Carasent AB (publ) (STO:CARA)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Feb 15, 2023

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

Good morning, and welcome to Carasent's Q4 presentation. My name is Daniel Öhman. I'm the new CEO of Carasent, and with me, I have Svein Martin Bjørnstad, our CFO. Today, I will start by going through some highlights of the Q4 , give a business update, and thereafter, Svein Martin will go through the financials more in detail. First of all, I would like to just share a little bit about why I decided to join Carasent and why I believe in Carasent. If you're looking at the healthcare systems of the Western world, the demand is ever-growing. We grow older. There are more and more things that are treatable, and our expectations of healthcare is increasing all the time. This means that we have a demand that is increasing quite rapidly all over the Western world.

At the same time, every year, less care is provided by each person working in the healthcare system, so the efficiency is going down quite rapidly, and it's one of few industries where that's happening. Most other industries, you have an increasing efficiency, this is obviously not sustainable. If you look at healthcare, to provide healthcare is basically in many ways a production process. A big difference to other production process is that here there are still a lot of parts of the process that isn't working well. Looking at a typical healthcare provider, there's still a lot of paper notes, letters, and phone calls.

If you look at my former clinics, for example, my former group, we had stamp costs of NOK 10 million per year for all the letters we sent to people, and that's not the big problem with it. The big problem is that when people get those letters, they start calling the clinics asking, "When is my appointment? Can I change the appointment? What should I think about? I lost my letter," and so on. This means that roughly 8%-10% of the people in the clinic or of the staff in the clinic are sitting answering the phones every day, and that's a large part of the staff.

An even larger problem is that inside the clinics to make everything work, there are a lot of notes and handwritten notes and a lot of documentation on paper changing hands the entire day. Most patients coming into clinic, be referred to clinic, are coming through the way of paper. There's a lot of easy, simple things that could work so much better with the right digital tools. In addition, we have many new technologies supporting or which will support continued efficiency gains, such as big data, AI, and all the things that are possible when we have better APIs. This could be, for example, predicted triage or good decision support systems. For example, to decide which patient to call in for a second visit, you don't need to see...

In many clinics, you don't need to see all patients. You can have a system choosing the right patients for you out of the data that you have in the system. You can have a system automatically calling those patients or for an appointment through digital channels. There's really a lot that can be done. Even if healthcare is behind other industries, Sweden and the Nordics are in the forefront. I know from customer perspective that our solution, Carasent solutions are the best for the private providers and the ones using our solutions today. This mean that with our ecosystem, I believe strongly that Carasent can be a big part of the solutions for our customers in dealing with the loss of efficiency in relation to increased demand.

That's why I chose to go join Carasent to be a part of this. If you're looking at the Q4 , we have a growth of 41%. It's partly organic, and then it's the acquisitions of Medrave, HPI, and Confrere. Our organic growth is 16%, which is. I mean, it's an okay growth in general, but it's a bit behind our potential, and we should do better. In the quarter, we acquired HPI, which is an exciting acquisition, I believe. They're in a strong position with almost all occupational health providers in Sweden as their customers, and they have many new solutions coming out this year which will help grow their business and our business.

If you look at the performance, it's in line with the revised guidance, we have a strong balance sheet, enabling us to move and build our ecosystem. Looking at the last couple of years, after Carasent had only been Webdoc for a very long time, it became Carasent, the last two years have grown very, very rapidly. We have done multiple acquisitions. We have started new large development projects and had very rapid hiring. The basis for this is good and sound. The projects are generally right.

What's been done is good, but the organization haven't been able to keep pace, which have hurt our performance and leads to a number of issues which we are working through now to improve our performance. If you look at the near term, we have these three focuses. If you start with the business focus, we have the focus on, we're growing with all the challenges we have from growing this rapidly, it's easy that you lose focus on what's important in the business. Growing this rapidly creates a lot of internal struggles and challenges, and that becomes your number one priority instead of actually focusing on what's important. This is what we're changing now. We have to make sure that we focus on sales, the customer experience, and cost control.

When I say cost control, it doesn't mean that we are aiming to save as much as possible. We are still a growth company. We have very many opportunities. We just have to make sure that each krona spent is spent as wisely as possible, creating as much value as possible, and that we keep track of those kronas that are being spent. The second area are clear lines of responsibility. We are now in the middle of reorganizing large part of the decision lines within Carasent and the management teams. We have to make sure that we have the right people in the right places and clear responsibilities. The guiding principles around these changes is that we want to have short decision lines, a clarity on who's responsible for what, and to follow the business logic.

