Hexagon Composites ASA (OSL:HEX)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2019

May 8, 2019

Speaker 1

Market Earnings Broadcast. UNIDENTIFIED My pleasure as usual to go through the group highlights. We'll touch on update on Agility Fuel Solutions, our newly acquired division in Hexagon. And I will also cover the summary group financials. Jon Erik will join me for the outlook and direct us through the Q and A.

I'll also just make a note that our presentation will be available on the website in the appendix that we won't cover today. You'll find also other material including segment financials. So without further ado, quarter one twenty nineteen, very pleased to see very strong growth in Agility Fuel Solutions and good profitability. In fact, we had 51% increase in top line versus the same quarter last year with growth across all heavy and medium duty market segments, also delivering double digit EBITDA margin. And on top of that, we successfully completed the long term financing of the acquisition.

Always good to get off to a good start with the new acquisition. Also on hydrogen, very strong market activity there. We were awarded by Audi, our fourth light duty vehicle development and serial production contract. This is for fuel cell electric vehicles. And although it's a smaller contract than some of the others we have, nonetheless, very important and another very good sign in terms of the fuel cell electric vehicle market going forward.

We had breakthrough trials by New Flyer, which is our large North American customer. On the hydrogen prototype bus, it passed with flying colors, its KPIs and trials, for example, mileage achieved. And that again is another good data point and milestone going forward. We did have the lower revenues than we expected mainly due to revenue recognition on the multitude of development contracts that we are going through. Also pleased to see the recovery in the light duty CNG, the compressed natural gas demand.

Volkswagen, really our large customer in Europe pushing demand. You'll recall that we had issues from WLTP, that's the Global Emissions Testing Program at the back end of last year. All models have been tested by Volkswagen and now available to order and we see recovery in our top line following that. In LPG, we have lower profitability due to mix factors. Actually, volumes are not substantially lower.

So these are purely mix. And also on mobile pipeline, we had pretty solid volumes, not as large as we did the same quarter last year, which was a very strong quarter, but nonetheless pleasing. We also did have some deliveries that slipped into the next quarter, second quarter that were due in the first quarter. Let's touch on Agility. Our long term financing is completed.

Within the quarter, towards the February, we raised an additional 10% of share capital. That brought in million of gross receipts into the company, effectively delevering the company. And also, it made our subsequent bond issue more attractive. You'll recall that when we announced the acquisition in November, the bond markets or debt capital markets were rather volatile. So we were pleased to keep an eye on the markets throughout the quarter one and managed to time that pretty well.

And we resulted in raising a 100,000,000.0 senior unsecured bond priced at $3.75 basis points above NIBOR. And that effectively then replaced the temporary bridge loan we used to actually do the purchase in January. So together with the bank loan facilities we have, which comprise a CHF600 million multicurrency revolving facility, plus a CHF400 million ancillary facility on top, we feel we have a solid yet flexible debt structure and most importantly, at comfortable leverage levels. So to the financials. This is the first quarter we've been able to consolidate fully and present Agility's figures in the group figures and you can see the effects fairly clearly.

On revenues, we posted NOK 821,800,000.0 versus NOK 416,300,000.0 same period last year. So obviously, the introduction of Agility almost doubling our revenues, as

Speaker 2

we

Speaker 1

mentioned. Agility itself contributing NOK444 million itself, actually larger than the whole of Hexagon last year, this quarter. In EBITDA, we recorded NOK150.3 million, that's versus NOK66.5 million the same quarter last year. And the main contributors, obviously, Agility's performance and contribution is NOK54 million this quarter. We did have some transaction impacts that have hit the quarter.

In total, they've hit the EBITDA for plus 62,000,000, mainly from a gain in that transaction. Hydrogen, this is our business unit that is a game changer for the future. It requires a lot of investment short term. So it is dilutive, but in the long term is accretive. That dilution was CHF22 million in quarter one twenty nineteen.

For LPG, we mentioned about the adverse mix factors that was actually a negative CHF18 million year over year impact in LPG. When we go over to net profits to the right, we posted NOK68.4 million in net profit and that's versus NOK23.1 million the same quarter last year, so significant increase there. And that is after the effects of adding then the depreciation and amortization that comes with the Agility acquisition, combined effect of an extra €35,000,000 in costs year over year. Our financial items will be typically higher this year than last year. Obviously, we are raising quite a lot of debt on that acquisition.

And net of favorable currency, we had an extra charge of 14,000,000 in the financial items. For tax, surprisingly enough, we have a favorable tax position year over year and that's as we reassess our tax position under the new business combination with Agility. It's important to present this picture. This is where we actually look at Hexagon as a group, but strip out the impacts of hydrogen, which is under a different profile. And when we take out the impacts of hydrogen, you see in the middle to the right hand side, we would have posted then a normalized just over CHF800 million in revenue and just over CHF100 million in EBITDA.

