Loomis AB (publ) (STO:LOOMIS)
Sweden flag Sweden · Delayed Price · Currency is SEK
436.40
+8.60 (2.01%)
May 4, 2026, 5:29 PM CET
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Feb 2, 2023

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome, thank you for joining the Q4 2022 Report of Loomis AB. Throughout today's recorded presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. The presentation will be followed by a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, you may press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. Please press the star key followed by zero for operator assistance. I would now like to turn the conference over to Aritz Larrea, President and CEO. Please go ahead.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Thank you very much. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the fourth quarter presentation for Loomis. My name is Aritz Larrea, and I'm the CEO of Loomis, and with him here today, I have Kristian Ackeby, our CFO. I will give a short overview of the fourth quarter and then open up for questions. Let's start the presentation by turning to slide three. Despite the current economic uncertainties, we continue seeing volumes increasing. Even in the face of sharp price rises and rising interest rates, consumers show resilience. International tourism has been showing good indications of revival since travel restrictions were loosened and lifted, which is supporting our FX business as well as domestic business since tourists tend to use cash. Despite that the tourism industry has not yet recovered from pre-pandemic levels, our FX business has surpassed those levels in 2022.

We're sure that with the opening of China, the tourism industry will keep recovering, which will bring us new opportunities for revenue growth. The outsourcing trend has continued this quarter, where our automated solutions business shows strong organic growth. With a combination of our front office solutions together with the back office ones, including SafePoint and Recyclers, we have the best proposition for the merchants to run their business more efficiently while being able to concentrate on their customers. As a result of our solid balance sheet and ability to generate cash flow, we will also concentrate on inorganic expansion in the three business areas: core, adjacent, and Loomis Pay. Let's move on to the next page where we have the highlights for the quarter. This has been the best fourth quarter ever for both revenue and operating profit.

When it comes to revenue, we reached SEK 6.7 billion, which is not only the highest revenue for a fourth quarter, but also the second-highest quarterly revenue ever. The revenue has been mainly supported by strong organic growth in all segments and favorable currency movements, mainly driven by a strong U.S. dollar versus the Swedish krona. Organic growth keeps being strong with close to 12% in the quarter. As I mentioned, open societies and increased travel have supported our growth. It has been our fifth consecutive quarter with higher organic revenue than before the pandemic. When it comes to the operating margin, that was at 11.2%. This margin has been positively impacted by the increased volumes and the efficiency measures initiated during the pandemic, but negatively by challenges in the labor market as well as the inflationary pressure on the cost base.

Our cost conversion was at 80% for the quarter and 87% for the full year. Despite the increase in accounts receivable due to our strong growth, we have been able to keep our days sales outstanding stable. Let's turn to the next page. Here you can see how the revenue and the margin have developed over time. We have had a steady increase in our revenue throughout the year, and revenue of SEK 6.7 billion is close to SEK 1.4 billion higher than Q4 2019. Of this increase, more than SEK 900 million is real growth. In the fourth quarter, we achieved an 11.2% operating margin in line with the prior year. It's a very good margin considering the headwind we have been facing during the year with high inflation, supply chain issues, and challenges on the labor market.

Excluding Loomis Pay, the margin was 11.8%, which brings us close to pre-pandemic levels. Let's have a look at our segments. We turn to the next page and start with Europe and LATAM. The positive trend in Europe and Latin America continued, where we had another strong quarter. Regarding revenue, we were at SEK 3.2 billion with organic growth of 9.7%, with good development in all countries. The operating margin is at 10.3%, supported mainly by the increase in volumes and tourism increasing, but impacted negatively by inflationary pressure on cost base and employee shortages. Turning on to the next page and focusing on the trend of both revenue and margin, we see that the actual growth was at 16% when looking at the top line trend.

From the beginning of 2021, we have seen a positive recovery expanding quarte- by- quarter in our main markets. Regarding the operating margin, as I have already mentioned, it's been impacted by a challenging market and the impact of inflation. We did see these impacts already earlier this year, the sequential decline follow normal seasonality pattern, where we have a much lower margin in fourth quarter compared with the third quarter, and that is also what we see this year. As we have mentioned many times before, there is a time lag between the impact of cost increases and the price increase to our customers that is key to protect our margins. Let's turn to the next page over to the U.S. The strong momentum continues in the U.S. business. Revenue was at $3.6 billion with continued increase in recurring revenue.

