Cinclus Pharma Holding AB (publ) (STO:CINPHA)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

May 20, 2025

Operator

Now I will hand the conference over to the speakers. Please go ahead.

Christer Ahlberg
CEO, Cinclus Pharma

Hello everyone, and welcome to Cinclus Pharma's first quarter 2025 earnings call. I'm Christer Ahlberg, CEO of Cinclus Pharma, and with me today is also our CFO, Maria Engström. We will present the latest developments from the first quarter, obviously 2025, and the upcoming news flow, after which we will be happy to answer questions you might have. Before we begin, though, I would like to share a quick reminder with our listeners that during today's call, management, we, Maria and I, we may make forward-looking statements that involve known and unknown risk, uncertainties, and other important factors beyond the company's control that could cause the company's actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from the expected results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

Please note that these forward-looking statements made during this call speak only as of today's date, and the company undertakes no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances other than to the extent required by law. With those statements, those formalities out of the way, let's begin with our lead asset, discuss our lead asset, linaprazan glurate. It's actually a PCAB, as you know, potassium-competitive acid blocker, which is, I mean, we have developed this primarily for the treatment of eGERD. Linaprazan represents a new class, the PCAB, which has the potential to replace the current standard treatment, the PPIs, the proton pump inhibitors. We believe that our substance, linaprazan glurate, has really the potential to become the best in class. Actually, it represents, I would say, the first really innovative mechanism of action in over 25 years.

Our strategy is, as you know, focusing on the healing of the severe patients, and that also enables us to aim for the specialty pharma commercial focus, which is important in this case. It also presents the greatest differentiation from the PPIs and also from the first generation of PCABs. That gives us a strong competitive position in the future. As we also have seen, the positive Phase II results support that. We have already achieved significant results, and we have de-risked the linaprazan glurate program. We are now progressing towards the Phase III study, focusing on eGERD. As you know, since before, we are backed up by strong investors, including life science-focused institutional investors like Trill Impact Ventures, AP4, Linc, and Eir Ventures. Just some business updates then.

As we already discussed before, I mean, eGERD affects approximately 28 million adults in the U.S. and Europe, including the 10 million with severe eGERD, which is our target population. Despite the availability of PPIs, we still see that approximately 10% of the mild patients, more than 30% of the moderate, and over 50% of the severe eGERD patients failing to achieve healing after eight weeks of treatment. In addition to that, we also can say that we see significant relapse from current treatment, including the first generation of PCABs. There remains definitely a significant unmet medical need and definitely a substantial addressable market still. We are progressing linaprazan glurate now towards a Phase III study. As we have said, we have finalized successfully and completed a Phase II evaluation in Europe and also in the U.S. with close to 250 patients. The results were really, really good.

We demonstrated a 93% healing rate among the most severe patients, our target population. Actually, we also saw 100% healing of the partial responders who had been treated with eight weeks PPI treatment before the study. We are preparing to initiate the Phase III study now in Europe and the U.S., coming back to that, and we will have the top line during 2026. What you could also say is that our current financial visibility is that we will have cash over the second 2026 over the top line results. We will have the top line results before we are running out of any cash. In parallel to that, we are also working quite heavily on the business development activities that have been ongoing also for the first month here.

Going then to the addressable market, which we can see more details here of the market in the U.S. and the EU, I mean, which demonstrates how substantial the market is. The potential market for linaprazan glurate among people suffering from the most severe forms of eGERD is estimated to 10 million in this region and 19 million globally. We can definitely see that we have a blockbuster potential here. Just an overview of PCABs globally, what you can see is that PCABs are taking over the market from the old PPIs and the standard treatment for gastric acid-related disease in countries where they have been launched. Takeda and the Korean/Chinese manufacturers are increasingly licensing and registering and launching their products in the rest of the world market.

For instance, in Mexico, a PCAB has already secured third position in the peptic ulcer market within its second year and also achieving a notable price premium over PPIs, which is very interesting to follow. We can see that associations like physicians in India, they have recently issued broad consensus recommendations for the use of PCABs in managing acid peptic disorders. At least 11 brands of vonoprazan have been already launched in the country and actually more expected to come. Takeda is focusing on vonoprazan, refocusing, I should say, vonoprazan in Korea and Brazil. We see that there are more than 30 markets where we can see that PCABs are on sale and confirmed with the launches. We're really seeing activity around the PCABs heating up across the world.

