Senzime AB (publ) (STO:SEZI)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2023

Oct 26, 2023

Moderator

Good morning, and very welcome to Erik Penser Bank and this morning's live presentation of the nine-month interim report of Senzime. Here to present the nine-month report is CEO Philip Siberg. Very welcome.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Good morning.

Moderator

Go ahead with the presentation, please.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

All right. Thank you. Thank you very much. I'm here to kind of give the highlights of the Q3 report that we just published this morning here in Sweden. Senzime, just a brief recap. You know, we are a Swedish-headquartered medical device company. We're in the midst of a technology and clinical shift, where we are providing monitoring solutions to help eliminate complications as a result of anesthesia, and also as a result of opioids and other medications as you are in the perioperative mode of the hospital value chain. We have a commercial infrastructure in over 30 countries with the main focus on the U.S. and Germany, but also distribution and license partners. We are a Nasdaq main market company listed, with long-term investors backing us up.

So a little bit about Q3. I think we had a nice Q3 with a strong continued growth rate. And most important also, we secured long-term funding in the company. So just the highlights, we reached sales of SEK 9.2 million, a growth rate of 146% in the quarter, and year to date, above 160%. The growth was driven, mainly by strong U.S. business, but also growth in all markets. We had a number of key wins. I'll come back to those. Product gross margin continues to improve over time in the company. We reached just under 70%, year to date.

We also announced that we ramped up our operational capacity and our production capacity, which we're now delivering on, and we did two directed share issues during the quarter that I will comment on, that raised SEK 173 million. So, to give a feel for where we are, we've had a nice, really hockey stick inflection point happening this winter. As a result, I think, the new clinical guidelines has been a good catalyst to this. So we are trailing at about SEK 30 million in run rate, but by the end of the quarter, we have an even stronger run rate, so up towards SEK 50 million. So, consumables are, of course, the most important. You can see a small, little, tiny dip here in the last quarter.

I think it's mostly a result of orders coming in, you know, the day after the quarter, so nothing really there to comment in any way on. The installed base of TetraGraph systems continues to grow. We are closing up towards the 2,000 mark. We are well in line with delivering on these production goals that we announced in early July. And the number of sensors, which is the important, really, business driver and margin driver here, continues to grow very well over the year. So we announced three key deals during the quarter, and then we had another major deal on the East Coast of the U.S. that we announced just after the quarter.

But to give a comment, the first one was a leading U.S. university hospital system in the southern part of California. It was 70 TetraGraphs that we announced that we will install over time. That deal has actually gone quicker than we thought, and they're already deploying and installing, and starting to use the systems. We won another major competitive evaluation order from another top 10 U.S.-rated hospital systems, also in California. That was 110 TetraGraph monitoring systems. Quite a good initial order value for us there, and probably in and around SEK 5 million in run rate revenue on consumables over time as it's fully deployed. And that's also now up and running right now as we speak.

And then we also announced a contract with one of the leading US IDNs, integrated delivery networks, which is a longer-term contract, but we've started to deliver already. This has a huge opportunity, and it's covering most of the Western US region. So just, you know, it just summarizes, like, why are we winning these types of deals? Yes, I mean, I would summarize it into three categories. Senzime is perceived out there as really the trusted vendor. We are the only company in our niche that is publicly traded. We have a legacy of over 40 years of research and development.

Most of our technology and ideas are sprung out of the leading Mayo Clinic, and this is developed over a lengthy period of time, as I said, with strong base in Uppsala. Second one is we are really perceived as the leading solution provider. We have the sharpest algorithm. We have now the fifth generation electromyography or EMG algorithm that really provides a very accurate response. It's a very simple solution now to use with auto-calibration. We can connect to most of electronic health records and external patient monitors. And now we have a very broad portfolio of electrodes that are used for both adults, for kids, and also for patients with sensitive skin. And then the third really bullet why we're winning the deals is the commercial excellence.

We have a brilliant clinical team that helps to support, to do the introduction, to deploy, to train. So we have that both in the U.S. and Germany, but also in support with our distribution partners around the world. So the really, the inflection point for us as a company has been these new type of guidelines. I mean, this is a picture here showing the number of guidelines in our space that has developed over the last 10+ years. The big driver was when the U.K. came, 2021, but then as the European and the U.S. came this winter, that was really when the inflection point. That's when you start to get the pull from hospitals.

The guidelines are in summary saying that all patients that receive paralytic drugs as part of their anesthesia, which is in and around 100 million patients a year, they should all be monitored with a quantitative, objective neuromuscular monitor, and that's exactly what we're offering to the markets. So for us, it's important from a business perspective to monitor the utilization rate. How much are these used once they get out there? And we had a small little dip here, you can see in the Q3. It's a very small... I'm not concerned about it. It's mostly that we had a quite large volume of deliveries of monitors that are not yet fully in full use.