Our revenue related to automated solutions and ATM represents 43% of our U.S. revenue. As a point of reference, in the fourth quarter, 2019 revenue related to automated solutions amounted to 15% of our U.S. revenue. In the fourth quarter of 2022, it represents 20% of our revenue. This increase has taken place at the same time as our revenue in the U.S. has recorded an organic growth of 27% in total. Organic growth was at 14.3% in the quarter, with our automated solutions business growing above 20% compared to all-time high numbers in the prior year. As we've mentioned in our previous quarterly presentations, the labor shortages and supply chain issues we had in the U.S. market impacted our margins during the first half of the year.

We were confident that once the U.S. labor market improved, we were going to be able to increase our operating margins. This quarter, our operating margin was at 15%, showing an improvement versus the prior quarter. Although we see improvements in the labor market, we're still facing a high turnover in the U.S., which requires an extraordinary effort to continue recruiting and training new employees, all to continue providing high-quality service, which is key to keep gaining market share. Turning on to the next page and focusing on the trend of both revenue and margin, we see the exceptional U.S. business revenue trend during the last two years. We are benefiting from a positive FX impact, but we reach all-time high revenue figures in local currency once again.

Regarding the operating margin, we improved the prior year's number by 0.8 percentage points, continuing the margin improvement we expected to see during the second half of the year. In 2023, we will keep focusing on recruitment and retention as well as on efficiency to keep improving our margins. Let's turn to the next page and talk about Loomis Pay. We keep seeing transaction volumes keep increasing as we move ahead. For the quarter, the increase was 52%. Over time, there is a strong correlation between increase in transaction volumes and revenues. However, from quarter- to- quarter, this can vary. For the full year, transaction volumes increased with 82% and organic revenue with 86%.

We see that the business has gradually grown during the year, and by the end of the fourth quarter, Loomis Pay has doubled the number of customers compared to the first quarter. The Loomis Pay solution was introduced in Spain at the end of the quarter, and in the following quarters, we will concentrate there while tailoring our offering to the demands of our customers. We see a very positive response from the Spanish retailers and use their suggestions to enhance and adapt our solution to the Spanish market. Turning to the next slide, we see our continued initiatives for our sustainable business. Here we have the ambition to continue being the leading sustainable business partner within the industry, which means constantly working to reduce the environmental impact of our operations, as well as being a responsible employer and contributing to the societies where Loomis operates.

As presented previously, we have structured our sustainability initiatives into three focus areas: environmental, social, and governance. During 2022, we have successfully reduced emissions from transportation and energy compared to the 2019 baseline. This has been possible thanks to switching to lighter vehicles, continued improvement in route optimization, start the journey to utilize hybrids and electric vehicles, as well as installation of solar panels in branches. We have continued to invest in vehicles with higher security features and installed telematics to promote safer driving and minimize injuries. Within operations, trainings in risk management take place on a regular basis to ensure the safety of our employees and our customers. Lastly, Loomis has a zero tolerance for bribery and corruption. Our code of conduct is an essential in what we do. The training in the code of conduct is conducted annually for all employees.

Let's look more at the details of our environmental initiatives on the next slide. We have made a commitment to reduce the carbon emissions from our business and have set out to lead the transformation in the industry. I would like to highlight a couple achievements from the year. First of all, although our sales have surpassed the levels of 2019, we have successfully decreased our carbon emissions from transportation and energy compared to 2019. As you know, 2019 is a baseline for both our target to reduce emissions by 15% in 2024, as well as the target with our sustainability-linked bonds to reduce emissions by 20% in 2025. In 2022, we have approximately tripled the number of electric vehicles and hybrid vehicles in our fleet across the global organization.

We have also increased the capacity of own energy production with solar panels installed in multiple Spanish branches, with a plan to expand this further during 2023. Similar initiatives are ongoing in other branches and countries. With the order of 150 new armored electric vehicles for the U.S. market recently announced to be delivered to 2023, we have taken a significant step. I look forward to presenting even more examples and data points of our sustainability initiatives in the annual and sustainability report which we published in the beginning of April. Let's turn to the income statement slide, where we have highlighted the net financial items and monetary losses due to hyperinflation adjustments related to Turkey and Argentina. It's important to highlight here as well that both in a quarter and full year, we have achieved the highest earnings per share ever.

