Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Yash Nanvani from IIFL Securities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thanks, Agent. Good day, ladies and gentlemen. On behalf of IIFL Securities, I welcome you all to Indraprastha Gas Limited's Third Quarter FY25 Earnings Conference Call. Today, we are pleased to have with us the senior management team of IGL, led by Mr. Kamal Kishore Chatiwal, Managing Director, Mr. Mohit Bhatia, Director Commercial, and Mr. Manjeet Singh, VP Finance. I will now hand over the floor to the management for their opening remarks, which shall be followed by a question-and-answer session. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. I'm Kamal Kishore Chatiwal, Managing Director of Indraprastha Gas Limited. On behalf of the entire IGL management, I extend a very warm welcome to all of you, and thank you for joining us for this conference call. Your continued support and confidence in our company drive us to achieve greater milestones. This quarter has been particularly challenging in terms of gas sourcing. On October 16, there was a significant reduction in APM gas supply by approximately 1.08 MMSCMD, followed by another cut of around 0.8 MMSCMD in November. As a result, our total available APM gas reduced from 5.11 MMSCMD to 3.23 MMSCMD, posing a challenge for future gas procurement. However, IGL has been proactively addressing this issue. We have successfully secured additional gas volumes at competitive price from our existing suppliers, and the details are as follows.
First is the additional volume of 1 MMSCMD of gas linked to Henry Hub index for a period of five years. Second, the company has added another 0.65 MMSCMD of gas, initially linked to Henry Hub and later shifting to Brent Crude, with a volume increasing to 1 MMSCMD over time. Both these agreements are competitive in the current market, with gas prices of these additional volumes remaining within ₹38-₹40 per SCM. Recently, with effect from the 16th of January , 2025, our domestic gas allocation has also been partially restored, bringing back approximately 1 MMSCMD out of 1.88 MMSCMD reduction that was made earlier in Q3. Further, an additional 0.5 MMSCMD from New Well Gas has also been allocated to IGL, and that would be from the 1st of February, strengthening our total gas portfolio for the future.
With these measures in place, IGL now has more than 9 MMSCMD of gas available, making us future-ready. The major performance highlights for the quarter are as follows. On the sales front, we achieved an average sales volume of 9.11 MMSCMD this quarter, reflecting a 7% YoY growth, and among the, if you see the bifurcation in the segment-wise, CNG segment has grown by 6%, and PNG segment has achieved double-digit growth of 12%, and within PNG, the industrial segment has seen an impressive 16% growth, while domestic PNG has grown by 17%. The commercial segment grew by 10%. Notably, we recently crossed the one million mark in industrial sales, a significant milestone for our company. Looking ahead, we expect to exit this financial year at 9.5 MMSCMD and anticipate that we'll be reaching, in one year's time, 10.5 MMSCMD.
In our new geographical areas, we have witnessed strong double-digit YoY growth, while Delhi NCR has showed a growth of more than 5%. The outside GAs have shown an overall growth of more than 30% in both CNG and PNG segment. With this strong growth trajectory, IGL remains committed to expansion, sustainability, and delivering long-term value to its stakeholders. Now, I would like to invite our Director Commercial, Shri Mohit Bhatia, to share his insights on our financial performance.
Thank you, Mr. Chatiwal. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. I am Mohit Bhatia, Director, Commercial at Indraprastha Gas Limited. Thank you all for taking the time to join us today. I hope you had the opportunity to review our Q3 financial results, which were released yesterday, on 27th of January 2025. I take this opportunity to highlight our key financial and operational achievements for this quarter. As you are aware, the sales volume grew from 780 million standard cubic meters to 830 million standard cubic meters, registering a marking of around 7% QoQ increase in growth. The CNG sales rose by 6%, from 6.33 million per day to 6.7, and the total CNG sales in Q3 stood at 616 million standard cubic meters. As we registered good growth in Delhi NCR, our PNG also registered almost 30% plus growth in CNG.
We have also witnessed an increase of CNG vehicular population, with an average addition of 17,100 new and retrofitted, compared to around 14,700 vehicles in the previous quarter, reflecting a 16% growth. On the PNG front, our domestic PNG sales increased by 7% year-on-year basis, 17%. I repeat, commercial PNG growth was around 10% year-on-year basis, and industrial PNG growth is 16%. In fact, in the month of December, particularly, we crossed an average of 1 million of industrial sales, all-time highest in the industrial segment for IGL. With this continued focus on our volume growth, we are very confident of achieving 9.5 million of exit sales target for this current financial year, 2024-25, and the company is also investing heavily in new GAs to enhance the sales volumes.
