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Earnings Call: Q1 2021

Jul 29, 2020

Operator

Good evening, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to IndiGo's conference call to discuss the first quarter of fiscal year 2021 financial results. My name is Aman and I'll be your coordinator. At this time, the participants are in listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow today's management discussion. As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to your moderator, Mr. Ankur Goel, Head of Investor Relations for IndiGo. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Ankur Goel
Head of Investor Relations, IndiGo

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us for the first quarter fiscal year 2021 earnings call. In light of the developments regarding COVID-19, we hope that you and your families are safe. Also, our thoughts are with those affected by the virus. We have with us our Chief Executive Officer, Rono Dutta, and our Chief Financial Officer, Aditya Pande, to take you through our performance for the quarter. Wolfgang Prock-Schauer, our Chief Operating Officer, and Sanjay Kumar, our Chief Strategy and Revenue Officer, are also with us and are available for the Q&A session. Before we begin, please note that today's discussion may contain certain statements on our business or financials, which may be considered forward-looking. Our actual results may be materially different from these forward-looking statements. The information provided on this call is as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update the information subsequently.

A transcript of today's call will also be archived on our website. We will upload the transcript of today's prepared remarks within an hour. The transcript of the Q&A session will be uploaded subsequently. With this, let me hand over the call to Rono Dutta.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Thank you, Ankur. Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us on this call. The last few months have been very difficult for the aviation industry. As you all know, our operations were pretty much grounded from March 25th to May 24th, 2020, except for charter and cargo flights. As the government allowed partial resumption of flights starting May 25th, we resumed operations with much fewer flights than our pre-COVID capacity. We ended the quarter at about one-fourth of our original capacity, and we hope to slowly build this up in a phased manner in the coming months. Due to these ongoing COVID-19 related disruptions, we reported a net loss of INR 28 billion during the quarter. I think it'll be helpful if we structure our discussions around four topical areas. First, health and safety of our customers. Second, the revenue situation in these difficult times.

Third, our liquidity position. Finally, the cost reduction measures. Let me first talk about health and safety. Ensuring the health and safety of our customers is of paramount importance to us. Our teams have worked together with planning and discipline to ensure the highest level of hygiene in our aircraft, our airports, and our offices. In this context, we believe that the risk of transmission of COVID-19 from one passenger to another on board is very low, because the use of HEPA filters in Airbus aircraft cabin and the direction of the airflow on board from ceiling to floor ensures that the virus is not recirculated. The customers sit facing forward and not towards each other, with seat backs providing a barrier. Frequent deep cleaning procedures are executed at all touchpoints. There is limited movement on board our aircraft once passengers are seated.

Finally, safety gear for customers and crew is mandatory on board. We have seen a very positive response from our customers with respect to the procedures which we have adopted. We are very pleased that despite the complex new procedures, our operations are proceeding very smoothly with industry-leading on-time performance. The customer confidence, as captured by our net promoter score, is at an all-time high, and the customer feedback is also very encouraging. Let me take you to the revenue situation and the various changes that we have done operationally to adapt to the current environment. We maintained a low-scale operation in the form of some cargo flights and domestic passenger charters till May 24th. Post resumption of operations, we have also started international charters and Vande Bharat flights. The contribution of our charter flights after covering for variable costs has been quite encouraging.

We intend to continue with charter flights even as we ramp up our capacity for scheduled flights. As the largest airline in the country, we take our national responsibility very seriously. We undertook more than 290 repatriation flights, evacuating around 44,000 passengers. We transported 395 tons of medical cargo, and we will continue to help in times of distress. We have witnessed a great deal of potential in our cargo business. To explore this opportunity further, we have converted 10 aircraft to all-cargo airplanes. We continue to rework domestic routes, keeping in mind the guidelines issued by state authorities. We maintained our aircraft in flight-ready conditions at all times. That allowed us to resume operations seamlessly with 1,582 scheduled flights operated within the first week of operations.

We have kept our crews current in this new environment and reworked the standard protocol. We started a scheduled passenger service from 25th May. We are encouraged by the early signs. Our unit revenues are reasonably strong, although at very low capacity levels. Some of the specifics that I'd like to share are. Our average load factor was more than 60% for the month of June, with a peak load factor of around 70% during the period. Our unit revenue RASK has outperformed during the quarter at INR 4.19, an improvement of 2.2% year-over-year. This was driven both by the initial surge in demand and passenger and cargo charters. We have seen a 11.1% improvement in yield during the quarter as compared to the same period last year, which, as you know, was also the Jet Airways shutdown period.

On the flights we operated, we remained significantly contribution positive, which has helped us offset part of our fixed costs. On the basis of current trends and the pool of resources available to us in the form of aircraft, crews, operating staff, and infrastructure, we aim to deploy around 60%-70% of our capacity in the third quarter of 2021 on a year-over-year basis. This is, of course, subject to the government lifting the capacity restrictions currently in place. To the all-important question of liquidity. We ended the quarter with a total cash of INR 184 billion and a free cash of INR 75 billion, which is a reduction of INR 14 billion of free cash from March-end. Through all our efforts of cost reduction and revenue generation, we have managed to reduce our fixed cash burn. Aditya will talk about this in great detail.

We are focusing on strengthening our liquidity by optimal working capital management, obtaining additional liquidity through various sources, and most importantly, by adding capacity. We are working on our cost structure and taking various initiatives to reduce our fixed costs. The major components of our fixed costs can be categorized into following three areas. Number one, our leasing costs. As we have mentioned previously, we view our relationship with our lessors as one of our key success factors. We are therefore managing our leasing costs from a long-term perspective and honoring all our commitments. The second important bucket relates to the payroll costs. Here we have two objectives to consider. We of course have no choice but to reduce our payroll cost given the current situation, but at the same time, we know how important it is to enhance our employee motivation and engagement.

