Engie Energia Chile S.A. (SNSE:ECL)
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Sep 17, 2026, 1:04 PM CLT
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Earnings Call: Q4 2020

Feb 4, 2021

Operator

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Engie Energia Chile's fourth quarter 2020 results conference call. If you need a copy of the press release issued last week, it is available on the company's website at www.engie-energia.cl. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that this call is being recorded and that information discussed today may include forward-looking statements regarding the company's financial and operating performance. All projections are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially. Please refer to the detailed note in the company's press release regarding forward-looking statements. We would like to advise participants that this call is dedicated to investors and market analysts, not for the press. We ask all journalists to contact Engie Energia Chile's PR department for details. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Eduardo Milligan. Please go ahead, sir.

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

Thank you, Gary. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for attending our annual presentation. We hope you're doing well. Today, Marcela Muñoz, head of investor relations, and I are very pleased to be once again with you and present our annual results for this complex, and I hope one-timer, 2020. We have updated our corporate presentation in design. I hope you find interesting new information and additional elements on our transformation plan. We continue on track to deliver what we promised some years ago. We will go through most of these plans during this presentation. First, we will focus on the key messages for 2020. Second, we will go through the main events of the year. We will go through our projects under development.

We will continue in section four on the financial updates to end, as always, with the main key takeaways we want to share with you. Now please turn directly to page number seven to go through the key messages. First, I want to highlight the operational results of 2020. Our EBITDA and recurring net results were within the guidance we provided for 2020, before the COVID crisis started. I think this is remarkable and shows the operational and business resilience of ECL, mainly driven by our strong contracted portfolio of clients, the tremendous efforts of Gabriel Marcuz and his team in our operational sites to keep running our plants, and also from our teams at home, fac ing, like probably most of you, a new challenge to deliver a solid performance in 2020. Of course, we are still on the way.

We have several operational challenges ahead. We believe we are on the right track to transform ECL in several dimensions to become more efficient, increase our competitiveness, and bring further growth. Second, as you already know, in 2020, we completed the transformation of AMSA PPAs into green corporate PPAs. In addition, we signed new green PPAs with other clients like CAP, Parque Arauco, CCU, or NX for additional 0.8 TWh per year. This means we have added almost 2 TWh per year of green corporate PPAs to our portfolio. If I can use a couple of KPIs, I can say we have added in 2020 close to 50 new clients with an average contracted life of eight years. Our commercial team, led by Luis Meersohn, is preparing the company to increase our client base and provide additional infrastructure solutions to our clients.

In 2020, we continued with the development and construction of renewables and transmission assets. I'm glad to be in 2021, because this is the year in which we will start having the operation date of new renewables that are currently under construction. In 2021, we will have the commercial operation date of Calama Wind Farm, Tamaya PV, and Capricornio PV, where we just gave the notice to proceed for our fourth renewable project called Coya PV. I will present the status of each of them in a few minutes. This will be a key milestone in our transformation plan, of course. To 2021, our plan is to continue adding new renewables and other clean technologies to our generation portfolio to replace the thermal units we will be closing very soon and to support the new contracts we want to capture in the market.

Fourth, let's talk about our capital structure. In 2020, even during the COVID crisis, ECL was upgraded to BBB+ by one rating agency, which reflects the sound financial situation of the company and its ability to finance our transformation plan. In this line, we also approved in 2020 a $67 million promissory dividend that was paid last November, representing 50% of ECL recurring net results of the first nine months of the year. Our objective under the current CapEx program is to at least keep this 50% ratio. Let's continue to go through some details, please turn to next page, eight. In this page, we can see on the right some interesting figures comparing 2020 with the previous two years. We continued to grow in energy sales.

Total energy sales in 2020 reached 11.4 TWh even considering the end of an important PPA by mid-2020 with Zaldívar. This is possible by adding new clients to our portfolio and a small growth in our regulated demand, which should have been even bigger, but the expected growth was impacted by the recent crisis. Our EBITDA and net results came in line with our guidance. The main difference between 2020 and 2019 is explained by a one-off income we received in 2019 from IEM contractor to compensate the delay of startup of this project. The $75 million received in 2019 are mainly explaining the difference between 2020 and 2019 in both EBITDA and the recurring net results. Marcela will explain in detail the evolution of our financial results in some minutes. On page nine, we present a snapshot of ECL results comparing 2020 with 2019.

