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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Jul 18, 2022

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Ratos Audiocast with Teleconference Q2 2022. For the first part of this call, all participants will be in a listen only mode, and afterwards there will be a question and answer session. Today, I'm pleased to present Josefine Uppling. Please go ahead.

Josefine Uppling
Head of Communication and Sustainability, Ratos

Thank you very much, and a warm welcome to all of you listening to this earnings call targeting the second quarter 2022 in Ratos. My name is Josefine Uppling. I'm the Head of Communication and Sustainability at Ratos, and with me I have our CEO, President and CEO, Jonas Wiström, and our CFO, Jonas Ågrup. Let's start. Over to you, Jonas Wiström.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Thank you, Josefine, and also I would like to say good morning to you joining our call this lovely summer morning in Stockholm. Let's move to slide two. Well, we've all seen that it's been a challenging quarter for most companies, given the world we're living in. We have closed markets, shortage of components due to lack of semiconductors, lockdowns in China, et cetera. A larger challenge is, of course, the high or very high inflation on raw material, goods, energy costs. They are challenging the gross margins of course, but also affecting private consumers and enterprises when it comes to new investments. We also see a stressed wind power market in the world.

The wind power plant manufacturers are all struggling with profit warnings in a year with weaker demand and design changes of their turbines, and this in spite of the fact that it's actually a good future for wind power in the world, especially offshore wind. However, Ratos' largest challenge in Q2 was actually the weather situation in Norway and Sweden in April and May. You've heard me many times talking about Plantasjen's dependence on the weather during the critical months in the spring, and I remember actually when the weatherman on TV warned of frosty conditions in the nights in May with a recommendation to bring the plants and flowers indoors if it was possible.

The weather situation was the most important factor for the sharp drop in earnings for Plantasjen in Q2, although inflation affecting both costs and customer behavior and a decreasing effect of pandemic also played a role. Taking this into consideration, I'm satisfied with the stable Q2 results and also with good or very good results in our companies with a good order intake and strong order backlog. This again shows that the Ratos model works. Also satisfied of course that our earnings after tax grew in the quarter, thanks to lower tax due to our transformation from an investment company to the company group and corporation we are today. Of course, happy with our growth and the fact that NVBS came into Ratos during Q2, and that Knightec will come into Ratos in Q3.

This is two businesses and two sectors that we will continue to invest in. The numbers you see on the slide, adjusted EBITA is down. Coming back to that, again, EBITA and EBIT and EBITDA is up. Net sales up 20%, organic growth 2%. We have also during the quarter divested all our shares in Dun & Bradstreet, adding some SEK 700 million in cash, which is a very good, we believe. I think that a strong balance sheet in these times are more important than ever. Also our LTM EPS increased by 10%, and ROCE continues to increase to 8.7%. With that, let's look into the group financials on slide three. Yes, we had a net sales growth of 20% in the quarter.

All business areas showed growth. Strong organic growth in Construction and Services, and slightly negative organic growth in Consumer and Industry, solely due to Plantasjen and Diab. Our growth journey continues, and we're happy with that. Let's move over to slide four and our financial targets. Our growth is again ahead of plan, and we're following the plan for beating SEK 3 billion in 2025 in EBITA. The leverage has increased to 0.5, as a result of the acquisition, but also to an inventory increase, especially in Plantasjen, coming back to that. Let's move to slide five. As you all know, since beginning of last year, we have started our growth journey. We had a very high M&A activity during the quarter.

We're spending a lot of time and efforts to find really attractive acquisition candidates. That fits our industrial strategy and our investment criteria. We see valuations in general are coming down on our M&A targets. We think again that it's very important to have and maintain a strong balance sheet in these times. Two well add-on acquisition has been made in the quarter, both by NVDS, TKBM, and Ratatech. A new platform was acquired, or we signed an agreement on to acquire them in Q3 with Knightec joining us in Q3. I will come back to them, but they add SEK 140 million in EBITDA LTM.

If we include NVBS, that actually were signed just in the shift of Q1- Q1, we have SEK 258 million more EBITDA from those two companies and the add-ons. Moving to slide six, I'm actually extremely happy that we have signed an agreement to acquire 70% of Knightec in the quarter. We have looked for quite some time for companies in this business segment that we have significant experience from, including myself, if I may say. We have several people in our network and in Ratos who knows this sector. The sector itself, professional services and technical consulting, is 100% in line with our investment criteria, also with high cash conversion rate. A few words about Knightec.

