InterGlobe Aviation Limited (NSE:INDIGO)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2018

Jul 31, 2017

Moderator

Ladies and gentlemen, good evening, and welcome to the IndiGo's conference call to discuss the first quarter financial results for fiscal year 2018. My name is Zed, and I'll be the moderator for this conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow today's management discussions. As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ankur Goel, Associate Vice President of Treasury and Investor Relations for IndiGo. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Ankur Goel
Associate Vice President of Treasury and Investor Relations, IndiGo

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us for the first quarter fiscal 2018 earnings call. I have with me our President and Whole Time Director, Aditya Ghosh, and our Chief Financial Officer, Rohit Philip. Before we begin, please note that today's discussion may contain some statements on our business or financials which will be considered forward-looking. Our actual results may be materially different from these forward-looking statements. The information provided on this call is as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update the information subsequently. A transcript of today's call will also be archived on our website. We will upload the transcript of today's prepared remarks within an hour. However, the transcript of the Q&A session will be uploaded in a week's time. With this, let me hand over the call to Aditya Ghosh.

Aditya Ghosh
President and Whole Time Director, InterGlobe Aviation

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us on the call. Our comments today will be somewhat longer than our past calls since there's a lot to discuss and a lot that we would like to update you on. However, we expect to complete the call, including the question and answer session, within one hour. We announced our first quarter fiscal 2018 financial results today. We have reported our largest ever quarterly profit this quarter with a profit after tax of INR 8.1 billion, an increase of 37.1% compared to the same period last year. Our after-tax profit margin for the quarter was 14.1%. We added four aircraft during the quarter, of which three were A320neos, taking our total fleet count to 135 and our A320neo fleet count to 22.

On the operational front for the quarter, we were ranked number 1 in on-time performance, and our technical dispatch reliability was 99.85%, and flight cancellation rate was 1.2%. Now let me address the operational reliability issues around the A320neos. As you may recall, we had mentioned in a prior call that we were experiencing operational issues with the neo engines related to the premature degradation of the combustor chamber lining and the premature wear of the number 3 bearing seal. As a result, we continue to have a high number of engine removals and sufficient spare engines have not been available. Regrettably, there have been days when we have had to ground as many as nine A320neos due to lack of spare engines. While we do receive certain compensation from Pratt & Whitney for these groundings, the operational disruptions are quite challenging and we are not happy with that situation.

Based on what we know today, it may be another year or so before the design changes are implemented by Pratt & Whitney, which should allow these engines to have the ongoing flight hours that we expect from them. Pratt & Whitney is a good partner. We have tremendous respect for their leadership team and have impressed upon them that they need to focus on increasing the number of spare engines that are available in the system. Under the assumption that we receive sufficient number of spares, we hope to see significantly reduced operational disruptions within the next few months. Now a brief update on our planned turboprop operations. During our last call, we announced our order of up to 50 ATR 72-600 aircraft.

Documentation work with the aircraft and engine manufacturers continues towards finalization of the purchase agreements. Currently our plan is to launch commercial operations by the end of this calendar year. Earlier this month, on July 6th, our founders, Rahul Bhatia and Rakesh Gangwal had an analyst call and shared their views on the potential that exists in long-haul international flying in India. In that context, our specific interest in acquiring the international operations of Air India. We will wait to see how the government would like to undertake the divestment of Air India, and till such time that there is clarity available, it does not help to speculate on different scenarios. On this call, I will not repeat all the details of that call, but would like to emphasize the following points.

One, we believe that there is significant opportunity that exists in long-haul international travel out of India. Today, a large number of people arrive or depart India on connecting international flights due to the lack of non-stop flights into and out of India. Offering flights at lower fares would be an attractive value proposition for customers. Two, IndiGo is uniquely placed to capitalize on this opportunity, as over the last 10 years, IndiGo has established a significant domestic presence and now has a little over 40% of the domestic market share. In doing so, we have also been able to build meaningful operations at all large metropolitan cities of India. We would not be attempting to enter this long-haul international space but for the fact that we have this large domestic feed network.

Number three, we recognize that this will present new challenges and complexities. We believe that the overall opportunity is very compelling. We will only go down this path if the business case is EPS accretive and creates shareholder value. With this, let me hand over the call to Rohit for an overview of our financials.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you, Aditya, good evening, everyone. For the quarter ended June 2017, we reported a profit after tax of INR 8.1 billion with an after-tax profit margin of 14.1%, compared to a profit after tax of INR 5.9 billion with an after-tax profit margin of 12.9% during the same period last year. Our profit after tax in the quarter was 37.1% higher than last year. As Aditya mentioned, this is our best ever quarterly profit. We reported an EBITDA of INR 19.6 billion with an EBITDA margin of 34.1%, compared to an EBITDA of INR 15.5 billion with an EBITDA margin of 33.9% during the same period last year. Our total capacity for the June quarter was 15.1 billion ASKs, an increase of 18.7% compared to the same period last year.