For me, it's very important that each person can be held accountable for their part of the business so that the business logic, the financial performance, and reporting lines all goes into one. We can run a fast-moving, growing business which makes quick and smart decisions. Finally, we're performing a strategic review. We have so many different opportunities with our ecosystem. There are many different segments and markets we can move into.

Each of those segments and markets, this requires some additional functionality or integration. When choosing a segment market, we have to do some development or we need to do some other changes in our systems. That takes time and costs. We have to make sure to choose the right segments and the right opportunities in order to grow quickly and wisely. This is what we're looking at now.

We're going through all the different markets and segments, looking at the sizes, what functionality is needed, and how we can move into those segments, and how it creates an overall sound picture. This mean that we also look at our financial targets. We believe that we can grow very strongly and have a we have all these opportunities. We just need to choose the right ones. This means that we will also revise our financial targets, and we'll get back to that in the Q2 when we have finalized the strategic review. Finally, I just would like to come back also that we have a very strong foundation.

From a customer perspective, I know that our solutions are the leading ones in their respective fields, and that means that we have a strong growth potential in most of these solutions. We have in-depth expertise on building solutions for this market. There is no one better positioned for that and with the ecosystem that support each other. We have a very strong development capacity after all this growth the last couple of years. We have a strong pipeline of new projects and products coming online.

I think a very interesting one is, which I looked at the other day, is Ad Voca. Ad Voca is an online solution for our system, Ad Opus, our new system of Ad Opus. Ad Opus is an on-prem solution, which means that it's a bit more expensive to run, and most customers want cloud-native solutions now.

What did Carasent decide when it came to Ad Opus, it's too expensive to rebuild the entire system. It doesn't make sense. What we also realized is that over 90% of the users only use a minor functionality of Ad Opus. We created a sky entrance for, or cloud entrance for just those 90% of users. The interesting part is that those 90% use just a small part of the system. You create a very clean, quick-to-use system. When I saw it the first time, I felt, can an EHR system really look like this? It can. For 90% of users, it can have this really efficient, quick user interface. I think that's a very interesting project where the first customers are very happy.

The feedback from the first customers using it in this way are very happy. Further, moving on, we have in the basis of Carasent, all parts of Carasent, all the acquired clinics and Webdoc, they have successful business models at the heart. There are the right type of culture to run this type of businesses. I think that's important to mention in times like this, where there have been many startups who do not have that culture, and it's very difficult to turn a culture completely around. That's not necessary here. We just have to make create some order of the quick changes that happened the last couple of years.

The basis is sound, and the cultures are right. We also are working in a growing non-cyclical market, as I said previously, and the customers in this market are in great need of digitalization and efficiency. That's why I believe we're so strongly positioned with our growing ecosystem and to be that solution for our customer that help them tackle their challenges. Now I will give the word to Sven Martin.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

Thank you. Taking a look at some of the financial highlights from the quarter, as Daniel mentioned, we grew 41% in the quarter, driven by the 3 acquisitions mentioned and also organic growth of 16%. The recurring revenues grew 15%, that's mainly driven by the existing customer base, where we had net retention rates of 109% quarter-over-quarter. Adjusted EBITDA margins was 15%, we had an ARR of NOK 202 million as per December. Looking at the quarter in historical context, we see that revenues continued to grow. We have a history now that's been characterized by rapid and consistent growth over many quarters.

We also have had a history of scaling margins, which has trended negatively during 2022, mainly due to the factors that Daniel mentioned and the heavy extensive recruitment program, which we'll talk a little bit more about later. If we look at the breakdown of growth per product, we saw that Webdoc EHR license revenues grew 21% when we adjust for some revenue mix shifts from add-ons to license and currency. That basically shows that even though the new sales has been slower and than historically, the growth is at a good pace. The foundation for and potential going forward is there still. The other EHR revenues had a slight positive growth.

