Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Q3 and Nine Months of FY 2025 Earnings Conference Call of Page Industries Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touch-tone phone. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Anuj Sonpal from Valorem Advisors. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Sonpal.
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. A very warm welcome to you all. My name is Anuj Sonpal from the Investor Relations team. On behalf of the company, I would like to thank you all for participating in the company's earnings conference call for the third quarter and nine months ended of financial year 2025. Before we begin, a quick cautionary statement. Some of the statements made in today's earnings call may be forward-looking in nature. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those anticipated. Such statements are based on management's beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. Audiences are cautioned not to place any undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any investment decisions.
The purpose of today's earnings call is purely to educate and bring awareness about the company's fundamental business and financial quarter under review. Let me now introduce you to the management participating with us in today's earnings call and hand it over to them for opening remarks. We have with us Mr. V.S. Ganesh, Managing Director. Mr. Deepanjan Bandyopadhyay, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Karthik Yathindra, Chief Executive Officer. Without any further delay, I request Mr. V.S. Ganesh to start with his opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you. Thank you, Anuj. Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon and welcome to the earnings call for the third quarter of FY2025. As Anuj said, I'm joined by Deepanjan, our CFO, with us today. Additionally, I extend a warm welcome to Mr. Karthik and congratulate him on his promotion to CEO designate. I'm pleased to inform you that Karthik will assume the role of CEO effective April 1st. Before delving into the detailed financials for the quarter, I will provide an overview of our Q3 performance. In Q3, the operating environment faced challenges due to subdued demand conditions. Although early Q3 facilitated resurgence in growth, this momentum did not persist in the subsequent months. Despite all these obstacles, we achieved satisfactory revenue growth through strategic management of operating expenses and targeted investments in personnel, technology and processes aligned with our strategic objectives.
Our modern retail, including exclusive brand stores and e-commerce, exhibited impressive growth, significantly enhancing consumer reach and experience. Our premium innovation category gained strong consumer acceptance of our enhanced products and improved fits. Similarly, our Move range and athleisure demonstrated a very encouraging growth supported by effective market penetration. Our unwavering focus on optimizing operating expenses and maintaining a good health as far as inventory is concerned contributed to robust profitability and profit growth. For Q3, we recorded a 7.1% increase in revenue and an impressive 34.3% growth in profit after tax. For the nine months ended December 31, 2024, we achieved a 7.3% increase in revenue and a 22.6% growth in profit after tax. We have continued to expand our consumer reach by increasing our retail touchpoints. As of the end of December, our network comprises of over 110,000 MBOs, 1,400 plus EBOs, and 1,212 LFS outlets.
Our strategic focus includes both metropolitan areas and Tier 2 cities. The e-commerce channel continues to experience significant growth compared to the previous year. I look forward to further engaging with you along with my team. Before that, I request Mr. Deepanjan to provide an in-depth review of the quarter specifics, and they'd be more than happy to address any of the queries that you may have. Thank you.
Thank you, V.G. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to today's earnings call. I hope you're all keeping well. I'm pleased to share the results of Q3 FY25 and for the nine months ended 31st December 2024. To take you through the key financial highlights for Q3, we recorded sales volume of 57.8 million pieces, which was a growth of 4.7% year-on-year. Revenue in Q3 was INR 13,131 million, which was a growth of 7.7% YOY. EBITDA for the period was INR 3,025 million, which was a growth of 33.8% YOY. EBITDA margin was 23%. Stability in raw material costs, sustained high gross margin efficiency, and controlled operating costs have contributed to strong EBITDA margins. Profit after tax was INR 2,047 million, which was a growth of 34.3% year-on-year. Inventory days were 59, as against 93 days at the end of FY24.
Focus on healthier inventory in distribution network has resulted in maintaining optimum inventory level. Working capital days were 65 days against 75 days in the end of FY24. We continue to be debt-free. For the nine months ended 31st December 2024, sales volume was 170.4 million pieces, which was a growth of 4.6%. Revenue was INR 38,368 million, resulting in a growth of 7.3%. EBITDA was INR 8,273 million, which was a growth of 19%, and EBITDA margin was 21.3%. PAT was INR 5,661 million, which was a growth of 22.6% year-on-year. To summarize our financial performance in quarter three, we have continued to build on consumer reach through diverse channels while investing in latest technology and digitization. While subdued consumption has constrained volume growth, we are well poised to capitalize on the improvement in demand situation. We can now discuss any queries that you may have.
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone phone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. Our first question comes from the line of Avi Mehta from Macquarie. Please go ahead.
Hi. Am I audible?
Yes.
Yes.
Hi. Thanks. Sir, our first question was on the EBITDA margin. Congratulations on the third quarter performance. If I look at the run-up or how EBITDA margin is planned out, it seems to be a lot more on cost control. And given that is the case, do you think there is an upside to the 91% EBITDA margin range that we were looking at for FY2025, given that most of the IT spends also have started to pan out? So we'd love to understand.
Can you repeat the question slightly, Marshal?