This is lower than our previously guided number of 22% due to the grounding of some of our A320neos that Aditya talked about earlier and the delay in some neo deliveries. Our revenue from operations in the June quarter was INR 57.5 billion, an increase of 25.6% over the same period last year. Our other income was INR 2.0 billion for the quarter. Our RASK for the quarter was INR 3.82, an increase of 5.5% from INR 3.62 during the same quarter last year. This increase in RASK was driven by both an increase in our load factors and yields. Our load factors were up by 4.7 points to 88%, and our yields were up by 2% to INR 3.83. The year-over-year RASK growth that we have seen this quarter is a much better performance than what we have seen over the past few quarters.

It is important that I point out that in the June quarter of last year, we did not execute optimally on our RASK performance. We placed a bit too much emphasis on yields, and we were not matching competitors' fares. Consequently, we saw a decline in load factors and our RASK performance for the same quarter last year was adversely impacted. Now we have seen a year-over-year RASK improvement of 5.5% for the quarter in spite of capacity being up 18.7%. My point here is that this quarter's superior RASK performance does not necessarily portend the RASK performance for future quarters. Our cost performance continues to be good. CASK excluding fuel was lower by 2.5%, from INR 1.96 in the prior quarter to INR 1.91 in the current quarter. We reported a total CASK of INR 3.08 for the quarter, compared to INR 3.04 last year.

Our total CASK was higher by 1.3% in spite of a 15.8% increase in fuel prices. In all our prior conference calls, we have not articulated the implications and pressures on RASK and CASK as a result of adding capacity at such a torrid rate. At IndiGo, for the past five years, our ASK or capacity has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 24.8%, or almost 25%. For the same period, our RPK or traffic has grown at a compound annual growth rate of over 26%. Let me try and attempt to explain the implications of growing an airline at 25% every year. When an airline grows its capacity at such a high rate, it tends to depress the RASK that it's able to generate every quarter due to the simple fact that new flights that were added during the quarter have yet to mature.

This 25% capacity that was added during the quarter takes about 6 or more months before it establishes itself and takes hold in the market. During that time, its RASK generation is suboptimal. In other words, while the RASK for new flights that were added during the same quarter last year have started to reach steady state maturity, the new flights that were added in the current quarter tend to be a drag on the system RASK. There is also another penalty associated with such rapid growth. There are significant costs that we incur due to our torrid growth rate of 25%. We incur material costs well before capacity additions have taken place. Costs such as hiring and training of pilots, flight attendants, maintenance staff, ground staff, the opening of stations, et cetera. This also creates a drag on our true steady state cost structure.

This rapid annual growth rate of 25% at IndiGo tends to squeeze us both on the revenue side and the cost side. Our point is that while we are somewhat satisfied with our overall profitability during this torrid growth phase, our true underlying profitability potential is suppressed due to this penalty on RASK and CASK. In years from now, the started growth rate will one day naturally slow down, and that is when we believe that we will see a margin expansion due to improvements in our RASK, CASK, and profitability. Just so that there is no confusion and you do not misread my comments, we are in no way attempting to signal that we will be slowing down our growth rate in the near future.

In fact, based on our current plans, market conditions, and aircraft deliveries, we expect to keep growing at a compound annual growth rate of about 20% through fiscal 2020. Another element that is impacting our profitability is the delay in A320neo deliveries. A320neos have not been delivered as per the plan with Airbus. By now we should have had 36 neos, whereas we have currently 22 neos. To make up for the shortfall, we've had to go to the aircraft leasing market and enter into short-term leases of used A320s, some of them with GE engines and some of them with IAE engines. These short-term leases have an average duration of 3 years. However, they come at a higher operating cost for us due to higher maintenance costs because they're somewhat older aircraft and higher fuel burn relative to the neos.

These higher costs are somewhat offset by lower lease rents because these are older aircraft. However, net net, the total cost to us of operating these used aircraft is higher than what we would have incurred relative to operating the A320neos. The only silver lining is that most of these used aircraft will be gone from our fleet within 3 years. Now moving to our balance sheet. We had total debt of ₹25.2 billion at the end of the quarter. Our cash balance at the end of the quarter was ₹101.8 billion, comprising of ₹51.8 billion of free cash and ₹50.0 billion of restricted cash. I would now like to discuss the sale and leaseback model that we've historically been using to finance our aircraft.

As Mr. Gangwal had mentioned during our analyst call on July 6th, going forward, we anticipate reducing our use of short-term sale and leaseback model and gradually begin the process of owning aircraft with internal funds and maybe some debt. Quite a few folks have not understood the pros and cons of the sale and leaseback model that we've deployed to date, and maybe because we have not elaborated on this issue. In fact, some of our competitors claim that our superior profitability is driven by the fact that we generate some of our profitability from being able to sell the aircraft at a price higher than what we purchased the aircraft for when we do a sale and leaseback. This is simply not correct.

