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Earnings Call: Q4 2024

Feb 12, 2025

Operator

Welcome to BioGaia Q4 report for 2024. For the first part of the conference call, the participants will be in listen-only mode. During the Q&A session, participants are able to ask questions by dialing #5 on their telephone keypad. Now, I will hand the conference over to CEO Theresa Agnew and CFO Alexander Kotsinas. Please go ahead.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

Hi, this is Theresa Agnew, CEO of BioGaia. We're here to present our Q4 results. As an overall executive summary for the quarter, our sales were 365 million SEK, which is growth of 23%. And excluding currency effects, that's growth of 24%. Sales in Europe, Middle East, and Africa increased by 24%, in Asia-Pacific by 10%, and in the Americas by 32% for the quarter. Our EBIT was 103 million SEK, which is growth of 28%, and our margin of 28% for the quarter. If you look at the total year, the total year for 2024, we had sales of approximately 1.4 billion SEK, which is growth of 10%. We had an EBIT margin of 30%, adjusted EBIT margin of 34%, which is without the Metabogen impairment loss.

If you look at the regions for the total of 2024, Europe, Middle East, and Africa grew 3%, Asia-Pacific grew 20%, and the Americas grew 10%. Some of the key events in the quarter: the board has proposed an ordinary dividend of SEK 1.95, with a total dividend of SEK 6.90 per share. This is corresponding to 698 million SEK. On November 4, we made an announcement of a new shareholder, Anatom Holding, which is a Switzerland-based investment firm, and they acquired shares following the exit of the EQT Public Value Fund. On December 5, we announced the launch of a new product, very exciting, BioGaia Gastrus Pure Action. This is our first clean ingredient capsule. It's a double-strength probiotic, which is FODMAP-friendly, which is something that is recommended by gastroenterologists for people with irritable bowel syndrome.

This is a product designed to support consumers with sensitive stomachs and digestive issues. On January 16, we announced that we terminated the distribution contract with our partner in France, and we will be taking that business direct later this year. And then on February 4, we announced our results for the fourth quarter and that it would exceed the market expectations. Some of the launches that we had in the quarter, as you can see, in Mexico, we launched Prodentis mint lozenges. Across many of our Central Eastern European markets, we launched our BioGaia Pharax drops, which is for immunity, so it was perfect timing for the cold flu season. We launched BioGaia Gastrus Pure Action, as I said. We launched that in one of our direct markets, Finland. And we also launched the 10 mL of our BioGaia Protectis drops in the United Kingdom.

In terms of sales, as I said, for the quarter, sales increased 23%. Our pediatric business, the sales increased 23%, mainly due to increased sales of our drops, and mainly in the Americas and EMEA and sales increased significantly in Brazil, the U.S., and the U.K. Our adult segment sales increased by 20%, and that was mainly due to Prodentis as well as Gastrus, and Prodentis sales increased in South Korea and the U.S., Protectis tablets decreased in Bulgaria and South Korea, so as you can see here then for the year, our pediatric business grew 8% for the year, and our adult health business grew 17% for the year. This actually makes our pediatric business now for the year around 77% of our total sales.

When you look at it by region, our sales increased 24% in EMEA, and some of the markets with the highest growth were the UK, Belgium, and Spain. In Asia-Pacific, our sales increased by 10%, and that was mainly in South Korea, Japan, and also Vietnam. In the Americas, our sales increased by 32%, and that was driven mainly by the US, by Brazil, and Canada. As you can see for the year, in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region, our sales grew 3% for the year. In Asia-Pacific, our sales grew 20% for the year. In the Americas, our sales grew 10% for the year. If you look at the segments in terms of regions, the Americas for the total year of 2024 now represents 38% of our sales, EMEA represents 36% of our sales, and Asia-Pacific represents 26% of our sales.

So now I will turn it over to Alex, who will go through in more detail our financials.

