Duni AB (publ) (STO:DUNI)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Jul 15, 2022

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Duni Q2 Interim Report. Today, I'm pleased to present President and CEO Robert Dackeskog and CFO Magnus Carlsson. For the first part of this call, all participants will be in a listen-only mode, and afterwards there will be a question and answer session. I will now hand you over to Robert. Please go ahead.

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

Thank you. Yeah. Hi, and welcome to the Q2 report from Duni Group. Today's highlights of the quarter is that we have a fully open market. There are some staffing challenges in the industry. We have a continuously increasing cost that's followed by further price increases from us. We further do investments around sustainability area.

The agenda for today is the market outlook Q2 summary. The business areas we'll go into around sustainability targets, what we're doing there, the financials, and then in the end, the Q&A. Yeah, a little bit look on the market outlook here. We have a recovery from February.

The graph on the left side here is Germany as an example, where you have seated diners walk in and reservations, and we can see that we had a good growth there on the line, the green line, in Germany. That's also a good example for the rest of Europe. We see that we meet some strong numbers from last year in the summer, here in July and August, of course. It looks like a really good recovery when the restriction has gone. We also see that actually COVID is picking up in the middle here, in the graph in the middle, in the last three weeks.

There are no restrictions today in Europe with some exceptions where you need to wear a mask in some areas. We can see that in a lot of countries it's starting to rise a bit again. But not to the levels as before. We also see we have an example from London here, where the staffing is the major challenge.

Here you can see where the restaurant says you may be wondering why you have to queue when you can see the empty seats in the restaurant, but it's due to staffing shortage and hard to get people. That is an issue for the whole sector in most countries, actually, from Europe.

If we take a look at the key financials here, we had a net sales growth of 53% in Q2, SEK 1.7 billion versus SEK 1.1 billion last year. The operating income ended up with SEK 91 million versus SEK 58 million last year, and the operating margin ended up at 5.3% versus 5.2% last year. If we go in a little bit to the details, around the Q2, the significant recovery here was of course coming a lot from napkins and table covers, as the restaurants open up and the restrictions were removed. We also see still strong but increasing demand for the takeaway area.

The supply chain and delivery performance challenges is still there in this really volatile market, of course, with the shipments and so on, and cost of transport and so on. The prices has been a strong growth driver for both business areas.

We'll come back to that a bit. If we look at operating income, we had a really strong recovery in volumes in the business area Duni, napkins and table covers that improved the fixed cost coverage in the business area Duni.

High inflation is still pressuring margin while price increases are compensating. Come back a little bit to that later on as well. The indirect cost increases as market activity is normalized. The whole organization is starting to gear up again due to customers opening up.

In the quarter, we also had a government support of SEK 34 million, and that's compared to a government support of SEK 64 million in 2021 in the second quarter. If we look a little bit on the year today, as you all know, the start of the year was still impacted by restrictions, but it's gone down a bit, as you know, but and also it was a bit less than compared to 2021.

It is up in Q1 and fully removed in Q2. There were some countries maybe delaying a little bit on certain areas in some countries. We had a really strong sales through the retail chain in both Q1 and Q2. The price increases support both growth and our margin.

On the operating side, operating income side, of course, the recovery volumes are really important for the business area Duni, and that has been a really big driver for the improved results in business area Duni. The increase in cost for raw materials is continuing, as well as for energy, as everyone know, and the logistics services puts pressure on our margin.

The price increases tried to beat the cost increases. We are chasing a little bit the rolling wagon here. As you can see, government support in the year-to-date and the half-year was SEK 34 million as compared to SEK 97 million in 2021. I hand over to Magnus to go into the business areas.

Magnus Carlsson
CFO, Duni Group

Thank you, Robert, and good afternoon, everyone. I will now go through our two business areas a little bit more in detail, and I will start with business area Duni, that represents products like napkins, table covers and candles. As we indicated already in Q1 report in April, the second quarter was basically unharmed.

from any restrictions in HoReCa and consequently with strong growth of almost 85% in the quarter, ending close to SEK 1 billion. Margins for Business Area Duni improved significantly and ended on 7.3% or SEK 71 million.

If we move into a little bit more details in this next page, we can again confirm the strong correlation we have between the restrictions and the net sales, which we have said earlier. Basically, all markets are now opened up with few or no restrictions in the second quarter. Although we did notice some delay in the German market until end of May before the volumes picked up.

All in all, we are approaching record high sales levels in the second quarter, and I think it's been obvious to each and every one of us that has tried to book a table with short notice, it's been very booked and very difficult to get. There's a high demand. Price increases has influenced sales since we initiated the price increases already mid last year, actually.

However, since inflationary pressure remains very high, the cost continues to increase, especially noticeable in the last month with the record high energy prices. We have in the second quarter initiated new price increases, which will be implemented during second half year, although main part before we move into the fourth quarter.