Very simplistically and at a high level, the primary purpose of the short-term six-year sale and leaseback model that we had adopted was to be able to move the aircraft out of our fleet once new technology aircraft came into the market. The short-term six-year sale and leaseback models were expensive since lessors demanded a high lease rate because we were ending the lease in six years. Now that we have the A320neo, which delivers a 15% lower fuel burn and have a much lower risk of technological obsolescence, we may choose to operate these aircraft for a longer period than the six-year period that we have historically used. Over the longer term, owning an aircraft tends to have a lower overall ownership cost than lease planes. The shift in our fleet acquisition strategy will allow us to reduce our operating costs, which will result in higher profitability.

In the longer term, our ongoing cash flow from operations will become stronger as a result of the depreciation tax shield that we get from owned aircraft. As we continue to evaluate the sale and leaseback model versus owning aircraft, we're also factoring in the implications of the newest new GST rules that went into effect earlier this month. To put into perspective our lease versus buy thinking, let me point out that many great airlines like Southwest, Ryanair, et cetera, have a large number of owned aircraft, and it has helped these carriers build a strong balance sheet. As we embark on this journey of optimizing aircraft ownership costs, we will use some of our cash to purchase aircraft.

Far, in determining the annual dividend, our board has looked at profits for the year, the cash needs to run the business, and the prudent amount of cash that the company should maintain. Going forward, this use of cash to purchase aircraft will also be factored. The primary focus will always be to create long-term shareholder value. Switching topics. We became a publicly listed company on 10th November 2015, and we are required by law to have a minimum public shareholding of at least 25% within the three-year period post-listing. We plan to seek approval of our shareholders to comply with this requirement in the upcoming annual general meeting, which is expected in the last week of August. The board of directors of IndiGo had recommended a dividend of INR 34 per share for fiscal 2017.

This will also be placed for approval in this annual general meeting, and subject to us receiving that approval, the dividend will be paid shortly after that. Before I close my remarks, let me give you our latest capacity guidance. We're expecting a capacity increase in terms of ASKs of 15% for the second quarter and 20% for the full year of fiscal 2018, which is lower than the guidance we'd given earlier. The reduction in our capacity guidance is primarily because of the grounding that we're currently experiencing on our neos, as well as the delays in neo deliveries during the year. That said, we expect that over the 3-year term from fiscal 2018 to fiscal 2020, our capacity will grow at a compound annual growth rate of about 20%. With this, let me hand it back to Ankur.

Ankur Goel
Associate Vice President of Treasury and Investor Relations, IndiGo

Thank you, Aditya and Rohit. To answer as many questions as possible, I would like to request that each participant limit themselves to one question and one brief follow-up if needed. With that, we are ready for the Q&A.

Moderator

Thank you very much, Mr. Goel. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin with the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use a handset while asking questions. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. To ask a question, please press star and one at this time. The first question is from the line of Arvind Sharma from Citi. Please go ahead.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Good evening, sir. Thanks for taking my question. Since you have reduced the ASK guidance, is there a change in our fleet guidance as well? Because I remember we were expecting 170 fleet by end of FY 2018. Is there a change to that as well?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Hi, Arvind, it's Rohit. Yes, there will be a lower number than the 170. We're moving away from giving specific fleet count guidance and focusing more on the ASK guidance. We're not going to give an updated number versus the 170. It will be lower than the 170, but we want to really focus on the ASK guidance.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Just one question, if I may just squeeze in. Incrementally, what are going to be the margin levers, and how do you see the yields trending? Because we've seen very strong yields in one Q. How do you see the yields trending over the next nine months of the year?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Arvind, as you know, as a practice, we will not be giving guidance on forward-looking yields.

Arvind Sharma
Analyst, Citi

Right. All right. Thanks for that. Thanks for the clarification, sir.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Binay Singh from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, team, congratulations for a good set of numbers. Just a follow-up. Does your capacity guidance include the ATRs that you are adding?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Hi, Binay. It's Rohit. Yes, it does. The ATRs, as we've said previously, we expected to start operations in December and have seven aircraft operating by the end of March. The ASK number will be pretty small, but yes, it is included.

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

That ATR ramp-up is irrespective of phase two of the regional connectivity scheme, whether you get bid in that or not, this is irrespective of that, right?

Aditya Ghosh
President and Whole Time Director, InterGlobe Aviation

Hi, Binay. This is Aditya. That is correct.

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. My last question, could you share with us if there was any one-off in any of the line items, like any M2M gains or anything of that sort?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

The mark to market for foreign exchange was a very small amount. There was a [INR 6 crore INR 60 million gain].

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Apart from that, because our lease rentals per ASKM have gone down this quarter, so I was just curious to know what happened over there.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

There's no further information that we can give you on that.

