EQT AB (publ) (STO:EQT)
Sweden flag Sweden · Delayed Price · Currency is SEK
312.10
+3.60 (1.17%)
May 5, 2026, 5:29 PM CET
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: H2 2025

Jan 22, 2026

Olof Svensson
CFO, EQT AB

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the presentation of EQT's full-year results. We have a lot to cover today. Per will start off by reflecting on our strategic positioning and today's announcement that we're entering the fast-growing secondaries market by joining forces with Coller Capital. Teaming up with Coller strengthens our ability to serve clients globally, and it unlocks growth opportunities for both firms. The transaction is accretive to our fee-related earnings. It accelerates our growth outlook, and it will further diversify our platform. Before handing over to Per to share more details, let me share a few highlights on 2025. First, it was our most active exit year ever, with fund exits and realizations for co-investors of EUR 34 billion. We invested EUR 16 billion across our strategies globally while providing a co-invest ratio for our clients of close to one to one.

It was a pivotal year for EQT's expansion into evergreens and open-ended strategies across the globe, with new product launches and accelerating inflows. We continued to deliver on our fundraising agenda, more than doubling gross inflows to €26 billion. All our key funds continued to develop on or above plan, and our more recent vintages, in particular, performed strongly. EQT delivered total revenue growth of 16% while keeping headcount largely flat year over year. So, with those remarks, let me hand over to Per to go through things in more detail. Next slide, please.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Thank you, Olof. Good morning, everyone, from Davos. We have very exciting news to share this morning, and we'll come back to Coller shortly. I'll start by saying a few words about the private markets industry and our strategic positioning. EQT remains well positioned to navigate a fast-changing world and to capture the growth of a true middle ahead. There are a number of forces shaping our industry. The geopolitical backdrop remains volatile. We continue to see private market investors wanting to rebalance their portfolios as they are looking to achieve a better global diversification. At EQT, we are well positioned to navigate this environment and to help our clients achieve their strategic portfolio objectives. We want to be the most attractive global provider of international alpha.

Through our global sector teams, we engage with our clients to align on their pipeline priorities, and with the help of our local teams in more than 25 countries, we can move quickly in times of market dislocation to unlock attractive thematic opportunities. The combination of our global sector teams with our strong local presence helps us deliver structural uncorrelated alpha. As often, the sources of alpha across those various countries and regions are uncorrelated. A good example of the investments that we've made into our global platform and how it's paying off is Japan. We built our local presence in Tokyo over many years, and in 2025, we were able to reap the benefits of those investments. In our private capital strategies, we created two attractive public-to-private opportunities, and we continue to have a very attractive pipeline in Japan going forward.

The second force, AI, that I'd like to touch upon, that will have an impact on most sectors and businesses that we invest into, including, of course, also our own industry and how we run our business at EQT. At EQT, we keep on investing in our AI capabilities. On the investment side, we continue to back AI-driven tailwinds in our early-stage strategies. We make investments into native AI companies. Harvey and Lovable are two good recent examples. In our infrastructure platform, we keep on investing into globally leading data center platforms. One of our companies, EdgeConneX, is a good example of that, but also into fiber assets and into the energy platforms. We're also driving AI adoption across our organization, deploying advanced solutions that enable better decision-making and help us realize synergies across our platform.

Over time, we believe that this will help us run our business in a better way, but also in a more efficient way. Private wealth and insurance remain two attractive growth opportunities where we see new capital pools emerging. We're making the necessary investments to build our capabilities in those areas, and we expect to see significant capital inflows in this part of our business. Coller will be a catalyst for the insurance segment as we will get access to their capabilities within structured solutions. The rise of secondaries continues, and this part of the market will also, going forward, outgrow the rest of the industry. There's a number of structural forces driving that growth. Private markets have grown in size and in relevance, and in some regards, they've become more complex, and we also see public and private markets converging.

Clients want to be able to ride the winners, and they want to stay invested in compounding open-ended structures. On the other hand, there's also been a lack of distributions in our industry post-pandemic. We saw a slowdown in dealmaking, and as a result, many firms are not able to raise new funds, and that has created more and more zombie funds in our industry. All of this drives a need for clients to be able to restructure their private market portfolios and to find good liquidity solutions. In this context, Coller will be an important enabler and really further strengthen our ability to be that strategic partner for our clients. Finally, we see the consolidation of the industry accelerating. Not everyone in the private markets will be able to navigate this environment, will be able to make the necessary investments to capture that growth opportunity ahead.

So size and reach matter more than ever when it comes to creating real alpha and when it comes to serving clients in the best possible way. And our global platform, our size, being the largest private markets firm in the world outside of the U.S., will continue to be a true differentiator for us. Next slide, please. At EQT, we remain committed to our long-term strategic ambition to keep on building the most attractive scaled private markets firm, delivering industry-leading performance and solutions for clients. By continuing to be that client-centric firm focused on delivering attractive risk-adjusted returns for investors, real alpha, we will also be able to attract the best talent in our industry to our organization and to our portfolio companies.

And really, that way, creating that virtuous circle that will give us the license to keep on scaling our firm and, as a result, over time, also delivering attractive, sustainable value creation for shareholders. Next slide, please. In 2025, we made good progress on our strategic ambitions, and we executed well in a volatile environment. We took the opportunity to simplify our organization to ensure that we can remain that entrepreneurial, fast-paced, high-performing organization. We successfully completed a number of leadership transitions. We streamlined our organizational structures and reinforced our focus on accountability, performance, and efficiency across the platform. We also integrated our client relations, capital raising, and capital markets teams, creating one unified platform well set up to deliver a seamless experience for institutional clients and private wealth distribution partners.