We are a customer service company, and we know how critical it is to have an enthusiastic and motivated workforce in order to deliver high levels of service. Under these circumstances, this is clearly a difficult balancing act, but a long-term employee culture is very important for us, and therefore we are going about this exercise in a very thoughtful and prudent manner. Number three, other costs make up 20%-25% of our fixed cost. We are reducing our costs in areas such as maintenance costs, non-aircraft rentals, and IT costs. In summary, we are clearly in uncharted territory. However, we also recognize that the industry is going through a very disruptive phase, which presents us with a unique opportunity to strengthen our airline in the key areas of customer preference, cost reduction, employee motivation, and network optimization. Our business fundamentals remain strong.

Our optimism in the future is undiminished, and we are fully confident that we'll emerge from this crisis in a stronger position. As you can see, we are using this opportunity to focus and strengthen each one of our business fundamentals. With that, let me hand over the call to Aditya to discuss the financial performance in further detail.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Thank you, Rono. Good evening, everyone. For the quarter ended June 2020, we reported a net loss of INR 28.4 billion compared to a profit after tax of INR 12 billion on a year-over-year basis. We reported an EBITDAR of negative INR 14.2 billion compared to an EBITDAR of INR 27.8 billion during the same period last year. As a result of the government-imposed lockdown, we did not operate our flights till 24th May. We resumed our flights from 25th May with roughly 200 flights a day. We have since doubled that number to over 400 flights a day. While the load factors have been understandably low, we have seen better yields in the quarter. We had load factors of 61.3% during the quarter.

Our yields increased by 11% to INR 4.53, and our RASK increased from INR 4.10 in the same period last year to INR 4.19 in the quarter, an increase of 2.2%. Our passenger and cargo charter flights have contributed to our performance. Looking at the current booking trend, most of July was strong, but the trend has weakened somewhat in the last few days. We attribute this weakening to the spike in COVID-19 cases, the sporadic lockdowns in various states, and the seasonality in demand. This volatility in the numbers is what is making our future revenue trends hard to predict.

The flights that we have been operating have been contribution positive and are therefore helping us partly cover our fixed costs. Given that we are not operational for almost two-thirds of the quarter, our unit costs have been inflated as we did not have enough ASK to offset our fixed cost. We reported a CASK of INR 17.7 in the quarter and a CASK excluding fuel of INR 17.1. Since the unit cost comparisons will not be relevant in the quarter, let me talk about some specific line items in the P&L. Employee costs. Compared to the March quarter, employee costs have reduced by 17.5% in the quarter. We have taken various cost reduction measures such as salary reduction, leave without pay, et cetera. Unfortunately, given the volatile revenue environment, we also have had to take the painful decision of employee separation.

Based on all the actions that we have taken, we expect to end the current fiscal year with about 30% lower employee costs than the pre-COVID levels. Supplementary rentals and maintenance costs. Compared to the March quarter, this cost is lower by about 56%. Supplementary rentals are largely variable in nature, and given that we operated very limited capacity during the quarter, our supplementary rentals have correspondingly been lower. Going forward, as our capacity is fully redeployed, supplementary rentals will increase, and this overall cost item should reach back to the number that we have been seeing in the past. In March 2020, our fixed cash burn was roughly INR 400 million a day. In June 2020, this has been reduced to around INR 300 million a day because of the various cost reduction initiatives and cash contributions from our limited operations.

As our operations scale up, we expect our cash contribution to increase further, helping our liquidity position. Managing cash continues to remain our primary focus, and we continue to work with all our stakeholders to raise liquidity. We spoke about these initiatives in the last quarter, which were expected to provide us further liquidity of INR 30 billion-40 billion. In addition to these initiatives, we are working on sale and lease back of our unencumbered assets, which are in the advanced stages of discussion. We are also in discussions with export credit agencies for obtaining moratorium towards principal repayment for aircraft and finance leases. We expect that these actions will help us raise additional liquidity of approximately INR 20 billion. In summary, the following is our cash position. Our free cash reduced by INR.

14 billion during the quarter, and we ended with a free cash balance of INR 75.3 billion in the quarter. If you recall, we had a free cash balance of INR 89.3 billion in the previous quarter. This is despite the fact that we were shut down for a large part of the quarter. We have started phase-wise operations of flights, and we are currently running over 400 flights a day. These flights are contribution positive and will help us set off our fixed costs partially. We have taken a number of actions to reduce our fixed costs and a number of additional measures are underway. As stated before, our daily fixed cash burn has reduced from INR 400 million to INR 300 million. We have capitalized on new business opportunities and are profitably pursuing repatriation flights, charter flights and cargo flights.

We spoke about certain initiatives in the last call, such as taking deliveries on new aircraft, freezing our supplementary rentals, and negotiating favorable terms with our suppliers, which is expected to help us generate liquidity of INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion. As explained earlier, we are further working on raising additional INR 20 billion of liquidity. We have a strong balance sheet, and we remain laser-focused on reducing costs and shoring up liquidity. Our cash balance remains healthy and our debt levels remain manageable. We ended the quarter with capitalized operating lease liability of INR 211.8 billion and total debt, including the capitalized operating lease liability of INR 235.5 billion. Before I close my remarks, let me give you our broad capacity guidance for the coming two quarters.

