Orkla ASA (OSL:ORK)
Norway flag Norway · Delayed Price · Currency is NOK
114.00
-5.40 (-4.52%)
Apr 24, 2026, 4:28 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2018

Apr 25, 2018

Speaker 1

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to this Q1 presentation for Orkla. We have summarized this 1st 3 months as a quarter below expectations. Actually, the underlying business continued to perform well, but several factors have offset our improvements in the quarter. Despite underlying growth in our Branded Consumer Goods business, we see a flat organic growth performance. And there are 3 main reasons for this.

The first one is that we have lost the Wrigley distribution agreement in confectionery and snacks. Secondly, it's the timing of Easter. And thirdly, the cold Q1 delayed seasonal sale of our ice cream ingredients business. But let me add some more granularity to these effects. Easter took place in Q1 this year compared to Q2 last year.

As a result, our Norwegian businesses had 3 fewer sales days, which is only partly compensated for increased Easter demand. Adjusting for both Easter timing and the loss of regular distribution leaves an organic growth rate, which is we estimate to be in line with the market development. And Easter effects will even out between quarters. We have addressed the loss of regular distribution by launching our own chewing gum under our toothpaste brand, Solid Dogs, which you saw the ad. The launch has been well received and has already taken 17 percent market share with one of the big retailers in Norway, Rhema 1000.

When we lost the distribution agreement with Unilever's HPC products in 2016, we launched complete series of skincare products under the Doctor. Greve brand. And actually, after only 1 year, Doctor. Grewe have become number 1 brand in the leading and taken a leading market position in body lotion and shower. Our focus on operational efficiency and cost continues.

Underlying fixed cost is down, but this is partly offset by increased advertising investment in the quarter. Jotun had yet another challenging quarter. They continued to grow both volumes and sales, but profits were significantly impacted by higher raw material prices and weak results in the Marine segment. All in all, our earnings per share continued from continued operations came to NOK 0.68 in Q1, down 12% from the same quarter last year. But now let me share some more details on the organic growth development in the quarter.

We continue to see moderate growth across our core markets. Our Foods and Food Ingredients business experienced quite good organic growth in the quarter, but this was largely offset by the loss of Wrigley distribution in confectionery and snacks and also the timing of Easter, which is impacting especially in Norway. Growth in food was broad based, with the exception of Norway, where Easter effects were clearly negative in the quarter. Ingredients had a good growth in bakery and vegan based products, but that was partly offset by delayed in ice cream season. When it comes to Wrigley, Orkla had approximately NOK 250,000,000 in sales from the Wrigley distribution agreement.

And that corresponds to approximately 4% of confectionery snacks sales. And adjusting for this effect in Q1 would increase confectionery organic growth to approximately 1.5%. And on the total for brand consumer goods, the total would be 0.8%. The timing of Easter and the difference in number of sales days can have a quite large effect on sales between Q1 and Q2 between years. Overall, timing of Easter had the largest effect on Care, where there is no consumption effect.

It's only the effect of less sales days, followed by foods and Orkla Food Ingredients. The effects on confectionery and snacks is believed to be neutral overall. In organic growth terms, the effect on brand consumer goods from the Easter, the timing of Easter is believed to be a little bit more than 1% in the quarter. Flat growth is clearly unsatisfactory. However, adjusting for Easter effects, which should even out in Q2, improves the picture somewhat.

Adjusting also for the loss of regular distribution renders an underlying growth more in line with the market where we operate. The launch of Soledox chewing gum will hopefully see the same success as we have seen with Doctor. Greve and over time compensate for the loss of the Wrigley distribution. So moving over to the cost side. I think you have seen this before, my famous black over red.

It's very simple, but still, it's very important KPI for us. We need to keep a healthy gap between sales and fixed cost growth. And the fall in organic growth in Q1 has narrowed the gap, but lower underlying fixed costs has contributed to a positive gap, as you can see on the graph. And supply chain efficiency is obviously the most important driver of fixed cost improvement. So let's move on to the status of our factory footprint program.

Since we started the supply chain program, we have decided to close down 30 factories, and actually 24 factories are physically closed down. But as part of our structural growth agenda, the M and A we have done, we have added or acquired 30 factories, leaving us at the same number as when we started the program. But over the same time, our sales has grown 37%, effectively increasing the average turnover or revenue per factory by the same amount. This is obviously a very crude KPI, but nonetheless, it's an indication that we are moving in the right direction. I'd also like to mention that the target for us is not to have as few factories as possible, but the target is to have a competitive and efficient supply chain that can support all our businesses.