Moving on to the next slide, I just wanted to summarize our fourth quarter performance. To summarize, we had a strong quarter across segments. We had a great organic growth both in Europe, LATAM, and in the U.S., where we had the strongest organic growth year. The good trend on margin improvement continues in the U.S., while Europe and LATAM have had a challenging quarter due to labor market challenges and the pressure of inflation costs. We expect this to revert when the price increases take effect this year. Transaction volumes keep increasing in Loomis Pay, which we have just launched in Spain, where we have high expectations due to the merchants' feedback. Moving on to the last slide, I would like to summarize the record year we had in 2022. Our revenue of more than SEK 25 billion is the highest ever.

The second highest year in terms of revenues was 2019, where we had a record revenue of approximately SEK 21 billion. Of this increase, over SEK 3 billion is related to real growth, and the rest is currency effects. The organic growth of 14.4% in the full year is also the highest organic growth in a single year. The operating margin continued to improve to 10.8% with an operating profit of SEK 2.7 billion, which is also the highest operating profit ever. Cash conversion continued to remain strong, and the 87% for the full year is in line with the 80%-90% that we expect to achieve over long term. There have been many milestones achieved during 2022.

We started the year by presenting the new strategic period and targets at our capital markets day in spring, targets that are still valid and we are confident that we will reach. From a capital allocation point of view, we have distributed over SEK 1.2 billion to shareholders in 2022 through the annual dividend and share repurchases. The board of directors has resolved to continue repurchase of shares during Q1 and has proposed a dividend of SEK 12 per share for the financial year 2022. With the strong cash conversion, we continue to keep a balanced net debt EBITDA, during the year, we have refinanced close to SEK 3 billion of our credit facilities, including the refinancing announced last week. Before I end this presentation, I would like to thank our customers, employees, suppliers, shareholders, and other partners for our collaboration during the year.

I look forward to what we will achieve together in 2023. With this, let's turn to Q&A. Operator, we are now open to questions, please.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star followed by one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star followed by two. If you are using speaker equipment today, please lift the handset before making your selections. Anyone who has a question may press star followed by one at this time. One moment for the first question, please. Our first question is from Kate Carpenter of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Kate Carpenter
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. Two on Loomis Pay. Now that you've launched in Spain, could you just give a bit more color around how we should think about the revenue growth prospects for 2023 and also operating costs, just given the dilutive impact that it does have to group margins? Also it looks like there was a change in leadership within Loomis Pay. Just wondering if you could give a bit more color around that and whether that has any impact on the strategy going forward. Thanks.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I mean, starting summarizing, I think we see an increase in transaction volumes, which is an important driver for the revenue longer term. We doubled the customers in Q4 versus Q1. We continue focusing on providing a stable product and growing transaction volumes in the existing countries. We launched in Spain towards the end of the fourth quarter with a sales team in place and marketing has begun there. We're still in the launch phase in Spain. As always, when you enter a new market, it takes time to adapt. Where are certain things that you can scale on from the previous markets, other adaptations do take time, we're in the middle of that process.

I think that since cash usage is strong in Spain, we believe we can leverage that position that we have in order to gain the digital side of the business as well. As you comment, we did have a leadership change in Loomis Pay. We have Erik Zingmark that has joined now as the CEO for the Loomis Pay. I think with the future plans that we have, I think that Erik, with his expertise and knowledge in the financial background, sorry, he will be key in order to expand the product throughout Europe.

Kate Carpenter
Analyst, Bank of America

Got it. Thanks. Maybe two other questions, if I may. On pricing, how should we think about the timing of price increases in 2023? If you could also give some color around how price increases may differ between the services that you offer, for example, between traditional cash-in-transit and CMS versus SafePoint and the EPM services.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I mean, in our business, the price increases usually take place in the first part of the year. We've always talked about the time lag in time versus cost increase. Over time, our intention is that our price increase should compensate for the cost increase. For example, I mean, when we the beginning of 2022, when we started negotiating the price increases for that year, the expected inflation was much lower than what we are now facing. We are aiming to raise the prices during the beginning of this year to cover the cost increases we've seen since mid-last year. It is true that when we talk about the different type of services that we offer, the price increase differs, but it's more or less stable.

There's not much of a difference between the core, the adjacent, and the digital side. Hopefully during Q1 and Q2, we're capable of transferring that cost increase to our customers.

Kate Carpenter
Analyst, Bank of America

Perfect. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Daniel Thorsson of ABG. Please go ahead.

