Sonder Holdings Inc. (SONDQ)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

May 10, 2023

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Sonder Q1 2023 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Jon Charbonneau, VP, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Jon Charbonneau
VP and Head of Investor Relations, Sonder Holdings Inc

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us to discuss Sonder's Q1 2023 financial results. Joining me on the call today are Francis Davidson, Co-Founder and CEO, and Dom Bourgault, Chief Financial Officer. Full details of our results and additional management commentary are available in our Q1 2023 shareholder letter, which can be found on the investor relations section of our website at investors.sonder.com. Before we start, I'd like to remind you that the following discussion and the Q&A session at the end of this call contain forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to Sonder's strategies, market opportunities, and future financial and operating results that involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially versus those discussed here.

Additional information about the factors that could cause our actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements can be found in Sonder's SEC filings. The forward-looking statements and discussion of risks in this conference call, including responses to your questions, are based on current expectations as of today. Sonder assumes no obligation to update or revise them, whether as a result of new developments or otherwise, except as required by law. Also, the following discussion contains non-GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, please see our shareholder letter posted to our investor relations website. Now, I'll turn the call over to Francis Davidson, Sonder's Co-founder and CEO.

Francis Davidson
Co-Founder and CEO, Sonder Holdings Inc

Thanks, Jon. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. First off, I'd like to welcome our new CFO, Dom Bourgault, to his first Sonder earnings call. I'm very excited to have Dom on board. He brings over two decades of financial leadership experience, the vast majority of which was spent working at Expedia, and he has already made a great impact in his short time here at Sonder. Before I comment on Q1 results, I want to share a few thoughts about our share price. While we understand the broader macroeconomic environment that's currently affecting capital markets, we're obviously not thrilled about the value at which shares have been trading. In our conversations with some of our shareholders, it's clear that we have the same desire to achieve cash flow positivity on a sustainable basis as soon as possible.

The progress we've made since announcing our cash flow positive plan in June last year has been enormous. To communicate our actual results and their drivers more clearly, we've updated our investor presentation to better illustrate Sonder's free cash flow equation. We believe this demonstrates the reasons why we have conviction that we're heading in the right direction and anticipate achieving sustainable free cash flow positivity without having to fundraise. The four drivers that have led to improvements to free cash flow are cash contribution margin improvements, live unit growth, overhead cost reductions, and pre-opening cost reductions. We feel great about our capacity to keep pulling these levers to see free cash flow improve at a similar pace going forward. On to Q1 results. Revenue grew by 50% year-over-year to $121 million in what is our seasonally slowest quarter of the year.

As expected, January was a slow month, but we saw a steady month-over-month increase in RevPAR in both February and March. Free cash flow improved to -$41 million versus -$62 million in the Q1 of 2022, a $21 million year-over-year improvement. Free cash flow margin improved to -34% in the Q1 of 2023 versus -77% in the Q1 of 2022. This has been partially driven by our continued focus on reducing costs, such as overhead costs, which were down 20% year-over-year. In fact, overhead costs have improved on an absolute dollar basis in every quarter since the Q1 of 2022. While revenue grew nearly 80% over that same time period.

On direct costs, we've seen a roughly 10% reduction in property-level operations and support expenses per occupied night on a like-for-like basis over the past year, primarily driven by improvements in housekeeping and customer service. This has helped drive a significant improvement in trailing 12-month cash contribution margin to 19% in the Q1 versus 4% a year ago. Dom will provide additional detail on our Q1 financial performance a little later on in the call. I'd like to provide an update on a number of our RevPAR initiatives which drive cash contribution margins.

During the Q1, we continued to expand our corporate business, including deepening our presence in existing verticals such as entertainment, while also expanding into several new verticals, including education, government, and finance. We also signed new GDS partnerships and are working with many of the industry's leading travel management companies. We're very excited about our momentum within our corporate business and still anticipate another year of solid growth, which will further bolster weekday RevPARs, an area with immense opportunity. Next, we're continually looking to improve our pricing optimization and have made considerable progress rolling out our improved pricing algorithms, allowing us to better capture demand throughout the booking window. More broadly, we believe that our revenue management technology is unique with a lot of innovative features, enabling us to maximize profit across the broad range of length of stays that Sonder attracts.

