Storskogen Group AB (publ) (STO:STOR.B)
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May 5, 2026, 3:13 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q3 2025

Nov 5, 2025

Operator

Now I will hand the conference over to the CEO, Christer Hansson, and CFO, Lena Glader. Please go ahead.

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Good morning and welcome to the presentation of Storskogen's report for the third quarter of 2025. I'm Christer Hansson, CEO of Storskogen, and with me today is Lena Glader, our CFO. A continued focus on operational execution continued to be the key during the quarter, especially in the light of the uncertain global environment. We have strengthened our balance sheet and financial position, which enabled us to selectively pursue acquisitions to support our long-term growth. More on this shortly, but let's start with an overview of Storskogen. Storskogen is a diversified international business group with sales of about SEK 33 billion over the last 12 months, an Adjusted EBITDA of SEK 3.2 billion spread across our three business areas. At the end of the third quarter, we consisted of 114 business units, with an average annual sales of about SEK 290 million.

Before we move into the highlights for the quarter, I want to mention that Peter Ahlgren, after 11 years in operational leadership at Storskogen, has decided to step down as Head of Services and member of the management team. A process to appoint his successor is underway, and Peter will remain in his role until the transition is complete. I'm pleased that Peter will continue to support Storskogen in an advisory role, and on behalf of the entire company, I want to thank him for his instrumental contributions since joining Storskogen as the first employee beyond the founders. Let's move on to the highlights for the quarter. Our third quarter of 2025 is in line with last year if adjusting for divestments and FX. This corresponds to sales of about SEK 8 billion, an Adjusted EBITDA of SEK 759 million, and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.5% for the quarter.

Our organic sales growth for the first nine months of 2025 is at 1%. While Q3 organic sales growth is at 4% and flat organic EBITDA growth. Overall, we continue to manage a challenging environment well. Our focus is on improving profitability, and our companies are making steady progress with its initiatives to support organic growth. We refinanced our last outstanding bond with short maturity. This was done at an improved rate, in fact, the lowest we've achieved so far. With this refinance, we don't have any maturities until the second half of 2027. Next, under the AGM mandate, the board has decided to initiate a share buyback with the purpose of optimizing Storskogen's capital structure by reduction of the capital and to create an increased value for the Storskogen shareholders.

Subject to AGM 2026 approval, repurchased shares could be used to secure the delivery of shares to participants of current and future incentive programs. Storskogen continues to generate strong cash flows. This has allowed us to seize the opportunity for share buyback, in addition to our main priorities to grow organically as well as through acquisitions. Our most recent platform acquisition is Frameda, a platform investment in professional hair care in Finland, which completes our Nordic footprint. I'd like to turn briefly to our cash flow performance, which underpins both of the actions just mentioned, the share buyback, as well as the acquisition of Frameda. Our continued strong cash flow over the past two years has played a key role in achieving today's financial position.

The third quarter is typically softer than Q2 and Q4, and as highlighted in the Q2 report, payments for a few larger projects in Q2 were received in the early days of Q3, effectively reversing the usual pattern between Q2 and Q3 this year. On the right-hand side of this slide, you can see how cash flow evens out when viewed on an LTM basis. This view eliminates the effects of seasonal and timing variations, providing a more accurate picture of underlying performance, showing a consistently strong level of operating cash flow over time. Maintaining strong cash flow generation year after year is fundamental. It supports our balance sheet, enables strategic initiatives such as selective acquisitions, and underpins our long-term growth. Next, I want to draw your attention to the net sales and EBITDA margin.

Net sales was in line with last year, where divestments had an impact of - 2%. The remaining change is a result of effects of - 2% offset by organic growth of 4% in the quarter. Our Adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter is now 9.5% compared to 9.8% a year ago. The decrease is largely explained by effects from divestments, FX, and lower central costs. Similar to our cash flow, the rolling 12-month numbers at the right are most relevant, given the seasonal variation. As you can see from the left side to the right side, we have improved or maintained our LTM margin since the start of 2024. Now let's take a closer look at the performance of our business areas. First, services. Services reported net sales of SEK 2.2 billion, down 6%, mainly reflecting divestments and our deliberate choice to step back from projects with insufficient margins.

This explains the negative organic sales while improving our EBITDA growth so far this year. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to SEK 239 million for the quarter, down 9% year on year, and corresponding to a margin of 10.8%, slightly below last year. On a rolling 12-month basis, the margin improved to 11.5%, supported by ongoing efficiency measures and mentioned focus on profitability. The third quarter is normally affected by the summer slowdown. Demand among companies exposed to construction, primarily found in infrastructure services, remained muted, while business services continued to perform well. Looking ahead, the fourth quarter is normally stronger, with several companies entering their high season. Market conditions remain mixed, but sentiment is gradually improving. During the quarter, we also added two new platforms that I will mention a bit later.