It is also worth mentioning, as Robert did, that last year, the second quarter was contributed with almost SEK 70 million, SEK 64 million in governmental support, mainly coming from Germany. In the second quarter this year, we did receive the final payment for our application that was made for the first half year of 2021.

Reviewing the underlying result improvement, the result improvement is close to SEK 200 million year to date in operating income. If we now move over to BioPak segment, which is offering sustainable food packaging.

We continue to see good growth, almost 20%. However, we also see an enormous cost pressure, especially influencing the business in Europe and their margins, and they are now down to 3% for the quarter, equal to SEK 20 million. If we move over to the next one.

The restrictions during the pandemic were directed primarily towards table service, which resulted in an increase in takeaway. The change in consumption pattern was stronger in the comparative period than in the first half of this year, which limited growth a little bit. The underlying trend of strong demand for environmentally adapted products has remained clear, and that is a strong growth factor for the business area.

In the second quarter, the product portfolio saw a shift from the takeaway to serving products, which previously negatively affected when we had the restrictions that limited social events. We do have a natural hedge within BioPak, and not only within the two business areas.

Price increases have been implemented, but clearly the cost has increased further, pushing the margins down, and that is especially valid for Europe, really being hurt, while Australia has managed to keep up the margins to good levels and also with good growth. What especially has been a challenge in the second quarter has been the storage costs for our European business.

To secure delivery performance in this very challenging environment, we have increased the stocks for certain products, and at the same time, we have seen a dramatic increase in logistics service costs, as Robert mentioned earlier. Some we do see as more temporary, but others will continue to push margins. New price increases are initiated in the quarter and, as for Business Area Duni, they will have a gradual effect from the third quarter.

It's also worth mentioning that Duni Board of Directors have during the quarter taken further steps of evaluating various strategic alternatives to maximize the long-term value of BioPak Group, which is the Australian part of the business area. Move over to Robert.

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

Thank you. As I mentioned, I think, before as well, we have our decade of action, and we want in our own journey here to become a really purpose-led company. We want to inspire the world to give more than we take, in order to, yeah, let people enjoy a lot of good food, wellbeing, and so on, and be together.

That has to be for today and for generations to come. That is our purpose, driving the company. We have a vision of achieve full circularity in 2030 and be the trusted sustainability leader. We're working on this. We have three targets, becoming circular at scale, going at zero, and living the change.

We also measure the carbon intensity index on Scope 1 and 2, which is tons CO2 per ton sold produced product, where we had a baseline of 100, index 100 in 2019. We are at 41 actually for the first half year.

It's a little bit, we have yet measured six months, but when we measure 12 months, there will be a little bit higher because during Q2, the index was very low due to no use of heating in the factory of natural gas and so on.

We are targeting the 40 in index in 2025. If we look a little bit on the goals, we're having becoming circular at scale, going at zero value chain, what have we done kind of activities here to achieve that long term? We partnered up with an example is Wacken Rock Festival, where we use fiber products instead of plastic so reduce plastic.

We partnered up also with UNICEF in the Netherlands for an Ivory Coast project where also focusing on removal of plastic. We are engaging a lot in workshops and different places like Almedalen and so on in order to look into circularity questions and so on.

If we look at the going net zero, we are improving our efficiency and reducing the carbon footprint through a pallet organization optimization project. We are installing solar panels in Bramsche now. We also took a decision here to install solar panels in Bangkok, and we're launching a scope three project where we will look into the whole Scope 3 as well, and that will, that is, also long-term project.

We have taken a decision to link the Duni Group to the SBT targets. We're also living the change then. We're working a lot around these things and pushing the whole organization here. As we the following activities, we have ambassadors appointed in company and trained.

They will use the train the trainer method in the company, will also become member of the Diversity Charter, and we committed as the early adopter in the UNGC program. We can move to the financials.

Magnus Carlsson
CFO, Duni Group

Thank you, Robert. If we start with looking into the income statement, it is clear that I think the improved demand and increased sales is the main contributor to the increased operating income for the quarter. As you can also see, the gross margin is severely challenged and slightly down, although price increases being implemented.

I think we have previously referred to the German producer prices. Annual producer inflation in Germany, the official numbers, has now surged to 34% in May of 2022, so that is a new record peak for the sixth straight month. The figures reflect the effects from the Ukraine war with energy prices, I think, remaining the biggest upward contributor.

As mentioned, in these special times, we need to work intensively with price compensation measures, and we do that in close dialogue with our customers, but also continue to working with costs reduction measures. To summarize the business area, we do see strong growth in both areas. The cost pressure is also, I would say, extreme for both areas, but in particular BioPak European business.

With the growth in Duni, you can see that business area Duni is back to being the biggest business area again, although BioPak has established itself as significant part of the group and clearly above 4% share for the whole group. Cash flow is positive in the quarter and actually contributed from slightly lower levels in inventory.

However, as we previously have stated, we are on high levels in certain areas, especially in BioPak, and we will work to take down stock days the coming quarters. Accounts receivable is the main explanation for pressure on cash flow, but that is related to strong growth and not of any increase in overdue, which is stable.