During the Q1, we rolled out our new flex cancellation policy on Vrbo. I've already seen a positive incremental benefit to RevPAR. At the same time, we tested a new commission model, which produced a notable uptick in both search and page views. Therefore, we decided to implement it across all of Vrbo. Moving on, I believe our elevated merchandising strategy with a reimagined art direction and photography further showcases our design-led value proposition, one of our most important brand differentiators. This strategy has continued to result in an uplift in conversion of over 10% and was implemented in over 15% of total live units by the end of the Q1. The Found Santa Monica is a great example. You can find a before and after within our shareholder letter.

Throughout the Q2, we anticipate upgrading our photography across an additional 15% of live units and expect over 50% live unit coverage by the end of the year. Shifting to our total portfolio. In the Q1, live units grew by 35% year-over-year, driven by strong conversion from our contracted units to live units. This resulted in us surpassing 10,000 live units, a big milestone for the company. New signed units also more than doubled sequentially, which is encouraging after a slower second half of 2022. Many landlords and developers are still dealing with difficulty getting financing. That said, we still have a notable backlog of contracted but not live units, which we're expecting will continue to be the primary driver of unit growth over the next few quarters.

I'd also point out that 100% of deals signed in the Q1 were capital light. Before turning it over to Dom, I want to thank our employees, partners, and guests across the globe for choosing Sonder and for their continued belief and support in our mission to revolutionize hospitality. I'll turn over the call to our Chief Financial Officer, Dom Bourgault. Dom.

Dom Bourgault
CFO, Sonder Holdings Inc

Thank you, Francis. Hello, everyone. I'm excited to be here with the team and working for a company that is revolutionizing hospitality through design and technology. Since joining Sonder two months ago, I have taken an in-depth look at the business. It has reaffirmed the confidence I had in our overall strategy when first deciding to join the company. I believe we are on the right track, there is still more work to be done in order to reach our goal of achieving sustainable positive free cash flow as soon as possible while preserving the company's attractive growth profile. With that said, I will provide a brief overview of our Q1 financial results and then take you through guidance. We'll open the call to questions.

In the Q1, we generated $121 million of revenue, representing a 50% increase compared to Q1 of 2022. Our Q1 revenue growth year-over-year was driven by an increase in bookable nights of 30% and RevPAR growth of 15%. Again this quarter, key top-line performance metrics improved year-over-year, including live units, bookable nights, occupied nights, and RevPAR. More specifically, we ended the quarter with approximately 10,400 live units, representing 35% growth, driven by the conversion of contracted units into live units. In Q1, we had nearly 900,000 bookable nights, an increase of 30% driven by this live unit growth. RevPAR in the Q1 was $134, up 15% year-over-year, with the ADR component growing 4% to $167.

As Francis mentioned, the Q1 is our seasonally weakest quarter of the year, RevPAR saw some incremental impact from new units going live during the quarter. As a reminder, new units take a period of time to ramp up to normalized ADRs. Occupancy rate was 80% in the Q1, up 700 basis points year-over-year, but down 300 basis points sequentially. Q1 last year saw some residual impact from Omicron while we began experimenting with our higher occupancy strategy during the same period as a full benefit to occupancy rate initially seen in the Q2. Total Q1 costs and operating expenses increased by 17% year-on-year to $205 million, inclusive of $12 million of stock-based compensation expense in the quarter, demonstrating strong operating leverage compared to our revenue increase of 50%.

The increase in total cost and operating expenses were driven primarily by the overall growth in our live units. As this relates to the cost reduction actions we spoke about last quarter, we remain confident in achieving the $10 million in annualized cost savings related to headcount reduction, we continue to look for additional savings across the rest of our cost structure on an ongoing basis. In the Q1, as Francis mentioned, free cash flow before one-time restructuring costs totaled negative $41 million compared to negative $30 million in the Q4 and negative $62 million in the Q1 of 2022. Free cash flow margin also improved year-over-year, reaching negative 34% compared to negative 77% in the Q1 of 2022. The free cash flow improvement year-over-year was due to ADR growth as well as an improvement in non-property level operating expenses.