Total revenues reached $1.3 billion, down 7% compared to previous year, despite the 3% increase in physical sales I mentioned before. Costs also decreased. Our generation increased mainly due to the commissioning of IEM in May 2019. In 2020, we have a full year for IEM production. The increase in generation led to an increase in fuel costs despite the drop in fuel prices. Our spot energy purchases decreased from 5.5, as you can see, to 4.6 TWh, or in other words, decreased to 16% compared to previous year. The decrease should have been bigger.

If you remember, when we presented our nine month results, we mentioned a 30% decrease in spot purchases. We had, in the last two months of 2020, a failure in CPA units. This made us buy additional energy in the spot market. The unit is almost ready to come back. We expect to have it back in the system in the coming weeks. The property damage insurance will be called, as well as the business interruption. Both impacts will be known in a couple of months. Its recovery should occur on a later stage as usual in this process with the insurance plan. In summary, EBITDA was 15% lower compared to the previous year. We had a positive recovery in the last quarter. As you can also recall, the EBITDA was 21% lower back in September. This impact was -29% for the first half of 2020.

This means we recovered some ground during the second half of the year, and I hope this economic recovery will continue in 2021. Despite there is a COVID impact embedded in these results, that could be around the -$25 million, the relevant decrease in comparison to 2019 is mainly explained by the $75 million LDs registered back in 2019, paid by IEM contractor due to the delay of startup. Excluding this impact, EBITDA in 2020 is almost in line with the EBITDA of previous year, which would be something to highlight in the current context. In some minutes, we will also discuss our updated guidance for 2021.

In the same line, the recurring net income was $181 million, mainly explained by two effects: the LDs from IEM and the higher interest expenses, because interest expense ceased to be capitalized upon the completion of the IEM project back in May 2019. In summary, physical energy sales had a positive performance considering the current context, with an increase of 30% compared to previous year. However, as we explained during 2020, we were expecting a higher growth when we provided our guidance for 2020. The lower than expected growth is explained by the lower regulated demand impacted by COVID. EBITDA fell in line with the average lower energy sales price because of the indexation to fuel prices and the lower regulated demand, which were also partially offset by lower costs of energy and fuel prices.

ECL margin, after excluding O&Ds received in 2019, remained almost stable. On page 10, we present ECL's supply curve, which is every quarter very useful to understand how we are managing energy needs for our clients. As you can see, IEM, CPA, and CPH continue to operate as base load units. The lower production of CPA is explained by its unavailability during the last two months of 2020. Our two combined cycles running with natural gas represented close to 20% of our energy supply, while the rest of ECL's core units were marginally dispatched, as you can see in the table on top of this page. Just a reminder, we already announced the closure of units 14 and 15 in Tocopilla by the end of this year, and for CPM 1 and CPM 2, around 2024, or it could be sooner if conditions are good for that.

Finally, ECL supplied about 45% of its clients' needs between spot market purchases, a supply agreement with another generation company and Gas Maquila through Gas Atacama. Once the three renewable projects I recently mentioned reach commercial operation date, our purchases in the spot market, together with the supply agreements with other gencos, should reduce to around 30%. On pages 11- 13, we present ECL main strength, which is a long-term portfolio of clients and PPAs. We show the evolution of ECL portfolio and how the average life of our portfolio is currently reaching 11 years. If we move to page number 13, we can see how the green area in the graph continues to increase.

This is explained by the new PPAs we signed during 2019 and 2020, while we continue working in potential alternatives to transform into a green corporate PPA, the only remaining coal-indexed PPA signed with Colbún. I just want to highlight that what we promised three years ago is underway. We have transformed 75% of our portfolio from regulated PPAs into green corporate PPAs, and we can move to the next stage, which is to grow in our portfolio of PPAs and in other infrastructure solutions for our clients. Now, please turn to page 14. In 2020, we spent close to $180 million in CapEx, most of it in renewables. We have updated our CapEx forecast for 2021, and we expect investments for almost $400 million during the year, mainly focused on our renewable and transmission projects, as well as maintenance.

