Knowit AB (publ) (STO:KNOW)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

Apr 29, 2025

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Knowit Interim Report Q1 2025 conference call. I am Shari, the call's call operator. I would like to remind you that all participants will be listened to on remote, and the conference is being recorded. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. You can register for questions at any time by pressing star and one on your telephone. For operator assistance, please press star and zero. The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Mr. Per Wallentin, CEO. Please go ahead, sir.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Thank you. My name is Per, and with me is our CFO as well, Marie Björklund. First of all, I would like to take you through some operational highlights during our first quarter. We continue the trend from Q4 with gradual improved utilization rates. Our largest business area Solutions continue to show solid performance and lead the way for the rest of the group. We are happy that we've been able to stabilize the development in Experience during the quarter. We have a continued focus on sales and client relationships, leading to investing in new, interesting, and new assignments during the quarter that we have assigned. We maintain, of course, our focus on cost awareness and efficiency, and this is very important to secure a continued positive development in these markets. We can take the next slide, please. Take a closer look into our business areas, starting with Solutions.

Our largest business area, accounting for more than 50% of our total revenue, reported net sales of SEK 880 million for the quarter. The margin increased to 9.1%, and we are happy that the utilization rates continue to improve. This is an effect from the organizational work done over the past year. The geographical differences remain. Norway is a more stable market, and we now see some slow but steady market improvements in Sweden as well. Next slide, please. Our digital agency Experience reported net sales of SEK 286 million in the quarter, with an EBITDA margin of 6.2%. We still meet challenges, but we are very encouraged over the stabilization of utilization rates that we have seen in the quarter. This is a step in the right direction. We see an increased client interest in Sweden, but from low levels.

The trend continues from the end of last year, which is promising. The plan for how to continue to improve Experience lay firm. We can take the next slide, please. Business area Connectivity. We reported net sales of around SEK 208 million for the quarter, margin 8.3%. We have had challenging challenges in the quarter, mainly due to decreased demand in the telco sector. This has impacted the business a lot. We have made critical investments in our sales capacity, important to move back to organic growth. We note strong interest from clients in this industry segment, and the pipeline looks promising for the rest of the year. Can take the next slide, please. Our management consultancy Insight reported around SEK 230 million for the quarter. The EBITDA margin was close to 6%.

In Insight, we continue to work to balance good demand in some areas with need of cost control and optimized organizations in others. As you have heard before, cybersecurity, defense, and ERP systems remain areas where we show a really good growth. We see that the demand for traditional management consulting services remains weak. With that, I would like to—next slide, please. With that, I would like to hand over to you, Marie. We can take the next slide, please, again.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Thank you, Per. Back to the group as a whole, we delivered sales of approximately SEK 1.6 billion, a decrease of around 10%. There is a negative calendar effect of the quarter. However, it is small. It is just one hour. Also notice that we are at the end of the quarter, 337 employees less than previous year. The organic decrease in sales was expected. The adjusted EBITDA amounted to SEK 104.5 million for the quarter, a decrease compared to the same quarter last year. This leads to an adjusted EBITDA margin of 6.6% in the quarter. Last year, it was 7.7%. Here, we also have a decrease. We see that the market is still challenging. It is fragmented, and competition is tough. We do see some signs of improvements. Solutions is improving utilization since the second quarter of 2024. Experience utilization has stabilized.

All in all, the utilization is slowly getting better for the whole group. We're working on our hourly rates, and we managed to raise prices towards clients also in the first quarter, but not to the full extent to compensate for salary increases. Despite this, I want to stress that our main challenge and also opportunity for growth and improved margins is our utilization. We have the good potential to continue to increase utilization. We have the right competencies and have done hard-focused work on our cost structure. However, fixed costs are harder to work on. Next slide, please. This slide shows the development over time and also on a rolling 12-month basis. Our adjusted EBITDA for the latest 12 months is at SEK 363 million and revenues at SEK 6.2 billion at an EBITDA margin of 5.8%. Next slide, please. This is an overview of our net debt development.

