Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Mahanagar Gas Limited Q3 and nine months FY26 earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then 0 on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sudeep Anand from Systematix Institutional Equities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you, Rutuja, and a very good afternoon to everyone. Thanks for joining us today for the Q3 and nine months FY 2026 earnings call of Mahanagar Gas Limited. On behalf of Systematix, I would like to thank the management for giving us the opportunity to host the call, and also many congratulations for the great set of numbers. We have with us the top managers represented by Mr. Ashu Shinghal, Managing Director, Mr. Rajesh Patel, Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Rajesh Wagle, Senior Vice President, Marketing. Before we begin, I would like to mention that some of the statements made in today's discussion may be forward-looking in nature, and we believe that expectations contained in the statements are reasonable. However, these statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that may lead to different results.
We urge you to consider that quarterly numbers are not a reflection of long-term trends or indication of full-year results. Now, I would like to hand over the call to Mr. Ashu Shinghal for his opening remarks, and then we can move to the question-and-answer session. Over to you, sir.
Thank you, Rutuja and Sudeep. First of all, a very good afternoon and welcome to the earnings call of Mahanagar Gas Limited for the third quarter of the financial year 2025-2026. I would like to thank all of you for attending this call today. MGL continues to create CGD infrastructure across its business segment in the licensed areas. During the quarter, 124,908 domestic households were connected, and thus we have established connectivity for nearly 3.07 million households. We have laid 120.3 km of steel and PE pipeline, taking the total length to over 8,182 km. We have added six CNG stations during this quarter, and with this, we have 491 stations as on 31st December 2025. We added 337 industrial and commercial customers during this quarter. As on 31st December 2025, we have 5,618 industrial and commercial customers.
During the quarter, there is addition of 32,315 CNG vehicles, and now we have more than 1.25 million CNG vehicles registered in our geographies as of 31st December 2025. Coming to MGL operations during the quarter, we achieved overall average sales volume of 4.62 MMSCMD as against 4.593 MMSCMD in the previous quarter, which is an increase of 0.59%. Current quarter volume consists of CNG volume of 3.281, domestic PNG volume of 0.604, and 0.735 MMSCMD of gas was supplied to industrial and commercial segments. Compared to the corresponding quarter of last year, average overall sales volume has increased from 4.31 MMSCMD - 4.62 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 7.19%. Sales volume of CNG has increased from 3.098 MMSCMD -3.281 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 5.92%. Sales for domestic PNG have increased from 0.554-0.604 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 9.04%.
In case of industrial and commercial, sales volume has increased from 0.659 MMSCMD - 0.735 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 11.63%. Average gas sales for nine months ending 31st December 2025 is 4.556, whereas it was 4.181 MMSCMD in the corresponding previous period of the last year, which is an increase of 8.97%. Sales volume in the case of CNG has also increased from 3.022 MMSCMD- 3.241 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 7.24%. In case of industrial and commercial, the volumes have increased from 0.615 MMSCMD-0.730 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 18.76%, and the volumes for domestic PNG have increased from 0.545 M MSCMD-0.586 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 7.53%. EBITDA from operations for the quarter is INR 352 crore as compared to previous quarter EBITDA of INR 338 crore.
Net profit after tax for the quarter is INR 202 crore as compared to previous quarter net profit after tax of INR 193 crore. EBITDA for the nine months ending December 2025 is INR 1,191 crore, and net PAT is INR 715 crore. During this quarter, MGL Annual Report 2025 was honored with a bronze award at the Public Relations Council of India Excellence Award 2025. In the areas acquired from UEPL related to UEPL, MGL has commissioned 100 CNG stations in the month of January at Latur. At the time of acquisition, UEPL Geographical Area has 53 CNG outlets. Over the last 23 months, 47 ROs have been added, translating to an average of approximately two stations per month. I'm also happy to announce that board has approved an interim dividend for the current financial year at the rate of 120%, which is INR 12 per equity share.
With this, I conclude and would now like to open the floor for the questions. Thank you very much for your patient hearing.
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the touch-tone telephone. If you wish to withdraw yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Probal Sen from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.
Thank you for the opportunity, sir. Three questions from my side. Firstly, in the 4.62 MMSCMD volume, is it possible to bifurcate how much was the UEPL sales volume and to give the corresponding sales in the quarter three of last year?
Q3 UEPL average was 0.283 MMSCMD.
The corresponding volume last year for UEPL?
One moment. I don't have readily, but I can say it was roughly around 2 MMSCMD or so.
0.2 MMSCMD, roughly?
Yeah, 0.2 MMSCMD, yes.
Right. Got it, sir. So the second question was, has there been any price hikes or changes that have happened? May I continue, sir?
Last year, same quarter of UEPL was 0.194.