Binay Singh
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. I'll come back in the queue. Thanks.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from Saurabh Kumar from J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

Saurabh Kumar
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi, sir. Good evening. Sir, is it possible to quantify what will be the savings you will get on a per aircraft basis on owned versus lease? Can we take 5% as a good rate to assume if you own an aircraft versus when you lease it?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

We're not going to be able to give you specific numbers at this point. I think directionally, there are savings associated with owning versus leasing. You see carriers across the world use a combination of owned and leased. Definitely we see some opportunities for savings. I'm not going to be able to quantify it specifically on this call.

Saurabh Kumar
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay. What will be your average depreciation rate for your aircraft, including the components and all, for the current stock you have?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Yeah. It obviously depends on the different components. There's a different rate for the aircraft and different components. It's all laid out in our accounting policy.

Saurabh Kumar
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

No, I'm just trying to get what would be an average number versus the cost. Your annual report is still not out.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

It'll be out tomorrow, we can point you to the right numbers rather than go through all the different line items.

Saurabh Kumar
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay. My second question is essentially on your fuel cost. Your fuel cost is up by 16% year-on-year, but your per ASKM cost is up by just 8%. That balance is because the differential is coming because of the neo or?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Yes. That's a very good question, actually. We've taken a number of steps to reduce our fuel cost.

Saurabh Kumar
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Yeah.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Firstly, we've introduced more neos that are flying, as you've pointed out, which have a 15% less fuel burn, and now you're starting to see the effect of that in our fuel numbers. Some of the fact that we have a fuel cost per ASK has gone up at a lower rate than the fuel prices is because of that. Secondly, we continue to see some opportunities on prices. At many stations, there are multiple suppliers, and there is an ability for us to do some price competition. We also look at importing some fuel if there are cost savings there. Between all these factors, yes, we have been able to bring some savings on the fuel cost line.

Saurabh Kumar
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay, thank you. I have some follow-up, but I'll join later. Thank you very much, and all the best.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Prashant Kothari from Pictet. Please go ahead.

Prashant Kothari
Analyst, Pictet

If you can-

Moderator

Mr. Kothari, may we request you to speak up a bit loud as your voice is a bit feeble?

Prashant Kothari
Analyst, Pictet

Yeah. This question is again around the thought of having more owned aircraft rather than on sale and lease back. Do you have any more details to share in terms of how many such aircraft you want to have, by what time, and do you have any thoughts on dividends as to how much they could get cut down by?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Hi, Prashant. It's Rohit. We don't have anything more on that than what we said earlier. I think we expect to directionally start going down the path of owning more aircraft. We're not going to suddenly switch from 100% lease to 100% owned. We're going to do a mix as we go forward. We're going to evaluate the opportunities as we go forward. We also have an issue, I think I mentioned, that we will take into account the implications of the new GST law. There are some implications the way the law is currently written, that has a little bit of a penalty on owning aircraft. We'll have to see how that plays out and what clarifications we get on that. There's a lot of factors that we have to take into account as we make the decision.

As far as the dividends are concerned, I think as we've always mentioned, our dividend policy is done on an annual basis based on the situation at the time that our board looks at all these factors. At the time when the annual dividend is looked at, the board will make a decision on how much cash we want to put into aircraft acquisition. That's something that will develop over time, and we'll obviously keep you updated.

Prashant Kothari
Analyst, Pictet

Is this something that you can start doing for the deliveries which we receive in the next few months, few quarters, or is it something which will happen only in one or two years later?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

It could happen soon, as I said, subject to us getting an understanding of the GST implications and other factors. It could happen. It certainly doesn't have to wait another year or so for it to happen.

Prashant Kothari
Analyst, Pictet

Okay, thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from Sonal Gupta from UBS Securities. Please go ahead.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS Securities

Hi. In the conference call that was done, there was also that irrespective of Air India, you will also continue to pursue your own low-cost international expansion strategy. Any more details or updates on that?

Aditya Ghosh
President and Whole Time Director, InterGlobe Aviation

Hi, this is Aditya. Yes, that's correct. As our founders have highlighted on the call earlier this month, we are looking at long-haul international flying as a great and a very compelling potential opportunity ahead of us, and that could be with or without Air India. Anything more, it's just too early for us to provide any more information on that. I think, Rohit, as our founders said on the call, if it's without Air India, certainly the process will take longer. It's not easy to get the slots. It'll be a much slower process. There's no change in our thinking in terms of it's something that we'd like to do with or without Air India.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS Securities

Okay. Just a clarification. You said you're receiving some compensation from Pratt & Whitney. Where would that show up? Will that show up in the revenue line item, or does it get adjusted in other expenses? Where does that really go?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

I think while we said we do receive certain compensation from Pratt & Whitney, the nature of the compensation and the arrangements are confidential. We will not be able to shed any further light on it.