We have SEK 500 million in used credit facility, and Knowit has a total credit facility granted of SEK 1 billion 50 million. Future considerations amount to SEK 18 million. Other liabilities, mainly leasing debts, amount to SEK 470 million. This totals a net debt of SEK 625 million and divided with our EBITDA of SEK 508 million on a rolling 12-month basis, we are at a leverage of 1.2. We have a stable balance sheet and a good financial position. Also, this means that we are well within our financial target, which is set not to exceed two. Next slide, please. We have a solid platform and a strong position as a digitalization partner in the Nordic region. The share from the public sector is stable compared to last year, a positive sign as the share in this sector has decreased during last year. Competition, however, remains tough.

We see that the retail sector continued to improve, potentially a consequence of general improvements in the economy. We have a strong and solid position in the industry sector, partly thanks to good development in the defense sector. The negative development in the telecom sector primarily relates to one significant client. All in all, clients remain focused on business-critical projects also in an economic downturn. With that, I hand back to you, Per. Next slide, please.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Thank you, Marie. To summarize, we see a continued positive trend and stable delivery in our largest business area Solutions where both utilization and margin have improved during the quarter. We have also been successful in converting the pipeline and signed several new agreements in the quarter. We see improvements in Experience with stable utilization. We maintain our focus on sales and cost control. Of course, we are proud of our very strong position in the Nordic market as a partner connected to digital transition, particularly in the fast-growing segments like defense and cybersecurity. With that, we are now open for some questions. Thank you.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their telephone. You'll hear a tone to confirm that you've entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. The first question comes from the line of Keon Ramon, Nordea. Please go ahead.

Keon Ramon
Analyst, Nordea

Hi, good morning, Per, Marie. A couple of questions for me. First, trying to get some more color on the utilization. Maybe when you look at each month in the quarter, do you see them trending in any direction from January to March across your four segments?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Would you like to take this, Marie?

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Yes. They are continuously improving during the quarter. In Experience, they have stabilized, and that has been the case also over the whole quarter. We can see a slight, slight, slight improvement, but it's very, very little in March. It is going in the right direction.

Keon Ramon
Analyst, Nordea

Okay, great. I recall that in Q4, you said that your order book had grown slightly. Could you comment on how the order book has developed here in Q1 also?

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Yeah, it looks good. We have many deals that we have signed and we're about to sign. However, it is yet to be seen in the figures. It's a little bit too early for that.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

It's going in the right direction in a way, but yeah, slow.

Keon Ramon
Analyst, Nordea

Okay, so it's up from Q4, or?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Yes.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Yes, it is.

Keon Ramon
Analyst, Nordea

Okay, perfect. Just a third and maybe final one from me. The other segment, so its costs increase sequentially from SEK 21 million to SEK 24 million here in Q1. Just looking at last year, I saw that Q1 had lower group common cost. I thought it might be some seasonality pattern, but I'm trying to wrap my head around it. Was there anything unusual in the other segment this quarter that made the cost tick up?

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

I don't think that it's anything unusual. It's a bit sometimes it varies when the costs are coming during the whole year, depending on when we do projects and such.

Keon Ramon
Analyst, Nordea

Got it. I'll get back in line. Thank you for answering my questions.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Daniel Djurberg, Handelsbanken. Please go ahead.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Thank you, Operator. Donald Djurberg here. And good morning, Per, Marie, or perhaps not good morning, but hello anyway.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Hello.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

My question is starting off a little bit again on the utilization trend per segment. You mentioned a bit that you saw Experience stabilizing a little bit, slight improvement in March and so on. Can you comment a bit more where you have the toughest trends right now? Is it Insight that is harder despite that you mentioned Defense and Cybersecurity and so on?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Yeah, that's right. Insight is shattered. There is one part of Insight that's developing really good, as we were talking about, and the other one is not. Of course, we have had a quite tough quarter in Connectivity connected to telco as well.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah. Telco, is it more of the equipment and less of the service providers, I guess, or?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Yes. That's right. That's right.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Is that a structural phenomenon, or is it more of project-related?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

I think it's been quite structural for a couple of years, as you know. We are slightly optimistic for the future, though. There is reorganization in some places, and things are starting to pick up during 2025. It has been a tough fall and a tough Q1 connected to that area.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah. May I ask also on the yield between the salary increases and prices? Obviously, we just heard from Tietoevry, for example, that they expect 4%-5% salary increases for their group in this year. And so far, we have not yet seen the impact, obviously, from Sweden and Norway on pricing or salaries versus pricing. I guess we are up for a negative yield, but is it possible to scope it? Is it 4%, 5% also as a negative yield between those two, or can you work on demographic or whatever?

