United Spirits Limited (NSE:UNITDSPR)
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Apr 28, 2026, 3:30 PM IST
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Q4 19/20

Jun 1, 2020

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the FY20 Annual Investor Presentation and Earnings Call of United Spirits Limited. We have with us today Anand Kripalu, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer; Sanjeev Churiwala, Executive Director and Chief Financial Officer, United Spirits Limited. As a reminder, participants' lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Please note, for participants joining via audio webcast, if you wish to ask questions, you are requested to dial the audio conference number once the presentation concludes. The dial-in details will again be shared with you at the end of the presentation. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star, then signal on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Anand Kripalu. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Thank you very much, and very good morning, everyone, and a very warm welcome to this virtual session. I'm Anand Kripalu, Managing Director and CEO of United Spirits Limited, and I am joined by my colleague, Sanjeev Churiwala, the CFO and Executive Director of United Spirits Limited. What we are going to cover today is first a quick recap of the FY20 performance. Sanjeev will walk you through the financial performance first. Thereafter, I'll give you a brief update on the progress that we have made against our medium-term strategy in FY20. And then finally, I'll talk about what I know is of most interest to many of you at this point. So with that, over to Sanjeev.

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

Thank you, Anand, and good morning to all of you. I'm Sanjeev Churiwala, Executive Director and CFO of United Spirits Limited. Let me, in the next 15 minutes or so, cover the full year performance for you. FY20 witnessed a macroeconomic slowdown with the GDP growth falling to a multi-year low. We witnessed a broad-based consumption slowdown, and as you can see from the quarterly trend, the quarterly GDP growth kept deteriorating sequentially with every progressive quarter. The outbreak of COVID-19 and the consequent lockdown have put serious stress on an already fragile economy, and the social and economic impact of the pandemic is going to be truly unprecedented. Anand will cover this topic in a session in more detail. In the context of that macroeconomic backdrop, let's look at our financial performance in FY20.

Reported sales grew 1.2% year-on-year, while net of bulk stock sales, we saw net sales decline 1.5%. If we look at the first nine months of the financial year, underlying net sales grew 3%, impacted by the consumption slowdown, but COVID-led disruption in the quarter brought it into a negative trajectory for the year. P&A segment was almost flat for the year. Not only was the demand environment subdued, we also saw significant inflation in our key raw material costs, especially ENA. That resulted in a gross margin compression of 408 basis points year-on-year. What we are really pleased about is the cost rationalization effort in our operational cost, which helped us deliver an EBITDA margin improvement of 92 basis points on an underlying basis. Our journey towards debt reduction continued with an interest cost saving of INR 29 crores during the year.

Overall, we delivered a PAT growth of 7% in full year 2020. In subsequent slides, we will get into more details on the P&L lines and balance sheet. Now, looking at the net sales a bit more in detail, dry days resulting from the general election schedule impacted sales growth during the first quarter, while broad-based consumption slowdown rather on our business in the rest of the year. Additionally, during the second quarter, we had a temporary supply chain disruption in our BII and BIO stock portfolio. The year-end lockdowns initially enforced in some states and eventually all over the country to contain the outbreak of coronavirus in India. Underlying net sales declined 1.5% during the year, owing to a volume decline of 2%.

The price mix during the year was 64 basis points, led by lower pricing as a result of part absorption of EDI hike in Maharashtra last year in January 2019. The prestige and above segment net sales remained almost flat for the year, registering a 6% growth in the first nine months, but falling by 16% on the back of COVID-led disruption in the fourth quarter. P&A segment was disproportionately impacted by drying up of social occasions and close of on-premises channel in several states much before the nationwide lockdown brought the business to a complete halt. Popular segment net sales declined 4.1% overall, but priority states held up relatively better with a decline of 1.5% during the year. A little more deep dive on the EBITDA margins.

During the year, driven by significant cost inflation and our decision to partially absorb the EDI hike in Maharashtra, gross margin came in at 44.8%, down 408 basis points year-on-year. To mitigate the impact of gross margin erosion, we accelerated our cost management effort, and as a result of that, our staff costs were down by 18% on a like-for-like basis after adjusting for the restructuring cost of last year. We were also able to bring down other overheads by 15%, a big part of which was linked to delta in provision versus last year, and that can be attributed to our consistent conscious decision to prioritize credit risk over sales. Additionally, we brought down A&P by 17%, although the reinvestment rate, net of bulk stock sales, was maintained at 8.1%, which was very much within our guidance for the year.

Despite significant gross margin erosion, we delivered an underlying EBITDA margin expansion of 92 basis points. I would like to add here that although we have delivered an EBITDA margin expansion consistently over the last few years, the near-term outlook for margin progression remains uncertain and will depend on the post-COVID recovery landscape. For the year, we had delivered a PAT of INR 705 crores, up 7% versus last year, and a PAT margin of 7.8%, up 42 basis points compared to last year. We delivered higher PAT, mainly as a result of higher EBITDA of INR 219 crores and interest cost savings of INR 29 crores. This is in spite of a lower other income by INR 50 crores on account of lower property sale income and a lower interest received from SAS and then higher depreciation, primarily due to Ind AS 116 regrouping impact of roughly INR 64 crores.

Tax was higher due to evaluations of some legacy tax matters, which resulted in a few reversals as well as some provisions. While the benefit of reversals came in exception items, the provision hit the tax line. We continued our focus on cash management. Overall cash generation during the year was INR 1,742 crores, mainly from our core operations, and we were able to use this fund to reduce our debt by INR 492 crores. Unlike the last couple of years, during this year, we saw an increase in working capital. The increase was mainly driven by a decrease in current liabilities resulting from stoppage of business, which was partly offset by an improvement in inventory and trade receivables in spite of halting of the business due to lockdown in March.

On the balance sheet side, as I said, we repaid our debt by INR 492 crores, which is a further reduction of 20%, following a similar reduction over the last two years. The debt at the end of the year stood at INR 2,073 crores. We repaid commercial papers of INR 900 crores and availed bank loans amounting to INR 408 crores during the year. This reduction in debt, together with more favorable interest rates, helped reduce total interest cost by INR 29 crores during the year. We have been consistently reducing our debts over the last few years, and as a result, have a much stronger balance sheet and a solvency position now. This places us in a good spot to capitalize on our financial strength and face the ongoing crisis and emerge stronger.

This slide is pretty self-explanatory and captures the consistent progress we have been making in key metrics of financial performance and financial strength, be it return on capital, debt-equity ratio, or interest coverage ratio. And finally, a number that sums up the value we are creating for our shareholders. We have been on a consistent upward trajectory, as you can see in the chart. From a INR 1.7 per share EPS in financial year 2016, we have delivered an EPS of 9.7 per share in financial year 2020, an increase of 478% over this period. What is more important is that we have delivered an increase in EPS even in current year, which was with a multiple of headwinds on the demand side that coincided with significant raw material inflation, and of course, followed by a COVID impact in March.