Sonal Gupta
Analyst, UBS Securities

Okay. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from Ansuman Deb from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Ansuman Deb
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Yeah. Thanks for the opportunity. Regarding this ASK distribution, we are right now applying around 13% of our ASK in international segment. What is the target international share for FY 2018?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Ansuman, we don't have a target share per se for our short-haul international operation. The A320 international operation is just a function of whatever markets we see are viable markets. We manage our overall A320 operation by looking at where we see the good opportunities, where we see market opportunities, and we deploy capacity accordingly. We definitely don't have any target mix. It's just an outcome of our route network deployment strategy that ends up at the current rate of 13%.

Ansuman Deb
Analyst, ICICI Securities

I wanted to understand whether in that process of optimization and increasing it from 9% to 13%, has that had been an effect in our higher yield performance, better yield performance that we've seen in the quarter?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

No, we don't attribute anything to do with the international to the higher yield. It's entirely due to, as I mentioned on the call, the revenue management optimization that we believe we've executed much better than we executed sub-optimally previously.

Ansuman Deb
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Right. Thanks. One more last question is, I did not find the incentive number this quarter, would you be able to share it?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

You'll notice that there's a couple changes in the way our accounts are prepared, as we sort of looked at the format of what the right disclosure is for our quarterly report. We stopped presenting the segments as domestic and international segments because, as I just explained, it's not really relevant. It's just one operation. We've also dropped the footnote on the deferred incentives because we believe the aircraft and engine rentals line item represents the true cost structure of our leases. We're not reporting that on our quarterly financials anymore.

Ansuman Deb
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Okay. Thanks a lot. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from Pulkit Singhal from Motilal Oswal Asset Management. Please go ahead.

Pulkit Singhal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Asset Management

Yeah. Hi. Thanks for taking my question, and congrats on the great set of numbers.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thanks, Pulkit.

Pulkit Singhal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Asset Management

Actually, as shareholders, we were always attracted to the IndiGo specific model of having zero CapEx. To that extent, the return on capital seemed to be very high. Now, I just wanted to try to understand, this seems to a very clear departure towards ownership of aircraft, which possibly could be profit accretive in an interest rate rising scenario. From a return on capital perspective, it doesn't probably make much of sense to us. Could you help us understand what was the reason for the departure from your philosophy of not owning aircraft?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Yeah, sure. I think so, Pulkit, firstly, it's important to understand that we're not changing our strategy on the dimensions that you talked about. Our strategy on leasing aircraft was primarily because of the technological obsolescence risk that we saw with the A320ceo when we knew that there was a new generation technology airplane coming around the corner. That happened to be the A320neo. In the case of Boeing, the 737 MAX. Now that there's new technology airplanes out there, it's going to take many, many years before the next generation comes out. Our view on the short-term sale and lease back model was because we wanted to protect against the technological obsolescence risk. Now, with the A320neo, we don't see that. That's the primary reason for us talking about owning aircraft in the future.

Now, when you talk about owning an aircraft or operating an aircraft over a longer period of time, you'll see this amongst airlines around the world. You tend to find that owning an aircraft over a longer period is more cost-effective than leasing an aircraft. That's why we think it's profit accretive. Even when you talk about return on capital, it depends on what you're putting as the denominator on capital. The denominator on capital, if you just put a balance sheet debt, most analysts and investors who look at airlines look at the capitalized value of lease debt. That denominator would not really be very different. You'd have instead of capital, the capitalized value of operating leases, you have actual on-balance sheet debt associated with leases.

We don't believe that is a change at all, and that's why you see a lot of people around the world do it. As I said, our primary reason is about the technological obsolescence risk.

Pulkit Singhal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Asset Management

You don't see a new technology coming, say, in the next 10 years? Basically, you've taken that view that that risk does not exist going ahead.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

That's correct, Pulkit.

Pulkit Singhal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Asset Management

For the dividends aspect, because our understanding was, okay, as long as the company is making a lot of profits and therefore the dividends will keep flowing. Now, with money being utilized for buying aircraft, would there be a scenario where you could say, "Okay, hey, we made profits, but sorry, we can't give dividends this year because we're using the cash for purchasing aircrafts?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Pulkit, earlier on the call, I talked about that being one of the factors that the board will take into account in terms of potential uses of cash. It'll all be done with the aim of what we believe will create long-term shareholder value. If we believe that using cash to purchase aircraft will create long-term shareholder value, that's when we'll make a decision on that trade-off. We'll make that with that lens, but beyond that, I can't really speculate any further.

Pulkit Singhal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal Asset Management

Thank you.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thanks, Pulkit.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aimee Truesdale from Jupiter Asset Management. Please go ahead.

