Rieter Holding AG (SWX:RIEN)
Switzerland flag Switzerland · Delayed Price · Currency is CHF
3.235
+0.025 (0.78%)
May 13, 2026, 5:31 PM CET
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Earnings Call: H1 2025

Jul 18, 2025

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. A warm welcome also from my side. Here's the agenda. We will briefly look at the key messages, review the market, and give you an update on the planned Oerlikon Barmag AG acquisition. I will then hand over to Oliver for a deep dive into the financials. Let's turn to the key messages on slide number four. I will discuss in the financial part just Order Intake , sales, and Operating EBIT . Oliver will walk you through the details on sales, EBIT, free cash flow, and net profit. Let me start with the green boxes. The first half of 2025 was challenging, to say the least, marked by macroeconomic and geopolitical turbulences as a result of the Trump administration's trade tariffs. We got off to a good start in the business year 2025, seeing increased offer activity across the board. Also, orders were coming in smoothly.

The massive disruption caused by the trade tariffs brought Order Intake to a grinding halt in the second quarter of 2025. The uncertainty proved to be toxic for investment decisions. The missing Order Intake in the second quarter of 2025 consequently translates to missing sales volume in the second half of 2025. As you may remember from our annual press conference in March, we considered this as essential for our top-line guidance. The hesitation of our customers, in turn, led to higher inventory for the first half of 2025. On top of our strict cost discipline, we introduced additional cost measures, which brought Operating EBIT almost to a break-even level. Even so, the 336 million CHF sales volume fell short of our break-even point. The second half of 2025 is therefore set to remain challenging. On to the blue boxes. For the planned acquisition, we are on track so far.

We have completed all filings for the merger control authorities and expect the takeover to be cleared during the second half of 2025. Strategic progress in the after-sales division led to a remarkable order increase of 25%. This demonstrates that our strategy is bearing fruit, and we can expect our after-sales business to shore up profits in the second half of 2025. Let's turn to the grey boxes. We were again able to save a substantial amount of overhead costs. This demonstrates that we are consistently implementing the defined cost-saving measures. Health and safety. Safety got off to a disappointing start, standing at 3.9% for the first six months of 2025, after reaching 3.4% for the full year 2024. We are working across the company to enhance the company's safety culture and improve our performance in this regard going forward. Our goal is to get the figure below 3. Diversity.

The share of women in management positions has improved considerably, crossing the targeted 20% threshold and reaching 20.5% for the first time ever, up from 15.3% in 2024. This is a clear demonstration that our efforts to improve gender balance are working. Now to the market. Spinning mills showed a mixed picture in the first half of year 2025. India remained resilient and China constant on an existing level. This also means that there is an after-sales market out there. Consequently, if we further improve our delivery times and parts availability and expand our network of repair stations, I am confident that we will see further growth in this higher margin business. The rest of the world has remained flat. On one side, the rest of the world countries are mainly exporting their apparel and functional wear to the European Union and the U.S.

The low consumer sentiment in these key markets, as well as the U.S. trade tariffs, have not allowed a substantial increase of mill utilization. In addition, some markets are increasingly struggling with labor shortages and costs. We must further push our digitization and automation solutions to help our customers operate their mills efficiently and effectively. Now, a deep dive into the market situation on slide number seven. This slide shows the volatility we face in our markets. Let's start with India. India remained resilient, driven by strong government support and increasing domestic demand. Customers are planning the further expansion of their capacities, but most of the potential orders are planned for shipments in 2026 and 2027. Then China. In China, more bullish activities are in the western area of China, whereas the east and the south are suffering from higher labor costs.

China is still among the strongest markets as the country modernizes its installed base, and the demand for automation technologies is set to rise accordingly. We saw strong sales growth across the divisions here. We were able to close our first orders for air-jet and then a larger one for ring spinning machines, which will translate into Order Intake over the next six to nine months. The rest of the world. The Trump tariffs impacted many countries in the rest of the world. We were, however, seeing a silver lining in Latin America and Brazil, but we expect the latest round of tariffs to have a dampening impact. Turkey will face a consolidation process with a higher demand for automation solutions as labor costs are becoming too high. New markets are emerging.

Some countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States, the CIS countries such as Turkmenistan, are planning to copycat the Uzbekistan story and want to develop their own textile industry. A prerequisite for a thriving textile market is a strong spinning sector, which provides the downstream yarn material textile manufacturers require. We are ideally positioned to help these countries expand their spinning sectors with our technology and our know-how. Southeast Asia was strong in the first quarter of 2025, but the second quarter faced project postponements for new orders due to the uncertain tariff situation. As mentioned earlier, the Oerlikon Barmag AG transaction is on track to be completed by the end of this year. So far everything is running smoothly. We filed the transaction with the merger control authorities in India, in Turkey, in Portugal, and Egypt in June 2025, and also completed the filing with Chinese authorities in early July.

We expect the transaction to be approved before the end of the year 2025. This concludes my part of the presentation, and I now hand over to Oliver Streuli, who will give you a further update on the financial part of the planned Oerlikon Barmag AG acquisition.

Oliver Streuli
CFO, Rieter Holding AG

Thank you, Thomas. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. The financing of the transaction is fully on track. Specifically, on the debt financing, we are currently syndicating the CHF 375 million acquisition debt in the form of a term loan. In addition, we are refinancing and expanding our existing revolving credit facility in the amount of CHF 375 million to reflect the change in scale of the combined company. On the equity financing side, we are progressing with the preparation of the offering documentation and market materials and plan an extraordinary general meeting on September 18 this year. Following approval of the capital increase, we plan to hold comprehensive investor marketing activities in the second half of September. With regards to our anchor shareholders, both existing shareholders continue to fully support the transaction. Let me continue with the key elements of our financial performance in the first half of year 2025.