Alexander Kotsinas
CFO, BioGaia

Thank you, Theresa. So to summarize the quarter four, as we have heard, we had revenues of 365 million SEK, which was a growth of 23% in the quarter. Our operating profit was 103 million SEK, which was a growth of 28% versus the same quarter last year. And the margin was 28% versus 27% one year ago. Earnings per share were 0.81 SEK versus 0.67 SEK, and cash flow was 99 million SEK, in line with the same quarter last year. If we move on to the sales, as we heard, we had a growth in the quarter of approximately 23%. And excluding currency, the growth was 1 percentage point higher at 24%, and we therefore had a negative currency effect of 1% in the quarter. And also year to date, we had a growth of 10% in total, with a negative currency effect of 1% and an organic growth of 11%.

If we look at the gross margins for the quarter, our gross margin was 71%, which was lower than in the same quarter last year, when it was 76%. However, if we look year to date, our gross margin was 72% versus 73% last year, so almost in line with last year. If we look at pediatrics then, we start with pediatrics for the quarter, we had a gross margin of 72% versus 78%, which is lower. The main reason for the lower pediatrics margin is both some mix effects and some inventory cost of goods related inventory write-down in BioGaia USA. This is unfortunate and nothing we expect to happen going forward, but there was an inventory write-down which affected the margin negatively, and again, in combination with a mixed effect in geographies also.

In adult health, the gross margin at 67% was fairly stable compared to the same quarter last year. For the year-to-date figure, 63% versus 67% last year, somewhat lower, and that is also due to mix effects. If we move on to the operating expenses, they grew with 7%. There were no adjustments in the quarter. Sales costs increased due to a larger proportion of direct sales in subsidiaries and some strategic investments in sales and marketing activities. In terms of our R&D costs, they grew with 18%, mainly due to increased clinical study costs in the quarter. We have some other OPEX, which were a positive SEK 12 million, that is positive currency effect. All in all, total OPEX grew with 7%.

Year to date, our OPEX grew with 20%, but if you adjust for mainly then the Metabogen write-off, our total OPEX increased with 9%, which is in line with sales, or slightly below the increase in sales. Look at the profit and loss then to summarize. We had a sales growth of 23%, our OPEX grew with 7%, and our EBIT then grew with 28% at SEK 103 million. The adjusted EBIT was the same in the quarter, which then led to a margin of 28% in the quarter versus 27% in the same quarter last year. Then year to date, we have an EBIT margin of 30% versus 34%, but on an adjusted basis, the margin was 34%, which was in line with the same quarter last year.

Turning to the cash flow, cash flow from operating activities decreased by 15% to 103%, and this decrease was mainly due to some higher payment of taxes. We have the same taxes basically, but it's a periodization of taxes effect here. Then in terms of cash flow for the period, it was the same as last year, 99 versus 100 million last year. And the cash at the end of the period was 1.22 billion SEK versus 1.54 in the same quarter last year. So with that, I hand over to Theresa for some concluding remarks.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

So in summary, our net sales increased by 23%, which was 24% excluding the currency effects for the quarter. As we said, our direct markets have strong performance, and they continue to show that performance. And the U.S., Canada, and Japan are among our top five markets. Europe, Middle East, and Africa sales increased by 24%, mainly due to higher sales in the pediatric segment. And we saw larger increases in the United Kingdom, Belgium, and Spain for the quarter. Asia-Pacific continues solid growth with 12%, I'm sorry, 10%, which was due to higher sales in both pediatrics and in adult segments. And the sales mainly increased in South Korea, Japan, and Vietnam for the quarter. Whereas in the Americas, sales increased by 32% in the quarter, mainly due to increased sales in pediatrics and adult segments.

And we saw larger growth in the U.S., Brazil, and Canada for the quarter. As Alex said, our operating expenses grew by around 7%. Our EBIT growth was 28%, with an overall EBIT margin of 28% for the quarter and 30% year to date, with the adjusted EBIT margin being at 34% for the year. Our dividends that are suggested are at SEK 6.90 per share. And we will continue with the ramp-up investments to drive continued growth where it makes sense, specifically in some of our direct businesses, such as the U.S., the U.K., and Canada, Australia, where we are taking our business direct. And also, as we go into and continue into this year in France, we will be increasing investments as we take that business direct as well. So we open it up to any questions that you may have.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Mattias Häggblom from Handelsbanken. Please go ahead.

