Odfjell SE (OSL:ODF)
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Apr 24, 2026, 4:25 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q3 2024

Nov 6, 2024

Harald Fotland
CEO, Odfjell

Good m orning, everybody, and welcome to this presentation of Odfjell's third quarter results. This presentation will follow a traditional pattern. I will start and take you through the highlights. My colleague Terje Iversen will take you through our financial performance, and then I will conclude this presentation with an operational review, market update, and prospects going forward. If we then turn to the highlights, we delivered another very strong third quarter result despite a slightly softening spot market. We had a strong safety performance, and we had no significant incidents during the quarter. Our time charter earnings in Odfjell Tankers ended at $212 million. This is $13 million below the second quarter, which was a record of $215 million. We delivered an EBIT of $91 million, and this compares to $107 million in the second quarter.

We had a very strong quarterly net result of $71 million, and this net result, adjusted for one-off items, remained at $71 million compared to $88 million in the second quarter, and by that, we delivered the second-best quarterly result in Odfjell's history. We renewed a limited number of contracts during the quarter, but still, the rates were up 7%, and this is the 14th consecutive quarter where we deliver rate increases in our contract portfolio. The net contribution from Odfjell Terminals was $2.9 million, and this is in line with what we delivered in the second quarter. Our carbon intensity, the AER, for the third quarter came in at 7.2, and this is marginally up from the second quarter due to seasonal effects mainly, and the average AER for the first three quarters of 2024 is 7.12.

During the quarter, we took delivery of one more newbuilding on long-term time charter, and that leaves us with 16 vessels currently on order, 15 vessels on long-term charter in Japan, and we have one vessel on order in China for our own book. At the quarter end, Odfjell also declared a purchase option for one 41,000 deadweight stainless steel vessels, which is currently on bareboat to Odfjell, and that vessel will be delivered to Odfjell early 2026. Outlook: We expect another strong quarter in the fourth quarter, but this will likely be below the third quarter due to the presently weakening spot markets, and by that, I give the word to my colleague Terje Iversen.

Terje Iversen
CFO, Odfjell

Thank you, Harald. I will then take you through the financials this quarter. And as usual, we'll start with the income statements. We saw net time charter earnings ended at $202.1 million, down from $214.8 million in the second quarter, reason being that the spot rates came down, as Harald mentioned, and we also saw some reduction in nomination under our contracts. Volumes were stable, though, meaning that some of the contract volumes were replaced with increased spot volume in this quarter. Time charter expenses ended at $1.2 million, down from $3.4 million in the second quarter. Operating expenses increased with $2.7 million to $53.7 million. Main reason for the increase is that we had some positive one-offs in the second quarter, so this is maybe more on a normal level this quarter.

Share of net result from the associates and joint ventures being the terminal business ended at $2.9 million, same as the preceding quarter. G&A ended at $17.9 million, up from $16.2 million in the second quarter, main reason for the increase being that we had some positive one-offs also in the second quarter, meaning that the numbers in the third quarter are more on the expected level. That gives an EBITDA of $132.3 million, down from $147.2 million in the second quarter. Depreciation and amortization increased slightly to $41.8 million, main reason for the increase being that we have more vessels on our balance sheet, and we also did extraordinary depreciation of the air lubrication system that we have invested in. That leaves us an EBIT of $19.5 million compared to $107.4 million in the second quarter. Net interest expenses ended at $18.3 million, improvement from previous quarter.

That is, the main reason for that is that we have lower interest expenses, lower debt, but also that we had higher interest income this quarter. After other financial items and taxes, we are then left with a net result of $71.3 million compared to $88.2 million in the second quarter, and this gives us an earnings per share this quarter of $0.90. Time charter earnings ended at $33,906 per day this quarter, down from the record quarter of $36,493 in the second quarter, but of course, we have a large gap between the cash breakeven, which is around $22,000 when we are looking at the 12-month rolling average, compared to the time charter earnings of $33,906 this quarter.

The slight increase we saw in the cash generated this quarter was mainly driven by the fact that we had lower OpEx and G&A in the preceding quarter, so we did also capital repayment, a positive impact on the cash generated in the second quarter. Going forward, we have a reason to believe that we will stay around $23,000 level also for the coming quarters. Looking at the balance sheet, we see that we have ships and newbuilding contracts at $1.2 b illion. We also see that we have an increase in right-of-use assets to $307 million, reason being that we took delivery of one new time charter vessel, Bow Cougar, this quarter, and that also increased the non-current debt right-of-use assets and also current debt right-of-use assets this quarter.

Looking at the cash position, we ended at $144 million, quite stable to the preceding quarter. If you include undrawn loan facilities, we have available cash around $231 million at end of the third quarter. On the equity side, that was a slight reduction to $889 million, reason for the decrease, of course, being the dividend that we paid out during the third quarter. Also, on the balance sheet, it's interesting to note that we have a current portion of interest-bearing debt of $168 million, and the main part of that being the bond that is maturing in January next year, which I'll come back to later in the presentation. The cash flow this quarter, we saw a strong operating cash flow.