Sorry. The line is not that clear.
Sorry. My question was on FY2025 EBITDA margins, given that three Q has seen a much healthier performance and the drivers of it are a lot more cost-control-driven and not one-off. Is there an upside risk to that 19%-21% range that you had shared with us in the last quarter?
No. I think while we have got good margins, which is, I think, beyond the 19%-21% range that we typically target for, I would say that is more a unique phenomenon in the last two quarters. But for the FY20225 as a whole, we are quite confident to still be within this 19%-21%.
Okay, sir. So why would you say that, sir? Because most of the spends also have you said you had a higher?
You've seen some of that in existence.
Yes. Sorry. I was just trying to understand, sir, why are we concerned about margins moderating from this 23% level, given that what could be the cost or spend which we are expecting to be on?
Yes. So there are several things. One is definitely the IT cost, which has just started coming in, which is part of our digitalization efforts. We have just started a business process reengineering study, which is kind of playing out now. So we will definitely see a higher elevated cost as far as IT is concerned in the coming up quarter. There are also some other expenses planned on the marketing and other areas, which is why we feel that while we'll still be within the 19%-21% range, it may not be as high as 20%-23% as we have seen in Q3.
Got it, sir. And sir, the second question was on the sales side. Nine months sales growth is at 7%. With the tax reduction in the budget, how long do you think it would take for us to move back to that 15% level that we have seen in normalized business?
I think there are two separate aspects. While tax reductions for the income up to 12 lakhs is definitely a very welcome step in the budget, our target consumer group is slightly different than this particular segment where the tax reductions have happened. While in general, this tax reduction is expected to create certain buoyancy in the market in terms of higher valued shares of the consumers. But how exactly will it affect the demand pattern? That is, we have to see how it evolves.
Okay, sir. Okay. That's all from my side. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question comes from Videesha Sheth from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.
Hi. I hope I'm audible. Hello.
Yes.
Yes. All right. Yeah. So my first question was on the growth bit. If you can just help us understand the 7% growth profile better, which segment led the growth in terms of innovate versus acquisition? And in tandem to that, what drove the lower realization improvement of 2%?
Depending on the growth, I think all categories showed growth. I can't see any category coming under pressure, though the growth has been muted. One of the trends I can say, which we are able to see, is that the premium product ranges in all of our categories have done comparatively better.
Understood. And would it be fair to say that given that we're one month into the quarter, largely the tepid growth trends would have sustained?
Early days. We're not commenting on the current quarter.
It's early days to project that.
Understood. All right. And the second question was, if you could just touch upon the channel level inventory bit, what is the situation now? And would it be fair to assume that secondary sales growth would be mirroring primary?
Yeah. I think from the beginning of the year to now, we've seen about five days reduction in inventory across the channel, where we are today holding about 17.7, almost 18 million pieces of inventory as far as the channel is concerned. Some of our large contributing businesses, such as innerwear, I think our inventory levels are already at the optimum level. What we had initiated with the ARS process, we've come to that kind of optimum level of inventory. There is still scope for us to bring down inventory in the athleisure space, as well as, let's say, businesses like Juniors. But these in volume are smaller contributors to our overall business. So largely, we are there in terms of what we had set out to reach in terms of inventory levels in the channel.
Thank you. I don't have the question.
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Devanshu Bansal from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.
Yes, sir. Hi. Thanks for the opportunity and congratulations on a good margin execution. Sir, among regions, a few players have indicated muted trends in the southern region, while the rest of the regions are doing better. So is there a growth difference across regions for you as well? So if you can comment on this, please.
Not really. I mean, there is obviously a difference between regions' performance, but we have not seen South particularly perform lower than the rest of the country. There is always going to be a top-performing region and a bottom-performing region in terms of relativity, but the gap in performance is not significant.
Understood. And from previous participant questions, I also wanted to understand the reason for drop in realization growth. In Q2, it was about 4%, and in Q3, it is about 2%, despite Q3 being a winter quarter for us, right? So is it that target-based trade incentives, etc., sort of have affected the realization, and it should normalize in the coming quarters?
No. I think realizations differentiate largely because of the category mix, which varies from quarter to quarter. As such, our schemes of promotion that we have, it's well within our plan, so there is no significant variation there. Whatever variation we see in the realization, that's more because of the category mixes.
Understood. And related question, we have not judged cycles for a significant amount of time. So do you foresee this happening sometime in FY2026?
Too early to answer this question. So definitely, this year, we have not taken any price increase , and even in the next quarter, it's unlikely. But for FY2026, we are just in the midst of the budgeting session. So once we have kind of finalized the budget, then we'll be in a better position to address this question.
Understood, sir. Thanks for taking my questions.
Yeah. So just to add to what Deepanjan said, and in fact, one of the first questions, which was also asked by Mr. Avi Mehta also, Devanshu, I think as Deepanjan rightly said, it is early days. We are just preparing the budget. However, the current EBITDA levels give us comfort to be at the 19%-21% EBITDA range as we move forward. That is our comfort zone. So we want to be somewhere there. And therefore, even if we have to touch prices, this would not put much pressure on us to have a very strong pricing prevention. But we will have clarity about this after we do our budget.