And all of this makes us also well prepared to add Coller now as a new business line to the EQT platform. In 2025, we stayed disciplined in our investment pacing, producing a record year for co-investments. We facilitated €14 billion of co-investment opportunities for our clients. That is up from €12 billion in 2024. And we want to, this is an important tool for us to also, going forward, create those deep strategic relationships with institutional investors. And we remain committed to continue to produce that most attractive co-invest-to-fund commitment ratio in our industry. We did a superb job, really, in driving realizations in a tricky exit environment. 2025 was actually our most active exit year ever, with €34 billion in total of realizations, and that includes €40 billion of realizations out of co-investments that were done together with our clients.

And that is just massive outperformance compared to the wider private markets industry in terms of those realizations. A good example is our equity strategy, which is our oldest strategy at EQT. In that part of our business, we sent back close to 30% of NAV, which is approximately three times the industry average. And notably, we set a new record for distributions and capital gains from a single investment. So, in Galderma in 2025 alone, we realized more than EUR 9 billion of proceeds for fund investors and for our co-investors. And this actually excludes the stake sale that we have announced to L'Oréal that is yet to close. And this investment has generated more than $20 billion so far in capital gains for investors. As a result of that strong performance, we saw good fundraising momentum. We more than doubled gross inflows to EUR 26 billion.

Our evergreen offerings targeting the private wealth segment saw inflows of approximately EUR 2 billion. And we also introduced our first open-ended institutional product, which is exciting. This is the second generation of our Active Core Infrastructure strategy, and the portfolio in Fund I is performing very nicely, and we really see a strong client interest for this fund. Next slide, please. As you've heard me say, I think many times before, we have actively been looking to establish a presence in the secondaries market for some time now, actually. And this is one of the fastest growing parts of our industry, and building our capabilities in this area is really critical so that we can become an even more stronger and attractive strategic partner for our clients. And so today, I'm just very, very pleased to announce that we have reached an agreement to join forces with Coller Capital.

This is really a highly strategic and complementary combination. By joining forces with Jeremy and his team, we want to build a market-leading secondaries platform together. We really have a very high bar for any M&A that we do at EQT, and the fit must be just very, very strong, and in this case, from a strategic performance culture perspective, Coller checks all the boxes. The strategic fit between our two firms is simply excellent. It's highly complementary, and most importantly, the cultural fit, the values fit is very strong. Similar to EQT, Coller is a performance-driven and entrepreneurial organization focused on delivering consistent long-term solutions and returns for investors, and just like EQT, Coller also has that constant improvement mindset and that relentless drive to continue to drive innovation and stay ahead of the curve.

At EQT, we like to say everything can always be improved everywhere at all times. Coller's version of this is better never stops. I'm very excited to welcome Jeremy and the entire Coller team to our firm, and I really look forward to working closely with Jeremy as part of the executive leadership team, and together, we will be just incredibly well placed to deliver the most attractive solutions and the most attractive performance for private market investors and to really fully capture that growth opportunity ahead that we see in secondaries. I'll now hand it over to Gustav, who will cover the highlights from our 2025 results together with Olof and Kim, and I believe starting with fundraising, so next slide, please.

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Thank you, Per, and good morning, everyone. In 2025, we executed strongly on fundraising across the platform and more than doubled inflows versus last year. Starting with the key funds, fundraising for BPEA IX continued with strong momentum, having raised $14 billion as of today. We expect to close at the $14.5 billion hard cap in the first quarter. Fundraising for EQT XI continues to be off to a strong start, further helped by the strong exit pace during 2025. Note that in our reporting fee-paying AUM, it does not include EQT XI until activation. And later this year, we expect to launch fundraising for Infrastructure VII. So moving over to our other closed-ended strategies, we are advancing our Healthcare Growth and transition infrastructure fundraisings, having raised approximately €3 billion combined, and we expect to conclude fundraising for Healthcare Growth momentarily. In the fourth quarter, we activated our latest European Real Estate Logistics Fund.

The fund is expected to close in Q1, and our reporting fee-paying AUM includes almost €3 billion of commitments versus the size of the last fund at €2.1 billion, and then finally, on evergreens and open-ended institutional strategies. In 2025, EQT launched three new evergreens: Nexus Infrastructure and Nexus ELTIF Private Equity, distributed in Europe and APAC, and the U.S. domiciled private equity vehicle. Hence, our evergreen offering consisted of five vehicles at the end of 2025, and we raised close to €2 billion in 2025 while reaching an NAV of around €3.5 billion by year-end. And just last week, we launched a U.S. domiciled evergreen structure for infrastructure. During the year, we've also introduced our first open-ended structure for institutional clients, as Per mentioned, with our Active C ore infrastructure strategy. This fund is yet to be activated and is not in our fee-generating AUM number as of year-end.

However, we continue to be very excited about the prospects of scaling this strategy in the coming years. We've also decided to pursue our first continuation vehicle based on EdgeConneX. This will be an open-ended structure that will allow us to continuously support EdgeConneX's long-term growth opportunity, and with that, I will hand over to Olof to cover investments and realizations. Next slide, please.

Olof Svensson
CFO, EQT AB

Great. Thank you, Gustav, so looking at the investment activity in 2025, I'd say it reflects our global sourcing machine and our thematic focus. 45% of the EUR 16 billion of fund investments were invested in Europe, about a third in North America, and the remaining 20-ish% across APAC.

We invested in a number of high-quality businesses throughout the year, be it cloud-based software companies such as Fortnox or NEOGOV, industrial tech businesses like Fujitec in Japan, or, as Per mentioned, AI-native investments such as Lovable and Harvey. In real estate, we continue to see attractive risk-reward dynamics. In our infra flagship and transition strategy, we invested in areas such as energy, grids, AI infrastructure, and transportation companies. And on that note, please do make sure to take the Arlanda Express when you next come and visit us in Stockholm. In total, we provided a further EUR 14 billion of co-invest for our clients, a co-invest ratio of close to one to one. EQT X and Infrastructure VI are now about 60%-65% invested, while BPEA IX is 5%-10% invested. We expect to activate EQT XI around mid-year 2026 and Infrastructure VI around year-end. Next slide, please.

