Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Statoil's first quarter earnings presentation. My name is Hilde Møllerstad. I'm the head of investor relations in Statoil. This morning at 7:00 A.M., Statoil announced the results for the first quarter of 2014. The press release and the presentations for today's event have been distributed through the wires and through Oslo Stock Exchange. The quarterly report and the presentations can as usual be downloaded from our website, statoil.com. Please make special note of the information regarding forward-looking statements, which can be found on the last page of the presentation. Today, Statoil CFO Torgrim Reitan will go through the earnings and the outlook for the company. The presentations will be followed by a Q&A session, and we will aim to end this conference at the latest at 2:30 CET.
Please note that the questions can be posted by means of telephone, but not directly from the web. The dial-in numbers for posting questions can be found on the website. It is now my privilege to introduce Statoil's Chief Financial Officer, Torgrim Reitan. Please, Torgrim.
Thank you very much, Hilde, and good afternoon and good morning to all of you in the U.S. Through the quarter, we have addressed the challenges that the oil industry is facing. Growing capital intensity, production growth has become increasingly difficult, and profitability is under tough pressure. At the Capital Markets Day in February, we outlined how we are meeting these challenges, how we are prioritizing hard, reducing our cost base, and increasing efficiency to get more out of each dollar that we spend, and prioritizing returns to shareholders. With this as a background, I am glad to present you with a strong set of numbers today. The results represent both solid operations but also progress in deliveries on our new plan. Let's look at the numbers. In the first quarter, Statoil delivered adjusted earnings of NOK 46 billion.
This is up 9% compared to the same quarter last year. The after-tax earnings are up more than 30% to around NOK 16 billion. Cash flow from underlying operations in the quarter was NOK 67 billion, and we maintained good cost control and a strong capital discipline. Our net debt was reduced to 10% in the quarter, and earnings per share were at NOK 7.40. That is more than NOK 5 more than last year. This was an especially strong quarter for our MPR segment. The results demonstrate the importance of a strong and flexible gas position in Europe as well as in North America. Strong demand in North America and our access to important gas infrastructure enabled us to get high prices for our gas. Our operational performance in the first quarter was solid, especially on the Norwegian Continental Shelf.
We are producing as expected, and we are on track to deliver the 2% production growth from the rebase level. Despite recent divestments and the redetermination at Ormen Lange, we are producing at the same level as last year. Our NPS production would have grown 3% a year without divestments and redetermination. Overall, for the company, the production would have grown by 3.5% year-on-year as our international production continued to grow around 4%, year-on-year. We are delivering according to our plan on our projects. Gudrun came on stream at the 7th of April on time and under cost. This is the first one in a wave of large projects using a diverse international supplier base.
Two additional fast-track projects came on stream according to plan, adding valuable liquid production to our NCS portfolio, and we made the concept selection for the gigantic Johan Sverdrup field. When that reaches plateau, the field will be one of the largest producing offshore oil fields in the world. We continue to maintain good cost control and capital discipline, and we continue to see stable underlying costs. At the Capital Markets update in February, I talked extensively about our efforts to reduce costs. The work to implement the necessary changes is well underway. We are delivering on the staff and services projects. Manning is significantly reduced, and we are continuing to outsource services within this area. Furthermore, we work to standardize our projects, working on execution and make this more cost efficient. That work has started.
Finally, the board of directors is proposing to pay NOK 1.80 per share for the first quarter in 2014, as we move from an annual dividend payment to quarterly dividend payments. The dividend will be paid in August, and our intention is to maintain this level of dividend also in the two coming quarters. The level for the fourth quarter dividend will be announced in 2015. Remember, these are additional dividend payments this year, as we intend to pay the 2013 annual dividend, which is proposed to NOK 7 per share. We're going to pay that by the end of May. Our reported operating income was NOK 51.4 billion in the first quarter. That is up 35% over last year. As always, we make adjustments to reflect the underlying business.
After adjusting down the result by NOK 5.4 billion, our net operating income was NOK 46 billion. That is up 9%, compared to last year. The result was slightly impacted by 1% lower production, but was more than offset by an increase in realized prices measured in Norwegian kroner. Our costs in underlying operations continued to remain stable. However, as a result of increased international production, our transportation costs increased. In addition, we had some increased costs related to startup preparations of new fields. DD&A continued to increase in accordance with our expectations. As we have more new fields on stream, we continue to see some increases during the rest of the year, but the increase will not be as large as we saw in 2013. We delivered adjusted earnings after tax of NOK 15.8 billion.