Thank you, sir. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question comes from Gaurav Jogani from JM Financial. Please go ahead.
Thank you for taking my question, sir. So my question is, again, with regards to the margins. Now, if you look at the cost breakup here, the employee cost has hardly moved. On the nine-month basis, also, it's up only 1% YOY. And the gross margins, if you look at it, it's not very high versus the historical level. So your guidance for the 19%-21%, is it also for the coming years or only this is for this year? And if it's also for the following years, what expense line item you really feel that you would keep pressure on the margins?
Okay. So when we say about 19%-21%, more specifically, it is for the next upcoming quarter, which we are quite sure, quite confident that we'll be able to maintain the range within 19%-21%. And also, if I look at FY2025 as a whole, given the performance till now and the expectations for Q4, we are quite sure we'll be in that range. For the upcoming year, I think there are several factors at play. Definitely, the question whether we have to touch prices, that is one factor, which, as we said, we'll evaluate further. We'll have more clarity once we complete the budgeting exercise. The other factors we definitely will have a play is the usual increase in manpower costs that will come in. And as we said, we have gone into significant digitization initiatives, which will come into full play from next year onwards.
Combination of all these factors can impact the EBITDA margins marginally. We don't expect a major change happening there. So with all our planning and with all our expected operations, we still feel it should be still within this 19%-21%. But yes, quarterly, there can be some variations, but largely it should be within that range.
So just one clarification here. At least on the gross margin fronts, you are quite comfortable, right? Given there is no inflation in the cotton prices, and you are in such a comfortable position that you also need not tinker with the pricing. So one can comfortably assume that at least the margin level, gross levels can persist at the current levels?
Yes. The way things are, I think we are not expecting any major upward movement in raw material prices, and our production cost is quite well within our planned levels. So we don't expect any significant change in our gross margin levels for sure.
The last and second question is with regards to the overall volume value growth graph. Now, if we look at it, largely, we believe that the entire pace of innerwear is now stabilizing. So what really, which segment do you really see the pain that is keeping the overall revenue growth below 10%? And possibly, what could lead this growth to a double-digit growth or the 13%-14% growth that we were envisaging earlier or that used to be an earlier guidance?
Yeah. The overall performance as far as the top line is concerned is a reflection of consumer uptake. There, we've not seen a significant difference between the various categories that we are operating with or with any kind of a regional bias towards any particular part of the country. It is a function of how our consumer uptake improves across channels.
Right now, this year, also, there was a little bit of an impact of higher inventory level at the channel, which we've come to a fairly good position by the end of Q3. So what has kept us from delivering beyond what we have delivered is largely attributable to how consumers have responded and, to an extent, attributable to the inventory levels that we were holding. But the inventory levels are now in a much better shape than when we started off the year. So going forward, what will it take for us to deliver higher growth rates will be a near reflection of consumer uptake.
So just one clarification here. This is having to do with the competitive intensity, right? We would assume that the competitive intensity is normal and nothing untoward.
We've not seen evidence of loss of shelf share in the general trade market, which is a significant portion of our business, and the rest of the business that we operate with are anyway exclusive stores, which is, in a way, isolated from competition, so I wouldn't attribute much to competition. Of course, we've also not seen the results of other players within the industry. We are among the first ones to publish our results for the quarter, so that is something that we will have our eyes on, but from the ground, we've not seen anything much effect from competition.
And so just lastly, if I can switch one more, is on the e-commerce growth. You have been consistently highlighting that the e-commerce channel continues to grow at a very good pace. So would it be fair to assume that the distribution of the DT channel in that sense would be growing in low single digits? Would that be a fair assumption?
Yeah, that's a fair assumption. I think the highest growing channel for us has been e-commerce, followed by modern retail and then general trade.
Sure, sir. Thank you for taking my question. That's all.
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Sameer Gupta from IIFL Securities. Please go ahead.
Hi, sir. Good evening, and thanks for taking my question. Firstly, I noticed that the volume growth has moderated this quarter, and I would assume that the overall consumer dynamics in terms of subduedness, that has remained constant. So just trying to understand the reason for this moderation, is it just a festive mismatch? So we should look at 2Q plus 3Q together to gauge the current volume growth trajectory for the business. Is that a correct understanding?
Sameer, thanks for the question. But if you look at it from a YTD point of view, three quarters put together and the performance for quarter three, it's consistent, both in volume as well as value growth. Again, like I said, our quarter two was better than quarter one, mainly because inventory has gotten better. Because what we are reporting here are primary numbers, which is a function of the inventory holding in the channel as well. With replenishment now acting in full swing, you would see variations quarter after quarter based on the inventory levels held by the channel partners. But otherwise, if you see it either for Q3 or for YTD Q3, both volume and value performance has been exactly the same, and change in maybe the second decimal. That's about it.