Now, I'd like to hand over to Anand for the next part of the presentation. Anand, back to you.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Thank you, Sanjeev, so let me just now share some highlights of our FY20 performance. Now, our performance ambition is to be one of the best-performing, most trusted, and respected consumer products companies in India, and we aim to do that through our five strategic priorities: to accelerate and strengthen our core brands, to evolve our route to consumer, which is really our distribution system, to continuously drive productivity so that we can invest in growth, become a top-class corporate citizen, and do all that by building an organization that can deliver all these priorities, so let me start with the first priority of accelerating and strengthening our core brand. As I explained last year, we are aiming to link each of our power brands with a key passion point to the Indian consumer.

For Black & White, we aim to pair the brand with food, which we believe is like a match made in heaven, specially crafted menus that are made for sharing. And that magnifies the flavors of Black & White whisky when you share it with friends and shared occasions. Cricket with RC, particularly riding on Virat Kohli as the brand ambassador. And finally, travel with Johnnie Walker, which I want to explain to you in a bit more detail now. Now, Johnnie Walker, as we know, is amongst the brands with the highest equity, not just in its own segment, but actually across the category. Our vision for the brand is to make Johnnie Walker an icon in culture. And the new brand passion point of travel and exploration just seems appropriate to enable us to make that happen. So some journeys begin where the road ends.

And the Traveling Billboard, which was our campaign last year, is one such where we have traveled miles across the country, visiting five different locations across the four corners of India, across mountain peaks, as well as the depth of the oceans. The mid-prestige segment where Royal Challenge whisky operates presents a big opportunity as it's one of the fastest-growing segments. And this, in fact, has attracted many local players as well as regional players into the fold. The Royal Challenge brand vision is to be the most iconic millennial and post-millennial brand in India. And the all-new Royal Challenge, for which you can see the ad on the left, has a new blend, which is crafted by the master blender, Craig Wallace, customized to be the most accessible and preferred blend by millennials. It's a smoother and richer experience.

All this packed in a new bold look with the rampant lion in all its glory on the back. We also have a new bolder logo for RCB, which hopefully you'll see more of as and when the IPL season starts. We've had an encouraging start to the relaunch of RCW, which was launched in Calcutta just three weeks prior to the market shutting down. We are now beginning to push it harder with the markets opening up, but I must add that we are extremely encouraged by the start that we had. Number one is clearly one of the most iconic brands in this country. The Number One renovation is probably one of the biggest renovations, I would say, of the last many years. The renovation includes a new carton, a new bottle, and a new liquid.

In fact, our test results show that this is the best-ever Number One that consumers have ever had. We launched this in March in Rajasthan and Odisha, and again here, the initial consumer response has been extremely, extremely positive. Apart from the two renovations that I spoke about, there have also been two key innovations that have hit the market in the year. First, Hipster, which disproportionately recruits consumers by generating trials at scale, but also disrupts the potential for scotch whiskey because it's seen as cool and trendy, right, and that's something that really appeals to the younger audience, and McDowell's Number One Platinum, which has seen strong success. It's now available in 82% of the country, and most recently, it's been extended to Maharashtra and Odisha.

Moving on to our second priority, which is evolving our route to consumer, our commercial strategy is built on serving the three Indias that I spoke to you last year as well about. And really, the principle here is to have horses for courses, that is, the right kind of salespeople with the right kind of skills for the right segment of India. And to marry that and support those sales guys with technology that enables better performance management and execution across channels. And we have two technologies that we've deployed here. One is called Trax, which is a real-time visual scanning technology that records images of the product display on shelf, giving you simple analysis of availability and share of shelf. And Power BI, a simple integrated platform that houses the most granular level of sales performance data across all parameters.

So only one source of truth for the entire company. Moving on to the third pillar, which is all about productivity. We continue to focus our efforts on productivity across all lines of the P&L, and this becomes even more acute in a tough commodity year like the one that we just had. We are focused on COGS productivity through modernization initiatives, including putting a high-speed automated line in one of our factories, but also simplifying our manufacturing and supply footprint across the country as we speak. We've also driven a lot of non-COGS productivity in terms of our marketing spend by leveraging scale, by doing things more centrally, and also leveraging digital more aggressively and looking at new agencies who can do this more efficiently.

And we've continued our focus on improving the efficiency of our non-staff spend, such as IT and professional services, rent, and so on and so forth. And all this has delivered some contribution to compensate for the huge COGS increases that we have had. Our fourth priority is to make sure that we are a corporate citizen that people take notice of. We have continued to work on shaping the regulatory environment. In fact, last year, we got price increases across 18 states. And that partly helped to offset the impact of ED absorption in Maharashtra, as well as some price correction that we took on our McDowell's brand. We achieved a price increase in Rajasthan after six years, and we started unlocking the power of ease of doing business in certain select states.

We have continued now, for our sixth year in a row, our road to safety program, where our continued partnership with key state governments has helped us to enhance road safety in the country. Most recently, in Puducherry, we have actually started seeing a reduction of road accidents and fatalities as a result of road accidents. And finally, a look at what we are doing to continue to build our organization. First and foremost, our top priority is to proactively plan and build a strong succession plan for all critical positions in our company. The second is to work comprehensively to strengthen our people manager capability, where the effort is to strengthen coaching skills and make our frontline leaders better at driving clear accountability. The third is on inclusion and diversity.

I must say, I'm really proud that in this kind of industry, we have more than doubled our women representation from less than 9% to over 19% in the last four years. Women representation in our senior teams, which is like our top 50 managers, has increased from 23%- 32% in the last one year alone. Finally, we continue to build on the culture of our organization because we really do believe that more than anything else, culture drives performance. We are continuing our journey to build a non-hierarchical, meritocratic, collaborative, performance-oriented kind of company where celebration is really a way of life. Just to pull FY20 together, I am happy about the continued focus on margin improvement and the delivery of margin improvement in a very, very tough environment like we've seen.

I'm encouraged by the initial signs of feedback that we've received on the relaunch of No. 1 and RC. We're happy about the innovation impact that McDowell's No. 1 and Hipster have had in the marketplace. We've continued focus on our operational and financial efficiency to make sure that irrespective of when costs become unpredictable, our controllable costs are kept really, really tight. And finally, we made another step in building our people and culture to transform our company from really a company to an institution. However, as always, there are things that we need to do better. We have been challenged in a few select state brand combinations, which we believe the interventions we put in place will fix. We've had pricing challenges in some critical states like Karnataka, for instance. And we have been challenged on market access in another important state of Andhra Pradesh.

We are not happy with the amount of volatility and predictability we've seen on our commodities. And while these are behind us, the year was impacted to some extent by some supply chain disruptions. So with that, moving from the rearview mirror, I'm now going to look into the windscreen really and talk about what everyone wants to talk about: COVID and beyond. Now, as Sanjeev also said, we were already having a soft economy. And COVID-19 has dealt another body blow to the economy with the result that current outlook for FY21, the model outlook, is somewhere around minus 5-odd%. Now, if you look at what happened with the onset of the pandemic, is that obviously our sales were severely impacted. While the lockdown was announced from March 24th, the impact on the alcobev sector had actually begun even before.

