NCAB Group AB (publ) (STO:NCAB)
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May 5, 2026, 5:29 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

Apr 25, 2025

Operator

Presentation for 2025. During the Q&A session, participants are able to ask questions by dialing star five on their telephone keypad. Now, I will hand the conference over to the CEO, Peter Kruk, CFO, Timothy Benjamin, and Head of Investor Relations, Gunilla Öhman. Please go ahead.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Good morning and welcome to our Q1 report. My name is Peter Kruk, and I'll be starting the presentation today. Again, for the new listeners, NCAB is the company focused solely on printed circuit boards, and these are unique, bespoke products that are the heart and foundation in any electronic or intelligent product that we supply. These are the green boards that you see to the left on this slide. We are a company present in 19 countries, serving some 50 markets with a little bit more than 600 employees, and serving our customers with the help of some 33 main partner factories. We have no in-house manufacturing, but instead are working with partners, and out of our 600 employees, we have some 100 plus who are working specifically with developing a factory base and working on continuous improvements with our partners.

If we then move to Q1, it is a quarter where I think they have some positive news. On the positive side, we can see an improved order intake. We are up some almost around 10% versus where we were in Q4 and Q3, so clearly improving. It is good. What we can see is it is a strong order development in North America and East, and also better than what was actually already a strong Q1 last year. Europe is improving versus Q4, even if it is slightly behind where they were in Q1 last year. Revenue, as a consequence from our Q3 and Q4 order intake, is lagging behind, but it is recovering from Q4, as we saw some of those seasonality effects that made Q4 extra weak come back in Q1 and support us. Gross margins are down a little bit versus Q4. EBITDA is recovering with the volume.

We see quite a bit of FX impact in the quarter. These are predominantly revaluation effects, so nothing that is something that's going to continue going forward. There is also some mix and also some dilution effect from the acquired companies that are part of our numbers. EBITDA has recovered now with our revenue to a better level than what we saw at the end of last year. We are in a situation right now where we're handling tariffs for primarily our U.S. customers. I think they create, of course, some challenges, but they also are opportunities for NCAB to forward its positions. Regarding tariff costs, these are costs which are transferred to our U.S. customers. We have been living with tariffs since the previous Trump administration, but now we are, of course, adapting to the new levels of tariffs that are applied.

It also gives an opportunity for our U.S. customers to find alternative suppliers. NCAB has invested over the last couple of years in building a factory base outside China, which is the main manufacturing nation, and that gives opportunities right now to help customers find new sources for supply to potentially offset some of the tariffs. Also very positive is that we have been able to continue with our M&A activities, and we, two days ago, announced the acquisition of B&B Leiterplattens ervice in Germany. B&B Leiterplattens ervice is a company in what is in Saxony, so the former eastern part of Germany, and they add a good coverage for us in this part of the German nation. They are focused very much on industrial and energy customers, working with energy metering products and so forth.

Very good technical level, so we get a lot of good employees to join the company. They used to run a factory up until 2022, so a lot of skills inside the company, which is a good asset for us as we take the company forward. Revenue last year was around SEK 150 million, and they had an EBITDA, a healthy EBITDA level above SEK 20 million. We will gain now some 25 employees based in Germany mainly and some in China who will be joining our business. We expect to close this transaction here in the early part of May. If we then look at Q1 in the numbers perspective, we can see that our order intake is up around 5% versus last year.

Of course, here we are supported by the, also partly by our acquisitions, but in order intake in U.S. dollars, we're up 2%, and we also have a continued strong book- to- bill of 1.06. Net sales is up slightly versus last year, but here, of course, organic growth is down a little bit since we have the acquisitions that are supporting the year-on-year comparisons. EBITDA compared to last year decreased. We are now at SEK 100 million, but it's an improvement clearly from where we were at the latter part of last year. We're now at a margin of 10.4%. This, again, is a little bit lower from the FX effects we have seen and some mix changes in the first quarter, which we expect to correct itself going forward. Operating cash flow at SEK 53 million, working capital up slightly.