So basically, the 5% volume growth this quarter is a better indicator of overall secondary growth in terms of volumes?
Yeah. Also, quarter three is a quarter with festive, unlike quarter two. So that's also a little bit of a traction that we've seen. But I wouldn't attribute too much of it to revival because the delta is not significant between YTD and now.
Got it. Got it. Secondly, sir, there is a change in the management structure now with Mr. Karthik as the CEO. Just wondering if there is any change in the way the organization functions from here on. Can you just elaborate a little bit on the thinking behind this change in the structure?
Karthik has been with us for close to a decade, has been heading various functions, right from product management to product development, marketing, supply chain management. And he has been very much part of the core management team. And as a culture, as an organization, we take consensus decisions. So he has been in the thick of all the activities of the organization. And therefore, it's a natural growth for him, which he well deserves. And as far as the delegation of authority is concerned, yes, we are effective 1st April. Karthik is the new CEO. So obviously, he will have the authority along with the responsibility which was given to him. But he's been guided by all of us. There is no other change in the senior management. And we guide each other, and we discuss each other, and work very closely together.
As an organization, we have very, very ambitious plans to transform the organization, improve the technology, improve the operational efficiency. And this has been going on for some time. In fact, the results which you are seeing today is the result of all those works which we have been putting in. And Karthik has been an integral part of those decisions, execution, all of those aspects of the business.
Just to follow up on this, sir, I believe the senior management, the whole team is a little relatively new in this role. I just hope or want a clear commentary that the structure is going to be stable for a decent time in the future.
Yeah, I'd like to differ. All of us have been at the senior level have been here for a long time. Karthik, as I told you, has been with us for more than a decade. I have been there for more than a decade. Deepanjan has also crossed a decade. So we have been with the organization for a long time. In fact, we pride that we have a very stable leadership team. So I don't think that is something which we need to worry about. And as a growing company blessed with a very, very strong talent pipeline, there can be growth opportunities to many of our associates as the brand grows, as the company grows.
Got it, sir. That's very, very helpful. One last question, if I may just squeeze in. It's more of a bookkeeping one. I noticed that there is a large gross margin expansion this quarter. And other expenses are also flattish. And you said that raw material prices are mostly stable. And there is an ASP moderation. So just trying to connect the dots as to what is really happening.
Nothing really compared year to year. Definitely, the gross margin has expanded. The reason, as we said, is two. One, definitely, the raw material prices have remained stable. In fact, on a year-to-year basis, raw material prices have slightly improved over the last year. The efficiency of receiving efficiency has significantly increased. And that increase in efficiency is also reflecting at the lower labor cost in our product cost components. These two factors largely taken together is what is resulting in a higher gross margin.
So when you say RM prices improved, you mean they've decreased by a way?
Yes.
Okay. Got it.
Marginal.
Got it, sir. That's all from me. I'll come back in the queue for follow-ups. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question comes from Sabyasachi Mukherjee from Bajaj Finserv Asset Management. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Hi. Thanks for the opportunity. First question on the volume growth moderation in quarter three. So just wanted to understand the secondary and tertiary level trends. Are we seeing moderation in those levels as well? If you could explain a bit.
Sabyasachi Mukerji, thank you. As far as quarter three is concerned, our tertiary growth rates have been better than primary as far as our EBO stores are concerned, and general trade as well, our secondary numbers are slightly better than what we are reporting as primary numbers in terms of growth rates. However, with general trade, like I had said earlier, large portions of our business which contribute to volume have now stabilized in terms of inventory level. We are at an optimum level of inventory at the channel partner, so going forward, it will be a mere reflection of how our secondaries perform, but for quarter three in specific, yeah, our secondaries as well as tertiaries have been slightly better than what's being reported as primary results.
So when you say better, is it on the absolute number of pieces, or is it the growth rate you are referring to?
Both. Both. Because there has been inventory which has come down. Inventory holding at the partner level has come down. And hence, both when you compare primary with secondary, secondary volume has been slightly better. Even from a growth rate point of view, the growth rates have been better than primary growth rates.
Got it. My second question is, again, on the demand environment, any sense? I mean, what are you reading from the on-ground feedback, probably from the distributor or retailer levels that probably when will it recover? Any sense? Any things you are reading on that?
Sabyasachi, in terms of when it will recover, reading from the retailers is going to be a crystal ball gazing exercise. What we can look at is, has there been month-on-month improvements in our like-for-like growth for the EBO business, which contributes close to 30% of our business, so representative of the business that we handle. There is no great improvement in like-for-like growth rates when you track it month-on-month. So retail and consumer demand has remained subdued. We did see, like the managing director mentioned in his address, we did see some level of uptake during the initial portion of the quarter, largely attributed to the festive. However, November and December have remained subdued.
Got it. And also, if you can highlight the demand trends across, let's say, tier one, two, three, is there any large difference or gap where probably tier two, three is doing better or metro tier one is a little slower? Any color on that?