Mattias Häggblom
Equity Research Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah, good morning. Thank you so much for taking my questions. I have two. And sorry if you touched upon some of this during your prepared remarks. I had some technical issues coming online. So firstly, for Theresa, if you could talk about the new comprehensive digital consumer campaign, perhaps help us understand what that entails and how we should expect effects from that in terms of translating into sales benefits. Is that already happening? Should it happen early 2025, or how should we think about any benefit from that? And then secondly, for Alex, on the gross margin, you called out write-downs in BioGaia USA as well as mix. So I was curious to better understand what was what. The gross margin for pediatrics, which is typically very strong in the fourth quarter, was maybe five-six percentage points lower than normal.

So how much was mix and how much was write-down to explain this? Thanks so much.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

Okay, so first, I'll take the first question, so we are consistently doing marketing in the digital space across our markets, so we do video, social media, influencer campaigns. But what we have done is we've created some new content last year that we can use globally, and so we've started some of additional media focus in some of our direct markets with our new content, so that has started this year. I won't share all the specifics just for confidentiality and competitive reasons, but it is a digital campaign targeting consumers with our brands. We're starting to see some good sales in certain markets, so this is something that we've started. We continue to monitor it. We adjust spending. We look at it week on week, month on month in terms of how it's growing our business.

So this is something that we will continue to look at for the future and invest to drive brand awareness, but also to drive sales and conversion through our channels.

Alexander Kotsinas
CFO, BioGaia

Good. And then when it comes to the gross margin, just try to answer that. I mean, we will not quantify how much was the write-down or how much was the mix, but I mean, both, but the write-down was quite a substantial part of it. And again, it's sort of a one-time effect. We don't foresee that this will happen again, unless it's very unfortunate. But it was a fairly substantial part was the actual write-down in the U.S. And then there were some mix effects also affecting depending on, for example, in which countries we sell.

Mattias Häggblom
Equity Research Analyst, Handelsbanken

Two follow-ups, please. So firstly, maybe for Theresa, so one of the things the outside world struggled to understand was the SEK 75 million-SEK 85 million in additional OPEX that you highlighted in the mid-year report for the second half. So how much of that did actually materialize and what did not, and why? And then maybe the second one for Alex, anything particular we can understand from the write-down? Is that just a natural course of business? Sometimes this happens, and any additional color on the write-down would help.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

Yeah. So in terms of the OPEX, so in terms of our additional investments as we had planned, those went forward as planned in our direct markets. Over the course of the year, as we saw some of our sales in EMEA being lower, we controlled for some costs in spending in other areas. But also, as you look at the back half, our R&D expenses were lower than anticipated in terms of some of the studies that we were spending on. And that has to do just with patient flow in terms of enrolling patients in studies. So some of that was lower than anticipated, I would say, from an R&D standpoint. And then we, of course, controlled for some costs as we went through and we saw sales were declining in certain areas.

But the other kinds of additional investments that we made in sales and marketing efforts continued as we wanted.

Alexander Kotsinas
CFO, BioGaia

And just to add to that comment, actually, one part of the actual why the cost was lower, quite a large explanation as well, is that we had lower, we had some positive FX effects that lowered the costs, so to speak. That's part of the explanation also. Then coming to the gross margin, yes, unfortunately, to go direct means that you will handle a larger part of the inventory and take some inventory risk. So it will be an increasing part of our business. However, to this extent that we saw here, we do not foresee that this should happen again. I think we have changed how we work with that locally in the U.S. So of course, again, going direct will mean some increased level of these type of risks, but we will try to mitigate this in the future.