And moving towards fewer, larger production units not only saves cost, but it also allows us to invest more in innovations in automation, robotics instead of spending cash on maintenance of roofs and buildings and so on. And as I said, our supply chain needs to support our business model and it needs to help us to deliver tailor made products to the local consumer. So we need to have good flexibility as well. And supply chain efficiency is a continuous process for us. There are 2 plants that are currently being investigated to be closed, and discussions with unions and other affected people are ongoing according to the rules, usual practices, the laws and regulations.

And those 2 factories are 1 in Kugel in Sweden and 1 in Turku in Finland. I'd also like to mention that no decision has been taken on those 2 factories yet. The bar chart to the right on this slide illustrates the improvement we have achieved in fixed cost in relation to sales. Actually, this is essentially the same as the black over red but just shown in relation to sales. I will then give you a more complete picture of how margins have developed.

Reported EBIT margin was down 50 basis points compared to the same quarter previous year. M and A explains part of this, but there is still a net underlying margin decline of 30 basis points. And this is clearly not illustrative for the potential we have in our business, and this is somewhat disappointing. I will comment briefly on both the variable cost and other cost to give you a better understanding of this development in the quarter. Variable cost essentially represents our contribution ratio.

That means contribution margin over sales. Increasing raw material prices have pressured margins through 2017, and price actions started to show effects towards the end of last year. Raw material prices have stabilized in 2018, and they are relatively flat compared to the previous year. However, since a large part of what we source is done in euro and, to some extent, U. S.

Dollar, margins are sensitive to currency fluctuations. And both the SEK and the NOK has weakened versus euro by approximately 5% and 77%, respectively, since Q1 2017. And given that about onethree of what we source in Sweden is in euro and onefour is in Norway, the FX volatility will impact margins short term, explaining part of this 30 basis points decline in the quarter. However, there is also a negative mix effect, notably from lower sales in Norway due to Easter, timing of Easter. The other cost is fixed cost and advertising.

And as shown on the previous slides, we have seen a continued positive development in fixed cost. So this is largely offset by increased depreciation and advertising investments in the Q1. The low growth in the quarter also means we see limited fixed cost leverage. This should clearly improve as Easter effects revert in Q2. However, my focus is not running Orkla quarter by quarter, but it's more on the long term value creation over time.

So if you look at the 2 most important drivers behind our EBIT target of 6% to 9%, That is organic growth and its margin improvement, underlying margin improvement. And since 2014, we have managed to deliver an average organic growth of 1.6 percent and an average annual improvement in our underlying margin of 50 basis points. And in terms of growth going forward, we continue to see an overall moderate market growth of around 2% in our markets. And this, of course, varies between regions. And we see higher growth in the Baltics, Central and Eastern Europe and in India compared to what we see and expect in Scandinavia.

But equally important is also the channel shift where online and non grocery channels have higher growth than we see in traditional grocery channels. And it is a very high priority for us to be present in all the channels where consumers expect to find our products. So overall, our target remains to grow at least in line with the markets, which we currently estimate to grow at around 2%. One Orkla is all about how Orkla can operate more efficiently across our value chain. Supply chain and factory footprint are key components where we have made significant progress since 2014 by closing down 24 factories, announced actually closer of 30.

But there are a lot more to do in this area. We constantly seek opportunities to operate more across business areas and across geographies to better leverage on innovations, our go to market organizations and our support functions. We don't have an explicit target for underlying margins, but we see no less potential going forward, and we are confident that we will deliver on our EBIT growth of 6% to 9% in the full period 2016 to 2018. Before I leave the floor to Jens, who will go through the financials, I would also like to announce that we schedule our next Capital Markets Day on 31st October where we will go through an update on our strategy, our plans and also targets for the next 3 year period. So then I will leave the floor to Jens, who will go through the detailed financials and development by business area.

Thank you, Petri.

Speaker 2

As Peter mentioned, we saw progress in the underlying business this quarter, but several factors and special items offset the improvement in this quarter in specific. Let's start by looking at some of the important items in the P and L. Despite being a challenging quarter, we improved operating results by 7% in Q1. I'll briefly comment on the main levers. Adjusted EBIT for the group was flat following a slow start in the branded consumer goods, lower results from Orkla Investments and the temporarily higher HQ costs.

I'll revert to the development in the branded consumer goods area later on. Results from Orkla Investments included effects from a sale of a real estate property in Bergen Q1 last year. There were no transactions in this quarter. Results from hydropower were up 9% following higher power prices and somewhat lower volumes. HQ costs for this quarter increased, and the increase was mainly driven by timing effects.