We delivered $118 million in cash flow, up from $108 million in the second quarter, reason for that being that we are, of course, continuing to deliver stable and good results, but also saw an improvement in working capital this quarter, which then led to a record high cash flow operating activities this quarter. On the investing side, we had some investments in non-current assets being dry dockings and also some smaller investments in our vessels, but we also had a positive impact from Bow Atlantic, which was delivered in the third quarter, where we received $5.2 million in net cash proceeds. So that led to a negative cash flow from investing activities of $1.4 million only this quarter. On financing activities, most interesting to note is that we paid a dividend of $79.1 million during this quarter.

On the repayment of debts and operational lease debt, it's very much the same level as preceding quarters. That led to a net cash flow from financing activities of -$ 113 million, but for the quarter as a whole, we had a slightly positive increase in cash and cash equivalents. Looking at the cash flow from a more long-term perspective and looking at the free cash flow, we delivered $160 million in free cash flow this quarter, being the strongest quarter ever, I think, for Odfjell. Of course, driven by high operating cash flow and also by the low cash flow from investment being only -$1 million. Looking at the 12-month rolling free cash flow, we are then at $88 million, and if you adjust for debt repayments related to right of use of assets, we have reached then $71 million.

Going forward, we have rather limited CapEx commitments. We have two vessels that we have bought back, and we are going to take delivery of in the end of this year and next year. That will impact the free cash flow, but based on the favorable purchase price for these vessels, we expect to finance those more or less at 100% of the purchase price with new mortgage financing. Looking at the debt side, going to the coming quarters, we see that we had a balloon of around $25 million maturing in the fourth quarter. That has been taken care of already. We had two vessels that were on lease. We bought them back, and we took one of the vessels into an existing bank facility, where we left the other vessel unencumbered on our balance sheet. Bond maturing in January.

The plan is still to repay that, the maturity, with cash from our balance sheet. And based on the cash and the cash position we have today, that should be not a big issue for us to take care of when that time comes. Going forward, we see that our balance is we continue to reduce our debt around $769 million end of this quarter, and we expect to be around $750 million end of this year. And we also expect the debt to continue to decline going forward unless we should do anything material on the fleet side going forward. We are still exploring refinancing alternatives.

We have some leasing facilities that could be refinanced, and we think that could be favorable with regard to the timing and with regard to the terms we could obtain, both when it comes to the margins and also the repayment profile that we could obtain for a new financing of these vessels. Looking at the CapEx and time charter commitments, as also Harald mentioned, we have, after the end of this quarter, declared a purchase option for Bow Hercules for delivery in first quarter 2026, and this is the remaining vessel of the three 4 1,000 deadweight ton vessels that we currently have on bareboat to Odfjell, and the first of these vessels, Bow Aquarius, will be delivered in December this year.

These three vessels are kind of part of the original four vessels that we had on operational lease from Sinochem, meaning that we have no declared purchase options for all those vessels. All the purchase options also are well below current market values. And as mentioned, we then expect to obtain financing around the full purchase amount for these vessels. Long-term time charters, as also mentioned by Harald, we have done 15 new buildings on long-term time charters to be delivered to Odfjell in the coming years from now until 2028. And this table on the bottom part here shows what are the nominal time charter payments to be made on these time charter vessels when they are being delivered to Odfjell.

These are gross figures, meaning the total time charter commitments, and of course, we'll only have to book the bareboat element of these vessels when they are delivered to Odfjell, and then I will leave the word to you again, Harald?

Harald Fotland
CEO, Odfjell

Then I will continue with operational review. I'll start with the market overview. We are still in a strong market, although we have experienced some more pronounced headwinds lately. The Odfix, which is an index that is reflecting Odfjell's average time charter earnings, was down 6.6%, and this compares to the Clarkson Chemical Tanker Spot earnings, which was down 6.3% during the same period. We believe that one of the contributing factors to this decline is the swing of crude tankers from crude to products on the Arabian Gulf exports to west of Suez.

The graph on your right-hand side indicates that if you look at large crude carriers in 2023, at that time, the crude carriers carried approximately 10% of that export, and since then, their influx has doubled to 20% during the third quarter of 2024, and crude tankers swinging into products is forcing MRs and handy-sized product tankers to swing into easy chemicals, and that is, again, taking away products from the core chemical tanker fleet, so we believe that this swing is one of the contributing factors to why we've seen a decline in our spot index. Our contracts were renewed 7% up during the third quarter. This is the 14th consecutive quarter where we report increases in our contract portfolio, but this time for a relatively limited number of contracts.