Many states such as Karnataka and Delhi had announced the closure of on-trade operations like bars, pubs, and restaurants in the second week of March itself, and also, many of our factory operations in many of these states were also asked to stop to ensure that there was enough social distancing. For the period between March 24th to May 3rd, which is really lockdown 1.0 and 2.0, Alcobev manufacturing and sales were completely banned in all states in India, which means India pretty much had prohibition across the country. With the onset of lockdown 3.0, many states began allowing the sale of alcohol. The pent-up demand and consumer thirst for our category was clearly visible and highlighted by the massive queuing outside outlets.

Similarly, manufacturing operations for Diageo India also followed a sequential process, with factories being allowed to operate based on the zoning criteria with the easing of the lockdown norm. As of today, pretty much all our factories are running on a single-shift operation. Finally, many states started demonstrating interest in exploring home delivery and online ordering, something that we've been trying to unlock for a long time, and as many people say, it takes a crisis sometimes to unlock things that are really hard to do during peacetime, and as of today, six states have allowed home delivery, and we'll talk more about that, so what's been our response to COVID as a company? Simply two things. First and foremost, manage the crisis, and then use the time of the crisis to emerge stronger, so let's take a look at what the company has been doing during this period.

In the first week of March, we set up a dedicated working group led by me called the Crisis Management Team to start monitoring the rapidly evolving COVID-19 situation. The team met almost every day, focused on monitoring the external situation as well as what should our response be as an organization towards this changing dynamic. What we did is we focused on what we have called the six C's of COVID management: care, communication, consumer, customer, cost, and finally, cash. Let me give you a flavor of what we have done on each of these. First and foremost, care, care for our community. You'll be pleased to know that to help overcome any shortage of hand sanitizers across the country, 300 workers and 15 of our manufacturing units were repurposed to produce hand sanitizers very quickly off the block.

In fact, we took this decision and started in the first five days itself because that was when the need was the most difficult. I was getting calls from people saying, "I cannot get hand sanitizer. Can you help me?" So it was really, really hard to get at that time. So I think we just came to the rescue at the right time. Moreover, with the bar and restaurant communities facing unprecedented challenges from the impact of COVID, the company pledged to support the trade with an INR 3 crore health insurance cover for bartenders associated with the Diageo World Class program in India, and lastly, we contributed about 150,000 masks to public health departments across the country to be used by healthcare professionals and caregivers.

All this has helped us to certainly raise the stature of our company, to raise the pride that people have in our company, and in some ways, to enhance the narrative of our industry. Moving on from just care for our communities, we also had to make sure that we care for our employees and constituents and also communicate. At a time like this, you can only under-communicate. You cannot over-communicate. So, effective the 16th of March, we announced work from home for all our office employees. And we made sure employees had the necessary tools and systems to support that work from home.

In order to aid the well-being of our employees, we launched several initiatives across our online 24x7 confidential counseling sessions, live sessions on mindfulness to help employees stay well and stay balanced, and partnership with healthcare startup Cure.fit to provide complementary mental, physical, and emotional well-being services. In the first week of March, we also started extensive communication with our employees on dos and don'ts, preventive care, work-from-home etiquette, policy updates, etc., etc., to ensure that people were kept up to date, and we used multiple channels of communication, including Zoom and emails and so on and so forth. Moving on to the next two C's, which is about consumer and customer.

We have tried to leverage our consumer planning and insights department to help the business make sense of this change and show that we have our finger on the pulse and that we are always geared up for these changes in the short term as well as the medium term and thereafter. We also ensured that our customers were well supported during this period, and we ensured that our salespeople were communicating constantly through phone and video, ensuring that every call begins with a human touch, which is about inquiring about customers' well-being and their families and seeing how we could help or partner, and finally, cost and cash. We have really been ruthless on eliminating cost that could be eliminated, but I must tell you, we've also invested cost where we believe it was the right thing to do.

And we have been really focused on cash, rigorously managing our receivables and credit, managing inventory, and reducing CapEx because, as all of you know, at a time like this, there is no other king other than cash. So looking ahead, we're reminded of the saying from Winston Churchill, "Never let a good crisis go to waste." And that's how we are trying to approach it as a company in terms of a mindset that we have to take advantage of the crisis and not be burdened by the crisis. So what are some of the opportunities and challenges that we see in our sector over the short to medium term? Clearly, there are some green shoots of opportunity in our sector to do with the opening up of home delivery and online ordering in a category which is most challenged because of accessibility.

This could be the ultimate unlock if it happens in more states and happens with scale. We do believe there is an advantage to spirits compared to, let's say, other alcobev categories, particularly if consumption tends to be more at home. People have to carry stock from the store to the home. It's much tougher to carry categories that are more voluminous. And therefore, we do believe that spirits will have an advantage. Also, as long as the on-trade remains largely shut, spirits is more likely to be consumed because beer and other categories tend to be more weighted towards the on-trade. With international travel slowing, obviously, duty-free sales have taken a big hit. And we do believe that there will be some boost for duty-paid sales, particularly of our more premium categories within India.

And just to give you an example, many neighbors where I live right now in Mumbai normally travel out every month. And now they're all buying here in Mumbai. And when you go to their homes, they're serving duty-paid stock because they now need to buy their products here. And finally, something that we've been trying to convince the public for a long time is that Alcobev plays a big responsible part of helping state governments to invest in other areas of development through the economic contribution that we make. I think during this crisis, it became amply clear with many people across many states talking quite vocally about the fact that they want alcohol to be reopened because otherwise they're under huge pressure given that they're also facing pressures on GST and GST collection.

Now, having said all of this, there is no doubt about the fact that in the short term, certainly, the challenges will outweigh the opportunities. The aggressive taxation that we have seen pretty much across the board, ranging from 7%-8% increase in MRP all the way to 75%, is enormous. We do believe that with these kinds of prices, there will be some downtrading in the sector, right, like you would expect in any sector. On-trade sales will mean that some of the more premium parts of our portfolio will be impacted. And with the adjacent sectors like tourism and hospitality taking a hit, that will also have an impact on some of the segments of our portfolio. And there are also some ambivalent trends that obviously we are seeing. The changed ways of socializing. Many people are now socializing on Zoom and not socializing physically.

This could get redefined, certainly for the short to medium term, and the changing store structures. Many stores don't want to allow people in. So if you had a relatively tight browsing kind of store, many store owners are just putting a counter in the front and not allowing people into their stores. And that could impact the way our brands show up in the stores. So what's our response to all of this? Well, our response is across what I would say four verticals. First, in terms of strategic choices, we believe that we have the widest portfolio. So if, for instance, downtrading does happen, we have a big popular business as well, right? So from the most premium to actually the most popular, we have it covered. And I think that could be a point of advantage.

We're also being very ruthless about what we will invest behind, using the ROI metric to make sure that any money spent is spent right, and that will give you the best return, doing a few focused, high-impact things rather than doing many small things. We have actually supported many of our business partners through this period. Our customers where we extended contracts, our third-party manufacturers where we have chipped in to help them at this tough time to pay their workers, and vendors where we've actually made all payments on time because we said keeping our vendors healthy at this time is most critical. So we have taken on, I would say, a win-win mindset as a business so that our ecosystem stays strong rather than try and extract our pound of flesh at a time like this. Supply chain readiness is everything in the short term.