Got it, sir. Got it, sir. Thanks. The second question was, sir, any price changes that have happened in any segment in this quarter or any price changes planned in the fourth quarter? Can you give us any color?
If you have noted, I think on 1st of February, we increased our CNG price by INR 0.50 per kg, sir.
Okay. Okay. Got it, sir. And third question was, sir, this quarter saw Henry Hub prices actually rising quite sharply, and yet we have actually managed to show some improvement in our margins on a sequential basis. Just wanted to understand what measures we have taken or any changes in our sourcing mix in this quarter that has enabled this.
So we tried taking as less as possible Henry Hub and replaced it either HPHT or spot. However, if you look at the average Henry Hub index and the actual cost of Henry Hub compared to previous quarter, it has hardly gone up by around $0.0014. As against that, if you see APM, since Brent was lower, has seen a savings of almost $0.20, okay? And so is the case with HPHT and NWG, etc. So overall, there was a lower Brent has contributed to all the contracts relating to Brent, which is at least more than $0.20. In case of Henry Hub, the average price was higher by around $0.014. So net-net, I think there is a reduction in the cost slightly.
Since we took the price increase in the previous quarter, last month, that is, in the month of September, the benefit of that price increase has accrued in this quarter fully. Both put together, better sales realization, despite, I think, lower realization in case of industry, our overall company EBITDA per SCM has gone up by around INR 0.30 per SCM.
The major point, maybe, which we have in the recent memory is in January, the HH prices have gone up high. So maybe you had that point in reference when you were asking this question.
Right, sir. The last question, if I may, any change in the guidance for medium to long-term volume growth? Are we maintaining that 8%-9% kind of volume growth overall on an annualized basis?
If you see year-on-year, the growth is around 9%, nine months year-on-year. But we are expecting that Q4 will be slightly better, so we may touch around double-digit number. And guidance for the future year is, yeah, around double-digit number we are planning.
Understood, sir. Thank you so much, and all the best.
Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Yash Nandwani from IIFL. Please go ahead.
Thanks for the opportunity, sir. First question is on the CNG volume growth. It has been moderated to around 6% in this quarter. So could you help us understand the impact of gas supply disruption that was there due to the pipeline damage in Q3?
It was a very small quantity. I mean, the production was down for one day. The restoration took about a couple of days in which we had to shut down quite a few CNG outlets in Mumbai and GA2. So during that time, we made sure that CNG supply was available to BEST and STUs and few critical CNG stations because there was only a limited amount of gas which we could draw from Mahape for use in Mumbai. And not only CNG, the impact of that hit the industrial and commercial sector also pretty hard. So one of the reasons for a drop in industrial volumes is also this thing.
So could you quantify that volume?
I think roughly, it is about 1% of CNG volumes. Had that thing not been there, CNG volumes would have been 1% higher.
Okay. And secondly, sir, again on Henry Hub linked volumes, so how should we look at the margins going ahead in Q4 and next year onwards given that fact we have seen sharp volatility in the Henry Hub prices and considering a meaningful portion of our volumes are also linked to Henry Hub linked contracts?
So within the contract, I think there is a lot of flexibility available. As you are already aware, probably one can go as low as 60% because the take-or-pay threshold is 60%. Within that also, we can do some amount of lag behind in taking a little less quantity and then recoup it in the subsequent months because the annual average has to be maintained at 60%. So we will do fine-tuned management of how do we induct the cheapest gas available and reduce the costliest gas, which is what is done in the Q2 also. And our endeavor is there. We will do it going forward also. And so whichever month it is higher, we will manage it through these mechanisms to a certain.
So you maintain the margin guidance?
Yeah, yeah, yeah. To a certain extent.
Margin guidance, which was answered in the previous question also, will be around the same similar numbers, INR 8.5. Sorry, volume growth was talked about in the earlier question, but the margins guidance will be in the similar range of same, INR 8- INR 8.5 as we have seen for this. Although nine months margins are around INR 10 and Q3 is INR 8.3, so I'm slightly lower side. But going forward for FY 2026, given that HH prices are slightly high as we will be doing some readjustment in our procurement strategies and some of the term contracts will be expiring, some we will be entering into different contracts. Also, the volume growth which is coming up, 10%, we have that flexibility to go in with Brent-linked contracts also or other indices.
So we do this, and HPHT gas will also come into play plus new well gas also, some quantity variation keep on happening. So overall, portfolio management is very critical, which we closely monitor. And we are also looking for some hedging to be done at the right appropriate time to further optimize our procurement costs.
On the sales realization side, if you look at now, Brent has started looking up. So industrial realization should increase slightly, though my APM cost is protected by ceiling. And we have already taken, as I said earlier, INR 0.50 per kg increase in the month of 1st of February. So that will help to a certain extent to maintain margins.
