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Earnings Call: H1 2024

Feb 21, 2024

Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to Ms. Sophie Moloney, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Hello everyone, and welcome to Sky's 2024 interim results briefing. Thank you for taking the time to join today's call. I'm Sophie Moloney, your Chief Executive, and I'm joined by James Marsh, Sky's interim CFO. I'll start today's presentation with an overview of what we've achieved in the first half, followed by a look at our performance and key parts of the business. James will then take you through the numbers in more detail before I take you through the capital management decisions announced today and the outlook for the period ahead. We'll then hand back to the operator and open the lines for your questions. So, turning to our half-year highlights, the business has performed well. Revenue grew by 4%, and we've recorded double-digit growth in both EBITDA and NPAT.

We did see some softening in customer numbers. That's essentially due to content challenges in Neon that I'll touch on later. The key point to make here is that despite that and the broader economic conditions, Sky is continuing to deliver strong results through execution of our strategy. That sustained growth trajectory has given the board confidence to increase the interim dividend to NZD 0.07 per share, raise dividend guidance for the full year, and announce a new NZD 15 million buyback program. As you can see on slide four, in the first half we've done a great job delivering against our strategy. We've showcased outstanding sports content to New Zealanders, including several World Cup events. We've achieved a significant 14% lift in employee engagement. And, as well as launching Sky Pod to the wider market, we've revitalized our free-to-air strategy with the launch of Sky Open.

At the same time, we've done what we said we were going to by strengthening our advertising capability. Not only have we delivered the cost savings we promised, we have also optimized our installation CapEx, which means that the period of higher investment will start to reduce in FY 2025. Turning to slide five, I'll draw out a few key points on the bridge. We've grown revenue across all the critical growth engines of the business with an overall increase of 3.7%. Sky Sport Now has done a great job of leveraging the incredible sporting content we've had to offer, and I'm particularly proud of the increase in advertising in a contracting market. Broadband has continued its consistent growth path, and in the round, the softness in Sky Box and Neon was significantly outpaced by growth in the other lines, delivering an overall increase of NZD 14 million.

Looking at the movement in EBITDA on the next slide, the increase is mostly driven by the revenue growth we've just discussed. The cost of growth category is directly linked to supporting that revenue growth in Broadband, Advertising, and Sky Sport Now. Like most businesses, we've seen some adverse impact through pay raises and in other categories, and we also took the positive decision to invest in our people. We're showing a programming cost increase here of NZD 3 million, but you can see that we've also made savings that put the overall increase at less than NZD 2 million. Those savings are part of the NZD 6 million of ongoing savings in the first half through a number of initiatives. Most significant within that is the NZD 3 million net saving from the organizational changes we implemented in FY 2023.

Importantly, we're on track to deliver the NZD 6 million of annualized savings we said at the time. Back in August, we shared our three priorities for FY 2024, and I'm pleased to report it was made positive progress against all of them. As we've touched on, our investment to lift employee engagement is already making a difference, with a hugely significant 14-point uplift in the first half. The work to develop our purpose and our investment to boost the skills of people leaders is also having an impact. There'll always be more to do, but I'm really happy with the improvements we're already seeing. On the second priority, while we've made progress on rolling out the new Sky experience, it hasn't gone entirely to plan. We made the conscious decision to slow the new Sky Box rollout to prioritize resolving some final teething issues.

At the same time, we improved the service experience and streamlined the logistics such that we're now moved to a program of product enhancements that is lifting experience further. With the long game in mind, taking the time to reset was an important and worthwhile action. It means that the take-up was slower in the half with 58,000 boxes in use, as we've shared today, but the higher satisfaction levels being reported by our customers is giving us confidence. We've been actively in market since earlier this month with a new Sky Box campaign and a fresh offer that's showing early positive signs. That's the case too for the Sky Pod, which was made available to all New Zealanders since the end of last year. The third of our priorities, creating new revenue streams, has got off to a great start.