This is partly tied to some of our NCAB One or ERP implementation, where we are sort of cleaning up some accounts payable as we go live in new entities, and that temporarily has lifted the number somewhat. Even though we have a strong end of Q1 in terms of order intake and we do not really see any negative news in our numbers, we have, given the big uncertainty that we see in the overall market with tariffs and potential impact this could have on the general economy, we have taken the decision to, in order to sort of have financial flexibility, to also continue with an offensive M&A agenda, we have decided not to pay out a dividend in light of the current market uncertainty. With that, I am giving the word to you, Tim.

Tim Benjamin
CFO, NCAB Group AB

Thanks, Peter. As you hear from Peter, about 1% up on the sales side versus Q1 2024 in U.S. dollars, down about 2%. We had EBITDA come in around 30% lower at SEK 100 million in the quarter, but sequentially up. We also landed the quarter at 10.4%, as you heard from Peter, with some FX effects at 10.4%. When we look at how the top line has now stabilized a bit and you start to see order intake posting some better numbers, we also see gross profits stabilizing a bit around the 35%-36% level in the last 12 months. The other thing that we see on the order intake side is around a 5% growth in total and in comparable units in US dollars, down by about 5%. We do see some positive developments, some positive lights on the Nordic side, especially versus recent quarters.

East has also been quite positive within the quarter, but we still see some weak demand on the European side. Net sales up by about 1% to around SEK 958 million and in comparable units down by about 8%. We see a positive book to bill of 1.06 and continued good trend in new part numbers and new customers won. Overall, that puts the EBITDA to SEK 100 million. We see that when we compare versus the prior year caused by lower revenue and gross margins. We also have gross margins at around 34.7% compared with 38.1% prior year. Part of that is pricing, but part of it is also higher freight costs as well. That puts our earnings per share at SEK 0.28 versus SEK 0.48 prior year.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Thank you, Tim. Moving over to a little bit closer look at the segments. The Nordic segment had a little bit of a weaker order intake in the quarter, also slightly down both versus Q4 and also down versus last year. We can see some mixture of activities here. I think we can see positive trends in countries like Denmark and Finland, for instance, where we see growth both sequentially and also versus last year. Norway, as a market, was quite a bit weaker. We had, in the beginning of last year, still quite strong EV business. I mean, we have talked about the EV business being an important part of the Nordic business, and that has been quite slow during 2024.

I mean, we're happy to see that our customers in this field are ramping up and are delivering our product during this year, but they still have had some work to get through their inventory. We're expecting this to start recovering here later in the year for us as well. Net sales was up a little bit versus last year, so up 4%. What we've seen on the margin side, we have quite significant FX. I think for the group, it's around, I think, 1% year on year on the gross margin impact. For the Nordic segment, it's significantly more. We'll see that some other segments, maybe it's been slightly positive. This is purely sort of related to revaluation effects of the existing AR and AP that we have. Nothing that has a long-term impact.

I think with the big swings we've had in the currencies during Q1, this has created extreme effects in the specific quarter. That also then has tracked down to the EBITDA level. EBITDA is down to SEK 24 million versus SEK 41 million last year, and the margin is down to around 11% versus 19% of last year. Looking at Europe, we are positive to see that the order intake is continuing up. We are now up from, I mean, last quarter, we were around SEK 430 million, so a big step up on the order intake sequentially and also close to where we were last year. Although if you take out the acquired companies, we are still some 30% behind, but it was still a strong start of last year in the European markets.

It is positive to see that, say, the trend sequentially is positive, and we can also see that year on year, we are also seeing positive development in a number of markets in Europe, like Spain and Benelux. I think the trend and the momentum is moving in the right direction or have been in the first quarter. Net sales down 1% versus last year, but a big jump up, of course, versus Q4, where we had net sales of SEK 365 million. A large part of that was seasonality, which made Q4 extremely low, and now we gained some of that back in Q1. Organically, revenue is still down and connected to the low order intake that we saw in last year.