Financial performance and infrastructure development. I would like to just share out here that the gross turnover was INR 4,130 crores, a 6% growth on quarter-over-quarter. The EBITDA was INR 363 crores. It was down by 36% year-on-year, primarily due to higher gas input costs, but a lot of mitigation has been already done. The profit after-tax PAT was INR 285 crores for this quarter, as compared to INR 392 crores for the quarter three of the last year. On the infrastructure front, IGL has already developed 2,280 kilometers of steel pipeline network and 26,000 plus kilometers of MDPE network, and we are now providing our natural gas to almost 2.9, touching almost 3 million domestic customers, 5,000 plus industrial customers, and 6,600 commercial customers. So IGL is now operating at 899 CNG stations, serving almost over 2 million vehicles daily.
On our future outlook and diversification, apart from our organic growth, IGL is actively exploring diversification opportunities and inorganic acquisitions for future expansion. With secured gas supply now, we remain confident of achieving 9.5 million of gas this year as exit and maintaining EBITDA in the future in the range of around ₹7-₹8 per SCM annually. So with this, I conclude, and the floor is open for the question-and-answer Q&A session.
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Probal Sen from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.
Thank you for the opportunity for a very good afternoon. Just on the last bit, in fact, what the commercial head said about the EBITDA guidance of INR 7-INR 8. If I look at the cost of the new gas sources that were mentioned, I just wanted your sense of how much of a price increase will be required at this point of time to go from this INR 4.3 to, let's say, INR 7 of EBITDA, and what kind of timeline are we looking at to sort of gradually restore margins to these levels?
I think if you see the 50% of our domestic gas has been restored, so whatever impact was there, so that has got reduced by almost 50%. If we have a INR 2 increase per kg, then I think INR 2 per SCM, rather, then I think that should take care of us reaching back to around INR 7-INR 8 range.
Right. But, sir, forgive me, but that would be probably for this year. The way that gas output is going, do we actually believe that the gas allocation would now remain on this absolute figure? So therefore, whatever volume increases that we see will have to be met through alternate sources, and therefore, the cost of gas on a blended basis will keep on increasing as we go along?
So our belief is that the domestic gas production per se will not go down. So that will remain rather increase. The only thing is that the nomenclature that New Well Gas, whatever APM cut would be there, would be replaced by New Well Gas, which is around 20% costlier than the APM.
So on an average, the blended gas cost, sorry, sir, go ahead.
Yeah, yeah. So what I would say is that the total, we would say APM and New Well Gas, if we take it as, say, today we have 4.26. So that, I think, would continue to remain in this range only.
Right. So therefore, is it fair to assume, sir, that around a 15% blended increase in gas cost can easily be passed on an annualized basis because the cost of everything keeps going up? Is that how we are looking to sort of keep improving?
So the weightage of that is only, you can say, 20% or so. So 70%-80% would again be APM, and we believe that, given that now ONGC has also appointed a technical service provider, I think the production, especially keeping the fact that CGD is the priority sector, so that we believe that this value would remain.
Got it. The second question, if I may, sir, was on the 17,100-plus number mentioned of new vehicles and retrofit. I just wanted to understand, sir, the demand from commercial vehicles, if it is there in and around the NCR, is that reported under the commercial segment, or does, I mean, that would still form part of the CNG segment? Is it possible to therefore put a number on what percentage it is of total sales today?
Actually, there was a huge increase from the private vehicle space in the CNG segment in Delhi NCR that we saw, especially in the month of Diwali. There was a huge increase. So we had around 24,000 conversions in the month of October, and it was majorly contributed by the EV segment, passenger vehicle segment. And the commercial, again, continues because of the GRAP 4 operation in the Delhi NCR region. It's not only in Delhi, but it's the entire NCR that is covered. So that has also accelerated the conversion, I would say.
In fact, just to add, regarding this April to November, if I recall, there was a substantial growth in the addition of CNG vehicles, particularly by 46%.
Okay.
Mr. Probal?
Right. So we see that the continued growth in the commercial space also due to the GRAP and environmental concern, basically.
Understood, sir. Thank you so much. I'll come back if I have more questions. Thank you, sir.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Yogesh Patil from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my question, sir, and congratulations for the good set of numbers. Sir, as you mentioned in the initial remark that you are confident to achieve 9.5 MMSCMD exit sales volume in FY 25, so could you please share what is the current sales volume? Because as per our calculations, if you require closer to 7% kind of sequential volume growth, then only you can achieve the 9.5 MMSCMD from the current level of 9.11 MMSCMD. Could you please throw some light on what will lead to the 9.5 MMSCMD exit sales volume in FY 25?