Aimee Truesdale
Analyst, Jupiter Asset Management

Hi there. Thanks for taking my question. I just have a brief follow-up on this sort of compensation from manufacturers for kind of delayed aircraft deliveries and engine problems. I appreciate that you can't sort of give any numbers or anything, but I'm just more wondering about the accounting policy. How do you kind of account for those receipts?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Sorry, Aimee, as I said earlier, we are not going to be in a position to disclose the confidential nature of the arrangements we have with Pratt & Whitney. Obviously, accounting policy will depend on the specific type of transaction that occurs, depending on a particular type of transaction, it will follow a different accounting treatment. Giving you accounting treatment won't shed light on it unless I walk through the actual transaction that we have between us and Pratt & Whitney, which we're not in a position to do.

Aimee Truesdale
Analyst, Jupiter Asset Management

Sure. Is it possible to kind of give a sort of general example of how it might work?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

I'm sorry, it's not possible.

Aimee Truesdale
Analyst, Jupiter Asset Management

Okay, thanks.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Suraj Chheda from IIFL. Please go ahead.

Speaker 19

Hi, this is Joseph from IIFL. I had a couple of questions. One was, you mentioned that the 2% year-on-year improvement in yield is also a result of you having given out lower fares compared to competition in June quarter of last year. You also indicated that this might not indicate a trend going ahead. What I wanted to check with you was, how long did you continue with that discounted fare, if I can call it that, last year? Was it just for one quarter, or did it extend all the way to the festive season?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

I think let me just step back and explain again what we said. If you go back to the June quarter last year, we did not perform optimally. We were not matching up competitors' fares, and as a result, we left money on the table. On the June quarter call that we had last year, we signaled that we're going to change that going forward. Since then, we've been very consistently making sure that we're not undercut in the marketplace. We're being price competitive in the marketplace. There'll always be periods of time where someone has a lower fare than you because you've already sold out all your low-fare buckets in a particular flight. Just by looking at a particular flight as an example, you have people with one airline with a higher fare than the other.

We've been price competitive ever since we declared that change in direction. I think you'll start to see that when you look at our results this quarter, the load factors are 4.7%.

Speaker 19

You are indicating that the lower fares that you had in the June 2016 quarter was restricted to that quarter and did not continue in September or December, et cetera?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

That's actually not what I said. I think what I said was, in the June quarter last year, we did not match. We actually were higher than some of our competition. After the June quarter, starting sometime in July and August, we started getting much more disciplined about being price competitive.

Speaker 19

Okay.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Right. We've been price competitive ever since.

Speaker 19

Okay, got it. All right. The second thing I wanted to understand was the shift in ownership versus leasing strategy that you hinted at. Could you give us an indication as to what percentage of upcoming deliveries would be owned versus leased? Some indicator, just to get a sense of how to build the capital allocation going ahead.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Unfortunately, we're not in a position to do that just yet. We wanted to signal this so you're all aware of our upcoming plans. There's a lot of moving parts. Certainly, the GST law is one of them that we have to examine as we look through our options. We'll give updated guidance as we get more information, but I can't give any more light on this, unfortunately.

Speaker 19

All right. The last question that I had was in relation to the potential compensation from Pratt & Whitney. Did you indicate that some amount is already coming in 1Q, or maybe I would have missed that? Is it that compensation is expected in the upcoming quarters?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

We did not comment on that specifically, and we're not going to give much more information on that topic.

Speaker 19

All right. Okay. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from Rakesh Jhunjhunwala from Rare Enterprises. Please go ahead.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

Good afternoon. Congratulations on a good performance. I want to know if you are taking permission from shareholders to dilute equity. That means obviously some part of the 75% bringing down to 100% will happen by fresh offering rather than by sale by the promoters. Hello?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Yes. Hi, Rakesh, it's Rohit. Yes, that is correct. We have taken a shareholder resolution that we'll be putting out as part of our annual AGM.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

Right.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

We'll have that request.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

This is going to be entirely fresh issue, but some part will be offer for sale.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

We have not finalized that, certainly that has the flexibility to do both. We will likely do some combination of the two, but we've not finalized.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

In what quarter will you be doing it?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

We have not finalized that.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

Right. One of the efficiencies I'm told was the low maintenance cost. You were getting a lot of discount because you were buying larger number of aircraft. The way own or lease is not going to affect your maintenance expense or the prices which you buy the aircraft. Am I right?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

That's correct. Absolutely. I think our maintenance cost is primarily due to the fact that we were able to negotiate these long-term maintenance agreements at the time we ordered the planes. Obviously, really that's the reason, and that doesn't get affected whether you own or lease the plane.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