Right, sir. Thank you so much.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mayank Maheshwari from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Thank you for the call, sir. Two questions. One, I think, was related to around the volume growth in the Mumbai area. I think if you look at the CNG growth, definitely has seen a bit of tepidness here. Anything that you can help us around what's driving that and anything you're doing to kind of help that growth up?
Okay. Mumbai, the CNG growth is muted basically because of two reasons. One is the BEST CNG fleet is reducing, and they have not yet managed to get more CNG buses. They seem to be going more towards electric. And other big issue in Mumbai is the availability of land to open up new CNG stations. We land up opening just single-digit kind of additional stations, whereas GA2, GA3, it's much easier to get land and open CNG stations. And these are the two main reasons for the flat or muted growth of CNG in Mumbai.
Sir, anything you'd be able to quantify the impact of the shift to electric from the BEST buses?
Well, at its peak, BEST used to run about 3,000 CNG buses. They are down to a few hundred now. Cumulatively, we would have lost about more than 100,000 kg per day.
Just to add to that, the unutilized capacity at BEST is getting used through the MGL Tez where slowly, I think, the private vehicles are getting filled. So that also, in a way, adds a number of CNG stations available to other than BEST consumers. And we are also in the process of setting up at least two, three large stations. So in terms of numbers, you may see single-digit numbers getting added in GA1, but those will be with higher capacity, especially in South Mumbai. So that should help going forward.
As we have, I mean, discussed earlier also, in Sion, that is in Wadala, where our CGD station, City Gate station is there, there we are planning a very big station, maybe the biggest in India, which will have around 60 filling points or around 30 dispensing units. It will be done in phased manner. First phase will be completed somewhere in April, May. And the next phase will be taking another five to six months. So that will be one place where you will be finding CNG filling all the time, most likely without any queuing. So that can be a big support for the queuing issue in the main city.
We'll also be opening two large CNG stations in South Mumbai on Bombay Port Trust land. The first one of them, I think, should be open in a couple of months, and the other one in the coming financial year. Plus, in the coming financial year, we are also expecting to have one large CNG station come up on the Western Express Highway in Goregaon. Maybe in a year and a half's time frame, we'll also be having a very large station coming up on the Eastern Express Highway near Mulund. So the numbers may be small, but as we have said that, these will be large stations where the sale will be pretty high.
So sir, if I put it all in context, if you look at growth in terms of CNG now for you outside of Unison, how should we think about that going forward now?
Outside of Unison, I think we have been growing at around 7% or so. So the base is pretty high in the non-Unison areas. Mumbai and GA2 put together account for a big chunk. So the overall company is growing at whatever, 8%, 9%. Mumbai will be 2% or 2% below that.
Got it, sir. Very clear. And the second question is around strategy around gas sourcing. You did say that you are looking at alternative sources around Brent linked contracts. So if I was to think about in three years' time, how do you think your mix of gas sourcing will look like in terms of Henry Hub and crude? Obviously, domestic is linked to crude as well. So if you kind of put it all together, how do you see that mix for you, which you think is optimal?
I mean, too early to predict a very ideal mix because things are geopolitically very I mean, I would say dynamic in nature. And because of small events, the prices go up and down, especially with gas linked contracts. So what we have found is that we will have a portfolio which will have all these things. Second is that APM gas will be also maybe slightly more declining in three years' time. So having said that, I mean, Brent is a more stable index if we have to discuss in that manner. And the projections in future about Brent is that it will be slightly on a lower side, whereas Henry Hub traditionally has been on the very lower side. But of late, there have been some indications that HH can go slightly up. So we will have a mix of both.
Brent anyway is indirectly also HPHT gas is also slightly linked to Brent contracts. As of now, APM and NWG is Indian crude basket, which again is Brent. So buying our direct contracts of HH, which is around 1.6 MMS CMD, balance all is, you can say, directly or indirectly linked to Brent. So if something changed very dramatically, unless that point of time, we will be expecting similar or maybe slightly more inclined towards Brent and less towards HH. That is as of now if we see three years down the line. But we can't say if things change very unpredictably in future.
Just to add, to take care of current HH volatility, we have already signed and started drawing from January some amount of Brent-linked contracts, new contracts, almost 12,500 MMBTU. And we have already in pipeline another additional maybe 10,000 MMBTU contract from April onwards. But the one which I'm saying we have started drawing is for a period of 1 year. Another, we have tied up for maybe around two-three years timeline. So we are already on that. And I think hopefully, we should be able to optimize as best as possible.
Got it. Very clear.
Sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Maheshwari. Yes, thank you very much. Participants who wish to ask a question, please press star and one. The next question is from the line of Yogesh Patil from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my question, sir. Sir, could you please share the gas sourcing in MMSCMD terms mostly? How was the APM, NWG, HH, HPHT, and crude during the quarter?
Yeah. So in case of APM, slightly the percentage went up. But as against that, some NWG decrease has happened. So both put together, more or less around 45-odd% or Q2 was 46%, and now it is 45%. I'm saying APM as well as NWG, okay?
Okay.
We have, as I said earlier, reduced our offtake of Henry Hub by around 4% and swapped it with HPHT and Spot whenever it was cheaper than Henry Hub. Yeah?
Okay.
I think more or less it has remained similar to last quarter.
If possible, could you please share these numbers in MMSCMD terms, sir? If possible.
I'll just share.
Okay.
Hub, we have come down from almost to 1.3 from the earlier offtake in the current quarter. And both APM as well as NWG, it is almost 2.1 MMSCMD in the current quarter and was similar. But between APM and NWG, there is a better improvement. I have got more APM slightly and some reduction in NWG.
Okay. Fair enough, sir. Sir, recently, zonal unified tariffs are implemented from the first of Jan. How has it impacted our overall gas cost? Can you provide a little bit number in rupees per SCM terms on the gas cost side?
So our gas zone-wise earlier before the change, roughly 70% was already in zone one and 30% in zone two, okay? But of that 30%, whatever I am consuming for priority segment, now zone one will be applicable. As you are aware, the zone one rate has gone up from INR 40-INR 54 and zone two roughly from INR 80-INR 105 or INR 102, sorry, right? Now, from this month onwards, we have started evaluating inclusive of a transportation tariff because it matters where I am getting the gas from and which zone rate is applicable. So if I have to say, even if I manage outside zone one gas for the purpose of industrial commercial, I should be able to manage around 10%, okay? So my weighted average for tariff under zone one, at least we will be able to achieve 90% or more.
Zone two, if at all we take, it should be below 10%. With that, you can work out the weighted average of both. Earlier, I said it was 70/30. Now, at most, I will have 10% zone two and 90% zone one compared to the volumes and the contracts which we have in place.
Really helpful, sir. And the last one, Henry Hub gas cost side, little bit clarity. We wanted to understand the lag effect on the company's gas cost. If today, suppose, Henry Hub gas prices close 10% down or 10% up, then how much time it takes to reflect it into our LNG cost? Is it a one-month lag, one-and-a-half-month lag, or 15 days lag?
There are multiple contracts, four to five contracts. In some of them, it is with a lag of two months. In some of them, it is with a lag of one month. When I say one month, so rate is of the previous month. In some contract, it is previous to previous month rate is applicable. In fact, it evens out the impact to a very large extent. That is why you don't see much actual impact on the weighted average rate of Henry Hub.
Thanks a lot, sir. It was really helpful. All the best.
With that, we can always do which contract I should bring down more and which contract I should consume full depending on the other sources available. We do that fine-tune management to optimize the gas cost.
Thanks a lot, sir.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vivekanand Subbaraman from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Thank you for the opportunity. So my first question is on the volume drivers. So previously, you've spoken about triggering volume growth by acquiring customers who have larger consumption objectives like fleet owners. And you have run CNG mass conversions in the past. So is there any update on the schemes that you are running to acquire customers and improve volume growth in your core areas? That's question one. And the second one related to volume drivers is the committee that was formed to explore pollution concerns in Mumbai. The pollution concerns have become perhaps even more prolonged, right? In the sense, the problem is more severe than before. So do you think that the government mandate to push some of these vehicle segments, particularly LCVs or medium commercial vehicles, could come in, say, in FY2027 or 2028 since you're part of the panel? Thank you. That's question one.
I'll ask the next one after this.
Well, volume growth, if you're looking at the CNG segment and the commercial goods vehicle segment, rather than having a blanket scheme for everyone, we are now trying to target large fleet owners and transporters. We have had some traction with one large transporter in the JNPT area with whom we are signing for converting about 300 of his trucks onto CNG. So we keep continuously looking at these kind of opportunities and offer them a good upfront discount also through a fuel card or something for getting their economics right. And this works better with large transporters. You observe with us, large transporters typically have a set of vehicles which log in a large number of kilometers. So it is in that segment where they get the quickest payback for their investment on either conversion to CNG or buying a new CNG truck.
Of course, our attempt to open more and more large-format CNG stations which can accommodate these big vehicles, that continues, especially in GA2 and GA3 areas.