The strategic choice to strengthen the team and our technical capability is already paying off, with a 12% increase in revenue in a market that's fallen by 16%. The team were able to quickly stand up new innovations in format and integrations that were particularly on display during the Rugby World Cup. The reaction from advertisers and agency buyers has been hugely encouraging. Although the market faces challenges, we see significant long-term opportunity ahead. Turning now to slide eight and a reminder of our significant presence in the New Zealand market through a multi-platform strategy that's delivering for customers, partners, and investors. A key competitive advantage is our diversified platforms and products, which enables choice for customers while maximizing the value of our content investment.

With over 1 million paying customer relationships and reaching four out of every five New Zealanders, we believe we're well on the way to being Aotearoa NZ's most engaging and essential media company. While we're by no means complacent, this portfolio effect is contributing to our resilience in these tougher economic times. We can't talk to our competitive advantage without talking about our unrivaled aggregated content offering, because that's our core purpose. That's why we exist: to share stories, to share possibilities, and to share joy. We had a phenomenal lineup of sport in the first half, including the hugely engaging NRL competition featuring our very own Warriors. We're not just about sport. We're also about an amazing array of entertainment content.

I'll discuss shortly the impact of the U.S. industry strikes on Neon, whereas for our Box business, there's been less of an impact given the wider variety of entertainment content available through our packages, including news and factual, movies, kids programming, and of course, our super cool Sky Originals content. Moving then from our strategic advantages to the operational performance of the business in the first half. Starting on slide 11 with Sky Box and Sky Pod, and there's been a small decline in revenue of 0.8% compared to a year ago. This is simply due to lower opening customer numbers and net customer loss, which we largely made up for through stronger ARPU now sitting at over NZD 82.50. Most of that increase is driven by carefully considered price rises and higher levels of sports package penetration.

Despite our reduced new Sky Box marketing activity, you can see on slide 12 that customer acquisitions, on a like-for-like basis, were up slightly from H2 of FY 2023. I'm pleased with the reduction in disconnections and consistent year-on-year churn rate, particularly at a time when we know household budgets are under pressure. Importantly, we've maintained discipline on margins when it comes to acquisitions and retention offers, with a 45% reduction in discounts. Turning now to our Streaming business, beginning with Sky Sport Now on slide 13. It's been a phenomenal period with new records set for revenue, ARPU, and customer numbers off the back of a particularly strong content lineup. The 45% jump in revenue included strong transactional pass sales and the benefit of price increases. The strength of our content continues to attract new audiences, with 25% of year-end customers being new to Sky Sport Now.

As expected and consistent with what we saw last year following the Men's FIFA World Cup, customer numbers have pulled back from those highs. But I'm excited to see the return of our major competitions with an incredible sellout crowd in Christchurch for the Warriors' preseason game last weekend and the much-anticipated rematch of the Super Rugby Pacific Final between the Crusaders and Chiefs kicking off the Super Rugby season tomorrow night. On slide 14, you'll see that Neon's performance has been impacted by the flow-on effects of the U.S. writers' and actors' strikes that delayed the arrival of key acquisition-driving titles, which are the lifeblood of entertainment Streaming services. This led to reduced customer numbers and a small impact on revenue.

The team has done a great job in keeping customers engaged, and we expect the progressive arrival of key titles to drive customer win-back and acquisition opportunities in the calendar year ahead. We launched our Neon basic tier over 18 months ago with our strategic roadmap in mind. So, last month, we repositioned this tier to include a light ad load, and at the same time, we upgraded to HD delivery and added a second stream. Our Standard tier on Neon doesn't have an ad load, although a static ad appears on pause, consistent with other players in the market. While growth has been slower than I would like, Sky Broadband margins have continued to improve, so we're locking in the gains as we go. We closed the half with over 30,000 customers, with an attachment rate of 6% and an attachment rate of 14% for Sky Box acquisitions.