Really, everything will be driven by supply. In fact, physical availability is the most important priority. Making sure that our supply chain restarts and we use innovation in manufacturing to ensure that there is no impact of social distancing and the number of workers being let into our plant, right, is really our priority to make sure we are able to produce. I'm happy to tell you that we are now producing pretty close to the pre-COVID single shift production rate. As we hope to get some more approvals for second shift with opening up our unlock 1.0 now, starting from today, we hope that we'll be able to feed the demand fully. Finally, regulatory intervention. Regulatory interventions, working with state governments to enable home delivery and online ordering and help the state to stabilize this new business model which everyone's learning through.

Getting states to recognize the downside of high taxation by demonstrating that nothing is completely inelastic. And while you might mop up some extra taxes in the short term, you will not have a sustainable model, which is win-win, which is growth for industry and growth in revenues for the state in a sustainable way if pricing goes over the top. And we're looking at collating data once we have it on what is happening specifically in the short term so that we can go back and have a conversation with the states who have taken up taxes very, very sharply. And we are also trying to make sure states understand the potential rise in counterfeit, right, which is a real menace in our industry if prices just go up inordinately.

So while the short to medium term does look uncertain, and I have to be honest, it is uncertain, it is hard sometimes for us to predict what's going to happen in the next month, in the next quarter. What I would like to leave you with is our own sense of the longer-term outlook of this industry. And I believe when you look at that, there is reason to be optimistic. We have, I would say, excellent consumer demographics, 17 million people entering legal drinking age every year, low penetration of the category, low per capita consumption, and the attitudinal shift breaking down where people are now more open to drinking alcohol, not just for men, but importantly, also for women. The long-term premiumization because the economy will come back.

Indeed, even the -5% outlook for FY21 will have a first quarter which is going to be seriously negative, but after that, it has to be positive. Otherwise, you're not going to get -5 weighted average in the full year, which means there'll be more money in people's pockets. Also, at a time like this, people tend to postpone the spends on big expenses like a new car, new two-wheeler, new washing machine, new television, and hopefully spend a bit more on the small joys of life, right, and hopefully, having a drink is really one of those, and therefore, I think that will continue to drive premiumization, and finally, this category has been resilient across many hits, right, many challenges, and many slowdowns. Of course, this time, it is unprecedented.

But even if you looked at the U.S., apart from the time when the U.S. had prohibition in the 1920s, the category has never really declined. So it's the nature of the category that has very high consumer stickiness. And therefore, we do believe that the long-term potential of this category is intact. And with that, I just want to thank you and hand back to the operator for questions. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question.

As a reminder, participants listening to the audio webcast, if you wish to ask a question, you are requested to dial the audio conference number appearing on your screen and log out of the webcast to avoid any voice quality issues while asking the question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the questions are resent. We take the first question from the line of Avi Mehta from IIFL. Please go ahead.

Avi Mehta
Analyst, IIFL

Hello. Am I audible?

Operator

Yes.

Avi Mehta
Analyst, IIFL

Yeah. Sorry. So thanks a lot for taking the question. I just wanted to understand. We hear that there have been payment delays from cooperatives. In such a situation that we are kind of hearing about this, A, if you could kind of confirm or deny this, and B, if that is the case, how would you look to balance growth and the potential credit risk from such markets?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

I'll add a few lines and then maybe Sanjeev can chip in as well. I would say that actually, in May, our collections have come in quite well. Okay? We're actually pleased with the collections that have come in in the month of May. So many corporations have actually paid on time. Now, there are one or two corporations, right, that have traditionally delayed, and we're still working to collect those. But my sense right now is that on an overall basis, it's a challenge that we can manage and manage quite well. Sanjeev, do you want to add to that?

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

Yeah. Thanks, Anand. I think, Avi, I'll actually just pull back and give you an overall perspective, just not on working capital and debt because these questions will keep on popping up.

I think, as I've already explained in my initial part of the presentation, that while our working capital have gone up, not a big quantum given the size of the operations we have, our receivables is well in the control. It's actually gone down in spite of the lockdown impact that happened towards the end of March, which is a critical period for collections, right? And as Anand has said, while we did face some initial challenges in the end of March and possibly because of the lockdown in a way, subsequently in May, we have seen some good growth coming from the corporations. The good part is 70% of our sales almost is to corporations, and those monies are absolutely safe and secure. So I suppose this is a blessing in disguise for us.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

But I think what is important is as we stand as of 31st March and beyond, when I look at how we are doing on our debt repayments, as of 31st of March, we have repaid INR 492 crores of debt, which is almost a 20% reduction. And that's happening for almost the last two, three years, right? I think now we're sitting on a very, very strong balance sheet with a debt-to-credit ratio of 0.5, with an interest coverage of almost seven times. I think we are financially very, very strong that will allow us to invest into the market recovery during this crisis time and emerge stronger. So we are very happy with where we are standing now on the balance of strength.

Avi Mehta
Analyst, IIFL

Perfect. Perfect. Thanks, team. The second question was on the environment. Now, in your presentation about dealing with actually a very good presentation.

I must compliment you on that. There has been a lot of focus on also advocacy, and I just wanted to kind of pick your brains on this. With home delivery now kind of starting, do you believe that the current environment enhances the ability to gain price increases along with while there is a tax increase element? Does the environment for getting a price increase improve? Or if you could share your thoughts on that.

It's all good. It's very tough to say that this will make it better for price increases. Having said that, we have got price increases in a couple of states in the last few weeks, so it's not as if it won't happen at all.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

But the reality right now, I think, is that states are desperate to mop up whatever they can mop up, okay, because of the challenges on GST payments and so on and so forth. States are bankrupt. Many of them are not able to pay salaries to government people. So we believe that we're just going to play out the next month or so, look at data about the huge tax increases that have happened, go back, try and get that rationalized, and then start the advocacy again for doing what's right for the health of the industry and the category, right? Right now, it's just not the time, even though we have had success in a couple of states, okay? It's just not the time because I think it would be a complete mismatch of priorities.

States will say, "Here, people are dying, and they have all kinds of challenges, and here you're looking for a price increase." So I think it's too premature for me to comment whether this will enable price increases or disable it. But I'm just sharing with you how we are thinking about it. I don't think doors are all shut, right? But I think they are relatively shut for the immediate few weeks and maybe couple of months.

Avi Mehta
Analyst, IIFL

Okay. Perfect. I'll come in the queue for a mini question. Thanks a lot. Thanks a lot. Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abneesh Roy from Edelweiss. Please go ahead.

Abneesh Roy
Analyst, Edelweiss

Sir, my first question is on the cost. You have done a commendable job in FY20. So coming specific to Q4 on ad spend, it was 6% of the sales.