Actually, we were growing very strong in the third quarter. The initial 15 days were very, very strong before this cut. Now, what happened after the cut was that we had to source this 2 million gas immediately from the market, and unfortunately, during that period, the spot prices were very, very high, around $14-$15 per MMBTU. So whatever sourcing we were doing was at a very high level, I mean, which was not, I think, sustainable for us to pass on immediately. So we had to reduce deliberately the growth in some of our GAs just to cater to our existing customers. So seeing that kind of volumes, because 55 lakh kg was the number that we touched during that October month, and subsequently, it bottomed below 50.
So we are confident that 7%-8% growth in these three months is very much possible in the 15-20 days when we have restored our original supplies. So that has, again, we are back to those levels which we were achieving before the supply cut.
The current sales volumes are much, much closer to the 9.5 MMSCMD. Is that a correct understanding, sir?
Yes, yes. That is correct.
Sir, if you could provide some volume growth guidance for the FY26 and FY27, if possible.
You see, 26, because the visibility is there in the existing. In case we are able to acquire one or two GAs more, so then that will change, but the current scenario, I think one million, 10%-11% growth we are clearly seeing, especially given that our new GAs are also now adding to that, so I think one million we will be adding in the next two years, every year, one million each.
Lastly, on gas.
Just to add, yeah, sorry, just to add, see, if we dissected on segment-wise also, see, currently our GAs are also growing around 30%, all the handsome double digit, and contributing to almost one-third of the share. Plus, Delhi NCR also is growing. In fact, NCR is growing very good, around 12%-13%. So this is on the CNG segment, but particularly if you see PNG, we are adding almost 3 lakh customers year-on-year basis, which almost is contributing to a growth of 15%-16% in domestic PNG. And apart from that, industrial and commercial, we are also adding around 1,200 customers year-on-year basis. So that is also amounting to around 10%-12%. So I find it very confident that we can easily grow on the numbers.
Lastly, sir, if you could share the gas sourcing details for only CNG right now and how it will change considering your new gas sourcing contract in Medium Term, if you could throw some light on this?
Actually, right now, we are getting roughly 51% is APM allocation, which is the firm allocation. In addition to that, some New Well Gas plus HPHT would be another 15%-20%, we feel that given that 0.5 has been allocated. So 7%, 8% kind of value will come from there. And the rest 40% would be sourced from RLNG, for which we have the existing contracts. We feel that we will be able to sell at those levels.
Thanks a lot, sir.
The good thing is that very attractive that we can sell with the existing price.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pratyush Kumar from InCred Equities. Please go ahead.
Hello, sir. I'm audible?
Yes, sir.
Yes, yes. Please go ahead.
Yeah. So one question which I have is regarding your current tax structure because there has been a lot of noise about bringing natural gas into the GST regime. So how does the current tax structure look like currently in natural gas? So you get the gas from GAIL. So does it attract additional VAT, and do you get any input credit for that? Because I think it would be inter-state transfer, you might not be getting that. So what's your comment on this aspect?
I think the major challenge for the entire sector is the 15% Gujarat VAT that is levied on any gas that lands in Gujarat, so this includes the imported RLNG as well as the domestic APM gas because it lands at Hazira where the purification, etc., is being done, so the 15% is, I think, a big number, so that is the major cause of concern once the gas is in GST, so that will be a big relief for the sector. Additionally, every state has a different kind of VAT structure, and the main challenge is in states like UP, where the input is 10%, and you don't get input credit on the output, and output is at 12.5% VAT. In addition to that, the excise of 14% remains, so these are the major tax structures.
Plus, in case we are sourcing, I mean, in high seas, then the 2% GST is applicable.
Understood, sir. And just to clarify this, so the 15% is being paid by the GAIL when it gets the gas from Petronas, and when the GAIL gives you the gas, then you'll have to pay additional 2% VAT because of the interstate transfer. Am I correct, or is it something different?
Yeah, that is correct. That is correct.
Okay, okay. So now, suppose LNG, when it goes to customer, what are the different VATs which are put on CNG and PNG for Delhi specifically? And what's the additional cost which is involved in the compression? And is it included in GST? Because then you might be getting the input credit for that GST which you would have put into the compression, right? So what's your take on that?
I think I will ask Manjeet to clarify this.
In Delhi, there is no VAT added on sales of CNG, even, there's no VAT on purchase of natural gas used for CNG. Regarding your second question on GST, right now, the compression charges, what we are paying, we are paying GST on the services that we are using, for which we are not getting any input credit because CNG is still not under the GST regime. So once the GST comes into the picture on natural gas, we'll get the benefit of all the GST we are paying on our input for compression and other activities.