The 1 Gb product remains extremely popular at just over half of the base, and we're seeing increased demand for our 550 product, which has quickly grown to 9%. It was pleasing to see that adding to our Canstar Customers' Choice Award. Consumer New Zealand recently rated Sky Broadband highest overall for broadband satisfaction, including the highest rating for speed and reliability. Turning now to slide 16, and our commercial business is tracking positively with consistently strong revenue. The accommodation segment is moving into new opportunities through an innovative accommodation solution in partnership with Hibox and new property developments coming on stream. The licensed premises segment is also performing well. Our tiered pricing strategy is opening up opportunities to add smaller venues, and ARPU continues to grow. I've already touched on the things we've been doing in the advertising space to grow our share of the significant revenue pool.

On this slide, you can see how that's playing out, with the upper chart showing Sky's impressive jump in revenue and a market share that's climbed 13%. Below that, we've charted the total market revenue for TV advertising, and you can see that for the same period, this fell by 15.5%. As I've mentioned, we launched into the digital advertising space in January through Neon, delivering the only SVOD advertising opportunity in our market, which is attracting over 50 top-tier brands. This is another important step in the execution of our strategy that takes us into the fast-growing digital advertising revenue pool. With that, I'll hand over to James, who will take you through the numbers in more detail.

James Marsh
Interim CFO, Sky Network Television

Thank you, Sophie. Now, looking at our overall performance, we're really pleased with the numbers as we've delivered a positive set of figures for the period and all of the headline metrics. Our revenue is growing at a faster rate than our costs, hence expanding our margin. We have executed against our cost agenda, delivering savings to reduce our cost growth. This has flowed to EBITDA growth, and despite a step up in depreciation, good NPAT growth. This has resulted in solid cash flows. We have booked two small adjustments to the figures, with minimal net impact to the profit and loss account. Now, to move to more detail, firstly, revenue.

Sky has had a strong strategic focus on growing revenue, and we are seeing the fruits of this building over a number of periods through good streaming performance, growing new revenue streams in broadband, reinventing our advertising propositions, and a solid performance in Sky Box has remained relatively consistent through this period, supported by good ARPU growth as Box customers have slowly declined. Two years ago, Sky Box represented 70% of our revenue. Now it's 64%, showing our diversification of our revenue streams. The Streaming and Broadband revenue has stepped up by NZD 23 million in the last two years alone. We are also now seeing the benefits of the focus on advertising showing growth despite a much tightening market. That focus on expanding revenue is coming through in a healthy trajectory of a three-year compound growth rate of 3.5%. Now moving to costs.

Our costs have shown steady increases, but we've been pleased to see a moderation of this growth through a combination of benefits from last year's transformational cost initiatives that have flowed into this financial year and a steady focus on programming cost optimization. Our programming costs include the full period impacts of new rights deals, where we have secured critical content including NRL, Formula One, and World Rugby. This has been offset by very strict assessment and choices of content, lower methods of content production, a delay in output from the industry strikes, and significant savings in our programming operation costs as we transform the way we do this to a much lower cost model. That focus kept the year-on-year increase to under NZD 2 million and came in at 50.4% of the percentage of revenue, an improvement from 51.8% in the last period.

We have seen a significant reduction in subscriber costs. This has been delivered by our transformation of how we operate our call center, as well as outsourcing and transforming the way we manage our logistics processes. Our broadcasting and infrastructure costs stepped up as a result of the growth in Broadband customers and also greater costs of platforms driven by the growth in Sky Sport Now. It is worth saying that we are seeing an enhanced margin as we continue to grow in our Broadband journey. Our other costs stepped up due to considered investment in advertising capability. Now, moving on to CapEx. Our CapEx investment continues at its inflated level as we move from investing in Box development to the investments in Box hardware and now rolling them out to customers. We have focused significantly on assessing the process for how we roll out the boxes.