So the rest of the Hexagon Group's business is making a healthy margin of 13%. When we look at our segment revenues, on the left hand side is quarter one twenty eighteen. We include pro form a Agility numbers there. And on the right hand side, the quarter this year. Firstly, year over year, we have on a pro form a basis 16% top line growth, very healthy and dominated as you can see by the great performance by Agility year over year.

On Purus, Hexagon Purus, which is hydrogen and CNG light duty vehicles, small increases there mainly to do with the recovery in the CNG. And on the mobile pipeline, can see lower quarter than last year, but like I say, solid nonetheless. On LPG, as I mentioned, although volumes are not substantially lower, the earnings, the revenue from them is lower. So that reflects the mix impacts and we'll talk a little bit more about those later. Let's have a look at the Agility Fuel Solutions quarter and the last five quarters performance.

First of all, to the far right hand side, quarter one twenty nineteen, $444,000,000 in revenues and 53,500,000.0 in EBITDA for a 12% reported EBITDA margin. Strong revenues as I said on margin overall. The North American transit, refuse, heavy duty truck market all very strong. One to watch is the accelerating European transit bus markets. So that was very, very strong growth in the quarter.

And John Erik will cover more of the outlook we see in that area later. Good and strong cash generation and good liquidity maintained within Agility. So back to the right hand side, if you can see the progression of the top line, let's start with that from quarter one 'eighteen through to quarter four 'eighteen. Those are the lighter colored bars there. You can see the first half of the year, heavy duty truck was there were lower sales in heavy duty truck.

And this is because orders were waiting for the delayed Cummins 12 liter low NOx engine, so low emissions engine. Once that engine was launched and introduced into the market late quarter twenty eighteen, you can see the pickup in the heavy duty truck volumes coming in Q3 and Q4. As we go into Q1 'nineteen, we're holding that momentum. And as I said, refuse truck, transit across the board, heavy duty truck, medium duty and some of the new fuel technologies are all expanding. So very good momentum as we come out of Q1 'eighteen in Agility.

I will end with the balance sheet then. This obviously has significantly changed from the acquisition from the end of last year. And if we start on the asset side to the left, you can see the effect of bringing in all the assets from Agility, including recognized intangibles. So that's increased from 2,000,000,000 to 3,000,000,000. Naturally, our inventory and receivables, working capital elements have expanded.

Agility is the same size as the old Hexagon. So you expect more or less double the expansion. And obviously, similarly has expanded. To the right hand side, we look at the equity and liabilities. We've gone up from 1,500,000,000.0 to $2,100,000,000 in equity.

That's the equity raise and the profits for the quarter. Interest bearing debt has increased to $1,100,000,000 That's mainly then net the long term financing of Agility. We introduced a new item. This is the right of use assets. So IFRS 16, you classify what was operating lease assets now into the balance sheet.

This is the liability that goes with that. That's million. Most of our liabilities are connected to very long term leases on our properties. So that's the largest driver. Otherwise, the other long term liabilities include more deferred tax liability assets.

These are long term and current liabilities have expanded in line with the acquisition. So we closed with the billion in net interest bearing debt and a 45% equity ratio, comfortable equity cushion, comfortable leverage and very good platform for the rest of the year. On that note, I'll invite Jon Erik. Thank you, David. Good morning, everybody.

Speaker 3

So we continue to operate in a very friendly macro environment with a lot of push now from authorities, in Europe and in parts of The United States, targeting significant reductions in emissions. So while that has been on the agenda for quite a while regarding light duty vehicles. We see now particularly an increased focus on the heavier duty segments. And that is of course very interesting for Hexagon. While we are in all classes of vehicles, we may feel that we have a particular strength in those heavier segments.

So the EU is targeting 30% CO2 reduction from new trucks within 02/1930. And in order to get there, they're targeting that 50% of new trucks by 2025 shall be what they call low emissions. And that is either zero emissions, which is fuel cell electric, hydrogen and battery electric or it is biogas or CNG. And the latter two classes are very important for us. We have several times discussed the real advantages of renewable natural gas, biogas, which in certain cases would be emission negative when it comes to CO2.

And it's very interesting also to see that the European Union now confirms that they see CNG as an important energy in order to reach the objectives. And the combination of RNG and CNG, which from the gas molecule point of view are the same, methane, is a very powerful way of achieving real reductions in CO2 emissions short term and also a major improvement in NOx and particulates. And also in The United States, RNG is very high on the agenda. And we just received statistics showing 32% natural gas fuel sold in USA in 2016 being renewable. Agility Fuel Solutions, we have in the room here today, Mr.