EBITDA decreasing versus last year to SEK 55 million, but with a margin of 11.2% versus 15.2%, but a big step up from the Q4, where it was just a small positive number. Going to the U.S., order intake very strong, so good positive development here. We had a slightly weaker order intake during Q4 after, I say, overall a good year in terms of order intake development, but Q4 was a bit weaker. This is also reflecting into our net sales numbers, which are a bit lower. Also here, one needs to factor in when one compares the 188 with 191 of last year, that we had overall in the quarter a higher U.S. dollar, which actually means that in U.S. dollar terms, the revenue was actually slightly lower than last year.

That means that also has had an impact on the margin in the business, in addition to some product mix where we have seen some more of our certain product or technologies that we're supplying, which has been higher in the share of the overall business. The tariffs are being transferred to customers. Effects in Q1 are still very, very small as the new tariffs started to come into effect from February and then March, and since it's based on orders hitting the ground in the U.S., we will really start to see the impact on top line in Q2 from the tariffs. EBITDA is down to SEK 18.2 million from last year's SEK 24 million, and predominantly driven by lower gross margin, but also in relation to sales higher SG&A due to the fact that, say, in U.S. dollar terms, our sales were lower.

Moving over to East, where we can see also here strong order intake, and here we also had good order intake in Q4, which is also helping the net sales development. The market in China, you can see, has been slowly improving. We have still seen a good influx of new customers in high technology applications. We can also see that, say, lead times for high tech materials starting to grow, and this might then spread to other markets going forward, and might also be a sign then that prices might start to move up. Overall, in the business, healthy margins, EBITDA increased to SEK 8.2 million versus 6, and the EBITDA margin at 16% versus 15% last year. We continue to run the business here with good gross margins connected to the high tech services that we are providing in conjunction with these sales.

Okay, over to you.

Tim Benjamin
CFO, NCAB Group AB

Thanks, Peter. Return on equity in 2025 down a bit versus 2024 when we were at higher volumes. Net debt to EBITDA still at a very healthy level of 1.6 versus prior year at 0.7, and as you remember, our targets are around 2.0. Equity to asset ratio fairly stable year on year at around 41.9% versus 43.7% last year. Net working capital up a little bit. Remember, we do acquire companies here, and when we acquire companies, we also acquire net working capital. So you have net working capital percentage last 12 months at around 9% versus 8%. Still quite a bit of available liquidity at SEK 1.355 billion versus SEK 1.1 billion last year. As you heard from Peter, the board has proposed a zero dividend. Also, together with the available liquidity that we have there, leads for some good possibilities in the next few quarters.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

We continue with our M&A process. We continue to have a very good, healthy pipeline and progressing with our discussions. We were glad to conclude the negotiations here with B&B Leiterplattenservice GmbH here in the last couple of days. This, of course, remains a strong focus for the company. With B&B Leiterplattenservice GmbH, it is matching also part of our strategy where, on the one hand, I mean, we remain fully focused on PCBs, which is sort of a good, healthy market for us to stay in, where we can see good growth opportunities. We are investing in our capabilities to grow our market shares in the markets where we're present, but we're also looking to expand our geographical position and our footprint and coverage and support our customers locally.

The acquisition of B&B Leiterplattenservice GmbH gives us a very good strengthening of our position in the northeastern part of Germany and serving the customers in this region, in addition to getting a lot of good employees to join us. Finally, also from a market consolidation perspective, we do anticipate a lot of good opportunities, especially in the current uncertain climate, to further activate our M&A activities. Having the financial flexibility is a good means to be able to support that part of our strategy. With that, I think we conclude our presentation and open up for questions.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial star five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial star six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Jonny Jin from SEB. Please go ahead.

Jonny Jin
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yes, thank you. Good morning, Peter and Timothy, for taking my question. I just will start a little bit here on North America. It looks like the order intake is rather strong there. Is this also an effect from you seeing pre-buying, some pre-buying effect in North America? Could you share some comments around that? Also, are you seeing some change in your customers' behavior? Could you elaborate a little bit on that? Thank you.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Thank you for your question, Jonny. Now, to be honest, I mean, we have seen, as you said, strong order intake in Q1, and we had strong order intake during last year by the fourth quarter as well. To be honest, we do not really see a change. I mean, what we mean, we are early days in the second quarter, so we cannot really say draw long-term predictions, but we have not seen any direct impact on our order intake pattern from the U.S. after the latest rises in tariffs. Where there are opportunities, of course, is, and this was something that started already during the second half of last year, an increasing interest from our U.S. customers to sort of explore our factory opportunities outside China.