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Well.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Yeah.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Yeah. I think we will land our expectations are more or less in line with what you talked about, around 4% somewhere there is to be expected. The hourly rates, I can't give you any details on that, but they are lower as of right now, and most likely that will continue.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

There is not a yield decrease, so we do not misunderstand each other, of 45%. It is going to be higher hourly rates, 2025 than 2024, but they are going to increase less than the salaries.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Yeah.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah. That's fair. May I ask?

Speaker 8

Sorry.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

No, sorry. That's the situation.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Perfect. Thanks. May I take the last question on the Easter effect in Q2? I guess it came late in the quarter or in April, I should say, not in the quarter. The Stockholm area had the Easter leave, I guess, on the Easter week and not the week after, as it is some years. A little bit on the impact on the Easter would be great to understand.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Yeah, we have a negative calendar effect in April of 10 hours, and that is just like the bank holidays. Of course, there are also the holidays coming after affecting. We do not know to the full extent how much that is affecting. It is 10 hours less in April, 3 in May, and then all in all, in the quarter, it is minus 8.

Donald Djurberg
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Perfect. Thank you, and good luck here in Q2.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Thank you.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Ramil Koria, Danske Bank. Please go ahead.

Ramil Koria
Analyst, Danske Bank

Thank you, Operator. Hi, guys. A few questions from my side. Just first off on Connectivity. I mean, up until now, despite quite the weak revenue development, you've been able to retain margins, and then into Q1, margins are coming down quite materially. You comment that you've been able to reallocate resources, and now on the call, Per, you alluded to sales pipe, etc. I am just trying to square all of these moving parts. Should we expect Connectivity margins to continue to remain sluggish at, say, current Q1 levels, or are we going to rebound imminently?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

I think that there are two things connected to this. One thing is, of course, the utilization rate. You won't get an exact answer to start with, but one thing is that we see a possibility to reallocate resources to other customers, but also to new projects at the same customer. We see a quite tough situation with the yield connected to some of those. I think that we will see a better situation, a slightly better situation coming forward, but you have to take into consideration both utilization and those new projects, the yield of those new projects. It's going to be better, yes.

Ramil Koria
Analyst, Danske Bank

Okay, that's clear. Thank you. On the topic of utilization improvements, I mean, I can see the line of reasoning, and clearly, it is supportive to margins, but then again, it's also on the back of quite hefty headcount cuts. How should we think of what's your business planning in terms of utilization improvements on the back of an aggregate demand improvement across the entire company or the segments as such?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

To start, what we think is that we have seen now the last three or four quarters is a quite flattish market. It's not started to bounce back up again, and we have adjusted, as you know, quite a lot connected to that. We think that we are quite done with those adjustments. We had some in the beginning of January, but the adjustments connected to headcount is much slower in February and March. What we're trying to do right now is to increase recruitment in the good areas. In some areas connected to Norway, connected to defense, connected to cybersecurity, there are possibilities. We're trying to focus on that as a start.

Ramil Koria
Analyst, Danske Bank

Okay. Okay. On the topic of recruitment, another 2% cut quarter over quarter, and you said January there. How should we think of the progression of the employee base? You did allude to it, Per, but just maybe a little bit additional favor if there's any. To that point, were there any severance costs that were abnormal in Q1?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

They are so low now compared to what they were in Q3 last year that we don't disclose them anymore.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

No, it was a couple of millions, but it's approaching normal levels in our business. On the net recruitment of the quarter, it was minus 88, and it was minus 60 in January. January was high, but we have come back to more normal levels in February and March.