Song Baek, who is the new President of Agility. And I have to say we are feeling very good about the decision to go from 50% to 100% from the beginning of this year. So we believe that Agility is excellently positioned. The main market remains North America, but we see an increasing range of opportunities in all geographies. And the business is pointing upwards in all segments.

So we have a strong order backlog for Q2 and we also see promising opportunities for the rest of the year. And last, not last week, but the week before last, there was an exhibition in California, the ACT exhibition. It's an annual event and we were present there. And there was lot of attention on battery electric, also fuel cell electric. So we saw several heavy duty players exhibiting new applications with both battery and fuel cell electric solutions.

Toyota and Kenworth unveiled their new fuel cell electric truck where we have supplied the systems. They start with 10 prototype trucks, which UPS, a major operator in The U. S. Will take three. And we see a very bold statement there from the Executive VP of Toyota in his judgment of the fuel cell technology in order to achieve zero emissions in that area.

What we have not discussed much in this forum previously is our entry into battery electric regarding heavier duty applications. So we decided sixteen months ago to invest in the development of our own packs, which you see displayed there at the bottom right corner. And we exhibited at the ACT exhibition late April. And it is the market's lightest and most compact pack for medium and heavy duty vehicles. And it has already been chosen by some prominent names in the truck building industry.

And we have discussed several times that we don't see the future being either fuel cell electric or battery electric. We see a combination. We see some applications also for the heavier duty vehicles going battery, while as long as the batteries remain significantly heavier and the fuel cell applications when weight isn't a priority, then the fuel cell technology is more optimal. But also we will see, we believe, an increasing amount of hybrid solutions. So fuel cell electric vehicle always requires anyway a battery.

And if the battery technology comes down in weight, then we may see mix also onboard each vehicle with a combination of fuel cell and battery electric power supply. So we already have significant interest for this technology and we will continue to develop that in parallel with our other alternatives. And talking about heavy duty, also when we talk about fuel cell and hydrogen, So the market started with some of the light duty players investing heavily into fuel cell technology. The heavier the vehicle, the more sense it makes to consider that option instead of batteries. And that's also what is seen now in the market that more and more of the bus companies and the trucking companies look at fuel cell technology as an alternative.

That said, as David also mentioned, we have been awarded the fourth development contract now this time for Audi. And we see in the statement from the Audi CEO that they really want to develop this technology and put it very high on their agenda. We also see that there is a shift in the, let's say, center of activity to the Far East. China, they have particular challenges with emissions. They also have particular opportunities because they have a lot of hydrogen being produced as byproduct from their metals industry and from other industries.

And Chinese government has really developed now a roadmap for the implementation of fuel cell technology. And the government shocked to some extent the battery electric industry by announcing recently that they would remove the subsidies that have driven that development on the battery side. And at the same time, they're going to support actively the development of the fuel cell electric industry, both in terms of infrastructure development and in terms of subsidies for the buyers of vehicles. So we see a very strong interest for fuel cell technology in China. We have previously discussed Korea.

And therefore, it makes sense now for Hexagon to look to that area and see how we can develop a strong position in such geographies. CNG light duty vehicles. So we experienced quite a setback last in the second half of last year because of this worldwide harmonized light vehicle test procedure, WLTP, which delayed a lot of the OEMs in their programs to deliver new CNG vehicles to the market. But the good news is that that is behind us and we see the strong growth resuming. The order backlog is great for the rest of this year.

We now have 18 available CNG models from the Volkswagen Group alone in the markets. And therefore, we have committed an investment of €6,000,000 in new capacity in our Kassel, Germany operation to meet that demand. On the LPG side, we see somewhat more challenging market this year than we have enjoyed in the last three years. It is not decline in demand, but it's more of a flattish development. We see that because of a relatively weak LPG underlying sale of propane markets in 2018 and into 2019, Some of our customers are holding back on CapEx.

On the other hand, we have quite a success now in Bangladesh with the successful rollout of composite cylinders in that market. We also had our first deliveries to two new markets, Gambia and Germany in the quarter. Altogether, we have a somewhat unfavorable product mix in this market compared with previous years and we expect that to continue for the remainder of 2019. On the mobile pipeline side, we see a lot of new applications and continued number of project opportunities emerging. Lot of attention is now drawn to the renewable natural gas.

I will shortly show you a small video clip on that. But we also see now after two years of very dry markets outside North America, we see that the pipeline funnel is starting to materialize into real projects also in other geographies. Digital Wave, the recertification company that we acquired in the last quarter of last year is also off to a very good start in 2019. As mentioned, renewable natural gas is a hot topic in several areas and lot of investment capital is going into developing this resource in The United States and in Europe. And I would now like to spend a couple of minutes of your time showing a small video clip from one of our customers delivering or producing renewable natural gas.