I mean, last year, of what we supplied to U.S. customers, in total, I think some 47% of what we sourced came from China for the U.S. customer base. I think we can see that that share has dropped a little bit. We see more quotes being asked from and more orders being placed to some of our non-Chinese factories in quarter one. I think that is a change. We have not seen a change in the demand as such.

Jonny Jin
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Okay, so no real pre-buying effect into one, though, I suppose.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Not yet.

Jonny Jin
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

I'm just following up on a little bit. Okay. On the theme of tariffs, I guess you will increase your prices here in the U.S., particularly and push that on. Do you think this will lead to higher organic growth, or do you think that demand will shrink as well going forward? Just trying to understand the net effect for you here a little bit better.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I think for us, I mean, what we will see for sure is, of course, we will see a top line growth in the U.S. from the tariffs if they remain in the current levels, whether they're like around 140% or depending on which technology. Of course, that will have an impact. I think where the uncertainty is, is to what extent will these tariffs and other trade war activities have a negative impact on the general sentiment in the industry? That would then not apply specifically to the U.S. only, but I guess globally. I think that is, I guess, where we see a potential uncertainty, even if we maybe don't see it yet in our own order intake, neither in Q1 or the first few weeks of Q2.

It is an uncertain global market right now, and I think that is the uncertainty that we want to sort of give us freedom to manage in a good way.

Jonny Jin
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yeah, okay. Just shifting focus a bit here to the gross margin. How should we think about that going forward? It seems like it took a step down here a bit, both year over year and sequentially in the quarter. I think this is the third quarter in a row with a sequentially lower gross margin. I mean, is it fair to assume that this will continue ahead, especially given the tariff situation? Now, I know it's uncertain, but you talked about that could be diluted. Could that potentially accelerate the decline ahead, or what normal level can we expect here going forward?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

If we look upon things excluding the tariffs to start with, then we don't, I mean, as we've said before, I think we expect us to be somewhere in that range, 35%-36% as a stable level to continue to keep. In this quarter, we had quite a significant FX impact that maybe sort of had an add-on negative effect. I mean, if you compare year on year, as we've discussed previously, we had end of 2023 and beginning of 2024, we still had an impact when the market price were declining quite substantially during 2023. There were some elements where we were negotiating with the factories and maybe getting some savings in our books before we were transferring over to customers. That gave us an extra boost in the gross margin at the end of 2023 and the first half of 2024.

That level that we have been in the, say, second half of 2024, around 35%-36%, I think is something we should expect to continue. In Q1 right now, we had a couple of negative add-ons from the FX, notably that sort of push us down, but we do not expect that trend to continue.

Jonny Jin
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

All right. Just one final one from my side, shifting to the European markets here. Could you maybe elaborate a little bit more on what you're seeing there, if you're seeing a recovery in other important markets in Europe? I mean, book to bill looks to be around one in Europe this quarter, so is it fair to assume that performance ahead will be rather sloppy and stable demand sequentially going into Q2? Is that fair what you say?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I would actually say, I mean, if you, I think when one looks at the book-to-bill, it's a little bit dangerous because you have that year-end effect, which was quite substantial also in Europe. I mean, part of the revenue that you saw now in Q4 and Q1, Q4 was extremely low in Europe at only like SEK 365 million, and now it's around SEK 450 million. Maybe you had SEK 30-40 million, which was kind of a carryover between the two years. In reality, we have a positive book-to-bill in Europe now in Q1, if you were to look upon how things are running operationally. At the same time, I mean, the economy is still in some parts of Europe strained. I mean, I think we were starting maybe to see some positive signs of recovery.

What may happen now with the ongoing sort of global tariff discussions, will that have an impact? That is, I guess, where there is an uncertainty, even if maybe we do not see concrete signs in our numbers yet.