Do you want to restrict your growth? You explained you want to restrict your growth to 20%. Don't you think that will give better pricing generally? If you grow at 20% and the market also grows at 20%, no fresh capacity will come in. I don't think the other airlines, especially airline that tends to grow at 20%. Don't you think that will lead to better pricing for the entire industry? Maybe that is one of the strategies, maybe?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Yeah. I think on the capacity growth front, we see a huge opportunity in terms of continued growth and demand in the Indian market, and we are focused on that long-term growth. Of course, you can optimize profitability in the short term by squeezing capacity and raising fares. That game doesn't last very long, and that doesn't create long-term value. We believe our capacity plan is the right way to create long-term value, and it's profitable growth. Yes, you can squeeze profitability in the short term by playing with capacity, but we don't think that's the right strategy.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

No, I agree. You're not squeezing the capacity because you want your fares to go up, but it will become a natural consequence. If you were to grow at 25% and you have 40% of the market share, so that [if you grow at 14% means slower] , less capacity will come to the market. I don't say you're doing it in order to squeeze prices, but will that not be a natural consequence?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Yeah. I mean, Rakesh ji, as you know, this market behaves in strange ways depending on what competitors do. We know what we are doing, and I think any more speculation on that would be gazing into the crystal ball for us.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Analyst, Rare Enterprises

Okay. Thank you. Congratulations on a good performance. I hope it continues.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from Praveen Shah from Edelweiss. Please go ahead.

Praveen Shahay
Analyst, Edelweiss

Yeah. Thank you for taking my question, sir. My question related to the Ind AS 116, which is going to bound to show the all aircraft leases on the balance sheet by 2019 onwards. Will that impact on the financials, sir? How that's actually?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Sure. The new accounting standard regarding capitalizing operating leases is something that if it comes into effect, we'll obviously adopt and comply with. It creates some work to state the accounts a different way. From a practical aspect, there's no real change. For decades, anyone who followed airlines, whether it's equity analysts, lenders, debt analysts, have always taken off-balance sheet leases and capitalized them and sort of created an adjusted debt number. Now, instead of having an adjusted net debt number, that debt is actually on the books. From a practical standpoint, it doesn't change anything. As the accounting standard comes about, we'll comply with it, but we don't see any real issue with it.

Praveen Shahay
Analyst, Edelweiss

Just to follow up, if we have to show all the leasing liability, then after?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

That's correct. That will be on the balance sheet rather than someone estimating it as.

Praveen Shahay
Analyst, Edelweiss

Yeah. Right. Got it.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

estimating it as a adjusted debt number. it will be.

Praveen Shahay
Analyst, Edelweiss

Thank you, sir.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from Ashish Shah from IDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Ashish Shah
Analyst, IDFC Securities

Yeah, good evening, sir. Just a question on the impact of GST. It's been about a month since we've seen the GST getting implemented. Has it adversely impacted us in any way in terms of the overall flow-through of revenues and costs?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Overall, under the new GST regime, the GST on economy class travel is 5% compared to the earlier 6% under the service tax regime. It's slightly positive. However, there are still some unresolved issues and clarifications that we need, and they're primarily in the areas related to the import of aircraft and aircraft parts. This relates to whether airlines are entitled to input credit for the GST paid on these and whether it's input credit for a good or a service. There are some things that are still a little problematic for us that we're working through with the government. We're hoping that we'll get the clarification so that this wouldn't be an impact. That is the only issue that's out there. The overall sort of tax on us is 5% instead of 6%, so that's positive.

Ashish Shah
Analyst, IDFC Securities

Sir, some of these things would impact P&L, or it would more be a balance sheet item? As in, if you were to be importing any parts and if there is a negative impact because of GST, would that have a bearing in terms of your higher asset in the balance sheet, or it means a P&L hit?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

It could be both. For the moment, there is an exception that if you're importing a part that's either an aircraft or a part that's leased, that then you don't suffer that penalty. You pay GST on the lease rentals, and you get input credit against those lease payments or the GST paid on the lease rentals. For the moment, I think the industry will work through with that exemption. Time will tell.

Ashish Shah
Analyst, IDFC Securities

Sure. Sir, I understand that you've said that you cannot give away more on the incentives or the compensation rather that you're receiving from Pratt & Whitney. My just point is that when I look at the revenue or the yield, can I safely assume that it is reflective of the true nature of the basic business of ticketing and other things? Or that could include any component of that?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Well, of course, if you look at our passenger revenue, which we report in our press release, it obviously is just passenger ticket revenue. Beyond that, I'm not going to comment.

Ashish Shah
Analyst, IDFC Securities

Sure, sir. Thank you.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. Next question is from Vishal Rampuria from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Hi. I have a few questions to ask, sir.

Moderator

Mr. Rampuria, may we request you to take the phone off speaker, sir?

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Hello? Is it fine now?

Moderator

Yes. Please go ahead.

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Yes, on the sale and leaseback, Rohit, you mentioned that one reason why we're moving into some more of owned aircraft is because we want to use aircraft for, say, 10 years. Why can't we use the same kind of model in for 10 years? Is there a constraint in terms of that we can't go for 10 years under the sale and leaseback model?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

You can absolutely do 10-year sale and leasebacks. By owning to longer term, it may be longer than 10 years, by the way.

