ADAMA Ltd. (SHE:000553)
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Apr 30, 2026, 3:04 PM CST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2024

Nov 4, 2024

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

My name is Rivka Neufeld. I'm the Head of Investor Relations at ADAMA. With us here today, we have CEO and President, Mr. Gaël Hili. With us also, we have CFO, Mrs. Efrat Nagar. And we will be presenting the financial results for the quarter, followed by a Q&A session. You can see at the bottom, you have a Q&A box that you can submit your questions in advance. And please feel free to use that. And with that, we will begin. One moment. I will give the legal notice, please. One moment. So before we begin, this presentation is for marketing and information purposes only. Neither ADAMA Ltd nor ADAMA Agricultural Solutions Ltd intend to give.

This presentation does not constitute professional or business advice or any offer or recommendation to perform any transaction in the company's securities. It does not replace the need to review the company's reports as published to the public in its official filings. Any forecast and/or assessment that will be provided, if provided in this presentation, is based on the assessment of the company's management at its discretion and involves uncertainty. These estimates and/or forecasts are forward-looking information as defined in the Securities Law 1968. These assessments and/or forecasts may not materialize. Any content contained in this presentation shall not constitute or be construed as any regulatory, valuation, legal, tax, accounting, or investment advice. So with that, thank you, Gaël.

Gaël Hili
President and CEO, ADAMA

Thank you, Rivka. Good day, everyone. So it's a pleasure for me to give you this presentation today. First one for me as the President and CEO of ADAMA. So great to have you all. I'll give you some information, some inputs about how the crop protection industry or market is moving according to our view. And then, as Rivka was saying, I will share our result for the third quarter and the first nine months of 2024. Now, for those of you who've been attending previous calls or for those of you who are familiar with our industry, some of the things you're going to hear today are not new. I'll start by saying that this is a market, the crop protection one, which is experiencing a significant price pressure in the market now for some time. And this price pressure, sorry, is coming from two different sources, angles.

The first one is that we see the grower P&Ls pressured. Crop commodities have been softening, and when you look at the P&L of the key crops in the key geographies, the profit that the growers are making for every hectare they're producing, planting and producing, those profits have been going down and are so lower than previous year and in some cases are going into negative, and that's obviously putting pressure on our industry because in cases like this, growers look for savings, look for better value for money, and are much more selective on the quantities they buy and what products at what price. That's the first source of the pressure we see in the market. It's been this way for a while, but it's not getting better because we see crop commodities, as I said before, softening. Crop commodities prices softening.

Now, the other dynamic, which also has been there for a while, now for more than a year, is the overcapacity of active ingredient production in China, which is resulting in price levels out of China for those active ingredients at historical low levels. That has been the case for more than a year. It is still the case. This overcapacity is still there, and it is impacting significantly the market because some participants into the market are trying to find a way for their volumes, which are in many cases more than what the market needs, and this is obviously through the normal supply and demand balance, putting significant pressure on prices. You'll see in our result in a moment that pricing is one of the key drivers of the result we're presenting. Another couple of things that are happening in the market.

The first one is that we see also behaviors of the channel of our customers changing. And this is true nearly across the globe toward more just-in-time supplies. So the time where those channel partners are supplying products and putting them in their inventory is getting more and more close to the actual users of the product on the ground by the growers. And this is also affecting the dynamic of our sales and when they are happening. So that's a phenomenon that we see across the board in the market. And last but not least, and this is more on the good news side, over the year, we started 2024, our industry has started 2024 with a very high level of inventories in the channel, abnormally high.

This has been easing over as we were progressing into the year to bring us to a situation today, end of Q3, where in most markets, not all of them yet, but in most markets, we can say we are back to what our industry would call, what we would call normal level of inventories. There are a few exceptions, unfortunately, to that, where the inventories are still higher than the historical levels. But overall, we can say that this has been easing, and this is good news for our industry. Next slide, please. So let's talk now about the Q3 and nine-month result financial highlights of the company of ADAMA. So we see there are a lot of good news in there. Okay? And I'll go through them now. The first one, and these are good news that are happening in the type of market I just mentioned.