Jonny Jin
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

All right. I understand. Thank you for taking my questions. That was all for me.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Jacob Edler from Danske Bank. Please go ahead.

Jacob Edler
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Hi, and thanks for taking my questions. My first question is just coming back to, I guess, the dividend cut here, and maybe if you can shed some more light on why the decision was taken right now. I mean, in my book, net activity is at around 1.5 times. You're talking about at least tariffs not showing that much impact right now. I'm just excited to hear a bit more on how, for example, how is the M&A momentum and how much is actually coming down to the big uncertainties here regarding tariffs? Just adds more color on the dividend cut.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I think it's very much a combination of different things. I think we can make a little bit of a comparison to our situation that we were in in the spring of 2020 as a company. At that time, we were just sort of concluding two acquisitions in the spring of 2020, just as the pandemic broke out. At that time, there was also this concern, what will happen with the pandemic? Will that drive the market in a direction that could put strain on our financial situation? At that time, we made an extra sort of share issue to shore up the financing. In the end, we did not need that money, and we actually made an extra dividend the following year to give that back to the shareholders.

I think we are now in a situation where we are happy that we've been able to conclude this acquisition here now. We have an active ongoing discussion with a number of potential acquisition targets. Given again the uncertainty, will there be a potential impact on the global economic development that could potentially have an impact on our numbers as well? We wanted to keep our powder dry to be able to sort of continue with our strategy and give us that financial flexibility.

Jacob Edler
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Yeah, okay, clear. Just to get it clear, I mean, you haven't seen any signs of customers pausing here at the start of Q2. I mean, no major delta in activity on the customer side in Q2 versus Q1 thus far?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

No, we don't see anything specifically in our numbers just yet.

Jacob Edler
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Okay, perfect. Just getting back a bit on the gross margin. I mean, it's down a bit year over year, more than three percentage points, right? Obviously, you had those favorable pricing effects last year that obviously are gone now. I'm just wondering, of that year-over-year development, how much would you say is related to product mix, which is temporary, and the FX, which also is temporary, and how much is price? Can you maybe add some more flavor there if possible?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

The majority is price. We have some FX and some product mix, but you could probably chalk up the majority on the pricing side. The FX is really only time.

Jacob Edler
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Yeah, and how is the product mix? Is that temporary as well, or?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

No, I wouldn't say that's temporary. It can fluctuate up and down depending upon what type of products the customers order. I think we've seen some flexibility, for instance, both North America and Nordics had a little bit of that mix shift between customers, and that in combination with the FX on top. That is also where you see probably the decline from, say, Q3, Q4 versus now Q1. That is largely the FX and the mix shifts here. Those are not sort of long-standing either in reality.

Jacob Edler
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Okay, perfect. Just the last question. On price, it seemed in the report that, if I understood you correctly, that, I mean, the price level kind of stabilized a bit, at least sequentially, in order intake. Is that a correct conclusion? Would you say price was relatively flat this year-over-year in order intake, or how did it look?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Yeah, I think order intake-wise is pretty flattish, I think, on the order intake side. I think, I mean, of course, maybe you could say, I mean, yes, we had in Q1 on the revenue side, then you had the margin impact. On the order intake side, not big impact on the pricing side. I think that is sort of reasonably stable. I think what we've been seeing has been sort of the question, say, the market, the factory loading has been improving during the latter part of 2024 and beginning of 2021. That would, of course, indicate at some point that we would see both lead times like we are seeing for some high-tech materials already now, but also that we could anticipate that some of the price stance that we saw during, say, 2023, 2024 would start to climb back up.

Now, I guess there's a little bit of uncertainty again from the global economic development, and maybe that will again sort of push back a little bit, I think, right now on any potential price increases.

Jacob Edler
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Yeah, perfect. Thank you. Those were my questions.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Marcus Develius from DNB. Please go ahead.