That is up 32% from the same quarter last year. The tax rate was 65.6%, which is lower than the guided tax rate. The earnings composition internationally this quarter is more skewed towards low tax countries, such as in North America. You should expect the volatility in the tax rates from quarter to quarter, and the expected tax rate for the full year is unchanged from around 70%. In the coming years, we expect to see the tax rate stabilize below 70%, and this is primarily due to increased contribution from the US and Canada. Not least the highest value oil barrel we have under development in the Gulf of Mexico. Let's take a look at the segments. From our Norwegian upstream business, we delivered adjusted earnings of NOK 34.2 billion.
This is slightly down compared to last quarter. The 2% decrease was mainly caused by divestment, lower gas offtake, redetermination on Ormen Lange, and decline as expected. This was partly offset by a high regularity within our operations. Underlying costs from producing fields were stable in the quarter. DD&A were up compared to same quarter last year due to new fields on stream, but they were at the same level as the previous quarter in the fourth quarter 2013. From our international operations, adjusted earnings were NOK 6.9 billion. This is more than 40% higher than the same period last year. We increased our equity production by 4% as we ramped up Angola fields and resumed production in In Amenas in Algeria.
We also had Terra Nova in Canada back on stream and continued to ramp up our US onshore production as well. The increase was offset in part due to natural decline, especially in Angola, and disruptions resulting in lower production from Libya. Revenues were positively impacted by higher entitlement production, NOK 1.5 billion, and higher realized liquid and gas prices in kroner, NOK 0.7 billion. This is partly offset by higher operating costs related to transportation and royalties, which are a function of the production volume. The results from Marketing, Processing, and Renewables were NOK 5.9 billion, and this is a record result on a quarterly basis from that segment. This is more than 100% higher than the same quarter last year.
A large contribution comes from our US gas business, driven by the exceptionally cold winter in the northeastern part of the United States and contribution from LNG. We have taken long-term positions in pipelines to Toronto and into Manhattan. We are optimizing our gas value chain much the same way that we do in Europe. We also saw good results from our European gas business despite the warm winter and lower volumes sold into this market due to lower prices. The first quarter saw an improvement in trading of crude, gas liquids, and products over the same quarter last year. However, the result was partly offset by declining refinery margins that were at $2.5 the last quarter. In the first quarter, we produced 1,978,000 barrels per day.
This is 1% lower than the same quarter last year. In Norway, we had strong regularity. The main causes for the lower production compared to last year are divestments and the redetermination of Ormen Lange. International production continued to increase. We have provided a guidance of around 2% organic production growth this year from a rebased level. The production in the first quarter was in line with what we need in order to deliver on this growth. This also implies that the production for the rest of the year is expected to be lower than what we saw in the first quarter. Please note the following for the rest of the year. On the NCS, Gudrun started production in April and is now ramping up. We have also two fast-track projects, new fast-track projects on stream.
Valemon is our next large operated project to start, and we aim to have the field on stream towards the end of the year. Internationally, the divestment of Shah Deniz to BP was closed end of March, and we expect the divestment to Suncor to close shortly. Hence, this will have a negative production impact for the rest of the year. As you know, the next three quarters have seasonally lower gas production, and they have also a higher planned maintenance. I will come back to this under the outlook session. Using our assets, flexibility and value chain competence is an important part of our strategy. In Europe, we have modernized our gas contract portfolio. Our contract portfolio is less exposed to future price reviews than previously.
As of first quarter, 6% of NCS-based contract portfolio is subject to price reviews, and around 60% of the NCS gas is sold under long-term contracts. In parallel, we have realized high prices on our gas sales portfolio. In U.S. shale, we are placed in some of the best place. We saw early that infrastructure challenges and bottlenecks would put pressure on local gas prices. We secured access to pipelines to reach premium markets in the Toronto area and as well on Manhattan. We now sell equity gas as well as third-party gas into these premium markets, and in January and February, we benefited significantly from these positions. On average, we achieved prices 129% above Henry Hub and 336% above local liquid hubs.