Subject to the government lifting the capacity restrictions, we expect our second quarter fiscal year 2021 capacity to be at around 40% and our third quarter fiscal year 2021 capacity to be 60%-70% on a year-over-year basis. The external environment is highly volatile and therefore our planning horizons are short and we are continuously making course corrections as we navigate through this uncertainty. With this, let me hand it back to Ankur.

Ankur Goel
Head of Investor Relations, IndiGo

Thank you, Rono and Aditya. To answer as many questions as possible, I would like to request that each participant limit themselves to one question and one brief follow-up question if needed. With that, we are ready for the Q&A.

Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question- and- answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Manish Ostwal from Nirmal Bang Securities Private Limited. Please go ahead.

Manish Ostwal
Analyst, Nirmal Bang Securities Private Limited

Yes. Thank you for the opportunity. I have only one question on the capital raise. How much are we looking to raise? Secondly, how long this will be sufficient for all set of operations? Thank you.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

This is a matter that we are discussing at the board meeting tomorrow. The board needs to deliberate on that matter, and as soon as we know what our next steps are on that, everybody would get to know.

Manish Ostwal
Analyst, Nirmal Bang Securities Private Limited

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Deepika Mundra from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Deepika Mundra
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi, good evening. Thanks for taking the questions. Just on the liquidity bit, you mentioned two numbers actually. You mentioned INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion, which was similar to last quarter's call, and additional INR 20 billion. Could you just clarify on the same, or INR 20 billion are subset of that INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion mentioned earlier? How much of that was already tapped into in the previous quarter?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Right. The INR 30 billion to INR 40 billion that we mentioned continues. The INR 20 billion is in addition to the INR 30 billion to INR 40 billion. Overall, you can read that as INR 50 billion to INR 60 billion from our perspective, from a liquidity perspective.

Deepika Mundra
Analyst, JPMorgan

Sorry, Sanjav. Follow-up on that. The INR 20 billion is the sale and leaseback of the owned aircraft and some moratorium on lease rentals. Could you tell us what the INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion is then?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion, as we mentioned earlier, was our supplementary rental benefits that we're getting, our sale and leaseback that we continue to do on our assets and all other vendor payments that we are negotiating with them. That's the breakup of the INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion. The INR 20 billion are the assets that we own, that we are putting onto a sale and leaseback structure.

Deepika Mundra
Analyst, JPMorgan

Got it. Just lastly, was any of this tapped into in the quarter?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Yes. Out of the INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion, we've tapped about 35% of that in the quarter.

Deepika Mundra
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sonal Gupta from UBS. Please go ahead.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS

Yeah. Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Good evening, everyone. Just on the fixed cash burn number that you gave. Just to clarify, so this is the absolute fixed cash burn in terms of when you have no revenues or, how do you read this?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

The INR 400 million that we mentioned was our fixed cash burn at the time of the pandemic. With the contribution that we are making so far on the flights that we are operating and the cost actions that we're taking, as of 30th June, that fixed burn was down to INR 300 million a day.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS

If you were to sort of look at fixed versus fixed, how much reduction is there?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

As we mentioned, most of our reduction is coming out of employee costs. The employee costs on a year-over-year basis, earlier we had mentioned from a pre-COVID levels, we'd mentioned the number would be down about 25%. We expect from pre-COVID level now the number to be down 30%. That's on the employee side. On lease rentals that we'd mentioned, we are continuing to honor all the lease rentals, so continue to pay them. On all of the fixed costs, we are seeing about a 15%-20% reduction on all of the fixed costs.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS

The other fixed costs, which you defined as 20%-25% of overall fixed costs?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Yes.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Sure. Thanks. I'll join back with you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Binay Singh from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, team. Thanks for the opportunity. Just for clarification, is my understanding correct? Continuing with the earlier question. Cash burn per day was around INR 300 million in end of June, and that number incrementally will go down as the recent staff cost cut comes in, and you also further cut down on fixed costs on the maintenance and IT side. Could you give us the cash burn per day that you see at a similar capacity level, like two quarters down the line? Linked to that, where do you see the cash burn breaking even? I know it depends a lot on yield and all also. If yields were to remain at current level, then at what percentage capacity would you see cash burn breaking even?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

The INR 300 million that we mentioned, as we continue to deploy flights and those continue giving us contribution, that fixed burn is expected to go down. You are right, as the employee actions come into play, that fixed burn will go down further. Given the fact that the market is very volatile, it is very tough to give an estimate right now as to how much will it go down by. We are confident as we put more flights out there and they all are contribution positive, that number will keep on improving month-over-month.

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Just a clarification, you said 25%-30% of your costs are fixed, within which you are targeting a 15%-20% cut. How much of that is already built into the June number that we're talking about?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Most of that is already built in, but we are continuing to work on incremental measures.

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Okay, thanks. I'll come back if required.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Varun Ginodia from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.

Varun Ginodia
Analyst, Ambit Capital

Thank you so much. Good evening, everyone. My first question is on the maintenance cost provisions on your older aircraft. As I see, 1Q, there was no return of those aircraft to the lessors. How do you see that from 2Q onwards and is it fair to assume the INR 400 crore per quarter charge that you were taking on these older ceo aircraft, they won't continue from 2Q onwards? That is my first question. My second question is, from the lessors in U.S. and Europe, we are hearing that the spreads between older generation and newer generation lease rates on narrow body aircraft have gone down significantly in the recent months. Are you hearing the same from your own counterparties? Have you seen your leasing rates go down on 321neos that are coming into the service? These are my two questions.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Our supplementary rentals, as I mentioned, we expect all our returns to go on as per track. We've got 106 planes to return between now and December 2022. Yes, there was a little bit of a disruption because of pandemic in 1Q. We expect all that to come on track as we go out, and those will continue to be on schedule. Therefore, those will remain the way we mentioned earlier. Those costs will remain the way we mentioned earlier. On your second point.