I have been very impressed about the transformation that Knightec has been through the last couple of years. They have industry-leading profitability, they have high organic growth, and they have a great business model, and this coupled with a very strong and diverse management team and staff make this as a very good platform coming into this sector. Let's move over to slide seven with our business areas and turn to slide eight, Construction and Services. Well, yet another very strong quarter for Construction and Services. 37% growth, 11% organic growth, strong order backlog, EBITDA up 118%, profitability up with more than 50% to 6.8%.

This in a quarter where we continue to see significant inflation in raw materials, although we've had some indications on dropping prices for steel, but still high costs, of course, and energy. We're very happy with the strong order backlog given the uncertain times. I think it's important to say that we are not into residentials when it comes to construction, which is the area that is most uncertain, I think, when it comes to construction businesses. A really strong quarter again for Construction and Services. If we then move over to Consumer, we have a sharp drop in sales and EBITDA for Plantasjen. The organic sales is down 4%.

It says mainly driven by lower sales here, driven by lower sales in Plantasjen. EBITDA dropped due to this. The other companies are doing well, although we are affected by component shortage, as an indirect challenge for KVD and a direct challenge for HL Display. Moving to slide 10, the Industry area where we have a net sales increase of 2%, a 4% negative organic growth, solely due to Diab.

This was a good quarter for the industry for all companies except for Diab, where again, the wind power manufacturers are struggling with lower order intake, and the shrinking business in China and, of course, there are political uncertainty here and there as well, not least in U.S. for the moment. Talking about Diab again, the business segment, marine industries and aerospace continues to do great, and the restructuring project is going on according to plan, and we will show the results of this program during the financial year we're in.

With that, we move over to sustainability and Josefine Uppling. Please, Josefine.

Josefine Uppling
Head of Communication and Sustainability, Ratos

Thank you so much, Jonas. Well, as we have mentioned, there is no lack of challenges and uncertainty in our operational environment. Despite all of this, one could state that the transformation towards a more sustainable business model in Ratos family continues at a good pace. Yeah, that's slide number 12. This gives us a positive future prospects as we know that it's profitable to invest in climate change and reduce the carbon emissions. Therefore, I'm very proud to share some very concrete examples with you today from the quarter, which leads the transformation in evidence. Starting off with Aibel, I mean, it's amazing in so many ways.

Just last week, we were finally allowed to communicate about their collaboration with the world leader in offshore wind, Ørsted, and the contract for two platforms for the Hornsea Three project in the U.K. sector of the North Sea. Each platform will represent a major contract for Aibel, meaning they have a value over or are worth at least NOK 2.5 billion. The two platforms will have a combined capacity to serve over 230 offshore wind turbines, and this makes the project the single largest offshore wind project in the world. It's expected to produce enough energy to meet the average daily needs for over three million homes. The backlog Aibel now holds approximately 60% projects connected to wind and electrification of energy infrastructure. Amazing, as I said.

Well, furthermore, our construction company, Hent, which is specialized in building in wood, and has, among other things, built Sara Kulturhus in Skellefteå, show the importance of being a good citizens as they signed the joint construction industry's climate commitments in Norway. In the picture, we actually can see the CEO of Hent, Jan Jahren, in action. They have committed to, together with the rest of the industry, reduce greenhouse gas emissions at least 20% in their construction projects. It will really make a long-term difference, hence, the construction industry accounts for 15% of the total of Norway's greenhouse gas emissions. Last but not least, I would like to mention that HL Display continues to be innovative and partnering for more circular solutions. In the quarter, it was communicated that HL Display and SES-imagotag will introduce a shelf rail made from partly recycled material.

The material will be sourced from old profiles through circular plastic consumption, and it will differentiate HL Display from the competitors within growing labeling solutions. Well, that's all for now. Back to you, Jonas.

Jonas Ågrup
CFO, Ratos

Okay. Thank you, Josefine. We move to slide number 14, under the financials, and I will start to comment on the net debt. You can see that we had a net cash position in Q2 last year. We are now in a net debt position of SEK 995. This is driven by acquisitions that we have made, but also a working capital build-up that we have seen in Consumer in the second quarter. If I move on to the financial items, the net financial items, you can see we have an increase, minus 100, this quarter. This is partly due to revaluation of synthetic options that we have made in the quarter.

If we look at the interest-bearing liabilities, they have actually increased roughly SEK 400 million compared, you know, quarter-over-quarter, Q2 last year to Q2 this year. If we look at the effective interest rate, we were at 2.5% in the quarter previous year, and we are now at 1.8% in effective interest rates. This is a result of the centralized financing that we have in Ratos today. If we look at effective tax rate, you can see 16.4%. We booked some deferred tax assets in the quarter. We will continue to do that on a quarterly basis. I expect the effective tax rate to be below 20% going forward.