We are focusing on lower-cost methods to ensure we get the boxes into customers quickly and efficiently. The 95% self-install rate we've achieved in the first half is higher than we originally anticipated, resulting in much lower CapEx investment costs than expected. This will deliver some benefits this year and will have far greater benefits next year as the higher initial levels of new Box purchases reduce. While CapEx will remain elevated, it means the overall CapEx will start to reduce in intensity during FY 2025. We have also invested in other growth CapEx this year, including advertising technology and new feature developments for Sky products. In addition, we have built strong controls to manage our levels of maintenance CapEx. Now, finally moving to cash flow. Despite the heavy CapEx investment, we are pleased to deliver a positive free cash flow driven by our improved earnings.

Our working capital remains negative, largely due to prior period content payments. We expect this to stabilize into the next financial year. CapEx payments are higher due to timing differences on payments that resulted in increased CapEx cash flow in the first half of 2024. We had a much lower level of share buyback than anticipated due to pausing the program during the period of the NBIO that limited our ability to buy shares to just 20% of the available days in the half. Adding, the four-year dividend payment brought total distributions in H1 to NZD 15.5 million. And finally, we closed out the period with a cash balance of NZD 47.4 million. Thank you, and now passing back to Sophie.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Thank you, James. Great job. Sky Sport is ever mindful of delivering returns for shareholders. Our strong first-half performance enabled an increased dividend of NZD 0.07 per share, and the ongoing confidence in cash generation is behind the increase in four-year guidance, now raised to at least NZD 0.175 per share. The combination of Sky's cash generation and a healthy balance sheet also means there is opportunity for additional capital management action. The board retains its conviction that Sky's shares remain undervalued and has therefore approved a new share buyback program for up to NZD 15 million. This will start immediately following the conclusion of the current 12-month program, which will end on 31 March. To our outlook and guidance for the full year.

The progressive return of acquisition-driving content suggests a gradual rebound for Neon during the calendar year, and we're also cognizant of the overall impact of increased economic headwinds. This has led us to update our FY 2024 revenue guidance, which is now forecast to be at the lower end of the range provided back in August. That said, we remain on target to deliver FY 2024 EBITDA and NPAT results in line with our original guidance numbers.

And, as James mentioned, while CapEx will remain elevated, we expect CapEx intensity to begin reducing during FY 2025. Looking further ahead, we're confident in achieving the three-year targets we communicated at the time of our FY 2023 results. The core of these involves growing revenue ahead of costs to deliver margin growth and the reduction in CapEx intensity that we're working towards. Supporting these financial metrics are clear targets for lifting employee engagement and customer satisfaction.

All are important, and in this first period of our three-year journey, we're tracking well, and we're already ahead in some areas. We will provide more detail in our progress at the full year. Suffice to say, we remain focused on delivering against our strategy and building on the execution momentum of the first half. With that, I'll now ask the operator to open the line for questions. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two. If you're on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question comes from Arie Dekker with Jarden. Please go ahead.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Oh, good morning. Yeah, first question, just in terms of the set-top Box rollout, I think you noted 58,000 in the installed base of the new Box at the half. What sort of time period are you sort of seeing for the rollout of that? Is it going to accelerate over calendar year 2024? And just also a bit of an indication of what inventory levels you're sitting on just as we sort of start to think about how quickly that CapEx intensity reduces.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Thanks, Arie. Yeah, we're excited to be now really going after this opportunity for our customers, so we will expect to see more penetration of the new Sky Box into the base in the coming couple of calendar years. We're not talking about the overall numbers that we have, but obviously we had an ordering schedule, and when you're dealing with significant overseas suppliers, you don't want to slip off that ordering schedule. So we're in a good place in terms of inventory. We will look to give more information on that at the full year.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Yeah, so you're not giving any guidance as to how much CapEx will fall off in 2025 at this point?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

No, not at this point.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Okay. And then the investment you've made, the other growth investment you made because, I mean, you provide quite aggregated stability now on your CapEx, but yeah, can you just what sort of level of investment was there in the ad platform, and will that continue over second half and into 2025, or is that pretty much done?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

I'll get James just to give you a bit of color there. Thanks, Arie.