Daniel Thorsson
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yes, thank you very much. Two questions. First one, which markets in Europe have you seen the most effects of the weaker margin from? Also what initiatives outside the price increases should mitigate the cost inflation in Europe in 2023, and especially the markets where you see the lowest margin? Secondly, you mentioned inorganic initiatives ahead, given your cash distribution to shareholders currently, what should we really expect in terms of M&A, both size-wise, but also what type of businesses? Thanks.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Okay. I mean, we don't give any details per country as you already know. But we do have countries where cash usage has impacted more. We've always talked about the U.K. and we'll have a special focus there. When it comes to the inorganic growth, I think we got a strong balance sheet and there's room for the dividend policy that we have to continue buying back shares and to do some M&A as well. When it comes to the M&A, it differs by segment, but we think that inorganic growth only will be crucial in this strategy period. We're gonna focus in the three business areas that we have, the core, the adjacent, and the digital, in the three of them.

In core, we will be focused on those countries where we're already present. In the adjacent, we're looking more into technology-driven acquisitions, which would be complementary to our product offering. When it comes to digital, it could be either expanding to a different country through a sales company to gain speed and time, or it could be just improvements in our product offering. Hope that summarizes your question.

Daniel Thorsson
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yeah, absolutely. Just to follow up there on the core, is that CIT CMS businesses, how does the market landscape look today after two and a half, three years post-pandemic?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Yeah.

Daniel Thorsson
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Are there some well-functioning targets out there at all, or are they suffering a lot still?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

You got many successful companies out there. It's CIT and CMS as you were bringing up. Yeah. Sorry, I would add sometimes it's between the core and the adjacent, but you also have the international business as well there.

Daniel Thorsson
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yeah. Thank you very much.

Operator

Next question is from KJ Bonnevier of DNB Markets. Please go ahead.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

You're right, Aritz , when you said that you believe that you will be fully price adjusted for the inflationary pressure during the first half of this year. How much have you been able to do already by January?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I think it's too early to talk about that. I mean, all the price increase normally happens during Q1 and in the beginning of Q2, so it's a bit early to talk about that now.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

When you look at the labor market shortage, the turnover of employees, I remember you talked in the Q3 call that you were forced to walk away from volume or new client volumes particularly in the U.S. market. Have you come into a situation now where you are able to take on new volume or still trying to manage, say, existing clients only?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

We did say that we had a high turnover and that continues in the U.S., but we don't stop gaining market share in the U.S. If the labor market would get better and we are capable of retaining people, the market gain share would be even higher. We are gaining market share already. Yes, it could improve if we are capable of improving retention.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

It's easy to some extent for you, or?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

It's never easy, but I think we're in the right spot now.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

Excellent. I see you mentioned quite a few things on SafePoint in the statement, talking about that you're still taking market share in the segment and that you reached your target from a couple of years back with the installed base and so on. Does that imply that you are now surpassing 50,000 units in installed base in the U.S.? Could you give some granularity on how you see your market share developing?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I think, you know, I'm very hesitant to giving any type of numbers when it comes to the SafePoint, especially because for me, it's a broader service, including front office machines, Recyclers, and it's not comparable when you talk about how big a SafePoint is versus a Recycler or a front office machine. Nevertheless, only this time, I will tell you that we have surpassed the 50,000 units. That's all I can say.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

Thank you very much.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Coming back to the growth expectations, we keep on, the idea is to keep on gaining market share in 2023. I think we have the right product. I think customers love it, and I think we're in the right spot to continue growing in that sense.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

When you look at your offering in Recyclers and the front office machines, do you feel that you still have hole in your product range compared to what the clients are asking for? Do you have the full offering?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I think.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

Clients are looking for?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I think we already have the full offering. It's just a matter of convincing the customers to invest in our solutions. I think we do have the full offering.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

Excellent. One last from me. Looking at FX distribution in Europe, obviously a very, very strong recovery with the numbers you mentioned. I remember this business was maybe 30%, 40% bigger a couple of years back than it turned out to be in 2022. Is that a good number to believe that it could recover up to those old levels, or has the market changed in any meaning.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

There must be a.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

That's unrealistic?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

There must be a misunderstanding here because in 2022, we surpassed the 2019 levels.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

Okay, because I thought the C-I-T device operation that you bought was maybe 30, 40 percent bigger than the current revenue base of the FX distribution.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

No. No, no, that's not the case. I mean,

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

Okay, my numbers are wrong. Good. Thank you very much.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Sorry for that, the 2022 has surpassed the levels that we had in 2019, and we still think there's an opportunity to grow, as I've said.