Ramil Koria
Analyst, Danske Bank

Okay. That's very clear. Finally, on a perhaps sort of, shall we say, positive note, the defense segment clearly demand is pretty big, broad-based across all sectors, really, that supplies services or goods to the defense sector. Could you shed some light on your aggregate exposure to defense and maybe sort of opportunities and difficulties that may arise in the reallocation of resources to defense? Is it easy, or does it require sort of additional certifications of resources and whatnot?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

To start with the reallocation, we have the sources to do that. It's not easy, but we have the competence and the sources to reallocate, but it takes time. It's around six months or something like that. That's a possibility, and we are working with that all the time. We are growing quite fast in the defense sector. Still, it's a small part of our business, and as you know, that's why we don't disclose it still. Sooner or later, that will eventually happen depending on the continuous growth of the area.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Yeah. It requires some work from our side, and we are considering disclosing it to exact numbers in the report, but as I think we've said before, it's a little less than around 5%.

Ramil Koria
Analyst, Danske Bank

It's very clear. Thank you so much, both.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star and one. We have the next question from Daniel Thorsson, ABG. Please go ahead.

Daniel Thorsson
Analyst, ABG

Yes. Thank you very much. Another question on net recruitment here. What are your plans, if you can share those, for Q3, the important recruitment quarter, but also the second half of 2025? If you have not really set those plans, what signs are you awaiting before you decide if it is going to be a big positive program or a bit more cautious program?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

As you know, we are a decentralized organization, so the plans are going to look quite different in different countries and different segments and business areas. If you aggregate that to some extent, I think that it's a little bit too early to say that we have a really clear plan of what's going to happen in Q3. We are ramping up for recruitment in quite a few of the growing areas. Often we're already in some of the others where we maybe see flattish utilization. We are waiting a little bit to see that the trend is upwards connected to utilization in Q2 to hit the bottom for Q3. Of course, it sounds like common sense, but that's how we are trying to do it.

Daniel Thorsson
Analyst, ABG

No, that makes sense. We will hear some more comments in Q2, I guess, on those important segments.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

As you know, we don't exactly know what's going to happen in the environment right now. It's quite shattered. Personally, I think that we will see some positive trend connected to public sector, and public sector is very important for us. What we are waiting for is to see the development in, for example, the industry segment and some other segments, see what happens there.

Daniel Thorsson
Analyst, ABG

Yeah. Makes sense. Secondly, a question on Norway here. It sounds like you are a little bit more conservative than recent quarters on your comments. You say that the market is stable. When I look at sales, they are down 1% year over year. In Norway, I guess it is affected both by FX and the Easter effect to a larger extent than in Sweden. Do you mean that the market is stable in terms of as strong as before, or has the market weakened somewhat to just be stable now versus last year, for example?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

No, the market has not weakened since we talked last time. I would rather say that it's a little bit better. Maybe we should express it more as stable than it's much better because it's slightly better.

Daniel Thorsson
Analyst, ABG

Yeah. It is stable in terms of still strong.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Yes.

Daniel Thorsson
Analyst, ABG

Yes. Okay. That's clear. Yeah. That's all for me. Thank you.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Thank you.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Thank you.

Operator

There are no more questions from the phone.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

All right. We have a couple of questions from the webcast. Actually, I think we may have already covered them, but I'll read them up anyway, and then maybe if you want to add something on that. First one is from Sven Svensson, who's wondering if there are any plans on further reductions or if Norway is moving into a growth phase now. Clearly connected also to a question from Marius Heyerdahl, which is number of employees, of course, down a lot since peak in 2022. When do you foresee that you will increase recruiting again?

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Well.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

We did talk about it.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

Yes, that's right. The start for that process is, of course, not continue to decrease, and that is something that we have stopped. Maybe now it's a situation where we do not decrease in the little bit more tougher areas, and we start to recruit in the growing areas. I would like to say that we are in that mode already, but it is going to be a little bit shattered depending on the demand in different areas, and it is going to be quite slow.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

There are no more questions from the webcast.

Per Wallentin
CEO, Knowit

All right. Thank you very much.

Marie Björklund
CFO, Knowit

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. Thank you for choosing Chorus Call, and thank you for participating in the conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.

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