Marcus Develius
Small Cap Research Analyst, DNB

Yes, thank you. Hello, Peter, Timothy, and Gunilla. Just my first question is a bit broader, but the tariffs, it's not the first time you experience it. What lessons do you take with you this round and to handle the situation as smooth as possible compared to, let's say, 2019?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I have to say, I think we have a pretty good process in place for this. I mean, we've handled it, as you said, for a number of years now. I think in the first time it happened, then you had a little bit of this wait and see where when the tariffs came into play that orders paused for a while, people were uncertain, are the tariffs really going to come into effect or not? I think we've seen less of that this time. I think we're quite well prepared to manage tariffs, and our customers are accustomed to paying tariffs on our products historically.

I think what creates an extra workload for our team right now is, of course, to handle all these different tariff levels and the changes to understand what is being shipped from inventory that has a certain tariff level, what is right now landing in the docks and is going to pay another tariff level, and to manage that process. It increases a little bit of our manual workload to ensure that we are handling this correctly for our customers. Otherwise, I think we're quite well set up to handle this process, and our customers, as I said, are well aware of the situation and are able to handle it.

Marcus Develius
Small Cap Research Analyst, DNB

Okay. Let's say your U.S. customers want to increase their sourcing from outside of China. Are you seeing any ramp-up investments of factories outside of China after the tariffs were announced? What are the discussions there?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I think this has been going on actually for quite some time. I don't think it has changed specifically in the last few weeks or months, but it's something that was already being sort of going on during the second half or during 2024. There is, say, a number of new factories being established in Southeast Asia predominantly. We've been working actively with this for a couple of years. We have had historically factories outside China, and we have grown that portfolio of factories supporting our customers. We are quite actually in a very good position to help customers make that transition. I think it's also a very good opportunity for us to win more business because, I mean, part of our customers or potential customers have also had an organization where they maybe were sourcing directly.

They had long-standing relationships with a few factories which have served them over a period of time. Now, quite a few of them are looking at a situation where they want to move out from those Chinese factories. To then identify new factories in a different region is quite a big task if you do not have the setup for it. I think this is an opportunity for us to build up relationships with customers who previously were buying themselves directly.

Marcus Develius
Small Cap Research Analyst, DNB

Okay, thank you. Those were my questions.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Gustav Berneblad from Nordea. Please go ahead.

Gustav Berneblad
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Yes, good morning. It's Gustav here from Nordea. Just to start off on the margin side as well here, I mean, you have a quite good table here in the annual report of the sort of FX impact on earnings, but you're quite a strong tailwind here in recent years. Just based on the levels where we are today in terms of FX, how should one think about the EBITDA margin development sort of once demand takes off? I mean, you comment on a gross margin likely to continue to hover around 35%-36% longer term, but on EBITDA level, is it possible that you still would reach north of 14%, or should we assume sort of the implicit margin of your financial target here of sort of 12.5%? Is that more closer?

Tim Benjamin
CFO, NCAB Group AB

I think we don't give forward guidance, first of all. What I can say is when you look at the FX impacts, what we saw, at least in this quarter primarily, was the sort of AP/AR revaluation of things that have largely already happened. Invoices that already went out, and now we revalue them at a weaker U.S. dollar. A lot of our purchasing and sales is done in U.S. dollars. You don't tend to see these fluctuations over the medium long term, but you will see fluctuations both up and down, which you see in our numbers on the short term, sort of quarter to quarter. We don't expect to see any type of medium long-term impacts from FX just because of that sort of natural hedging that we have in the business.

Gustav Berneblad
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Yeah, okay, got it. Then on the margin in North America here, I mean, you comment on the product mix, but would you say that the complete sort of 330 basis point year-over-year margin delta is related to this, or? Also, what specifically is driving the mix here?

Tim Benjamin
CFO, NCAB Group AB

No, I think there's a couple of effects here. Part of it, yes, is the fact that there are some high-growth, low-margin products that we do sell in the U.S., still good profitability, but lower gross margin than the rest. Part of it is the fact that we believe in the sort of longer-term growth story in the U.S. We also do ramp up the organization to take advantage of that, which you heard a little bit from Peter in terms of the sourcing possibilities that we offer new customers.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

On the mix side, I mean, we have our acquisition in Phase III a few years back. They have part of their product portfolio. They have slightly lower margins overall.