So the market didn't get better, but our performance on several elements got significantly better. So first of all, if we look at the EBITDA line for Q3, we're looking at an EBITDA that has more than tripled versus Q3 2023. Okay? So we're starting to see the result of our efforts on portfolio, on mix, and on OpEx on the Q3 EBITDA result. This is also true for the nine-month, okay, where with an EBITDA 4% above the same period of nine months of 2023. That's a significant achievement in a market like this one. And we haven't seen the result of all our competitors, but I'm hoping that this will put us in the forefront of the industry. The other thing which we're very proud of is our performance on cash.

So we've seen our nine-month for the nine months of 2024 versus nine months of 2023. We've seen our operating cash flow improving by $258 million, and our free cash flow improved by more than $350 million. This is the result of very, very disciplined management of cash since the beginning of the year, which is producing very, very tangible results. So we see EBITDA improving over the nine months. We see cash flow improving, and we also see the quality of our business improving. So this is the result of the management of our inventories over the last nine months, where we've been successfully replacing very highly costly inventories by inventories which are much more competitive in the market at lower cost. This is the first driver. The other driver is the sales mix.

We are in ADAMA. We have been embarking already for a while in a strategy of adjusting our mix to more profitable products. And this is showing up in our financials. And last but not least, our operational expenses, our cost has been under very strict discipline over the last nine months, resulting in a performance of $45 million better than last year. So overall, you put all those factors together, and we end up with a financial performance of the company, which is, if you look at year on year, which is in our industry the right apple-to-apple comparison, is significantly better on many fronts. Next slide. Now, if we look at the P&L, this is the one for Q3. It confirms in a way what I've been saying earlier. On the top line, we see a decrease.

So we have a top line in Q3 2024, which is 10% lower than Q3 2023. This is coming mostly from price impact. So 7% out of those 10 are coming from price. There is a bit of volume there, which relates also to the dynamic I was mentioning before of just-in-time purchases from the channel. We see some purchases moving to Q4 from Q3 in some regions. And then you see right away, if we start going down the P&L, whether it's gross profit or EBITDA, a significantly higher number than a year ago. And the reason behind that is what I was explaining earlier. The mix is better. We're focusing, we're getting out of some low-profit commodities. We're focusing on higher margin products. The OpEx management is also contributing to that. And overall, we end up with an EBITDA significantly higher than the previous period.

On the net loss and reported net loss, we see the loss reducing despite higher financial expenses. This is also something we are continuously working on. As I was saying before, strategically, we're refocusing our portfolio on higher margin products, even if sometimes it affects our top line. This is a conscious effort to set the company for the future on a healthier financial basis. The gross profit on a nine-month basis went down. This is a result of the sales dynamic. You see that despite that, EBITDA is at 4%. Again, this is the result of the way we've been managing our inventories and the type of products, sorry, we had on our inventories versus a year ago, the cost, which was lower. That allowed us to impact positively the EBITDA and the OpEx management that has been very strict.

We've been reducing the size of our employee base and cutting on all other types of non-labor expenses. Now, if we look at the regional picture, it tells also a story that is very homogeneous wherever we look at. Now, if you look on the top line, and these are sales numbers, these are not profit numbers that we're showing for the regions, you see, and allow me to exclude for a minute North America, you see that for whether it's Europe, Africa, Middle East, Latin America, or Asia-Pacific, sales on a comparison basis, whether it's the quarter or the nine month, are going down. Same reasons as I was explaining before for the overall company. We have a price dynamic that is happening all across the board and also a volume dynamic related to the fact that we started 2024 with very high channel inventories.

Now, the value of the market we play in those regions is going down, and the drop of our sales in that respective market is very much reflecting what the market is doing, and we see, for example, that in Latin America, the drop is bigger, but the market drop is also bigger in Latin America than it is in EAME and APAC, so broadly, we are following what the market is doing there and being affected by the market on the top line, and once again, there is also an element, and this is true across our regions of portfolio mix, where we've taken a conscious decision to walk out of commodity business that was not profitable enough. This is impacting slightly more Latin America than it does, especially in Europe, where we had, as a starting point, less of these low-margin commodities in our portfolio.