Varun Ginodia
Analyst, Ambit Capital

Sorry. The maintenance cost provisions that you booked per quarter of INR 200 crores, that will continue on those aircraft. We're not flying them right now, so I thought you won't need to book those provisions in a post-pandemic world. Will it be done? Yeah.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

It doesn't work that way. We have certain return conditions under which we need to return those aircraft. Those return conditions will warrant us to maintain those aircraft, and therefore those provisions will continue. We don't expect any significant savings coming out of that. Quarter-on-quarter, those numbers will obviously keep going down as we keep returning the aircraft. It's not as if we'll have a write back associated with them. Yeah.

Varun Ginodia
Analyst, Ambit Capital

That number is there in your June quarter as well.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Yes, that number.

Varun Ginodia
Analyst, Ambit Capital

INR 400 crore number is there in this INR 740 odd crore number as well, right?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Right. It's not INR 400 crores. For this quarter, that number is about INR 230 crores. The number keeps on going down. The number is definitely there.

Varun Ginodia
Analyst, Ambit Capital

Okay. Thanks a lot. The second question, yeah, you were answering to that. Yes.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

From whatever we see in the marketplace, what you're mentioning on the lease spreads changing is largely on the wide-body aircraft. The NEO family of aircraft, just because of where the market is in terms of no other similar kind of aircraft available in the market, we're not seeing any major changes on the lease rates over there. We have a long-term contract with Airbus, which is something that we like, and we continue to work with Airbus on that contract.

Varun Ginodia
Analyst, Ambit Capital

Okay, there is no significant reduction in the lease rates for the NEO aircraft coming in. You are not seeing that on that. Okay.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

That is the market as well, yes, as we understand.

Varun Ginodia
Analyst, Ambit Capital

Okay. Thank you so much.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vipul Garg from Kotak. Please go ahead.

Vipul Garg
Analyst, Kotak

Thanks for the question. Sir, first question is that you told that cash burn is INR 300 million per day. If we take for this 90-day quarter, the cash burn itself would be INR 2,700 odd crores. Same is not reflected in the cash depletion from March numbers to June numbers.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Right. As I mentioned, beyond the cash burn that we're talking about, we're also working on the INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion of old items that I mentioned that we're generating cash on, and the INR 20 billion additional items that we're generating cash on. Beyond what you see, those items are also throwing cash back to us. You won't see that burn at the same rate. That's the reason why you don't see that depletion.

Vipul Garg
Analyst, Kotak

Pardon, sir, how the gap has been bridged?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

If you recall, I'd mentioned that we have INR 30 billion-INR 40 billion of additional financing that we are getting, and there's another INR 20 billion that we're working on. That quarter-on-quarter also accretes on our cash results. Therefore, when we're talking about the INR 30 billion, just to clarify, it's only our fixed costs burn. On top of that, we have liquidity measures that help us get more cash in. The net cash burn that you see on the numbers will be smaller than that.

Vipul Garg
Analyst, Kotak

Okay, fine. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pulkit Patni from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Pulkit Patni
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, sir. Thanks a lot for taking my questions. My first question is, you mentioned about 30% expected reduction in employee costs. Now, if you look at the first quarter, this is about 17%. When you say 30%, should we assume that the FY 2020 number would go down by 30%? This is incrementally for the other three quarters, we should assume a 30% lower employee cost?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

It'll be 30% lower cost from the pre-COVID level. If you look at your March number, from that level, it'll be 30% lower. Why you see it's only down 15%, if you recall, we started taking those employee cost actions only from the month of May. There is only a partial impact of that for the quarter. Incrementally, we've taken more actions as we go into July, including the separation that we've talked about earlier. Therefore, you'll see that playing out over the next three quarters.

Pulkit Patni
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Sure. Fair point. My second question is just on yields. Given that right now we are operating in an environment where there are caps and floors, and the fact that it seems it's continued till November, does it work well for us in yields in the current scenario? What would be your comments on that particular front?

Sanjay Kumar
Chief Strategy and Revenue Officer, IndiGo

We would like the fare caps to be removed as quickly as possible. Markets are very dynamic. It's directional. It's seasonal. It's impossible for anyone to predict and decide what the right level of fares should be. We would like to see this removed quickly, and we think we can do a better job in managing the revenues without the fare caps. That will work to the advantage of the customer as well.

Pulkit Patni
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Understood. That's it from my side.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Achal Kumar from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Achal Kumar
Analyst, HSBC

Hi. Good evening, everyone. I had a couple of questions. One was about the forward bookings. Previously, you mentioned that the bookings are taking place now a week or two in advance and not beyond that, and that is creating problems for you to manage fares and capacity. How does the situation look like? Has that changed or does that remain same? What sort of challenges are you facing because of that? Similar to that, just on the previous point, you said that you want the fare capping to go away. Generally, if I see, the fares are anyway low, how the fare capping has been impacting your fare levels?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Okay. Regarding this volatility in demand, how is it shaping up? The first 20- 22 days of July were, in our mind, quite strong. Then it becomes very news dependent. If people say, "Oh, the virus is spiking. Kolkata is closed for a few days. Mumbai may not open its CAF. Lucknow shut down for a day. Patna shut down for a few days." The forward bookings react very strongly to that. Mostly, I would think because of the uncertainty. Should I book? Should I not book? Will I be able to fly? Obviously, as they keep making these changes, the cancellations also go up. All that, I believe, is affecting the last seven, eight days, because in the last seven, eight days, as you know, there have been all these sporadic lockdowns in different cities.