Regarding that Bombay High Court committee, we have prepared a draft recommendation. And these are under discussion in the ministry. So they will submit after that consent. I mean, I'm not exactly aware when the final report will be submitted to the High Court. But there are not going to be very major knee-jerk reactions because we have to make sure that not some recommendations are submitted which are not implementable. So most likely, the bigger segment, more polluting segment of the vehicles like BS4 and more below-segment vehicles can have some span time to be described. And other such measures, some routes description, some other measures will be implemented depending on High Court's intervention. And in case High Court suo motu gives some more stringent views, then it will be. For overall impact will be found as and when it is prescribed with the court or the government.
Okay. Thank you. My second question is on the recent India-U.S. trade deal where India has committed to purchasing more from the U.S. Have you received any communication from the government to perhaps explore purchase of more energy from the U.S. or ink more contracts with GAIL such that you can downstream the U.S. energy?
I think CGDs per se, I mean, it's such a distributed segment. We have around 40 entities taking all the amount of gas. Obviously, IGL, MGL, Adani, and Gujarat Gas are the big players. But having said that, we have a mix of APM also available, which is domestic gas. We have New Well Gas, HPHT Gas. Then we have a choice to take HPHT, sorry, Henry Hub or Brent link contract. So as this macro-level discussion about India and U.S., they are not directly linked to the CGD entities. They are done at a government-to-government negotiation or B2B negotiations and discussions. So we don't generally make any impact towards that direction. Ours is agnostic to who is the seller, either GAIL or other parties.
We are more concerned about what is the likely movement of these indices, whether gas-based indices or Brent linked or oil-based indices, and how much will be our growth and which is the right mix, making sure that under different scenarios which can unfold in future, we are equipped to handle with minimum disruption in prices and maintaining the procurement cost to the minimum. So those are our targets, not very much directly related to India-U.S. deals.
Okay, sir. Thank you so much for the detailed clarification. All the best.
Thank you.
Thank you. Participants who wish to ask a question, please press star and one. The next question is from the line of Daksh Choudhary from Ratnabali Investment Management. Please go ahead.
Hi, sir. My question is, if possible, could you provide a breakdown of the revenue from CNG by vehicular, commercial vehicles, and private vehicles?
Vehicular. Segmental breakdown from.
Well, in Q3, we had about 6,600 taxis added, about 14,000 private cars, about 9,000 three-wheelers, about 2,200 small commercial vehicles. Total vehicles in the quarter were about 32,000. The remaining 100-odd would be a mix of buses and commercial vehicles.
Maybe you were asking total CNG revenue with segment four-wheelers, three-wheelers, how much is being generated?
Yeah, yeah. I'm asking about the revenue from these segments.
Revenue-wise, almost equal chunk will come from private car taxis plus three-wheelers.
Okay. Can you quantify it?
Maybe about 8%-10%. 7% or 8% may come from state transport undertakings. Private cars will be around 30%. We'll share these numbers separately. But broadly, they can be corrected. Maybe private cars.
Private cars and taxis would be about 35%-40%, almost a similar number for three-wheelers, 7%-8% STUs. And the remaining will be for commercial goods vehicles, private buses, etc.
Okay, okay, sir. Thank you so much.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vikash Jain from CLSA. Please go ahead.
Hi, sir. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to know your guidance. How should we think about margins, say, for the upcoming quarter where there will be some impact of that zone tariff change and some of those other things and the recent change in NVR price? And also your longer-term unit margin guidance. How should we think about that, please?
I think we discussed both these points partly. I'll just repeat. I hope you referred about the zone-wise transportation tariff change first.
Yep.
As I said, at the most, maximum 10% could fall outside zone two because we evaluate now, including the transportation, whether landed cost is the cheapest, okay? So under that scenario, my transportation cost per SCM may marginally go up from 10%-20% per SCM, not more than that, okay? And coming to Henry Hub, yes, Henry Hub, some impact will be there because of the February Henry Hub index has remained high. So some part of it will be impacted in March and maybe after that. We have already taken a 50% price increase per kg in case of CNG from 1st of February. So that partly offsets the impact, okay? And maybe overall realization in case of industrial commercial is looking better compared to previous quarter, whereas previous quarter had very low Brent, and there was a good amount of impact on realization of industrial commercial.
So with some improvement in CNG realization, price increase already taken, there could be marginal impact for this quarter specifically, okay? And as far as possible, we will try and postpone our drawal of Henry Hub to subsequent months because you can always do that fine-tune management and make the 60% threshold over a period of one year. And that period is just it's a calendar year. So we have balanced months in the calendar year to manage that threshold. So our endeavor will be reduced as much as possible, the costliest gas, and take it subsequently when indices improve.
Regarding the guidance for margins, I think we discussed earlier around INR 10-INR 20 is for this year we have got, a bit upper SCM. Going forward, maybe INR 8-INR 9 margins would be the numbers which we can look at because many of these impacts which Rajesh just mentioned have already started impacting Q3 also. With more portfolio management and things like hedging and procurement at a different point of time with different indices, we should be able to handle different type of scenarios unfolding in future. Going forward, it seems that gas will be available. It is only a matter of time which gas will be available. Some of the Russian gas will find its market in some other areas like China and some other places. There will be obviously supplies coming from different countries. Qatar is also increasing their supply.