Turning to exits, it was a breakthrough year in 2025 for exits. Volumes in the EQT funds amounted to more than €19 billion, or 70% higher than last year's volumes. Around two-thirds of the fund exits were from funds in carry mode. In addition, we realized €14 billion for our co-investors. The strong activity means that we reached the ambition communicated at the start of the year to execute more than 30 exit events across our key funds. Key fund exits were made at an average gross mark of 2.6 times above our target return levels. Roughly 40% of the fund exits were minority sales and secondary buyouts. Early in the year, we announced a minority sale in IFS at the gross mark of 7x.

This is an example of how we actively work with portfolio construction, sending back €3 billion to fund investors while continuing to own an asset that is expected to have an outsized impact on the fund returns for EQT IX. One-third of the exits were equity capital markets transactions, and as a result, EQT retained its position as the most active private markets firm across global equity capital markets for the second year in a row. Looking ahead, we believe that fund exits in 2025 are a relevant proxy for 2026 if markets continue to be favorable. Our gross pipeline for 2026 is, in other words, similar to 2025 when we had gross realizations of close to €20 billion. And with that, I'll hand over to Kim. Thank you.

Kim Henriksson
CFO, EQT AB

Thank you, Olof. And good morning, everyone. All of our key funds continue to perform on or above plan.

During the year, key fund valuations increased by 8% on an FX-neutral basis. Let's look at performance by vintage. Four out of five funds raised in 2019 or before are performing above plan, and most of these funds are in exit mode and already de-risked. Funds raised 2020-2021, which are still in value creation mode, performed predominantly well, with value creation of 10% plus on an FX-neutral basis. We did face some headwinds related to idiosyncratic events in a few individual portfolio companies. But with 350 portfolio companies globally, we will always have certain underperforming assets. Risk-taking is part of our model. As a reminder, historically, about 10%-15% of our investments have returned less than one time's gross mark, while the total portfolios have still delivered on or above target returns.

In 2025, we also realized some assets with subpar performance, enabling us to refocus on the part of the portfolio where we can create more value. Overall, underlying operational performance was solid across the portfolio, and particularly so in our latest generation of key funds, which increased by 15% excluding FX. A third of our investments in these funds are already performing ahead of plan. Next slide, please. In 2025, carried interest and investment income increased to €448 million on the back of the strong exit activity in funds in carry mode. Looking into 2026, we expect that carried interest will continue to be paced by the key funds already in carry mode. And please note that the figures on this page are based on a simplified and illustrative on-plan scenario.

To date, the four funds in carry mode have recognized EUR 1.3 billion of carried interest, and roughly EUR 600 million remains, and we continue to expect the remaining carry from these funds to be recognized over a multi-year period. The next two funds expected to enter carry mode, Infrastructure IV and EQT9, are currently executing on their value creation and realization plans, and we do not expect these funds to enter carry mode in 2026, in line with our previous communication. The final bucket includes the most recent key fund vintages, which are still in value creation mode. In total, the remaining illustrative carry potential in the key funds activated as of today is approximately EUR 9 billion. This is a simplified, round number based on a number of assumptions which are outlined in the appendix. Next slide, please. Let's now look at the financials in a bit more detail.

In 2025, we grew fee-related revenues by 9% and delivered a fee-related EBITDA margin of 52%, reflecting also the continued investments we make in our business, for example, the build-out of the evergreen offering. As you know, we initiated and completed a number of efficiency measures during the second half of 2025, and as a result, the number of FTEs was broadly flat year over year. We expect to see the full-year cost effects of this in 2026, and therefore expect mid-single-digit total OPEX growth this year. Run rate savings from the efficiencies will, to a degree, be reinvested to support future growth in our priority growth areas, including focus geographies such as Asia and the U.S., focus areas such as AI capabilities, private wealth, and of course, the build-out of our new secondaries business.

We're ramping up marketing and brand spend, which will remain at meaningfully higher levels going forward. We remain committed to reaching a 55% plus fee-related EBITDA margin at completion of the current fundraising cycle, and we're highly focused on efficiency, scaling, and automating parts of our work, including through increased AI adoption. We will continue to keep you posted on this progress and how we see the OpEx outlook beyond 2026. Let me also come back later in the presentation on how the combination with Coller impacts our financials. The board has proposed a dividend of EUR 5 per share for 2025, representing a growth rate of 16%, and during 2025, we distributed approximately EUR 460 million in dividends to shareholders, and in addition, we repurchased shares for around EUR 300 million. Let me also spend a brief moment on our new revenue disclosures.

We have in our income statement introduced the concept of fee-related revenues, which consists of the underlying management fees, fee-related performance revenues, and transaction advisory and other fees. Fee-related performance revenues are revenues from our evergreen products that are measured and received on a recurring basis and do not require the realization of underlying assets to materialize. Transaction advisory and other fees include fees from, for example, debt and equity underwriting and other capital markets activities. With that, I will hand over to Per to cover the C oller combination. Next two slides, please.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Thank you, Kim. As I mentioned earlier, secondaries and solutions are becoming an increasingly important part of the private markets ecosystem. GPs are looking for ways to hold on to their best assets for longer, driving the growth of continuation vehicles or GP-led secondaries.

LPs are seeking strategic liquidity tools and the ability to actively rebalance their portfolios, where LP-led secondaries are a key enabler. Secondaries have now become one of the fastest-growing parts of our industry, and the market actually grew by more than 40% in 2025 and is expected to more than double from now until 2030. Continuation vehicles are today driving close to 20% of global exit volumes. Next slide, please. With Coller, we're really happy that we found the right partner to enter this segment at scale. Coller shares our values-driven culture, a strong performance mindset, and that drive to constantly innovate for clients with an entrepreneurial approach. As a pure-play dedicated secondaries firm, Coller is 100% complementary and a perfect match for us. I'll now hand it over to Gustav to tell you more about Coller's track record, Coller's offering, and its client base.