Karl-Johan Bonnevier
Research Analyst, DNB Markets

Lovely. Thank you very much. Good luck out there.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Thank you. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question is from Viktor Lindeberg of Carnegie. Please go ahead.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Morning. Thank you. A couple of questions from my side, high and maybe low, when it comes to details. Starting off on Turkey and Argentina, could you tell us a bit on how much this affected growth in Europe in this quarter?

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

When you look into to Turkey and Argentina, they represent less than 3% of the revenue. That gives you an indication. I think we have said it before, if they grow with 50%, that gives you 1.5%, depending on what the inflation rates are then, of course.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

All right. That's clear. Just double-checking again. Maybe on those countries, anything. I mean, Turkey obviously politically now infected a bit with Sweden, but just understanding, is there any ongoing initiatives in Turkey that may benefit margins or growth as you've seen in the past couple of months' quarters, or anything we should be mindful going forward on this?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

No, there's nothing specific. I think Turkey keeps showing huge organic growth, and that will continue that way.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

All right. That's clear. Looking at Switzerland, one of those markets you crystallize in the report, it seems according to my Excel sheet here that it's down by more than 5% organically compared to Q4 last year. How should we read Switzerland in light of this?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

In Switzerland, you know that we have the integration with Swiss Post, and that is going according to plan. We are gaining positive effects from the synergies of running this as one combined company. We still don't have the full synergy effects, but we do expect to have them the beginning of 2023. I think during 2023, we should see the full impact of that synergy.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Okay. basically.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

When you.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Focus on costs rather than growth. Is that how we should read the contraction in organic revenue?

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

I think, also to comment on the revenue side, in Switzerland, we have a very big portion of international.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Yeah.

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

That can be more volatile than the domestic business. Most other countries have a more sort of, dominant position on the domestic business. That is where you usually get the volatility.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Okay. International was up the earlier in Q4, but maybe specifically for Switzerland.

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

Yes. In total.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

In total, yes. In total it was.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Okay. Maybe looking at your comment on the trucks and the fleet and the investments you now are making here. Just to understand, you provide the numbers here on the e-electric and hybrid vehicles, and that's very helpful. Just to see share of total fleet, if you could sort of give us any details here, so we can put it in perspective. Maybe starting off, I have a couple of follow-ups on the fleet as well.

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

The share of total is to be viewed as we have more than 6,000 operational vehicles in total. It's also important the vehicles we are showing in this presentation are the operational vehicles. We do not include that we have hybrids and electrics for, you could say, company cars and smaller cars because that's sort of the easy one. Of course, that would make the number look much better. We focus on the heavy duty equipment sort of thing. When you view this in the relation to more than 6,000, it is still small.

I think it's a great step here also to show that we now have this in place, and we have placed this order of 150 vehicles only for the U.S. market.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Understood. Maybe more of a philosophical question on the sustainability side, when you migrate to more EV. I mean, obviously the cost to operate is maybe different, but also the environmental footprint. Taking the broader context of the manufacturing process and the post life cycle in terms of operations, when you demo the EVs, it may have a bigger environmental impact very much depending on, I think, the way you recycle, not to miss the batteries. How has that been sort of impacting your decisions in going with a specific supplier? Or is that beyond your scope? Or how do you reason in those terms?

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

We look into all these different angles as well as you comment around there. For example, we follow, we target to follow as much as we can in detail also the Scope 3 emissions. I mean, our target is in Scope 1 and Scope 2 because that's the one that we can impact directly. We also work with Scope 3, where we impact indirectly covering the areas that you are commenting on. That is of course an important part also in our decisions. It's also important here to see how we utilize these vehicles. Both it's good because we reduce the CO2 emission in our operations, this is also viewed from a financial perspective, that it's also financially good to reduce the cost for maintenance, et cetera.