Mattias Häggblom
Equity Research Analyst, Handelsbanken

Thank you so much.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

Okay. Well, thank you very much for listening, and we appreciate it, and we will talk to you next quarter. Thank you. Hi, this is Theresa Agnew, CEO of BioGaia. We're here to present our Q4 results. As an overall executive summary for the quarter, our sales were 365 million SEK, which is growth of 23%. And excluding currency effects, that's growth of 24%. Sales in Europe, Middle East, Africa increased by 24%, in Asia Pacific by 10%, and in the Americas by 32% for the quarter. Our EBIT was 103 million SEK, which is growth of 28%, and our margin of 28% for the quarter. If you look at the total year, the total year for 2024, we had sales of approximately 1.4 billion SEK, which is growth of 10%. We had an EBIT margin of 30%, adjusted EBIT margin of 34%, which is without the Metabogen impairment loss.

If you look at the regions for the total of 2024, Europe, Middle East, Africa grew three%, Asia Pacific grew 20%, and the Americas grew 10%. Some of the key events in the quarter: the board has proposed an ordinary dividend of 1.95 SEK with a total dividend of 6.90 SEK per share. This is corresponding to 698 million SEK. On November 4th, we made an announcement of a new shareholder, Anatom Holding, which is a Switzerland-based investment firm, and they acquired shares following the exit of the EQT Public Value Fund. On December 5th, we announced the launch of a new product, very exciting, BioGaia Gastrus Pure Action. This is our first clean ingredient capsule. It's a double-strength probiotic, which is FODMAP-friendly, which is something that is recommended by gastroenterologists for people with irritable bowel syndrome.

This is a product designed to support consumers with sensitive stomachs and digestive issues. On January 16th, we announced that we terminated the distribution contract with our partner in France, and we will be taking that business direct later this year. On February 4th, we announced our results for the fourth quarter and that it would exceed the market expectations. Some of the launches that we had in the quarter, as you can see in Mexico, we launched Prodentis mint lozenges. Across many of our Central Eastern European markets, we launched our BioGaia Pharax drops, which is for immunity. It was perfect timing for the cold flu season. We launched BioGaia Gastrus Pure Action, as I said. We launched that in one of our direct markets, Finland. We also launched the 10 ml of our BioGaia Protectis drops in the United Kingdom.

In terms of sales, as I said, for the quarter, sales increased 23%. Our pediatric business, the sales increased 23%, mainly due to increased sales of our drops and mainly in the Americas and EMEA. And sales increased significantly in Brazil, the U.S., and the U.K. Our adult segment sales increased by 20%, and that was mainly due to Prodentis as well as Gastrus. And Prodentis sales increased in South Korea and the U.S., Protectis tablets decreased in Bulgaria and South Korea. So as you can see here then for the year, our pediatric business grew 8% for the year, and our adult health business grew 17% for the year. This actually makes our pediatric business now for the year around 77% of our total sales.

When you look at it by region, our sales increased 24% in EMEA, and some of the markets with the highest growth were the U.K., Belgium, and Spain. Asia Pacific, our sales increased by 10%, and that was mainly in South Korea, Japan, and also Vietnam. And in the Americas, our sales increased by 32%, and that was driven mainly by the U.S., by Brazil, and Canada. And as you can see for the year, in the Europe, Middle East, Africa region, our sales grew 3% for the year. In Asia Pacific, our sales grew 20% for the year. And in the Americas, our sales grew 10% for the year. So if you look at the segments in terms of regions, the Americas for the total year of 2024 now represents 38% of our sales. EMEA represents 36% of our sales, and Asia Pacific represents 26% of our sales.

So now I will turn it over to Alex, who will go through in more detail our financials.