Once that stabilizes, I do believe it will improve. Now, as to the fare cap issue, the question clearly is a measure of capacity, fares, direction, time of day. Many things are affected by it, right? As you know, a morning fare should be so different from an afternoon fare. A one-way fare out of Ranchi is very different from an incoming fare into Ranchi. All those factors are playing out. No one knows, as I said, what the right level should be, but we'd like to be able to leverage those changes and say, "Okay, in the afternoon, let me put a real low fare. In the morning, let me put a real high fare," and use that both to our advantage and, as I said, to the customer's advantage, too.

If we can have some low fares, we can also have some high fares as a result. It's a very flexible environment, as you well know in pricing. I think in opening it up is let people get creative with it, let people experiment with it, and let's give us the right answer. Let's not have a dictate by someone by saying, this is what the fare should be.

Achal Kumar
Analyst, HSBC

Right. That's very clear. My second question was around the cost. You have cut down your cost by 52%, and your other expenses are down by 65%. Going ahead, as you increase your capacity, don't you think some of these costs would come back? Rather than just one way going down, don't you think there'll be a pressure on the cost and that could have an impact on the profitability given that revenues are anyway uncertain? That is my second question to you, if you could help.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Well, the pressure on cost, as we know, many of our employee costs are fixed. We have reduced them both through pay cuts and through some leave without pay. Clearly, our employee utilization is not high. Most important thing is aircraft utilization. We've got all these leasing costs, and if these planes are sitting on the ground now, our leasing costs are absorbed by us 30% of our capacity. If we can improve that capacity to 50%, then the leasing cost, which as you know, is the most important cost, gets spread out over a bigger base. No, our costs don't go up. Our unit costs for sure go down a lot.

Achal Kumar
Analyst, HSBC

Even the other costs, which is 25% of the total cost, you said?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Well, other costs are what? The IT cost, maintenance cost. IT costs are not going down just because we are flying less. Most of these network costs are also truly fixed. The most important dynamic is this, what's in the denominator in terms of the capacity, right? You know how important the denominator is in setting a unit cost. Our denominator is very small now. That's why you see this big spike in unit cost. If you could make a denominator bigger with more capacity, our unit cost would go down significantly. Ultimately, it's a game of unit revenue minus unit cost, right? That's the only math that really matters. Right now, our unit revenues are good and our unit costs are pathetic. They're terrible. They're obnoxious. We need to get our unit costs down.

Achal Kumar
Analyst, HSBC

Absolutely. The last question I had. Even the A320neos and A321neos, I could see that the prices are down by 10%-15%. Just want to understand whether do you have possibility or do you have opportunity to renegotiate your prices with OEM or that's all fixed?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Well, nothing is fixed, I think we stressed this many times. We take a long-term view of this whole equation. We can get some short-term gains with some long-term pain, or we can reverse that and get some short-term pain with long-term gain, et cetera. We are continuously in discussions with the OEM, and we look at a full long-term horizon and say, what's happening in each year? How do we manage the overall net present value, if you will, of that whole relationship? Yes, you could say, okay, today you can get a lower lease cost, maybe, but I have this fleet of plane order that's coming, and I need to place them with the lessors at the right price. We look at the whole long-term horizon and do the best net present value of that.

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Kumar. Request you to join the question queue for any follow-ups as we have several participants waiting for their turn. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Atul Mehra from Motilal Oswal Portfolio Management. Please go ahead.

Atul Mehra
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Portfolio Management

Yeah. Good evening, thanks for the opportunity. Sir, if you could broadly split up the travel between leisure and business prior to COVID-19, in terms of how was the split like?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

I'll ask Sanjay Kumar to answer that one.

Sanjay Kumar
Chief Strategy and Revenue Officer, IndiGo

The travel between leisure and corporate or business travel used to be almost 50/50% prior to the COVID-19 situation. Post-COVID-19, of course, we are seeing travel from the corporates not coming back right now. They're taking much longer time than what we would otherwise expect. It is basically the travelers who are kind of traveling for need or urgency or medical or shifting, whatever reasons they have, they are flying for that reason. Post-COVID-19, still we have to see the business travel coming back.

Atul Mehra
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Portfolio Management

Right. Sir, as a follow-up on this point, just want to understand at a company level, how are we thinking about the longer term implications on travel, both business as well as leisure, given that nowadays, especially post-COVID-19, a lot of us have been, at business also, been accustomed to digital means of communication and so on and so forth. As we think about the long term and also as we plan our fleet going forward, how do you think about longer term implications for this? At the same time, I just want to check on whether we have any exit clauses for our contracted for fleet. If say, for example, if we're not seeing demand to improve quite materially and coming back to normalcy, do we have an exit clause with whatever penalty, but to actually modulate our fleet to the extent of our demand expectation?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

I love the first part of your question because it's something very near and dear to my heart. What is the long-term view of the airline? Well, the long-term view of IndiGo, in particular, is highly bullish. Again, I say long term. People say, "Are you pessimistic? Are you optimistic?" Near term, meaning in the next 10 months, things are obviously tough. Going further out, 18 months out, very bullish about IndiGo. I'll tell you why. Yes, corporate travel is going down, we're going to lose customers at the top end. However, we think we gain a whole lot of customers at the bottom end. India has about 140 million passengers a year by air. It has 1.6 billion passengers by train. I'm just counting the top 2 classes of train.