Was January and February also lower in terms of ad cost? And you mentioned that now you'll do more of a few impactful events rather than small-form activities. So overall, ad spend for the competition also will come down in FY21?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

So Abneesh, so first of all, on a full-year basis, our ANP is 8.1%, and on P&A, it's double-digit, okay? So it's very much competitive and not a million miles away from what we have been talking about. Now, absolutely, at a time when your business is shut, it is futile to advertise. And right now, in this quarter, let me tell you that the entire emphasis on supply, getting the supply chain to restart, for me to advertise when I'm not able to supply, just doesn't make commercial sense at all. Now, as we look out into FY21, the reality is this.

I'm not in a position to tell you how much we'll spend on advertising, and I'm not sure competitors also would be clear about what they will spend on advertising. We're going to manage FY21 on a quarter-to-quarter basis, seeing how demand picks up, and then deciding how to support that with advertising. I think our priorities will remain to say we must properly support our key priorities, let's say the big relaunches we've had. We need to support them. And support doesn't always mean having an ad on television, right? There are other ways of supporting it and driving it hard. And I would say the other thing that is that we will try and make sure we are not uncompetitive in terms of spend because we can afford to spend. But I think the thing is about doing what's right for the business at this time.

And that's how we are approaching it quarter to quarter, month to month. Abneesh, we're going to play this game, okay? And as the plot unfolds, our strategy will also unfold.

Abneesh Roy
Analyst, Edelweiss

And Anand, that was helpful. One related question is in Q4, when I see the growth of Pernod, whatever numbers are available, and Radico Khaitan, their growth seems to be better than what you reported in terms of the P&A 19% dip. Is there any base effect here, or is there any share loss here? I think quarter is a short period, but any comments there?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Well, if you look at this quarter, so first of all, I'm not going to compare with others. That's for you to do. But if you look at this quarter, first of all, this is a very unstable quarter, Abneesh, as you'll recognize that, okay?

Now, there are a couple of state-brand combinations where we have been a little challenged on share, okay? And I put that as part of my summary, okay? So I'm saying that I also believe that with the interventions that have gone in, we have a model that is proven to sort that out. So I think that will be short-lived. Having said that, there are certain things that we did, right? And I will share what we did. So first and foremost, some of our competitors dropped price in key states. We have not followed. There's a short-term impact of not following a price drop. I think there's a long-term advantage of doing that, right? And this is not the first time it's happened. Some of our competitors have actually increased credit and created discounts.

We actually started tightening credit and saying credit risk over revenue risk much earlier in the quarter because we could see things becoming unstable, and at that time, it's easy to sell, okay? But then you have to pay the price sometimes because it's also hard to collect, okay, so that's happened, and finally, I would say that no, two more points. One is that as our relaunches of RC and number one have gone in, we've had to run down stocks of the old pack, almost close to zero in those key corporations, and build the stocks back, and finally, Andhra Pradesh was one of our strong-performing states, okay? It's gone up for some of us, not gone up for all the players in India, by the way, right? But it got seriously hit for some of us, and therefore, the relative impact for us has been higher there.

But I just want to leave you with the fact that you have seen previous quarters. I mean, there was some difference here and there, not dramatic. And I do believe with some of our interventions that have gone in, I think we will be able to deliver competitive performance. So that's the way I would like to see it and like you to see it as well, Abneesh, if you could. Yeah? Right.

Abneesh Roy
Analyst, Edelweiss

That's helpful. One bookkeeping question. FMCG companies are saying around 70% of their output pre-COVID is back. When you take all shifts into consideration, not just one shift, then how are things currently?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

I would say that, so quite simply, right now, about two-thirds of our outlets are open because remember, all the on-trade is shut anyway, huh? And many outlets are just opening in some places.

Mumbai, actually, home delivery is allowed, but the retail stores are shut, okay? So about two-thirds of outlets are really open right now, okay? And I would say right now, we are also, I would say, about 60%-70% of our pre-COVID production rate, right? And we are very hopeful, actually, of getting second-shift approvals in some of our key states. In fact, I've just got a message from my manufacturing head saying they've given us some approvals in some places. So I think it'll ramp up, okay? But the key question for us is how will demand play out, right? Because if supply will be a priority only till the supply-demand gap is bridged, after that, demand has to come in. And we are still not able to read the status of demand, particularly in states which have had significant tax increases.

So I think this will almost be like a juggle, buddy. Initially, it was about supply, then it will be about demand, and both have to then play in tandem together.

The last question is a small one. There has been a speculation on the delisting. I know the parent takes a call on this, but any comment you can make which kind of addresses and helps us in better understanding of this?

No comments at all, Abneesh, as you would imagine. This has to be directed to Diageo. We have no comments on this locally.

Abneesh Roy
Analyst, Edelweiss

Okay. Thanks a lot.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Arnab Mitra from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Arnab Mitra
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Yeah. Hi, Anand and Sanjeev. My first question was on your comment on downtrading.

So depending on the first three weeks or whatever you have seen, are you seeing a bigger risk of downtrading from something like a McDowell's No. 1, which is just the start of P&A, into popular? Or are you seeing it across the board, including from something which is premium P&A to the lower-end P&A? Because both the things impact you quite differently given how big McDowell's No. 1 is for you.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

So it's really hard to read this without having more points of data, right? I mean, right now, it's so unstable. Things are just opening up. And to read a trend with data points which are erratic, right? Because there was an initial surge of buying. There might have been pantry loading. So it's really hard. But I'll tell you a few things that we've seen in the short term. Certainly, there's a shift towards larger SKUs.

So there's more purchase of the quart packs because the litres and pints are more consumed in the on-trade and the mass on-trade. People, when they buy it for taking home, are buying the larger packs. Also, they don't go so often to the shops. So they're buying larger packs or maybe even more bottles than taking it home, right? But in terms of real downtrading, it's very hard to judge. I'm just saying it is intuitive to say when you have such sharp tax increases that somebody will balance their money and their budget. There are many people also who had challenged income during this period. And what would you do, right? But on the flip side, this is a category where people don't downtrade easily as well.

If you were a popular whiskey consumer, you don't start drinking country liquor again and all the way down from the top. So there could be short-term hits and misses, but I would wait for a few more data points. And once we can read this, we'd be happy to share with you the trends that we are seeing. Sure. And my second and last question was in terms of your prestige and above segment, if you could help us with a very ballpark sense of what percentage or what proportion of sales comes from the restaurants, bars, and occasions like weddings and things like that, where the impact could be quite big and may continue for six, seven more months.

Based on your reading of other markets and consumers, do you expect this to be lost sales till that period because this is a different occasion, or have you seen some bit of sales in other markets being made up from in-home consumption from this? Listen, about 20%-25% of our revenue is from on-trade, weddings, banquets, and so on and so forth, okay? So just take it about 20-20% odd is from there. Now, again, it's very hard to read whether some of this will be picked up or not. Intuitively, some of it will be picked up, for sure, because—and that's why I said I think more spirits will get picked up, less beer may get picked up, right? Because the occasion of socializing, sitting in a pub or a bar, tend to be often beer occasions.