Now, North America shows a surprising increase or is flat year over year on the nine-month. I would not focus too much on the Q3, which was a small quarter, but on the nine-month, it's flat, where other geographies are dropping significantly. The reason is that in North America, our market share, which is both good news and bad news in a way, is much lower than anywhere else on the globe. In Europe, Latin America, and APAC, we have in our focus countries, we have double-digit market share in most cases, whereas in North America, our market share is very low, is below 2%. That allowed us in North America, in a way, to be disconnected from the market.

So in other geographies, in other regions, where the market goes down, our presence is such, and we're big enough in a way that we cannot disconnect our performance from the market, or it's very difficult, impossible in a situation like the one we're living in 2024. In North America, it's not the case. So through some specific customer deals, we were able to maintain our performance versus the nine-month, the first nine months of 2023. But I would not take it as a significant indicator that we are performing better than other regions in North America. We are also struggling with our pricing in North America. The pressure is there. We're doing better than the market, true. But it's not significant because our presence in North America, unfortunately, is not significant at this stage. Next slide, please. Efrat, I think you're taking this one.

Efrat Nagar
CFO, ADAMA

Okay. Thank you, Gaël. Okay. So looking on the sales bridge for the last quarter, Q3, we can see here that, as explained by Gaël, our sales reduced by 10% from 922 to 833. We can see a 7% reduction in prices due to the low price environment in the market, mainly because of the low prices from China. However, we can see here that our volume is increasing slightly indeed, only 2%. But it reflects what was already explained by Gaël, the easing of inventory in the market. And it is, although we took a decision of defocusing from selected low-profit products, and also, although we see the just-in-time purchasing pattern in the market due to the high interest rate.

If we look on the next slide, which is our gross margin, our gross profit bridge, we can see that our decision around the defocusing from low-profit products together with our tight inventory management already reflected in the result of Q3. You can see here that our gross profit, although sales are lower, is $204.5 million versus $176 million, 17% increase. But not only that, also our gross margin, the quality of the business increased significantly from 19% in Q3 2023 to 24.6% in Q3 2024. And you can see here the high impact of the lower cost of inventory that we are selling in this quarter, which is significantly positive, higher than the negative price impact.

Looking on the EBITDA bridge analysis, so together with the very disciplined OpEx management and with the $7 million OpEx reduction, our EBITDA increased by 241% versus Q3 2023, reaching to $61 million, which is 7.3% EBITDA to sales ratio versus only 1.9% in Q3 2023. If we look to the nine-month sales bridge, so the story is more or less the same. Reduction of 14% in sales, 9% from prices, 2% in quantities from the same reason, and with our decision of defocusing from selected low profit, in the next slide, we can see the improvement in our gross margin, 26.1% versus 23.5%. We are succeeding also in the nine months to generate positive mix, and also the cost here, as you can see, $330 million better cost due to our decision already in Q2 2023 to focus on our inventory management.

And with our OpEx discipline, again, starting from already 2023, we see also in this period of the nine months reduction in the OpEx, which brings us to EBITDA of $264 million, 4% than last year, and with significantly better quality of business, 9.7% EBITDA ratio versus 8.1%. Next slide. This is my favorite slide, which I'm really proud to present, our cash flow management. So although our net losses increase year over year by $132 million, we are succeeded in the nine months to generate operating cash flow of $253 million, which are higher by $258 million versus last year, and free cash flow, $130 million positive free cash flow, $256 million higher than last year. This is due to our very strict management of all our working capital elements, inventory that I will present in the next slide, improved payable terms, a focus on collection.