In this forecast, we're including a new PV project called Colla, with an install capacity of 198 MW. As you know, we plan to finance these capital expenditures with a mix of internal cash generation and bank finances. In this line, our net debt-to-EBITDA ratio increased in 2020 to 1.8, and should continue increasing in the coming years to optimize our capital structure. We intend to keep our leverage ratios not exceeding 2.5x on a structural and regular basis. Last quarter, we said that in this equation, we need to consider a negative impact related to the regulated Tariff Stabilization mechanism, which will need to be financed by ECL until these long-term receivables were collected in 5- 7 years.

Now, I'm very glad, very glad to mention that we have concluded the implementation of a monetization structure to sell these receivables with Goldman Sachs and the Inter-American Development Bank, with the IDB Invest. We have already executed the first transaction, and the results will be announced in the coming days. In this line, we will be able to monetize during the next two years the amount of receivables we were supposed to accumulate between 2019 and 2023. The nominal amount would be close to $265 million, as we informed before. This structure will certainly provide additional liquidity, since it will be a true sale on a non-recourse basis and will not account as financial debt in our balance sheet. I will further explain the transaction in a few minutes. Let's talk now about our guidance for 2020 and 2021. Please turn to page 15.

As I mentioned at the beginning of this call, I'm glad to mention that ECL has shown an operational resilience during the year that allowed to reach the low end of the EBITDA guidance we gave for 2020. For 2020, as we explained in previous quarters, we were expecting a higher contracted demand compared to 2019, but a lower operational and recurring EBITDA during the year, mainly explained by the termination of the Sangue PPA during the second half of the year. What were the three main business impacts in 2020 compared to our guidance? Here, I can mention that our regulated demands marginally increased compared to 2019, but we were expecting a higher increase. We ended around 0.4 terawatt hour below the expected consumption we were included in our guidance. In other words, between 7% below the expected regulated demands pre-COVID crisis.

Therefore, the impact of the current crisis on regulated demand has negatively impacted our results during 2020 in around $25 million, as we can see on page 16 at the bottom left. The unregulated demand was almost in line with our projections, I think nothing important to mention in this case. Second, from a cost of supply perspective, the lower demand, lower fuel costs, and consequently, lower spot prices helped to partially offset the negative impact in the regulated demand. This positive impact should have been even better, but we had two months in which the unavailability of our own efficient units negatively impacted our average supply cost. Third, operational expenses continued to be optimized. Part of these savings were negatively impacted by the additional expenses the company had to incur to adapt our operations to the current context.

The additional OPEX we incurred due to the COVID crisis could be close to $5 million. Now, let's talk about our guidance for 2021. We are glad to say that since we started giving our guidance three years ago, the company has delivered solid results. Every year, we were within the range we announced one year before, even during the recent crisis, which is something to highlight and shows the operational resilience and solid portfolio of clients the company currently has. Now, for 2021, we expect a slightly higher contracted demand compared to 2020 and 2019, and a slight increase in our recurrent EBITDA. This means we are increasing the EBITDA guidance range to 460-480, and the recurring net results to 170-190. Now, let me explain some of the main variables we need to consider for 2021.

In 2021, most of the PPAs we structured in the last three years, when we started these announcements back in 2018, will become green and will start to be indexed to coal, while an additional discount in the energy tariff will be applied. You can see these changes on page 12. We explained most of these changes during the last two years. Now, the second phase in these contracts will start. On the other hand, in 2021, we will have the commercial operation date of our first three renewable projects, which should reduce the amount of energy purchases in the spot market. Hence, we will replace spot purchases at, let's say, $40, by producing with our own renewables at, example given, $5. This means we will start seeing an increase in EBITDA coming from the CapEx we are investing.