Given typical low ADR seasonality in Q1, we believe sequential performance is less relevant and would focus more on year-over-year comparisons. Cash contribution margin, which is a unit economics metric we use to provide visibility on property level performance, was 12.5% versus 12.9% in Q1 of 2022. The slight decline primarily stems from a change in classification of certain costs starting in the Q1 of 2023, which was not adjusted for prior periods, impacting the metric by 200 basis points year-over-year. Turning to the balance sheet, as of March 31st, we have $246 million in cash equivalents and restricted cash, and $180 million in total debt.

Note that while restricted cash declined sequentially in Q1, it is likely to increase in Q2 due to the dynamics stemming from the failure of SVB, leading to us having to collateralize certain new line of credit issuances under First Citizens ownership and due to certain amendments to our financial covenant requirements. We've been pleased with the partnership with First Citizens so far, and we'll be working with them to explore options to enhance our partnership going forward. On the free cash flow front, since the beginning of 2022, Sonder has demonstrated a consistent improvement in free cash flow, and we expect to see this trajectory continue.

Forward visibility into attractive growth in bookable nights, combined with strong operating leverage in our cost base, trace a clear path to a sustainable free cash flow formula, one that we aim to continue to strengthen as we scale, resulting in significant long-term value to our shareholders. For the balance of 2023, we are expecting that our free cash flow burn will continue to trend significantly lower compared to the same period in 2022. As such, exit 2023 with a liquidity profile that should provide the runway needed to execute on our plan without needing to raise additional capital. Looking ahead, we felt it prudent to lower our RevPAR assumptions for the balance of this year due to lower projected ADRs given the uncertain macro conditions we are facing.

While achieving a positive quarter of free cash flow this year is still a goal, we believe it is unlikely under the slower RevPAR scenario. Our primary focus is to put the business on a solid path to achieving sustainable positive free cash flow as soon as possible while preserving the business's attractive top line growth rate and again, doing so without having to raise additional capital. With regards to guidance itself, we are aiming to provide you with more visibility into the trajectory of our business and are changing our approach to now provide revenue and free cash flow guidance for not only the upcoming quarter, but also the H2 of this year.

For the Q2 of 2023, we expect revenue between $155 million and $165 million, and free cash flow excluding one-time restructuring costs between -$30 million and -$20 million, which at the midpoint is a $20 million improvement versus the Q2 of 2022. For the H2 of 2023, we expect revenue between $345 million and $375 million, which at the midpoint of the guidance ranges provided translates to approximately 40% year-over-year growth for the full year of 2023. For free cash flow, we expect between -$50 million and -$30 million in the H2 of 2023.

At the midpoint of the guidance ranges provided, this translates into a 40% year-on-year improvement for the full year of 2023, or a $70 million improvement. With that, we are now happy to take your questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you so much, presenters. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Nicholas Jones of JMP Securities. Your line is now open.

Nicholas Jones
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, JMP Securities

I guess just as we think about adding units to the portfolio and then live units is, should we kind of expect live units to outpace kind of net adds in the total portfolio through the rest of the year? Could you maybe touch on how you feel about your cost structure as you try to, you know, reach free cash flow positivity in the face of kind of macro environment? Thanks.

Francis Davidson
Co-Founder and CEO, Sonder Holdings Inc

Yeah. Thanks so much, Nick. Francis here. Thank you for kicking things off. I'm gonna start with the first point on the live unit versus total portfolio growth. As we mentioned, we expect the majority of the live unit growth to come from our significant book of contracted units. You've seen in the last few quarters that while live units have grown quite a bit, the growth on total portfolio has been a little bit slower. There's a couple of reasons for that. One of which has been the fact that we've cleaned up a lot of the deals that were in our contracted book that we didn't feel high conviction would convert to live units.