But when it shifts home, it may not be a beer occasion at all, right? It may be a spirits occasion. So I would say, so that's what happened. I'll tell you what's happened in the West is interesting. So in the U.S., for instance, where 20% is on-trade, similar to India, 80% off-trade, off-trade has grown very strongly, right? Because there's been significant pantry loading, and there are a lot of articles in the public domain on what's happened in the U.S. In fact, in the U.S., it is more than compensated for the loss of on-trade. Yeah? In Europe, it hasn't fully compensated, where the contribution of the on-trade is much higher, 40%, right? Or sometimes even 50%, okay? So we have to see and play out. But on the positive side, I'm saying in India, for many people who drink, it's taboo to drink at home.

I believe, just like about a crisis as a point of inflection for decision-making of regulators, it's also possible that some of the attitudinal barriers of this kind to say, "Yaar, agar peete ho, ghar mein piyo," right? Right? Carry your bottle back home, and people may say, "Listen, it's okay to drink at home," and it was never okay to drink at home earlier. That's why you drank outside. Some of those shifts may happen, so I think there are multiple dynamics at play, and we'll just have to wait and watch this. Honestly, we have so few data points now. Market khulke it's three weeks since the market has opened up, and we've all been scurrying around just to stand on our feet again, but we'll share with you some of these trends the moment we can read more.

But I'm just giving you some lead indicators of other countries just so that you can see the relationship with it.

Arnab Mitra
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Sure. Thanks, Anand. All the best.

Operator

Thank you very much. Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Manoj Menon. We take the next question from the line of Amit Sinha from Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Amit Sinha
Analyst, Macquarie

Yeah. Hi, team. Thanks for the opportunity. My first question was on the overall industry dynamics. And given that you guys have much better balance sheet and better cash positions overall, and basically just wanted to understand, while you have highlighted that between spirits and beer, you guys will gain, but wanted to understand the dynamics within the spirits industry. Is there a possibility to gain market share from the smaller players, or the smaller players are too few and little?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

The smaller players are not so few, and they're meaningful in several states. And I do believe a company like us should have a competitive advantage because of our cash position, particularly in an environment where cash is going to be tight, right? And we know that cash is going to be tight, not everywhere, but certainly in some places. This increase in excise duty in some states has also caused an increase in working capital, right? So we have to deal with that, and we are finding ways to also compensate somewhere else, but that's going to impact everyone. So we do believe that the focus that we have put on cash over the last few years, and importantly, even in the previous quarter, right? We have really put a lot of focus on cash to make sure our cash position is solid.

I do believe we have a source of competitive advantage. We have to see how this will play out again, and that will only be known in the fullness of time.

Amit Sinha
Analyst, Macquarie

Okay. Sure. Secondly, on the ENA pricing trends, last quarter, you had highlighted in the earnings call that there are initial signs of pricing peaking out. How is the trend now, and when is the softer pricing going to impact the P&L?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Sandeep, over to you. Maybe I'll take this question.

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

Yeah, I think you're right. In the last quarter, we did say that we have seen the peak of the ENA prices, and we were so good. When we look at the fourth quarter, the ENA inflation has almost flattened out as compared to the just preceding quarter, right? It's almost on a flat trajectory.

However, as compared to quarter on quarter and year on year, the ENA inflation is still sitting on a very, very high rate. Now, how will the things pan out? It's very difficult to say. We have to absolutely see the demand and supply, how it moves on. But I think we're surprised to say that we don't expect a hyperinflation coming in now, right? This is where we are, and as Anand has said, it's just three weeks of the market opening up. We're kind of just checking in all the dynamics. We don't have enough sufficient data point at the moment. There are a lot of variables that we're kind of watching out.

Amit Sinha
Analyst, Macquarie

Okay. Just a follow-up here. I mean, from the peak as of now, in terms of sourcing, how much have ENA prices corrected? I mean, if you can provide that.

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

The fourth quarter ENA prices on the average is kind of almost at similar levels as what we saw somewhere around November, December.

Okay. Thanks a lot. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Harit Kapoor from Investec. Please go ahead.

Harit Kapoor
Analyst, Investec

Yeah. Hi, good afternoon. My question was on if you could just take us through how you've been working with your franchises in the current context, especially because there could be a pickup at the lower-end segment. And just your view on allocation of spend in the regular portfolio now versus the P&A portfolio. Do you see possibly that there could be an incremental investment in the popular portfolio, at least for the near term for you?

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

So we haven't thought of incremental investment in the popular portfolio.

But just to your point on franchisees, now, listen, at the end of the day, everybody is stressed, right? If we are stressed, when we've had one and a half months of almost no sales and sitting with our fixed costs, the same is true for our franchises. And our philosophy is that we have to have win-win relationships with all our business partners: franchisees, third-party manufacturers, customers, vendors, etc., etc., right? So that's our approach, that you're going to be realistic. And these partnerships are like marriages. They are meant for the long term. So we are in close touch with our franchisees on how they're doing, what's needed. And if they are under significant stress, then there are cases where we are now sharing a bit of that pain, okay?

Now, as we move ahead, we have to still wait and see exactly what happens to the popular portfolio. We believe that the predominant drivers of performance in the popular portfolio is not A&P and stuff like that, but is just having good, consistent product quality and good packaging that shows up in store, okay? Those are the fundamental drivers of the popular segment. Absolutely, we are looking at our own popular portfolio in the retained states and talking to our franchisees to be absolutely ready and push as hard as we can because we are anticipating that there could be some gains in popular, particularly in states which have had dramatic increases in tax, okay? So we are absolutely waiting to capture anything that drops from above. So that's how we are approaching it.

And our objective is to make sure that our franchisees remain profitable and sustainable and keeping that model up and running, and that's our approach.

Harit Kapoor
Analyst, Investec

Thank you, sir. The second question was on a follow-up from the earlier one, was that if you look at the, say, smaller player share, is there any state where the fringe players or the smaller guys, ex the top three, four players, have a larger share compared to others? Just trying to understand in the next one or two years, are there any states where there is an opportunity for you to gain a higher proportion of market share? Yeah.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Listen, this is an industry where you do have regional players, right? And the definition of regional players is that they have more strength in their regions, okay? So you will find players, and many of them really are born out of North India.

As one of my colleagues says, they use Delhi and places like that as the Trojan horse to seed their brands, and then that kind of spreads to the surrounding states of North India, okay? Most of them have been born out of North India. Obviously, they are stronger there, which means they have relatively higher shares there. Now, I think our approach is really to make sure, and with the relaunches of the number one in RC, is to make sure that the offers that we have created are competitive and superior. As we roll those out, I would like to believe that we have a good propensity for share gains in those segments, right? That's what we're going to continue to do.

Harit Kapoor
Analyst, Investec

Got it, sir. Thanks and all the best.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you.

We take the next question from the line of Manoj Menon from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Manoj Menon
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Hi, Anand and Sanjeev. Just only one question on the home delivery piece, particularly on the branding marketing side of it. I don't know, just your thoughts. I understand that it's still early days. Just two, three things, actually. One, does it in any way help in terms of, let's say, better branding, better showcasing of anything, given the fact that the consumer touch and feel was anyway not happening at the store? So that's one. Second is, logically, what I've seen in the market in many places is that the retailers overcharge. Obviously, that's one probably advantage of home delivery. And third is just sector variables. Does it really also mean that the volume consumption can increase or, let's say, better, let's say, premium or trading up?