Looking at Trade, in the third quarter, the Trade business reported net sales of SEK 2.3 billion, an increase of 3% year on year. For the first nine months, we are in positive territory for organic sales, but slightly negative still for EBITDA. However, I'm happy that we are seeing improvement sentiment, which is also evident in our recorded positive sales and EBITDA growth for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 4% in the quarter to SEK 211 million, corresponding to a margin of 9%. On a rolling 12-month basis, the margin improved to 8.4% from 8.0% a year ago, supported by continued cost control, efficiency initiatives, and support from a stronger SEK. In consumer products, growth was driven by health and beauty and sports accessories, while interior design companies improved margins despite soft demand.

Professional products saw slightly higher sales but somewhat weaker profitability, largely due to the continued muted construction markets. Looking ahead, the fourth quarter is typically stronger, with major sales periods ahead. In the third quarter, Industry reported net sales of SEK 3.5 billion, an increase of 1% compared with last year. For the first nine months, sales decreased by 1%, with organic sales growth of 4%. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 7% to SEK 329 million in the quarter, corresponding to a margin of 9.5% compared with 10.3% a year ago. On a rolling 12-month basis, the margin was 10.1%. The decline mainly reflects soft demand among companies with larger production facilities, primarily in industrial technologies and product solutions, resulting in a lower capacity utilization. In contrast, project-oriented companies, especially in automation, saw solid demand and improved profitability year on year.

Across the business area, the focus remains on sales growth, cost efficiency, and productivity improvements, measures that are expected to support profitability going forward. Order intake was solid in the quarter, and order books for the fourth quarter remained strong and of high quality. While macroeconomic uncertainty and currency volatility make the timing of a broader recovery difficult to predict, structural trends such as automation, digitalization, and green transition continue to support growth. During the quarter, one add-on acquisition was completed by Deep, strengthening its offering with a cable management system. Before we move into the details of recent acquisition, I'd like to take a moment to revisit our capital allocation model. It starts with capital we have available, generated through strong operating cash flows and financial management. From there, we allocate capital in two directions. The first is organic expansion.

This includes CapEx and OpEx to strengthen operations, drive sales, or efficiency efforts within our existing portfolio. The second is acquisitions, either to form new platforms or add-ons to our existing business units, to expand their offering, or to unlock synergies. Our guiding principle remains the same: to allocate capital where it delivers the highest and most sustainable return. If we look at our capital allocation over the past 12 months, we generated strong operating cash flows of about SEK 3 billion. A portion of this has been reinvested into business through expansion CapEx and lease payments, while the remainder represents capital allocation. During the period, we have deployed capital towards selective acquisitions and minority share buyouts, while the majority, about SEK 900 million, has been directed to debt reduction.

Turning to the third quarter specifically, this illustration highlights that it is primarily from Q3 onward that the growing share of available capital is now being directed towards acquisitions and minority share buyouts, reflecting that capital allocation is once again shifting towards growth, a shift we expect to continue. Before we move on, let me briefly touch on the M&A activity. Up until today, we have completed three platform acquisitions and three add-ons. We mentioned two of the platform acquisitions during our Q2 presentation: LEP, a Swiss provider of digital solutions for the healthcare sector with strong recurring revenues and exposure to our digitalization and health and well-being themes. Carigently, a U.K. based niche logistics operator serving tech and healthcare, the business completes our existing stop-start transport business, adding synergies and further exposure to the digitalization and health and well-being theme.

Today, we have announced the acquisition of Frameda, a Helsinki-based distributor of professional hair care products, and Frameda completes our Nordic presence and fits squarely within our health and well-being theme. Turning to the add-on previously announced, in services of Shimney Sweeping Group, Sovent made a small add-on in the first quarter in the industry that mapped our baking machinery manufacturer, completing an add-on in Q2, strengthening its recurring revenue base, and also in industry Vibe, the cable ladder manufacturer, closing its acquisition or pushback in Q3, expanding its offering within our energy and infrastructure investment theme. In total, these acquisitions contribute to about SEK 300 million in sales with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of about 23%. That concludes my remarks for now. Over to you, Lena.

Lena Glader
CFO, Storskogen

Thank you, Christer.