So if you look at kind of our what we define as key deployed accounts, the ones that we really, really are focusing on, they are up towards the 4.0 level, which meaning four TetraSens electrodes used per monitor and week. But if you really nail down to the markets, so this is the to the left here is the U.S. market. We're seeing a nice positive trend, where we are above the 4.0 level already. And if you look at the German market, we are also having a nice trend. So it's a little bit just depending on the regional mix here. I'd like to point out one. So we have one interesting customer in Germany.

So, we're seeing in Europe an increasing trend of using our solutions as part of da Vinci and types of robotic surgery. So these patients require a very deep neuromuscular blockade. They need to be absolutely paralyzed to stay perfectly still, and in these instances, it's very important to have an objective, very sharp monitor to do this. And this is just a, you know, a major clinic in Munich showing that once we get in there, and this was a deployment that took about a year, and then it took six months to really ramp up. So they are doing more than two surgeries a day. So this is a utilization rate way above 10 patients a week. So this is a very nice niche market for us as it develops.

So I've shown this slide before to those of you who follow the company. It's understanding how do we actually create value over these soon-to-be 2,000 deployed TetraGraph monitors, but we're still working very diligently to increase utilization. Because the more they're used, the more value these TetraGraphs are driving. And just to give a feel again, that when they are in what I define as a decently full use, which is four patients a week or more, they typically provide up towards SEK 50,000 a year in run rate. And as you see, if you get up to these top tiers, like we had in Germany, we have run rate revenues over SEK 100,000 a year. So our installed base of customers is something we also very track. We continue to grow our hospital base.

Now, end of Q3 was just a little above 161 hospitals. These are the hospitals that we can follow and monitor, so it excludes what we're doing in Japan, it excludes what we're doing in South Korea, and also smaller distribution markets. So it's more to follow the progression of our business. So, a comment on the ExSpiron system that we acquired last year from Respiratory Motion, the company we acquired in Boston. We continue to really focus on value creation there as well. We are continuing to integrate it into our sales networks. We have defined a very clear leadership for the business unit itself. We are signing up new distribution partners. It's just a bit, a little bit of a longer sales cycle right now than the TetraGraph.

So this is more where the TetraGraph was probably 18-24 months ago, but it's moving on, and there are studies more and more confirming the clinical value of following minute ventilation, following the breathing. That is a very early and good predictor of length of stay and helping to find... If you can predict early that you're having breathing problems, then you can understand how to treat the patient and get them quicker out of the postoperative care. Operation efficiencies. So we continue, we moved whole production to Uppsala a few years ago. That continues to help to boost our product and gross margin, but it's, of course, a mix of portfolio, it's a mix of regional sales, but also controlled production.

But we are now trailing 68.7% year-over-year over a rolling 12 months, and also had a nice gross margin in absolute terms in the quarter. And of course, operational efficiencies and operational control is very important, too. We continue to kind of, you know, every single little Swedish Krona matters here, as well as dollars. So I'm seeing a trend here that our operating expenses are actually starting to get lower. We've had a number of one-time effects in the past, but if you look at Q3 versus Q2, et cetera, we're seeing a nice kind of slowing trend, but also, as I pointed out toward, I want to flatten this out now as we grow the business. Okay, so to strengthen our long-term financials during the quarter, we, we conducted two directed share issues.

We did this in two tranches to really make it fair for the shareholders. So we did one for SEK 56 million in August, and then we did another one as the market captured that, which was SEK 117 million for a slightly higher price of 650. And that is still pending final. It's with the Swedish Bolagsverket to get the shares out, but everything is clear, and these are now registered. So we raised SEK 173 million, and we raised it more or less at market price, so no huge discounts, and I think this is a sign of institutional owners believing in what we do. The Crafoord family and the foundation remains our largest shareholder, but the ones that came in were predominantly the new Segulah Medical Acceleration, a dedicated med-tech fund.

We also had Carnegie funds come in, and also support by the Fourth AP Fund, Handelsbanken, Swedbank Robur, et cetera. We announced also that we are cross-listing our share in the U.S. We have quite a investor base in the U.S. So this is pending to go live by the end of October, meaning that you can very easily then also trade our Senzime share in the U.S. market during U.S. opening hours and in U.S. dollars. And I think this is. We're doing this as a result of interest for the company, interest from U.S. shareholders, and, and to help drive interest in our most important commercial market.

Okay, so to wrap up, this is the golden equation that I use to visualize where are we heading, and I've shown this similarly before, but if we can capture 300 hospitals here, and we can have them to run approximately 30 TetraGraphs on average per hospital, with a utilization rate of 4 TetraSens per week, then this correlates to roughly SEK 300 million in just consumable sales. So this kind of visualizes where we're heading, and this is in line with our financial targets that we've announced. So we are really in a, you know, it's such an exciting phase. I was just back from the large American anesthesia meeting, which is once a year, and it was, I must say, one of the best medical device shows ever.