This is Ad Curis, Ad Opus from Avans Soma acquisition and Metodika, where we had a decent growth for the healthcare rehabilitation product, Ad Curis, and the other two products was relatively flat year-over-year. The platform services category grew fast, but mainly due to acquisitions, where we have included both Medrave, Confrere and HPI. On the organic side, it was relatively flat, and that's partly due to this vaccination effects that we have talked about previously, where the Q4 2021 figures was boosted by the variable add-ons such as SMS related to vaccination activity. If we break down the growth of recurring revenues, we see that, as mentioned, a majority of the growth is coming from existing customers.

This is both related to upsales and underlying growth and price increases. Also that we have very low churn. We have had the historical churn for many years of around 1%-2%, and that is continuing. Where there is potential is on the new customer side. We had the growth of 5% in Q4 year-over-year. This is affected by the lower activity in core markets. As Daniel mentioned, our market position is intact, and there is potential to increase this figure. Looking at the margin development, we have grown fast, rapidly, both through expansion projects and acquisitions.

This has caused some growth pains, as Daniel mentioned, and also impacted margins during the year. Also the acquisitions we have completed has had a dilutive impact on margins currently, but has potential to change. We have onboarded many employees during 2022 and also during Q4. Many of these has onboarded in Q4 has started during the quarter. Our run rate cost base is not fully reflected in the figures. We now have slowed down the recruitment pace and focus on driving efficiencies going forward. The nature of our cost base is highly scalable.

When we now put the structures in place, we have a strong potential for long-term scalable growth as the revenue starts growing. We are doing still doing heavy investments into new expansion initiatives. We have a strong balance sheet that enables us to do this. Particularly the two projects, Webdoc X and Webdoc Norway is isolated there into the category new initiatives. We see that these projects is requiring heavy investments at the moment and basically are not generating any revenues, so affecting cash flow significantly. The investments related to our existing products in existing markets are trending more in line with revenues. These, the expansion project has potential to drive the long-term growth for our company.

We take a look back on the guidance that we updated in Q3, performance in the quarter was in line with this. Revenues was slightly above, which was mainly by non-recurring revenues, such as consulting projects that we were able to complete in Q4, which was positive. And also, margins was ended at 24.5% excluding the acquisitions. That was not included in the guidance, which was also in line with the 25% revised guidance. With that, we can open up for questions. I see there has been one question posted, there's typically a bit of lag, we can start with this one.

Considering how much is invested in new development projects and considering that they still don't generate any revenues, how do you track the success of this? What KPIs do you use, and how are they being managed?

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

I think that the part of them not being used is the important part in this question. It's extremely important to get customers onto what you're doing in order to have them tested in the real world. We have a lot of expertise in-house who knows a lot about both the market, the customer needs, and other systems, but it's the real world that is the test, and we're looking at two systems. Webdoc X is live with Mindler, so it's being used. It's a bit of a different type of provider, but it's a good test for the parts of the system that's done by now. I'm hoping that we will add more users during the year. They will probably not be paying users, but they will be testing it in the real world.

When it comes to Webdoc Norway, we have our first customers online, which is Vertikal Helse, and it's running well for that type of customer. Once again, it's a customer that doesn't need a full-fledged system, which it isn't yet. They need parts of system, so it's also a perfect customer to start using the system with, who uses the parts that are ready for Norway. I think that's really the way of making sure that we do the right things, is to have them test in the real world and finding customers who are in need of the parts that are usable at each time.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

Great. Next question is from Mark from Redeye. How does customer intake outlook look like? What are the customers telling you, and specifically the larger ones?

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

Sales have been quite good the last couple of months, actually. What the customers are telling us, and especially large ones, are that what they really appreciated with our major product, Webdoc, is that they've been able to be close with us historically, that we've been quick in making changes. There have been something that's needed to change. Bugs have been revised quickly. We have been lagging a bit in that the last year or so, and that they want us to refocus on that. We've started with some closer collaborations with our largest customers with exchange of ideas and regular meetings.

We'll actually have our developers being on site with some of our customers just to get a better feel for how it's used and what are the pain points. We're moving and getting much closer to the customer. I think that also slowing down the rapid hiring of developers will take some pressure off the organization, which means that we will function much better. In combination with some clear structures, we can really move forward.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

Great. Next question. How does the clinic mix look like? Are the larger clinics starting to join again, or is it mostly smaller ones?