PNG is the 5%?
PNG in Delhi is taxed at 5% right now. The input VAT is also 5%, but that is convertible. So net impact is a 5% tax on output side that we pay.
Understood. And sir, what's the formula of the Henry Hub and Brent linked contract which you have made?
The formula, I think it is a commercial arrangement between mutual parties, so that would be difficult to share. But it is very, very attractive as compared to the industry. That is all I can say.
Understood, sir. No worries. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Amit Murarka from Axis Capital. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hi. Thanks for the opportunity. So just wanted to check, has the drag from DTC buses now stopped, or is that still impacting your numbers in Delhi?
No, it is still under progress. So what we can say is nine months, this has impacted the sales. Otherwise, we would have grown. Delhi was almost flat, maybe 3% growth. But otherwise, if you leave aside the DTC, it has grown by 6%. So the impact is still being felt because I think 40% buses are still there.
Right. And also, I missed the comment on price. I think you mentioned the INR 2 SCM is needed to maybe go back to the seven to eight range? But what is the thought process now on kind of making these price adjustments? Is it basically the election factor, or is there anything else? If you could just throw some light on that.
Actually, we balance both the growth as well as the margin. So what I would say is that because the sourcing was so sudden, so we had to source and then adjustment because we don't want to shock the customer into believing that this fuel is not very reliable fuel. So that's the dilemma for us, and Delhi being the largest market. And so any response from our side has to be very calibrated. So we'll take a call. We'll take a call. And we have taken some price hikes other than Delhi to the extent of INR 4 in some of the GAs.
Right. No, I understand for December, but now I think the sourcing is more or less now clear and maybe stabilized. So I believe you'll have a good sense of your cost structures now. So just wanted to understand, when do you think you can go back to that INR 7 plus margin range now?
I think in this quarter, we are hopeful that we'll be in that range.
In Q4, you mean?
Q4, Q4.
Okay, sure. And also on the CapEx for next year, will it be in the 13,000 crore range?
Yes, it will be in the INR 13-15 thousand crore because we are looking at some of the diversification initiatives also. So if they materialize in this quarter, then I think it may even exceed INR 13-15 thousand that we have projected.
Okay, and sorry, out of the total CNG stations, how many are in Delhi right now?
Delhi is around 500.
Okay.
So we have around 400 petrol, diesel dispensing stations, and 500 is CNG.
No, no. What I meant was in Delhi, how many stations are there out of the total about 900 that you have?
In Delhi, there are 400 stations which are petrol, diesel stations, and 500 is the number for CNG. Out of our 900, 500 is in Delhi.
We have more stations than the petrol.
What I'm saying is Delhi has more CNG stations than petrol and diesel.
Oh, okay, like that. Okay, okay. Okay, sure. Got it. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of.
Hello.
Yes, sir.
Okay, okay. Please go ahead.
Yes. The next question is from the line of Nitin Tiwari from PhillipCapital. Please go ahead.
How are you? Hello, good evening, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. Can you hear me? Am I audible?
Yeah, please.
Yeah, you are audible.
Yeah, sure, sure, sir. Thank you. So, sir, actually, you've touched on the gas sourcing in bits and pieces in your introductory remark. But just to put things in perspective, can you help us in terms of putting a like-to-like comparison between third quarter and now in terms of what are the sources of gas that we have and what we had in third quarter and the volume that we are getting from those sources? And also, additionally, if you can give us a breakup of LNG contracts you have. Because I suppose you already had a couple of LNG contracts which were long-term in nature in the third quarter as well. I mean, and have you contracted anything on top of that? And whether that's Henry or Brent linked? So just a couple of details on that, that's it. That would be my first question.
You see, if we look at the company-wise, rather than breaking into, you are aware that CNG is 51% and PNG is 105%. But you look at the company-wide, out of 9.11, approximately 47% is that is APM, New Well Gas, APM as well, APM, non-APM, New Well Gas. So you can say 47%, that is 4.26 MMSCMD. That is available. And balance RLNG, that makes up around 9.1.
This is for the third quarter?
This is for the third quarter.
Third quarter.
Yeah, this is for the current portfolio as of now. As of now.
All right. 47% and 53% is the breakup, right? All right. And this has now, this allocation has increased. The 47% has now increased. That's what has happened from.
This is after the increase. This is after the increase because before the increase, we were getting $3.23. Now that has increased to $4.23.
Okay.
So 1 million has increased. So 10% has increased. And from 38, 37, 38%, it has; the CNG has gone to 51%. So company-wide, if you see, around you can say 47, 48% is APM, non-APM, as well as the New Well Gas.