Just the latest example is the DDW, the biggest gastric conference in the world, where we saw now the most active PCAB schedule ever in the market, with more than 25 PCAB-related presentations during these days when we were there. Definitely PCABs is on the topic now around the world. We can clearly see here how linaprazan glurate as a next-generation PCAB compares both pharmacologically and clinically to the PPIs and the first generation of PCABs, I mean, such as vonoprazan. We can see that linaprazan glurate holds advantage over the other treatment options with, I mean, thanks to the program that we have developed. We see faster symptom relief. We see the fastest healing and highest percentages over 24 hours acid control, which is a must to actually heal the patients clinically.

Therefore, we also see very good healing results in half the time compared to the PPIs and first generation of PCABs. We also have ambition in showing superiority both in healing half the time, but also superiority in daytime and nighttime symptom relief. We can get the best in class drug here. That is the ambition we have, and definitely the substance does have that potential. Another important factor launching a product is that specifically in the eGERD market, we can see a highly dynamic with multiple drug switch possibilities. I think that is a key in a market like this. This diagram shows how eGERD patients currently experience acute healing phase followed by maintenance treatment before going back to acute healing treatment again.

This means that there are substantial market potential despite us not being first to market, as long as linaprazan glurate achieves best in class, which is definitely what we have the possibility to do. As an example here, even though we are not first, we would like to be best. An example of the dynamics here, you can see on vonoprazan, the first generation of PCABs, 25% of the patients relapsing within six months on maintenance treatment on that substance. Of course, that will be increased over the 12-month period. Definitely, there are different switch possibilities here.

Going then, that's the reason why I also think this slide is interesting to look at, because our ambition at Cinclus is to develop a unique next-generation PCAB that meets the medical need and provides the conditions to do exactly what AstraZeneca did when they launched next-generation PPI Nexium, in fact, 12 years after the introduction of Losec or Prilosec or omeprazole. In other words, we would like to take over the market after the first generation. As you can see, the sales figure, what AstraZeneca managed to do, they did it in quite a fast period of time. A dynamic market in combination with the best-in-class position is the key to manage to do something like that. That's the reason why we believe that this definitely is a possibility. Also important is the IP protection. Cinclus Pharma has a robust patent protection for linaprazan glurate.

In the U.S. market, for instance, we have several patents, including a so-called polymorphic patent that protects the specific crystal structure of the drug until 2042. In addition to this, we have filed several more patent applications in the U.S., and we have similar protection in place or pending in the EU and other markets around the world. In practice, these strong patents provide protection against possible generic competition even after the data exclusivity is expected to have expired, regardless of how long it will last. Let's now get the quick summary of the key events from the first quarter of 2025. Overall, we are continuing to strengthen our presence and visibility in academia and the medical profession by participating in a number of industry and scientific conferences. Some examples we had during the quarter: Carnegie Healthcare Conference, Swiss Nordic Biotech and the JP Morgan Healthcare Conference.

Also during this period, we have signed third-party suppliers' contracts related to Phase III linaprazan glurate studies. We are good to go now for the third quarter. Post-period, we published, as you have seen, an article featuring the data from the Phase II study demonstrating a high healing- rate in patients with severe forms of erosive disease. We have held a scientific advisory meeting with NICE regarding the price and reimbursement for linaprazan glurate, a very positive meeting. NICE is the British Institute for Health and Care Excellence. We have also participated in Digestive Disease Week in San Diego, where we, as I mentioned, DDW, where we presented data demonstrating linaprazan glurate's strong acid effect along with a positive result from the optimized tablet formulation developed for the Phase III trials and future commercialization, as you already we have informed about earlier.

We also participated in the 14th Expert Strategies in Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal and Liver Disorders in Kansas City. All in all, we have been busy and very productive starting to 2025. If we're looking forward now and specifically looking into the Phase III trial, here we have some more details on our planned study starting up in third quarter with first patients recruited. This is a European-U.S. study where we have a significant number of sites, both in seven countries in Europe and in the U.S.. We intend to show that our drug candidate is more effective than PPIs according to several study measures, including superior healing and superior symptom control. A positive outcome would make linaprazan glurate unique in the market. We expect to start, as I mentioned already, patient recruitment now in third quarter for 2025.

We anticipate top line results during next year. Let's turn to the financials and to Maria. Please go ahead.

Maria Engström
CFO, Cinclus Pharma

Yeah. Thank you, Christer. You can go to the next slide. I will talk about some financial highlights during the first quarter. The cash at the end of the period ended up at SEK 524 million. The R&D expenses consisted, of course, of our Phase III preparations, including also CMC activities, along with the finalization of some preclinical studies. The R&D expenses, as a percentage of OPEX, was 83%, which is above the average of the last eight quarters, which is 80%. We also saw a slight increase in the number of employees within the medical field. We can go to slide 17. Here we see the year-over-year financial results. The operating expenses decreased with SEK 11.2 million.