Alexander Kotsinas
CFO, BioGaia

Thank you, Theresa. To summarize the quarter four, as we have heard, we had revenues of SEK 365 million, which was a growth of 23% in the quarter. Our operating profit was SEK 103 million, which was a growth of 28% versus the same quarter last year. The margin was 28% versus 27% one year ago. Earnings per share were 0.81 SEK versus 0.67 SEK, and cash flow was SEK 99 million, in line with the same quarter last year. If we move on to the sales, as we heard, we had a growth in the quarter of approximately 23%. Excluding currency, the growth was one percentage point higher at 24%, and we therefore had a negative currency effect of 1% in the quarter. Also year to date, we had a growth of 10% in total with a negative currency effect of 1% and an organic growth of 11%.

If we look at the gross margins for the quarter, our gross margin was 71%, which was lower than in the same quarter last year where it was 76%. However, if we look year to date, our gross margin was 72% versus 73% last year, so almost in line with last year. If we look at pediatrics then, we start with pediatrics for the quarter. We had a gross margin of 72% versus 78%, which is lower. The main reason for the lower pediatrics margin is both some mix effects and some inventory cost of goods related inventory write-down in BioGaia USA. This is unfortunate and nothing we expect to happen going forward, but there was an inventory write-down which affected the margin negatively, and again, in combination with a mixed effect in geographies also.

In adult health, the gross margin at 67% was fairly stable compared to the same quarter last year. For the year to date figure, 63% versus 67% last year, somewhat lower, and that is also due to mix effects. If we move on to the operating expenses, they grew with 7%. There were no adjustments in the quarter. Sales costs increased due to a larger proportion of direct sales in subsidiaries and some strategic investments in sales and marketing activities. In terms of our R&D costs, they grew with 18%, mainly due to increased clinical study costs in the quarter. Then we have some other OPEX, which were a positive SEK 12 million. That is positive currency effect. All in all, total OPEX grew with 7%.

Year to date, our OPEX grew with 20%, but if you adjust for mainly then the Metabogen write-off, our total OPEX increased with 9%, which is in line with sales, so slightly below the increase in sales. Look at the profit and loss then to summarize. We had a sales growth of 23%. Our OPEX grew with 7%, and our EBIT then grew with 28% at SEK 103 million. The adjusted EBIT was the same in the quarter, which then led to a margin of 28% in the quarter versus 27% in the same quarter last year. Year to date, we have a EBIT margin of 30% versus 34%, but on an adjusted basis, the margin was 34%, which was in line with the same quarter last year. Turning to the cash flow, cash flow from operating activities decreased by 15% to SEK 103 million.

This decrease was mainly due to some higher payment of taxes. We have the same taxes basically, but it's a periodization of taxes effect here. In terms of cash flow for the period, it was the same as last year, SEK 99 million versus SEK 100 million last year. The cash at the end of the period was SEK 1.22 billion versus SEK 1.54 billion in the same quarter last year. With that, I hand over to Theresa for some concluding remarks.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

In summary, our net sales increased by 23%, which was 24% excluding the currency effects for the quarter. As we said, our direct markets have strong performance, and they continue to show that performance. The U.S., Canada, and Japan are among our top five markets. Europe, Middle East, Africa sales increased by 24%, mainly due to higher sales in the pediatric segment. We saw larger increases in the United Kingdom, Belgium, and Spain for the quarter. Asia Pacific continues solid growth with 12, I'm sorry, 10%, which was due to higher sales in both pediatrics and in adult segments. The sales mainly increased in South Korea, Japan, and Vietnam for the quarter. Whereas in the Americas, sales increased by 32% in the quarter, mainly due to increased sales in pediatrics and adult segments.

And we saw larger growth in the U.S., Brazil, and Canada for the quarter. As Alex said, our operating expenses grew by around 7%. Our EBIT growth was 28% with an overall EBIT margin of 28% for the quarter and 30% year to date, with the adjusted EBIT margin being at 34% for the year. Our dividends that are suggested are at SEK 6.90 per share. And we will continue with the ramp-up investments to drive continued growth where it makes sense, specifically in some of our direct businesses such as the U.S., the U.K., and Canada, Australia, where we are taking our business direct. And also, as we go into and continue into this year in France, we will be increasing investments as we take that business direct as well. So we open it up to any questions that you may have.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Mattias Häggblom from Handelsbanken. Please go ahead.