This is an average for the whole U.S. position, including, you know, Eagle Ford production and all of that. In the first quarter, around 70% of our global gas sales were gas indexed. We believe we are in a strong position to capture additional value through our gas business. You must expect to see volatility in the quarterly figures also in the future. The cash generation was strong. Cash flow from underlying operations was NOK 57 billion. This is 17% higher than last year. The increase is due to higher realized prices measured in kroners as well as stronger performance in the midstream and downstream part of the business. For NCS, we paid only one tax installment in the first quarter, so the cash tax is consequently lower than the reported tax on underlying earnings.
We have closed the farm-down of Shah Deniz to BP, while the farm-down to Suncor is expected to be closed in the second quarter. We invested twenty-nine billion kroners in the quarter, which is in line with an average quarterly run rate based on the annual guidance. Our net debt to capital employed was 10% in the first quarter. It demonstrates a strong financial position. As we are paying one and a half annual dividend this year, we expect gearing at year-end to be around 20% as we discussed in London in February. We continue with a firm financial framework and a solid balance sheet. Let's move to the outlook. We expect our production to grow 2% from 2013 on a rebased level.
New fields will contribute to this growth, Gudrun, fast-track projects, and towards the end of the year, the Statoil-operated Valemon field. We will invest around $20 billion in 2014. We deliver projects on time and under cost. We are committed to deliver on our improvement program and implement cost savings and CapEx efficiency programs. I will report progress on this on our strategy update next year. We maintain a high exploration activity. Total exploration activity level will be around $3.5 billion, and we expect to complete around 50 wells in 2014. We will have high-impact exploration in 6 basins this year. We have just spudded the exciting Martin prospect in the Gulf of Mexico, and we will spud the gigantic Dilolo prospect in the Congo Basin later in the quarter.
Our Barents campaign will enter a new phase when we move to the Hoop area to start drilling three wells starting next month. In total, we will drill 20 high-impact wells during the 2014 and 2016 time period. We are entering an extensive maintenance period with around 110,000 barrels per day in effect for the second quarter. 65% will be related to liquids, 75% will be on the NCS. For the third quarter, we expect a maintenance effect of around 60,000 barrels per day. 60% of this is liquids and 60% on the NCS. To round up, we delivered strong earnings and had strong cash generation. Our operational performance was good with production as expected. We realized significant value from our North American value chain position.
We are delivering projects on time and under cost, and we are proposing a first quarter dividend of NOK 1.80 per share. Looking ahead, we are well-positioned. We continue to efficiently develop our project portfolio. We have a strong resource base, and we are prioritizing strongly. Our exploration program is extensive, and there are several exciting wells for the rest of the year. We will maintain a firm financial framework, and we will continue to pay a predictable and growing dividend. We will do all of this while we are keeping our balance sheet solid. Thank you very much for your attention. First, Hilde, this is your last quarter as head of investor relations. You will move to Singapore and become our country manager there.
I just want to thank you for the strong efforts you have contributed with over the years. Please note that Hilde was instrumental in putting in place the Toronto Pipeline and the Manhattan Pipeline. I think it was a perfect quarter to finalize the role in investor relations. We will send a release when your replacement is ready. Hilde, please help us through the Q&A session.
Thank you very much, Torgrim, and thank you for the kind words. For the Q&A session, Torgrim will be joined by Svein Skeie, who is the Senior Vice President for Performance Management and Risk, and Ørjan Kvelvane, who is the Senior Vice President for Accounting and Financial Compliance. We'll take your questions both from the audience here in Oslo and over the telephone, and I will first ask the operator to explain the procedure for asking questions over the telephone.
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question over the telephone, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Again, please press star one to ask a question over the telephone.
Thank you, operator, and we'll start with questions from the audience here in Oslo. I'll ask you to please limit yourselves to one question each and also state your name and who you represent. For you in Oslo, please remember to hold down the button on your microphone while you are talking. Please go ahead. Oslo, any questions? Yes, Teodor Sveen-Nilsen ?
It's from Morgan Stanley. Torgrim mentioned the DD&A per barrel, that will go down over the next few years. Historically, the DD&A per barrel
Around $1 as far as I remember. Does that imply that we expect a lower increase for 2014 and $1 compared to 2013?
Okay. Thank you, Teodor Sveen-Nilsen. Just to take away any misunderstanding. I expect the DD&A per barrel to grow, increase from the level where we are today. The growth will be less than the growth that we saw last year in DD&A. More specifically, I won't go into, you know, the specific numbers, but it is related to that new fields are coming on stream and new production have a higher DD&A per barrel than existing production due to there are two things. Normally, they are more capital-intensive than historic projects. Secondly, you depreciate over a limited reserve base that will grow over the lifetime of the field.