Next slide, please.

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Thank you, Per. As a pioneer in secondaries, Coller has led many of the first in the industry, such as leading the first-ever GP-led transaction almost 30 years ago and continuing to innovate across product categories and client channels. Coller has 35 years of proprietary data from more than 25,000 companies and has incorporated AI-enabled underwriting into its investment process. This enables faster and more precise investment decisions, aligning very well with EQT's data-driven investment approach and leading AI capabilities. Their strong investment track record and ability to innovate have allowed them to expand from a single flagship fund in 2021 to today having a multi-product, a multi-channel offering, investing across both private equity and private credit secondaries. The private equity secondary strategy recently held a successful final close F und IX at $10.2 billion of fee-generating commitments, up more than 35% compared to the last generation.

Since launching the private credit secondary strategy in 2021, Coller has already been able to raise three funds with a total of close to $5 billion in fee-generating commitments. Next slide, please. The team also shares our strategic commitment to the private wealth opportunity, and their journey closely resembles ours. Like us, they have a very deliberate and disciplined-focused approach to product development to launch and ramp up products across asset classes and geographies. Since 2024, Coller has launched four evergreen products in total with the current combined NAV of more than $4 billion. And the expansion continues to show great momentum, and inflows are around $200 million per month. Coller also recently announced a strategic partnership with State Street, along with State Street's investment in Coller. The partnership gives a unique opportunity to go after the 401(k) market in the U.S.

We look forward to exploring what we can do together to strengthen the global distribution of the combined evergreen platform. Next slide, please. Insurance is one of the most interesting capital pools in private markets. However, insurance companies operate in a highly regulated environment with strict requirements around capital charges, duration matching, liquidity ratings, and asset liability management. To participate at scale, credit exposure, secondaries, and strong structuring capabilities are required. This is an area where EQT, on a standalone basis, has been limited on a structural basis, and where Coller today is a clear market leader. Coller is the preferred partner to insurance clients with deep relationships and in-house structuring expertise. They have raised over $5 billion in structured products in the last two years, including the largest CV backed by secondaries at $3.4 billion.

This is a significant growth opportunity for the combined platform and where EQT's scale will be a key enabler. Next slide, please. We believe that this combination and more diversified secondaries platform. By bringing together complementary strengths, we can accelerate innovation, deepen client relationships across both institutional and private wealth clients. Together, EQT and Coller are very well positioned to accelerate insurance-related product. To Per. Next two slides, please.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Thank you, Gustav. In 2025, we took the opportunity to simplify our organization and to clarify our governance to put us in the best possible position to be able to accelerate our strategic M&A agenda. So today, we are very well prepared to add Coller to EQT and to support Jeremy and the team to accelerate their growth. Independent investment committee. Next slide, please.

The Coller team has demonstrated strong fundraising momentum, most recently with the successful close of fund nine, and has earned the strong client trust too. Half of those will represent new client relationships for EQT. At the same time, EQT brings a base of around 1,400 institutional clients, of which EQT Solutions within one global platform with a real focus on generating alpha and performance. I'll now hand it over to Olof to comment on the transaction structure. Next slide, please.

Olof Svensson
CFO, EQT AB

Thank you very much, Per. So let me talk about how we've structured this to ensure alignment of interest and this growth orientation. The transaction entails 100% of Coller, and EQT will be entitled to 35% of carried interest in all the future funds in line with the EQT setup.

We are also acquiring 10% of the carried interest in Private Equity Fund IX that Per just referred to. The deal construct includes a base consideration of $3.2 billion, with a growth-oriented contingent consideration in 2029 of up to $500 million. The contingent consideration is structured to incentivize strong growth in the business, with full consideration dependent on delivering high 20s, almost 30% fee-related revenue growth until 2029. The base consideration of $3.2 billion will be funded in newly issued EQT AB shares, creating a strong alignment to drive value. At closing, the shareholders of Coller will own approximately 6.5% of EQT, where Jeremy is the main shareholder of Coller's business today. Closing of the transaction is expected in the third quarter of 2026. And with that, I'll hand over to Gustav to give us the combined fundraising outlook. Next slide, please.

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Thanks, Olof.

I'll start on the evergreen side, where the joint offering will comprise more than 10 vehicles distributed across the U.S., Europe, and Asia. In terms of inflows, Coller increases the H2 2025 annual run rate to around €4 billion. We hence expect 2026 to be significantly higher than the H2 2025 annual run rate. We believe that there are significant revenue synergies for the evergreens through the strengthened combined private wealth organization by leveraging EQT's banking relationships to further accelerate Coller's distribution reach. Evergreen inflows are incremental to fee-generating AUM. Next slide, please.

So we are now a bit more than one year into our current AUM of that $100 billion based on the funds activated. 2026 is set up to be a very active fundraising year for EQT, with three flagship funds, a number of other close-ended strategies, and of course, in $25-$30 billion to the total amount, effectively increasing it to roughly $125-$130 billion. And with that, I will hand over to Kim. Next slide, please.

Kim Henriksson
CFO, EQT AB

Thanks, Gustav. First, a few words. In the latest flagship fund, the introduction of credit secondaries, and the expansion into private wealth, evergreens, and structured products. Fee-related revenues were approximately $330 million, nearly all of which were management fees. This number includes catch-up fees as fund nine was activated in July 2023 and closed on 31st of December 2023.