Mattias Häggblom
Equity Research Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah, good morning. Thank you so much for taking my questions. I have two. And sorry if you touched upon some of this during your prepared remarks. I had some technical issues coming online. So firstly, for Theresa, if you could talk about the new comprehensive digital consumer campaign, perhaps help us understand what that entails and how we should expect effects from that in terms of translating into sales benefits. Is that already happening? Should it happen early 2025, or how should we think about any benefit from that? And then secondly, for Alex, on the gross margin, you called out write-downs in BioGaia USA as well as mix. So I was curious to better understand what was what. The gross margin for pediatrics, which is typically very strong in the fourth quarter, was maybe five, six percentage points lower than normal.

So how much was mix and how much was write-down to explain this? Thanks so much.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

Okay. So first, I'll take the first question. So we are consistently doing marketing in the digital space across our markets. So we do video, social media, influencer campaigns. But what we have done is we've created some new content last year that we can use globally. And so we've started some of additional media focus in some of our direct markets with our new content. So that has started this year. I won't share all the specifics just for confidentiality and competitive reasons. But it is a digital campaign targeting consumers with our brands. We're starting to see some good sales in certain markets. So this is something that we've started. We continue to monitor it. We adjust spending. We look at it week on week, month on month in terms of how it's growing our business.

So this is something that we will continue to look at for the future and invest to drive brand awareness, but also to drive sales and conversion through our channels.

Alexander Kotsinas
CFO, BioGaia

Good. And then when it comes to the gross margin, just try to answer that. I mean, we will not quantify how much was the write-down or how much was the mix, but I mean, both, but the write-down was quite a substantial part of it. And again, it's sort of a one-time effect. We don't foresee that this will happen again unless it's very unfortunate. But it was a fairly substantial part was the actual write-down in the U.S. And then there were some mixed effects also affecting depending on, for example, in which countries we sell.

Mattias Häggblom
Equity Research Analyst, Handelsbanken

Good. Two follow-ups, please. So firstly, maybe for Theresa, so one of the things the outside world struggled to understand was the SEK 75 million-SEK 85 million in additional OPEX that you highlighted in the mid-year report for the second half. So how much of that did actually materialize and what did not and why? And then maybe the second one for Alex, anything particular we can understand from the write-down? Is that just a natural course of business? Sometimes this happens. And any additional color on the write-down would be helpful.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

Yeah. So in terms of the OPEX, so in terms of our additional investments as we had planned, those went forward as planned in our direct markets. Over the course of the year, as we saw some of our sales in EMEA being lower, we controlled for some costs in spending in other areas. But also, as you look at the back half, our R&D expenses were lower than anticipated in terms of some of the studies that we were spending on. And that has to do just with patient flow in terms of enrolling patients in studies. So some of that was lower than anticipated, I would say, from an R&D standpoint. And then we, of course, controlled for some costs as we went through and we saw sales were declining in certain areas.

But the other kinds of additional investments that we made in sales and marketing efforts continued as we wanted.

Alexander Kotsinas
CFO, BioGaia

Just to add to that comment, actually, one part of the actual why the cost was lower, quite a large explanation as well, is that we had some positive FX effects that lowered the costs, so to speak. That was part of the explanation also. Coming to the gross margin, yes, unfortunately, to go direct means that you will handle a larger part of the inventory and take some inventory risks. So it will be an increasing part of our business. However, to this extent that we saw here, we do not foresee that this should happen again. I think we have changed how we work with that locally in the U.S. So of course, again, going direct will mean some increased level of these type of risks, but we will try to mitigate this in the future.

Mattias Häggblom
Equity Research Analyst, Handelsbanken

Thank you so much.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Theresa Agnew
CEO, BioGaia

Okay. Well, thank you very much for listening, and we appreciate it. And we will talk to you next quarter. Thank you.

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