James Marsh
Interim CFO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. So we effectively continue in terms of the overall range. And so in terms of as Sophie's just said, we're not looking to in terms of guide in terms of CapEx, although it is clear now that this current financial year is effectively the peak year in terms of absolute CapEx, and overall intensity will improve next year, but we're not looking to guide at this point on that. In terms of ad tech, I think that would be fair to say that that is a journey in terms of the amount that we have been investing, and it isn't a large amount of the CapEx and a great scheme of things. And so that is just a steady amount.

And really, as we work on platform by platform and build the integration and then build further capability, and then linked to ad tech is our data investment, which again is a steady investment that's been over the last couple of years. But when it comes to the larger, I would say, volume of the steps and the movements, it is driven predominantly by box purchases.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Yeah. And then just on Sky Sport Now customers, just sort of doing some back of the envelope, sort of trying to get a sense of how much of that 206,000 base is transactional versus the recurring customers that inform your ARPU disclosure there. Would it be fair to say that sort of circa a third of those customers are transactional? And if that's sort of the case, I mean, clearly sort of getting if you've got well over 125,000 sort Sky Sport Now customers now, would I be interpreting that right?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Sorry, Arie, just say that last little bit again. The microphone cut out.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Well, I'm trying to back out revenue by looking at the ARPU you're reporting for recurring customers, and clearly we can sort of see the ARPU you're sort of generating through the prices. Just trying to get a sense of how much of that 206,000 customers at the half that you're reporting are transactional versus recurring.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Yeah, I think we haven't given that level of information at this stage, Arie. So yeah, we're not going to break that out for you. I understand why you're asking. I suppose overall, I'd say the trajectory with Sky Sport Now in terms of customer numbers and the ARPU uplift and overall revenue is where we want it to be based on our sport investment. But we can look at the full year as to how we break out further.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Sure. No, I mean, that's good. And then just turning to Neon and just trying to understand a couple of things there in terms of where it might go to from here. I mean, I guess the first question is, and it's early days sort of thing, but have you seen much trade down to the ad tier post-implementation of the price changes and introduction of that tier?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

I mean, we're really comfortable with the way that both of those products are tracking, albeit the overall numbers are not where we want them to be because we know we haven't had the steady supply of those acquisition-driving titles. But the intention always was to make sure that, depending upon the household wallet or the individual, that we had a product that they could secure. So again, it's not something that we're breaking out, but you can kind of see that we've got a significant win-back pool to go after when those titles come back, and you can kind of see that the ARPU is pretty steady.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Yeah. And then just on the timing for those titles, and I may have missed it, but what's sort of coming in terms of win-back sort of titles?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. So look, House of the Dragon is one we're excited to welcome back. We just don't know if it's going to be unfortunately, I can't dictate the schedule by our financial year, Arie, as much as I'd love to from Auckland, but we're expecting that this winter is the best we can say at this stage. And then into FY 2025, it's Handmaid's Tale, White Lotus, Last of Us and Gangs of London from our various studios. So we are anticipating FY 2025 is going to be positive. FY 2024, we just have to wait and see what else is coming. That said, I do highly recommend the latest season of Fargo, if you haven't watched that, and also True Detective with Jodie Foster is super good.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Well, that was actually going to be my next point because, yeah, I mean, my own impression is actually that the content on Neon through this period has actually been quite strong. So the fall-off in customers I mean, I guess you do have those big marquee products that sort of attract customers, but would it be fair to say also that they sort of come in and they go pretty quickly around that content? Because it does seem like this base is sort of stabilizing now, doesn't it?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. Look, I think that this is overall the Streaming business model is a challenging one in that sense because consumers have been taught that they can switch on and switch off. That said, Neon has been, as you say, a consistent performer. We do have a depth of library there that does tend to retain customers. And so my expectation is that as these series return, we'll see those numbers get back to that more of a stable level from where they've been. But as I say, overall, this for me is the issue of the Streaming business model that the big studios set us on this path, and now we all need to accept that consumers understand their capability to switch on and switch off.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Yeah, which I guess is why Sky Sport Now's progress is quite pleasing. Last question, I mean, and congratulations because there's a lot to be pleased about in that first half result and particularly the EBITDA growth. But on the back of that, why is the guidance why haven't you upgraded the guidance, I guess, for EBITDA on what was quite a strong result and a guidance level that was obviously wasn't aggressive versus what you've achieved in the last couple of years?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