The cost on this line item should come down to a run rate of approximately SEK 85,000,000 to SEK 90,000,000 per quarter, of course, depending on the development of the Orkla share. Other income and expenses will vary over time depending on the level of M and A activity and the restructuring activity and the -27 that we saw this quarter was related to the supply chain restructuring activities that we do. Profit from associates, as Peter mentioned, was down 50%, and that's predominantly driven by Jotun. And I'll revert to more details on Jotun later on. Regarding financial items, our debt level has come down as a result of the sale of SAPA.

While net debt remains low, we still carry gross debt of approximately NOK 5,000,000,000 of which twothree is at the fixed interest rates and the average interest rate levels is approximately 3.5%. Our cash holdings and cash deposits, of course, carry lower interest rates. In addition, last year's financial items included sale of shares, gain of sale of shares. And then we have non periodic financial items of approximately minus SEK25 1,000,000 and that is primarily driven by derivative effects on interest rate swaps. And last year, we had the same items, but then the opposite effects.

There were positive derivative effects. The underlying tax rate is approximately 22%. As a result of the above, earnings per share ended at NOK 68 and that's down 12% from last year. Let's now turn to the performance in the branded consumer goods area and then starting with the top line. This quarter, we lifted revenues in the branded consumer goods area by 7 point 5%.

As you have noted, organic growth was almost flat at 0.1%. Adjusted for the lost Wrigley contract, as Peter mentioned, organic sales were up 0.8%. And in addition, we believe timing of Easter had a negative effect of more than 1% due to fewer sales days, and that's especially in Norway. But of course, it's hard to estimate these Easter effects precise. So this is our estimate.

The Norwegian kroner has weakened against most of our main trading currencies in Q1 versus last year, and this gave a positive translation effect of 3.6% for branded consumer goods. On the other hand, these positive translation effects mean higher costs on imported goods and raw materials. M and A contributed with almost 4% in Q1, mainly related to the HSNG and Riemann acquisition within Care Acquisitions and bolt ons within Food Ingredients. But we also have some negative structural effects due to the sale of assets, for instance, like kai salads in foods. Let's turn to each of the business areas and then start with the largest one, namely Foods.

Orkla Foods has broad based growth with positive impact from price increases. On the other hand, they mentioned fewer sales days due to timing of Easter had the opposite effect. We grew EBIT by 2%. This was mainly driven by sales growth, positive currency translation effects and cost improvements. But this was partly offset by higher advertising investments in the quarter.

The structural changes that I mentioned, for instance, K Salads, also reduced EBIT in the quarter. In total, this resulted in a flat margin development. Let's look at Confectionery and Snacks. After strong end of the last year, organic growth in our Confectionery and Snacks business dropped by 2.8%. The entire decline was caused by the loss of the distribution agreement with Wrigley.

Adjusted for this, as Peter mentioned earlier, the organic growth would have been 1.5%. Profitability on this lost wriggler agreement was on par with the average EBIT margin in Confectionery and Snacks. As Peter said, we've launched our own chewing gum under the well known toothpaste brand, Solidox, which have had then a fairly good start, and we are pleased with that start. Our markets outside Norway had a good sales and profit growth. And in Norway, the lack of large price campaigns before and during Easter had a negative impact on the volumes sold.

Cost improvements from supply chains continue to give effects on delivery results, but are offset by the negative volumemix, which led then to an EBIT decline of 7%. In total, EBIT margin fell back by 100 bps as a result of this mentioned volume mix effect. Let's move on to Care. Total revenues in Care were up by 12%, mainly driven by M and A and the currency translation effects. Organic growth was slightly down.

All business units in Care were impacted by fewer sales days in the quarter as the result of the mentioned timing of Easter. In addition, as communicated in February, we had high HPC campaign activity in Q4, which also impacted the sales in Q1. OICA Health and PI Robaire both had good organic growth in most markets. We also grew our painting business organically in most of the markets. However, our U.

K. Operations still experienced sales decline. That's because of a lost contract that we had in 2017. And this, in sum, then resulted in a negative organic growth for House Care. But we do believe a gradual improvement from the second half of this year.

In sum, EBIT came in at 8.4%. This improvement was mainly driven by M and A, positive translation effects. Margins were down 40 bps in the quarter because of negative dilution effects from M and A and higher input costs by a weakened Norwegian kronor and Swedish kronor against euro. Lastly, let's look at the Food Ingredients. Food Ingredients grew the top line by 20%, of which 1.7% was organic improvement.