For the financial position, as you can see, net debt is slightly up from a year ago, but with improved outcome on a rolling versus rolling twelve months EBITDA. It is basically two factors that's driving the slightly higher level in debt. It is the inventory level, as we have stated before, and also the strong growth having impacts on accounts receivables.

Also, as you can see, return on capital employed, excluding goodwill, continue to increase and now up to 17%. Finally, financial targets, as you can see, we now have a very strong growth, but from low levels coming through the pandemic, but clearly above the levels of 5%, which being our target. BioPak have been the growth driver in the last years, during the pandemic and continue to contribute to fulfillment of this target.

Now also business area Duni drives the growth, and that's really promising to see. As stated several times during this conference, our margins suffer from extreme cost levels. That will be mitigated by further price increases. We will also see positive effect in better absorption in our production units for business area Duni.

It is indeed exceptional times, but we are confident with the value in our offer and our plan for price increases to be implemented going forward, as we speak. With this, I thank you all for listening, and I hand over to Robert for final comments.

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

Yeah. Thank you for listening. Yes, as a summary, I have to say, I think, yeah, it's great that all the restrictions have been eased up here in quarter two, and we have seen a very strong recovery in the HoReCa market, which is great.

People are coming back to the restaurants and are together again and really eating a lot of good food and other things. We are really looking forward to a good restaurant summer here where people will visit the food and HoReCa market. Yeah, thank you for listening. Now we hand over for questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you do wish to ask an audio question, please press zero one on your telephone keypad. If you wish to withdraw your question, you may do so by pressing zero two to cancel. Once again, please press zero one on your telephone keypads to register for a question. Our first question comes from the line of Harry Winter from Handelsbanken. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Harry Winter
Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yes, good afternoon. Harry Winter from Handelsbanken. First question about the price increases that you are implementing. I think you mentioned that for the BioPak, you do expect some improvement already from the third quarter, whereas for the Duni division, it's from late 2022 and more so maybe in 2023. Why is there a longer lead time for the Duni division? That's my first question.

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

Good afternoon. Thanks for the question. Sorry maybe being a bit unclear. The implementation is actually for both business areas gradually from Q3. We do see some contracts in retail mainly moving into end of 2022, maybe early 2023, but that is an exception. For both business area, there is a gradual increase from the third quarter.

Harry Winter
Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Okay. A follow-up on Duni. You mentioned that the previous price increase was mid-2021. Why did you wait for this long to reengage your customers with pricing discussions given that power prices have been rising and energy costs have been rising for quite some time?

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

Correct. They have been rising for quite some time, actually going back almost a year. We had a clear intention to protect our customers not to increase more than needed, so to say. Therefore, we had to take this, you know, several price increases when we have seen a continuous increase in cost, which has just accelerated.

Of course, knowing what we know today, a year ago, then we might have acted differently, but it's also been in the interest for our customers not to await and not to be overly aggressive and in a close dialogue with the customers. That's been very important for us.

Harry Winter
Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Okay, that sounds reasonable. Can you remind me of the product flows and the value chain in the BioPak business? Is it so that the European part of BioPak relies on imported finished products that come from Australia, or are you importing raw materials that then are converted in Europe? If you can just remind me of how does it actually work?

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

No, on the BioPak side, we are importing ready products from mainly Asia. Not Australia related to the Europe, but it's more from Asia side. Ready products, not raw materials on that part. The Duni part we produce 100% ourselves on napkins and table cover.

Harry Winter
Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

All right. Then finally, the integration process with BioPak Australia. I think you mentioned in the release that you had costs of close to SEK 10 million in the second quarter. That's a quite sizable cost for this process.

Can you be more specific about what have you done so far? I don't know if you don't want to make any. I understand if you don't want to make any guesses on what the final outcome will be. But what exactly have you done so far?

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

No, I think we have been putting a lot of focus and emphasis on investigating different opportunities, and that includes finding a good way, good understanding of the market and working close with advisors and so on what could be good long-term options. Yeah. A lot of focus on evaluating different options. Yes. I get a good understanding.

Harry Winter
Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Should we expect this to be a run rate, sort of a quarterly run rate of this advisory cost until there is a solution, or how should we factor this into our model numbers?

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

It all depends, of course, on the market environment and how it plays out and also what is good for Duni Group. It's not impossible that it will play out like this. Yes.

Harry Winter
Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

All right. Fair enough. Thank you. Those were my questions.

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

Thank you.

Magnus Carlsson
CFO, Duni Group

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, it's zero one on your telephone keypad to register for questions. As we have no more questions registered, I hand back to our speakers.

Robert Dackeskog
Group CEO, Duni Group

Okay, great. Yeah, thank you for listening in and good questions. Yeah, I wish you a great summer. We see each other soon again. Thank you.

Magnus Carlsson
CFO, Duni Group

Thank you.

Operator

This now concludes our conference. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect.

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