I just think we're in a really good place to be confirming guidance in a market where a lot of companies are not in that healthy position, Arie. And as you've seen, we have brought back revenue because we are seeing some of those impacts in market. So I'm really happy that we're confirming that guidance, but more importantly for our investor base, that we have actually uplifted on the dividend front. So that's, we think, really positive for our investor base.

Arie Dekker
Managing Director and Head of Institutional Research, Jarden

Great. Thank you.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Thanks, Arie.

Operator

Your next question comes from Aaron Ibbotson with Forsyth Barr. Please go ahead.

Aaron Ibbotson
Director and Senior Analyst of Equities, Forsyth Barr

Yes. Hi there. Good morning. I don't have a huge amount of questions following. Arie's quite comprehensive. I wanted to probe a bit on Sky Sport Now, which was clearly the highlight of these results. And I guess similar to Arie, I'm just trying to figure out what are transient and what is a more stable customer base that you're building up. And I'm just curious if you'd be willing to share the behavior you're seeing around your marquee events like the Football World Cup last year or Rugby World Cup now. Because I guess we've got the Olympics coming up, which is sort of comforting, I guess. But then after that, at least to a non-supersport person like me, it looks a little bit empty in the sort of calendar year 2025 and maybe back end of 2024 as well.

So you sort of worry seeing these big swings that Sky Sport Now could see a big swing down just like it's seen a big swing up after the Olympics. So I'm just wondering if you could share some trends that you've picked up from your data analysis around these marquee events. Thank you.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. Yeah. Look, you're spot on, Aaron, that marquee events attract a much wider base of customers. So those who are casual sports fans, which sounds like you might be one, will come in for those events and then decide if they're going to stay for the other content. That said, we think we've got an incredibly strong slate this year each year with the rights that we've secured. So NRL and rugby are very important season-long competitions that attract very steady audiences. But you're right, the Olympics is going to be another exciting moment for us, which we're going to be showcasing across all of our products, including Sky Open. And I think we're really comfortable that people have the choice to come in and enjoy these big events.

Of course, we hope that they then, as they're on the app, get to explore other content and we can hook them in. But that's just embracing the nature of streaming. And as you can see, the ARPU growth is really positive. And yeah, we're not concerned, as you might be, about some of the swings from marquee events. We just see it as an opportunity to engage with a broader fanbase. And that's also why we're looking with Sky Open to go out with Friday Night Footy and set it on a nice Super Rugby because we think that's another opportunity to cross-promote to our other products as well as invite who might be more casual fans to those products too. So a long way of saying, yeah, we see an uplift with big events, but we're really comfortable with that with the way that we price our products.

Aaron Ibbotson
Director and Senior Analyst of Equities, Forsyth Barr

Okay. Thank you. Secondly, and this may not be your favorite question, but if I go back to your targets from 2021, the main one that sort of haven't been achieved, I guess, is stabilize and then grow Sky Box customers. So if you haven't included that in your target for the next two or three years, and I appreciate you've got a revenue target, but when we look at this, there's various revenue and earnings streams we attach different multiples to. And I can't see any signs whatsoever that you're stabilizing and then growing your Sky Box customer base. And I appreciate you're replacing it with other revenue sources. But do you see a sign that this might happen if you sort of elaborate on your 2026 targets? Do you expect to have more or fewer Sky Box customers than you have today?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. So thank you, Aaron. I am super comfortable that you're asking that question. I've learned a huge amount, and the world has changed a fair amount since June 2021 when we set those targets. I remain in a place of thinking that the Sky Pod in particular, which is part of our Box product, has opportunity to involve a broader audience than the current Sky Box solution, particularly if it's IP only. But time will tell, Aaron, and you can continue to mark our homework on that one. That said, I do think the critical aspect here, Aaron, is about overall revenue growth. This is a portfolio effect. We're maximizing that content investment across all of these products. So I'm very happy that you will reference that at the end of the financial year as well.