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

Looking at if we then talk about Webdoc, if you look at the start of this year, We have some large two large clinics already online or who have signed up, I mean, three actually. There are both of it. I think there are a couple of parts in getting sales moving quicker. The one, the first one, and which is the quickest one, is just that the customers feel that we're there listening to them. I've had a lot of customer meetings together with the team, showing that we really mean that we will be there for them. Secondly, making sure that products are running a bit more stable as they used to, and there is no reason why they shouldn't.

That takes some time to, for that to translate into user experience and that they actually talk with each other about it working better. Finally, it's adding new functionality coming online. The first part, I think we've moved quite a lot with lately, in getting closer to customer, having a good, and regular discussions and feedback with them.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

Next question, I can take this one. Consulting was driven partly by certain larger projects for specific customers as we state in our report. The question is: Is this tied to Norwegian Webdoc? No, this is more tied to customer-specific development projects that happened during Q4 for both Webdoc in Sweden, a specific project, and also some of our on-prem solutions. Not tied to Norwegian Webdoc, that one. A question related to Webdoc Norway, I think. How is the launch going in general? What feedback do you receive?

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

The customer that's online at the moment for Webdoc Norway is happy with product. There's been very little issues actually. Once again, it's a customer using not a full system, but they're using all parts of the system that for now is ready for Norway. I would say so far so good.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

Yeah. next question, how is the Webdoc X developing? What do you think about this product and the potential 2023 release date that we have communicated earlier?

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

I think that Webdoc X is a very exciting project. It's not every day you get to build a new system from scratch. When we can reuse a lot of the modules built for other systems also, so it makes a lot of sense from that perspective. We will come back to when and how it will be launched in the strategy when we're done the strategy plan. Yeah.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

Yeah. Final question from Emilia Gylfe at DNB. It's a similar question related to Webdoc X. When do you expect Mindler to start being a paying customer? That's an agreement we have with Mindler and the specifics of that agreement we won't go into, but it's a period then where we have developed it as partners, and then when certain milestones are met, we can have them as a customer as well. I think that was it on the questions. We have an additional question here, actually. Can you say something about the opportunity in the Nordics? How long do you expect to continue to take market share in Sweden and in Norway, as there is an ongoing migration to cloud in these markets?

Do you have any updates on the share of markets that are still on on-prem solutions?

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

If you're looking at the Swedish market, there is really a lot of untapped potential for our products, and especially Webdoc. Webdoc is today quite large in Västergötland, so that means the area around Gothenburg. Stockholm, which is by far the largest market, healthcare market for private providers, which are the only customer for Webdoc, is relatively untapped for us. As I said, we'll come back to real figures when and full figures when we have done the study work. We can grow really a lot in Sweden and if we focus on it and we make sure to add certain functionality, there is really a lot we can do.

What's really exciting about Stockholm is that they've said that there will not be a new full system for the entire Stockholm. It opens up a market which has been semi-closed for us so far. There's really a lot we can do. We also have, for example, all the private clinics do surgery and so on, which Webdoc do not support in a good way today. There's so much we can do in Sweden. In Norway, as there is an ongoing migration to cloud, was it at 40% now? If I'm curious to remember correctly.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

I think this is about the market in general.

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

Oh

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

There is still a large share of the market that is using on-prem solutions in Norway and there is an ongoing migration to cloud now. That's the same as we have seen in Sweden historically, where basically the majority of the cloud penetration in Sweden is Webdoc today, while the other ones are using on-prem solutions. We see a similar trend in Norway that's happening now where customers are moving to cloud. There is of course a potential there and a market window as well. We have a question, another questions, relating to the employee headcount. Could you please comment on the likely development in FTEs during 2023?

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

Yeah. We will greatly slow down and have already slowed down the hiring pace, meaning that headcount shouldn't increase in any meaningful sense from now on. It takes some time because some people have been hired during the Q4 and they're still joining the company, as Svein Martin mentioned. After that, I wanted to really put a break on it and have the revenues growing and make sure that we come in a good position again. We do not need more staff in general. We might need a bit of a different staff here and there, so there might be some changes of that type. In general, the headcount shouldn't increase 'cause we don't need to. We can grow a lot with the organization we have, and that's the aim.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

All right.

Daniel Öhman
CEO, Carasent

Yeah, I think that was all the questions for today. Please, if you have any other questions, just reach out to me or Svein Martin. With that, I would like to thank you all for participating today and for the interest. Thank you.

Svein Martin Bjørnstad
CFO, Carasent

Thank you.

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