Most parts of the business, like bakery ingredients and vegan products, all had good progress. Sales were, however, negatively impacted by the cold weather, which delayed ice cream sales in our main markets. In addition, fewer sales days in because of Easter also impacted the top line and then especially in Scandinavia. We lifted EBIT by 7.5%, driven by M and A. The delay in sales of sales of ice cream ingredients clearly impacted the profits and was only partly offset by solid profit improvements in our bakery business.

Also on the positive side, I'm glad to see good results in the turnaround companies that were not performing last year. They now show positive results. So overall, EBIT margin was slightly down in the quarter. So to sum up, the Branded Consumer Goods operations have good underlying progress, but is impacted by several negative temporary factors in Q1. Let's proceed to Orkla Investments.

As mentioned, in hydropower, higher power prices and somewhat lower volumes drove an EBIT growth of around 9%. Our real estate had no transactions this quarter, and the book value is about the same level as last quarter. Jotun, on the other hand, had another challenging quarter. Jotun continues to deliver growth in both volumes and operating revenues, except for Marine Coatings, which is heavily impacted by the cyclical downturn in the shipping industry. Marine Coatings experienced a significant decline in results due to lower sales and a sharp increase in raw material prices.

This explains more than half of the decrease in the total results year to date. Higher raw material prices negatively affected profitability also in the other segments, but the decorative paints continues to deliver good results. When it comes to raw material prices, it's expected to increase further, but the growth is expected at the lower rates. Implementation of measures to improve profitability like price increases and cost control will continue going forward in Jotun. Lastly, let's look at the cash flow and debt development.

Here you see the main drivers behind the operating cash flow development excluding financial investments. And periodic cash flow from operations was impacted by a seasonal buildup of working capital and higher replacement investments. When comparing to cash conversion in Q1 last year, it's worth noting that the lower seasonal buildup was partly helped by positive nonrecurring VAT effects. Working capital remains a clear focus area for us. And as Peter mentioned in our lastly quarterly update, that we are moving towards fewer and larger suppliers with better payment terms, and this work, of course, continues.

Net replacement investment was somewhat higher than the same quarter last year, mainly related to the ongoing ERP project and supply chain restructuring. And then finally, let's look at the net debt development. At the end of last year, net debt was around 0. And since then, our debt position increased by SEK 500,000,000 from expansion and SEK0.4 billion mainly from taxes. And then cash flow from operations reduced net debt by SEK 0.2 billion.

And this takes us to a net debt of approximately SEK 0.6 1,000,000,000 at the end of the quarter. So it's fair then to say that we have a very strong financial position. And before I leave the floor back to Petter, let me remind you also about our financial calendar for the upcoming period. And as Peter said, we have set a date for the next Investor Day and of course hope to see many of you in London on the 31st 1st October. So with that, let me leave the floor back to Petri for his final remarks.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Jens. I'll just give some final remarks and to sum up the quarter before we go to move on to Q and A. As mentioned, the underlying business continues to perform well, but several factors have offset our improvements in the quarter as we have been through both Jens and myself. So in sum, performance in Q1 has been below our expectations. Organic growth was impacted by the loss of Wrigley distribution, timing of Easter and a delayed ice cream season.

Adjusted for Wrigley and Easter, we estimate our organic progress to be in line with the market growth. As you also have seen, we continue to realize cost improvements from working more as OneOrkla, And our cost programs are proceeding as planned. This quarter, these effects were offset by higher input costs due to weaker nockelsack and negative mix effect, especially in Norway due to the timing of Easter. Jotun continues to grow both in volume and in sales, but weak marine results and substantially higher raw material prices impact profit. But this is a cyclical business.

We have seen this before. And we are probably at the bottom of the cycle, and it will pick up again going forward. When it comes to market growth going forward, we continue to see or we expect quite soft market growth, but we expect a rebound from Easter in the Q2 this year. We still face, of course, uncertainty regarding raw material prices and currency fluctuations going forward, but we continue to realize effects from cost improvements and price increases. As I mentioned, our targets remain unchanged.

We will work closer as 1 Orkla. We will continue to create top line growth, and we will continue to realize cost effects from our cost improvements program, and we are committed to deliver the 6% to 9% EBIT growth. Before we open up for Q and A, I would like to show you a few of our most recent innovations. As you see here on the stage, Barre Bra, our breakfast cereals portfolio is growing. In Norway, this range is launched under the Turo brand Baader Braa.