What I will say is that the Pod, I think there's opportunity to engage, as I say, with a broader audience. But ultimately, I suppose what I want you to judge us on, and I think our investors will, is their ability to create operating leverage in the business, generate great free cash flows, and as a result, at the half year, we're uplifting the dividends and uplifting the full-year guidance to at least NZD 0.175. So that's the position I'd love us to be able to shift to. But that said, I agree with you. At the end of the financial year, we can have that conversation about where things are.

Aaron Ibbotson
Director and Senior Analyst of Equities, Forsyth Barr

Okay. Thank you. Final question, just again coming back to Arie's question on the guidance. If I compare the bottom end of the revenue guidance with the sort of bottom end of the NPAT guidance, it suggests to me that there is some expectations of cost growth or something in particular coming in in the second half or maybe on the depreciation amortization. So I was just wondering if James could elaborate or if you've just left the bottom end of the range there as a "conservative" or if it's a genuine bottom end of guidance.

James Marsh
Interim CFO, Sky Network Television

Look, it's a lower end of the guidance, but it isn't about being conservative. We're always conscious that these ranges are there for a purpose and to inform. The most critical aspect, actually, is the reflection on depreciation amortization. So the biggest impact, and we've seen the lift, as you'll have seen in the numbers in depreciation, that's really entirely driven by the new box acquisitions. And we are depreciating the boxes as we effectively put them in the warehouse. And so that means we've lifted our depreciation. And as we get deliveries in, because as Sophie touched on, we're dealing with big suppliers here who deliver, who do very large volume runs, effectively. So as we buy those boxes in, that's putting upwards pressure on the depreciation number. So you see the half and half there. Our expectation is that step up in the second half on depreciation amortization.

Aaron Ibbotson
Director and Senior Analyst of Equities, Forsyth Barr

Okay. That makes sense. Thank you. That's all.

Operator

Your next question comes from Phil Campbell with UBS. Please go ahead.

Phil Campbell
Executive Director, UBS

Yeah. Morning, Sophie. And James has got three quick ones. Sophie, just being interested in your views. I think Foxtel yesterday or today has just launched their Hubbl platform, and they've actually got Stack & Save. As I'm assuming, that's a mechanism to try and minimise people tuning or pausing on some of the Streaming products. I was just wondering, is that something that Sky would also look at, that type of product?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. Look, we're always interested to see what our colleagues are doing across the ditch and around the world. And the idea of pausing subscription and enabling customers to stay with you is a very positive one. I think overall, Hubbl, our new Sky experience has a number of those features and capability going forward. But yes, the Stack & Save in terms of pausing subscription, if that's what you mean, yeah, I think it's a useful tool, right, particularly in a streaming world.

Phil Campbell
Executive Director, UBS

Yeah. Yeah. I suppose the second question was just, you touched on the Friday Night Footy. Just interested to get your views on that. So I'm assuming the kind of sports fanatics, well, obviously, they'll pay for live sports, whereas maybe more casual users will be happy to go onto Sky Open. I think there's about a 12-minute delay with the ads. So I'm assuming that when you've done these products, you're assuming there's not going to be a lot of churn on the fanatical side of it. Does that help?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. Look, I think, well, you only learn by doing and innovating. But yeah, that's our assessment. And we've looked across at other events where we've gone out free-to-air. We see viewership rising across each of our products. But in this instance, if you're a league fan, we don't think the 20-odd games out of 200 is going to suffice. And same with Super Rugby, 19 out of 91 or thereabouts. If you really love your footy or your rugby, we do think that the value that we give you through Sky Sport Now or on Sky Sport will keep you. But look, we're going to learn, right? If we find that some of our customers are content with one game a week of rugby, well, that's also useful information as we look at our renewal process too.