When they have had a good sort of delivery or a high share of the deliveries during the quarter, that can have a slightly adverse impact as well. I think this is what we've seen in this specific quarter. On generally lower sales than what we've seen in the previous quarters, I think that's behind the drop.

Gustav Berneblad
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Yeah, okay, perfect. I mean, can we talk a little bit about Q2 and Q3? I think you commented previously that it will increase in terms of expenses, but also you will target North America. Can you just specify a little bit more of the IT rollout going forward here, which regions will be affected?

Tim Benjamin
CFO, NCAB Group AB

Yeah, sure. You heard from us back in quarter four that we had one of our larger go-lives with Germany. That one has went live. We also did our group function headquarters in quarter one and at the tail end of quarter one and in the first weeks of quarter two, we did one of our other larger units, Benelux. In quarter two, towards the end of it, potentially early quarter three, that's when you'll see one of our largest entities, our U.S. entity, go live. We have been saying that the cost for this rollout has been around SEK 10 million per quarter. Again, without giving forward guidance, we don't expect to see that change much. Again, the U.S. entity is one of our largest, most complex ones. If there is one that requires a lot of extra effort and travel, it's that one.

After, you could say basically after the U.S., we still have entities left to go live, but they're all smaller.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Yeah, and typically you get it, even if it's like SEK 10 million a quarter on average, we have a little bit of a shift. We say typically Q2 and Q4, just like last year, will be more intense. Like we'll have the tail end of the Benelux go live here in quarter two, and we'll have U.S. During quarter three, you have more preparations for the latter part of the year go-lives, which will predominantly be in the end of Q3, maybe starting of Q4. You will have, again, most likely a slightly lower cost level in Q3 and a higher again in Q4.

Gustav Berneblad
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Perfect. That is very clear. Just on defense here, I mean, we saw in the annual report 6% of group sales. Would you say that it is significantly higher here in Q1? I would just regarding the order intake here a bit stronger, but should we think about that translating into sales in Q2 or?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I think overall, the order intake in Q1 should indicate, I mean, that we have a healthy order book going into Q2. I mean, traditionally, we have been on average roughly a quarter behind in revenue side. That can vary a little bit, so it's not a perfect size. I mean, the order intake development from Q4 and Q1 is a positive sign for the future revenue development. On the defense side, I would say we did not actually have so much more defense orders in Q1. That was actually a little bit lower, which maybe also partly impacted the order intake in Nordics, which was a little bit behind. We have a number of projects going on, so we expect that to continue on a high level and to be a growing business in 2025, even if maybe Q1 was not really heavily influenced by defense orders.

Gustav Berneblad
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Yeah, okay, perfect. Sorry, just one last quick one here. I mean, in terms of the high freight rates you also comment about, is it possible to say anything about the impact here on top line and gross margin?

Tim Benjamin
CFO, NCAB Group AB

You could say minimal impact on top line and slight impact on the gross margin without going to exact details. It's a slight impact year over year. We saw freight rates really start to go up in quarter four. We tend to see them on a little bit of a delay versus the actual market itself. We started to see them come down a little bit towards the end of quarter one.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I think that is where maybe you have seen a little bit of at least a short-term impact on the gross margin side when they are being sort of climbing upwards during the second half of last year and into this quarter as well. That while pricing is being adapted for new freight costs, the true up freight costs actually come in slightly higher since they've been climbing up during this period of time.

I think that has also maybe had, as you said, a small impact on the gross margin as well in the first quarter.

Gustav Berneblad
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Perfect. Thank you very much. That was all for me.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Thank you.

Operator

More phone questions at this time. I hand the conference back to the speakers for any written questions or closing comments.