Given the issue of safety, you can fly somewhere in three hours or you can travel by train somewhere in two nights. I think there'll be a lot of substitution into airlines from trains, particularly because of safety and also because the cost of flying is coming down with low fuel, our cost structure is going down, et cetera. Very bullish about growth at the bottom end, despite the fact that we lose corporate travel. I understand that. Secondly, I think the competitive structure will change in favor of us. We've had too much capacity chasing too little demand, especially internationally, when there have been a lot of overbuilt hubs all around us in the Southeast Asia, in the Middle East, and I think a lot of that capacity will come down. As someone mentioned earlier, wide-body prices are a reflection of that.

All this connecting people from Amsterdam to somewhere to Calicut, people will be sort of cautious about taking one-stops. They'd rather take non-stops or they'll take a one-stop to an Indian hub because they say, "I have an aunt in Delhi and I'd rather connect in Delhi than go to some other destination where I don't know if I'd get stuck for 14 days for coronavirus." All that helps narrow bodies, it helps Indian carriers. Therefore, overall, I'm very bullish about our prospects long-term. What was the second question again?

Atul Mehra
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Portfolio Management

Second question has to do with if at all you have any exit, like how you're planning your fleet accordingly and your upcoming fleet, and if at all you would like to, in terms of restructure or push, maybe delay some of the incoming fleet and so on and so forth.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Look, we really see this as a long-term process of most issues of, let's say, Airbus manufacturing airplanes, us buying them, the lessors doing a sale leaseback in between. We want this whole pipeline to work and work well. If one of us upsets this, then the other two guys also don't gain, they lose. We are in very close relationship with our lessors, with Airbus and others saying, "How does this whole pipeline work effectively?" Is there negotiations? Of course, there's negotiations. Again, I'm trying to tell you it's not a transaction-based negotiation. It's a relationship-based negotiation.

Atul Mehra
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Portfolio Management

Right. Sir, maybe one final question, if I may. The competitive environment domestically, how are you seeing that? We've always seen IndiGo as the largest player and the most efficient player, and the current times are such that even the efficient player is having issues given the way the scenario is at this point in time. How do you see the competitive environment after the dust settles down and also in the middle as we are at this point in time? How do you see that angle as well? Yeah. Thank you, sir.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Really, to a large extent, we focus on what makes sense for us and how do we maximize our revenue, profitability and so forth. Very much IndiGo-focused, and the rest of it is news that I read in the papers just like you do. I don't really know what's going to happen to anyone else. The competitive situation is such that we feel the best thing we can do is to grow fast and get some of our capacity back. That's what we'd like to do, and that's what we're focused on.

Atul Mehra
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Portfolio Management

Right. Great, sir. Thank you and wish you all the best.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Thank you. Indeed.

Atul Mehra
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Portfolio Management

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vinay Bhandari from Nippon India. Please go ahead.

Vinay Bhandari
Analyst, Nippon India

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity. Just two questions. One is on this INR 20 billion additional liquidity, which you said would be arranged by selling the own aircraft and putting them on leaseback model. Just to understand how much of gross block goes out of this exercise and how much would be the increase in rentals and capitalized lease liability because of this?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

I don't have the number of what gross block goes down by, but economically, this sale and leaseback is not going to cost us anything materially. We've done that analysis, and those numbers are not material from a materiality perspective. It's important from a liquidity perspective, and therefore we're going forward with it.

Vinay Bhandari
Analyst, Nippon India

Sure. Any ballpark number on the number of planes that would help us to do the reverse calculation?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Well, we have 12 ATRs that we own, and we have three A320 ceos that we own.

Vinay Bhandari
Analyst, Nippon India

Okay. Sure. The second one was on how are we progressing on that engine replacement issue that we had?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Wolfgang is going to take that question.

Wolfgang Prock-Schauer
COO, IndiGo

Hello.

Yeah, Wolfgang here. Hello.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Yeah.

Wolfgang Prock-Schauer
COO, IndiGo

Right now we're coming close to finish this whole exercise. We have all the air bills from the replacement engines already visible. By end of August, we will have everything will be done and the whole fleet will be refurbished. Right now we have still 14 aircraft as we speak, which need to be refurbished. We can see from the pipeline of incoming engines, it's finished by end of August.

Vinay Bhandari
Analyst, Nippon India

Sure. Thank you. That is all from my side. Best wishes.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Prashant Kothari from Pictet. Please go ahead.

Prashant Kothari
Analyst, Pictet Asset Management

Yeah, hi. Two questions. One is, do you have any undrawn working capital lines from the banks? If you can share the amount there. The second question is, again, on the competition side, we were expecting that during this pandemic, some of your competitors who don't have enough balance sheet strength might actually fall down, but we haven't seen anything of that sort happening in the domestic space. Do you have any insights into why that is the case?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

On your second question, we definitely do not have any insight. You should call them. We have no idea. What was the first question?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

We do not have any undrawn working capital lines. In fact, we do not have a working capital line. We are working on building those right now, but there's nothing undrawn right now.

Prashant Kothari
Analyst, Pictet Asset Management

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Arvind Sharma from Citi. Please go ahead.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Yeah. Good evening. Thank you for my question.

Operator

Sorry, Arvind, you're not audible, sir. Can you please be a bit louder and closer to the microphone?

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Hi, am I audible now?

Operator

No, still. Can you turn on the speakerphone, please?