Phil Campbell
Executive Director, UBS

Yeah. Okay. Awesome. Just coming onto the CapEx question, trying to ask it in a slightly different way. Obviously, you've got these targets out there for 2026. I think the CapEx intensity, the guidance here is 7%-9%. Is it fair to say that if there's less CapEx intensity in FY 2025, could we be moving more to the bottom end of that 7%-9% range in 2026?

James Marsh
Interim CFO, Sky Network Television

Yeah. I mean, so we see our 7%-9%. I think that's always been what we see as our kind of normal run rate kind of level of CapEx. And clearly, ideally, you'd be at the lower end of that. It would be fair to say when we are now looking at our numbers in the current year, we're ahead of that range, predominantly driven by the boxes we're purchasing and then additional CapEx we're spending on in terms of the satellites and satellite migration and those kind of areas. We do expect next year to be at an inflated level. What we are, though, targeting and working on, that it probably won't be as inflated as we previously thought it would be, but we still expect it to be inflated. But as a better intensity next year than this financial year.

Then by 2026, we're looking to return back into the 7%-9% range. Clearly, where we sit in that 7%-9% range, it's too early to tell in terms of that position. The key factor for that step down is we're buying the bulk of the boxes, actually new boxes, this year, but we're still buying them next year. We still expect to buy some in the future, but get it back to a more steady state. Similarly, we'll be past the satellite migration capital phase as well. As we touched on earlier, there is a level of investment in growth projects that we're making last year, this year, and next year. That will carry on. But again, I'm hoping possibly a slightly lower level that can take us back to that more normal range of CapEx.

Phil Campbell
Executive Director, UBS

Great. Thanks. Awesome.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Thank you.

Operator

Once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Your next question comes from Brian Han with Morningstar. Please go ahead.

Brian Han
Director of Equity Research, Morningstar

Oh, hi. On Sky Broadband, you say somewhere that margins improved. Are you talking gross margins or EBITDA margins?

James Marsh
Interim CFO, Sky Network Television

We're talking predominantly, when we say that, directly attributable cost margin. And so that would be somewhere between, I guess, between gross and EBITDA. So what we're not doing as part of that is looking at; we haven't attributed any costs as part of that analysis, so trying to look at between products. So we're looking at all the costs that we can see that are directly attributable to Broadband. And really, it's a reflection on, as the base grows, some of the initial discounts that we'd offer customers early on on wind, and so the percentage on discounts gets a smaller percentage of the total base overall. And also, as time goes by, we're able to look at the costs, optimize the costs, and drive scale efficiencies.

So it's slightly in between the two, I would say, in terms of but what we're not doing is attempting to allocate any kind of any overhead costs, effectively, to that.

Brian Han
Director of Equity Research, Morningstar

Okay. And has there been any change in the way you guys look at this Broadband business in terms of its benefit to your Sky Box Streaming or just as a standalone business on its own?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

No, no change in the way that this is all about driving value for our Sky content customers, if you like. Particularly on Sky Box, we see a great opportunity to bundle with Sky Pod, especially into urban dwelling centers. So no, no change on that front. It's very much about supporting our core business.

Brian Han
Director of Equity Research, Morningstar

Okay. Finally, Sophie, your interest in getting more into the advertising space, does that ambition extend to assets in Australia, or is it purely in New Zealand?

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

We're very focused on the New Zealand market.

Brian Han
Director of Equity Research, Morningstar

Okay. Thank you.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time, and I'll hand back to Sophie for closing remarks.

Sophie Moloney
CEO, Sky Network Television

Just for me to say thank you to everyone for joining today's call. Also, a big thank you to all of my team. Been working incredibly hard to deliver these results for our investors, whom we look forward to speaking with in the coming days. Thank you all and [Foreign langauge].

Operator

It does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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