Yes, so definitely, the tier, I mean, as we go deeper in the country, the growth rate seems better. Again, these are not like-to-like. It's also because of inorganic expansion in these areas. But all put together between metro, we break up our business into metro as one, tier one and two as another, and tier three and four as the third. And as we go deeper, the growth rates are better. Again, the difference is about a couple of percentage points as we go deeper in each of these tiers.
Like-to-like, you are saying? I mean.
Not like-to-like. It's at an overall level. Because tier three and four also gives us the opportunity where we've experienced some level of inorganic growth for the expansion.
Got it. Okay. Thank you. That's all from my side. Yeah. All the rest.
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Arpit Tapadia from IGE Family Office. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Hi. Thank you for the opportunity. I guess in continuation with the earlier participant's question, how do you see growth to be panning out in, let's say, medium to long term from here?
Sorry. Can you repeat the question?
Yeah. Could you please repeat your question?
Yeah, so I just wanted to ask, how do you expect the growth rate to be panning out in medium to long term from here?
So that's a tough one to answer, Arpit. Like we are all seeing from the budget which has been published, we are hoping consumerism improves. There is some level of uptake in terms of disposable incomes, and hence retail picks up. But it's very hard for us to put a number on it and say what is the growth rate we are expecting. What I can definitely say is that in terms of preparedness to meet revival in retail, I think we are there. Any kind of revival in consumer uptake, with everything that we have put in in terms of optimum inventory holding, the right inventory at the right place, availability of inventory, or the tech to capture that, we are preparing ourselves for that. So as and when we see some level of uptake in consumer uptake, I'm sure it will translate to better business for us.
But it's going to be hard for us to put a number on it.
Got it. And what has been the impact of ARS, what we have implemented into our channels?
By impact, what do you mean? I mean, our inventory levels for the distributor have been optimized by about five working days. So that's much more working capital freed up. Today, close to 93% of our overall business is on ARS, which has been a significant improvement from where we started. And month-on-month, we've seen more portion of our business come under the ARS scope. So almost 84% of our distributors who contribute to 92% of our business are now under ARS. And everywhere that we've come into ARS, we've seen better optimization of inventory levels for the distributor, better availability, which is showing in better order fulfillment at the secondary level.
Got it. And do you expect it to further optimize from here, or this is the optimum what you expect?
So like I mentioned, I think for larger volume businesses like our innerwear businesses, I think we've reached a fairly optimum level. There is this scope for us to improve and optimize further when it comes to our athleisure business, juniors business, socks business. These are some areas where there is still scope for us to further optimize.
Got it. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Ravi Naredi from Naredi Investments. Please go ahead.
Yes, sir. I would like to ask, how much capacity expansion ongoing for next three years, or we believe more on job-basis work?
Mr. Ravi, we are now expanding and have, in fact, bought a complete project in Odisha, and it should start with operations by end of March, early April. And we also have a sewing capacity coming up in a place called K.R. Pete, which is near Mysore in Karnataka. So all these expansions are happening based on our long-term growth plans and by keeping in mind that the outsourcing to in-house balance is around 65-35, give or take 2%-3%. So that is what we always work on. So that two-thirds is produced in-house, one-third is outsourced. And that balance will continue. So it will always be in-house capacity augmentation as the business grows and also outsourcing.
Just my question in different ways. How much capacity expansion will we do in next three years?
Yeah. So these two factories are around 2,000 sewing machines. And with that, I think our requirement for the next three years will be met with these two factories. In fact, Odisha has the ability and opportunity to work in two shifts also. So our idea with these expansions, we should be able to manage our requirements for the next three years.
Next three years. Okay. Thank you very much.
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Avi Mehta from Macquarie. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity again. So first, I wanted to understand if you could give us a sense on the incentives likely from the Odisha plant, if that is now that clarity is available.
Avi, can you repeat the question, please?
So any state-level incentives or incentives that are likely to accrue because of the Odisha plant once that comes to commissioning? Is that something that we should expect?
Yes. There are several subsidies which are planned from Odisha plant. One major part is definitely the state subsidy on account of wages. So there are significant wages subsidies for employees on roll for the next five to six years. That is definitely a big contributor. And apart from that, there are subsidies in power, in water usage, even local GST. So there are several subsidies in pipeline. Even to some extent, CAPEX subsidy, it's also there. So once the manufacturing starts, then we'll be eligible for all the subsidies.
And sir, any quantification here is what I was looking for, that how should we see it flowing through? One is operational, which I understand, but other is also CAPEX incentives. So any quantification of what is the likely number that can come in?
No. We are still in the process of actually estimating it because, as we said, the operations in Odisha will start scaling up in phases. So in the initial few months, four to five months, the scale of operations is quite restricted. So our scale of subsidies will also be similarly following the scaled-up operations. So we are in the process of estimating the exact quantum. Financially awaits.
Got it. And just another bit, I wanted to just check bookkeeping. What is the secondary sales growth in the quarter? If you could give us some, what is the number like?
