HEXPOL AB (publ) (STO:HPOL.B)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Jul 15, 2022

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the HEXPOL second quarter 2022 earnings call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touchtone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Peter Rosén. Please go ahead, sir.

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

Thank you very much, and welcome everybody to the presentation of the results for the second quarter of 2022. Presenting today will be Georg Brunstam, our CEO, and myself, as CFO. The agenda for today is to first give you a business update and then take you through how we continue to execute our business model. Go through the financials and the focus areas for the rest of this year, and then we will finish up with a Q&A session. With that being said, I hand over to Georg, who will take you through the first parts of today's agenda.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Yes. Hi. Georg here. The second quarter was a good quarter for HEXPOL. Actually, a record quarter both in terms of sales and EBIT level. Actually, a record quarter so far in our history. We are executing well on our strong business model in a challenging environment that I think the environment has been challenging for a while, and we have been handling and executing a number of quarters in that environment. We are handling our cost. We have a business model which I will come back to, which do pass on the cost increases both in terms of raw material and other costs.

Strong execution of a business model where we do pass on the cost increases in terms of pricing. We had record sales 41% up. It was strong in all regions and in all product segments, especially in Americas. As I said, the business model we have does enable us to pass on the raw material increases. Record EBIT of SEK 836 million. The environment has continued quite turbulent and difficult, and we do see some low automotive or light vehicle production volumes due to extensive OEM stops because of component shortages. Other customer segments have continued strong with, for example, building construction, general industry, and wire and cable being strong.

We do see continued supply issues globally, and we do see price increases on incoming material and energy prices. We do execute on our M&A agenda and we have in the quarter the Almaak acquisition, which actually supports our sustainability agenda in a strong way because it's a company, a compounder who is basing their products on recycled products. They are consolidated from first of April and we are happy with the performance and it's in line with our plans. Going forward, we do see the global challenges continue and that we have handled them in some quarters now, so we know how to do that.

Of course, we are flexible and ready and capable of handling the expected increase in light vehicle production. Our strong customer focus and the geography is helping us. We can handle our customer demands with short supply chains. In the business areas, we have strong performance in HEXPOL Compounding and HEXPOL Engineered Products. The comments on compounding are basically the same as I mentioned on group level. On engineered products, sales was well above last year as well, and especially in HEXPOL Wheels, we have strong performance. The EBIT was very strong in the quarter.

If you look at our sustainability roadmap, we are focusing and we are on a good track, and we are showing good progress to reach our CO2 reduction targets, and they are a reduction with 75% by 2025. We're also focusing on new compounds based on recycled materials, where we also acquired Almaak, and also bio-based materials. We see high activity in the M&A field, and we have high focus and we are continuing our M&A roadmap. If I turn to page 6, there is our culture house. As you know, we are decentralized, but extremely coordinated, and we take the synergies wherever we can find them.

Basically, we are decentralized, and we are close to our customers, and we have a strong culture, and we are quick on our feet, and the decision-making is swift. If I then turn to page number seven, you can see the business model we have. As I said, we have been executing very well on our business model. There are maybe three points I would like to highlight. We do operate in a fragmented market, and that gives us good M&A opportunities. We have a global footprint, a global presence. In these days, everybody among our customers are looking for shorter supply chains, and we are able to service them with that. On the lower left side, we have very strong and long customer relations.

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

Our products are technically advanced and they are part of vital components in the customer's processes. Our business model is strong, and we are benefiting from executing it in a good way. If we then turn to page 8 and look at the sales development, as Georg mentioned, the challenges that we saw during the first quarter of this year with component shortages, the transportation issues, and raw materials and price increases, they also continued during this quarter. They were partly aggravated by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, making it even more difficult. Especially this quarter, again, the problems with the automotive customers, with several production stops following on the component shortages that they face. However, despite this, we increased our sales with 41% compared to the same quarter last year.