And some supplies from the U.S. will also be added. And there will be some shift in rearrangement in Europe also. So we expect that there will be not much of a disruption happening in gas or Brent market, at least for next near future.
Thank you so much. So just one more thing, could you also provide the break-up of APM and New Well Gas? You said both together where APM share increased and New Well decreased a little bit in that mix.
Total APM available was roughly 39%, and 6% was NWG.
Thank you so much, sir. Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you. Participants who wish to ask a question, please press star and one. The next question is from the line of Sabri Hazarika from Emkay Global Financial Services. Please go ahead.
Yes. So just one clarification. You mentioned the bit upper SCM for nine months is around how much? Around 10.4, right?
No, it is 9.5, sorry, I correct myself. INR 9.5 is for these nine months, and INR 10.2 was for the last financial year, nine months.
Okay, 9.5. And your guidance for this year would be how much and next year?
See, 9.5.
Next year would be how much?
I mean, this year for nine months, it is INR 9.5, right? So maybe Q4 will be coming. So we'll be in the range between, again, maybe slightly more than INR 9 or in that range. For next year, it is INR 8- INR 9, which we were talking about.
INR 8-INR 9. Okay, so okay, fair enough. So INR 8-INR 9 versus INR 9 to.
Again, it is, I mean, depends on so many situations. As you might have seen, that some years, it has gone in double digits. Then it has come down slightly. And if you look back three, four years back, it was in the range of INR 6-INR 7 also. So these keep on changing depending on our procurement cost as well as alternate fuel cost, industrial and commercial, Brent movement, and our optimization in procurement and operational efficiencies and so on and so forth. So we have also been increasing a lot of our assets to upgrade it. We have gone for SAP upgradation, customer relationship management. We have had Salesforce. Some of our older assets have been shifted. We are also going for more carbon neutrality. And maybe by 2036, we will have net zero scope one and two.
Yes, importing green energy also for greenification of our electric-driven compressors in Mumbai region and nearby areas. So all these things, I mean, somewhere or other reflect on the margins for a temporary phase. But over a long period of time, they will be taking the company in the right street.
Got it. Secondly, what was the CapEx for the nine months?
Roughly INR 760 crore.
Okay. So you'll be ending at INR 1,100-INR 1,200 crores for the fleet?
Yeah, in that range, yes.
All right, sir.
And the fleet for a higher amount.
Okay, yeah. I'm not sure that you have answered this before, but can you give us a breakdown of volume between the various GAs?
Maybe around 50% will go to GA1 or slightly less than that if we include SBU also. GA2 is similar around 45%. Then GA3, which is Raigad, will be around 0.3 MMSCMD, which is I don't know how much percentage. It is 7%-8%. And SBU whole put together is around 0.3. So it is again 7%-8%. GA1, GA2, both roughly 2 million, 2 million each. That makes 4. Raigad and UEPL will be around 0.6, 0.65, yeah.
Okay, 0.6, 0.65. Yeah. Thank you so much.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Nitin Tiwari from PhillipCapital. Please go ahead.
Hi, sir. Good evening. Thanks for the opportunity. Pardon me for a very naive line of questioning. I just wanted to understand that how does the gas pricing of the contract works? I mean, when you suppose you're importing HH-linked gas and if the price of gas changes in transit, so at what point in time, I mean, does the gas price figure and it leaves the port in the U.S. or then it lands in India? And how does that dynamic work?
The question within which you are asking, I think, is applicable more to the person who's directly importing the gas, okay? So we don't import RLNG, whether Henry Hub or Brent Link directly. We enter into contract with the suppliers who give us.
Aggregators.
Aggregators like GAIL or Shell or any of these OMCs, okay? So we typically have a contract where pricing formula is one part is linked to the benchmark. It could be Henry Hub. It could be Brent, okay? Other part is either fixed or some portion linked to variation. But the change in the IC and all that is.
[Foreign language]
Please go ahead, sir.
Hello.
So because we are not importing any cargoes directly, so it's not particularly applicable to us.
Yeah, meaning just to further clarify, add on to what Rajesh has mentioned, these are different contracts entered at different points of time. So if HH contracts are there, we have the liberty to some extent that which index we are choosing, some of the conditions we can, and some are the standard conditions. So HH is maybe one particular month date rate is there, which is across the industry, similar practices being followed. On that day particular, whatever is the HH rate, is taken the rate for the next month. Brent is on average for the month. So generally, these are the traditional practices, which are the contracts available in the market, and we follow similar, I mean, practices in practices in the contracts which we have. Although some fine-tune adjustments will be there from contract to contract, depending on the market. Got it, sir.