In Q1 this year, we had a quite high tax rate, and this was because we had non-tax deductible costs for LTIP shares, but also for the restructuring program in India. If we look at the earnings per share, remaining business, you can see we are roughly on the same level as Q2 last year. If we look at the cash flow for operations, we were at SEK 824 million this quarter. We were impacted by working capital build-up mainly in Consumer, but also we were impacted by the lower profit levels in Plantasjen. If we look at net debt to adjusted EBITDA, we are now at 0.5x. This is an increase mainly driven by acquisitions, but also inventory in higher inventory levels.

We move to page 15 or slide 15. Here you see the net sales bridge, but also the adjusted EBITDA bridge. It's important to understand, you know, that Q2 for Ratos is a large quarter with Plantasjen having its season with high sales and high profit levels. Net sales were up 20%, driven by acquisitions. As you can see, a little bit more than SEK 1 billion, that's 15%. Organic growth was 2%. We have a positive FX effect because of the weaker Swedish crown, mainly against the Norwegian crown and the Danish crown. You can see that we have in other -12, and here we have put actually sales to Russia, which we have ceased now. We don't sell any more to Russia, so that's roughly SEK 12 million effect in the quarter.

If we look at adjusted EBITA bridge, you can see that we have a positive effect from acquired EBITDA, SEK 180 million. This is the main contribution is actually from Construction and Services, where we have made a few acquisitions, as you know. If we look at the organic EBITA growth, you can see it's negative, and this is as a result of lower sales and profit levels in Plantasjen, but also lower profit levels in Diab. Diab, as you know, is struggling a bit now with the lower sales into the wind segment. If we look at other SEK -41 million, it's across all business areas, also some part of Ratos AB, where we have had acquisition cost in the quarter.

If we look at the FX effect, you can see it's positive, and again, it's the weak Swedish crown that has caused this effect. If we move down to slide 16, you can see here the LTM EPS development. We continue to grow earnings per share. This is a focus area for us. We want to really grow earnings per share. You can also see that we continue to grow return on capital employed, which we're at a level of 8.7% in the quarter. By that, I hand over to Ratos CEO, Jonas Wiström.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Thank you, Jonas. Well, some final remarks here on page 18. We are happy with the quarter. It is a solid performance, despite a significant challenge in the operating environment, which I talked about, and we have proven again the Ratos model, with our decentralized structure, the speedy execution. Again, a good growth quarter and major acquisition closed and signed during the quarter. We expect that we will continue to be in an uncertain period, and we're happy for our strong balance sheet with low leverage and a solid liquidity position. With that, I think, it's time, Josefine, to open up for Q&As.

Josefine Uppling
Head of Communication and Sustainability, Ratos

Yes, please. It's okay to send your questions to me by email, but also, of course, to ask the questions straightforward now and here in the call.

Operator

Thank you. If you do wish to ask a question, please press zero one on your telephone keypad now. Our first question comes from the line of Max Bacco from ABG. Please go ahead.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yes, good morning, and thank you. First of all, it would be quite interesting if you could share with us the sales and EBITA for Plantasjen, if possible.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Good morning, Max. Good to hear you. You know, we are in a process where we are streamlining our business areas more and more. When we talked to our auditors last evening to disclose individual numbers for the companies, they're not so happy about that. I think it's not so difficult for you to count the numbers out, given the fact that we have showed the business EBITA sales for Consumer. In the Consumer, there are Plantasjen, it is KVD, and it's Oasis, and the two other companies are delivering a better result than last year. You will come quite close there, Max.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Okay, fair enough. Just a question on Diab. You wrote in the report that you or the market expects volume not to increase until 2023 within the wind market. Is this in the first half of 2023, or is it in the second half we should expect a growth in the wind segment?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yes. I mean, we say 2023. I must admit that we, after the subsidies were away from China, we thought the market will come back sooner than into 2023. I mean, all the analysts, the wind manufacturers, which I personally have contact with, believes in this. But I'm not gonna sign a contract with you on that it's in the first quarter or second or third or fourth quarter. I mean, you all know that there are so much going on right now. Through Aibel, we see all the offshore wind projects in and around Europe, and there is massive investments. It would surprise me if this was not the fact. We have been wrong before, so therefore, I sort of hesitate to promise you anything here, but all indications show that.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yeah. Okay. If you could give a comment.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