Out of this increase, 18% came from organic growth, and another 10% came from the acquisitions of almaak and Unica. We also saw positive effects of about SEK 500 million, resulting in total reported sales of about SEK 5.7 billion in the quarter. If we look at the regional development, we saw strong sales growth in all regions, although highest in Americas, followed by Europe and Asia. Part of the European growth is driven by the acquisitions that we did both last year and this year. Overall, very strong sales development.

If we can turn to page 10 and look more on the financial overview, we delivered an operating profit of SEK 836 million in the quarter, which is well above what we did the same quarter last year, and it's the highest result that we've ever delivered in a quarter. The margin came in at 14.8%, negatively affected by the acquisitions this year, which currently run at a lower margin than the HEXPOL as a group, and the challenges related to raw material shortages and price increases that we've seen for quite some time. The equity asset ratio remains high at 54%, and return on capital also remains high at 21.6% in the quarter.

If we then turn to page 11 and look at the development of the highlights, and looking at compared to the same quarter last year, we see that the sales increased by 41% to SEK 5.7 billion, while the operating profit increased by 15% compared to last year. At the same time, we saw operating margin coming down to 14.8% following on the acquisitions and the raw material challenges, but it's quite close to what we did in the first quarter of this year. The lower margin is logical when taking into account the mechanics of our price increases. When we pass on the price increases to our customers, we mainly pass on the absolute increases, not the relative increases.

Everything else being equal, this will have a mathematical negative impact on the margin, but not on the profit in absolute terms, as we've demonstrated this quarter. If we then turn to page 12 to look at the drivers of the profit, we see that the increased sales were partly offset by the lower gross margin.

As mentioned before, the lower gross margin is driven partly by the acquisitions and the lower margins, driven by the raw material price increases. OpEx came in higher than last year and also higher than previous quarter, driven by costs related to the acquisition of Almaak in the quarter, as well as the actual running costs of Almaak that was consolidated as per 1st of April, but also higher inflation costs and not least negative FX effects. If we then turn to page 13 and start looking at our two business segments, we see that HEXPOL Compounding delivered sales of SEK 5.3 billion in the quarter, which is an increase of 42% compared to the same quarter last year.

Also here in this segment, the increase is driven by 18% organic growth and acquisitions of Unica, almaak add another 11% growth. We saw sales improvements in most customer segments and in all product areas. Again, especially positive was the strong development in the Americas. Operating profit came in at around SEK 760 million, which is well above last year, where sales were offset by the lower margin driven by acquisitions and the raw material price challenges that we see. If I can then ask you to switch to page 14 on the Engineered Products, we see that the sales for this segment increased with 30% compared to last year with overall strong performance, but especially so for HEXPOL Wheels that performed very well.

Operating profit came in close to SEK 80 million and was well above last year, driven both by higher sales and higher operating margin. Included in the result are some positive one-time FX effects related to Sri Lanka. If I then ask you to turn to page 15, and we'll take a look at working capital. We see an increase year-over-year, both in absolute and relative terms. This increase is primarily driven by an increase in inventory. As mentioned also during last quarter, due to raw material shortages and risk thereof, we've decided to purchase what we can in order to secure all the orders that we receive from our customers. In addition to this, we also have Almaak included in, as per end of June, which adds another SEK 200 million in working capital to the group.

However, underlying, we don't have any changes in the payment terms with suppliers or customers, so it's quite stable. Then if I can ask you to switch to page 16 and looking at the cash flow, we saw a quite solid cash flow in the quarter, negatively impacted by higher inventory levels and temporarily higher investment level. This is to a large extent driven by almaak, where previously leased equipment with almaak were purchased by the company after we started to consolidate the company, but also the ongoing investments in our TPE facility in Sweden, driven by our decision to increase our capacity for medical-grade products. Overall, a solid cash flow, operating cash flow in the quarter.