However, it does not reflect the run rate management fees from evergreens due to fee holidays for some products in 2025. From 2026 onwards, all private wealth evergreens will be charging full fees. Across funds, the average fee rate is about 1% and in general charged on committed capital. It's worth noting, though, that the private wealth evergreens in general charge somewhat higher fee rates with NAV as the fee base. And as we see this channel growing faster than the close-ended funds, we expect Coller to generate fee-related revenue of between $350-$375 million. Adjusting for catch-up fees, fee-related revenue is expected to grow in the range mentioned. The 2029 contingent consideration is based on growth in the high 20s. On costs, Coller has a similar profile to EQT, where the majority of operating expenses are salaries and other personnel-related costs. Then, fee-related EBITDA margin at around 50%.

Next slide, please. So what does the above then mean for the combined platform? We expect Coller to accelerate our fee-related revenue growth from day one. In terms of carry, the acquisition will not impact our outlook for a number of years since the first fund where EQT has right to carry is a 2024 vintage. As I mentioned today, Coller has a somewhat lower fee-related EBITDA margin than EQT. But in the near to midterm, however, we expect Coller to be in line with EQT's margin and to grow fee-related expenses. As a result, we maintain our ambition to reach a 55% fee-related EBITDA margin at completion of the current fundraising cycle. I'll now hand over to Per for some concluding remarks.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Adding Coller to EQT is a significant milestone in the development of our firm. Secondaries represent one of the fastest-growing parts of the private markets industry.

We're confident that Coller is the best possible platform to build a market-leading secondaries franchise, being a pioneer in the space with more than three decades of track record and experience. Next slide, please. The combination really means a step change for EQT in terms of scale, growth, and revenue profile. Coller will add approximately $28 billion of fee-paying assets under management and $42 billion of total AUM. We will have a combined AUM of approximately $312 billion. Into our business, we also significantly diversify our fee-related assets under management. Secondaries will represent about 15% initially of that fee-related fee-based assets under management, but it is expected to represent a significantly larger share over time. The acquisition will enhance our growth profile, and we aim to double Coller's fee-generating assets under management in less than four years.

This means that five years from now, the mix of EQT's business will be much more well-balanced across our business lines, private capital, infrastructure, real estate, and secondaries. And we also see a very attractive opportunity to accelerate growth and scale of our real estate platform in the years ahead. Finally, we now manage strategies that to some extent are somewhat also countercyclical, if you will, creating an even more resilient and well-diversified revenue profile. As we look ahead with this transaction, we have created a platform that is even better positioned to attract and retain the best people in our industry and to continue to serve our clients. A more attractive, resilient, and higher-growing platform. With that, I open up for questions. Operator, please.

Operator

Thank y ou, dear participants. As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one, one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw a question, please press star one and one again. Please stand by while we'll compile the Q&A queue. This will take a few moments.

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Operator, can I say a few words before we have the first question? Yes, please proceed. Thank you. Thank you, so as you can imagine, Per is on a tight schedule in Davos today, so our suggestion is that we keep the Q&A open for about 45 minutes, and to make sure that everybody has time to ask questions, I would very humbly and politely suggest that you keep it to two questions each, and as always, we're, of course, available for any follow-ups after the call today. So let that same for that, and really looking forward to the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you so much. And now we're going to take our first question, and it comes to the line of Oliver Carruthers from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Oliver Carruthers
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi there. Morning, Oliver Carruthers from Goldman Sachs. Two questions on Coller, please. So I guess you're acquiring a revenue fee stream in a growing asset class that's accretive to EQT, but you've also acquired this knowledge base in wealth. So can you talk to how you think this might help as you build out your existing wealth and evergreen business? And do you think this will accelerate the uptake of your existing Nexus products? So that's the first question. And the second question on this transaction, I may be wrong, but I don't think Coller has a dedicated infra secondary strategy.

And so my guess would be that EQT is one of the largest global value-add infra managers. Could add value here, and is this a kind of white space that you could go after? Because it feels like the use case for GP-led secondaries in infra could be even higher than it is in private equity over time because you have these platform build-outs like EdgeConneX that are very long-term assets that need capital and maybe don't fully belong in drawdown funds. So any thoughts there would be helpful as well. Thank you.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Good questions, Oliver. I think the answer is that in both of those areas, on the private wealth side, evergreen side, as well as on the infrastructure side, we see attractive growth opportunities ahead and are both good examples of why we're stronger together. But Gustav, maybe you want to elabora te.

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Yeah, happy to do that.

And just echoing what you said, Per, so to speak, I think on the evergreen side, of course, what this enables us, we get two strong evergreen organizations, both from a sales perspective, from a product development perspective, where we get to a completely different scale on a combined basis. So I think there's a lot of opportunity there, including joint products going forward in at least a midterm perspective. I think same on the infra side. This is, of course, one of the key areas where we see that there are complementary capabilities in terms of that Coller is very, very strong on the secondary side. We are very, very strong on the infra side and as well on the real estate side. So going forward, we do see that this is, of course, a very interesting growth opportunity for us to attack on a joint basis.

Where we combine, we'll have a very good right to win in that aspect.

Operator

T hank you, Oliver. Now we're going to take over the next question. The question comes to the line of Arnaud Giblat from BNP Paribas. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Arnaud Giblat
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Yeah, good morning. Thanks for that. I've got two questions. One on Coller and one on your infra business. On Coller, when I step back and just look at who has the largest GP-led secondary fund, typically there are quite a few, including Coller before acquisition, being independent and not having a very large direct business. So I'm just wondering how you're thinking about that. Do you see a need to operate a bit at arm's length? How's that going to be pitched to investors?

I'm just wondering if there's any risks around that and how you intend to put that to investors? My second question is, thanks for the update in terms of what you intend to do with EdgeConneX of wrapping that into a longer-term structure. I'm just wondering if you could give us a bit more detail in terms of the mechanics, how much of enterprise value would EdgeConneX come into this consideration or long-term fund, and how you're thinking about fundraising around that? Thank you.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Good questions. Let Gustav talk about EdgeConneX and provide more details on that transaction in terms of the combination with Coller.