We are really in the midst of a technology and clinical shift. We have a brilliant portfolio of products and a very strong team, so I'm very excited about the future to come. Thank you very much.

Moderator

Okay, thank you so much-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Thank you.

Moderator

For your presentation, and I would like to start with the classical sports journalist question. How satisfied are you with the quarter?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

No, I think the team—I'm very satisfied. The team has done a fantastic job. It's so satisfying to see that after all these years of hard work and development, it's started to pay off.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

We have a long journey ahead of us, but we're taking very important steps on the way.

Moderator

Yeah, what have been the most challenging during the quarter, would you say?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah, of course, it's always been a hard work with securing long-term funding.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

So it just takes time. There's a lot of work to it, but I'm very happy now that we have that finalized and set, and now we have the funds we need to really secure our long-term growth plan.

Moderator

I guess the financing, that has taken much of your attention-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

It does. Yeah, yeah.

Moderator

Yeah.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

It takes a lot of attention. But it's been a very smooth process. By doing directed share issues, it's a very, you know... As compared to rights issues, which are good, too, it's very quick and very efficient-

Moderator

Mm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

-and very cheap.

Moderator

You have had a very strong quarter looking at the inflow of new deals.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah.

Moderator

Quite large deals as well. Are you satisfied with the current organization to be able to deliver on these, both-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah

Moderator

... when it comes to installation and production?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Absolutely. I mean, production, by far, we've already expanded our capacity, so we're delivering to this very quickly. The US team, where we've had these specific orders, are absolutely fantastic. So they are a team of ICU and operating room nurses who are out there supporting and helping, and right now we have six of our team at one large hospital system in the US, and they're very methodically getting, helping to create the standards, the protocols to get this up and running, so. So it's really helping the hospitals to reach their goals and targets, and patient safety kind of recommendations.

Moderator

Mm-hmm. Great. And you mentioned during your presentation that you're in the leading position, I guess. Could you make a ballpark guess how large market position do you have today?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah, difficult question. I mean, our market segment, we have a number of competitors and friends, I would say, who are, like us, advancing the digital new shift into the electromyography space.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

My peers and friends, there are more private companies who I, you know, we don't really know their numbers. But then we have the other competitors, which is the large companies doing the old analog acceleromyography, where you measure the thumb acceleration. And there you have Philips Healthcare, GE Healthcare, the large companies.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

So, I would, you know, I would say we are the leader in the new digital segment here. That's how I define it.

Moderator

Perfect. Perfect. You have won a lot of deals, but I guess you also have lost some deals. What would be the reason why you are not winning a deal?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Because we're probably, we can't be everywhere.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

You know, I'm proud to say that I'm seeing that we're winning the deals we are working with.

Moderator

Yeah.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

But if we look at U.S., again, it's a large market. We cannot cover every single deal out there, and you know, I think it's good that there's a number of companies. We need to drive this together. You know, I, we're almost like an alliance to help make this clinical shift. So, there's enough space for everybody out there.

Moderator

Yeah.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

But there are different. We all have a little bit different specifications. Some have different types of business models, so it's whatever the hospitals prefer. So I wouldn't say again. I don't see us losing any deals that we are directly working on.

Moderator

Mm-hmm. Maybe if you could comment on your order backlogs, so to speak, going into the Q4? Maybe not in numbers, but broadly at least.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah, so, this is a new era for us, where we have order backlogs. I don't really have... I can't really comment on the number right here, but, I mean, we're seeing a backlog in terms of we're now working to install a lot of monitors who are, you know, successfully growing into a more full deployed phase. So, that will generate revenues over time. Yeah.

Moderator

Mm-hmm. And I also believe you're learning during this journey a lot of things, so makes you a stronger, perhaps, player-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah

Moderator

... how to install and drive up the utilization rates.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah.

Moderator

Do you still see, I mean, you have shown previously about a sort of an idea how fast we should expect-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yes

Moderator

... this utilization-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah

Moderator

... rate to go up. It is still, valid?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

I think so. If I look at our other large hospital systems and the rapid rate of utilization, you know, it's everything from 3 to 9s, 3 to 12 months. But I would say the average takes 3 to 6 months to get full deployed.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

You, it's all about just convincing and getting the protocols in place, and then getting every single operating room and every single team to understand this is the new standard. This, the paradigm shift, is here, and this needs to be done.