But in Sweden, Finland and the Baltics, it's known as Paloons. And through line extensions and international expansion, we have grown the total Perunz range by 42% annually since 2010, and it reached approximately SEK 250,000,000 in sales last year. In Q2, we are also extending the portfolio in Orkla, Sumi, and we are launching several more SKUs in the Baltic countries. And the good thing about this, this also is a very good one Orkla example. It's produced at the same factory.

It's the same product but launched under different brands in the different markets to meet the local consumers. Our vegan brand, ANAMMA, recently reached SEK100 1,000,000 in turnover for the last 12 months. Sales were lifted by the launch of ANAMMA vegan Formable Mints in February. And actually, after just 5 weeks on the market, it was already the 4th largest item in the entire frozen vegetarian category with a value share of 4%. And in true Walmart spirit, we were also launching Anama in Lithuania in Q2.

And speaking of Anama, last quarter, I told you that we had been chosen to produce McDonald's McVegan Burger from Anama. It was launched in Sweden and Finland in the beginning of this year. And the launch has been very well received. And so far, we have sold more than 1,000,000 vegan burgers, and that is far above our expectations. OLV Lentil Chips is a lighter chips with less fat and more protein.

It was launched in Sweden earlier this year, and it was voted taste winner by Swedish newspaper Aftonblad earlier this year. And sales has already exceeded our expectations, and the launch has even contributed to growth of the entire snacks category in Sweden. As an example of how we take successful products from one market to another, I have also included the new Grumma cleaning system being launched in Sweden. This allergy friendly mopping system is already a great success in Norway and is now being launched under the local brand Grumma in Sweden. But again, it's based on the same consumer insight.

It's the same product but launched under a local name. And actually, our Grumme brand in Sweden was recently voted number 2 environmental brand of all brands in Sweden. And the last one is a new launch under the Natuly brand, dairy free ice cream launched in Denmark. It's 100% plant based, and it comes in for flavor. So before we go to Q and A, we will just hope for warmer weather and a good ice cream season in Q2.

With that, I would like to open up for Q and A. Yes. No questions from the audience? Okay. Are there any questions from the web?

Speaker 3

Yes. The first question comes from Bredar Molti, Fektor Consulting. How good is the listing of Ville? He also says it's a great chocolate, by the way, and Soledox so far.

Speaker 1

The listing

Speaker 3

of Ville and Soledox so far.

Speaker 1

I think I will recommend them to take a look in the stores in Norway to see how the distribution of the listing is. But it is quite good. The solid, I'm not able to answer exactly on Will when it comes to Soledox. It's listed in 2 out of 3 food retailers in Norway and more or less in all gas stations and convenience stores.

Speaker 3

Okay. I have another question from the web. If there's nothing else here, it's from John Ennis at Goldman Sachs. He actually has 3 questions. I will just take them 1 at a time.

You reiterated the 6% to 9% medium term EBIT target, But can you confirm that you believe this level of growth is achievable also in 2018 despite the slow start in Q1?

Speaker 1

As I showed, I showed the rolling 12 month development in organic growth and underlying margin improvement. And as we have explained, there are several reasons why we see a somewhat disappointing development in Q1. That was loss of the Wrigley distribution agreement. It's the timing of Easter, which had an opposite effect last year. And we also mentioned that in Q1 that Q1 was so much stronger than otherwise expected due to timing of Easter.

And the thirdly was the slow start or late start of the ice cream season. And then we had headwind on currency, on second look versus euro. We have seen this before. We are, in general, over time, we are able to compensate for either increased raw material prices or currency fluctuations in price increases, but that is delayed in our main markets, as we have explained many times before. Yes, so we believe we will be able to deliver the 69%.

Speaker 3

Okay. His second question is, will we continue to see margin contraction from currency fluctuations going forward? Or are you taking price to offset these higher costs?

Speaker 2

We don't guide on margin development, but Peter said that we believe that we will grow EBIT by 69%. And then with the top line that we see in the market, that implicitly means that we should see margin improvement also this year. And better explain the reason for the negative mix effect and hence the margin effects this quarter, driven primarily by Easter. And of course, you have to look at it at least not quarter by quarter, but the full first half year because Easter comes every year, but we don't know it can vary which quarter it is. And then having the majority of the businesses in Norway, which is the most affected in when it comes to Easter, the shops are closed.