As I mentioned in my presentation, right? I mean, we've really organized ourselves in a way so that it's very easy to add on a platform such as Coller and also to have that platform continue to be run in a very independent way so that the Coller team can serve clients and its stakeholders in the right way and in the best possible way going forward. And that's the intention also with the combination. That's how we'll organize ourselves. As I said, Coller will have an independent investment committee going forward and will be a separate business segment of EQT where we will, of course, collaborate as was mentioned earlier, is in the areas around branding, marketing, also on the client relations side where we can leverage the strong combined sales force that we have both on the institutional side and on the private wealth side, right?

And that's also how previous transactions have been structured and done in this space in the past. And that's what we intend to do also here when it comes to the combination between EQT and Coller. And Gustav, why don't you address the question on EdgeConneX?

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Absolutely. So due to where we are in the process, I can't go into, let's say, details about the size or the terms at this point in time. So we'll come back to you on that at the right time. I think what we can say in general, so to speak, that we're super excited about this opportunity because, of course, it allows us to really continue to support the company for the long term as there is a very, very significant growth opportunity here in the data center area, so to speak.

And therefore, it was also important for us to create this into an open-ended structure.

Arnaud Giblat
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Thank you very much.

Operator

Tha nk you. Now we're going to take our next question. And it comes to the line of Hubert Lam from Bank of America. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Hubert Lam
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi. Thank you. Good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. I've got two of them. Firstly, I just wanted to check your expectations for exits in 2026. I think you said you expected it to be similar to 2025. Just wondering, why not better? And also, does this mean that we should expect a similar carried interest as in 2025? The second question is on Coller. Can you talk about the opportunity you see with State Street and the partnership there?

Do you see this as a way to enter the U.S. target date funds and maybe the outlook for this partnership going forward? Thank you.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Thank you for those questions. I'll start by addressing the first one, then I'll hand over to Kim to provide more details, and Gustav can talk about the partnership opportunity with State Street going forward. So when it comes to exit volumes, right, I mean, it's important to keep in mind that 2025 was a record year in the history of EQT for us, right? I mean, we sent back EUR 34 billion of proceeds to clients, three times industry average in our equity strategy.

So the beauty, of course, the benefits of having a truly global, diversified platform the way we have it at EQT is that in certain years, there will be higher amounts of distributions in relation to NAV in certain strategies, and then in other years, there will be a step up in other parts of the business. And so that's what you should expect in 2026, right? In 2026, we do expect a pickup in distributions coming out of our infrastructure platform, for instance. And yeah, I just wanted to provide a little bit of that background and color as to the outlook for 2026. And Kim, maybe you want to elaborate a little bit on the details and carrie d interest.

Kim Henriksson
CFO, EQT AB

Yeah, yeah.

And what Per just said, how that sort of translates into carried interest really then goes into the framework I talked about earlier where the carry will predominantly come from the funds that are in 2019 vintages or before. And you saw yourself that there's about €600 million of carry left in those funds to be recognized, whereas the two flagship funds next to come into carry mode are not expected to, with the current exit plans, be in carry mode still in 2026. So that's the guidance we can give you at this point in time. And maybe I touch upon the State Street partnership. I think, first of all, we're super excited about having State Street as a shareholder in EQT and the partnership that they already have in place with Coller.

Of course, there is a lot happening in the private market side connected to private individuals and in the U.S., especially the target date funds and the 401(k) opportunity. We think that there are tremendous opportunities here, both in the form of over time broadening the partnership with State Street, and that's something that we look forward to having a positive dialogue with them around, but also, when you think about how the target date funds operate and what's required to be able to win in that channel, it's very clear that secondary is going to be a very attractive and key component of that solution, also given the need to trade on a daily basis, which when you think about it from a primary versus secondary perspective, would just make it easier, so I think all in all, we're very excited about it.

As we've talked about, we think that the 401(k) opportunity is very significant, but that it will also take time. And this, of course, is an important step for us in that journey to really create products that fit into that type of client base.

Hubert Lam
Analyst, Bank of America

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Than k you. Now we're going to take our next question, and it comes to the line of Erman Karic from DNB Carnegie. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Erman Karic
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Hi, do you hear me now? Yes. Yeah, we can hear you. No worries. Thank you. Great. So thanks for taking the question. Maybe just you mentioned that you expect an increase in evergreen flows in 2026. Could you quantify that? Sorry, then the second question would be on branding. You're saying that you're increasing your spending on that.

Could you give us any more kind of details on how much you expect to spend on branding and put it in context to what you spent before and also how the success of those efforts are meas ured? Thank you.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Good questions. I'd leave both of them to Gustav and Kim.

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Yeah, maybe I start with the first one. I'm not going to quantify it into a number. I think if you think about, if I were you, I would think about it in two aspects. First of all, as I talked about, during that time frame, seven out of the ten or ten plus were operational. So that kind of gives you, I think, a first piece of the puzzle of seeing how that could then be in a 2026 flow.

I think the second piece of it is really that out of the seven and, of course, the remaining three, four products, we still see an acceleration of the flows as we're ramping it up, so to speak. So I think what we're saying is that we expect that number to be significantly above the €4 billion in 2026. Do you want me to do a? Yeah, on the branded marketing topic, in order to have a successful spend of branded marketing, you first need to build a sort of organization and have the processes, etc., in place. And that is what we have been doing over the last few years. And we now have that foundation, which allows us to spend money efficiently externally on marketing campaigns and on brand events and branding more generally.