Between the first and the second impact, we are forecasting our EBITDA and the recurring net result to be slightly above 2020, under a conservative, let's say, scenario. What is unknown and, I believe, an important variable, will always be the marginal cost. We have seen an increase in the recent months, explained by higher commodity prices and the, unfortunately, lack of gas coming from Argentina. This is an important variable we need to have in mind, since we will continue supplying our clients' needs with around 30% purchases in the spot market, together with the specific supply agreements we have with other generation companies. To the left side of this slide, we show the main variables you should consider when analyzing the evolution of our results, prepare sensitivities, or forecast different scenarios.

Once again, I think we are glad to confirm that our guidance was achieved in a very complex year, while we continue working very hard in our transformation process to bring additional value to all our stakeholders. If we move now to page 16, we present the slides we prepared last year to provide some color on the potential impact of COVID in our results. I really hope we will be able to eliminate this slide very soon. The estimated COVID impact for 2020 was -$25 million compared to our guidance, mainly explained by the lower regulated demand. We present in this page two simple scenarios as sensitivities for 2021, 5% and 7.5%. I was very reluctant to use more than 7.5% in this sensitivity because we need to be optimistic on the future recovery.

Both sensitivities for regulated and unregulated customers follow the same principles we have explained in the previous quarter. Now, considering that our guidance for 2021 is already using a lower base for regulated clients, we can consider these sensitivities as downsides to the base case. I hope the economic recovery will continue and that these downsides will not materialize during this year. Now, on page 17, we are summarizing an updated view of the asset rotation plan. First, at the bottom, we can see the six coal units we already committed to close until 2024. Second, on top, we present the different renewals that will replace those coal units. In summary, we have committed a one-gigawatt plan, and we are preparing an additional set of renewals for an additional gigawatt.

As I mentioned before, more than half of the first gigawatt is already committed between the plants we acquired and the four projects that are under construction, and that will reach operation date in the upcoming months. Well, three of them. The recent project we launched will be during the first half of 2022. The other half of the program will be announced soon. What is new in this page, as I mentioned before, is that we have added PV Colla, an almost 200-megawatt solar project. We just gave the notice to proceed a few weeks ago, and these four projects will bring our renewals plan to an overall progress of almost 70%. If we turn to page 18, we can see a snapshot of how we see our portfolio will evolve between 2018 and 2022.

In 2018, coal power plants represented almost 60% of our total installed capacity, and renewables represented only 1%. By 2022, only four years after, renewables will represent at least 32% of Engie's installed capacity, while gas will continue playing an important role to manage the intermittency and will represent 25% of our generation portfolio. Now let's move to the next section and go through some specific events impacting our operational results during the year. On page 21, you can see the main terms and conditions of the agreement signed with Antofagasta Minerals during the first quarter of 2020. As I explained before, this agreement, together with the new green corporate PPAs that we present in next page 22, represent almost two terawatt hours per year of green PPAs for our portfolio. On page 23, we can see the main conditions for the recent acquisition of Eólica Monte Redondo.

We expect a $15 million EBITDA contribution in 2021, already included in our guidance, and $10 million for each of the next years, 2022 and 2023. Afterwards, this asset will become and contracted and will be part of our portfolio to support our 11-year average life portfolio of PPAs. On page 24, we provide an overview of our financing activity that has kept us very busy during the year. In previous calls, we talked about the issue of a new $500 million 144A Reg S bond, mainly used to finance the old $400 million bond, which matures in January 2021. This new 10-year bond, with a coupon rate of 2.4, allowed us to raise $100 million in additional debt, while at the same time, saving around $5.5 million per year in interest expenses and extending our average debt maturities to 7.7 years.

You may have seen some news during the last two days in the press about the green instrument we were structuring together with IDB Invest. One year ago, during the COP25, we signed an agreement of understanding with IDB Invest to develop an innovative financial instrument that would allow us to finance investments in renewables, while at the same time accelerating the reduction of emissions. Last December, we closed the final documentation of this $125 million loan, with a total tenure of up to 12 years, which, as I said before, has an innovative structure. The loan has two tranches, a $110 million loan to be funded by the IDB and China Fund, and a $15 million loan from the Clean Technology Fund.