So the flexibility that you mention is between you and GAIL in terms of how much draw down you want to take from the contract. Is that the right understanding?
contract to contract, it can vary. There can be contracts which have more take or pay. There can be contracts which have got less take or pay. And this is an evolving market. It is again a demand supply or a buyer seller arrangement. So some of the instruments every time economics or dynamics changes, so sellers are more flexible. Sometimes, they are not very flexible. So we have to go with what is available in the market at that point of time. Obviously, we can't dictate everything from the buyer side. So market keeps on changing.
But more or less, from the rigid contracts which were there available maybe five years back, now the things have started shifting to more of a buyer market than the seller market because multiple buyers are coming into the market, and with multiple flexibilities are being offered to the sellers, by the sellers to the buyers. So buyers can tailor some of this conditions in the contract, and accordingly, the buyers sell the gas and mark their rates at which those gas is sold. So it's a very flexible dynamic situation. And we have to make sure that what ever type of contracts we are choosing or the terms and conditions which we are choosing is beneficial for the company in the long run.
[crosstralk] Understood. So thanks for the very elaborate answer. I will get back in the queue.
Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Bineet Banka from Nomura. Please go ahead.
sir. Thank you for the opportunity. Just one question on CBG blending. So I understand there was some exemption on excise duty in this budget. So what could be the impact on EBITDA or SCM on MGL? And what is the current volume of CBG blending for the company?
Right now, it is not very significant. At two, three places, we are doing some CBG blending. Maybe you can give exact numbers in case you have.
It's below 1%, actually. Very small number. Operating three stations on CBG. So EBITDA per SCM will be.
14,000 kg a day.
Yeah, 14,000 kg per day in overall sale of almost 20.
23 lakh kg
23 lakh kg per day. So it's very small amount. And this excise duty impact will be over a period of time. Right now, all the CBG players, they find it difficult to make an economically viable proposition at several places because the feedstock availability is one issue, the quality of feedstock , the rates at which it is available. So to promote CBG promotion as a big macro level policy, the government has included this benefit for CBG producers. And that will make CBG production more viable rather than having a very big impact on the CGD entities as such. But if you see five years down the line, maybe CBG will have a very significant production level.
And then we can see that this type of incentive and promotions by the government will overall benefit the greening of the CGD grid as well as for betterment of the environment and the viability of CBG plant as a whole.
So what is the current cost of CBG that you procure compare to, say, your gas procurement cost? Any number you can share?
There are two schemes. One is, I mean, there are three schemes, I would say. One is that CBG producer is free to sell its gas at its own price to anybody. Second is they can accept SATAT scheme, which is ongoing scheme at which some discount price is available. And third is Synchronization Scheme at which a tripartite agreement is signed between CBG producer, CGD entity, and GAIL, which is the coordinating agency for this type of arrangement under the Synchronization Scheme. The better output or the input, which is available to both CGD and the CBG entity, is under Synchronization Scheme. So several of those CBG players are coming up with Synchronization Scheme in which they get a price, which is determined by, I mean, government from time to time. And the returns are much better. They are on discount to slightly on CNG.
And with excise duty exemption, that return to the CBG player will further improve, as well as it will become beneficial for CGD entity also.
Thank you, sir.
Yeah, the CNG or CGD entity gets the cost of whatever quantity of CBG, which is inserted into the grid at APM prices. So that is the advantage for the CGD entity, whereas the CBG producer gets a price at CNG relevant prices at that place. So that is the advantage of CBG. So in net, whatever is the cost of CBG is getting distributed on unified blending price mechanism of APM.
So if you look at, you know, if APM price without blending is, say, $6.75. Overall at the country level, APM price blended with CBG is in the range of, say, $6.95 also. So it's around, you know, $0.18-$0.20 are added on account of CBG blending. That is the current impact on all CGD entities in the country. Hello.
It is understood. Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Somaiya V. from Spark . Please go ahead.
Yeah, thanks for the opportunity, sir. Sir, the first question is initial remarks. You did mention about one of the contracts that you have signed for one year in MMBTU terms. So this is equal to a 0.3-0.4 times MMSCMD for this year. And is it a take or pay contract?
Every contract has take or pay. So this contract also has take or pay, okay?
Is referring to the Brent contract which you mention?
Yeah, yeah, Brent contract, yes. But one, this has more than one contract. The contract which we have signed through IGX, there it is 100% you have to take, but that is a smaller quantity because through IGX you don't have, you know, it's a firm price and full quantity you have to draw. But the other contract which is one on one with the party, there is threshold of take or pay, and it can be adjusted over a year's time.
is on a year's annual quantity take or pay basis. Got it. So you were referring to one that has started from January. The other one will start from April. So these are the two contracts.