The biggest reason for this adjustment has been the capital markets environment, specifically on commercial real estate financing conditions. Even though we have a contract with these developers, we thought it was more prudent to say, "You know what? We think it's less likely if there's a financing contingency, we're gonna remove that from our contracted book if we don't think that the financing would actually come through." We've done a lot of that cleanup. We saw total portfolio actually increase in Q1 in addition to obviously live units. It's difficult to predict exactly how things will shape out. We haven't given specific guidance on that front. Really the thing that we're most focused on internally is this continued live unit growth.

This is really what's at the heart of the cash flow positive plan. It's, you know, opening new properties that have very strong unit economics, that have very rapid payback periods that very quickly start adding to the cash contribution dollars that are really fueling this improvement in free cash flow. Live unit growth is really the core focus of the team. We have a large book of contracted units, and we're focusing on making sure that these signed deals actually deliver live units as a core priority.

Dom Bourgault
CFO, Sonder Holdings Inc

Nick, this is Dom. I'll take the second question on the cost structure. First, nice meeting you. I'm happy to be here on the call and start speaking with investors going forward. In terms of the cost structure, you'll see us continue to improve our cash contribution margin going forward. That's a key part of getting to free cash flow positive. Francis just spoke about portfolio expansion. That's another key component for sure, driving top line going forward. In terms of cost themselves, you've seen our overhead costs declining. We're gonna continue to leverage overhead costs significantly. There was very strong leverage in Q1, and that's a goal of ours to continue to operate with a very tight lid on overhead costs going forward.

Pre-opening costs have also come down and that's another one we'll continue to control. Last thing is on a direct cost standpoint. We're turning every rock, optimizing every direct cost spend, trying to decouple that growth from the growth of the top line. A lot of progress has been made. You can see it in the numbers. There's still a lot of opportunity for us going forward to continue to expand margins.

Operator

All right. Thank you so much. Our next question comes from the line of Jed Kelly of Oppenheimer. Your line is now open.

Jed Kelly
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co

One for Jed. Thanks for taking our questions. Could you maybe speak to how we should be thinking about your RevPAR throughout the rest of the year? On cash levels, could you give us a sense on how we should be thinking about 12 cash levels? Thanks.

Francis Davidson
Co-Founder and CEO, Sonder Holdings Inc

Yeah. Maybe I'll start here for the question on RevPAR for the rest of the year. Like, like we mentioned earlier on in the call, we've seen some nice momentum, you know, in the Q1 from month-to-month. You know, I'll just remind you that we've got really good visibility, 30-45 days out on bookings just because of the booking curve or the percentage of bookings that are on the books, gives us really high conviction about a month and a half in advance. That really informed our Q2 guidance. For the rest of 2023, we really take a look at, you know, macroeconomic analyses to try to understand what are the demand supply dynamics that are expected in each of the markets in which we're currently situated.

We kind of roll those into our own forecast. Like Dom mentioned earlier on in the call, we wanna take a more balanced approach and cautious approach given the uncertainties that exist in the macroeconomy right now when it comes to, you know, how that particular very sensitive variable will evolve over time. More, most importantly, we're planning, you know, the rest of the business, the cost structure and the decisions that we're making internally, you know, not assuming, you know, really ambitious, heroic levels of RevPAR growth like we've seen in the last few years given where we're at in the cycle.

Dom Bourgault
CFO, Sonder Holdings Inc

Hi, Jed. This is Dom. I'll take the question on the cash draw. We're not gonna comment explicitly on the cash draw. I think I'll point you back to the guidance. I think you might have seen also the materials we've updated on our investor page. We're gonna continue to reduce cash burn through this year. You see the range there we have for the forecast burn. We can easily translate that into an ending cash balance by the end of this year, which we believe is gonna be a good cushion for us to finalize the execution of our free cash flow positive plan, and, you know, us having to raise capital again to get there.

If you actually look at the trajectory of the burn and extrapolate that, you know, you can get a sense of how close we're gonna be and how much margin we'll have to maneuver. Again, we haven't done our 2024 planning. It's too far out. We will update you guys later this year or very early next year once we have more data and we get closer to it. Again, I'll just point you to the trajectory of what the business has delivered and what we forecast to be able to deliver for the rest of this year. That's kind of the construct there for how we think about our liquidity position.

Jed Kelly
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you so much. Presenters, there are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect. Have a good day.

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