I'm also happy to see that our total volumes were stable during the quarter, despite the fact that some of our contract customers nominated smaller volumes than what they've done in the previous quarters. So we maintain approximately 3.3 million tons of cargo on our owned and controlled fleet, and this is very much in line with the previous quarter, despite the fall in contract volumes. Our carbon intensity came in at 7.2. The average for the year thus far is 7.12, and 7.2 is approximately 52% below the 2008 average IMO baseline. We are progressing well with our suction sail project. The Hudong class vessel Bow Olympus has recently completed the installation of the foundations for these four sails. The ship is now being traded to Europe, and we expect the sails to be installed on board sometime during the first quarter of 2025.

We've also completed our long-running solid oxide fuel cell project. This is a project that has been going on for five years already. Our conclusion is that the technology is working, but it's also our conclusion that the technology is immature for installation in a marine environment. Nevertheless, we've gained very interesting experiences related to the technology and also related to future fuels since the solid oxide fuel cell is a multi-fuel solution. Then, turning to terminals, we delivered an occupancy rate of 95% during the third quarter. We have a stable financial performance with an EBITDA for the third quarter in line with the previous quarters. We also have concluded two very interesting expansion projects, one at Ulsan and one at our Antwerp terminal. We have recently approved the expansion project at our terminal in Korea, the E5 project, expansion number five.

And this project will comprise 10 carbon steel tanks of a total of 88,000 cu m , and we expect it to be operational in the fourth quarter of 2026. The key driver for E5 is the S-OIL/Aramco Shaheen project, a $7 billion crude-to-chemical facility that is being constructed in very close vicinity to our terminal. We have already signed a contract with S-OIL for 10 years for three of our tanks, and this contract will lay the foundation for future development of this strategic partnership. The project will be funded locally. We've also decided on a new expansion project at our terminal in Antwerp, two stainless steel tanks in total 12,000 cu m . Here, the foundation is already started due to cooperation with previous expansion projects, and we expect those two tanks to come on stream already during the second half of next year.

Then, I will conclude this presentation with a market update and our prospects going forward. If we look at the MR earnings in the Atlantic and the Pacific, we see that during 2024, we've seen a reduction in earnings, particularly during the second half of 2024. And this reduction is spilling over to chemical freight rates, both west of Suez and east of Suez. I think the most important thing to notice on those two graphs is that even if we see a reduction in freight rates, the freight rates are still well above what we saw one year ago. So, in perspective, the reduction is not dramatic. I mentioned the influx of crude tankers into products, which again is forcing MR tankers into easy chemicals. And after the second quarter, we reported that approximately 5% of the product tankers are trading in easy chemicals.

We now see that this figure has increased to 6%. If we look at the order book, we have not seen significant increases in orders. After the second quarter, we reported slightly above 9% order book, and today the order book stands at 10%. It's particularly for medium stainless steel where we see that there is an increase in orders. And during the next three to four years, we will see a slight increase in that segment. We will see a decrease in the segment for large stainless steel vessels. Here, there are fewer vessels on order than what we expect to be recycled during the coming years. And the super segregator segment is more or less in balance. All in all, 15% of the core chemical tanker fleet is older than 20 years, and approximately 6% of the core chemical tanker fleet is above 25 years.

So we perceive that the order book compared to expected recycling remains beneficial. Geopolitical tension is still high. We have high-risk situations in Ukraine/Russia and also in the Middle East, and we've seen some increase in the instability in the Taiwan Strait. The macroeconomic uncertainty remains, and we see some sluggishness both in China and in Europe. And we still see that the U.S. recession risk is at low level, despite the fact that we expect a slower GDP growth going forward. We also see that manufacturing is still at low levels, but at the same time, the production of chemicals has increased by approximately 6% compared to the same period last year. And we see growth in China, and we also see that production is about to rebound in Germany. So chemical production, we expect to continue to see a slight increase.

We expect the average sailing distances to remain at present levels. We are not concerned about the chemical tanker fleet growth. We do believe that swing tonnage will swing back to products, and we don't foresee any changes in fleet speed. So to summarize this presentation, we delivered another solid financial result in the third quarter, although it's somewhat below our record results from the second quarter. Time charter earnings decreased in the third quarter. This came at the back of reduced contract volumes that were replaced by spot volumes that have seen a slight decrease compared to the previous quarter. We also saw increased influx of swing tonnage. Volumes were stable, and we believe that the swing tonnage will gradually leave our segment somewhat.

On the terminal side, we have stable net contributions, and we will see our capacity to continue to increase going forward with the expansion projects both in Ulsan and Antwerp. Market outlook, we expect markets to pick up seasonally towards the end of the year, where the development for product tankers and swing tonnage will be the key drivers for this uptick. We also see that there are signaled increased production volumes from OPEC, and that might also have an impact early next year. To summarize this presentation, we expect continued stable contributions from Odfjell Terminals going forward. We expect another strong quarter in the fourth quarter, but maybe below the third quarter due to the weakening spot markets that I have previously mentioned. So this concludes our presentation, and we now continue with the Q&A session. Johannes and Terje.