This financing seeks to finance the construction of renewable projects, in this case, the 151-megawatt Calama Wind Farm, in combination with an incentive to accelerate the closure of coal plants. The idea is to monetize the actual displacement of CO2 emissions from coal plants, whose generation will be replaced by the Calama Wind Farm, through a lower interest rate in the loan provided by the Clean Technology Fund or CTF. We have not yet drawn this loan, so it remains fully available. We will do this during the next probably 12 months, as part of our needs to finance our CapEx program.

As we explained yesterday in the press release, this is the first instrument of this type in the world, and we are very pleased to have contributed to make it possible, since it could be replicated by other companies in Chile or in other places to accelerate the transformation of the energy matrix. Finally, what most of us were expecting too, in January, Enel, together with the other main three generation groups in Chile, signed agreements with the government side related to a financing operation for the account receivable related to the Tariff Stabilization Law. Under this transaction, Enel will be able to sell without recourse account receivable from distribution companies for up to a committed amount of $162 million to a special purpose company called Chile Electricity PEC.

The sales of receivables will be perfected in groups once the CNE publishes each average node price decree, or the PNP decree, including the corresponding charge with the balances owed by distribution companies to the generation companies. Right after that, we signed a similar agreement with IDB Invest, under which we will be entitled to sell to Chile Electricity PEC account receivable for a total amount of almost $75 million. We estimate that the total amount of present and future accounts receivable, considering those already accrued and those to be accrued until the mechanism's cap is reached, no later than July 2023, could be approximately $266 million. All the parties are working on increasing the facilities to complete 100% of the financing needed to buy all these receivables, but as you can see, we are almost there.

This transaction will help us enhance our liquidity and ensure financing for our investment in renewables. As I mentioned before, we are executing the first sale, we will be able to communicate these results very, very soon. Finally, on page 26, we are sharing the main regulatory topics that will be in the agenda for the medium and long term. There are no relevant changes compared to the main topics we presented in our last quarter. Now let's move to next section and discuss where we are with the projects under construction. On pages 28 and 29, you can see the full picture of the current plan to develop renewables. First, the 12 decisions in 2019 and 2020 of Los Loros and Monte Redondo, totaling 137 MW. Second, the three projects under construction we announced one year ago. Third, a fourth new project with installed capacity of 188 MW.

Between all these projects acquired or under construction, we reach almost 2.6 GW. We have additional wind projects for 359 MW that are getting closer to its implementation phase, and other projects under development for at least one gigawatt. The last row shows the estimated total CapEx to complete the first gigawatt of renewables, with a total investment of almost $900 million. This amount is below the initial estimated CapEx of $1 billion for 1 GW we gave at the beginning of this process. Pages 30 to 35 show the detailed status of each renewable and transmission project under construction. In summary, with Calama on page 30 has a global advance of 75%. Its global advance back in September was 49%, it's progressing very well. We maintain its commercial operation date during the third quarter of 2021. Capricornio solar plant has also a global advance of 86%.

Three months ago it was 75%. We expect a full commercial operation date during the second quarter of this year. If we go to the next one, Tamaya, has a global advance of 78%. Three months ago it was 61%. We expect its commercial operation date by the end, also, of the second quarter. The new one, Coya, the next page, is located in the north, close to our mining demand. This project was recently approved and will require a total investment of $117 million, and its commercial operation date is expected during the first quarter of 2022. This is the current progress of our now four projects under construction, and more will, of course, come soon.

For transmission projects, the first four projects described on page 34, with a total investment of $53 million, will be ready very soon too, on budget and schedule, while the six additional projects awarded this year described on page 35 should start construction once the decree is issued by the authority. These additional six projects will require a total investment of approximately $43 million, and have an estimated commercial operation date for 2023. This shows that we continue to be interested in the transmission business and that networks represent an interesting business opportunity for us in Chile. We can move to the final section. Marcela will give us more details on our financial results. Marcela, are you there?

Operator

As you know, your line is open on our end. Perhaps you have it muted on yours.