I also want to say, Max, that in this restructuring program we're performing, one important component in this program is to reduce the dependence on wind, and to give a little bit more focus on the marine and industry and aerospace segment, which is actually doing quite well. The coming few years will also be, to some extent, dependent on political decisions and presidential elections and things like that. There is no doubt that wind power is here to stay, and it will increase, especially in offshore wind. That's what we see in Sweden as well. You know, there are so many vetoes from the local communities around Sweden. Also in Sweden and in Norway even more are focusing on offshore wind. We will be less dependent on wind, but we believe that the wind sector will come back during next year.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

The next question is on the transaction or M&A market with the uncertain times that we do have. Do you find attractive targets, first of all? I think the answer is quite obvious, but is it doable to agree on prices with sellers given the uncertain outlook? Can you say anything about the transaction activity?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yeah, I think the proof is in the pudding. I mean, we did this acquisition of Knightec and two add-ons in Q2. Of course, you know, I was a CEO also when we had the Lehman crisis and at that time we didn't really see valuations coming down on private companies. I feel this time it's clear that valuations are coming down, but some sellers, of course, are maybe not willing to do this. The time worked for us with our strong balance sheet and our attractive model. I'm quite optimistic. We will continue to grow Ratos, but we will at the same time make sure that we always have a strong balance sheet.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yeah. Okay. Perfect. On Plantasjen, one more question. You said that you have seen increased inventory levels here during Q2. Is this something you are worried about given the weakened consumer sentiment and so on going ahead?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

No one likes increased warehouses. I think I can reveal that in Plantasjen it is dry goods. The waste has been very low actually. The concrete effect this will have is that we will order or Plantasjen will order less equipment into next season. The product mix, which we used to brag about, I mean, it's high-quality items in the stores that we are sure that we will be able to sell. We of course have rather seen a smaller warehouse. It's the right products that are in there.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Okay. Yeah. Sounds good. Finally, can you say anything about July and Q3? Have the trends that you saw in Q2 continued here in the third quarter?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Well, we saw, I mean, again, I don't want to promise, but we saw that on raw materials actually, there was a sign or the prices went down beginning in July for some parts of steel, et cetera. Steel production has come up. But to do this as a promise for the future, I think it's too early. We also see freight costs, if you look on containers from Asia to Europe, et cetera. I mean, we had like 1000% inflation last year with that, but it's not increasing.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yeah.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

I think personally, I think the largest threat is the uncertainty itself. For both enterprises and consumers, it's uncertain times. It's easy that you postpone a decision if it is to build a new shopping center or to buy a Weber grill from Plantasjen. I think it affects both of them.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yeah.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

It's all about what the central banks will do here now and you know, how much the interest rate will go up and so on. I'm not the man to give any better forecast on that than anyone else.

Max Bacco
Equity Research Analyst, ABG

Yeah. Okay, perfect. That was all from me. Thank you very much again.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Thank you, Max.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Georg Attling from Pareto Securities. Please go ahead.

Georg Attling
Equity Research Analyst, Pareto Securities

Good morning Jonas and Josefine . Thanks for taking my questions. I also have the question on Plantasjen. Can you just describe the year-over-year performance on the days where the weather has been similar to last year? That would be my first question.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

No, I can't actually. Maybe we can provide you with that. I can say the weather was quite good during the Easter weekend. When we saw days with better or the same weather as last year, we actually had very good sales. I can't tell you. I mean, we actually have our own meteorological statistics in Plantasjen. They follow this very closely, and we have an agreement with Yr in Norway to follow up the weather. I'm sorry, I can't answer your specific question. I will get in contact with the management in Plantasjen and see if we can provide you with that year.

Georg Attling
Equity Research Analyst, Pareto Securities

Okay, thanks. That'd be great. And then my second question is regarding acquisitions. Would you consider acquisitions in the public markets given the valuation decreases we've obviously seen, or is it still strictly private companies that you value?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

No, we are not excluding public bids. It has to be in the sectors where we want to grow and where sort of our investment criteria are met. We will not sort of go buying something just because they have a low valuation or anything like that. We have a very clear industrial strategy going forward. The companies in them should be more and more similar and have more and more synergies between each other. That will be our focus going forward. We're not excluding public transactions.