If we look at page 17 and the net debt, the net debt increases some, as does the net debt to EBITDA ratio, which now stands at 0.89. This is a temporary increase driven by the dividend during the quarter, including the extra dividend and the acquisition of almaak International GmbH. Nevertheless, all in all, we continue to stand with a very strong financial position after the second quarter of this year.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Okay, thanks, Peter. If I then wrap up the quarter, it was actually a good quarter, our best quarter ever so far. We had record sales and a record result, and we are executing very well on our strong business model, which is passing on cost increases in our pricing. We do see the environment still turbulent and difficult, but we are handling it, and we have been handling it for a while, but it's not easy. It's a lot of hard work. We have been integrating our latest acquisition, Almaak, which is an acquisition very much in line with our sustainability agenda in growing in recycled materials. Going forward, we do see that the current challenges are continuing.

They might change character, but they are continuing. As I said, we have been handling it in a good way for a number of quarters now. Finally, we are of course ready to take on the forecasted and expected light vehicle production increase. We are now poised to do that. In general, if you turn to next page, to number 20, our focus for this year is of course handling the health and safety, including the COVID spreading, which is actually not over. We are handling it in a good way. We are also focusing on being on our toes to handle the volatility and demand both up and down. We are managing the challenges, but it's a lot of work.

We are going to continue to focus on the strong execution of our business model, and the M&A strategy is valid, and then we are executing along the lines of it. That was basically a wrap up of the quarter, and I think we are opening up for questions and answers for that. Yes.

Operator

We will now.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Please go ahead.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question will come from Gustav Österberg with Carnegie. Please go ahead.

Gustav Österberg
Analyst, Carnegie

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, Georg and Peter. A couple of questions from my side, please. Just on the M&A costs relating to the almaak acquisition, do we have any of those included in the operating results for Q2?

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

Yes, we do. All the acquisition costs for almaak are included in the OpEx line for the second quarter.

Gustav Österberg
Analyst, Carnegie

Could you comment roughly how large those are, or is that not disclosed?

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

We've disclosed some of the costs in the quarter, and I think there are two cost items related to almaak. One is the acquisition cost for almaak, which is, and then it's the running cost of almaak that we've included in the quarter. If we look at both of them together, we talk roughly 25-30 million SEK in the quarter.

Gustav Österberg
Analyst, Carnegie

All right. Thank you very much. Just to follow up on sort of the automotive production in Europe, we're still seeing very low production levels, and thinking about Unica and Vicom, are they sort of seeing a similar demand level or are there any meaningful differences in from their perspective?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

I mean, you said Vicom, yes?

Gustav Österberg
Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Yeah, no, they are mostly in wire and cable. In Unica, we do see a soft automotive market in Europe. We do see that in our other companies as well. The other segments are strong, and then they do compensate. I mean, it's a good quarter in all regions, including Europe.

Gustav Österberg
Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah, yeah, exactly. My question was more in terms of looking ahead, where you see that sort of the acquired units are not really in an operating environment where they can reach a sort of normalized level of profitability yet.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

No, they are improving and then they are behind plan, but in the right direction.

Gustav Österberg
Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, perfect. Then lastly, final question on M&A. You still obviously, even after the Almaak acquisition, have a lot of room to continue to pursue further opportunities. I mean, is it Europe geographically that it is most interesting, or are you looking at other geographies as well?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

I mean, we are looking at all geographies, but of course, we believe that we have bigger opportunities in Americas and Europe versus Asia right now. No, we are continuing to work on our M&A agenda, which is established. I think, there are more opportunities going forward than there have been.

Gustav Österberg
Analyst, Carnegie

Perfect. Thank you very much. That's all questions for me.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Actually good. Thank you, Gustav.

Operator

The next question will come from Joen Sundmark with SEB. Please go ahead.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Hi, Peter and Georg. Thanks for taking my question. Firstly, I would like to ask about the situation in Sri Lanka. From what I've understood, there have been fuel consumption restrictions from the beginning of this year, but the situation become much worse during the last weeks into a scenario where the, at some places, there's no fuel supplies at all. I would like to ask, how are you securing your fuel supply there, and how is the situation developing for your workers?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

No. Thanks, Joen. It's a very valid question. However, Sri Lanka for us is 1% of group sales, so it's a very minor part of our business. Having said all that, what you are describing is a very difficult situation. We are actually not in a bad situation. We are export-oriented. Basically everything we manufacture there is sold in dollars and euros. That means, of course, that we are in a priority from the government. They do need foreign currency badly. All export companies, including us, are prioritized, which means that we are able to buy fuel and other energy from our dollar and euro accounts.