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Hi, am I audible now?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Much better. Yes.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Great. Thank you so much. Apologies for this. Sir, on the capacity front, the guidance that you've given that hopefully the regulations permit in 50% in 2Q and 60%-70% in 3Q, is that the guidance for only the domestic part or does that include your international ASK as well? That would then include that you are hoping some improvement or some relaxation in international traffic as well. I just wanted your clarification on that.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

The answer is it does include some international. The fact is we are doing a fair amount of international with all these charters. Between Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and now UAE is opening up, we're doing a fair amount of charters. Yes, we're expecting that some of these charter flights get converted into schedule and that some amount of international does happen in that period.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

This 40-5 0, 2Q and 60, 70 is the ASK guidance that you're giving for the entire operation?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Yeah. For the whole network. Yeah.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Thank you so much, sir. Sir, just on capacity, will you be in a position to give any guidance on your fleet strength over FY 2021, 2022? Is it just too early to surmise that at the moment?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

I think it is too early to go there. We continue to work on our fleet plan and as we get towards the latter half of the year, we can talk about it.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Sure. Thank you so much, sir.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ashish Shah from Centrum Broking. Please go ahead.

Ashish Shah
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Yeah, good evening. Just wanted to check, there have been news around IndiGo participating in the long-haul flights under the arrangements made by the government. Any clarity that you could provide on the same?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

As we said before, we continuously look at this whole wide-body equation. I think almost a year ago, there were plenty of news items about, oh, IndiGo is looking at wide-body, and that was true. We continue to look at it. The trouble is wide-body has always been a sort of touch-and-go issue for us. The numbers are sort of okay. We know there is a risk to it, so we keep saying, "Okay, let's wait and see." Frankly, to some extent, the wide-body equation might be working in our favor now. Again, I'm not making any kind of decision yet, but I'm just telling you what's changing. First of all, as we know, wide-body prices are down. Well, that helps a lot. Secondly, fuel costs are down. Part of the problem with going long haul is that your fuel burn rate is so high.

As you go further away, you're carrying more weight, et cetera. The fuel burn rate goes up. Lower fuel costs also help. The third is this issue of one stop versus non-stop. Between India and London, last time I counted in the height of the expansive phase a year ago, there were almost 20 different ways you could go from Delhi to London, through all Oman Air and Saudia and God knows who else is there. As this one stop becomes less competitive to non-stop, I think that's an advantage. These are all factors to be studied. We are in the same situation we were a year ago. We are still studying it. We don't have an answer.

Ashish Shah
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Sure. Just a second one. Basically, I know things are a little over the top right now between both Air India. Hypothetically, if the government were to be going ahead, are you still interested in the international operations of Air India? Given where we are in terms of the whole pandemic, we'll just not do that.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

At this point, we're not interested in Air India.

Ashish Shah
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Sure. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Paarth Gala from Prabhudas Lilladher. Please go ahead.

Paarth Gala
Analyst, Prabhudas Lilladher

Good evening, gentlemen, and thank you for this opportunity. Sir, if you could just help us better understand the supplementary rental and aircraft maintenance cost item. If you look at the pre-COVID levels, it has come off quite sharply. Do the maintenance costs also have a high degree of variable nature embedded into them?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Right. Absolutely, they do. A large part of the supplementary rentals overall in this last quarter's numbers of INR 1,600 crores, this quarter is INR 739 crores. More than half of this is variable in nature. Based on how much we fly, we put up those supplementary rentals. Obviously, as we are flying lesser, this amount is much lesser. The fixed element of that we obviously continue to incur. You've seen from last quarter, this cost going down from INR 1,680 crores to INR 739 crores in this quarter.

Paarth Gala
Analyst, Prabhudas Lilladher

Sir, any understanding on what the fixed number could be? Even if I assume that your supplementary rentals are anywhere around 50%, the number that we've reported for this quarter is on the higher side of pre-COVID-19 levels.

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Pre-COVID levels, this number was 1,680. Today we are reporting 740. It's less than 50% of pre-COVID levels. I don't understand why you say it is high.

Paarth Gala
Analyst, Prabhudas Lilladher

No. If 50% is fixed in terms of the cost that you're incurring, like for the A320 ceo also that you're doing, A320 ceo is INR 230 odd crores. If that number stays intact, then this number is a bit on the lower side. That is what I was pointing out to. Is there a variability involved in your fixed maintenance cost also, or there's a reduction there?

Aditya Pande
CFO, IndiGo

Yeah. It really depends on how much are we flying and what capacity are we deploying. A lot of that is dependent on that as well. That's what drives it overall.

Paarth Gala
Analyst, Prabhudas Lilladher

All right. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ashutosh Somani from JM Financial. Please go ahead.

Ashutosh Somani
Analyst, JM Financial

Sir, this is regarding one of the notes of accounts. If you look at one of the notes, it says that the OEM supply from new engines, there is an invoice raised to the tune of, I believe this is million, INR 2,278 million, which is around INR 227 crores, which, as per legal counsel, we have decided not to pay. Can you elaborate on the nature of this cost and whether it has been provided for in the accounts or not provided and not paid?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

It is not provided and it is not paid. I must also add that we also have a counter claim for, if you read the entire note, we also have a counter claim from the OEM, which is much larger than this. That is something that we are in negotiations with them. As those negotiations progress, we will let you know where they head. That's what we want to share at this stage on those negotiations.

Ashutosh Somani
Analyst, JM Financial

This unit is INR million, I believe. This is INR 227 crores. Is that correct?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Right. It's INR 227 crores. You're right.

Ashutosh Somani
Analyst, JM Financial

This generally reflects in which line item in the P&L?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

It is not recorded in the P&L. It's not recorded.

Ashutosh Somani
Analyst, JM Financial

If it were provided, it would have been in which line item?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

It will be part of our supplementary rentals and those costs.

Ashutosh Somani
Analyst, JM Financial

Okay, perfect. Thank you.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

It's a build-up. It's not a one-quarter item, by the way.