Okay.
Because New Well Gas is the same, but the pricing is different, slightly higher, and HPHT is now, if we include HPHT also, so you can say that roughly 50/50 is the mix. That 50% is domestic gas because HPHT anyway is domestic gas, so 50% is important.
So 47% APM and non-APM, 3% HPHT. Now, when we come to LNG, so what is the breakup of LNG in terms of volume and, I mean, contracts in terms of index linking? So how much of the volume is Henry Hub? How much is the?
Two-thirds is Henry Hub linked, and one-third is combined JCC, Brent, or rather, Brent is slightly more. Brent, JCC, JKM, all those. So two-thirds is linked to Henry Hub, and then one-third is oil linked.
You mentioned that there is a contract that you have changed from Henry Hub to Brent. Why would that be?
No, no. It has not changed. It is basically five-year contract. So initial two years would be on Henry Hub. And going from 2027 onwards, that will switch to Brent. So it was a mixed kind of a thing.
Understood. So one MMSCMD, HH that you mentioned at the beginning, that is a new contract that we have signed over and above what we had in third quarter.
Yes. And the second contract also is a new contract. So since we already have a portfolio of Henry Hub linked gas, and our Brent linked contract, long-term RasGa s contract is expiring in 2027. So that is why we are switching to some of the Brent. So the mix is of the 50% RLNG, the mix is 50/50.
Understood. Great. And sir, secondly, on basically gas sales, if you can just help us with the breakup of sales in percentage terms between NCT, then NCR, and other GAs, and what was their respective growth numbers? And I would just like to question an additional number to that. I mean, just for clarification. So the bulk sales that we are doing, for which we are supplying APM gas to Haryana Gas, all of that APM supply is still coming as APM, or there also there has been a shift in terms of APM plus NWG or something like that? That would be all for me.
There has been no shift in that gas because it is basically court monitored, or rather court mandated. So there has been no change in that. Number one. Second is that 67-68% is our Delhi. And around only the Delhi figure is that. Around 15-odd% is, or rather close to 20, if I include Gurgaon also, close to 20% would be the NCR regions. And balance 12% would be outside NCR.
Right. Delhi grew at 3% and NCR at 7%, you mentioned.
Delhi is growing at around 15%. And outside Delhi, NCR is around 30%.
30%.
Delhi, inclusive of if we say, if we take DTC thing also, so Delhi is growing at around 2%. But if we offset DTC volume, then it is growing at around 6%-7%.
Understood, sir. That's very helpful, sir. Thank you so much.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Varatharajan Sivasankaran from Antique Stockbroking. Please go ahead.
Yeah.
Can I take the opportunity, sir?
So on the APM allocation part, have you been given any kind of an assurance of no future cuts, or do we expect one more round of cuts? As in when the next review happens, which I believe is the 15th.
Actually, we have received just the communication that this is our new allocation. Now, I don't know whether anybody can give an assurance kind of a thing. So it will be very difficult for anybody because it is dependent on the domestic production from those fields. We all know that the production over time tends to go down.
Sorry.
Don't have any sense from.
Okay.
It will not go down.
On the New Well Gas, how much are we getting today? And is it being allocated on a proportionate basis, or is it a different basis?
It is now on the proportionate basis.
Sure.
Because in between, what they have done was they have invited expression of interest, but now that has been done away with and they will be allocating based on proportion of their consumption.
They're likely to get 25%.
25% of any gas because of consumption of CNG. This is basically going to priority sector, CNG transport. Since our share is around 25%, so we expect to get around 25% of NWG.
As of now, are you getting that 25%, or is it lower?
Yes. The new communication that has come from the 16th, that would be applicable. We will be getting that.
In which case, with the new contract you entered, would there become a kind of surplus volume or redundant?
No, no, no. They will not become redundant. But because they are very competitive, so they are basically lower than some of the existing contracts. So what we can think of doing is, I mean, trading those excess volumes on the exchange.
Sure. And the last question is, the non-Delhi GAs, you're saying, are growing currently at what rate per annum?
30%.
30%.
Outside Delhi NCR, they are growing at 30%.
Thank you a lot, sir.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of S. Ramesh from Nirmal Bang Equities. Please go ahead.
Thank you and good evening. Just to understand some of the operating details of the APM gas and the New Well gas. Whatever you mentioned in terms of the increase in APM gas allocation from 3.23 to 4.23, that is still at the APM gas ceiling price, right?
Yes, that is at ceiling price.
Yeah. And secondly, when you talk about the New Well gas price, ONGC is eligible for 20% premium on that 10% slope-based formula. So do you have to pay that slope-based formula plus that 20% premium?