Let us start with the Q3 financials on the first page here, showing the financials adjusted, or the P&L rather, adjusted for items affecting comparability. Christer mentioned the net sales in the third quarter of SEK 8 billion, unchanged from last year. For the first nine months, sales declined 5% to SEK 24.4 billion. I will show a detailed sales bridge separately. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 1% and EBITDA by 3% in the third quarter. Both were down 3% year to date. There is an element here of mixed effect, whereby sales growth, which was 4% organic in the third quarter, has come from businesses with structurally somewhat lower margins. EBIT came in at SEK 587 million, down 2%, with a margin of 7.4% compared to 7.5% in Q3 last year.

The biggest change, however, in the P&L is on the net financials items of SEK -138 million in the quarter, which is 43% lower year on year, driven by a significant SEK 68 million reduction in interest costs. Lower costs and a reduced effective tax rate, coming down from 29% to 25%. Helped lift net profit by 36% in Q3 and by 20% year to date. Looking at some of the financial KPIs, adjusted EPS grew by 40% to SEK 0.18 in Q3 and by 28% for the first nine months. I'll come back to this. Adjusted return on equity reached 6.4% for the last 12 months, up more than two percentage points year on year. Our ambition is to continue improving our return on equity by reducing financial costs and growing operating profits.

The same goes for the return on capital employed, which was 10.3% and 25.5% net of goodwill. As stated before, we remain focused on managing working capital, driving operating profit growth, and complementing now with value creative acquisitions such as the ones Christer just showed to continue improving our return on capital employed going forward. A few words also on the reported profit and loss statement for the quarter, which is broadly consistent with the adjusted results. Adjustments in the third quarter amount to approximately SEK +10 million, which reduces the adjusted results by the same amount. These adjustments relate to the revaluation of earn-out liabilities. Looking at the nine-month period, however, reported net profit for 2025 includes items affecting comparability of SEK - 100 million, the bulk of which related to the bond refinancing in June this year.

Last year's nine-month period includes SEK -1 billion in EO items related to the portfolio divestments made last year. Turning to the year-to-date sales bridge, on this page, we break down the contribution to sales from organic, structural changes, and currency effects, such as what Christer just mentioned. Organic sales + 1% year to date and + 4% in Q3. FX reduced sales by 2% and divestments by - 4% year to date. In Q3, not shown separately here, divestments had a - 2% impact on sales. The last divestment we made was in Q4 last year, which is expected to affect Q4 growth this year by about one percentage point. That's a negative, of course. We're pleased to see overall that both acquired and organic growth contribute with a stronger impact in Q3 than on the year-to-date figures shown here.

Let's move to the corresponding EBITDA bridge for the first nine months. Overall, EBITDA declined by 3%, as mentioned before. The main drivers behind this change are, first of all, lower group costs combined with divestments and acquisitions, adding about 4 percentage points to EBITDA year to date. Further, currency translation had a negative impact of 2%, reflecting pure translation effects, so when converting earnings from other currencies into Swedish krona. Finally, organic EBITDA growth was down 5% year to date. It's worth noting that roughly one-third of this decline comes from transactional currency effects related to balance sheet revaluations, primarily within our industry segment. For the isolated third quarter, included in these numbers, of course, organic EBITDA growth was approximately flat, with no transactional currency effects during the quarter. Over to EPS growth here on the next slide.

This page shows our adjusted EPS, or earnings per share growth, on a rolling 12-month basis. The bars illustrate sales development. While organic sales growth has been positive year to date, reported sales declined due to divestments and currency, as highlighted earlier. However, where we see a significant improvement is in earnings per share, which have grown for six consecutive quarters in Q3 alone by 40% year on year. This positive trend is driven by three key factors. First, lower net financial costs on the back of ongoing debt reduction supported by strong cash flows and the full refinancing of our debt portfolio, which has significantly lowered our interest margins as well. Overall, lower absolute debt and lower margins on the debt improves the net financials. Second, the fact that we bought back minority shares, hence increasing the parent company's share of net profit, also enhances EPS.

Third, a lower effective tax rate achieved through internal restructuring that enables more efficient interest deductions. In addition, of course, lower base rates from central banks have provided some support to net profits as well. Let's move over to our cash flow statement for the third quarter. First, following up from the previous page, our work on the tax side has reduced paid income tax by 24% year on year, down to SEK 116 million. Next, change in net working capital was SEK -88 million, reflecting a slight build-up during the quarter. No single line item stands out here, but inventory increased slightly ahead of anticipated seasonally higher Q4 sales, driven by events such as Black Friday and Christmas, particularly within business area Trade.