As a matter of fact, we are renting in buses and filling them up with diesel we can get, so we get our employees in. We are running basically no interruption at all and people are very happy to come to work, but they cannot come themselves, so we have to arrange that. For us, not a good situation, but not a bad situation. Yeah. It's tough in the country, of course.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Yeah. That's very good to hear. Due to the uncertainties, I still want to ask, in a worst case scenario where your two manufacturing plants in Sri Lanka would close in worst case, how would that affect your total production?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

We don't see that. We don't see that at all. I mean, we are extremely important. The country really needs foreign currency and export-oriented industries are really in priority. So a scenario like that, we don't even see and we cannot envy it. As I said, it's 1% of our group sale. 1%.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Yeah. I see it's only 1% of your sales, but it isn't 20% of your workers being there on Sri Lanka?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Absolutely, yeah.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

I mean, it could be a larger part of the production there, isn't it?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

No, no, it's only the labor-intensive production we have there. That's the reason it's so many people. It's all the processes in Engineered Products we cannot optimize. We have in Sri Lanka since many, many years.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Would it be possible to reorganize if needed, for example, to Stellana in China, right?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Oh, absolutely. We are doing exactly the same things there today.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Yeah. Perfect. On another topic, and thank you very much for describing the situation in Sri Lanka. The other topic, based on your price adjustments and raw material prices, how do you expect the cost price balance to behave going forward based on the inflation environment so far?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

It's extremely hard to predict. I mean, we do receive monthly or even shorter pricing from our suppliers and we don't know. I mean, we can only say that so far prices has been going up maybe at a lower pace than before. We are continuing to be very short in our pricing as well to customers, which is part of our business model. I must say my forecasting, my crystal ball, I have no real idea where the prices will go.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

If you compare the market sentiment today for increased prices, compared to previous years, you think the customers are accepting the situation to a larger extent now? Or does this talk about the catch up effects rather make customers more difficult to make an agreement with?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

It has been extremely difficult all the time with these high price increases and also lack of availability. It's been extremely tough for us and for our customers and for our customers' customers. I don't see any change in the sentiment. No.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Are there any specific divisions where customers tend to do more dual sourcing and maybe go to another supplier if the prices increases too much?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

No, I don't see that. No.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Is it less or more the same in all your divisions?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Yes. Yes.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

I mean.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Yes. Yes. Yes. The same.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Many thanks, and I will go back in line.

Operator

The next question will come from Douglas Lindahl with DNB Markets. Please go ahead.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

Hello, Georg and Peter. Thank you for taking my questions.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Hi.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

On organic growth, 18% in the quarter, I think I've asked this question every quarter by the way, but are you able to break down volume versus pricing or at least give some sort of indication? Did you see positive volumes in the quarter to start there?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

You're correct. You normally ask that question, and you will get a very similar answer. We, as you know, we don't publish volume numbers.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

Yeah.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

If we compare to last year, there is a single-digit volume growth.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

Okay.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

In addition to that, we have price increases, and we have positive mix effects. Positive mix effects should be understood as we've been able to sell more of the more higher value products in the quarter. Those are the three drivers of the organic growth.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

On the positive mix effect, do you expect that to persist, or, is it a temporary effect, you would say?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

No, I think that's deliberately done and executed, and hopefully we can continue with that.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

Okay. On pricing, are you able to comment anything on what you see in beyond Q2, starting with Q3 now? Also a theoretical question on that. If we were to see prices come down, given your pricing model, how would that impact absolute EBITDA in your view? Would it be net positive, net neutral, or just to hear your thinking about that would be interesting.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

I think I'm quite confident that we will continue to execute on our strong business model, including the pricing. If price increases are continuing, we will continue to do the same things we have been doing. If the prices are going to be flat or flattish or decreasing, we will do as we have always been doing. We will discuss with our customers, and we will be transparent in also decreasing prices, where we need to.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