Moderator

Is it your feeling that also the anesthesiologists more are in a way accepting this shift to this technology?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah

Moderator

... as well?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

It is, definitely. So back from this big, American Society of Anesthesiologists meeting, there was large discussions, large, focus groups. Again, they're pushing that, "You need to do this now. These are the new practice recommendations." And, this is a very strong driver in medical device business because somehow, suddenly you get the pull from the business.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

You're not trying to just push out this new, fantastic technology. Rather, it's just that you need to do it. And then the timeframe for people to really adopt that just, it varies from other priorities, but it's really happening-

Moderator

Mm

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

... here and now.

Moderator

Maybe you would like to elaborate a little bit what, what you were doing during this conference? Did you have presentations?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

We... Yeah, we had lots of presentations. We had demonstrations for clinicians. My colleagues probably did over hundreds of... It's a very nice product to demo because you give these small, little electrical current, which creates a twitch, and then you in real time see how the response of your nervous system and the monitor. So very... it's nice to demo, but I feel sorry sometimes for my clinical personnel because, you know, they get these electrical currents... all the day. But so it's powerful, and we just had the fortune. We had our inventor and original founder, Sorin Brull, the professor from Mayo Clinic there, and he pulls a big crowd of people just to-

Moderator

Yeah

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

... everybody wants to be in and around him, so.

Moderator

Yeah. And how important is it for your success so far?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Oh, he is a very important, very important. He is the brain, he is the eminence of this industry.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

He's been doing this for such a long time, and now that he is a professor emeritus, so he has more time to really dedicate for us, and so he's out of the... He's out of the operating room now and really helping us to drive this.

Moderator

Sounds very good. Would like to jump to the European market.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah, yeah.

Moderator

You see a nice uptick in sales, but not in the same way as in the U.S. If you could describe a little bit-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah

Moderator

... what's happening.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

So the shift is happening in the European market, too, but the European market has had more of a history of having these acceleromyography. It's already established. So there, we are moving more towards an analog to digital shift, and typically, I mean, we've had a lot of new accounts, but it's a little bit slower uptick. They buy 1, 2, and then they buy 3, 4, 5. It just grows over time, but I'm seeing—I'm very proud of Germany, who has been working methodically-

Moderator

Mm

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

... and now starting to see good traction. We're also seeing traction in the distribution markets, and so Europe has the same market opportunity as the U.S.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

It's just probably the U.S. is a little bit quicker right now in adopting the guidelines.

Moderator

Do you see large tenders going on in Europe?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

We're seeing that, too, and we're seeing more and more tenders that are constructed where they're requiring the EMG-based technology that we're having.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

For example, when it's robotic surgery, they just, you know, well, if we buy the robots, you know, we need the Senzime type of technology to it.

Moderator

Is it possible to take advantage of this, of the success you have so far in the U.S., translated into the European market?

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

I think so. Yeah, yeah. So I mean, this is a market where it's very transparent now, and they, they see what's going on, and when I came back from the... The American meeting attracts a lot of Europeans, and when there's a European society meeting, there's also Americans. So it's all intermingled, and they see what's-

Moderator

Yeah

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

... what's best practice.

Moderator

Perfect. You touched upon the run rate. If you-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah

Moderator

... just could, perhaps tell us a little bit more what, what you see ahead of you or go-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Sorry. No, I think that the run rate is developing well. We have a beautiful business model with selling monitors that are running and creating recurring revenues over time, and the lifetime value, as I've described, is lengthy, and I think a monitor, once installed, has a lifetime of at least 5-7 years.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Hopefully we can just replace with a new system. I, you know, I foresee the run rate continue, and I remain confident and happy about our financial guidance, that we can long term reach these revenue targets. We can create a long-term EBITDA margin of in excess of 40%, so. Now we have the financial backing to make those kind of targets happen.

Moderator

Very good. Lastly, let's touch upon the ExSpiron system-

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yes

Moderator

... and if you could give us a sort of an idea when you believe you, we could see, some material in- ... revenues.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah, yeah. So, we announced the- we did this first license deal in Q2, where we licensed out the technology to a Chinese player, and we're having a number of interesting industrial and commercial discussions with different players. We're trying to find smart ways to the market. It's an operational challenge for me because we're seeing such a drive for the TetraGraph, and our small sales force, where should we focus time and effort-

Moderator

Mm

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

... right now? So I'm trying to duplicate that. But we, we're working methodically, and we're working to find the value that we, you know... We acquired this because we saw a strategic fit.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

There is a very nice strategic fit. But right now, the speed is so much quicker for the TetraGraph, so I'm just trying to deliberate, but it will come.

Moderator

Yeah.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Yeah.

Moderator

Perfect. Thank you so much, Philip, and congratulations for a very nice quarter.

Philip Siberg
CEO, Senzime

Thank you very much. Thank you for being here.

Moderator

Thank you for listening.

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