That was, sorry, increased with SEK 11.2 million. That was, of course, due to the Phase III preparations. As I said, there are CMC activities and the finalization of some preclinical studies as well. The G&A expenses were slightly higher, and that is due to additional personnel compared to last year and also activities related to the company now being listed. The EBIT decreased with SEK 11.2 million, and that is, as I just mentioned, due to the high OPEX. The financial net increased with SEK 14.3 million, and that was partly due to interest from cash in bank of SEK 3.4 million. The remaining part, SEK 10.9 million, was due to unrealized currency gain on group internal liabilities. We have a small tax expense, and that is due to corporate and cantonal tax from our Swiss affiliate.

The net profit increased of SEK 3.2 million, and that was due to the high financial net. However, remember, part of that was the unrealized currency gain. Other current assets, if we go to the balance sheet, increased with SEK 25.9 million, and that was due to prepayments to the CRO as we are preparing for the phase three study and all in all in order with the contract. The cash, as I mentioned earlier, increased with SEK 471.4 million, and that was, of course, due to the new share issue back in June last year. The known current liabilities decreased with SEK 6.5 million, and that was due to paying off the second tranche of the tax liability that we have had in Switzerland since the move of the IP from our Swiss affiliate. This tax liability will be paid off this year.

Current liabilities decreased with SEK 123.2 million, and that is due to the offsetting of the shareholder loan in connection with the IPO back in June. If we go to the next slide, here we can see the shareholders as end of March, and we still have our IPO corner investors with us and our founders. I will turn back to you, Christer.

Christer Ahlberg
CEO, Cinclus Pharma

Okay. Thank you, Maria. That just leaves us with me to the point of view important dates of the diary here, including our AGM on Thursday already this week. With that, I will continue to the Q&A session. Please go ahead.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad.

The next question comes from Arvid Necander from Carnegie. Please go ahead.

Arvid Necander
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. First off, can you say anything about the reimbursement discussions you've had in Europe and whether or not they point you to any meaningful differences in price or market access compared to what you've estimated in the past? Secondly, on the reference pricing model proposed by the Trump administration, I understand that there's a lot of uncertainty here, of course, but given the high price differential for vonoprazan in the U.S. versus Japan, does this lead you to be a bit more cautious on pursuing partnerships outside the U.S. given the risk of eroding the U.S. potential? Yeah, those were my questions.

Christer Ahlberg
CEO, Cinclus Pharma

Okay. Thank you, Arvid, for these questions. The first question, as I mentioned, we had a meeting with NICE, and it was a very good meeting.

It is quite obvious that the European authorities are looking forward to have PCABs actually on board here in Europe as well. In the U.K., it is quite clear what threshold we need to overcome and that we are talking about cost-effectiveness and cost efficiency. As long as we are cost-effective compared to standard of treatment and we have a clear target population, definitely we can have a premium price. The willingness to pay for that is there definitely. We are actually more confident to that after this meeting. Definitely, it is a good opportunity here to get a premium price in the U.K. where we had the discussions about. That is what I can say about this. This is an advisory meeting. It is not a decision meeting or anything like that. We definitely are confident that we can deliver a very cost-effective treatment in a specific target population.

Therefore, we are having that strategy, as you understand. Was that the answer on the first question?

Arvid Necander
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah, if you're able to elaborate on the threshold for being considered cost-effective, that would, of course, be interesting.

Christer Ahlberg
CEO, Cinclus Pharma

As you know, I mean, there are different discussions you can discuss here, whether, I mean, a PPI, definitely, even though you increase the doses, if you increase the number of doses per 24 hours, you have no possibility to increase the healing rates, actually, more than in average, what you can see. That was also referred from them, more than 5%. If you look at it into an overall review, that means that, and also, we are also that healing is definitely very important. You need to heal the patients. Otherwise, you can progress this disease into much more severe diseases and end up with cancer.

This is definitely something you can take into account when you're calculating the cost efficiency. The other part is, of course, the symptoms, which is definitely what you can see when it comes to symptom is that the quality of life is quite heavily impacted by these kinds of symptoms and also sleep disturbance, etc. That also will have a major impact on the cost efficiency for patients. If you have superiority in this, then definitely it's possible to measure how you can achieve cost efficiency also on that. If you combine both healing and symptom relief, you can have a really good price on this treatment. I will not come into any specific numbers, though, but I mean, we have already now, we have already earlier guided you in price levels in Europe.