I guess energy cost also becomes more of a topic in those discussions or?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Oh, yes. It is already a topic. We are passing on the energy cost increases as well.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

Okay. Maybe I missed it, but on M&A multiples, are you seeing those coming down, given the current market environment, would you say?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Yeah, that's a good one. We are hoping. Maybe we haven't seen it yet, but you know how it is. I mean, if somebody's selling, they always look at the recent transaction, and then they expect the same. I don't see that. I mean, they must turn down, I think.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

Mm-hmm. Okay.

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

It might take some time.

Douglas Lindahl
Analyst, DNB Markets

That's it. Yeah, understood. Understood. Okay, that's it for me. Thank you.

Operator

The next question will come from Karl Bokvist with ABG. Please go ahead.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG

Yes. Hi, good afternoon. Just wanted to follow up on Douglas' question there. Sorry for not hearing that. What was the comment you made on the volume development? Was it slightly positive in this quarter, or mid-single, or what did you say?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

Slightly positive, correct.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG

Thank you. Just on M&A contribution, this quarter, you had, correct me if I'm wrong here, but in part, you have a recent M&A, such as Almaak. For the next quarters, we will of course no longer see the M&A contribution from, for example, Vicom. Just could you help us here? It was SEK 400 million this quarter. Should we expect M&A contribution from next quarter already coming down perhaps towards something like SEK 200 million, just in terms of how the acquisitions were closed?

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

Yeah. In this quarter, we have contribution from acquisition from two companies, Unica, that we consolidated from first of July last year. We have Unica in this quarter, and we also have Almaak in this quarter that we consolidated from first of June. When we move into the third quarter of this year, we will only have Almaak. In the third quarter of last year, we had both Vicom and Unica fully consolidated.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG

Understood. Well, I think the last number you provided there on Almaak was that in SEK, it could have annual revenues of about SEK 1 billion. Was that correct?

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

No, we said that last year they had sales of about EUR 75 million.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG

All right. I thought that was just for something like 77%. That was the full group revenue.

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

For Almaak, correct.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG

Yes. Okay, thank you. On the Engineered Products, the specific positive effects, what was that related to? I mean, in the grand scheme of things, it might not be too large a number, but roughly how large was this one-time effect?

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

You're correct. It's not in the grand scheme of things, it's not a big number. We talk less than EUR 1 million positive FX effects, and this is related to the Sri Lankan currency implosion.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is a follow-up from Joen Sundmark with SEB. Please go ahead.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Yes, thank you very much. We already had a question on M&A, but to follow up on that one, is there any specific that you think you should particularly complete that particular could complete your current product portfolio when you're looking for new targets?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

I mean, we have a specific and pretty extensive roadmap for our acquisitions. I think we have been showing some of the areas before. There's no change of our M&A strategy. We will continue to execute on our new materials, including recycled materials, including white spots in geographies, including globalization of some of our product areas which are not global today. Basically, following the strategy which we have outlined before.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Yes. Great. I think that your recycled materials and biomaterials focuses are very exciting. I know it's just a smart, small part of your business today, but could you describe a little bit of what potential development here you see going ahead? Specifically, to what extent do you think you will have to invest in new technologies or how demand on those products are developing?

Georg Brunstam
President and CEO, HEXPOL

No, I think we are very positive on that. I mean, recycled material is around 10% of our business already since some time. We are accelerating that with new products and also bio-based products, and we are also accelerating it with a quite substantial acquisition, EUR 75 million plus, in the same field. So we are accelerating it in a strong way and we will continue to do that. When it comes to investments in production equipment, that is not needed just because it's more recycled materials. We can handle it in our present facilities.

Joen Sundmark
Analyst, SEB

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Peter Rosén for any closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Peter Rosén
Deputy CEO and CFO, HEXPOL

Well, thank you everyone very much for listening and also posing questions. We wish you a very nice weekend when you get there. Thank you. Thanks a lot.

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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