I'm giving away the number, Mr. Mehta. Let me just say there has been a slight improvement in the secondary growth when compared to the primary that we have reported.
Okay. So exactly. I was just trying to get that it's 7% primary. Is it like 10%-12% secondary? But I get what you're trying to allude to. And.
Yes. Please go ahead.
No. So, Karthik, my question was then that if I were to understand your comments to the earlier participants, what you were alluding to is for you to move from the current level of secondary upwards, you need a market pickup, or is there any other levers that we have which we could apply? This is both to you, Karthik, and you, if you could kind of give us some color.
Yeah. See, there are two ways in which growth would come in here. The organic growth will have to rely to an extent on market picking up and consumer uptake improving. And then there is the expansion, which is purely increase in number of doors in which we're going to be present. These are the two pieces that will contribute to the overall growth. And yes, there is also some level of opportunity where we introduce more number of products first that are already available, right? So what I was, in a way, referring to was the large portion of the growth which needs to see some level of uptake will have to come from the organic growth, which is heavily dependent on consumer uptake.
Our expansion plans are in line with what's always been there, how aggressive we've been over the last four to five years, whether it is with exclusive brand stores or with multi-brand stores expansions, so I don't think there's any foot off the gas over there. We continue to expand at the rate we've been expanding.
Got it. Got it. Very clear. Thank you very much. Thanks for this. That's all from us.
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Bharat Shah from ASK Investment Managers Limited. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Hi. First thing first, many times over several periods, we have mentioned that we have very ambitious plans for the future in terms of the growth. And Mr. Genomal also many times has laid out his vision of likely business in the future, the level. But whenever we discuss the quarterly outcomes in the business, we typically ascribe it all to the consumer sentiment and general environment. If everything is going to depend upon just the sentiment or belief of the customers, then how are we seeking to achieve the so-called ambitious plans and the projects? You also mentioned that internally, you are well-prepared, technology, people investment, brand portfolio, production assets, distribution channels, all are in place. Then the picture one gets is that of a kind of helplessness to the externality rather than having a number or a target in mind which needs to be driven to.
Yeah. So Mr. Shah, thanks for asking that question. If you see our growth over the last five years, it has been decent. Of course, despite even the pandemic and all those restrictions, if you see the last few quarters, everybody has been struggling. And in fact, I think even the government was seized of that matter, and that's why they also done what best they could do to improve consumption. So what we should note is we have done better than our peers. And that shows the strength of the brand and the acceptance of our products with our consumers. And that definitely is what gives us hope for the future because we continue to be the preferred brand.
And if you see the pace at which, if you look at medium term or leave it on long term, the speed at which the economy is likely to grow and the accelerated growth of the middle income and the way urbanization is happening and the way retail is getting organized more and more, especially the efficiencies and scale, the e-com side of the business is building over the years, all this very well for us. And we are very happy that we have been able to actually see how many brands can command a good bottom line without touching the prices for three years running. That shows the resilience and the capability the organization has. And these aspects definitely give us the courage and confidence that the future looks good.
So to put it in a nutshell, we are in the right place at the right time, the right country, the fastest growing economy, and powered by a dominant brand which has great products, good price, good talent, and an amazing partner network. And we.
All of that will really mature outcomes period after period. If the externals are favorable, internals are well aligned, then why are the outcomes we are so cautious about outlining?
So Mr. Shah, what I was trying to tell you is, yes, the externals have huge pressure, and we have done better than what the markets have done. If you see some of the other very iconic FMCG brands also, the pressure they are going through, we are no exception. But the good thing is we have done much better.
No, but last year also, when the economy did well, everything was in a far higher growth mode. We still have our revenues declined compared to the previous year. FY20 24 revenues declined by 4% compared to FY20 23. And generally, this is a very basic and primary article of consumption. It is not as if anyone is saying it is underprioritized category. We are in affordable premium products with a great brand and all of that. Then one gets almost a sense of helplessness about our destiny. Pardon my saying, but that's the picture I get when I hear on the call period after period.
Sir, that is definitely not the sentiment which we have. If you really look at it, we are very, very optimistic, and that's why we continue to stay invested, and we are making some very aggressive investments to modernize, embrace the best of the technology, and continue to be a market leader and dominate the market, and in fact, we have been taking all the initiatives which are necessary, and we have not taken any shortcuts because we want to build and run a marathon rather than looking at an immediate quarter or two. For us, we look at the quarter as 25 years from three months, and therefore, we have not taken short-term measures to buy sales through promotions or discounts or abnormally high schemes. We have stayed focused, built a brand, made our foundation stronger, and we are very, very optimistic and pretty happy.
In fact, for us as an industry, when I look at the peers also, last year was much tougher than this year. This year, at least, everybody is showing recovery. We are also recovering. But it is not at the level at which we would like the market to be at, but at least it is turning around. Last year was very tough for all of us.