If you look into the maximum outcome of that, it's even higher, I would say. Going into the other question you had, of course, this is very speculative. You can always discuss whether this can have an impact or not. What we have seen in the past, though, is that this has been on the discussion for, I mean, during many different precedents, and we have not seen any differences yet. We are not that worried about it, but of course, we are following it very closely, I would say. We do not expect that this will have an impact on our possibility when it comes to both U.S. partnerships or if we're going ourselves when it comes to that pricing. We are talking also about the time factor here. I mean, our launch is estimated to be in four years in 2029.

It's many years to go. The other part is also, of course, we are still continuing our discussions overall in other parts of the world as well as partnerships. We have not changed that strategy for this.

Arvid Necander
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Great. That's very helpful. No further questions from me.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad.

Christer Ahlberg
CEO, Cinclus Pharma

Yeah.

Operator

There are no more questions at this time. I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Christer Ahlberg
CEO, Cinclus Pharma

There are some questions in the web here, and maybe I can touch on some of these. Regarding the funding, which I mentioned will be until the second part of 2026, with that said, we also will have a readout of the Phase III study also during 2026.

Our plan and our forecasting looks that we will have the readout before the end of the funding. We will have definitely time to read it out and also raise more capital after that. I'm looking at if we have more questions here. We also have questions about if we are going to do head-to-head studies versus the first generation of PCABs. That is, of course, a very interesting question. Of course, we are looking into these possibilities, but as a regulatory clinical study, that is not what you want to do and neither what the regulatory authorities want us to do. We need actually to do the study compared with the current standard of care. In Europe, for instance, we do not have any PCABs approved yet. So that's impossible to do that here.

In the U.S., definitely, it's very early. Definitely, it's not standard of care there today. That will not happen. In the future, of course, that could be of interest to look into as a Phase IV trial when we are on the market. Of course, we think, though, it's not needed from a commercial point of view to have a head-to-head versus vonoprazan, for instance, because if you just look at it, we know that we have a significant better acid control, and that is the perfect biomarker to estimate the healing rates. What we can also see now, since we have that, we also see that we have the effect difference, I mean, a really, really big effect difference compared to the PPIs.

We are using the same comparator as the other PCABs are, I mean, do, which means that we can have also indirectly healing rates comparison. What we also know is that none of the other PCABs has delivered a superiority when it comes to symptom relief. Thanks to our acid control, we believe definitely that will be a possibility for us. If we can do that, we have another differentiation factor, which is definitely also of importance here. We do have many different aspects that we can deliver showing that we are superior versus the first-generation PCABs, either indirectly or directly, without having a head-to-head study versus vonoprazan, for instance. We are confident that we can do that. That is also what we have seen historically has been done when you are changing from one product to another.

You don't need to have a head-to-head normally. Yeah. Then we had some questions here regarding the IP issues with vonoprazan. If our drug is affected the same thing? No, we are not. I think that's important to mention. Vonoprazan, they had their patent is running out 2030. As a mitigation plan to have longer exclusivity, they actually planned to, I mean, one of the activities they initiated was to go for H. pylori indication as a first indication to extend the data exclusivity by five years doing that. That would have given them exclusivity until 2032. FDA has now, they are in a citizen petition now with FDA investigating the possibilities here that since FDA has not accepted to get the entire package, the entire substance with five years extension of the data exclusivity only on the H. pylori indication.

Now the dispute is regarding if the data exclusivity extension should cover all indications here. If they win, and we will know that now summertime this year, they will have an extension then to an exclusivity until 2032. That has been the problem for them. For us, on the other hand, we do not have that problem since we have a very strong patent situation valid until 2042. An extension of our data exclusivity would only be as a bonus that we will have double control of both data exclusivity and patents. For us, it does not matter. Of course, an additional question to that is, I mean, whether that will have an impact on the pricing.

From our perspective, we have planned, since we will not be first in class, we have planned our drug to be superior versus, and actually to launch this as a best-in-class treatment with superior acid control, which is needed for the severe patients. That would be the case even though we are launching in a generic market or close to become generic. It is the same situation we saw when Nexium was launched, that was also just before the loss of patent. As you see on the diagram I showed you earlier, that did not have an impact on Nexium launch, I would say. They had a really fast switch. Since there are many different switch opportunities in this market with this dynamic market, we see that opportunity anyhow. That would have been the case in all cases here. We have planned for that.

We are so much into the specialty pharma target population with superiority claims in both healing and in symptom relief. With that said, maybe there are other questions coming up based on these questions. I give a last chance to give us more questions. Okay. No more questions. I stop there. Thank you for your interest and your time here. Let's stay in touch. Thank you and have a nice day.

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