Is it fair to assume that the DD&A will increase more in Norway than outside Norway per barrel?
No, that's not a fair assumption.
Okay, thanks.
Any further questions in our call? Yes, Kjetil.
Kjetil Bakken from Carnegie. I was wondering if you could elaborate a bit on the situation in the European gas market. The turmoil in Ukraine has created fears that there could be supply disruptions from Russia. To what extent does Statoil have capacity, spare capacity to cover any such shortfalls? How do you see the longer-term perspective on the European gas markets, if EU would like to diversify its energy supply?
Okay. Thank you, Kjetil. A big question. You know, we have closely had a makeover of a gas contract portfolio. Currently, we have the flexibility within Statoil to serve the various parts of Europe and also to decide how much gas is coming to the various landing points. The flexibility lies with us currently. That is always a strength. With the current situation in Europe, we have had a mild winter, so storage positions are quite full. There is flexibility there in the short term to cater for any disruptions. You know, we have some flexibility to move our own gas. We will do that to optimize our own prices and using the flexibility.
Of course not in the magnitude that you know that you are mentioning. When that is said, you know, we would like to see stable gas deliveries to Europe from all sources. It is important that gas is reliable and trustworthy energy source to Europe. It is important for Europe, it's important for climate, and it's important for Norway. In the longer term, we see that Europe needs more gas. It needs more gas from Europe. It needs more gas from Russia and also from other sources. We find Europe as an attractive market going forward.
Johan?
Johan Mölbach, Handelsbanken. A question regarding costs and projects going forward. You have a review on different projects, costs on Castberg, it's more than 2040, and also on the UK sector assets. What sort of approaches do you have on these reviews? Is it on the total concept? Is it on the phase, more phase relevant, or, and is it integration with other projects in the area? Especially regarding Norway, to what extent has the exemption from the uplift changes last year helped you in your projects?
Thank you, Martin. You touch upon specific projects. Point number one, we are prioritizing very hard in the portfolio. We are opportunity rich. Many projects to choose from are positive net present value is currently not sufficient to get allocated investment funds. When it comes to Johan Castberg, we are looking at different concepts. We are not ready to make an investment decision yet. We are in the process of finalizing the drilling campaign around Johan Castberg in the Barents. It's fair to say that the result of that is disappointing. We had hoped for larger volumes that could have supported the original concept. We are currently in an evaluation phase, and we will see.
I don't have a specific date for when we make a concept selection. Very much so also for Snorre 2040. We are not yet ready to make a concept selection, but we are working to look at various concepts and optimizing the assets. When it comes to Bressay in the UK, that project is postponed. We have not a specific date, but it's some activity still in the license, but that has been actively postponed. On the extension from the uplift, yeah. It has not materially changed our view on the situation. Is that the short answer?
Do we have any further questions in Oslo? If not, we will move on to the questions over the telephone. Our first question today comes from Oswald Clint from Sanford C. Bernstein. Please go ahead, Oswald.
Yes, thank you very much. First question just on the North American gas, specifically the Marcellus. The growth there has been pretty linear in terms of its upward trajectory since you started. Do you have enough pipeline capacity to keep getting that gas out to market, and especially with the growth you're expecting? Linked to that, do you, with the kind of higher Henry Hub gas prices, would you contemplate adding more rigs into that resource space going forward? The second question is, focusing in on your OPEX per barrel, which I think it's dropped a little bit if you take the first quarter this year versus the first quarter last year.
Is that starting to show some of your cost-cutting initiatives, or it's still too early to actually expect that to start to show up? Thank you.
Okay. Thank you very much, Oswald. First on Marcellus, the capacity we have is 3 BCM into Toronto, and it's 2 BCM into Penn Station at Manhattan. That is sufficiently for us, for you know, quite a bit of period going ahead. Currently, we are filling up the capacity with third-party gas volumes. When it comes to the rig count and number of rigs in Marcellus, we are currently running rigs there. 9 rigs in Marcellus. Our main priority there is to drill to keep land, building pads, and hooking up to infrastructure. The local prices in Marcellus has been significantly lower than Henry Hub in the quarter.
