Essity AB (publ) (STO:ESSITY.B)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Oct 22, 2021

Joséphine Edwall
Head of Communications, Essity

Hello, welcome to the conference for Essity's interim report for the third quarter 2021. I'm Joséphine Edwall, Head of Communications for Essity, today our President and CEO, Magnus Groth, will together with our CFO, Fredrik Rystedt, go through the highlights in the report, followed by a Q&A session. With this, I hand over to you, Magnus.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Thanks, Joséphine . In the third quarter, Essity continued with a high pace of innovations and a number of important product launches, this together with increasing sales in e-commerce, resulted in the highest ever market shares in our branded retail business. We are now gaining market share in over 70% of our sales in this area. Another highlight of the quarter is the continued momentum in medical. It is now the fifth quarter in a row when Medical Solutions is growing, in the quarter with over 9.7% compared to a year ago. We are continuing with our price increase programs across the business in all our categories. We have started integration of Familia and Asaleo Care that we acquired earlier in the year, we also concluded the deals and took over the ownership during the third quarter.

We started up tissue production based on alternative fiber, which we believe can be a significant step in our efforts to reduce our dependency on fresh wood pulp going forward. We have continued the work with creating the private label Consumer Tissue division. Moving over to an overview of the numbers, we have a couple of different sales growth numbers this quarter. Organic sales growth that we are typically presenting was 7.4%, so another strong, our second solid growth quarter in a row after the pandemic. Here we also show actually that for the first quarter, we are also growing as the group as a whole compared to 2019. We're starting to leave the impacts of the pandemic behind us that for Essity's categories was mostly negative from a top-line perspective.

We also added another growth number, which is the sales growth combining organic and acquisition growth, which was 9.7%. This is primarily due to the fact that we now include Essity Australasia , as we call it, in these growth numbers. Adjusted EBITA margin was down, and I will soon show a bridge explaining that, while operating cash flow was very, very strong. We're happy about the development there, and it's a combination of very good reduction of working capital, lower stock levels, and also higher payables as we continue to grow. Adjusted ROCE is very much impacted, of course, by the margin development. We were compensating significantly higher cost for raw materials, energy, and distribution by higher volumes, higher prices, and better mix in nearly all our businesses, and continued also to achieve savings in cost of goods sold on a high level.

We are now year-to-date at SEK 470 million, as you know, our target range for the year is to be between SEK 500 million and SEK 1 billion. Already after three quarters, we're very close to get into that range. Looking at the EBITA margin bridge, there's a significant negative impact here of 370 basis points. As you can see, the raw materials, energy, and distributions together accounted for 670 basis points. Very good performance in terms of higher volumes, higher prices, better mix, and cost of goods savings, and in addition, also positive contribution from A&P and SG&A. This is something where I'm very proud about the achievements. Looking forward, we see continued significantly higher prices or costs in all the areas I just mentioned, but also a very good momentum in our efforts to continue to mitigate and compensate.

With that, I would like to move over to a couple of news that we have announced today in the Q3 report, that we will talk more about on the Capital Markets Day that is coming up on the 3rd of November. One important change is in how we account and present our business areas. We are moving away from a more product-oriented business area definition to a definition that is based on our consumers, our customers, our competitive environment, and the rapidly changing channel shift that we see in all of our different categories and businesses. Our new 3 segments or business areas are Health and Medical. That includes what used to be our Medical business, Wound Care, compression therapy, and Orthopedics, but also our significant presence in incontinence care, healthcare.

Of course, there are significant synergies in this business, and this is something that we've spoken about many times, and we see that those synergies are just growing stronger over the years and also resulting in the strong performance that you're seeing in the Medical business, but also in the Incontinence Care, healthcare business. Secondly, consumer goods. I think it's clearly defined by the name here. Incontinence products retail and feminine care, which are coming closer and closer together into an Intimate Care category. We'll talk more about this on the Capital Markets Day. Baby care and Consumer Tissue, branded and retail brand. In this business area, we also report the new division that we're creating for our Consumer Tissue Private Label Europe.

Finally, professional hygiene that you recognize from before, but of course, emphasizing the increased focus that we're putting on not only tissue products, but also solutions, skincare, cleaning, and wiping. It's a significant step that we believe also underpins the new growth target that we have announced today. The new growth target is to achieve sales growth over 5%. Our previous target was organic sales growth over 3%, which came from the notion that we have very good underlying growth in the markets where we are present, and in addition, we aim to grow market share. What we're adding now is that based on our strong M&A agenda, we believe that we can add up to overall a sales growth number of over 5% in the long term, of course, with variations between the different years. The other financial targets remain unchanged.

The adjusted ROACE target of over 17% and the policies that we have for capital structure and dividend. An update on the Consumer Tissue Private Label Europe division. The work is ongoing. We are slightly increasing the scope of the division, and we are still focused on having this division developed and ready and split from the rest of the consumer goods business area by the end of this year. We've also taken not just one, but a number of steps when it comes to our sustainability journey, not least, of course, our target to achieve net zero emissions by 2050. Here are some examples. I already mentioned, and you can see in the picture there, our new facility to use alternative fiber, which has a significantly lower carbon footprint than using fresh wood pulp.

We've also decided to invest in a paper machine that will be fully supplied with its steam from geothermal steam in New Zealand. It will be the world's first paper machine of that kind. We're also increasing our efforts of recycling different types of paper products in order to increase the sourcing then of non-fresh fiber materials, and of course, again, to reduce our dependency on fresh wood pulp supplies. Innovations, always a big topic, and I think we have a very strong lineup for this quarter. Starting with, we have also now launched washable underwear, not only for women in TENA and in different femcare brands, but also now for men, as one example. We're also continuing to grow our brands with adjacent products.

In the middle here, you see one example with Tempo, which of course, a very famous tissue brand in Asia and in Central Europe. We're now also adding some skincare products. Finally, and a very important launch for us, a new cleaning cloth range for the industrial sector where we have been underrepresented and undertrading historically, and where we are now making an effort to grow our presence. This product that you see here has 27% lower carbon emissions compared to the product that it replaces. With that, I'd like to invite Fredrik to talk about the financials for the different business areas. Welcome.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Thank you, Magnus. I'll start personal care. it was a good quarter with strong organic sales and market share development in the quarter. This was driven both by good volume growth and also price mix in that combination. It was not only good in comparison to 2020, but also versus the same period of 2019. We grew by close to 7%, also in comparison to 2019. Our medical business for the fourth consecutive quarter strengthened considerably. All therapy areas continued to grow at good pace, especially so for Wound Care. That growth contributed also to strengthening margins for Medical. Our incontinence business, both on the healthcare side and the retail side, continued to grow and perform really well, also there with growing or stable market shares in general.

Our biggest growth category, our strongest growing category is Feminine, and we are growing much faster than the market in general terms, and especially so in Latin America and in Asia. Generally, markets growth in the emerging markets have been very strong, as you can see from this slide. Despite good performance in terms of volume and price and mix, we have a slight decline in margins, as you can see. Cost savings were good, but we also have a considerable cost inflation. We have raised prices, as Magnus said, and that is particularly so in Latin America. We are preparing for future price increases as cost inflation keeps on rising. Turning to Consumer Tissue versus 2019, the sales in Consumer Tissue increased by just close to 1.5%.

If we compare to last year when COVID-related demand was really strong, as you will recall, our sales contracted with 0.6%. We continue to grow our sales portion of branded sales. We also improve mix pretty much everywhere in the Consumer Tissue business. The decline that you see here is mainly related to the private label business. Cost inflation is the highest for all our categories here in Consumer Tissue, and the impact was very significant during the quarter. Price increases, and of course, continued cost savings as we have achieved in this quarter, will remain quite key. We have done quite a lot in Europe and in Latin America, and we continue to negotiate for further price increases as we continue in coming quarters. As lockdowns and restrictions are now unfolding across the globe, the recovery in professional hygiene is very strong.

In the quarter, we achieved versus last year, a growth of organic sales growth of close to 21%. Also if you just compare sequentially against the last quarter or Q2 of 2021, our increase was actually 13%. It keeps on growing, and the recovery is particularly strong in North America and South America. Professional hygiene is the area that was most affected by COVID, but the recovery is very strong, and we're now only 5% behind the net sales that we had in 2019. Also in this area, cost inflation is of course very strong, but we have improved margins quite considerably, and there are many reasons for it. The higher volumes, the higher sales brings much better cost absorption. We continue to do well in terms of cost savings, as Magnus alluded to, and we have a strong price and mix performance.

Also here, we've improved in our pricing, and we will continue, as with all the other areas, those efforts as we progress in the coming quarters.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Thanks, Fredrik. With that, summing up our priorities in the short term, quite obvious. Continue to invest to fuel sales growth, price increases in all our categories, in all our geographies. Strong focus on cost savings also to offset the expected continued cost inflation that we're seeing in raw materials, energy and transports, and the creation of the Consumer Tissue Private Label division. As we have done in the third quarter, for the long term, we will also continue with a strong emphasis on innovation, expanding our product offerings. The manufacturing roadmap that is delivering significant savings in cost of goods sold. Acquisitions in high-margin categories to support our new higher growth target, which is a sales growth of over 5%. Digital transformation in all areas, and of course, to continue to lead in sustainability, which is just getting more and more important. Thank you for listening.

With that, we hand over to Q&A.

Joséphine Edwall
Head of Communications, Essity

Yes. Operator, please help us open up with the first question.

Operator

Yes, ma'am. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Now our first question is from the line of Celine Pannuti from JP Morgan. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Celine Pannuti
Analyst, JPMorgan

Yes. Thank you. Good morning. My first question is on this new target. I was wondering why you wanted to include M&A in your target, and is the 3% underlying still valid from the previous target? Will that as well impact your return on invested capital or return on capital employed? Are you going to include acquisition in that? Thank you. My second question is on raw material inflation. If you could give us an outlook for what you expect in the coming quarter. Lastly on Consumer Tissue, the pricing, you said you did some pricing, though it was only up 2%, I believe. Can you comment a bit more about where you implemented pricing and when should we expect more pricing to come in this division? Thank you.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay. If I start with the growth target, the build up there, yes, we believe that our categories where we are present will still continue to show a good solid underlying growth. With addition of our ambition to continue to grow market share, we do expect to be able to achieve sustainable organic growth over 3% also going forward. As we have mentioned also in the previous quarters, we have a stronger M&A agenda, very much focused on medical or our new health and medical business area, but also in parts of professional hygiene and Feminine. We see the opportunities to have a flow of M&A supporting then an overall growth target of over 5%. The 3% organic is still valid.

Your question, how will we then work with our Return on Capital Employed target, which is related then to without acquisitions, and we will have to adjust depending on the type of acquisitions and also the intangibles, the goodwill that might follow with that. That's something, as always, we will be very transparent about and show. Of course, the 17% target on Return on Capital Employed is as important as ever before. That's unchanged. Regarding raw materials, Fredrik, if you'd like to talk to that.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

I missed that question, Magnus, actually.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay. Raw material inflation continues, and we expect in the fourth quarter, significantly higher raw material costs actually in all areas. Maybe with the exception, actually, of wood pulp, where we expect higher costs in the next quarter. The decline of wood pulp prices that we were expecting in the fourth quarter in Europe has not happened, and is still expected because there is now an increasing surplus and stock build of wood pulp, especially in China. Due to the global transport situation, we have not seen the decline in Europe yet, but that's to be expected. In the other areas, including then also recycled fibers, of course, oil-based materials, also transportation and energy, which you, of course, hear about every day in the news, read about in the newspapers, we expect significantly higher costs in the fourth quarter.

Consumer Tissue pricing, we have achieved further price increases in all markets, though to a lesser extent in China. We have efforts in place that should show an increasing pricing component also in the fourth quarter, but especially in the first quarter of next year, since we're now entering a period where many of the negotiations are focused on price increases for next year. Of course, with the continued inflation of raw material, transport, and energy costs, it's becoming a moving target, but we have good momentum and we feel very confident that we will continue to achieve price increases, not only in Consumer Tissue, but also in our other product categories.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Maybe just to add there, Celine, you mentioned a number there, but just to remind perhaps of the obvious, we measure against last year, and there's still some spillover from the price concessions that we actually did when raw material levels were quite low last year. The actual raise that we have implemented is bigger than what you see, and of course, that impact will be more visible in quarters to come. Just to remember that. There are also still differences in promotional levels. Generally, the progress is quite good in most parts of the group.

Celine Pannuti
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you so much. Just one precision. Given what you said about the pulp prices that the decline has not happened, are you still confident in achieving a rebound in Consumer Tissue margin by Q1 as you were guided before?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

When we gave that guidance in Q1 and Q4, the expectations on pulp prices were quite different, and we have not seen the decline. I think more importantly, because the price increase program is going really well, we're seeing now also cost inflation in energy and in transportation, which makes our price increases, again, very important contribution to protecting margins, which we also see in the quarter. Again, we are now moving towards a kind of a moving target. I think that's a very important insight that it seems as if we are entering somewhat of an inflationary environment, so that price increases will become a very kind of natural component of our business going forward.

We also expect to see here, eventually, and we're starting to see that in some areas also, higher shelf prices with our customers, and price increases there, which is absolutely essential.

Celine Pannuti
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you.

Joséphine Edwall
Head of Communications, Essity

[Denson Renkinson], you can give us the next question, please. Do we have any more questions? I think there are lots that is waiting. Seems that we have some technical issues, but I hope it will be solved very soon. Apparently, there are some technical issues. We cannot hear the operator, but we are solving the problem, hopefully very, very quick. I think Iain Simpson, you are the first here. We just want to let you in, but we need help from the operator. Apparently, we have lost the connection with the operator, but we have found another operator in this digital world. Just give us a couple of seconds, and Iain, you will be with us.

Operator

Thank you for waiting. Your next question comes from the line of Iain Simpson from Barclays.

Iain Simpson
Analyst, Barclays

Thank you very much. Well, after that wait, I hope not to disappoint with the question. A couple from me, if I may. Firstly, in terms of raw mat recovery via pricing, if it is no longer going to be end of first quarter 2022, given that prices have not unfolded as you would have expected, are you able to give us an indication as to when you currently expect to offset raw material pressures through pricing, assuming no further movements from current spot levels? Apologies to stick with the theme of raw material pricing, but your comments earlier around significantly higher in Q4, is that significantly higher year-over-year in Q4, or is that sequential acceleration, so Q4 versus Q3? Just lastly, if I may, could you comment a little bit on energy costs? Clearly seen a lot of volatility in electricity and gas recently.

If you could just remind us. I think energy is about 5% of your cogs. In terms of your hedging policies, and your exposure there, that would be great. Thank you so much, everyone.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

You want to talk to that, Fredrik?

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Yeah, Iain. After that long wait, we are well prepared of course, hopefully. Good question. Just coming to the sequential development in raw material personal care, and this has to do a bit with the lag as we have talked about many times. We expect to see significantly higher raw material cost. consumer tissue and professional hygiene, both of them more higher. We've seen that increase being very high and with a bit of lag impact, we'll see higher cost as we progress in the fourth quarter here. That's about raw materials sequentially. I think the question on energy, it's of course a very volatile market, and especially on the European side, quite dramatic with, as an example, gas prices up by 4x or 5 x. Very dramatic and depending a bit on the market.

It's really difficult to forecast. We have hedging in place, so there's a hedging policy, and right now in coming quarters, we're about 65% hedged or in that ballpark when it comes to gas, and about a third when it comes to electricity. That may to you sound low, but that has to do with the fact that we can only hedge roughly about 50% or 60% of the market. The rest is regulated. The actual hedge level is slightly higher. The impact nevertheless is of course, given the price levels on energy that you now see, it's very severe. Of course, we'll see that, and we need to compensate price-wise for that as well.

Iain Simpson
Analyst, Barclays

Thank you very much. With regards to the timing of the recovery via pricing of input cost inflation, assuming no further moves?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

I think it's almost irrelevant to talk about in relation to pulp costs now because there are so many cost items moving currently. What we see is that we have really good momentum in our price increase efforts and in our other efforts to improve, of course, mix growing volumes, which also contributes very much to offset higher raw material costs and savings. To single out one cost component, which was easier to do at the beginning of the year after the first and second quarter, is more difficult now.

Iain Simpson
Analyst, Barclays

Thank you very much for those answers. Well worth waiting for.

Joséphine Edwall
Head of Communications, Essity

Operator, I hope you're still with us, and we can have the next question.

Operator

Yes. Our next question is from the line of John Ennis from Goldman Sachs. Thank you. Please ask your question.

John Ennis
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. My first is on the sales growth target of 5%. I guess the M&A component of that could obviously be quite lumpy. Is the plan to average 5% sales growth over, say, a five-year or whatever year period you want to disclose, with effectively a minimum of 3% per annum because that's the organic contribution you're sticking with? I just want to confirm my understanding there. I wanted to ask the second question around Consumer Tissue price mix, because I guess that there's yet to be a notable change in price mix on a two-year view. Is that because the pricing came in at the end of the quarter, or is it just being promoted away relative to the promotion levels of last year?

Then what is the latest thinking in terms of the number of price rounds that you're thinking you will need to offset inflation? Then maybe my last question is a pretty brief one, just on volume growth personal care. can you maybe just give us a bit of color behind which product lines really contributed this quarter and what your outlook is for the remainder of the year? Thank you.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Yeah. I'll start with the growth target, and it's a long-term target, just as we have previously communicated. I guess to put that as you did, kind of as an average over five years, I think it's a good way to look at it because, yes, it will be lumpy. We're not setting any floors on the targets. As you know, it will vary very much with pricing and volumes over the years and also with to what extent we achieve small or big acquisitions. To say that over a five-year period, on average, I think that's a good way of expressing this long-term target. When it comes to comparing Consumer Tissue price and mix to 2019, I must admit that I have to hand over to you, Fredrik, on that one.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

I'm not sure, John, I fully understood the question, but if I just go back a little bit. As I mentioned previously, we had a positive mix, a very strong positive mix in 2020. We actually had it in 2019, and we also have it in 2021. Generally, the mix impact is strong. When it comes to pricing, we maintained a good pricing level throughout 2020, but as the year progressed towards the latter quarters, we saw prices coming down. There's also that spillover impact that we've had during this year for price concessions that we did last year. Finally, the sales promotions are generally higher this year than they were last year, and that, of course, is related to COVID. The impact is gradually building up, and this is what you now will see.

This is, of course, it looks a bit kind of lower now because of promotion and the spillover, but gradually it will increase in coming quarters.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Then the question of the number of price increase waves. What we're doing now is that we're continuously working on pricing in all areas. That's because we have to assume that we are in an inflationary environment and that this will be the new normal. I think gradually over the years here, we will talk less about one cycle and then the following price increase or price increase to compensate for that, but very much an ongoing process. We will still have pricing in Q4, then more significantly in Q1 next year. This goes not only for Consumer Tissue but for all our different categories. The notion of how many price increases you need depends also very much on how the raw materials and other costs currently develop.

If they continue up, of course, as soon as we're finished with one round, we need to go back again. That's the dynamic that we have now, but I think we are managing that quite well as we can see now in how we're already compensating for what we believed maybe would have been the raw material cost increases at the beginning of the year, continuing now in waves to come back to the margins that we need in order to reach our long-term target of Return on Capital Employed over 17%. Finally, volumes personal care, fredrik?

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Yeah, it was strong volume growth in medical incontinence and particularly on feminine, or actually all of those. We had a slight volume contraction when it comes to baby. This was approximately the way it looked. Good volume development pretty much everywhere.

John Ennis
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Okay, our next question is from the line of Charles Eden from UBS. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Charles Eden
Analyst, UBS

Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one, I just wanted to dig a little bit deeper on the Consumer Tissue volume decline. Obviously, you mentioned this was driven by the private label business. Is that because the private label business saw higher pricing than the 2.4% you reported at the group level? Sorry, not the group level, the divisional level, which led to some elasticity in the quarter. That's my first question. My second one, again, is pricing in baby. You mentioned a slight volume contraction. Have you managed to get any pricing in baby yet? Finally, it's a bit of a follow-up on an earlier question. You mentioned your hedging policy on energy, Fredrik. Where are the prices today?

Does that in any way impact your approach to hedging, or is it pretty routine and you'll continue to hedge even at these higher levels? Thank you.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay. I'll start with your second question on pricing in baby and then leave Fredrik to question one and three. Yes, we are achieving pricing in baby. This is not the reason for the slightly lower volumes. The volumes decline is actually a consequence of our customer mix, where a significant part of our sales are in formats that are still slightly suffering from COVID impact. They are recovering, still behind more generalist supermarket formats. It's actually not to do with pricing, but with the sales channels where we are present. We expect this to, from a volume perspective, improve over the coming quarters. Fredrik?

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Just to add maybe on the baby side, we also have, and we have reported on that many times before, we've left the Russian market, and that has a fairly big impact.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

That's true.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

The biggest part is actually of the contraction as such is related to that. I think the first questions was related to the volume decline in Consumer Tissue and private label and whether there is a price elasticity. I really don't think so, because if when you think about price elasticity on the consumer side, it's really very low. Consumers will continue to buy Consumer Tissue also when prices come up. I don't think it's necessarily a consumer issue. It's much more that, as we have reported many times, we are very much conscious of margins, and we have continued to push very strong price increases also in that part. Of course, that is also carrying with it that we are prepared to give away volumes if profitability are not sufficient. That's more the case.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Before moving to energy then, if I could add, what's very positive is that our branded business is growing everywhere. Consumers are willing to pay, just as they were during the pandemic.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Yeah

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

strong brands and innovation, it's a very clear trend. We believe that in general, private label Consumer Tissue is currently actually losing out to branded products where we are very strong. This is partly also a consequence of the switch towards increasing online sales, where we have a very strong position.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Yeah, Charles, the final question on energy hedging. The way this looks is that we have a policy which states that we can hedge the current year plus another two, if I put it that way. There are brackets. In the first year, so to speak, we can hedge a very considerable portion, and then gradually reducing. Three years out, the maximum hedging we can do is much more limited. It's a very interesting question because when we see these extreme levels that we alluded to before, when it comes to both gas and electricity, whether or not to hedge in those outer years is, of course, a question that we will think about as we go forward.

Principally, we always follow the policy, but I think it's as things stands at this time, we'll probably remain quite low in our hedging for if you think about the outer period of our hedging period.

Charles Eden
Analyst, UBS

That's great. Thank you. I'm sorry, just one follow-up on the private label tissue pricing. My question was more if you've raised prices to a greater extent in the private label side than you have in branded, so maybe they've seen some shifts because that price gap that typically Essity had narrowed somewhat rather than assuming that some price elasticity at the consumer side, just some sort of switch between. I wonder if you could help us. Is the pricing that you've put through on both private label and branded tissue broadly similar, or have you led on the retailer side when contracts are a little bit more instant?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

I think it's very difficult to say. Of course, on average, we need higher price increases on private label because the pulp component is bigger. To what extent we have actually raised more, I don't think we provide that data.

Charles Eden
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Thank you very much.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Thanks

Operator

Next question is from the line of Kalle Karppinen from SHB. Thank you.

Kalle Karppinen
Analyst, SHB

Yes, thank you very much for taking my question. I wanted to talk about the new business areas. The first question is: Is this a big change in terms of how you run and have run these businesses internally, or is this more of a change in reporting structure? Hello, can you hear me? Hear me.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

That's already happening, and I gave one example where we see that, for instance, the Inco category is very much developing into Inco healthcare category, which is very close to our medical business, and while we see Inco retail. In certain formats, pharmacies, for instance, you would see these products side by side, and of course, not the least in the online channel. All of this leads to a way of working, and actually also organizationally, where we're much more focused on the consumers, the customers, and the channels to service all the needs independent of the product dimension. Of course, this is also a continuation of our thinking when it comes to adding adjacencies, as we've spoken about earlier, to different product groups. More focused on how can we service the needs of our customers and consumers.

That's already progressed in the company, but of course, this will accelerate that development also internally.

Kalle Karppinen
Analyst, SHB

All right. I missed the first part of that answer. I guess I got the big picture of it. Just a quick follow-up on the more specifically on the sort of the links between the different divisions. You have incontinence product in both m edical and consumer goods. Who is producing those? Similarly, when it comes to tissue, how many sites do you have where produce both consumer tissue and professional hygiene tissue?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Yeah. We are not planning to make any changes when it comes to the production or in the global brand development innovations and our sustainability work. Those are our global services that we provide in strong global expert organizations. We have, in most of our sites, a number of different categories, and this will remain. Actually, the trend right now is towards having more categories on sites just because it is more efficient from a transport and logistics perspective. There is no link there. This new organization, from a business area perspective, is very much customer and consumer-centric, while we keep the strong synergies that we have in the back end by keeping a global supply chain organization covering all our global sites, personal care and the different types of tissue sites that we have.

Kalle Karppinen
Analyst, SHB

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take our next question. It is from the line of Victoria Nice from SG. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Victoria Nice
Analyst, SG

Hello, can you hear me okay?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Absolutely.

Operator

Yes.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Yeah.

Victoria Nice
Analyst, SG

Okay. Hello there. I just wanted to ask about Vinda Consumer Tissue, which looked a little bit weak in the quarter, despite easier base of comparison from last year. Is that partly because it is taking some pricing earlier than competition because the pulp inventory at lower prices has run out? If so, does that mean that it's been a little bit uncompetitive over the last few months, but will be getting better moving forward as peers work through their pulp inventories? Thank you.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Yeah. This is a very, as you know, dynamic market, and the most agile and successful player in that market by far is Vinda, and I think they managed the quarter really, really well. Vinda still has a pulp stock, so not running out, and very much focused on price increases, but also mix improvements. We continue to see a strong growth in the premium categories of Vinda, which is the Tempo brand and also the 4D Deco, and not least Tork as well. All of that really contributes to the strong margin that Vinda has been able to show.

Vinda has also been active in pushing for price increases and reducing promotional pressure, which has, as I also mentioned in the second quarter, has been a difficult thing to do in a market where the big players, all of them actually, still benefit from pulp stocks with lower costs. There's a dynamic there where I think Vinda's done exactly the right priority between protecting margins, working with the long-term improved mix and strategy and mixing up and of course, cost efficiencies and balancing that with volumes. As always, in the fourth quarter, we're coming into Singles' Day or 11.11, and typically, Vinda is a very strong performer during this Festival based on their strong presence in e-commerce, where we are also seeing a quick channel shift that they are managing really well.

Victoria Nice
Analyst, SG

Thank you.

Operator

Okay. Our next question is from the line of Fulvio Cazzol from Berenberg. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Fulvio Cazzol
Analyst, Berenberg

Yes, good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. Most have been answered, but I was just wondering if I could ask one on the volume trends in the Consumer Tissue. I hear you on the low elasticity of this category, so I was a little bit surprised that the volumes came in a bit weaker than I expected. I was just wondering what's really behind that? Is that market share losses because of taking more pricing than your competitors, or is it because you've got a higher mix of private label business versus competitors, or is it retailer destocking following the price increases? Are retailers winding down inventories there? My second question is on finance costs, which again came out a little bit below my expectations. I was expecting them to go higher following the acquisitions that you've made.

Just wondering if you could give a bit more color on what's going on in that line and what we should forecast for the coming quarters. Thank you.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

I'll start with the Consumer Tissue volume development, where clearly it's a combination of a few factors, and one is our focus on the recovering margins as we have now been focused for several years. Having said that, we're actually growing market shares still in most parts of our branded business. We're not giving up on that, and we're able to achieve improved pricing, mix, and volumes in most of our branded business, which is a fantastic combination, of course. While in private label, we have lost some volume due to our efforts to raise prices. There is also, compared to last year, as you remember, there was huge swings in tissue demand, and that makes also comparing to the same quarter in general difficult this year. We've seen slightly softer volumes, and I don't think it's due to stockpiling with the retailers. We have no such indications.

Maybe some stocks with the consumers, but that's typically a very short-lived impact. I don't know if you want to add something there, Fredrik?

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

No.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

It was the finance cost question, which I hand to you very happily.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Thank you, Fulvio. It was actually lower, and it was all attributed to interest cost predominantly. We also had some smaller, you can say, revaluation gains in the finance net this quarter. Your question was on the next quarter. We expect it to be somewhat higher on the back of a bit higher net debt volumes predominantly to your point there. It will be higher or somewhat higher in the next quarter.

Fulvio Cazzol
Analyst, Berenberg

Great. Thank you so much.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Thank you.

Operator

Okay, looks like we'll take our next question. It is from the line of Linus Larsson from SEB. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Linus Larsson
Analyst, SEB

Yes, thank you very much for taking my questions, and if you don't mind, I'd like to return to input costs. My question is, given what you have said on the call, is it fair to assume that on a year-on-year basis in the fourth quarter, there will be more cost inflation than we saw year-on-year in the third quarter?

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

If I may just say, we haven't said that. We've said that it will be significantly higher cost than last, but we haven't given a specific indication, Linus. It will be significantly higher, and of course, we've also talked about energy and distribution. We have not given an exact number, and we never do that, as you know.

Linus Larsson
Analyst, SEB

Combining that with price then, you're making some nice progress on pricing, obviously, in the third quarter. That's encouraging to see. Would you comment on that, whether the gross margin would be expected to improve on the fourth compared to the third quarter?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

We don't comment on that specifically. I think that's a quite detailed question.

Linus Larsson
Analyst, SEB

Okay. One last try then. That would be on energy specifically. I thought it was interesting what you said that even though we might think that your hedging rates are somewhat low, you said something about regulated markets. Maybe if you could just expand somewhat on that and say how big a % of your gas and electricity purchases are actually subject to, what should we call it? To volatility and how big a part is either hedged or subject to other stability factors?

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Maybe I can start, Linus, because when I said hedging levels were low, I was talking about the outer years, so 2023 as an example here. On the contrary, when you look at the short period of time, just in coming quarters, we are high in hedging. This is the way it works. It's a staged approach when it comes to policy. Just coming to gas, we are hedged in the coming quarter to roughly about 65%. As I said, the rest is basically free float, if I put it that way. When it comes to the electricity, it's roughly about a bit over 30% hedged. In reality, that has to do with the fact that many markets that we operate in are regulated.

If you take the non-regulated, where we're able to hedge, hedging levels are also in the range of 65%, if you take also electricity. We're actually high on hedging for both. For the regulated market, which accounts for give and take 50% of all our electricity purchases, their prices don't move in the short term. You can say on the short term it's hedged, but over time, they will also move as we progress, if the conditions stay the same. Of course, we have a significant impact, but the hedges are also helping us quite some, both now Q3, Q4, and also in the coming quarters.

Linus Larsson
Analyst, SEB

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Okay. Our next question is from the line of Oskar Lindström from Danske Bank. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Oskar Lindström
Analyst, Danske Bank

Hi. Actually three questions. I'll read them off all at once. The first one is on, in the press release that you have on the new business areas, you write that this supports the strategy with less capital tied up. How should we interpret that part of it? What parts of your business is it that you feel are tying up too much capital? How would this change with this new strategy?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay.