Yes. The price of APM gas, other than the ceiling, is intimated by PPAC on monthly basis. So currently, that is at 7.3.
Yeah, that's the 10%. That's the 10% slope. But ONGC is entitled to get 20% premium on that. So in terms of the pricing of the gas sold by ONGC, the question is whether it's just at that 10% slope or there is a markup of 20% you have to pay as gas cost for the New Well Gas.
20% markup is applicable.
Okay. Second thing is, can you give us the volume and MMSCMD from the new GAs as of third quarter and what you are doing now in fourth quarter? Is it possible?
See, our new GAs, in particular, if we just segregate Delhi NCR thing, around CNG, its volume is around 0.6-0.7 million per day. And domestic front, it is around 2 lakhs. And industrial and commercial, it's picking up. So that needs to be further enhanced.
Can you give us the CNG number for third quarter? What was the run rate in new GAs?
CNG numbers for?
For the new GAs in 3Q.
It is around 0.6-0.7 only.
It is remaining shared. Okay. Now, in terms of the CapEx in new GAs and the recovery of interest.
This was for the third quarter only, which is growing by around 30%.
On a quarter-on-quarter basis?
On quarter-on-quarter, last year.
Yearly basis.
Yearly basis. Year-on-year basis.
Okay. Okay. So if you're looking at the CapEx, which was already done in the new GAs and whatever is pending, in terms of the recovery of interest and depreciation, when do you see that happen at PBT level? At what volume? And what is the timeline for that to be positive at PBT level for the new GAs?
Most of the GAs have come positive, other than one or two, with this price hike, I think, except for the very new GA of Banda Mahoba Chitrakoot. The other GAs are more or less at break-even level. Only the depreciation is slightly higher. Even considering that, they are now coming into positive.
So, can you give us?
Level.
Can you give us some sense of what will be the increase in interest and depreciation over the next two years from what you have reported as of now for year to date?
You see, interest in any case is almost zero. The depreciation is one that is there.
So the 120 crore depreciation we have reported in this quarter. So this is growing almost year-on-year. This is 10% of 135-140 crore we can expect next year same time.
Per quarter. Okay. But last thought, so in terms of the LNG retailing and Compressed Bio Gas initiatives and the gas meter initiative, can you give us some sense of where these initiatives are going? When do you expect to make some investments and see some commercial results from these projects?
You see, the gas meter is under almost now the installation is nearing. So by April end, so the production will be starting there. I mean, it is in advanced stage, I can say. LNG, one of the stations is under commissioning or has been commissioned. And the sales are very encouraging there. Every day, they are selling around 10,000 per SCM. So that is the kind of sale. And we are three more stations, LNG stations, two in NCR, one in Rewari. They are in advanced stage of construction. And one is exclusively for CONCOR, and that will be used for their internal vehicle movement. The CBG is also picking up that our own plant, we have 10 plants. They are, I mean, five, six, we have acquired the land, and the job is under progress there.
We expect that in another five, six months, one of the units would get commissioned. Subsequently, every two, three months, we'll see commissioning of the others. 10 plants for which we have planned, they are in advanced stage in the sense that we have now got land in those 10 locations. In addition to that, the third party or the LOI holders of our CBG units. That is also progressing very well. We have in our Muzaffarnagar and Nardak, Kaithal , Hapur, these GAs, we are getting the supplies from CBG.
So if I may question, last question on the CBG business, what is the final CapEx will do, and what is the kind of volume of CBG you can source, and what price?
You see, CapEx, since it will be, it is on a JV mode, and that too debt equity. So company-level CapEx will not be very high. Right now, only INR 50 crores kind of numbers is there. But the benefit is that this is the cheapest gas that is available. I mean, 10% cheaper than the APM also. Blended cost, I would say. So we are, but the challenge remains that the land availability, well, technology is not an issue, only the land availability and the feedstock. So those are the key challenges which are making the growth slightly more challenging. But we expect to ramp it up now that we have got land in some of the cases. So the CapEx totally would not be in excess of INR 200-300 crores.
Okay. Thank you very much, and wish you all the best.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Apurva Sharma from Helios Capital. Please go ahead. Apurva, I would request you to unmute yourself.
Hello. Am I audible?
Yes.
Yeah. I just wanted to understand what are the steps that have been taken by the company to resolve issues starting in the remaining parts of Gurgaon. We understand the pricing was the main issue between IGL and other parties. So I just wanted your thoughts, given the importance.