Summing up cash flow from operating activities, we reached SEK 659 million in the third quarter, which is about SEK 200 million higher than last year. As Christer mentioned, SEK 3 billion for the last 12-month period. Looking at investments, of the SEK -75 million net investments in non-current assets, CapEx was SEK 112 million, corresponding to a CapEx to sales ratio of 1.4%. Acquisitions and divestments totaled SEK 400 million in Q3. The largest share, SEK 220 million, relates to buybacks of minority shares in existing subsidiaries, while acquisitions amounted to approximately SEK 170 million in cash paid out. Cash flow from financing activities was SEK -185 million, including leasing payments. Putting it all together, our net cash flow for the quarter was approximately zero.

Our cash balance at the end of September was SEK 1.14 billion, with total available liquidity of SEK 4 billion, including cash and unutilized credit facilities. Our cash conversion rate was 80% in the quarter compared to 72% in Q3 last year. It is worth noting here that there can be significant seasonal variations in the cash conversion, which is why we focus on the rolling 12-month figure for cash conversion, showing on the. That we show on the next page. Continuing from the previous page here, the cash conversion is shown here, which is one of our key financial KPIs, of course. The bars illustrate our EBITDA-based cash flow that our cash conversion is based on. This has been between SEK 3.5 billion-SEK 4.5 billion on an LTM basis over this period, as you can see.

Our group target for cash conversion is at least 70% over a 12-month period, shown by the dotted line on this page. Over the last 12 months, our cash conversion rate was 82%, so above target, helped by somewhat lower CapEx. As we have highlighted in previous earnings calls, and we repeat this, the high cash conversion levels of around 100%, which we saw in 2023 and 2024, driven by significant working capital release, are not sustainable. We believe. We have expected this to normalize, and that is what we are seeing here. Looking ahead, our 70% target remains intact, of course, and while we anticipate less working capital release as organic sales growth returns, our focus remains firmly on growing profits. Cash conversion will, however, remain a highly prioritized area for us. Let's move to the condensed balance sheet on the following page.

Our total balance sheet amounts to SEK 42.3 billion. Turning to the debt items over the past 12 months, our total interest-bearing debt has decreased by around SEK 900 million, and net interest-bearing debt is down by SEK 725 million, supported by strong cash flows that we just showed. During the quarter, the net interest-bearing debt remained unchanged. I will return to the net debt and leverage on the next page, but I would also like to note here that our equity ratio has improved to 49%, up from 46% a year ago. You may also note here a 109% increase in short-term interest-bearing liabilities as of. This relates to the bond that we refinanced and repaid in October, so this was after the quarter closing, meaning that we now have no debt maturities until 2027.

Finally, over to this page where you can see our interest-bearing net debt and leverage ratio and how that has developed over the past nine quarters. Our interest-bearing debt at the end of the quarter stood at SEK 10.2 billion, which is essentially unchanged from the second quarter. As a result of unchanged net debt and flat organic profit growth, our leverage ratio also remains stable at 2.4 times, which is comfortably within our target range of 2-3 times. I would like to repeat that our ambition is to keep it below 2.5 times, and that remains unchanged. With that, I will hand over to you, Christer.

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Thank you, Lena. Just the final key takeaways from my side. Now closing the third quarter, of course, our operational focus across our business group continues to be prioritized as we are yielding strong cash flow despite challenging markets.

Our financial position is strong. With no maturities until the second half of 2027, we have significantly lowered interest costs and have a comfortable leverage position. This is allowing us to be gradually resuming our acquisition during the second half of 2025. Lastly, the board has decided to seize the opportunity to initiate a share buyback in line with our AGM mandate. This reflects our confidence in Storskogen's long-term value creation and financial position. Subject to AGM approval, the share buyback could also be used towards our incentive programs. Thank you all for listening, and we look forward to taking your questions.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Dan Johansen from SEB. Please go ahead.

Dan Johansen
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yes, good morning. A couple of questions from my side. Maybe starting a bit on your outlook comments, which sounds a little bit more optimistic now compared to Q2, and in particular Sweden and services trade. That is good. If we look at any change at all throughout the quarter, I mean, did you have a strong September and start of October, for example, or better momentum? Or is it still a little bit hampered by the whole situation and the slowness among global industrials? How do you think about the industry from here? Thank you.

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Thanks, Dan. Industry is, as I said, pretty much in line with the situation that we had in Q2. Automation companies are doing really, really well. However, as you said, some effects of kind of all the industrials, we have not really seen the pickup there yet.

There is kind of a little bit of the same situation as in Q2, I would say.

Dan Johansen
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Okay, very clear. On net financials, very positive development there, as you highlighted. Have you seen the full effect now from all refinancing? Is this the base level that we should expect from assuming unchanged base rate?

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Yeah, pretty much in what you can expect going forward, I would say.