And last but not least, prioritization of CapEx and intangible asset investment while we are investing only on must-have and on our growth project with a lower ROI. Inventory achievement is presented here. We can see here that in Q3 2024, our inventory reduced by $421 million versus last year. But not only that, also versus the beginning of the year, we see a reduction in our inventory. If we're looking on the details, we will see that the reduction in the inventory is in our finished good. In the finished good, we have less flexibility on moving products from region to region. And by reduction in these finished good products, we will be able to supply very soon to our countries low-cost inventory at market price that will enable us to compete in the market.

Looking on the days, you can see here that Q3, 191 days, significantly lower than last year, also demonstrate our good inventory management. And I think this is going to be my, oh, no, okay. Debt breakdown. So ADAMA has $2.3 million debt to the end of September. You can see here that 44% from this debt is from our bond, our traded bond. 30% from this debt is coming from Syngenta, partially short-term and long-term. We also have short-term and long-term from the banks. And as per September, end of September, we also have $458.9 million committed credit lines from the banks in Israel and also uncommitted credit lines from Syngenta of approximately $200 million. Our covenant for this quarter is four. We need to meet a ratio of net debt to EBITDA of 4.8. This four ratio is excluding Syngenta loans and securitization.

And again, in the last, as always, we are meeting our covenant. And this is the last slide, correct?

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Yes. Correct. Thank you very much. We will now open the session to questions and answers. Please send us your questions. As of now, we didn't receive any questions, and we really encourage you to take this opportunity to pose direct questions to the company's management and to receive answers from them. So we will take a few moments to poll for questions. Thank you. I see a first question. Do you expect to continue to lose, and what will be your cash flow in 2025? Who wants to take this answer?

Gaël Hili
President and CEO, ADAMA

I can take it, Efrat. So we obviously don't make forward-looking comments here. What we have been working on is an overall holistic plan to improve the financials of the company, including cash flow, as we saw already. So, the cash flow situation of the company through the plan, we call it the Fight Forward Plan. Those of you who were here in the previous version of this call have heard this terminology. And this Fight Forward Plan is a plan that is meant to turn around the company financially, which we've started to do. The cash flow performance, as Efrat was mentioning in her favorite slide, is improving already significantly year on year. The plan is still on, continues. We're executing it.

I came as a new President and CEO of ADAMA, but that doesn't change the fact that this plan is absolutely necessary. If anything, we're accelerating it. And that's meant to improve. This plan is meant to improve all the lines of our financials, including, obviously, the cash situation, including our net income.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Thank you, Gaël. The next question, two questions. Is there any expectation for an increase in sales in 2025 in order to create more operating cash flow?

Gaël Hili
President and CEO, ADAMA

So I can take that one. Again, it won't be a forward-looking statement on our sales, but maybe a couple of comments on the market. The situation of the market that I described in my first slide is current. We haven't seen any indication of that to change in 2025 yet. So the market assumption we're working on are that the market will continue to see the type of price pressure we see right now in the market and the type of competition coming from China with this overcapacity on the active ingredient side. So long story short, at this stage, we don't see the market easing much and helping us with tailwinds in 2025. Now, it's just an assumption. You don't have to believe in it. It's just an assumption. I hope it's wrong, but it's our assumption today.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

The second question repeats the first question, really. Do you have any expectation of moving from loss to profit in 2025? I think you answered that already. Next question. Can you please give a bit more insight into the positive cost development in the EBITDA bridge on the third quarter and nine months? What are the different contributors to the $112 million and $312 million in the cost improvement? Efrat, do you want to take that?

Efrat Nagar
CFO, ADAMA

Yeah. There are two components to this cost reduction. One of them is our decision to manage our procurements and production during 2023 in a very tight way, which means that we're drawing today from fresh, low-cost inventory, sold at market prices. So we see the cost-benefit versus 2023 situation. This is one. But secondly, part of our Fight Forward is to see more efficiencies and better ways of working in our operating area in order to manage and to reduce our costs.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Thank you, Efrat. The next question. The cost of the bonds is much higher than bank debt for the long run. Excuse me. Higher than bank debt and debt from the related parties from Syngenta. Why don't you increase the debt more in comparison? Why don't you increase that debt more in comparison to your buyback plan? Meaning, why don't you switch your more expensive debt for cheaper debt and increase your buyback plan?