One last bit on this. In terms of margins, over 14, 15 years that I've tracked this business of Page, I've generally seen that we have kind of a range of margin in mind, and we want to remain within that band, which means even if margins in a particular period can go up beyond that range due to operating leverage, due to some other cost synergy or benefits that we may derive, we still would prefer margins to remain in that band rather than go up. Is that still the settled thinking of the organization? And therefore, we prefer to remain within 19%-21% margin band? And I'm not talking of quarter or quarter. I'm talking in general for a year and longer duration. Are we kind of reluctant for our margins to expand if they are otherwise in a fortuitous position to go up?
We are definitely not reluctant, but we are comfortable at that range so that we can actually improve our gross margin by augmenting better top line and make sure that we continue to be an affordable premium brand, an aspirational brand which gives quality product but still affordable premium, and we don't end up outpricing ourselves.
But if the margins remain below the percentage...
What we actually got, Mr. Shah. In that, for three years, we were able to maintain our margins, more or less maintain our margins without touching the price. And that means we have been passing on the best value to our consumers. In fact, we have been upgrading our product without touching prices and making sure that we dominate the market. And actually, this is one of the biggest barriers which the competition may face because of this particular strategy of ours.
Which means basically we'll prefer margins to remain in our targeted range.
Mr. Shah, may we request you return to the question queue for follow-up?
I'm just finishing that question only, and I'll end it. So we'll prefer our margins to remain in a targeted range, strategically speaking.
We are comfortable in that range. Historically, we have been comfortable. We were able to balance growth and expand rapidly and also reinvest in the business and take care of investors with those kind of margin levels, and we'll continue to review and revisit that stuff, but as of now, we are very comfortable in our 19%-21% range.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you. Participants, in order to ensure that the management is able to address questions from all the participants in the conference, please restrict your questions to two per participant. If you have any follow-up questions, please rejoin the queue. The next question comes from the line of Prerna Jhunjhunwala from Elara Capital. Please go ahead.
Thank you for the opportunity, sir. Just wanted to understand, in this kind of gross margin and high EBITDA margin scenario, how are you investing into various categories for growth, men, women, athleisure? And could you give some color on what challenges you are seeing apart from subdued demand in getting higher growth rates?
Karthik, you want to take that?
Yeah. In terms of investments for each category, I think there's a lot of organizational investments that are happening, which is going to benefit all the product categories that we are operating in today, and a large portion of this is going into tech. We need to understand that we are revising our ERP system, which is about a decade and a half old, which comes in with a lot of work, a lot of investment to keep us ready for the next decade. We are revamping the entire distribution management system that our distribution network works on today, which is, again, a massive project, not something that comes by very often. Again, we are looking at projects which will hold us in good stead for a good next eight to 10 years.
There is a lot of work happening on the product side in terms of PLM and other technology coming in. So these are fundamental investments that are happening at an enterprise level just to up our infrastructure, which will help the entire organization as a whole, right? Right from our entire supply chain system in terms of better availability, which is the ERP piece, the DMS, which will make it a lot more intuitive and informative for our sales team on the ground to sell better, or our PLM, which is going to help us improve our product range. So the last portion of the investment that's going back into the organization, which both Deepanjan and Ganesh spoke about, is at the fundamental infrastructure level. Now, specifically for categories, again, there is no disparity in approach. We do have better consumer penetration levels across categories.
Of course, our men's innerwear is a lot more penetrated when compared to women's innerwear or outerwear. But the approach for infusing refreshments within the product portfolio has been consistent across categories. All efforts are being taken to make sure that the products that we are offering are the best that it can be. Every single style undergoes a very detailed eye of evaluating whether it is the best it could be in terms of material, in terms of fit, or in terms of aesthetics twice a year. So that process continues for all of our product portfolios. So that's a constant effort which goes in. As we stand today, we believe that the headroom might be higher for the women's portfolio purely from the numbers that we see in terms of our penetration in the market.
Hence, some level of disproportionate investments in terms of product, in terms of marketing, in terms of content will be going towards that area.
How is the athleisure category doing and the investments over there?
Yes. So the athleisure category is actually seeing decent revival. It was a bad year for athleisure last year, considering we were coming back from the huge momentum that the category got immediately after the pandemic. There was some level of correction that had happened over 2024. This year, athleisure is trending better than how it did last year. So in terms of performance of the category, yeah, it's been promising. In terms of investment as far as product is concerned, like I said, I think the same might be that we go after every category. You'll see something similar in athleisure as well.
Okay. My second question is on the category-wise performance. I know you don't share that, but can we see athleisure, women's wear categories performing much better going forward due to these kind of investments that you are doing? And also about penetration levels, how your penetration levels have improved over the last one decade? You have been talking about 5% penetration in the women's category. And how is it today?
Yeah. So today, women's innerwear as a category is between 6%-8%. In specific for bras, we believe our share is about 6%, whereas in the panties business, we are higher at about 8%, which has gradually improved over the years. I do remember when we were quoting 5% as the number. Today, this is where we stand. However, when I compare it to men's innerwear, it's a lot more dominant, trending between 18%-20% as our penetration levels. So still a long way to go as far as the women's innerwear business is concerned. There is headroom. Athleisure for us is about 6%, but again, it's a much larger market and also a lot more number of players in that market, right? Because it's very difficult to clearly demarcate between athleisure alone and the rest of the casual wear that's out there.