Actually, pricing is not the main issue. There was no talk of pricing since it is a sub judice matter. So I think it will not be fair on our part to comment on anything. And as you are aware, the case is in APTEL, and the technical member there is yet to be appointed, due to which there is some delay.
Yeah, that's better. I think it is better as it is already sub judice, and it will be difficult for us to comment right now.
Okay. Another thing is around one-third area of total GA of Gurugram, right? IGL has. So what has been the expansion in both CNG and PNG that has been done by the company in this territory, which is not under any?
That growth is very, very encouraging in the sense that we are now selling close to around 2.5 lakh in CNG. And whatever target was given to us in terms of minimum work program, so that we have already completed for the domestic connection. So the area was a little challenging also. But the CNG sales, for CNG, that is the advantage that wherever you set up, the cars can come there. But for industrial and domestic, that is the challenge that it has to be in your area. So Gurgaon GA, we are seeing a very good growth.
Okay. So that is what has been committed, has already been done.
Yes.
Okay. Yeah. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Madhur Rathi from Counter Cyclical Investments. Please go ahead.
Sir, thank you for the opportunity. Sir, I have just a clarification. So when we sell CNG on our stations, sir, what is the tax that we incur?
What is the question? Can you repeat that?
Sir, I wanted to understand when we sell CNG at our stations, what is the tax that we need to pay to the government, or what is the tax that we need to add to our pricing to sell it to the end consumer?
So actually, we sell it at maximum or rather the retail price. Now, what the retail price includes is a component of excise duty of 14%.
And after that, there is a component state-wise of that value-added tax. So that ranges from 0% in Delhi to 12.5% in UP.
Okay, so 14 plus whatever addition related to a particular state. Is that understanding correct?
Yes. Yes. Correct.
Okay. I'll just ask a final question from my side. Sir, what we see is the number of private vehicles as well as electric bus. Sir, the vehicles that use more gas are getting less frequented. And so EV adoption is getting faster as well as so CNG adoption is getting the vehicle addition is happening, but it's happening more on the personal vehicle side. So the vehicles that are consuming less are getting added, but the vehicles that are consuming more are not getting added. So I wanted to understand your view on that.
That is the correct understanding. I mean, what I say is that that's a cap of 17,000 conversions. Okay. But if we compare with, say, EV or CNG or petrol and diesel, so if these are the four categories of fuel, then I would say that CNG, as Director Commercial has said, is growing at around 46%, which is the fastest among the fuel category.
The data shows that EV has been growing by around 4%-5%. That too only in the premium segment. Whereas in the passenger commercial vehicle, the normal category and all, I think CNG is growing fast at around 43%.
Okay. Got it. Sir, thank you so much and all the best.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Gaurav from KCM Corporation.
Hello.
Yes, sir. You're audible.
Yeah. Sorry for the backdrop, but I think I am audible. So I have two questions. First is, you have mentioned the total CNG stations, right? It's 92. In that, there is a bifurcation of IGL, DTC, OMC, and DODO. So what exactly it is? Can you just?
So just a second.
What is the question?
Break up.
40%, you can say the 41% is IGL stations, 5% is DTC, DIMTS, railways, and 54% is OMC and DODO.
So what exactly is DODO?
Dealer-owned, dealer-operated. I mean, our own dealers.
Okay. Okay. Got it, and the other point I want to ask is, as Indraprastha started with the pilot long route CNG buses with the Type 4 cylinders as a pilot project, so any update on that pilot project? Are we going to use Type 4 CNG cylinders in the buses or even we are including in the cascade transportations and all?
So actually, the Type 4 cylinders in Cascade are already being deployed. Now, this was more of a demonstration project, and this has been successfully demonstrated. So Uttarakhand, Delhi to Dehradun, they were flying and filling from Delhi and coming back to Delhi with one fill. So that has been successfully tested. Now, the only challenge is that the state government, I mean, since it was a demonstration, so IGL has demonstrated that. But going forward, the expectation is that the IGL should fund those. So that becomes a challenge that instead of the state government funding that. So that is the challenge in that.
Okay. And what about the cascades when we are transporting to the CNG stations?
The cascades we are deploying, and this is very helpful for long routes because the volume is more in one field. Instead of the conventional 450 kg, we take around 900, 950 kg in one field. So if it is a long route kind of a thing, so instead of transportation, you transport a larger volume. So they are being deployed for long routes. But for smaller routes, I mean, the economics doesn't work out for smaller routes. So we are also deploying for longer routes.
Okay. So is there any determined range that above 100 km if we are transporting, then we should use Type 4?