Ashutosh Somani
Analyst, JM Financial

Okay. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Chintan Sheth from Sameeksha Capital. Please go ahead.

Chintan Sheth
Analyst, Sameeksha Capital

Thanks for the opportunity. One question was on the airport charges. I believe it was fixed in nature. We see sharp drop in airport fee charges as well. I just wanted to clarify whether it's a variable in nature or fixed in nature.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

No, it is mostly fixed in nature. In fact, largely fixed in nature. It's our parking and landing charges. It is our route navigation fees. It's totally dependent on how much we fly. Since the fact that we have flown less, so therefore it's a variable expense, and therefore it is down about 82% for the quarter.

Chintan Sheth
Analyst, Sameeksha Capital

Okay. As you fly much more, this cost will continue to increase?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Yes. Based on how much capacity we deploy.

Chintan Sheth
Analyst, Sameeksha Capital

If you can give some indication on the right things, let's say, value as of June and the forward sales booking sitting on our liability as of June.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Our ROU assets as of 30th June are INR 142 billion. That's the number.

Chintan Sheth
Analyst, Sameeksha Capital

Okay. Our forward sales?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Forward booking number?

Chintan Sheth
Analyst, Sameeksha Capital

Forward booking number.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

As of, you're saying, end of June?

Chintan Sheth
Analyst, Sameeksha Capital

Correct. Yes.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

No, we don't give that number.

Chintan Sheth
Analyst, Sameeksha Capital

Sure. Okay. Thank you. That's all from my end.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is a follow-up question from the line of Deepika Mundra from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Deepika Mundra
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi. Thanks for the follow-up. I just wanted to get a sense on the ancillary revenue. I would have thought it would have been slightly better given the push on cargo. As the capacity normalizes, how do you see that panning out through the year? Secondly, I just wanted to check on the maintenance expenses. I understand that the supplementary rental and maintenance expense is down quite significantly. Of the regular maintenance, I'm not talking about the extra provisions for the ceo aircraft. Of the regular maintenance, how much of it is discretionary and how much of it would be fixed?

Sanjay Kumar
Chief Strategy and Revenue Officer, IndiGo

I can talk about the ancillary revenue. Of course, ancillary revenue is up primarily because of two reasons. One is, of course, cargo. Cargo has done pretty well for us. The second part is that we have been able to push through the seat assignment bags and other kind of fees. Despite the lower number of passengers which we are flying right now, we have been able to increase our ancillary revenue per passenger quite significantly compared to pre-COVID levels.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

That's because our customers are more conscious about which seats they sit in. That's been a factor.

Deepika Mundra
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. The second question on maintenance, please, how much is discretionary and how much is fixed?

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

It's variable. Our supplementary rentals are variable, that we put up just based on how much we fly. Our FHA agreements are variable, is dependent on how much we fly. Those two elements are variable. Obviously, reassessment of future maintenance costs that we have for general maintenance, those continue to be fixed in nature.

Deepika Mundra
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is a follow-up question from the line of Sonal Gupta from UBS. Please go ahead.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS

Yeah. Thanks for taking my question again. Just wanted to understand, you've given the capacity guidance and just also, I believe previously you had sale and lease back agreements already for 13 years for the first half of the year. Just wanted to understand if worse happens and if the capacity is not ramping up as the way you are hoping for it, do we see a pushback incrementally beyond this? If there is a much more negative scenario, say you're not really able to get beyond 40/50 and even into three. How will your strategy change here? I just want to understand what's the fallback option.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

I think this is an internal debate that we are having of what should the planning horizon be. Many people say, "Why don't we plan for 2022 and see what it looks like and so forth." The truth is, this is such a volatile environment that I think any kind of long-term planning at this point, for a while at least, is almost futile because we don't really know. We can put some numbers together and say we think this, we think that. We know our revenue is going to go down, but we also know there'll be capacity shifts all across the globe, which may hurt us, which might help us. We think given the uncertainty on both industry revenue, industry capacity, where it's coming from, where it's shrinking, we think let's just plan for now on a three, fourth-month window.

Let's get through till the end of the year and then pause, take a deep breath, and we'll do this long-term plan all over again. Unfortunately right now we are not doing long-term planning. We are doing three-month planning, and we are willing to wait a while and then get back into long-term planning.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS

Sure. No, what I'm trying to understand is that in that case, do we see a pause here? Clearly, if you don't see that your capacity is going to be more than 70% utilized, say in FY 2022, do we stop taking new aircraft and let the existing fleet sort of run down? I'm just trying to understand.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Guentin is going to jump in at this point.

Speaker 23

Yeah. Hello. All of you see naturally the new deliveries. This is more prominent naturally, but many of you don't see the lease returns, the planned lease returns. Actually, the planned lease returns for this year are higher than the planned deliveries. That in itself assures us that the capacity is balanced. That's one thing where we can, let's say, moderate the fleet growth or even keep it at balance. Another element which is not so seen very much in the actual figures, in the fleet numbers, is that we can use, for example, to a lesser degree, ceo aircraft, which enables us to optimize engine shop visits and bring the engine costs down. There are many ways in, let's say, in adapting the fleet size and capacity size, which we are actively using.

One of our top projects is to get all this aircraft out, the lease returns in a safe manner and at the timeline that we have planned for.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Sure. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that will be the last question for today. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ankur Goel for closing comments. Thank you, and over to you as well.

Rono Dutta
CEO, IndiGo

Thank you all for joining the call. I hope you found the call useful. Thank you.

Ankur Goel
Head of Investor Relations, IndiGo

Thanks, everyone.

Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of IndiGo, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.