The spread has narrowed a bit, lately, but we are, of course, monitoring it closely. This asset we take a very long-term perspective on. We're not in it for 2014 or 2015. This is going to be tapped off for decades to come. We are optimizing around that. When it comes to the operational cost per barrel, I mean, you see from the accounts that there is an increase in operational cost in absolute terms. 60% of that growth is related to increased transportation costs, especially in North America. It is related to growing production, and it's related to us being able to achieve higher prices. It is also affected by project costs on Gina Krog, Valemon, Aasta Hansteen, and Oseberg.
When you look at the underlying, for instance, field costs on the Norwegian Continental Shelf, that has remained stable for, I think it must be close to 10 quarters now, even if we have more fields into production. I can promise you the NCS teams are working very hard on costs, and we see it in the numbers. We see it in the way that they work. It is starting to feed into the numbers, but I expect there to be more to come.
Perfect. Thank you very much, Torgrim.
From Thomas Adolff with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead, Thomas.
Good afternoon. Thanks. The line was not so clear, so I hope I'm not repeating myself. My question is around portfolio management and distribution to shareholders, please. I mean, if I look at the past few years, you've monetized quite a few assets on good terms. If I think about your portfolio right now, it is opportunity-rich because you had superior exploration success, and therefore there's more potential for more portfolio management. We all know that. My question really is around when I think about further portfolio management from here on, is it fair to assume that the easy wins have already been done and that quite a bit of your contingent or discovered resource base is still in the early stages where the value has to be still fully maximized through appraisal?
With that, my question really is it fair to assume that further material monetization, even on your base portfolio?
Should not be expected in the near term. If that is the case, you know, the potential for discretionary share buyback should not really be happening anytime soon. Is that a fair thinking around portfolio management and share buybacks? Thank you.
Thank you so much. We have not actively communicated a divestment target, and that is deliberately. We have, however, divested, you know, quite a bit over the last three to four years from $18 billion, so that has generated significant capital gains. We take a very pragmatic approach to our portfolio. Each project needs to stand the test from a strategic point of view, from a profitability point of view, and from a capacity point of view. As you say, we are opportunity rich, and we have made significant discoveries over the last two years. You should expect there to be more transactions coming going forward. I can't be specific on what size and when, but that is a natural part of our strategy and something that we want to continue.
When it comes to share buyback. As we said in February, we intend to use that more actively going forward. It will be linked to divestment proceeds, the free cash flow situation in the company and the balance sheet situation. This is a natural tool to use when we are in the situation that we are.
Perfect. Thank you very much.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Haytham Hodaly with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead, Haytham.
Thank you. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking the questions. Three, if I may. One just on startups in 2Q. You mentioned that Gudrun obviously starting up most recently and on track. Really wanted to just get an update from you on particularly Clov and some of your fast tracks, whether we should be expecting sort of further contribution from some of these startups in 2Q in particular. Secondly, just to come back on your point around the cash generation for the quarter. Very, very sort of good to see that being so strong in 1Q. I do recognize that this is obviously only one quarter.
If you could just give us a bit of color or a bit of a sense of how you see that result relative to your sort of longer term expectations. The $22 billion that you've talked about on average for operating cash flow for 2014 to 2016. Does this at all kind of, you know, either give you more confidence or change your kind of thinking around that cash flow guidance and thinking about sort of how the free cash flow potential of that portfolio could sort of evolve from here on. Finally, just a quick question on Tanzania.
There have been some recent press reports suggesting that a constitutional review in the country could sort of delay the process around getting approvals necessary for furthering the LNG development and sort of moving that process going forward. I just wanted to get your sense on how you felt that was progressing and whether you still see this as an event within the sort of time horizon you've stated. Thank you.
Okay. Thank you, Haytham. First question, startups, fast track. We have two more fast tracks coming during the year. As far as I recall, it is in the second half of the year. When it comes to Clov, maybe, Svein, you have more specifics on that in Angola. You can take that afterwards. When it comes to cash generation. You are right. Strong cash generation in the quarter. When it is related to our guidance, as at the Capital Markets Day, I mean, we were confident at that point in time, and we are still confident related to that guidance.