Gunilla Öhman
Head of Investor Relations, NCAB Group AB

Thank you. We have a couple of written questions. The first one comes from Carl. How active is the current M&A pipeline? Do you expect to sign more add-ons during the year?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I mean, M&A is a very core part of our strategy. I mean, we're basically looking to grow over time equal amounts per acquisition as from organic growth. Yes, we have a very active pipeline. I think there is a good opportunity to make deals in the current climate also. We've historically had the ambition to sign somewhere between two and five company acquisitions per year. It's always a little bit hard to predict because you're always at least two parties that need to come to an agreement. Since we are talking in most cases to family-owned companies, it's very much a personal matter for the sellers. These discussions can take different length in time, which makes it somewhat hard to predict. We expect to make two to five acquisitions also in the current climate.

Gunilla Öhman
Head of Investor Relations, NCAB Group AB

The next question comes from Mr. Case, and he asks for U.S. customers. I understand that only 50% of these PCBs are coming from China. Yet how can a customer accept to take such a steep impact of tariffs?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I mean, I think on the one hand, there's not much one can do. The tariffs are there, and we can, of course, not absorb them. I think one also needs to remember that in our applications, the cost of the PCB roughly represents 1% or 2% of the total bill of material. We are overall a low-cost item in the general bill of material. Of course, as these grow, there will be an increased incentive to look for other markets. Right now, the Chinese tariffs are on extreme levels. I mean, historically, we have lived now for a long period of time with tariffs in the order of 25%. China has still been very competitive to most other markets. With tariffs where they currently are, the incentive is clear to move to other factories like Vietnam, Thailand that you mentioned.

We are happy to help our customers do that. We will have to see, of course, if the Chinese tariffs remain at that level.

Gunilla Öhman
Head of Investor Relations, NCAB Group AB

Okay, great. Next question came from Thomas Blixter at Pareto. And he asks about the Nordics that we saw growth due to orders received in 2024, in the latter part of 2024. A significant portion were defense orders, he says. Can we expect similar growth development in the Nordics going forward from stable deliveries of these orders? Or is it more likely with fluctuations quarterly?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I think, I mean, in our business, there is still a level of fluctuations. I think, as you mentioned, we have a number of defense orders that we booked with longer lead times during last year, which will be sort of delivered during a large part of 2025 and also into 2026. They will, of course, provide a foundation to revenue, but we can expect to see some fluctuation on top as well. We will have, of course, those orders that we booked during the last part of last year will continue to prop up the revenue streamline in Nordics.

Gunilla Öhman
Head of Investor Relations, NCAB Group AB

He also had a bigger picture question. With the current tariff potential, many manufacturers will struggle with supply chains sourcing PCBs. Do you believe PCB manufacturing will grow in Europe or U.S. as a result?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I think right now, the biggest challenge is the uncertainty. It's very hard. I mean, making a PCB manufacturing, investing in a manufacturing plant for PCBs is a very high-cost investment. That is very hard to make given the uncertainty what the tariffs are. Today, we don't see any signs of investments being done to build manufacturing, neither in Europe nor in North America.

Gunilla Öhman
Head of Investor Relations, NCAB Group AB

Okay. The last question here is from Philbert, and he's asking regarding U.S. What proportion of order could you ship from outside China for the U.S. market?

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

I mean, this is a little bit sort of, I mean, theoretically, we could ship 100% from outside China, I mean, given our factory base to our U.S. customers. Of course, still, Chinese suppliers are very good at what they do. They have been highly specialized and invested in this for a long period of time. There are some technologies and some partners that even with a higher tariff cost, they would not want to change because it is a critical component. I think we have the factory portfolio there to support customers to have a significantly higher degree of sourcing outside China than what they even currently have. I mean, our group sourcing from China, at the time of our IPO in 2018, we were at 95% sourcing in China. I think end of 2024, for the year 2024, we were at 72% or 73%.

It has shrunk as a whole. The U.S., as we said, is just below 50% last year. We can expect with the current climate that that share of sourcing in mainland China will continue to decline.

Gunilla Öhman
Head of Investor Relations, NCAB Group AB

Okay, thank you. That was the last question, written question. I will just remind you that our annual general meeting will be the 8th of May, and you are very welcome to attend. Thank you, everyone, for today.

Peter Kruk
CEO, NCAB Group AB

Thank you very much. Thank you.

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