Speaker 2

Renewable natural gas is a part of our future, and Mobile Pipeline can help get it where it needs to be. By capturing gas emitted by landfills, wastewater and agriculture, Mobile Pipeline is ideal to store and transport clean and environmentally friendly renewable natural gas, all the while creating beyond negative emissions. Businesses get to switch to clean energy, remove methane from the atmosphere and bring in new revenue

Speaker 4

Chris Roche, President of Raceline Alternative Energy. So basically, what we're doing is working with industrial scale swine producing facilities. So you've got almost 9,000 swine putting manure into a single lagoon. In the project solution, what we do is we cover those lagoons, and therefore, we capture all the biogas that's produced. Take that biogas and we'll connect it with underground pipelines on the farm to a single area that we install gas cleaning technology so it separates the methane from the other components in the gas, which are normally CO2 and H2S and water.

But we'll get the methane up to ninety eight ninety nine percent purity, which is pipeline quality. And for our project, we would not have achieved the success we have without Hexagon.

Speaker 3

So in summary, a strong environmental push and currently very favorable economic conditions for our products and offerings. A softer European LPG market for 2019, while strong momentum in Agility and the step change for our CNGLDB business is expected to drive group results and the continued diluted EBITDA effect from hydrogen as we invest in developing that opportunity. So then, David, if you will come back on the stage, we are welcoming any questions you may have.

Speaker 5

Mickey Lilt, Carnegie. Obviously, set of weak numbers today comparing to consensus expectations and my own expectations. But listening to your presentation, of course, the outlook still is very, very favorable. And I think everyone here agrees that the five year case and five year plus case is very, very solid for Hexagon Composites. But the question is whether the growth towards the next five years will be linear or exponential.

So what I would like to get some more flavor on is whether you are content about where you are today in the development versus last year or whether you would have liked to see this quarter even slightly higher? Of course, the answer is yes, you would, of course, like it higher, but whether you are happy about the development, that's what I'm asking. Sorry, a bit weakly raised question there.

Speaker 3

So overall, we are very pleased with where we stand. We feel we have the necessary foundation now to execute on our growth ambitions. Obviously, there are especially in the LPG segment, we are not entirely satisfied with the development. We believe it is a temporary setback, but we would have liked to see numbers on the same level as we had last year, which we obviously are not showing. But apart from that, we feel that most of the business segments are developing strongly in the right direction.

So we see a case for strong growth in the next five years. It will definitely not be linear. It will be stepwise. So we've seen that in the past and that's what we expect also going forward. But over time, there is so much momentum now in the businesses that we operate in.

And still the share of the overall markets that we address, if you take in all the diesel technologies and other carbon based technologies. So we're still only serving a very, very minor proportion of those markets. And that's where we will see the growth generation coming from. And we will see this spreading to new geographies, as I touched on in my presentation.

Speaker 5

Secondly, you've mentioned earlier that your largest owner, Mitsui, has been a bit of a door opener into some of the serial contracts you have on hydrogen. I was wondering whether how dependent would you be on Mitsui in order to capture some of the market potential that lies in front of you, particularly in China, for instance, when you talk about how to position yourselves there?

Speaker 3

So dependency is I would rather focus on the opportunities that gives us. Of course, there are always ways to come into markets. But I think that the distance will be shorter by cooperating so closely with Mitsubishi as we do. And they obviously have a very wide network of relations in almost all geographies, which will be very helpful for us going forward, also in that particular geography that you mentioned.

Speaker 5

Lastly, on the LPG segment. EBITDA of EUR 23,000,000, is that a level we should expect for the coming quarters as well? Not thinking margin, but absolute figures? Or should we expect some more fluctuation in interim here? As

Speaker 3

you know, we don't give accurate forecasts on the profit levels nor on the revenue levels. But we see some challenges in this year. Whether we will have resolved them already when we get into the autumn or whether it will take the year remains to be seen. But the underlying opportunity also for that segment remains unchanged. So we still have significant growth opportunities in opening new markets and converting new markets to composites.

And obviously, we're working strategically to achieve that. So what is hitting us in 2019 is a somewhat softer underlying sentiment in the propane market. And that again is related to very high temperatures. So in those areas where people use LPG to heat their homes, There has been weak markets in the autumn and winter of twenty eighteen-'nineteen. And that we believe will be fluctuating also over time.

So and we also think that when some of the customers are holding back on investment in new cylinders in 'nineteen, then eventually they will need to catch up with that underlying demand in future periods. So we're not concerned. It's a very healthy business. And if you look historically at it, we've had those

Speaker 1

swings

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