We're not going to go into the specific numbers here on line-by-line basis, but the amounts we will spend is a multiple of what we have done historically, but from a fairly low base to start with, I would say. Then it is a science of its own in terms of how this money will be measured. And it's quite different from a directed marketing campaign where you can sort of measure the exact clicks, etc., from a more branding campaign where it's more about brand awareness, etc., in the market. But we have a great team focused on that with very specific sort of follow-up processes that are going to b e in place.

Erman Karic
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. And the question comes to the line of Isabel Hattrick from Autonomous Research. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Isabel Hattrick
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Hi there. Isabel Hattrick from Autonomous Research. Thanks for taking my question. So in your presentation, you touched on the significant number of new LP relationships the transaction opens up for both you and Coller. Can you provide some color on how you're thinking about the cross-selling opportunity from both ways, so existing EQT clients investing in new secondary funds and vice versa over time? So perhaps with reference to BPEA, how have you seen cross-selling develop since you acquired that manager and what can we read across to Coller? Thank you.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Yeah, thank you. Good question. I'd say it's not only that we have a track record in terms of achieving cross-selling synergies on the institutional side from the merger with Baring. We, of course, also acquired Exeter before making the Baring transaction.

And I think we have good data points and evidence from both of those transactions in terms of the synergies that we can generate. Gustav can provide more details. And then, of course, what's different also this time around is that the private wealth opportunity has developed further. And here we really see an opportunity for us to leverage all of the investments that we've been making into our capabilities, into our brand, into our marketing in those areas, right? But Gustav, why don't you elaborate?

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Yeah. No, but I think, as you say, Per, we have experience from it, both from Exeter and BPEA. Of course, BPEA is not fully closed yet, but what you will see in the appendix is that around 25% of the capital in BPEA IX is from, let's say, original EQT clients.

I think the equivalent number for Exeter on the latest U.S. fundraiser, there is about 15%. So I think we have a good track record of showing that there are significant cross-selling opportunities in these transactions, of course, going both ways in it. And in this specific transaction, as Per points out, the private wealth opportunity, there are significant cross-selling opportunities there. And then, of course, we also have the insurance side where over time there can also be, le t's say, some joint opportunities going forward.

Isabel Hattrick
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just give us a moment. And the question comes to the line of Magnus Andersson from ABG Sundal Collier. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Magnus Andersson
Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Yes, thank you, and good morning.

Just first of all, on the transaction, if you could in any way quantify potential income and cost synergies and any potential structural charges related to this transaction in 2026? And secondly, just on your fundraising, there seems to be a very strong demand for infrastructure according to market data. So I was just wondering whether we eventually should expect your flagship infra funds to become larger than your traditional PE funds and if we could see that already in the generations that will be under fundraising in 2026. Thank you.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Yeah, good questions. I think we're incredibly, I think as we've mentioned in the past, we're incredibly excited and optimistic about the growth potential across our infrastructure strategies. And we see very good momentum here in the ongoing fundraisers that we have.

I'm not sure we're going to comment on or give guidance in terms of the sizes for the next generation of these funds. But I leave that to Gustav to comment on further. And then on Coller and the income and cost synergies in 2026, maybe Kim, you want to take that question.

Kim Henriksson
CFO, EQT AB

Yeah. Yeah, well, first of all, on Coller, as you heard, we gave the guidance that we intend to more than double the business in the next four years. That's really the income guidance we can give you. And that is based on all of the strengths that we just talked about of the combined business. And this is not a transaction that is done because of cost synergies.

Having said that, as I mentioned, there's a number of, let's say, costs that are of a nature where you can spread them out over a larger base, and that will become more efficient. Then there are some areas of overlap on the back end that we will work together to solve in the most efficient ways. But that's not the reason for the transaction. There's likely to be some transaction costs associated with it, of course, but they are not in the big scheme of things of a magnitude that will move any needle. And then maybe on the infra side, I think we fully agree with you on the infra opportunity in general terms, so to speak.

And that's also why we in the last couple of years have been very focused on broadening the infra offering, which you've seen both with the active core, especially now going open-ended. You've seen it with transition infra. We talked today about the EdgeConneX opportunity on the CV side. So I think you should think about it that, and I'm not going to comment specifically on Infra VII, so to speak, but we probably think that the large opportunity here is continuing to broaden the infra scope and scaling those things in a way that we can really be a market leader across from, let's say, more infra growth opportunities all the way to core p lus.

Magnus Andersson
Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. And the question comes to the line of Jakob Halsvik from SEB. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Jakob Haslewik
Analyst, SEB

Good morning. So my first question is on the culture fit. When you acquired both BPEA and Exeter, you talked a fair bit about the strong culture and how EQT and the related partner would fit together. But you have said very limited today with the acquisition of Coller. So what are the key culture and operational integration priorities over the next 12-18 months? And how will you maintain both EQT and Coller's entrepreneurial culture while achieving the synergies? That's the first question. The second one is you highlighted a particularly strong pipeline for Japan for 2026. What makes Japan distinctive from other Asian markets in the upcoming year? And do you need to change your approach to capture the market potential?

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Yeah, I'll start with the second one.

On Japan, the reason why we are particularly excited about the pipeline that we see in Japan right now is because of some of those corporate governance reforms that have been implemented in Japan and that just enable us to pursue opportunities where we can really unlock value creation opportunities. And it allows us to create sources of alpha that are uncorrelated to the type of value creation opportunities that we see elsewhere in Asia. So, for instance, in India, there's a lot of tailwind from demographics, capital markets-related tailwinds, whereas in Japan, the alpha-generating opportunities really are around unlocking that value creation opportunity thanks to some of those corporate governance reforms. And, of course, we are very well positioned to capture that. Why? Because we have best-in-class value creation toolbox that we've developed over 30 years. We have best-in-class sector-based strategies and value creation playbooks that we can apply.