Denims, casual shirts, all of these fall under the outerwear business, of which athleisure is a portion. And there is usually a good transition between one and the other in terms of market size. So it's very difficult to put a specific opportunity only for athleisure. What we know is that that space is ballooning, and hence it gives us a lot of opportunity to do better.
Thank you and all the best. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Rahul Agarwal from Ikigai Asset Management. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Hi, sir. Good evening. Thank you for the opportunity. So a couple of questions. Firstly, if I have to really look at 2030 from here and break down Page Industries into three categories mainly from a product perspective, right? I mean, one category would be the matured category that has the highest revenue salience, followed up with growth categories where you see maximum growth. And third is the evolving emerging categories where you think the base is very small, but they're growing obviously fastest in the overall scheme of things. If I take a next five-year view, what would be these categories in terms of your own opinion and internal analysis? And given the revenue salience change, which we should expect over the next five years, does this change the EBITDA margin profile of the company five years out? That's my first question. Thank you.
Rahul, thank you for the question. See, even though I understand where you're coming from, I mean, internally, when we look at it, we probably seem like we are a lot more mature in the men's innerwear business when compared to the rest. But even in the men's innerwear business, what we define as our addressable market, we are only about 18%-19% there, which means even in a category where a large portion of our business is contributed from, we see a big headroom to grow, right? And this addressable market has been defined in a very, very tight manner. And hence, we truly believe there is no leakage there possible, which means all of that audience that we define as addressable market are truly addressable by Jockey, the brand, right? So even there, we are at about 18% giving us a very, very high level of headroom.
And it makes it even more promising for the rest of the category, whether it's women's innerwear, athleisure, juniors, all of them where it is currently at a single-digit penetration against a tightly defined addressable market. So especially with a long-term horizon, right? 2030, you mentioned, we should be going after each of these categories with the same kind of intent and momentum to grow and not confine in saying one is mature over the other. And hence, we will look at it differently. Keeping that view, the way we structure the organization is also at a category level. So today, whether it is the sales team that is going after the revenue or whether it's the product team or our marketing team, they operate like companies within a company. So men's innerwear is a separate organization within the company. Women's innerwear is a separate organization.
Outerwear is a separate organization. Juniors and accessories put together is a separate organization. They all operate internally with independent P&Ls, with investments going into each one of them, and dedicated resources for all the functions for that particular category. That is truly because we believe there is a huge headroom from a long-term point of view in all the categories.
Right. So in terms of growth rate, if I have to differentiate next five years, should I have a differentiation, or you think broadly each category? Obviously, the smaller categories grow faster percentage-wise. But just from a revenue salience perspective, what do you think will dominate the business five years out?
No, we don't think the outlook will be very different because all these categories provide a promising future in terms of what we can garner from the market, right? And because there are dedicated resources and investments for each of these categories, all of them should go at a good pace. Of course, the lesser-penetrated ones will have some level of inorganic advantage when compared to men's innerwear. But the way we look at it, men's innerwear will probably open up new doors, which will become possible inorganic expansion opportunities for the other categories in the future. So we'll have to go all out in all the categories that we have. And in terms of EBITDA, our difference in categories is very, very low in terms of profitability.
Yes, there are some portions of our business which are more profitable than the other, but those would be in decimals, maximum up to 1 percentage point. So irrespective of what growth rates we deliver from which portions of the category, I don't see a big change in EBITDA because of the category mix.
Got it, sir. And secondly, I had a question on the capital expenditure. You mentioned Odisha plant coming up in the Mysore sewing facility. Just wanted to know what was the overall CapEx on both these facilities separately and incremental sales they can support or the output if we have to quantify?
I think for the Odisha plant, we have an outlay of around INR 254 crores, which is infrastructure, land, buildings, those kind of things. And another INR 60-70 crores is more towards machinery and service. That's broadly the outlay for Odisha. We are more or less closer to finishing the project, and hence more or less the interest spend is likely to happen within March. For K.R. Pete expansion, I think the outlay has been around INR 30 crores, which is again more for the expansion, more for the infrastructure. There is a slight delay in the projects, so it will fade out in next year. But yes, that's the range that we are thinking of.
Fiscal 2026, the tax number is 83?
Sorry?
Fiscal 26, any CAPEX budget would you like to share, please?
Not right now. As we said that, yes, the budgeting is in progress. So once that's reached a conclusion, then we'll be able to share that number.
All right. Thank you so much and all the best.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll take that as a last question for today. I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
So thanks again. Thanks for everybody to participate. It was a really interesting session and a lot of insightful questions. We'll definitely look forward to further interactions. Thanks for participating again.
Thank you. On behalf of Page Industries Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect.