Fingerprint Cards AB (publ) (STO:FING.B)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2018

Jul 19, 2018

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Fingerprint's Q2 report for 2018. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. If you wish to ask a question, you may press star one on your telephone keypad or enter your questions via the web. I must advise you all that today's conference is being recorded on Thursday the 19th of July, 2018. I shall now hand over to your host for today, Christian Fredrikson. Please go ahead, sir.

Stefan Pettersson
Head of Investor Relations, Fingerprint Cards

Good morning and welcome to Fingerprint Cards earnings call following the release of the second quarter results this morning. My name is Stefan Pettersson, and I'll be the moderator. We'll begin the call with presentation of the report by our CEO, Christian Fredrikson, and thereafter by our acting CFO, Ylva Blomén. Following this, we'll have a Q&A session. If you're following the conference call on the web, questions can be posted throughout the call. For those of you participating on phone conference, instructions on how to ask questions will be given by the operator before we get into the session. With that, I now hand over to our CEO, Christian Fredrikson.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yes. Thank you, Stefan. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the call. Let me first, as usual, go through the main highlights from the quarter and then give you a short business update before I hand over to Ylva to go through the financials with some more detail. If we start by looking at the sales development, we saw an improvement versus first quarter. This was as expected and previously communicated. Compared to last quarter, sales were up 35% as the market situation stabilized somewhat for us as well. Still, we are facing a challenging market, as I suppose the mobile market always will be. Versus Q2 last year, our sales are down by 53%, as you can see on this slide, primarily because of the declining average selling price.

Let me come back to the trends we see in the market on the next slide and also what we're doing to address these dynamics. Our gross and operating margins this quarter were impacted by non-recurring items as we disclosed on June 4th. Gross profit was impacted by a SEK 305 million non-cash inventory write-down. Excluding this write-down, our gross margin was 15%. In addition to the inventory write-down, our operating profit was also impacted by SEK 146.6 million non-cash write-down of capitalized R&D expenses. Also by a SEK 43.2 million in restructuring costs related to our cost reduction program that we also announced on June 4th. The implementation of the program is running as planned and communicated. Excluding non-recurring items, our operating margin was negative -21%.

As I already mentioned, our cost reduction program is proceeding as planned. We are targeting an OPEX level below SEK 400 million on an annual basis and before capitalization of R&D expenses. This means that our target is to enter 2019 with an OPEX level that is around two-thirds lower compared to 2017. Next slide, please. As always, as we have said so many times, we are in an intensely competitive market. Although we see some signs of stabilization, the Chinese smartphone market has declined compared to last year. This has, of course, some impact on us as well.

While Fingerprint, we clearly are, and we continue to be the leader in the market when it comes to fingerprint sensors for smartphones, we have experienced a strong shift in the product mix during the last year, which continued also in this year, first and second quarter. Today, around 80% of our sensors we deliver are now low-cost sensors, which is quite a change from last year when the market accommodated a variety of different sensors in different price ranges. The fact is that the market for capacitive sensors in mobile industry has become more one-size-fits-all market. The trend is towards smaller and cheaper sensors, more efficient ones. This also, in a way, helps increasing the fingerprint sensor attach rate for cheaper phones, but it of course, is something that we need to look at when we do the product development, which I'm coming back to soon.

It gives us and makes it necessary for us to keep lowering the production cost. That's an important task for us. As you know, the capacitive fingerprint sensor has been the standard biometric technology used in smartphones for quite a while now. This is now changing. Going forward, we will see many different biometric solutions used. Biometric technology will continue to evolve rapidly. I think it's clear that the product life cycles are getting shorter also for biometric solutions for smartphones. Commercial in-display solutions have been introduced this year. There will be much more coming also during the coming quarters. I believe that the capacitive sensor will continue to dominate outside of the premium segment. In high-end phones, we will see many different solutions being adopted and tested in the coming years.

We will most likely see in-display fingerprint sensor growing in popularity, but also touchless solutions, obviously, as well as both variations of these and combinations of these in the phones. Many different projects. The cost pressures we're facing in our core capacitive sensor business in smartphones, along with the technology shifts, means that we need to carefully control our costs while also diversifying into new application areas and technologies. This is, of course, nothing new if you're in high tech, especially in mobile. As I mentioned before, we're making significant reductions to our cost base in order to reduce OPEX to below SEK 400 million on an annual basis. It's also critical that we lower production costs in order to mitigate the effect of the continued ASP decline. Consequently, we recently launched a fourth generation sensor, the FPC1511, which is currently our most cost-optimized solution for smartphone manufacturers.

At the same time, this sensor performs on par with or even better than bigger sensors, and it has a very high security level, which we are proud of. Our team has done a great job with this product, which will be an important and valuable part of our capacitive portfolio going forward. I expect the shift to be quite fast into this new product. It has undergone extensive testing and verification, and we are now going into collaboration with the leading mobile phone manufacturers. Full qualification of this new product is scheduled for the third quarter of 2018, and the first commercial smartphones integrating new sensors will be launched late 2018 and early 2019. Taken together with these actions, I'm quite confident that these activities will bring Fingerprint Cards back to profitability, which obviously is a must and important for us.

In order to generate future growth, we also need to diversify our business. When it comes to our biometric technology portfolio, we are currently focusing in the mobile on in-display and touchless solutions. We continue our efforts to commercialize our ultrasonic in-display technology, and we are also working on an optical solution in parallel. As I said, the life cycles of these solutions are clearly much shorter than ever before. As you know, we have a target for 2018 that ARAS, outside of capacitive sensors for mobile phones, account for at least 10% of sales. We're also making progress both in smart cards and in embedded solutions. I'll get back to those in the next couple of slides. Next slide, please.

During the quarter, we received initial orders, which were actually the first ones in the world, for our T-Shape module to be used in contact and contactless payment cards for two major global card manufacturers. We are still talking about minor volumes, but this clearly is an important milestone for us, and I believe it shows that we're on the right track towards commercializing our smart card offer. I'm pleased that the smart card ecosystem is today working together in a common effort to introduce biometric smart cards at scale. I can tell you that the feedback from our several ongoing market trials is positive. It is very good both from banks as well as consumers when it comes to using payment with biometric cards. Next slide, please.

Looking at some other market highlights from the quarter, 16 smartphones equipped with our sensors were launched, a number which is comparable to last quarters. I'm pleased that we saw the first two smartphones launched with our FPC1291 sensor, which is a single chip, single die solution, removing the need for companion chip. Two in one, if you may. FPC1291 is now already in volume production. A few weeks ago, we announced that Delta ID has launched its first iris-enabled point of sales terminal, ApnaPay, in India. This is the first iris point of sales terminal from Fingerprint Cards that enables multiple use cases, including real-time Aadhaar authentication and Aadhaar-enabled payments. Consumers in India can actually pay just by looking into the terminal, which will authenticate the individual and accept payment through the Aadhaar database. The terminal can handle also other means of payment, including card.

In the embedded area, we're continuing our expansion as several products were launched. Some examples include even a smart suitcase from Xiaomi, USB security keys from Ensurity and FEITIAN, and a biometric cryptocurrency card from MeReal Biometrics and Unikeys. Also, our sales of sensors for door lock continues to develop nicely as well. This happens especially in China. I have already talked about our fourth-generation sensor and the T-Shape orders, so let's go forward to the next slide, please. Summing up, our revenue stabilized in Q2 with a sequential 35% improvement. The shift to our smaller and cheaper sensors affected our results this quarter also. Around 80% of the sensors we sell are now low-cost sensors or more efficient sensors. They are still the best in the world with high security.

As the average selling price for our product continues to decrease, we are and need to focus hard on driving cost efficiency in order to return to profitability, both by lowering our cost base and by developing these new, more cost-effective sensors that I talked about. As I explained, we launched the fourth-generation of sensors during the quarter. At the beginning of June, we announced a cost reduction program with the target of bringing down our OPEX level to below SEK 400 million on an annual basis, with full effect as we enter into 2019. Our cash flow improved compared to Q1 and was positive due to a tax refund and improved underlying operating results compared to last quarter. Although the operating results were still negative, which we obviously cannot be pleased with and will not be pleased with.

Let me close by highlighting that we are continuing our efforts to diversify our business into new areas. Our technology and capacitive fingerprint sensors is tried and tested, and we are and continue being the market leader, and that is proven by hundreds of millions of smartphone users who appreciate the products worldwide. The fundamental technology can be adapted and applied in new segments. We are, as I said, looking at new technologies with both ultrasonic and optical and mobile phones, and as you know very well, biometric smart cards, which is an area that we believe will be airborne in the coming years into the next mass market for biometric solutions. And once again, the first purchase orders in the world, which we received during the quarter from two major card producers, shows that we are on the right track and are well-positioned for that when it happens.

With that, thank you very much, and I'll hand over to our acting CFO, Ylva Blomén, with this. Go ahead, Ylva.

Ylva Blomén
Acting CFO, Fingerprint Cards

Thank you, Christian, and good morning, everyone. My name is Ylva Blomén, and I will take you through the financial results for the second quarter. Next slide. Our revenue for the second quarter increased sequentially by 35% to SEK 390 million. Year-over-year revenue declined 53%, mainly due to declining average selling price, ASP. The shift in our product mix towards smaller chip sets had a significant impact on revenue for the quarter. Gross profit. Our gross profit was negative by SEK 246 million in the quarter compared to positive SEK 300 million for the same quarter last year and was negatively impacted by a non-cash inventory write-down of SEK 305 million. Gross margin was 63% compared to positive 36% in the same quarter last year. Gross margin excluding inventory write-down was positive 15%.

The weak gross margin year-on-year was due to lower ASP as a result of a product constraint in the product mix and intense competitive pressure in the industry. Operating results. We reported a loss of SEK 578 million for the quarter. This compares a profit of SEK 72 million for the same quarter last year. The result was largely impacted by the decline in revenue and a decrease in gross profit. The operating results are also negatively affected by restructuring costs of SEK 43 million and a write-down of inventory of SEK 305 million. Non-cash write-offs capitalized R&D projects amounted to SEK 147 million of our operating costs. Excluding restructuring costs, write-offs, capitalized R&D projects, and write-down of inventory, the operating loss was SEK 83 million. Next slide. Operating expenses. Excluding other operating income and expenses, our operating expenses for the second quarter totaled SEK 198 million compared to SEK 194 million for the same quarter last year.

The operating expenses include restructuring costs of SEK 43 million related to the second cost reduction program communicated in June. Excluding the restructuring costs, operating expenses declined 21% year-on-year to SEK 154 million. Development costs of SEK 21 million were capitalized during the second quarter. This corresponds to 22% of total development costs. This is to be compared with 38% to the total development cost for the same quarter last year. In relation to revenues, our second quarter operating expenses, excluding the restructuring costs, represented some 40% compared to 24% for the same quarter last year. We expect the ratio to come down as we execute a saving program. During the quarter, the total reduction in workforce was 151 positions. This includes 54 employees and 97 consultants, compared to the same quarter last year. Next slide, please. Moving to the balance sheet.

Our working capital, excluding cash and tax items, decreased and was SEK 182 million at the end of the quarter, compared to SEK 766 million in the second quarter last year. The decrease in working capital is mainly a result of a write-down of inventory and a decrease in revenue compared to the same period last year. Next slide, please. Cash flow. Our cash flow from operating activities was positive SEK 302 million for the second quarter. A decline in working capital and tax return were the main drivers of improved cash flow compared to last quarter. During reporting, SEK 90 million were related to the acquisition of Delta ID. Cash flow from financing activities was negative by SEK 70 million, consisting of repayment of acquisition loan of Delta ID. During report, our cash and cash equivalents increased by SEK 191 million, adding up to a cash balance of SEK 738 million.

Net cash was SEK 440 million compared to SEK 430 million the same period last year. Thank you, everyone. We are now ready to take some questions.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you wish to ask questions via the phone, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Alternatively, you can submit questions via the web. We have our first question through from the phone from François-Xavier Bouvignies. Sorry, Bouvignies. Please go ahead.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

Hi, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. I have a couple. If I may, the first one is on your Q2. If you look at your sequential growth, how should we think going forward? Is it a one-off, do you think? Like an increase of inventories from your customers, or is it something we should expect to continue this improved environment into Q3, maybe Q4? If I remember, in Q1, you said in your release, you talked about the seasonal variation of your business, and you said that Q3 usually the highest or the best quarter in terms of volume for you guys and Q4 for mobile phones. I just wanted to have an update first on that, if that's possible.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Hi, François, thank you. Yes, you're right, we had somewhat of a stabilization of the business after clearly a very tough Q1, and that's when it's 35% increase sequentially, even if it is, of course, far below year-on-year. We don't give a forecast or prognosis, as you know, but I see that, in a way, the market, which deteriorated quite a lot in China during Q1. We see at least that it's not getting worse. There's stabilization there. We have also been very stable on our market shares, our own market shares during this year. I think in a way that gives you that there is a stabilization, at least for ourselves.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

About this seasonality that Q3 is your best quarter usually, is it still the case this year?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

I think seasonally, it's been so that Q3 has been the best quarter of the year, yeah. It's of course a bit different now when we are getting into other businesses like in the embedded, and also there is difference because in the mobile phone industry, the biometric solutions are expanding into different areas. It's not anymore either you do fingerprint sensor capacitive or you don't do biometric. You will see many different solutions, right? I suppose the seasonality in itself will not be so relevant going forward, I would say, for the biometric business. Depends a lot on which part of the biometric you're going to be serving.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Thank you. The other one I had is on your gross margin. If you look at it, you have a 15% adjusted gross margin. You said that you intend to improve the cost, of course, and you launched recently a new product, cost efficient. You said like 80% of your shipments are low-cost products. How should we think about the gross margin, in terms of improvement from here, this cost management that you're trying to do, is it going to come this year or next year? How should we think about that, especially because you have the headwind of the ASPs, right?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yeah, I suppose the ASP, I can say that even the last year, if I give you on the GM, before I give the GM, the ASP, we said last year there was about 30% decline, in 2017, on the ASP. I can say that for 2018, it will be at least the same as last year, and in this industry. I suppose that's the way this industry goes in all the different segments as well. Of course, then comes the point when there is no more innovation being done in the capacitive. Obviously it will not continue this same decline in ASP, I'm sure, in capacitive going into next year. For sure, this year is at least the same as last year.

On the gross margin, you're right, we're at 15% now and also into Q1, which is obviously not enough and not good enough. Typically, if you look at the mobile industry, you can see that in this supply chain, the market leaders are between 30% and 4% gross margins. We don't give any forecast on where we want to go, but obviously we will, and we want to get back, and we must get back to profitability, to positive numbers in profitability. Our internal target, I would dare to say, is to get the gross margin over time back over 30%.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

That all the work you're doing on the cost side at the moment and the launch of new products, cost-efficient, do you think it's going to impact this year or it's going to be more like next year story?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yeah. I think that the cost reduction programs and everything that we do there, which has also to do with the supply chain, will of course help us this year also. The cost reduction programs are all done by the end of the year. Some of it are coming, obviously a lot of it in Q3 and Q4. The impact will be seen and must be seen also already this year. The low-cost product, we're only getting them in end of the year and going into next year, right? The new low-cost products, more efficient ones, the new great things that we have developed will come only at the end of the year. It's a mixed bag with the kind of improving on the way.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

Okay. The cost-saving program, is it going to impact your gross margin as well or just your OPEX?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

It's the OPEX of the cost reduction programs, but we have, of course, many other programs going on also when it comes to the cost of goods sold and so forth that are not only to do with the new product launch.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

Okay. That's clear.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yeah.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

One more for me on the cash. You saw, I mean, a relatively better cash performance this quarter as well, mainly due to the tax refund. How should we think? Because if we think about your cost saving program that will really kicks in in Q3 and full benefit in Q4, I assume we should expect a better cash, even better situation of your cash position going forward. Is that right to assume?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

I think the assumption, I don't want to give a schedule. Of course, we will see impact in Q3. You're right, we had a better cash now, obviously than the very bad Q1. Even without the tax, we were positive when it comes to the operating. We have to improve on our cash. I think that's what we have stated that we'll be running this business on our own cash. It will be improving and that's of course what the actions are. I don't want to give a schedule except that I said that all these cost reduction programs that impact the cash are done by the end of this year.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Really the last one for me, sorry about that.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Sure.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

On non-smartphone, I mean, non-mobile revenue set your target at least 10% of your revenues. We are in Q2, we didn't see that yet. It means that it will probably going to come in Q3, Q4. Can you elaborate a bit more, do you have visibility really on this happening or is it a hope we'll have orders? What is it exactly that will be the main driver?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yeah, I think that we are tracking actually very well, have done that in Q1 and Q2, and I'm sure we will do at least, we say that we will be 10%, around 10% of our revenues will be from non-mobile. We are tracking actually well on that. I'm sure it will happen this year, and it has happened in Q1 and Q2 as well. It is now mainly from embedded and solutions, and also a little bit of which is both fingerprint sensors and iris that are going into the new segments. I was saying a few of them, it is a mix of many things. It's door locks, it is this cryptocurrency smart cards, some access cards, it is USB keys. It's many things that is going on there.

Then there is after this year, we are in a lot with iris in automotive. We are in a lot of other discussions with embedded, expanding the fingerprint sensors there. Of course then when you get into next year and going forward, you will see the smart card business as well, which still of course is very small at the moment. I hope that answers your view, François.

François-Xavier Bouvignies
Analyst, UBS

Yeah. Thank you very much.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yeah. Thanks, François.

Operator

Our next question today is from Victor Westman. Please go ahead.

Victor Westman
Analyst, QuickMobile

Good morning, gentlemen. Thank you for taking my question. This is a follow-up on the gross margin question actually. You mentioned decreasing COGS is important, but can you describe a bit more how you will go on about doing this, especially considering you will have one third of the employees left?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

I think that this has to do a lot with, of course, our procurement. We are the leader in the industry, so obviously we do many actions. One is that we take two thirds out of the cost base of our own of when it comes to the OPEX. That impacts OPEX as we just mentioned. Now, the other one is launching new products, both in terms of cost efficiency with substantial improvements for us, which is coming end of the year. We are now already in the big verifications of this one and going into end of the year, starting next year. I'm sure it will be a pretty fast shift into that new product. Within the new innovation is, of course, launching new products also when you go into next year, both in mobile as well as outside.

In the third cost of goods sold or in the procurement, there is a lot that we need to do, and some of it has to do with just renegotiations of the purchasing prices, which we need to do as well with the ASP decline that is going on in the industry. Others are that when you do new low-cost products, you actually design them also so that they will not only bring benefits to us, but they will bring benefits to the value chain in itself. It drives more cost down, not only for us but also for the others. I think that those are a few maybe actions to give you a picture of what we are doing across the line here.

Victor Westman
Analyst, QuickMobile

Thank you. That's very helpful. One follow-up also, if I may, regarding the writedowns that you did, can you describe in what areas these are? Can you also say if these writedowns and the savings are in the same areas?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Wait a minute. Can you say the second question again, that what area? Say the second question again, sorry.

Victor Westman
Analyst, QuickMobile

The OpEx savings that you're going to do now and the writedowns that you did, are those related to the same areas?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

In a way, yes. I think OpEx is all across, it has been, of course, driven also by portfolio decisions. We have had to, obviously, you cannot continue with the same exact portfolio and the new projects that you have going on. Some of the writedowns are just all clear inventory writedowns, where over time, our inventory has become a different price level, what we purchase the stuff when what we sell with. There's a difference there, and we needed to do that writedown. We have done a couple of times a year before. When it comes to what we took from the R&D, what we took on writedowns, that was actually related to exactly some projects that we have stopped.

When we do those and we stop, it impacts our OpEx, it also impacts some of the projects that were ongoing. Yes, it's relative to each other. The short answer is yes, it relates to each other.

Victor Westman
Analyst, QuickMobile

I understand. Can you also mention what were the biggest part of the R&D writedowns, for example?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

We haven't said that, basically we haven't gone out in what areas it was, we had some new areas, adjacent businesses that we had where we were planning to go in, one of it was a long development project that has been going on for actually quite a while. The other one was a little bit shorter that has been going on of a new expansion. We just realized that we do not have the financial capacity to do those at this stage of time. They're good places, but they're not possible for us to go into right now.

Victor Westman
Analyst, QuickMobile

Okay. I understand. Thank you very much, Christian.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yes. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question today is from Jörgen Wetterberg. Please go ahead.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Hi, Jörgen.

Speaker 7

Hi, good morning. I was wondering with regards to the in-screen fingerprint solution, what's the feeling you get from customers there? Do you get the feedback that the customers will be able to capture market share versus more limited in-screen solution provided by your competitors? What's your view on the market window for in-screen fingerprint solutions? Is it just beginning and you will have enough time with your launch late this year or early next year? Would be great to get some flavor on that. Thank you.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

I suppose as I said, there is a big variation now, which is the difference from earlier where in biometric you had basically capacitive fingerprint sensor , which was, you could say a hot zone as well. You touch one finger on it. Now you will see many different trials. You will see touchless, obviously, bigger Apple with Face, and we have also had iris in some cases. Then you will see many different solutions coming. The lifetime of this is shorter, clearly. There's going to be many trials. When it comes to performance and cost, none of the launches in ultrasonic or optical, there has been a few in optical and just a couple earlier on in ultrasonic for hot zone. It's still hot zone solutions, I would say, for in-screen or in-display.

None of them are even close to the quality and the performance of the capacity or even the cost at all. Of course, new things, this is a fashion industry as well in mobile phone industry, new things take on. I see that the high end will certainly have in display coming from end of this year. It's been very small so far. The volumes have been very small in this industry and will be quite small this year still. I think that from Q4 and onwards, you will start to see in the high-end for sure, you will see in display, and I'm sure that it starts more from the optical. You will see some ultrasonic as well, and still hot zone, which is one finger kind of touching. From a consumer point of view, it's not a new experience for you.

You still touch your finger on one place. I'm sure next year you will start to see again other versions, both on optical and ultrasonic, where you might get a bigger area. It's a little bit bigger area. It's not only one finger, one spot, but maybe there is a bigger spot to put your finger on. Going on into next year, you will see maybe a third of a screen and so forth. You will start seeing, which we are working on. As I said, we're working both on optical solution, which is more of a small area, a hot zone as well, that kind of solutions. The ultrasonic that we are working on is very more disruptive because that's a full screen, where you can touch any finger on anywhere on the screen.

That's of course, technically much more demanding, much more difficult to do in mass production. We haven't given any dates on where we are with that one. That's maybe giving you a better picture. In the high-end you will see many of these solutions from Q4 into next year, and fairly short life cycle for them because you will see then different variations coming at different times.

Speaker 7

Thank you. Very good. Can I ask a follow-up question on the smart card market? You have some interesting trials obviously out there with some of the major partners. What do you see needs to happen to unlock that market, and when can we expect to see volumes for you in that market? Can you give some flavor on that?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yeah. I think that it is very clear that that industry, first of all, which is a learning for us also, Jörgen , is that that industry is clearly slower in the mobile phone industry. A big reason is that there is hundreds of billions of dollars that go, and even more that of course go through the whole 4 billion new credit cards produced, smart payment cards produced every year. There's 12 billion cards out there. It's an industry that doesn't want to make any mistakes so that consumer experience isn't very fluent and very good, as well as that it cannot be hacked. It must be tested from the whole chain that when you come in with something new, that it just works and that the certification works.

I think that testing and verification of the systems across all the different players in the industry, all across the world, and those different pilots that need to happen, that is taking time. We are volume production ready with the fingerprint sensor, but to do that in mass production and to test it in all kind of different variations to get the consumer experience. Finally, I think just how do you get the consumer to register their fingerprint sensor, that logical starting the new card when they get it, all those processes need to be fine-tuned. I think that is the reason why it takes time, and that's a big effort in the industry, and we have seen that from the chip and whatever has been brought into the card industry, that it takes quite a time.

Speaker 7

Is it a 2019 story or is it a 2020 story or?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

From the volumes, we expect to see first volumes in the millions next year, 2019. It will be very small this year still, but 2019. It moves slowly, but it moves steadily when it goes right. That's the great thing about that business, that once it gets going, it gets going. We believe very strong. If I look at the trials, when you ask me that, what's the feeling? I think clearly the whole ecosystem wants to do this, from the card schemes , from the production partners, the whole chain to the banks, and also, which is very important from all the pilots that we are doing, we're getting very good, strong feedback on that this is very wanted, both from the consumer as well as from the banks.

The whole industry is very positive and getting very hard towards it, I think that's the good sign of it. It's not us only pushing it's actually a lot of things happening in the whole chain, and these pilots are very important for us.

Speaker 7

Great. One last follow-up question, both regarding the in-screen fingerprint solution or touchless and the smart cards. If you can comment on the ASP levels in those segments versus the more traditional capacitive fingerprint sensors, if you see the same kind of price pressure there, or should we think differently about that? Thank you.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Yeah. On the prices and the ASP. I think that in mobile industry, when you look at first capacitive fingerprint sensor, you look at touchless, you look at the in-display solutions, whether it's optical or ultrasonic. I think that the prices are very low now in capacitive sensors. With this ASP decline, which is at least the same as last year when we said that it was 30%, that tells you that the price levels are very low for capacitive fingerprint sensors. They are much higher in optical and ultrasonic. They will follow the same curve, I'm absolutely certain of it. There will be the same huge price erosion, ASP decline that will hit that business as well. I think that is very clear that in mobile phone industry, there will be nothing else but the same strong price erosion, very fast, actually.

It looks like it, when I look at the touchless solutions also including face and what's going on, it seems to be so that the ASP declines are just only faster in any of these new things that come. If you look at the embedded, it is not at all the same. It is smaller volumes, but the price levels are different, far higher than with a few multiples when it comes to, because it's a different solution, and you have different testing and systems and modules and that, so it's by far a clearly higher price levels and less ASP decline in the whole embedded area.

When it comes to smart cards, you could say that it will start, I think we don't know, of course, what the ASP decline is, but obviously we expect that there will be a good ASP decline to go from small volumes to tens and hundreds, and even billions of cards produced per year with biometric in it. It will start high, it will start to go down from there. You're probably talking some, the card will be much more expensive, the card in the beginning. If it costs SEK one for a card, it will be anything between SEK five and SEK 10 when you start because of adding the biometry into it. It will, of course, see a fairly rapid decline as well when you get to volumes. That's, of course, the plan also, because otherwise you won't get to volumes.

That maybe gives you a picture of where they are.

Speaker 7

Very good. Then my last question, with regards to receivables, you are at a fairly low level, both for trade receivables and other receivables. Could you comment on how we should think about the positive effects that you've had on changing receivables during the last 2 quarters, going forward?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

I think that we want to keep the whole receivables low. That's the plan, and that's what we have focused on as well. Obviously, in terms of both getting inventory out, getting better on that one, we will have to continue doing that. Now we did the write downs even. We will keep a lower inventory level. We have to sell out faster. Then we will work on the receivables so that we can keep this a much better level where we are now. I think it's important for us to be on that level, and continue on that level. That improvement was a must for us, and it must continue.

Speaker 7

Thank you, Christian.

Operator

Currently, there are no further questions from the phone lines, sir.

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Let's take a question from the web then. There's one on optical sensors. You've talked about optical sensor development. Is this an in-display solution, and what are the advantages of this technology? I think, well, I talked about that. We have said already earlier that we're working both on ultrasonic and optical. We want to do a good consumer experience. Whatever has been in the market is not even close to the capacitive experience right now. As I said, this is a fashion industry, and we want to do something new, and we're getting these big new screens. Obviously the trend on the high end will be to do that, and we need to be a part of that, not follow, but be part of that business as well.

At the moment, the opticals are much more expensive, and they are not as good performing. Of course the technology roads are improving. We'll see more optical, I'm sure, from Q4 going forward in the industry, we will see that. We're working on a small area ourselves as well when it comes to optical. There's a difference in terms of that, it's optical is small area or a little bit bigger area. Ultrasonic for us is the full screen, so you can touch anywhere, which is technically much more advanced. If you look at the consumer then, what is the difference for the consumer? If it's technically now, it's not as good performance and capacitive and much more expensive. Typically those tend to change fast in an industry that's developing and innovating and driving down cost as improving performance.

It's very hard to beat the capacitive cost, and performance that is there and security in that way. Now, optical, every part of the different technologies have their pluses and minuses. If I look at a consumer, what is the impact to a consumer? Very shortly, if you take a capacitive sensor today, it is very fast, it is very secure, it works almost basically all the time, and it actually is also extremely low cost with the volume production that is there. With the capacitive, if you have wet fingers, then you have a little bit of challenges with capacitive technology. We have gone far in improving it. Still if you would have very wet fingers, you will see that because it's electricity that we're dealing with in capacitive technology.

If you take the optical, with optical you use light. At the moment, it's much more expensive, as I said, but if I look at the consumer, it's not working as well in light. When you're in light conditions, it doesn't work as well, or when you have dry fingers, it doesn't work as well. You have to push harder and try to get again. That's the challenges with optical. Of course, everything improves all the time. That's what technology does. You work on it to improve. Finally, if you look at the consumer, then what's the difference in experience, of course, if they would be on the same level optical capacity, it wouldn't be any difference in experience, actually, right? You still put your fingers on one place.

You put it on the screen or you put it behind, but you still put your finger on it. When you get bigger areas, which will start coming next year also, I'm sure you will see optical solutions with bigger area than just one finger. A spot, you might have a few square centimeters area. You can put your fingers a bit around that spot, right? From a consumer point of view, it's around that spot that you can put it. Finally, when you later on maybe get into half screen, full screen, then of course you can put the finger anywhere on the screen. There may be is a difference from a consumer experience point. At the moment, it's not a real difference in experience.

You're in front of the screen or back of the screen, but you still put your finger there. I hope I clarified that a bit, though, on how that works.

Stefan Pettersson
Head of Investor Relations, Fingerprint Cards

We have time for one last question from the web then. Why will your new low-cost sensors be in customer products only at the end of 2018 or beginning of 2019?

Christian Fredrikson
CEO, Fingerprint Cards

Well, that's simple, that when we have the product and it goes into testing and into production for the coming mobile phone models that the OEMs are going to launch. If you go in now into a model, it comes out at the end of the year, right? The whole mobile phone industry, that specific customer will be testing that product, developing. It's of course not only our product that is tested in that chain, but it's everything from cameras, from screens. The whole thing is being tested from all variations of it. Every component, every part of it is being tested in long, massive tests so that it can take the tear and wear and usability that comes from a phone. Then those phones are being launched at the end of the year, depending on the schedule of the OEM.

That's why when we launch the product, when it's actually going to OEM or the mobile phone manufacturer, and when it finally comes out, there is a lag there. That's the simple answer to it. All right. Thank you very much, and thank you for your questions, and thanks for listening. This is then the end of it for this session. We will have the Q3 results will be released on October 26th. With this similar format, we'll be back then. Thank you very much for joining, and we look forward to talking to you soon again. Have a very good day. Bye now, everybody.