Basic assumption here is that which I am actually going with is that consumption really did not get hampered because of access earlier. So just trying to understand the home delivery benefits on the marketing side. That's one aspect. The second aspect, at this point in time, in these six states where it has really happened, is it direct supply from the backend? Let's say in Maharashtra, is it directly from your distributor, or is it really happening from my nearest store? The context I'm trying to understand is both can have very different medium-term implications.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Okay. So this is a big question, Manoj, on home delivery and how it's going to play out. So first and foremost, in most states, in fact, in all states, the home delivery model includes the retailer. It doesn't try and bypass the retailer, okay? So that's first and foremost, right?

You have to understand the dynamics in our industry where retailers have paid high license fees and so on to get their retail business. You have to make them part of the solution, right? You can't have an Amazon kind of model in this industry because the outlets are so few, and they have paid high license fees to exist. I don't think any excise department will easily create a model that will destabilize the retailer himself, okay? This is about enabling the retailer rather than bypassing the retailer. The second thing is that, listen, look at your own personal example. When you start browsing in a retail store, you end up buying more than you did in an over-the-counter store. The day you start browsing on Amazon or Flipkart, you start buying a lot more things than you did.

And you're able to double-click and get a lot more details about the product and the brand experience to convince yourself that that's what you want. So the whole ability to build brands digitally, to explain the details about brands digitally, is far superior than you can do at a retail store. So you've got to believe that the opportunities for choice and the opportunities for brand building are superior. And finally, I don't think it's fair to say that accessibility, I think accessibility is limited, and it is one of the biggest barriers for consumption. In many states, by the way, women do not want to go into a retail store to buy alcohol. It's just unpleasant. In fact, I would go to the extent of saying they feel unsafe. If you're ordering online, you will browse, right, and you will buy what you want.

Now, the fulfillment will be done by the retailer, right? But the payment can be made online. The choice-making can be done online. Age gating and verifications and whatever regulatory requirements are there can be done online, okay? Now, having said all of this, the few states where we've got permission, you've got to realize that we are still at a stage where e-commerce was in the first month when it started. So it is tiny wherever it is still. But I can tell you this. We are working very closely with the state governments, right, directly as well as through our industry association to help them work this through and create a model that is sustainable. And that's win-win for all constituents, which actually includes the retailer, includes the consumer, and includes the manufacturer.

And I think the state governments are also seeing the opportunity for enhanced revenue because they believe that there'll be more upgrading and there will be more increase in business because of better accessibility. So it's a big piece of work, and there are people all over it, by the way, within our business and in the industry association. So let it just get a bit more scale, and I think then things will become clearer. Understood. Understood. And that is quite comprehensive. Thank you. Just only one follow-up, if I may. What about the regulatory angle? Let's say what I mean is the advertisement and the marketing piece. In this business, surrogate advertising, I think, is permitted, right?

Manoj Menon
Analyst, ICICI Securities

So I'm just trying to understand what are the dos and don'ts if there is clarity at this point in time. I'll tell you where I'm coming from.

While when I think about home delivery, it appears it's significantly positive. Quantum of, let's say, estimation could be different for different people. Different analysts could estimate differently. But when I think about it, it's either neutral or positive. I really can't think of anything negative from a home delivery point of view, which, let's say, affects a large company like you, except for the fact that does it really create a slightly better level playing field for, let's say, those folks who would actually now kind of, let's say, use a little bit of higher pricing or trade margins or kind of use those platforms to really push their brand. So just trying to understand kind of what are those regulatory barriers which apply for the online piece versus the offline piece currently.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

This is all just evolving in this space.

I think you're asking me questions which I may not have all the answers for yet. This is all just evolving, okay? But the simple things are this, which is, first of all, we don't do surrogate advertising. We do brand extension advertising. So just a small correction there. The second thing is that on digital, you definitely have far more flexibility than you have on the other mass media. So on digital, yeah, there are more things that you can do to engage consumers once you've done age gating and so on, right, which you cannot easily do on mass channel. So I think you have to watch this space, but we believe there is significant potential to enhance the experience for our consumers.

Manoj Menon
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Fair point. Fair point. Thank you. Thank you so much and all. Not at all. Not at all. Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you.

We take the next question from the line of Ashit Desai from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.

Ashit Desai
Analyst, Emkay Global

Yeah. Hi. Thanks for taking my question. I have two questions. One on you talked about reducing ad spend. Does the industry have a very high percentage of trade schemes also? And what's your view? I mean, in this kind of environment, do you see a possibility of reduction over there?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

So trade schemes, I would say, are reasonably high in the industry, right? And the trade schemes, there are two parts of spends in trade, okay? One is just a simple trade scheme, which is rupees per case kind of a discount. And the second is what you spend in store, which also goes to the trade, right, and to the owners of the trade.

So I think the way I would see it is this: that we are not being opportunistic, okay? These are our customers, and you have to work with them not just for these four weeks when you might be in a seller's market, right, but you have to work with them over time when they will be in a buyer's market. So we are not being opportunistic to say, "Cut a little bit here, cut a little bit there," because it just seems very tactical and not really in line with the kind of philosophy you want to build with your ecosystem. So I would say at this point in time, it is nominal, if anything, in terms of the savings opportunities on-trade spend.

Ashit Desai
Analyst, Emkay Global

Got it. Got it. Could you quantify how large are trade schemes in the industry?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

I'm not sure if do we share that information, Sanjeev, in our P&L?

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

Yeah. It differs from state to state and brand to brand. It's kind of very difficult to give one particular number to this.

Ashit Desai
Analyst, Emkay Global

Okay. Okay. My second question was on the you talked about duty-free to duty-paid. If you could give a sense of how large is the duty-free or travel retail channel, and in your view, would a consumer shift from a duty-free BIO to duty-paid BIO, or will he round trip to BII or some other senior segments, so I don't know.

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

I don't think 100% of the volume will get compensated through duty-paid sales for sure because there is a price factor, right, and many people just buy in duty-free because you're passing through duty-free. Now people will buy based on absolute need for consumption.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Our duty-free business for our premium brands, I would say it's about twice of what duty-paid is, okay? So it's much bigger. Duty-free is much bigger than duty-paid. We've got to believe that some part of that will come because many people who drink BIO and serve BIO are now going to start serving BII, right? A few might, but I would say a large part may not. Those people who are traveling abroad regularly, right, particularly, I'm not sure they're going to suddenly downgrade what they drink and downgrade what they serve because the category is also such where people don't do that easily. Now, there may be a sudden reduction of volume itself because it's not that every time you travel, you bring your two bottles or whatever, but now people are not going to buy that many bottles, right?