I think it's important to note that, you know, the cash generation this quarter is affected by that, you know, the day after the first of April, we paid taxes of NOK 15.5 billion. Also, there are, you know, there are also other elements in there. We have an arbitration case that we have described in the MD&A is also contributing, you know, with cash in the quarter. Going forward 2016, I think it is important to recall that the growth that comes on, especially from the US, is without taxes. We are not paying taxes in the US. Improving results and improving cash flows in the US are right to the bottom line.
It will impact the average tax rate for the company and will be an important contributor to the growth in cash flow from operations. Tanzania progressing well. We are drilling another well in the license. Site location happening. I think all the work is progressing well. But you know, as I said earlier, we are not in a rush. We want to make this right more than as soon as possible.
Svein, on the globe?
In Clov, the FPSO arrived at the field in January, and it is now being in the process of the integration towards the field. We expect to start up around mid-year there. I'm going into further details, but then we go to the operator on it, but around mid-year.
Okay, thank you very much.
Much.
Thank you, Haytham. The next question comes from Guy Baber from Simmons. Please go ahead, Guy.
Yes, thank you guys for taking my question. I was hoping you could talk a little bit more about the fast track portfolio. I was just hoping you could share what level of production those projects are contributing right now and when you expect to hit a peak level of contribution. Also, it's my understanding that those volumes should begin to decline by 2016. Is that accurate? Are you evaluating additional potential fast track projects that could either extend that plateau there or even increase production beyond 2016? I'm just trying to get a better sense of what medium-term production upside there might be based on more contributions from fast track projects.
Yes. Well, thank you very much, Guy. You know, we take a lot of inspiration from the fast track concept, and we want to extend that way of thinking into the broader portfolio. That is very much about what the capital efficiency project is about. When it comes to the specific projects, two more have been put into production in the quarter. Now I think we have eight producing. We are expecting two more in the quarter. Then we have a long list of projects that are candidates for being on fast track. You know, this is a popular concept. If a project manager can qualify for being a fast track project, they know that the project's you know more likely to happen.
There is a string of projects that we have to choose from. For us, this is a long-term initiative, and we expect there to be more projects to come. But you're right. I mean, with the current existing projects that we are working on, it will start to decline sometime in the future. To me, this is assets that have generated, you know, very strong net present value and returns to the company. We are encouraged and want to use that concept going forward as well.
So production-
The fast track production level this year is still growing. Any details, Svein?
It's growing then towards the year-end. As Torgrim Reitan said, we have launched a few more fast tracking into production. We expect another one to come in in the third quarter and a fourth one in the fourth quarter. We're also expecting one to come in in 2016 earlier than planned. It's in the pace of being ramped up.
Okay, great. I had one quick follow-up. You stated that overall production was in line with the internal plan and the full year guidance, but my question was specifically related to the Norway liquids production, which was pretty strong this quarter. Is it fair to say that Norway liquids production was better than you all had expected 1Q, and any color around that?
Production from Norway was strong, particularly related to the regularity in the business. They actually delivered more than the target on the regularity in the quarter. It was a good liquid production in the quarter. It's sort of very much in line with the guidance for the full year, 2% growth from a rebased level.
Thank you.
Thank you.
Okay. I still have quite a list of questions, so I'll just ask you to limit yourselves to one question each. The next question comes from Alejandro Demichelis from Exane BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
Yes, good afternoon. Thank you very much for taking the question. Just, coming back to Tanzania, could you please update us, Torgrim Reitan, in terms of the discussions around the tax situation over there? Thank you.
Thank you. All right. Okay, Alejandro, thank you. Can we be more specific?
Well, the proposal to potentially impose some extra taxes and royalties on the development of gas production, how the discussions are going there?
All right. Thank you. I think I don't have any specifics to discuss with you in the quarter, but of course, everything around framework and taxes and government and all of that is very important before we take any decisions in this respect. It is important things that we are discussing with the authorities.
Okay, great. Thank you.
Okay, great. Thank you.
Thank you, Alejandro. The next question comes from John Olaisen at ABG. Please go ahead, John.
Yeah, good afternoon. A question on tax rate internationally. A few years back, you said that your guidance was 40%-45% internationally. In 2011, you upped that to 50%-55%. You also said that in a couple of years, when the North American production is becoming more important, the tax rate should come down. As I said, your recent guidance you said is 50%-55%, and in Q1 it was only 43.5%. I wonder if you could tell us a little bit, is it starting to happen now? Is the tax rate internationally coming down, please?