Oskar Lindström
Analyst, Danske Bank

The second question is.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Yeah?

Oskar Lindström
Analyst, Danske Bank

Yeah. Please, if you want to answer that first, that would be great.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay. Yeah, sorry, Oskar. Yeah, it helps us, I think both internally and externally to focus on the primary growth areas for the future, which is the Medical Solutions business area and the professional hygiene, and then the less capital-intensive parts of consumer goods. Thanks for asking about return on capital employed, because if you look back, it's been quite healthy, and especially if you look at it without, of course, goodwill and intangibles in all our categories over the long time period. Going forward, this focus that we've already had now for a number of years, I think we are emphasizing that further, prioritizing the business areas I just mentioned. It's even easier to prioritize in those areas.

As you can see, the acquisition of Asaleo Care, for instance, had a big part personal care and professional hygiene, and only to a lesser extent, consumer tissue, and the same with Familia. The other acquisitions in Medical Solutions all kind of underpin that focus going forward. It's another step in that direction.

Oskar Lindström
Analyst, Danske Bank

Is the separating of the private label tissue business in Europe into a separate legal entity, is that part of this as well?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Our consumer goods business, and we'll talk more about this at the Capital Markets Day because these are more kind of maybe longer-term strategic discussions that are really, really interesting, and I'd like to spend more time on that. It's of course, primarily a branded business, and we are always prioritizing the branded part of our business when it comes to innovation and investments. Divisionalization that we're doing now and preparing for the end of the year is very much, again, based on a kind of customer and consumer perspective on our business, where we see that there are different needs between our different customers in private label and in brands in Europe. The response from these customers has been quite positive to this planned organizational change.

Oskar Lindström
Analyst, Danske Bank

Right. Thank you. My second question, probably a little bit shorter, but we've read a little bit about at least one very small, but possibly more tissue producers in Europe closing production due to high prices for energy or lack of energy. First of all, is this something that you see possibly impacting any of your tissue production facilities? Is this in any way that competitors are closing, is that impacting the competitive landscape for Consumer Tissue in Europe?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

I think it's too early to say how it changes the competitive landscape. We don't currently see any need to shut down any of our facilities. We don't see any bottlenecks in supply of raw materials. We are well hedged, as Fredrik said, and we have a very competitive cost position, especially after the Tissue Roadmap Program. On that cost curve, we believe we are very, very competitive. Again, from a longer term perspective, I'm convinced that both the impact from the pandemic, the increased

Focus on e-commerce, and now these cost increases will benefit the strong players with the strong brands and strong go-to markets, and that's us. Over time, yes, I think this is good for us from a competitive perspective, but of course, this is a long-term development.

Oskar Lindström
Analyst, Danske Bank

Right. Thank you. Just my final question, also shorter, is on professional hygiene. Our distributors, your customers, are they stocking up or have we not seen that impact? What's the situation, you believe, in their stock levels?

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

We think that's normalized, and we don't believe there's any stocking up. There's still some restrictions and shutdowns in some markets, I think you read about this also in the newspapers, that can impact short-term. The long-term development, as Fredrik has presented, is very positive for professional hygiene. There could be, of course, ups and downs. There's been a major shutdown in Australia now for a number of months, for instance. Overall, we don't see any stock-ups or any major now impacts other than a gradual improvement.

Oskar Lindström
Analyst, Danske Bank

All right. Thank you. Those were all my questions.

Operator

Thank you. Now for our next question is from the line of Tom Sykes from Deutsche Bank. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Tom Sykes
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah, thank you. On the other items line through the adjusted EBITA, that seems to be a bit lower than expected in the quarter. Is that the ongoing level that we should expect, or is that going to go back up? Just on your comment on promotions, can we just try and untangle that a little bit, please? Where are the absolute, or where are the promotion levels relative to history? Did you say? Obviously, there'll be a volume impact to these, but did you say you expected these to still sequentially go up? Or is there some leeway for you now to maybe start easing off some of the promotions as your-

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

First question on the other line. It is a bit lower this quarter. We have guided previously for SEK 1 billion for the year, and it remains our guidance, actually. It may be somewhat slightly low, but roughly about SEK 1 billion. You should see this as more of a low number for this particular quarter. It will vary depending on the cost of, as an example, our digital project that's been slightly lower this quarter and will be slightly higher next quarter, just as an example. It's a bit of volatile there over the quarters, but generally, the guidance is still SEK 1 billion.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay. It's not easy to detangle the promotional impacts. In general, promotional levels were close to zero last year because of panic buying and the COVID situation, as you know. There was a little bit of promotions again towards the end of the year in some markets. The phasing here with China is slightly different as they have been moving in and out of lockdowns and pre-buying. It's very difficult to say. Of course, in general, just returning to normal then leads to higher promotions than the year before. Having said that, I believe that reducing promotion is an important tool in achieving price realizations until shelf prices move. We're starting to see some shelf prices moving recently because that's also part of the equation that makes it even more difficult to detangle the promotional situation.

Higher shelf prices gives greater opportunity than for promotions. Of course, from our perspective, what's important is to remain competitive, gaining market shares in the branded part of our business, increasing premiumization, while, of course, also recovering our margins, specifically in Consumer Tissue.

Tom Sykes
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

In terms of even if those were stable, say going forward, that is now you're now annualizing the headwind of the step-up in promotions. Therefore, that shouldn't be an impact on year-over-year. I take it that there's going to be some moves and there'll be strategic choices and there's going to be a volume impact to these, but just trying to understand.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

That's fair to say with maybe with the exception of, I'm not completely on top of where Vinda is in that cycle. In general, of course, moving into next year, we will be annualizing to more normal, using promotions as one of the tools to work with being competitive, promoting new products, and for us, very much promoting premium products and moving up the chain there.

Tom Sykes
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Okay. For our next question is from the line of Martin Deboo from Jefferies. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Martin Deboo
Analyst, Jefferies

Morning, everybody. Thanks for taking the question. I just want to come back to energy costs and how they're impacting the business. Clearly, it's the new theme in cost inflation, and I just want to understand how they're impacting the different divisions differentially. What was striking about Q3 is you took big hits on the bottom line from energy tissue and professional hygiene, but much lower impact personal care. does that just reflect the fact that energy intensity personal care is lower, which is what the disclosures would suggest, or is it something to do with different energy mix personal care or different regional mix in terms of energy markets? Just trying to understand what drove the difference.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

It is to the absolute largest extent, Martin, it's a matter of exposure. We consume more energy when it comes to Consumer Tissue, and also to some degree in professional hygiene. Both of those, much more energy, and particularly so with gas in Consumer Tissue than we do personal care. it's exposure.

Martin Deboo
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay. Very clear. Thank you.

Operator

Okay, our next question is from the line of Iain Simpson from Barclays. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Iain Simpson
Analyst, Barclays

My question's been answered. I'll let someone else go.

Operator

Okay. Our next question is from the line of Rob Price from HSBC. Thank you. Please ask your question.

Rob Price
Analyst, HSBC

Oh, yeah. Yeah, a couple from me. Just first of all, on this other line, perhaps you could kind of talk us through what a more normalized level would look like for FY 2022. The next question relates to the different categories within the Medical Solutions business. Perhaps you could give us an update on how each of those categories have been performing.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

I can start maybe with the other line there for 2022. Rob, we'll come back in connection with our Q4 release. Generally, this line contains our corporate cost, as an example, and we also have some cost related to our digital program. Exactly how we face that and the total cost picture will be back in connection with the Q4 report.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay. Medical, a very strong development overall, also compared to 2019. Wound Care, both Acute and Advanced Wound Care, is doing extremely well, and not least Advanced Wound Care also helping margins, so double-digit growth there. While both Compression and Orthopedics are still catching up with 2019, but now getting very close. When it comes to Orthopedics specifically, since we didn't have a ski season this year whatsoever, it will remain until next year until we recover. If you're looking just quarter over last year's quarter, it's improving month-over-month, so very positive that also Compression Orthopedics will recover in the next couple of months and the next quarter. As in most of our categories, we feel that we have a very strong offering to the customers and a very strong go-to-market.

We believe that we are gaining market shares in most of these areas. Of course, we don't have that data in the same way as we have in the consumer categories. That will help us to continue to grow in Medical also going forward.

Joséphine Edwall
Head of Communications, Essity

Was that okay, Rob, or did you have another question?

Rob Price
Analyst, HSBC

Oh, yeah, no, that's great. Thank you.

Joséphine Edwall
Head of Communications, Essity

Okay. Thank you. Now I think it's the last question. Celine. Operator, please.

Celine Pannuti
Analyst, JPMorgan

Eleni, a follow-up. Yeah, thank you. My follow-up is on the SG&A line. personal care, i think your growth margin was under pressure, but then both A&P and SG&A came down. Can you explain what drove that? What should we expect for A&P spend this year and next? Is there more savings or cuts, whatever it is, that could help from the SG&A line? Thank you.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Okay, if you start with SG&A, Fredrik, I'll take the easy one about A&P.

Fredrik Rystedt
CFO, Essity

Yeah. First, you're right, Celine. It was a bit lower. This is, of course, the conscious decisions that we take. When it comes to the forward-looking on the SG&A, we have kept a very high pace in terms of product launches and future-looking investments throughout this pandemic, and we continue to do that. Needless to say, we need to be careful with what we spend in terms of SG&A. We will continue to be cost-conscious, of course, and save money where we can. It's not a general view that we can take out lots of costs. We continue to be cost-conscious, in short.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

With A&P, we expect to have a lot of innovation coming also going forward that will help our mix and our price as it has over the last number of years. This means that for next year, we will continue to have I can't be specific at this point in time. We're still in our planning work, but we continue to have a similar A&P level as we've had historically. It can vary a little bit between the years, but of course, with the good growth we're seeing now, we need to keep on fueling that also partly with A&P. It's an important tool for us to continue to win market shares going forward.

Celine Pannuti
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you.

Magnus Groth
President and CEO, Essity

Thank you.

Joséphine Edwall
Head of Communications, Essity

Okay. Thank you so much for calling in today. Thank you for your patience. With this, we conclude today's conference. As you heard Magnus and Fredrik, we will talk more about certain topics on the Capital Markets Day on November 3rd. I really hope to meet all of you virtually there. We will also have the rest of the management team. We will focus on how we continue to drive profitable growth, breaking barriers to wellbeing, and of course, innovation, sustainability, and digitalization. With this, have a good weekend. Thank you and goodbye.

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