Efrat Nagar
CFO, ADAMA

ADAMA is in the last nine months, and I think in the last two years, focusing on cash management, debt management, and it's already demonstrated in our financial expenses are significantly lower than the last nine months. We keep evaluating the way of managing our debt and cash in order to minimize our financial expenses, including buyback, as we already done in the last two weeks ago, two months.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

So we don't have any more questions. I propose that we wait a little bit more. Perhaps somebody else wants to send us a question. You can also send your question.

Speaker 4

[audio distortion]

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Oh, thank you. Do you see any new installed capacity in the market in the near future? Is there an inherent subsidy in China?

Gaël Hili
President and CEO, ADAMA

So I'll take this one. What we see for sure, I'm not sure about new capacity still coming in, but it's the tail of projects and decisions that have been made in the past. I don't think that anyone is crazy enough to start a new project now from scratch. But we're still seeing capacity coming online of previous decisions that have been made in China. So that's one. What we don't see is those new capacities that have been put online in the last 24 months coming down. So nobody is closing. That's what we're seeing. And that's what can be surprising to the normal economic principle of supply and demand because on some of the AIs in which those new capacities have come online, the global production capacity is twofold, threefold, sometimes 10 or above times the demand.

Despite that, those capacities are still producing, which can be surprising. I think it's the result, maybe not direct subsidies, coming back to the question, that are happening in China, but more different strategic priorities of the Chinese government these days versus what has happened last time we saw something similar where the priorities of the Chinese government were very much around environment and, in a way, "cleaning up" the industry from its low-end participants. That's not clearly the strategy of the Chinese government today, whether it's the central government or the provinces. They are actually trying to support those companies in order to survive. Okay? That's what we're seeing. Usually, not through direct subsidies, more indirect in most cases, but still. That's one of the reasons why all this overcapacity is holding for more time than what we all thought initially.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Thank you, Gaël. We have one more question. When do you expect that price pressure in the market will ease again?

Gaël Hili
President and CEO, ADAMA

Well, I don't have a crystal ball, but it is related not only, but very heavily related to what I just said. Until we see the type of overcapacity we see in China on all the main AIs that are produced and sold in the world, I don't see the pressure going away. Now, of course, the commodity prices, I'm talking about the agriculture commodities that our growers are selling, can have an influence also, can release some of that pressure if they start going up again. Right now, they're more softening than anything else. So these are the two big trends that will either make this price pressure stay or take it away. When? Impossible to say.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Thank you very much, Gaël. Well, we don't have any more questions as of now. Maybe would you like to give some closing remarks?

Gaël Hili
President and CEO, ADAMA

Sure. So look, I think that the short summary of what is going on in ADAMA right now is that we are starting to see the positive sign on our financials of our Fight Forward Plan. This is, as I said earlier, a holistic end-to-end improvement plan that was launched a bit more than a year ago within the company and that we are, as a leadership team, committed to and actually committed to accelerate. So we are showing the first positive sign on our P&L, on the cash performance, on the EBITDA, and on the quality of the business. So this is a great start. We're not done by any means, and we are evolving in a market that is not helping us.

Still, I'm proud of what the team has achieved and is achieving in a market situation like this one. And our commitment is to continue to execute on our Fight Forward Plan and turn around the company.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Thank you very much, Gaël. We actually received one additional question. Would you like to take it? Sure. How much cash can still be generated by reducing the working capital? Efrat, maybe you want to take that?

Efrat Nagar
CFO, ADAMA

I believe it's more about the quality of business and the focusing of high gross margin products with lower working capital demand. And this is part of our strategy, and we will keep focusing on this direction also in 2025.

Rivka Neufeld
Head of Investor Relations, ADAMA

Okay. So thank you very much for everyone. I think that we will now close our earnings call. And I will remind everyone that you can contact us at ir@adama.com for any questions you might have. And we will be happy to continue to be in contact. So thank you very much, everyone. Goodbye and have a good day.

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