Okay, thank you. Thank you, John. The tax rate in the international segment this quarter was 43%, so it's, you know-
Right
Obviously lower than the guidance. We have said 50%-55% tax rate internationally is still valid. Over time, we expect that to come down as you know both U.S. production you know over the next 2-3 years will grow with sales tax and in due time also Canadian production growing with a lower tax rate than the average. You're right, it is that is the expectation going forward. As I said, the guidance is still there, and it is still valid for the year.
We should expect the rebound, the tax rate internationally come up again in Q2?
On a yearly basis, around 70% tax rate is our guidance and that remains firm. Implicitly, it means that the tax rate for the last three quarters needs to be a bit higher than in the first quarter, yes.
Okay. In the U.S., you have a big tax loss carryforward, so you don't pay any cash tax. Does your U.S. operation carry any P&L tax accounting-wise?
We are not paying taxes in the U.S., and we are not carrying P&L taxes either for the time being.
Yeah, thank you.
Thank you, John. Next question comes from Michael Alsford with Citi. Please go ahead, Michael.
Thanks, Hilde. I've just got a question on the pre-salt Angola farm outs. I guess given the size of Statoil and I guess your strong recent track record on exploration, and particularly how positively you talk about Dilolo and the area, I was a bit surprised that you decided to farm out ahead of drilling. Did this decision relate to a change in view on the potential exploration in terms of the risk of drilling in the region or is it just simply risk management more broadly across the business? Then just a quick question to follow up on just the arbitration payment that will be made in second quarter to Eni. Could you give a sense as to what the value of that is?
Because there's a number of numbers floating around in the market, and I just wanted to confirm it. Thanks.
Okay. Thank you, Michael. Our view of the pre-salt Kwanza and Dilolo has not changed at all. This is risk management. The exploration cost is very high related to those three, and we have a very high equity share. That is risk management. When it comes to Eni, that case is settled. It is exactly what we have provided for in the account over the last quarter. There are no accounting effects in our accounts. This is as expected. When it comes to the cash impact, I can't go into the specific details. There will be a payment from us to Eni in the next quarter, but it will be insignificant.
Okay. Thanks, Torgrim.
Our next question comes from Peter Hutton at RBC. Please go ahead, Peter.
Good afternoon, everybody. The comment is, you know, the good news is that on the published numbers, Statoil generated more cash from its operations in the last quarter than did BP, which that's the good news. Against that background, can I just sort of ask about the update on the discussions with the government about the development of the marginal projects and also Johan Sverdrup? I mean, one of the issues where, you know, you're generating significant cash is that a lot of people tend to be lining up to get a share of that cash. Could you just give us an update on where we stand in terms of those discussions, and also the reaction to not going ahead with Ormen Lange and where we stand on the electrification from the onshore? Thank you.
Okay. Thank you, Peter. There is in reality no specific news on the development of the marginal fields. I mean, we really need to make these fields as profitable as we can. It is our responsibility both towards the shareholders and also towards the society. When it comes to Johan Sverdrup, you know, as you know, a great field, a great development will produce for maybe 50 years. Total production 550-650 thousand barrels per day. It is significant. When it comes to electrification, there are no specific news there. We have made a concrete selection with electrification for the phase one of Johan Sverdrup with sufficient flexibility also for the future.
That is a decision made across the license partners as the most appropriate solution. This is moving ahead, and we are really looking forward to get started on the development.
Okay, thank you, Peter. Next in line is Michele Della Vigna from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead, Michele.
Good afternoon, and thank you for taking my questions. I really wanted to look into the gas realizations, which both in Europe and the U.S. have substantially outperformed the benchmark for a variety of reasons, the cold weather in the U.S., possibly some forward selling in Europe. I was wondering if from here for the coming quarters, we could still use the benchmark as a good indication of your realizations there, or whether something has structurally improved there so that we should factor in higher realizations?
Thank you very much. I think it's a good opportunity for me to clarify a bit around the expectations on the MPR segment. I think it's fair to say that the first quarter result is a very strong one. It is linked to a very cold winter in the US together with the positions that we have made. I think it's fair to say that I just want to remind you what my colleague, Eldar Sætre, said earlier, that a normal quarter for that segment is typically between the lowest and the highest for 2013 and a half billion dollars a quarter maybe. That's. But it will fluctuate from quarter to quarter.
