escravos, our volumes from the West, Chevron lifts that. We have other off-takers like Shell and others. What would happen is that those off-takers would take from us and sell into the refinery. That's how we're doing it. It's actually very important that there is local crude going into that refinery. It would be good for Nigeria long term. We're actively doing it today.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Very good. You probably answered this. We just had another question asking for more clarification on the rationale behind the disposal we announced in the INS today, but maybe you covered that already. If there's any other remarks you wanted to make. If not, one question here on share liquidity. Share liquidity remains very low. Is there anything we're doing to improve that in the market?

Eleanor Adaralegbe
CFO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

I think what we're doing today is part of it. Continuing to share our story. We have some tightly held shareholders. I guess we'll continue to do what we do. We're not focusing on the share price per se, but focusing on developing the business and let the outcome of our business really drive the liquidity on the share price, sorry, on our shares.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Very good. Any more from the room? Is it going, going, gone? No? We're in good time. You were warned.

Toto's obviously ready to finish. It looks like no more questions. I'll kind of draw proceedings to a close here. Thank you everybody on the line for dialing in and staying with us for three hours. Thank you also to everybody in the room. There'll be some refreshments outside after the presentation here. Maybe then I just ponder to Roger to close.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Okay. First of all, let me thank everyone because we've bombarded you with information. I will say that the slides were 200-page slides. We've spent the last weeks getting it down to the level it is. It would have been worse than this. Just in the interest of your health, we didn't want to sit too long. Look, it's a great story. It's a game-changing story for us as a business. It's about really understanding it. We understand it in our view very well. We can see the potential. We've tried to translate that into five years, right? Like everything else, you know, what Seplat always does, I think, is pretty conservative. It's pretty prudent. It tries to decipher and lay things out, everything else. We're hoping for more as a business. It's exciting. The gas development is exciting. We're fully aligned with where the government's going. Nigeria is moving.

It's still complex, but it's still moving forward. We're loving being part of it. Thank you, everyone, for listening. James is contactable at any time, I guess.

James Thompson
Head - IR, Seplat Energy

Not for Mark.

Roger Brown
CEO & Executive Director, Seplat Energy

Doesn't keep him up late at night. By the way, if you'd asked me what keeps me up late at night, let's sleep. It's Nigerian pepper soup, just to be clear. Okay, everyone, thanks very much and enjoy your evening. Thank you.

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