In some cities, it's becoming more and more difficult to work with vehicles that are based on fossil fuel. Actually, it can come with penalties. That might be a negative side of not changing.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Yeah. I think the best example here was, we can bring up Manhattan in New York, where we get a lot of penalties for idling, or we used to get a lot of penalties for idling, we're not getting those today. I think that proves that it's the right thing to do. On top of it, this forms part, sorry, of a normal substitution replacement of the fleet that we do actually every year. We do see that the cost in this case is exactly the same as it was in the past. I think it's a win-win in our, in all situations.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Understood. Final question from my side before I go back in the line. I think you alluded to a previous question on that, on the price adjustments, and that you are now in those months when it's either a discussion or if it's existing contract where you need to adjust prices. Judging where you are now in price negotiations or discussions, would you then imagine that it's gonna be a year when clients, to a larger degree, churn out or when they sort of change the service that you offer to them, so maybe bundling or tweaking services in a different way? Just to understand how this may impact both, I guess, top and bottom line here.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I mean, this is a normal activity that we have every year. It is true that inflation is high now. It is true that we're having a lot of wage, cost pressure as well. It's a normal negotiation we have every year. I don't see any tweaking or any changes in the way that we're negotiating with them or the customer changing the way we service them.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Okay. There is a full acceptance for these price adjustments, you would say?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Yep.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Okay, thanks. I'll get back in line. Thanks.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Peter Testa of One Investments. Please go ahead.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Hi. Thanks for taking the question. Just a couple questions on this price cost point in Europe and then also U.S. When you look at the U.S. experience, it took a bit over a year to get the pricing in front of the inflation rate to start to improve margin. I was wondering if you could just explain in Europe, what is a bit different in that regard just based on your comments. If, for example, are there any other cost factors which are coming down? Do you just have a different level of price ambition earlier in this phasing? If you could explain that, please.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I think, when it comes to Europe, the price increase expectation that we have is obviously higher than what it was in prior year, and that's due to all the cost pressure and cost increases that we've had during the last mid-year. That has changed versus prior years. Going back to the U.S., I think, it was more about, I think it was 2021, where we did a very aggressive wage increase, introducing overtime in those places where we didn't have it, reducing five-day work weeks to four-day work weeks and a lot of things, wage increases as well. And that's what impacted the margins temporarily. Now we have recovered from that.

I mean, the idea back again is to try and recover all the cost increase that we've had via price increase with our customers in Europe. That would be the summary.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Are there other factors you think If you say, you know, essentially annualize some of the increases last year in H2, the cost rate of cost increase should slow through the year as well? Are there other factors in Europe which are bringing that down, you know, transportation costs, et cetera?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I think in certain countries, the cost is gonna come down a little bit, so that will make things easier. We still have to recover from the increases that we had in, from the mid last year. This year, I think costs are gonna ease a little bit. Yeah.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Right. Okay. On, on the U.S., can you give a sense as to what your, how your pricing ambition in 2023 compares to what you achieved in 2022, just to understand where, you know, the degree to which you're still working on price to recover?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

I think it's gonna be a similar program to what we had in 2022. There's no major change. I'm sure that the fuel will go a little bit down, hopefully, and but that would not impact us because we have the fuel fee matrix with the customers, but it would benefit our customers. On the other side, we will still have to continue putting some pressure on the wage increase because it's the labor market conditions are very challenging there. I don't see anything different to last year.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Okay. I was wondering on the U.S., if you could just give us some sort of sense as to where you stand now on overtime, and maybe staff turnover compared to prior to when the labor market tightened, the degree to which you may still be able to recover over time, or you see the turnover situation moderating?

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

Overtime is still high. Obviously it's lower than what it was. It has improved, but it's still high and it's all based on if we can try to increase the retaining of our employees. Again, it's not labor shortages that has already been solved in the U.S., but it's more about retaining the actual employees that we have. We spend a lot of money in training them, and then once they leave, that's a big loss. I think that's how it is in the U.S.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Okay. Is turnover still very elevated, somewhat elevated versus before?

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

It's still high, yeah.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Yeah. Okay, great. Thanks for the help. Thank you.

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, just a final reminder, if you would like to ask a question, you're welcome to press star and then one. We will pause a moment to see if we have any further questions. We have a follow-up question from Viktor Lindeberg of Carnegie. Please go ahead.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Thank you. Coming back to some details on the P&L, maybe the adjustments that you've made in the interest net and also the adjustment in the PPA amortization. If you could give us any numbers, but also what it relates to would be helpful. Thanks.

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

I will start with the amortization. It's a retroactive adjustment that is obviously positive for the income statement, that is due to the fact that we have had a small error in our amortization over a period of time. When we made a detailed review, we corrected it to see a positive impact here representing more or less the difference you have in the amortization compared to prior quarter. When you look at it for the coming quarters, you should view Q3 as a better indication than Q4. It's a typical one-time retroactive non-cash impact.