Then, of course, in Japan, our brand resonates very well. We've been present in the country for 20 years thanks to the Wallenberg connection. We were also seen as a very credible long-term player, which is particularly important in a market such as Japan. So, for all of those reasons, we're very excited about the opportunity ahead in that country. When it comes to Coller and the cultural values fit, right, it is as strong as we have seen in previous combinations. Jeremy and I have spent a lot of time together to get to know each other. I'm sure we're going to have an excellent partnership. And we've also spent significant time together at the next generation of the leadership team between Coller and EQT, exactly like we did it in the combination with Baring and then also in the transaction with Exeter, right?

So that's a good way to get to know each other. And that's why we can with confidence say that this fit from a values perspective, culture perspective, the entrepreneurial, the innovation drive, the performance drive, all of that is exactly similar as it is in EQT. And the way, of course, we maintain and retain that culture, that's how we run our business, right? And that's why it was so important that we took those steps in 2025 to simplify our organizational setup, what I spoke about in my presentation and what I've also talked about in previous instances, so today, we have organized ourselves around a number of highly accountable, high-performing business lines.

And then we have simplified our governance, our structure in a way so that we have one combined capital markets client relations team on the institutional side that will be very well positioned to serve all of these business lines going forward, including Coller, EQT. And then finally, of course, we have a clear governance around how we run our backbone, our business on the operation side. And those would also then be areas where we can achieve synergies together, right? And so, by having those highly accountable business lines, that's also how you can ensure that you retain that entrepreneurial performance-driven culture. Kim and Gustav, anything else you want to say on the synergies?

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

No, I think maybe one more point than that. We just had a partner meeting earlier this week where, of course, the real estate and the Asia team was there.

I think it's so clear to see how well those integrations have gone, how much they feel like part of EQT in a real way. There is only one company. I think it also shows that the model works and also that we're ready to do the next one. So I think from all of those perspectives, this timing is also a good one, I woul d say.

Jakob Haslewik
Analyst, SEB

Great. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Now we'll go and take our last question for today. It comes to the line of Nicholas Herman from Citi. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Nicholas Herman
Analyst, Citi

Yeah, morning, guys. Congrats on the deal. Two questions from me, please. One on accretion and synergies and one on cash. On the accretion and synergies, you referred to a doubling of fee-paying AUM in Coller over four years.

Is that the timeframe for the mid-single-digit FRE accretion? Or is the accretion timeframe shorter? And related to that, what synergies are in that guidance? And how should we think about the sequencing of adjacencies and synergies? And then a quick one on cash. I guess given this transaction is almost entirely equity, should investors now have greater confidence that you will announce share buybacks over time? And I guess for avoidance of doubt, I'm assuming you have no ambition for further deals or especially larger deals for now, at least. Thanks.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Thank you. Olof and Kim, you want to take those questions?

Kim Henriksson
CFO, EQT AB

Yeah. Or do you want to go ahead?

Olof Svensson
CFO, EQT AB

So, I mean, if you think about the accretion, we're buying, first of all, 100% management fees, right, over the next several years.

And as we talked about before, the earnout mechanics is based on a fee-related growth of close to 30% or high 20s, right? And to Kim's earlier comments on the margins, that means that you're going to have a very rapid top-line growth. And that means that our margins are going to scale quite meaningfully over the next several years in this business. So if you think about this from a fee-related EBITDA multiple, it's based on the guidance that we give. It's about 16-18 times multiple that we're paying in 2026. But that's not then capturing the significant ramp-up that you have in 2027 and 2028, right? So to your question, if you think about this transaction in, say, a couple of years' perspective, I'd argue it's high single-digit equity to our earnings.

That means that this mid-single-digit guidance, that's an average over the next few years. In terms of cash and buybacks, you're absolutely right. This is an all-share transaction and will, if anything, strengthen our balance sheet further over time. Last year already, we did about EUR 300 million of share buybacks in 2025. So it's not that we haven't been doing share buybacks already. And what we have said in terms of guidance is that we will use share buybacks or extraordinary dividends for that matter as a tool if we at any point become over-capitalized, for example, if cash carry comes in at scale. But I can't give you any specifics around that in terms of timing or how that's going to look. But right now, we have a solid balance sheet, but we're not over-capitalized given the opportunities we have, both organic and inorganic going forward.

Nicholas Herman
Analyst, Citi

That's really helpful, guys. If I could quickly follow up on the synergies, just what synergies, as they are, are in that guidance? And how should we think about the sequencing there from, I guess, from a presumably, is it wealth first, then insurance, and then Asia? I mean, how should we think about the way you're going to be tackling the numerous op portunities there?

Kim Henriksson
CFO, EQT AB

Yeah. And I think we're not going to go into specifics of it. Of course, as always in this, it's going to be evolving development in it. And there are a number of opportunities. But I think we also feel that we're very well equipped, both from a Coller perspective and from an EQT perspective, in order to capture many of these. I think you should think about the guidance on, let's say, doubling the business in less than four years.

That does not include very significant new initiatives in that. It's, of course, a development of the business. It's a continuing to scale of the PE and credit side on the institutional side. It's maybe one or two new initiatives on the institutional side. And then, of course, it's a development of the evergreen as well as the insurance side. But it's a base case that we feel and the Coller team feels comfortable, which I think is good.

Nicholas Herman
Analyst, Citi

Super. Very helpful. Thanks very much.

Operator

Thank you. The speakers are done for the questions for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to management for any closing remarks.

Per Franzén
CEO, EQT AB

Okay. Well, everybody, thank you very much for great questions and for the discussion. As you can hear, we're extremely excited about this combination with Coller. And we are very pleased with the results that we delivered for 2025.

As al ways, you know where to find us. We're available for any follow-up questions. So thank you very much.

Gustav Segerberg
Head of Business Development, EQT AB

Thank you all.

Kim Henriksson
CFO, EQT AB

Thank you. Thank you.

Powered by