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

If not, well, I can continue. I will continue. I'm now on slide 37. Our EBITDA decreased by $80 million, to $455 million in 2020. As I said before, this was within our pre-COVID guidance range. As mentioned in previous calls, $75 million of the EBITDA decrease can be attributed to the liquidated damages that we received last year from the main contractor of IEM, to compensate for the delayed startup of the project. What helped our EBITDA was the electricity margin, which improved by $31 million. You could see a decrease in energy purchases, an increase in physical sales despite the pandemic, lower fuel costs and lower capacity purchases, which all together contributed $116 million to the company's EBITDA. Let's go one by one on the factors that contributed to the electricity margin increase. We first generated more than in 2019.

IEM reported its first full year of operation in 2020. We bought less from the spot market, while spot prices also decreased. Spot prices averages around 40 MWh at the Crucero node in 2020, down from approx 45.5 in 2019. The estimated positive effect on EBITDA was around $52 million. Despite the pandemic, we reported an increase in our physical sales. The demand from our free clients increased 4% despite the end of the Zaldívar PPA last July. This was because mining clients continued operating, while in 2019, they had been affected by a hard Antarctic winter, strikes, and stoppages for the upgrade of emission reduction systems. Sales to regulated clients increased by 3%. In the first quarter, before the pandemic, an increase in physical sales reflected Engie's larger pro-rata share of the PPA with the distribution companies in the south.

The COVID effect began to be noticed in the second quarter. In the third quarter, demand from distribution companies began to recover, given the gradual relaxation in lockdowns, although they flattened again in the fourth quarter as lockdowns tightened due to the second wave of the pandemic. Please note that in the second half of 2020, our regulated sales include approximately 6 gigawatts hour of Eólica Monte Redondo's sales under its PPA with the distribution company CGE. Overall, in 2020, the COVID effect was completely offset by the increased pro-rata of the pool of contracts with distribution companies and the addition of EMR sales. Although our generation increased in 2020, the decrease in coal and gas prices in 2020 explains a decrease in fuel costs, which had an $18 million positive impact on EBITDA. Lower capacity purchase provisions had a $16 million positive effect also during the year.

All these positive effects were partially counterbalanced by the drop in average realized prices, which cost a $75 million EBITDA decrease. Prices dropped because the indices to which our tariffs are linked, coal prices, Henry Hub, and CPI, fell significantly compared to 2019. Last March, we signed the PPA negotiation with Minera Centinela, controlled by AMSA. This negotiation not only involved the commercial terms of the PPA, but also the transfer of control of Inversiones Hornitos, or CPH units. Under the agreement, the PPA has a bigger price discount in 2020. Through this bigger discount, every month, Engie is paying for the acquisition of a 40% stake in Inversiones Hornitos. The tariff decrease affected our electricity margin, but it was offset by the income related to the acquisition, which amounted to almost $32 million in 2020.

The AMSA PPA renegotiation effect on EBITDA was almost neutral in 2020.

Marcela Muñoz
Investor Relations Officer, Engie Energia Chile

Marco?

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

Yes.

Marcela Muñoz
Investor Relations Officer, Engie Energia Chile

Yeah.

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

Okay, you can continue with the slide 38.

Marcela Muñoz
Investor Relations Officer, Engie Energia Chile

Please turn to slide 38 to discuss the evolution of net income. In 2019, the net income was impacted by the impairment of four coal-based units, two in Tocopilla and two in Mejillones. If we had backed the corresponding $174 million after-tax non-recurring impact, we would have reported a $445 million recurring net income in 2019. This result is shown in the box at the center of the slide. The bars inside the box show the evolution of net recurring income. The main reason for the decrease were the one-off income from the LDs paid by the IEM contractor, which had a positive in $55 million after-tax impact on 2019. Other effects include increased depreciation costs as a result of the start-up of IEM and higher financial expenses, given the decrease in capitalized interest. We also report some non-recurring effects in 2020.