When you look into the finance net, we have some one-time impact here, and it's partly related to not effective hedges that gives us an FX impact that goes in the income statement. That represents approximately 40 million SEK, the one-time impact we have here. When you take that out, you will go from, say, approximately SEK 100 million compared to SEK 30 million last year, you go from SEK 100 to SEK 60 to be viewed in relation to the SEK 30. Now I have excluded the monetary loss to simplify that. I hope that helps.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Very much so. Thanks for clarifying. Also, maybe related to financial net, I noted that the pension liability adjustment, it was actually coming from being an asset to a big liability, about, what, slightly north of a SEK 500 million swing in the net debt. Is there changes related to discount rates or what is driving this one?

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

You have the yearly adjustments from the actuarial report impacting this. Especially from an IFRS perspective. When you look into our large pension schemes that you can read more about in the annual report when we have that, but also for prior years, that they are relatively stable and the assets are in sort of low volatility, more from a bond or a debt structure, governmental paper. Of course they can move, but in the longer term, it should be stable in relation to the debt. From an IFRS perspective, you can see movements from time to time. That's what you see in this quarter as well.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

Okay. Then on the, it's maybe a hedging policy, but I noted that a big portion of your funding is actually related to the Swedish krona, and not so much in local currencies in Europe or in the U.S. Just to understand, is this active decision to have a bit of an open position here between the assets and the liabilities, or just understand why you do not fund yourself more in U.S. dollars, for instance?

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

What we do is that we have most of the funding, as you can see when you look into our debt as such in Swedish krona. Of course, we also use financial instrument to swap it to other currencies and so on. What we measure and follow is how the capital employed in each currency is related to the sort of net debt we have in that currency, including the external loans or bonds and including the leasing. So that's how we measure it.

From time to time, we can have, as you state, open positions, and that is also why you can see in the Q4 report now that we have taken quite a significant dividend to the parent company from our U.S. business, and that is part of taking advantage of the strong U.S. dollar compared with the Swedish krona.

Viktor Lindeberg
Head of Small Cap Research, Carnegie

That's clear. That's all from my side. Thank you so much.

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

Thank you.

Operator

We have a follow-up question from Peter Testa of One Investments. Please go ahead.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Hi. Thank you again. I just wanted to understand a bit on the recovery potential in Europe and just try to help understand. You gave a good understanding of the indexation of overall sales versus 2019 organically. I was wondering if because you're also expanding your offer, expanding your customers during that period of time, if you had a sense as to whether the like for like customer base of recovery potential is somewhat different than that overall number or whether those two are similar? I.e., would you have a greater recovery potential because you've also gained customers during this period?

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Sorry, can you repeat the question? We didn't hear you well. Sorry.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Okay. Just when looking at Europe and the recovery potential versus pre-COVID.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Yeah.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Trying to understand the extent to which your growth of your business base through this period as well, you know, leaves an extra potential beyond just the pure math of 2019 sales versus 2022 sales.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Are we?

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

With the offering, you know, you're broadening services, customers, markets, et cetera.

Kristian Ackeby
CFO, Loomis

We, to see if I understood the question right. We expect Europe to continue to grow. We have no intention to not expect it to grow. As we stated in the capital markets day, we have this 5%-8% CAGR target, and that's for the group, and that's including also that Europe is going to grow.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Basically, if I understood the question right, basically Europe has recovered from the pre-pandemic levels. The thing there is it's the same type of services. The only ones that have increased versus pre-pandemic have been the related to the FX business. In that case, we have been higher than what it was before. The rest has been just a pure recovery of what we had, 2019.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Yeah. I was just wondering in activity level, 'cause there's been inflation during that period. There's also been customers, one, whether, you know, you still in fact had some embedded recovery left in the market beyond what your ambition to grow the business.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

We still have markets where we have that recovery pending, like the U.K. It keeps growing. We don't know how much of that will come back. In the rest of them, I think the inflation now is high, but it was lower one year ago, and we didn't have that impact in the price increases. I think most of it, you can consider it was volumes coming back.

Peter Testa
Director, One Investments

Right. Okay. No, thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time. I hand back to Aritz Larrea for closing comments.

Aritz Larrea
President and CEO, Loomis

Okay. Thank you very much for listening in. All great questions. Have a good day. Bye-bye.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.

Powered by