Georg Attling
Equity Research Analyst, Pareto Securities

Okay. And then my final question on Knightec, obviously very strong growth if you look to LTM. What is, like, a reasonable level to assume going forward? Would it be like double-digit growth organically, or what's your expectations for Knightec's growth going forward?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yeah, I mean, Knightec had like 19% organic growth. We should take the pandemic into consideration, that number, adjusting for that, were like 17, 14%. I think they're actually able to continue with double-digit organic growth. We will come back to that when Knightec is within the family and when we report the Q3 numbers. I've had the opportunity to not only meet with the strong management team, I've actually had the opportunity to meet the top 80 managers in Knightec. I want to reiterate that I'm quite impressed of the company.

I had a good view of them, but learning to know them, we got more and more impressed about what they have achieved.

Georg Attling
Equity Research Analyst, Pareto Securities

Okay. Would you say the LTM growth figure is positively affected by the pandemic? Or is it? How should we look at that?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

No, no. Now we are in Q2, so not really. If you look on the year 2021, the beginning there, I think we had a pandemic effect, of course. I think the LTM numbers are very strong. I haven't seen such strong organic growth in any company in this sector with size. I'm not gonna promise you it will continue on this level, but for sure, we expect continued strong organic growth.

Georg Attling
Equity Research Analyst, Pareto Securities

Okay, thanks. That's all for me.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

You know this year, but it's not so far away from our Q3 report and Q3, of course, is a small quarter for companies in this sector, giving the summer holiday and the fact that professional services is quite a big part of the business. LTM numbers, yes.

Operator

We have one more question from the line of Rasmus Engberg from Handelsbanken. Please go ahead.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yes. Hi, good morning. Can you hear me?

Jonas Ågrup
CFO, Ratos

Yes, we can.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Hi, Rasmus. Good to hear you.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Hi. Excellent. Good. I was very impressed by the development in the Construction and Services division, 11% organic growth. How should we think about this going forward? I know you have quite a lot of longer term projects, but I guess this level must be expected to come down going forward or how do you look at that? Really, what's your expectations in general for the construction business in the coming, sort of, two quarters or so?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yeah. You know, we have decided not to give forecasts in general, but we have a strong order backlog. We expect Construction and Services to continue to grow, but I won't give you any number.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Mm-hmm. Good. That's good enough. You say you have very small exposure to residential. Do you have a figure for your residential exposure, roughly? Is it 10% or something like that?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

We could come back to you with. My guess is less than 10%.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm. Just trying to understand the contribution from Aibel. Would that be fairly similar to your what you have in the P&L as profit and loss from investments according to the equity method? Is that-

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yes.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Is that a rough indicator?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yes.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yes, it is. It's the same number.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Good. Very good.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

ABL is stronger than ever.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yes. These contracts that you've signed now, how long are they? Is it, you know, you've secured your growth for years or how does it look?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Yeah. It's long contracts lasting, I mean, typical three years.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah. Very good.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

So they can be quite selective choosing products. They have extremely good reputations. It's not the projects that are over in two, three, four quarters. It's long projects. I mean, what we have press released is these massive orders, but there is also a lot of maintenance going on for existing platforms, et cetera. They have a very strong order backlog.

Josefine Uppling
Head of Communication and Sustainability, Ratos

You can also see some more information in the press release about sail away for the first part of the project and so forth.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yeah. Good. Just a final question on Diab. You know, even the market is weaker than we had thought at the start of the year. Do you think we're heading for worse than Q2 earnings in Diab, or will your savings sort of offset some of that? What's your general feeling in terms of Diab going forward?

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

I can just reiterate that we will show the results of the restructuring program will start to show during 2022. There is just two quarters left.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Yes.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

You have to draw your conclusions from that.

Rasmus Engberg
Senior Equity Analyst, Handelsbanken

Okay. Yeah. All right. Very good. No further questions from me. Thank you.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Thank you, Rasmus. Thank you for joining us.

Josefine Uppling
Head of Communication and Sustainability, Ratos

Thanks.

Operator

As there are no further questions, I'll hand it back to the speakers.

Josefine Uppling
Head of Communication and Sustainability, Ratos

No further questions in my inbox either.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

All right, Josefine and Jonas. I want to thank all of you for listening in to this call, and I'm looking forward to talk to you again in connection with the Q3 report, and I'm happy to meet you before that as well, of course. I wish you all a great summer. I hope you get some holiday, and the heat is coming into Sweden now, at least this week. Have a great vacation for you who have the opportunity.

Operator

This concludes our conference call. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect your lines.

Jonas Wiström
President and CEO, Ratos

Thank you.

Josefine Uppling
Head of Communication and Sustainability, Ratos

Thank you very much.

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