So only two contracts have started from January, where smaller quantity is through IGX. And larger part of the contract is one on one, bilateral contract. And some more contracts are starting from April, bilateral. Those bilateral contracts will always have take or pay thresholds.
Got it, sir. Sir, also any update on the battery cell manufacturing project?
I mean, as we have mentioned, may be discussed in last earnings call also, the land is in our position. But there has been some changes in overall global scenarios related to the prices at which the battery is being sold. So we have everything is in place in terms of technology availability. We have got some of those batteries in India and testing them with different users. And we are getting a very positive feedback, except for the fact that the last six months or so, the price of the battery has come down significantly. Much of it is to the fact also that the price of procurement of materials, primarily the cathode material, which has come down. So it has impacted the battery cell overall prices to come down significantly.
Now, we are slightly reassessing the situation, trying to find a mechanism and the proposition which is best suited for all the parties involved. And therefore, we are slightly putting it in a maybe few months hold to finalize this contractual arrangement wherein we can survive in different scenarios when the prices of the battery are maintained at a lower level for a significantly longer period of time. And we are also looking at some of the strategic partners to make it run and maybe mitigate some of the risk.
Got it, sir. Sir, also one for the next 12 months, the CapEx outlook that we have, how much are we considering as a CapEx for this project or investments for this project from our side?
For battery project, you mean?
Yes, sir.
We have in our hand approval of roughly INR 380 crore and for two phases, okay? So that is the maximum. But I think next 12.
Maybe readjustment which I said, maybe this can be slightly lower than the number which Rajesh just mentioned. Because if we bring some more equity parts, obviously it will be intimated to the exchange as and when it happens. Right now, it is on a very preliminary stage of discussion. So we can't just declare anything as of now. But yes, it will be the higher limit is what Rajesh has mentioned, which has been declared to the exchange few months back, few may be one year back.
12 months back.
interrupt. May be request, Mr. Somaiya, to please rejoin the queue. We have other participants waiting for their turn. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Tanay Kotecha from Nuvama. Please go ahead.
Hi, just a bookkeeping question from my side. Can you please specify what was the share of HPHT in the sourcing mix?
HPHT contracted quantity we had roughly 0.6. And we have been buying HPHT through IGX also. So in the last quarter, we bought little amount of IGX HPHT.
Thank you.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aditya Welekar from Axis Securities. Please go ahead.
you for the opportunity, sir. Just one question. What is our CapEx guidance for FY 2027?
CapEx should be in the range of around INR 1,200 crore. For. And that will be towards which geographical areas? Mainly GA 2 GA 3 larger amount, may be slightly lesser amount only on CNG in GA 1. And all three Unison acquired areas roughly INR 200 crore.
Understood. Thank you. That's it from my side.
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Lokesh Manik from Vallum Capital. Please go ahead.
Yes, hi. Good evening to the team. Sir, just one clarification. Under the scheme, CBG schemes that you mention, the synchronization scheme is the one that benefits CGDs. The clarification here was that would the scheme be supply agnostic in the sense that whether it be an HPHT.
I am sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Lokesh, but we are unable to hear you clearly, sir.
Yeah, is it better now?
Yes, please go ahead.
Yes, yes. Sir, I was saying that in the Synchronization CBG scheme, even the HPHT gas will be available at APM price if it gets blended with CBG?
No, no, it is not like that. It is only this scheme, the synchronization scheme is only for CBG production. It is not for HPHT. HPHT is available to CGD on priority basis if CGD company and other sectors bid for that gas. CGD gets a first priority if the price quoted by the CGD and the other company is similar. It's only priority of allocation during bidding of HPHT gas.
So the blending benefit will be in which source of gas?
APM and CBG. CBG is blended with APM. APM gas is allocated to the overall consumption of APM in the country by CGD entities. And the beneficiary is the CBG producers. And also the CGD entities to the extent in which ever entity is using that CBG. Like if we are taking, say, 20,000 tons, 20,000 kg of CBG in our area, 20,000 kg of APM will be allocated to us over and above our APM allocation, which traditionally happens.
Unbderstood. Understood.
20,000 by 20,000 to the extent APM prices. And this 20,000 will be rationalized over the overall consumption of APM in the whole country.
understood, understood. Thank you so much for the clarity, sir.
Thank you.
you. Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management of Mahanagar Gas Limited for closing comments.
so much to all our shareholders and stakeholders for reposing confidence on the company. And I hope that the same and true and the investment is maintained in the company. Thank you so much for joining for the earnings call today.
On behalf of Systematix Institutional Equities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your line.