Johannes Tang Hystad
Chief Data Officer, Odfjell

All right.

We've had a few questions already, so feel free to add more. Terje, I think the first one goes to you. Could you mention the exact elements you include in your cash break-even? Do you include ship depreciation?

Terje Iversen
CFO, Odfjell

Sure, I can explain. We include in cash break-even all running expenses in the shipping activity, meaning OpEx and G&A. We also include the finance element being interest and installments, and we also include running investments on the vessels. And the idea is simple. As long as we don't deliver term charter earnings above cash break-even, we should be positive when it comes to being able to deliver cash to our owners. And depreciation is not included, but interest and installments are included.

And that is an important factor for us to measure, and we still have a target to decrease cash break-even further to have a sufficient buffer against the term charter earnings to be able to deliver cash to our owners.

Johannes Tang Hystad
Chief Data Officer, Odfjell

Perfect. Thank you. And the second one also for you. Do you plan to exercise purchase options on more ships?

Terje Iversen
CFO, Odfjell

Maybe. We have a portfolio of vessels, both on time charter and bareboat, and several of these contracts have purchase options, and they are coming into effect at some stage during the tenor of the leases. And we are continuously evaluating when these are effectively open for us to exercise, whether that is favorable compared to the market price of the vessel. So yes, I think we will most likely continue to exercise purchase options going forward.

Harald Fotland
CEO, Odfjell

I think I can add to that question that you have to keep in mind that the purchase options that are maturing today are agreements that were made sometime between 2015 and 2018. At that time, building prices were favorable, and that is also reflected in today's purchase options. So far, the purchase options that we have exercised have been favorable to Odfjell, you could say.

Johannes Tang Hystad
Chief Data Officer, Odfjell

Thank you. Then a question to you, Harald. It seems more and more likely that Donald Trump will be the next U.S. president. What will that mean for your markets?

Harald Fotland
CEO, Odfjell

Yeah, I saw that in the newspapers this morning. I think the first answer is that we have to see what comes before we are too conclusive. But what we do know is that Trump is maybe more protectionist than Harris was expected to be.

The expectation to Harris was that she would simply continue the policies of Biden. So the expectation is that we will see more protectionism, and that might be an issue for exports out of the U.S. It's also an expectation that he will reverse some of the initiatives in the Inflation Reduction Act that is, of course, not good for the planet, but it might be good for Europe, which is struggling a bit because of that law. So I think all in all, we might see a slight reduction in activities in the U.S. if he is able to implement the protectionistic methods that he has promised to do.

Johannes Tang Hystad
Chief Data Officer, Odfjell

Thank you. So we have a question from Bendik Nøttingnes. Can you give some more color on how important swing tonnage has been for the recent reduction in rates?

Harald Fotland
CEO, Odfjell

Well, swing tonnage is not directly competing with Odfjell.

Swing tonnage is focusing and concentrating on the most easy chemicals, and those are chemicals that Odfjell is normally not too occupied with. The problem is that when the less advanced chemical tankers lose that market, then they are also swinging upwards. So it's like a domino effect where sooner or later other chemical players will start to swing into our core markets. So that is the reason why swing tonnage is important for us. And these are normally large vessels with huge capacity, so they are easily replacing maybe one or two or three traditional chemical tankers when they decide to go for, for instance, methanol or glycols or other relatively easy chemicals.

Johannes Tang Hystad
Chief Data Officer, Odfjell

Right. Thank you. And also a question related to this.

How should we think about the Q4 guidance of earnings below Q3 compared with the last quarter's guiding of Q3, somewhat below Q2, where TCE rates were down 7% quarter- over- quarter?

Terje Iversen
CFO, Odfjell

Interesting question. I think first and foremost, we have to keep in mind that we are presently in the strongest market that we've seen for more than 10 years. In the second quarter, we delivered a historic result that I think it will be difficult to beat, at least in the near future. We delivered $36,000 in average term charter earnings, which is the absolute record in Odfjell ever. Now we are delivering a result that is slightly below that record quarter. The fact that we are guiding slightly down is we are not concerned about that. It's a reflection of somewhat depressed spot market.

With average contract coverage of approximately 60% in normal quarters, then we are still 40% exposed to that market. Our guidance is a reflection of what we see presently in the spot market.

Johannes Tang Hystad
Chief Data Officer, Odfjell

Thank you. That was the final question, so I'll leave it to you for a final remark then.

Harald Fotland
CEO, Odfjell

Okay. I would like to thank all of you for watching this presentation, and I wish you a good day ahead and look forward to welcoming you to the fourth quarter presentation. Thank you very much.

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