You can absolutely do longer sale and leasebacks, but what you'll find is typically when you're operating the aircraft over that period, owning the aircraft tends to have a lower ownership cost than a lease. It's as simple as that. Of course, there are options. Again, we're not saying we're going to go to 100% owned right away. We're going to start doing a mix of owned and leased. We believe that owned will be able to get us a more optimal cost structure.

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Okay. Sir, Rohit, you also mentioned about this norm, you have to meet this public sharing norm. You mentioned on one of the question that you may do both OFS plus new issue of shares. Given that we have so much of cash, what's the need to do new issuances, primary issue of shares?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Obviously, if we issue primary proceeds, we will declare a use of proceeds at the time. I think I gave you some hint of where it could go into, depending on our position in terms of aircraft ownership.

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

In case we go for more of own model, own lease, how much gearing do you think we can go up to? How much leverage we can take?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

I actually didn't understand that question.

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

I'm saying in case we go for our own aircraft, how much leverage you think we can take in our books?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Okay. Firstly, the question in terms of leverage, when lenders look at the leverage question on airlines, they look at total debt. They look at a figure that I call adjusted debt, or that they call adjusted debt, which includes their own estimate of a capitalized value of your operating leases plus your on-balance-sheet debt. From that sense, this won't change that leverage number, whether you put it on balance sheet or whether it's part of your actual debt or whether it's part of your adjusted debt. It won't change the leverage metric that people look at, which is your adjusted leverage.

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Okay. One thing, Rohit, reconfirm this entire saving on fuel. Fuel cost per ASK was lower in this quarter. Is it completely because of Neos, higher mix of Neos in terms of fleet?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

I think I explained on a earlier question that it's a combination of a few factors. One was the more ASKs being flown by Neos, which are 15% more fuel efficient. Also the fact that we have been able to get some price competition at different airports and get some price reductions as well as selective imports at certain stations where we've been able to optimize costs. We've done a number of different things. Fuel is 40% of our cost structure, and we look at opportunities to save it all the time. I think that it's a combination of those factors that allowed us to have our fuel cost optimized based on that.

Vishal Rampuria
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Understood. Thank you.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kunal Lakhan from Axis Capital. Please go ahead.

Kunal Lakhan
Analyst, Axis Capital

Hi. Good evening. Earlier in the call, you mentioned about that it will take at least a year for Pratt & Whitney to resolve the reliability issues related to the Neos. My question is, it's almost been a year, more than a year actually, since we took the first aircraft on board and since we've been facing this issue. I just wanted to understand what will be your contingency plan, say, one year down the line if those reliability issues still continue?

Aditya Ghosh
President and Whole Time Director, InterGlobe Aviation

Hi, this is Aditya. The contingency plan is what we have in place even today, which is basically that we would then go and look at other aircraft sources, used aircraft to augment our capacity. We continue to work with Pratt & Whitney, and, as I said, we have confidence that they are going to come through on what they have promised to us. If there's anything that changes, we will of course come and update you. At the moment, we're just focused on getting the spare engines on-site so that we have enough planes up in the air.

Kunal Lakhan
Analyst, Axis Capital

Sure. Secondly, just wanted to understand in terms of neo deliveries that we can expect in the subsequent quarters for this year. Is it going to be in line with what we have seen in Q1, like three per quarter, or there's a risk that it could be lower than that?

Aditya Ghosh
President and Whole Time Director, InterGlobe Aviation

No. We've already said that there are these delays in the deliveries of the neos and the capacity guidance that Rohit just provided for the year takes into account those delays that we are anticipating.

Kunal Lakhan
Analyst, Axis Capital

All right. Good luck. Thanks.

Aditya Ghosh
President and Whole Time Director, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rahul Bagaria from Lucky Investment Managers. Please go ahead.

Rahul Bagaria
Analyst, Lucky Investment Managers

Thank you for taking my question. Sir, you have actually touched upon this topic a little while before. I'm just asking it in a different way. Your 20% ASKM CAGR target or thing for the next three years, is there something that you can tell us on how this will break up? Will the international part ASKM grow faster or something like that?

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

I think as I said earlier, we don't look at the A320 international operation very differently from the A320 domestic operation. Today, it's been ranging from 10% to 12%. It's 13% right now. Yes, we added a few more. Directionally, that number has gone up a little bit. As we look over the long term, it'll be a combination of all markets. I don't see a material change in that ratio, but it could change depending on where we see the opportunities.

Rahul Bagaria
Analyst, Lucky Investment Managers

Okay. Yeah. That's about it, sir. Thank you.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Over to you.

Rohit Philip
CFO, InterGlobe Aviation

This is all that we had for you today. Thank you all for joining on this call, and we look forward to speaking with you again. Thank you.

Moderator

Thank you very much, members of management. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of IndiGo, that concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.