If you look at the composition of the businesses that we have in Norway, 40% of Care sales is in Norway, 1 third of Food sales, 1 third of Confection and Snacks and only 10% of the Food Ingredients business. So the mix in itself is dilutive. This is not permanently. This is temporary. So that means that and we still have the same level of fixed costs, but then 3 sales less.

So looking at this in sum, we expect that looking at the first half year, the picture will be different. So a long answer, but I'll just try to explain what the negative mix effects is for Easter. And then looking at the full year, as Peter said, 6% to 9% EBIT growth implicitly means at least 45 to 50 basis points of underlying margin improvements.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thank you, Jens. His last question is, is the 100 bps margin contraction in the Confectionery and Snacks business due to the Wrigley distribution deal being higher margin than the rest of the business? Or is it more down to negative leverage?

Speaker 2

Well, as I said, the margin on the Wrigley agreement, it was it marginally affects the margin, meaning it was on more or less on average, Confection and Snacks margins. And then I've said that or Peter mentioned that it was very low activity before Easter in Norway compared to last year. It was less pick and mix campaigns, and it was less campaigns in general. So that obviously then affects this picture. So we don't guide on margins specifically within each business area, but I've and I think I've explained these effects.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Okay.

Speaker 4

Thank you. Martin Stencil from Danske Bank. Could you please talk a bit about the progress with the supply chain efficiency program? I'm just wondering if you could put some comments on the milestones and how that project is going. And then secondly, could you please comment on the status of the ERP project implementation?

Speaker 1

Okay. I'll comment on the supply chain. I would say that I showed you our progress on factory footprint earlier today. I would say that our supply chain improvement is generally in 3 areas. 1 is factory footprint, where we have announced closure of 30 factories.

We are investigating 2 more right now, and we have physically closed 24. And we intend to keep on with optimizing our footprint program. But also, as I mentioned, there is no target to have as few factories as possible, but to have efficient factories that are big enough so we can invest in modern technology, automation, but at the same time, maintain our flexibility to deliver to the local consumer. The second part is continuous improvement in our supply chain, where we are constantly working on improving our current business in existing factories, taking out costs, increase efficiency, reduce waste, reduce energy consumption and all this,

Speaker 2

the sum of a

Speaker 1

lot of small things that adds up. And the third is in procurement, which is also an important part of supply chain, of course. And as we have explained, we are focusing now on fewer, bigger supplier, consolidating our purchase with fewer suppliers, meaning that we will have better payment or better conditions and better payment terms going forward. But this is projects that are taking time, but that will show results down the road. I will leave it to Jens to comment on our common ERP project.

Speaker 2

Yes, I can. And then the status is the reason for doing this project, I've explained earlier. But the status is that we are now in an analysis phase. So doing this year, we are doing analysis. We are doing design, building templates, and we are also doing some piloting.

So that's the main activity in 2018. And then gradually from 2019, we will start to roll out this new ERP system. And the first businesses out will be the Care business area and then also Food Sweden next year. So from March, approximately March, April next year, we will start to roll out. I would say that overall status on this project is that we are performing according to plan.

And then as you know, as a consequence of this ERP project, we will have some, I'll call it, front loaded CapEx profile because the overall cost for the system won't be higher than the alternative cost for changing out a lot of the systems that we had to do anyhow. But the profile of the CapEx will be a little bit more front loaded. But I've commented on the CapEx level earlier on, and it will be included in this plusminus4% of net sales going forward. So no changes there. I don't know if that was a good enough answer, but

Speaker 5

Perve Benavskolsen, Carnegie. Quick questions on the confectionery and snacks. You do not talk anything about the higher sugar tax in Norway. Hasn't that impacted your sales at all? Or have you taken a lot of market shares in Norway?

Speaker 1

Of course, we have had a sharp increase in sugar tax in Norway, valid from 1st January this year. That increase was 83%, quite dramatic. And it is hard to say how much that has influenced demand. But what we have seen is that the retailers have had no campaigns on confectionery so far this year or very, very limited compared to last year, especially on pick and mix. That is probably related to their that they don't want to upset politicians to sell unhealthy goods.

Secondly, we have seen a quite dramatic increase in border sales from Sweden, Denmark, Germany into Norway, both in physical stores from Sweden without this tax, but also online retailers selling in from both Sweden, Denmark, Germany into Norway. And it's not only that we have this very high, I think the world's highest sugar tax in Norway, but actually we also have a possibility, Norwegian have a possibility to import duty free, VAT free, tax free from online retailers abroad as long as the total value of the invoice is below NOK 350. That does not exactly help. Okay. No further questions.

So thank you for coming here today.

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