This was due to the main hold paid to bondholders in the liability management transaction in the first quarter and impairment related to the planned dismantling provision. Finally, we can see that minority interest disappeared, as according to the IFRS rules, ECL took full control of CPH upon the execution of the agreement with AMSA at the end of March. In slide 39, we can observe an increase in net debt. During the year, we financed capital expenditure in our renewable and transmission projects, in addition to the acquisition of Eólica Monte Redondo. We also paid a $14 million premium to holders of our whole $400 million 144A bond that was refinanced in January 2020. We paid $65 million in dividends and $78 million in income and CO2 taxes. Interest and other financial costs accrued during the year reached $38 million.

All of these uses of cash were financed with a mix of cash sources. Internally generated cash flow while gross bank and bond debt increased by $17 million, and we received an $8 million payment f rom TERS. We also note a $57 million increase in financial leases, primarily corresponding to land concession for our project, which qualify as financial debt per IFRS 16. We ended the year with a strong cash balance at $235 million. In slide 40, we provide details of our liquidity and debt structure. The main changes are the following. The net debt to EBITDA remained at 1.8 times.

Our gross debt increased basically due to the $70 million net increases in our bonds and bank debt and $57 million increase in IFRS 16 leases. We also show the loan from IDB described in more during this call, which remains fully available to withdraw as of today.

In terms of ratings, Fitch Ratings upgraded our international ratings and our local ratings, both with a stable outlook, while S&P maintained the local ratings with a change to positive outlook. On slide 41, we can first highlight that after a prudent decision of not paying dividends in May, in light of the uncertainties brought about the pandemic, on November 30, we paid a $67 million provisional dividend on account of 2020 earnings. This amount is equivalent to 50% of the net recurrent income reported in the first nine months of 2020. Also, despite our good results in this difficult environment, our stock price fell 24% in 2020, while the IPSA dropped by 11%.

Last December, Engie purchased an additional stock package in our company, which allowed it to increase its share to almost 60% as a demonstration of trust in the long-term strength provided by our PPA reprofiling and decarbonization strategies. This is all on my side, and now I will leave you with Eduardo for the final remarks. Thank you.

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

Thank you, Marcela. To conclude this presentation, I want to summarize the main key takeaways we present now on page 42. First, despite the COVID negative effects, ECL has shown an operational and business resilience during the year. We reached the low end of pre-COVID guidance, which is something remarkable in this context for any company. We are also glad to mention that this is the third consecutive year our guidance was met, and we need to be optimistic for 2021, of course. Second, we continue signing new green corporate PPAs. In 2020, we signed new PPAs for approx 0.8 TWh . We are working together with CODELCO to find a winning solution for the remaining PPA.

Finally, our business structure and organization is ready for additional growth, expanding our strong base of customers with additional long-term PPAs and other energy infrastructure solutions that we want to implement for our clients. Third, we continued with the development and construction of renewals and transmission assets. We are glad to mention that we have added an additional project, and now we have four renewal projects under construction totaling 0.6 GW, while additional 0.4 GW will be announced soon. Fourth, ECL rating upgrade to BBB+ reflects the responsible and sound financial situation of the company, that is key to finance our transformation plan and at the same time keep an adequate dividend policy. We approved in this sense, a $67 million provisional dividend in 2020 that represented 50% of the recurring net income of the first nine months, as Marcela just said.

We expect to keep this new benchmark if our cash flow generation allows us to do it in the future. Well, with these final messages, we are finalizing our annual presentation. As always, we hope this presentation is helpful for you. Thank you, and we are ready for any questions, recommendations, or any comments that you may have for us. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. If you have a question, please press star one on your touch-tone phone at this or any time. If at any point your question is answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. Questions will be taken in the order they are received. We do ask that when you pose your question, that you pick up your handset to provide optimum sound quality. Please hold while we poll for questions. Our first question is from Murilo Riccini with Banco Santander. Please go ahead.

Murilo Riccini
Analyst, Banco Santander

Hello, everyone. This is Murilo Riccini from Santander. Thanks for the call, Eduardo and Marcela. I have some questions for you guys. The first one is related to the guidance. Could you explain the details incorporated in your EBITDA guidance in terms of demand, regulated and free customers in this case, energy crisis and other relevant topics that you are considering, please? The second one is related to receivables. Do you expect to monetize more than what was agreed so far? Or should we assume that the remaining amount to be accumulated in the future will be funded with own resources? Regarding the new instrument with IDB, do you expect more funding with these innovative conditions for higher amounts? The last one, how do you evaluate the proposal on inflexible gas dispatch, and is that in line to what you were expecting? That's all. Thank you.