Lena Glader
CFO, Storskogen

I can add that there may be a slight reduction still because the bond that we refinanced in early October, we paid 300 basis points on the previous one and on this one, 265. It is only SEK 1 billion, so that may bring it down a little bit. Of course, interest like central bank rates, let us see where they go.

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Pretty much in line.

Dan Johansen
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yeah, perfect.

Maybe wrapping it up a little bit on your M&A strategy here. You have been able to acquire businesses with a 20% margin in the quarter while paying multiples in line with what you usually pay. Is it fair to assume that M&A will continue to be a margin equity also for the future? And also a little bit on. The pace of M&A going forward. Will it still be selective or will you increase the pace now a little bit gradually as you have a good balance sheet funding situation and typically strong cash flows now in Q4 at least?

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Yeah, looking at it, first of all, we are really, really happy with the acquisitions that we had made. And we're also happy with the pipeline that we're building. Yes, on the question, will it be positive for margins going forward? That is the case.

We are absolutely looking at that. Maybe not all will be about 20%, but absolutely a margin positive. I think we're monitoring this really, really carefully. As we do receive a stronger economy, we could gradually improve and increase the pace. This is something that we are working really, really hard. Of course, it's really, really hard to say exact timing of when you close an acquisition. We are absolutely building a stronger and stronger pipeline for every month that goes by. Looking for really, really good opportunities ahead.

Dan Johansen
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Understood. Thank you for the call. I think it was all from my side now, so I'll jump back into the line. Thank you very much.

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Thank you, Dan.

Operator

The next question comes from Jacob Backman from Nordea. Please go ahead.

Jacob Backman
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Hi, this is Jacob from Nordea. Hope you can hear me well. Three questions from my end.

The first one is looking at trade performance or performance in trade. You commented on an early sign of market recovery and also an industry with solid order book development. Could you expand a bit on how we should view a prospective recovery split across the separate segments?

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Yeah, hi, Jacob. Looking at trade, I think that we have been seeing, especially our consumer-related companies in the quarter, that has had a gradual improvement. That has been much stronger than in the past. There's still some muted also in trade. All around the consumer, I think we're looking forward for a stronger market. That also goes with kind of what we're seeing in the Swedish economy and the consumer confidence. I think that's a sign that we are seeing.

Looking at industry, as I said, it is really kind of hard to exactly view it when kind of the comeback is coming. It's still different. Automation companies are doing really, really well. We're also increasing sales, but to a mixed effect that some of the increase comes into companies with a little bit lower margin. We do see some hesitation still in the market, in industry especially.

Jacob Backman
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Perfect. My question is, you announced buybacks amounting to about 5% of outstanding shares. Where are we standing today with the acquisition multiples in the market in mind? Where do you see the greatest capital allocation opportunities going forward?

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

We announced 100 million. So it's zero point. It's not 5%, so it's less than that. We see this under 1%. We see this as a good opportunity. Together with what we're doing on acquisitions and driving organic growth.

As I said, we also believe that with the mandate of, and if the AGM are agreeing to that, we can also use these shares to our incentive programs and future incentive programs. You should more see it as a part of kind of our ongoing. We're still going to continue with our acquisitions and grow organically. This does not affect that strategy going forward.

Jacob Backman
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Okay, that's clear. My final question is regarding the announcement acquisition and trade after the quarter. Could you elaborate a bit on the margin profile of the acquisition pre-synergies? What do you expect to be able to realize in terms of synergies here?

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Yeah, this is a company really familiar to us. As you know, we have built up a really, really strong position in Sweden, Norway, and Denmark in health and beauty.

I mean, prior to this acquisition, I think it's around SEK 3 billion of sales. We have a super strong position, especially in professional hair care in Norway and Sweden and Denmark. Finland has been a kind of a white spot for that, and Frameda will fit perfectly into that group of companies. We will have positive effects of some brands that we have in our other companies that will be able to sell that in Finland, and the opposite, where Frameda has some own brands that we probably can sell in our companies in Norway and Sweden. On the margin, they are also kind of trending north of 20%, and we believe that that's the case going forward.

We see that there will be some great opportunities for Frameda to come into the family of other professional hair care distributors that we have kind of really built up in this group.

Jacob Backman
Equity Research Analyst, Nordea

Okay, that's all from me. Thank you very much.

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Thanks, Jacob.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. There are no more questions at this time, so I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Christer Hansson
CEO, Storskogen

Thank you for the questions. Thank you for listening. From our side here at Storskogen, we hope you have a great day and a great rest of the week. Thank you all.

Lena Glader
CFO, Storskogen

Thank you.

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