But I think, again, we have to wait and see. I will say that there is likely to be some benefit of this. It will not be a full transfer of volume. How much that is, is really, really hard to say. And whether it will be all BIO or some little downtrade is honestly very hard to say right now. I mean, we're all learning this together, honestly, and we will share more insights with you as we are getting it. We have put a lot of trackers and so on through our insights team to be able to keep a finger on the pulse of consumer development. And we'll try and share whatever we can as and when we get it.

Ashit Desai
Analyst, Emkay Global

Okay. Could you at least quantify how large are these segments when we look at them in the P&A category as a whole? Sorry, which segments?

The duty-free? I mean, if you look at duty-free and duty-paid BIO, BII. No, duty-free is largely entirely BIO only, okay? So there's no BII. You might have the same brand in duty-free like VAT 69 or Black Dog, right? But the bulk of the sales really are BIO brands in duty-free. And I said it's about twice of domestic.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

I'm not sure what better quantification I can do for you.

Okay. Okay. Thanks.

Thanks, Anand.

Is there something we'll pick it up offline? Is there something more that? No, I was looking more from a sense that you currently don't get any shares from the travel retail revenues. It's largely in Diageo's book. So is there a large benefit that you guys can get if consumers start converting from BIO to duty-paid BIO or BII spirits? Well, there is some benefit. I would ask. Absolutely, there is some benefit.

That's what I'm trying to say. Some shift is going to happen. It's really hard to assess how much, and then there are many moving pieces, right, for BIOs. See, the big weddings are less. The big five-star hotels and bars are less. There'll be some shift of this, so there are just many moving pieces right now to give honestly any more precision than I've given right now because I don't have it, honestly. That simple as that. Okay.

Ashit Desai
Analyst, Emkay Global

Thanks. Thanks a lot for that.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

All right. Not at all.

Operator

Thank you. Before we take the next question, this is a reminder to the participants. Please limit your question to two per participant. You may come back in the question queue. If you have a follow-up, we take the next one from the line of Ashwini Agarwal from RC Capital. Please go ahead.

Ashwini Agarwal
Analyst, RC Capital

So could you please guide me that what are the margins on BIO that you sell from India? What kind of margins would you get on that?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

So we have not given margin by segment and not shared margin by segment, really. And I don't think we're sharing that information, right, Sanjeev and Edi?

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

Yeah, absolutely, Anand. And when it comes to the BIO, that is part of the distribution agreement that we have with Diageo. That's the Diageo portfolio that we sell in India. But at the moment, we're not giving into the margin splits for various subcategories.

Ashwini Agarwal
Analyst, RC Capital

Sure. So could you also guide that what are our so is Diageo you are still present in all states? Because not in the right ways that I'm asking.

So we have a lot of factories, and Pernod has a lot less factories than we have.

So I'm sure you will not comment on the individual competitive strategy, but the stark difference in the number of factories that we have is.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

So let me answer your question. So we have factories in the duty-free. We don't get everyone to go to duty-free, okay? But we have 34 factories in duty-free. We have moved from 94 factories in 2014 to 48 factories today. And we believe there is further opportunity for consolidation. I don't know how many factories other people have, but we have our own view of what is the optimal footprint of factories we need with the right VCP for our kind of business. And we have a clear footprint optimization plan to get there over the next couple of years.

As you've seen over the last four, five years, we have been doing that every year consistently. And we will continue to do that in the next year also. So that's simply our manufacturing strength.

Ashit Desai
Analyst, Emkay Global

Thank you, sir. That was what I was looking for. Thank you.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We take the last question from the line of Shirish Pardeshi from Centrum Broking. Please go ahead.

Shirish Pardeshi
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Yeah. Hi, Anand and team. Thanks for the opportunity. I have two questions. What is the inventory level with the C&C market before COVID and now?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

What is the inventory level in the C&C markets before COVID and now? Yeah. It will be lower. I don't know. I was looking at that number, but it will be lower, and I would say materially lower.

Shirish Pardeshi
Analyst, Centrum Broking

My understanding is C&C markets are in the range of 15-20 days inventory.

Is that assumption right in a normal scenario?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

It varies state to state, but all I'm saying is that whatever it was when the shutdown happened and today, it's lower because we have not been able to manufacture in line with the secondary demand because manufacturing took time to pick up and stabilize, right, and still not fully stable. So in the short run, in the month of May, our sales from the corporation have been more than the sales into the corporation. So this outstanding, which is higher with corporation market, is because of the supply which is happening in May, or the earlier also is higher? I'm not sure if it's higher in May in the corporation market. Sanjeev can add to it. We have one or two states where there have been some old collections that have still not come in, right?

Specifically, let's say Andhra Pradesh, right? So there are a couple of places where we have some old outstanding which have got stuck, which we are working to unblock. But the routine business corporation, there has not been a significant delay as far as I know, barring these bank holidays or closing of the month and stuff like that kinds of issues. Sanjeev, do you want to say something more on that?

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

Yeah. So I think I said in my initial presentation that as of 31st of March, overall refusals are absolutely within control. In fact, we lowered them the last year. So I'm not really sure where you're picking up these outstanding numbers.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Okay. I don't worry. It's not a matter of worry right now.

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

No, no, no, Anand. I'm not worried. I'm only saying that there is an opportunity, significant opportunity for sales push.

Shirish Pardeshi
Analyst, Centrum Broking

My second and last question is on Maharashtra, Karnataka, and UP market. If you could share, what is the contribution in terms of volume in these three states in FY19 and FY20?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

I mean, I don't think we are giving statewide volume contributions. I mean, that's really getting probably too granular. But suffice to say that Karnataka and Maharashtra are two bigger states, okay? Karnataka is the biggest state by volume by far because we have a massive popular business also in Maharashtra, in Karnataka. Maharashtra is big because we have a retained popular business. In UP, our popular business is franchise, okay? So by definition, Karnataka and Maharashtra are much bigger. UP is only a P&A market for us.

Shirish Pardeshi
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Anand, I got that. The reason why I'm asking is that the local competition in these two states is higher.

Whether you take John Distilleries or you take the other players, they have really become aggressive, and they're pushing the volume on discounting. So I just wanted to—I mean, even if you don't want to share, can you state your growth between 19 and 20 in these three markets?

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

So we're not going to share statewide growth, but suffice to say that, listen, both in Karnataka and Maharashtra, on popular, we have actually grown share, okay? And UP, we don't do popular. So I'm just saying in popular business, where there's aggressive local competition, we've actually gained share. So we are not—I mean, we're not in trouble there because of local competitors.

Shirish Pardeshi
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Okay. All right. Thank you and all the best.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

All right. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Well, ladies and gentlemen, with that, we come to the end of the annual call.

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Anand Kripalu for his closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Anand Kripalu
CEO, United Spirits Limited

Thank you, and I'd like to just thank everybody for taking the time and joining us on this call, and most importantly, staying supported and invested in our company as we have gone through this very, very challenging phase. All I'd like to say is we're all beginning to see the sun shine and the light at the end of this long tunnel, and therefore, I would look to the future with some positivity.

Thank you very much.

Sanjeev Churiwala
CFO, United Spirits Limited

Thank you. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Well, ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of United Spirits Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

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