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

Hello, Murilo. Thank you for your questions. I think I have four. First, I will start with the demand for our guidance. For regulated clients, we expect the regulated demand should probably be in line with 2020. This is a conservative approach, considering that we could expect some additional migration from some specific entities based on the new regulation. If this is not materialized, it could be a bit higher. Again, with regulated clients, it depends a lot on how GDP and how the economic recovery evolves. If we want to use, let's say, a ballpark number, we expect to keep it flat during 2021. For mining industrial clients, we do expect some growth, considering the new PPAs that we have signed. Of course, the margin in these PPAs is lower than the margin in the regulated PPAs.

In mining, we could see a small increase in some specific clients. All in all, we could also consider conservatively that the mining demand will be very similar in 2021 compared to 2020. That was the first one. The second one was related to the tariff stabilization mechanism and what we expect to monetize in this regard. As I was explaining during the call, we could have around $265 million of receivables to be accumulated between 2019 and 2023. We expect to monetize all this amount. As of December, what we accrued in our balance sheet was close to $140 million. In 2021, we could expect to accrue an additional amount, and considering that we can only sell this receivable once the decree is published by the CNE, we could expect three sales during the year. The first one, as I mentioned before, is already under process.

We should have news very soon. The first one includes an amount close to $70 million. The second one should occur once the second decree is published, and this should occur during the next two, three months, I expect that. The third one should take place during the second half of this year, and it could add between $20 million and $40 million additional. We can say that around $160 million- $180 million should be monetized during 2021. Of course, this is the nominal amount. The final amount will need to consider the discount at which these receivables are monetized. In this sense, what I can say is that the average or the overall cost of this discount could be close, or is expected to be close to 4%.

If you make the math and put this in a model, you will see that we should receive around the nominal amount with a total discount of 25%-30% on that amount, every time we monetize these receivables during 2021. That's a ballpark calculation. I have one more related to IDB. If we expect to do more of this type of financings? I hope so, because this is a very interesting structure, the green loan that we just announced. This is a market that could be developed not only in Chile, but in the region or on a global basis. It's very interesting because it allows to mix the closure of thermal units with new investments in renewables and to monetize the costs of doing this in advance.

We hope this market could be developed, and it's something that we will, of course, have in mind in the future. I'm not sure if I answered the four questions. If I missed one, please, if you can help me with that one.

Murilo Riccini
Analyst, Banco Santander

Thank you, Eduardo. No, actually, I have one more. How do you evaluate the proposal on the flexible gas dispatch?

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

Yeah.

Murilo Riccini
Analyst, Banco Santander

Yeah. Thank you.

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

How we evaluate the proposal? Well, I think we still need to see how this will evolve. It's difficult because every party could have different interests. What we do know, what I can say, is that the Chilean system needs gas, and that this system and this current system helped during the last years to secure long-term contracts with gas suppliers. We can have, in a perfect world, everything, and we need to consider that if we want to give a good signal to companies that will need to enter into these long-term agreements, we need to have some flexibility in the operation. We will need to see how this evolves. Of course, we are all working on this, and I'm sure we will find a solution that will make this something feasible and economically viable for every party in the business.

Murilo Riccini
Analyst, Banco Santander

Many thanks for your comments, Eduardo.

Operator

Again, if you have a question, please press star then one. Please stand by as we poll for questions. Showing no further questions, this concludes the question and answer section. At this time, I would like to turn the floor back to Engie Energia Chile for any closing remarks.

Eduardo Milligan
CFO, Engie Energia Chile

Thank you. Well, from our side, we have been very happy to be with you again today, and we will see you the next time, hopefully in three additional months. Stay safe and enjoy your day. Thank you very much.

Marcela Muñoz
Investor Relations Officer, Engie Energia Chile

Thank you. Bye.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's presentation. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and have a nice day.