Yes. 100 is a good enough number. And moreover, this is only a short-term arrangement. I mean, two to three years when the GA is just starting. So our effort is because the transportation through this mode is the costliest. Because four to five rupees additional cost is incurred on that. So effort is that after two to three years, we should try to cut it down and make the stations online.
Right. So the pipeline stations will be more as compared to the Daughter Booster station and the Daughter station?
Yes, and it is a short-term arrangement only.
Mr. Gaurav, does that answer your question?
Yeah. But then also, I think on the mother station, one storage stationary cascade will be required, right? So in that, then we'll be using that to cut down the cost, or the economics will remain the same if we use any type of cylinder or Type 4 is recommended there?
So for stationary cascades, we do not see any advantage of Type 4. Okay. It is only advantageous in case of mobile application. Being lighter, the carrying capacity increases and all those things. But if it is a stationary thing, then I think the economics are better for any cylinder, especially the Type 1.
Okay. Yeah. Thank you. Thanks a lot.
Thank you. The next follow-up question is from the line of Pratyush Kumar from InCred Equities. Please go ahead.
Sir, I have just two questions. First is that since you talked about the sourcing, 50% comes from the RLNG part. And in that 50%, two-thirds are linked to Henry Hub, and one-third is linked to the mixture of Brent, JKM, JCC, which essentially is 33% coming from Henry Hub and about 17% coming from the other three mixtures. I wanted to know the effective cost for us for these two separate parts. So what is the average cost per SCM you incur when you get the gas which are linked to Henry Hub versus when you get the gas from the other three contracts?
Actually, the prices are dynamic. So Henry Hub, like two months back, was at 2.5. Now it is at 4. Okay. Similarly, the Brent was 84-85. Now it is 71-72. So they keep on changing. So it will not be very fair that if I give you one number of today, tomorrow it will not change.
The objective was keeping this in the both is we need to have a diversified sort of portfolio so that we can balance out on the various exchanges, whether it is Henry Hub or Brent, LNG, and all, right?
Totally understandable, sir. But if the cost of Henry Hub would be, let's say, one month ago was 2.5, then what would the effective cost for us when you're getting the contracts which are linked to Henry Hub versus when the cost of Brent was, let's say, 84, what was the effective cost which we were incurring when we are getting the contracts which are linked to those things?
Actually, at today's price, both of them are at similar values, INR 35-36 per SCM kind of range.
Okay. The final cost, the landing cost for us, right?
You can say that it is less than 40 for both of them.
Understood, sir. And sir, what is the compression cost which they incur per kg?
We don't incur any compression cost, rather, because we have our own compressors and everything. So that is part of the OpEx.
Understood, sir. No issue.
You can say that INR 7-INR 8 is our total cost, including the compression.
Understood, and you don't pay any GST, etc., for that, right, for the compression part? Because that's your in-house compression system which you have.
Actually, that has been explained earlier. I think, Manjeet, you can repeat that.
See, when we go for compression, we generally have our own compressors which are working, but we are taking certain services like AMC services, repairs, etc. For those services, we are paying GST, which is not allowed for us as a credit right now because our output is not under GST regime. So for machine as such, when we are buying as a CapEx, there's 18% GST, which is not allowed to us. And services that we are taking on a regular basis, we are still paying GST to the service providers, which as of date, is not allowed to us.
Understood. Understood, sir. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Devang Patel from Sameeksha Capital. Please go ahead.
Hi. I think we should now start closing this meeting, and this might be the last question we can take right now. So after this, we'd like to close the session.
Sure, sir.
So I just wanted to check our thought process on our two associates, MNGL and CUGL. Is the partner wants the company to go for an IPO, or do we have an option to take over stake in those companies? Or what does our shareholder agreement with the other partners entail?
See, yeah. We already have 50%, you can say, stakes in both MNGL as well as CUGL. There has been some news in the past from one of our promoter's side also. In principle, approval has been given by one of the promoters for making MNGL, particularly in listing. So things are going on in a favorable thing, and it will move ahead. On CUGL, I think the status is same, and nothing much development is there. If I may just add, 50% is with the IGL, and balance 50 in case of CUGL, 25 each is with the promoters. So they don't intend to dilute, so this is not available for sale. In case of MNGL, 45% is with GAIL and BPCL, 5% is with state government. So I don't see any of the entity diluting it further. So the status will remain in case an IPO is there.
So then maybe that is a different issue altogether.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take this as the last question. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Thank you very much for joining us. This was a great pleasure talking directly to you, getting insights into various different aspects of business also. So, hope that the discussion that we have with you has given some clarifications in terms of the IGL way of business and the future outlook. And, we'll see you very soon next time on the same session. Thank you very much for joining.
Thank you. On behalf of IIFL Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.