That being said, having flexibility, having control over bottlenecks gives opportunities to take super profits when situations occurs like it does in the first quarter, where there was sort of the bottlenecks became very vivid and and we were able to arbitrage the various pricing points. The portfolio has that skill. If similar circumstances occurs, there will be will still be opportunities to take very strong profits.
Just a clarification, NOK 2.5-NOK 3.5 was kroner and not the dollar. I think you used the dollar. I guess it was the kroner you meant.
I'm sorry. Sorry about that. Thank you for clarification.
Thank you, Michele. We have Lydia Rainforth from Barclays next.
Thank you and good afternoon. If I could just add my thanks to Hilde Møllerstad for all her help over the last couple of years. On the cost base, Torgrim Reitan, if I could come back to. I realize it was only two months ago that you set out the plan to control operating costs and improve the capital discipline side. I was wondering what sort of reaction you've seen both internally and from the service providers as to that plan. Are you finding ways or more ways than you expected to be able to look at the cost base? Then secondly, if I could just clarify on the decrease in the trade payables for the quarter, what that related to. I think you mentioned it, but I missed it. Thank you.
Okay. Thank you very much. Yeah. When it comes to the improvement agenda that we're currently running, we see that our suppliers, many of them are very enthusiastic about this agenda. It makes sense. Also they will get more out of each engineer in their business, and this makes future projects more profitable, and that means more business in the long run. I would say in general, strong support for the agenda that we are running. When it comes to the last question, I mean, we had a reduction in the working capital over the quarter. Ørjan, can you help out in the details on what you call payables?
Yes. In the trade and other receivables, we had an effect of NOK 7.2 billion. It's related to tax receivable and from vendor receivable and other prepayments.
That's very helpful. Thank you very much.
Thank you. We have Nitin Sharma from J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead, Nitin. Nitin, are you there?
Hi. Afternoon, sorry. Thanks for taking my question. Torgrim, I had a clarification on the MPR results in the quarter. Internal gas transfer price, which for Q1 was among the lowest in the last 8-10 quarters, whereas I note that average invoice price for the quarter was quite robust. In my mind, this therefore means that the bigger than average proportion of gas sales margin was reflected in MPR segment results. Is it a fair conclusion? Could we allocate some of the stronger MPR results to the low internal transfer price? Please clarify. Thanks.
The internal transfer price is linked to the various market indicators like liquid prices in the various hubs and various baskets. It should be, you know, a fair representation of the market that MPR is facing at any point in time. You know, whatever MPR can generate any value on top of that belongs in that segment. I think it's fair to say that this quarter they had, you know, performed very well, particularly U.S., but also in Europe. You're right, you know, the larger that difference is, the better the result for MPR. But there is nothing strange with internal transfer price in the quarter.
Thanks.
Thank you, Nitin. We're ready for our last question today from Theepan Jothilingam from Nomura. Please go ahead, Theepan.
Yeah. Hi, good afternoon, Torgrim. Thanks for taking the question. So, I've got actually just two quick ones. One, just a point of clarification on your exploration spend for this year. You reiterating your previous guidance or with, do you expect sort of greater risk management and more farm downs potentially of any blocks or prospects you intend to drill? And then just if you could talk about how you see performance for Snøhvit for the rest of the year, that would be very helpful. Thank you.
Theepan, thank you very much. Exploration spend $3.5 billion. I mean, we are prioritizing our rig portfolio, you know, strongly. We have more drilling opportunities than what we are willing to spend on each year. But I think that's clear, $3.5 billion. I can't comment on whether there will be further farm-ins, but we have a pretty pragmatic approach to all of the portfolio. On Snøhvit, thank you very much for that question. I think it's important to remind you that that will go out in maintenance in the second quarter, which is the coming quarter. You know, the LNG arbitrage profit lies in the MPR segment.
In the next quarter, there will be fewer cargos from Snøhvit to generate value for the MPR segment. The regularity on Snøhvit has been very good over the last year. It has contributed strongly both to production and to returns. The maintenance period is meant to make some further adjustments to the plant as well. We do hope and we work as hard as we can to run that as smooth as it has been over the last year.
Thank you. That will conclude the session today. Today's conference call with the Q&A can be replayed from our website in a few days, and there will also be transcripts available in a few days. If you have any further questions, please, as always, don't hesitate to contact the investor relations department. Thank you all for participating, and have a good afternoon.