Let me start with the key messages on slide 11. The first half of year 2025 was a challenge from an operational point of view. Sales declined by 20%, more or less in line with our expectation on the back of low capacity utilization of our own sites at the beginning of the year. The decline was most pronounced at our division, machines and systems, followed by after-sales and components. At this sales level, Rieter is structurally below our break-even point. Only thanks to additional extraordinary cost measures and short-time work at most sites, we were able to achieve an Operating EBIT close to the zero line at minus CHF 2.7 million. We continue to adjust the organizational structure and our capacity in line with our announced strategy. On top, transaction costs in relation to the acquisition of Oerlikon Barmag AG and extraordinary restructuring costs amounted to CHF 14.6 million.

Our cash flow was negative at CHF 36.7 million due to the negative operating result and relatively high finished goods due to postponed orders, especially in the division, machines and systems. Although sales developed according to our expectations in the first half of year, a further market recovery remained absent, which is reflected in Order Intake of CHF 355 million, a decline of 12% to the previous year. Let me now deep dive into Order Intake and other KPIs on the following pages. The comparable Order Intake for the first half of year of 2024 included the separately announced Order Intake of our Chinese customer, DIW, in the amount of CHF 62 million.

Excluding this big one-off order, our Order Intake in the first half of year of 2025 remained more or less on a stable level versus the prior year, in spite of the very challenging second quarter of 2025. By division, Order Intake decreased by CHF 42 million in machines and systems, especially due to a low second quarter, with many investment decisions being further pushed out by our customers on the back of increased uncertainties around the outlook of the global economy and tariff risks. Order Intake at components suffered most notably from lower demand for new machines and systems, while after-sales managed to grow year- on- year by 25% due to increased demand for engineered solutions and repair services. This growth is a confirmation on the strategic and operational initiatives taken to expand our after-sales business and clearly a highlight of the first half of year.

On page 13, we see the sales development in the first half of year. As stated earlier, the drop in sales in the first half of year in the machines and systems division materialized according to our expectations due to a low filling rate of our capacity with the existing backlog at the start of the year. What came on top were customer-driven delays in the delivery of finished goods due to the current market environment, which is also negatively reflected in higher finished goods inventories. The components division showed a mixed picture, with new machinery-focused business units suffering, while consumables and/or man-made fiber-focused business units developed more stably. The customers on the after-sales division in many of our core markets, especially Turkey, are struggling with low capacity utilization. As a result, orders are not being called off, but often postponed.

In addition to that, field service, including installation revenues, are directly linked to the volatile new machinery business. This makes up a substantial portion of our after-sales revenue. The revenue structure, as we see, shows a growing share of repairs, indicating that more is being repaired than replaced. Strong growth in the area of modernizations and retrofit involves longer lead times, on the other hand, such as RoboSpin or compacting solutions. On to the order backlog on page 14, where we see an order backlog of CHF 510 million, which still represents a solid level, but is more or less unchanged from the situation at the beginning of 2020, at the end of 2024, mirroring the absence of a more broad-based market recovery for the reasons mentioned earlier by Thomas.

As can be seen on slide number 50, we were able to defend our Operating EBIT and achieve a level close to break-even, despite the historically low sales level. Specifically, the lower sales level led to a negative gross profit volume effect of CHF 42 million compared to the first half of year 2024. Again, additional cost savings in the amount of CHF 15 million in R&D and overhead spend, and extraordinary measures led to an operating result before restructuring and acquisition costs of -2.7%. For the sake of transparency, related restructuring expenses and acquisition costs amounted to CHF 14.6 million, resulting in an EBIT reported of -17.3%. However, this figure lacks comparability, and we therefore would like to draw your attention to the Operating EBIT when assessing the performance of our operations in this very difficult environment. For cash flow, let's move to slide number 16.

Cash flow was adversely impacted by the negative operating result and headwinds from the development of our net working capital. More specifically, postponements of orders led to higher finished goods inventories, while a lower amount of accounts payables and advance payments is a consequence of the low operational load and the subdued market activity in the first half of year. On the CapEx front, we remained highly disciplined and spent only the absolute necessities for the time being, which is roughly half of the spend of last year for reference. On slide number 17, we see the summary of our debt and equity position at half-year closing. Net debt increased mainly by the amount of negative free cash flow and the dividend. Rieter continues to be solidly financed and still has several hundred million of unused credit lines at our disposal for operational purposes, which is important to state.

Our equity ratio suffered due to negative operational results and on the back of the realization of cumulative translation adjustments, but remained well above the 30% mark. That's it for the time being on the financials. Back to you, Thomas, for the outlook.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Thanks, Oliver. On the adjusted outlook, we expect a stronger second half of the year for the 2025 fiscal year, though this depends on a continued market recovery. As the market recovery has slowed due to the macroeconomics uncertainties, we are adjusting our sales forecast for 2025 as a whole year. Without consideration of the Oerlikon Barmag AG division, we now expect sales of around CHF 750 to 800 million, and previously we said that we will land at the previous year's level of around CHF 860 million. Excluding restructuring costs and costs associated with the acquisition of Oerlikon Barmag AG, we expect an Operating EBIT margin at the lower end of the range of 0 to 4% for 2025 as a whole. With that, I conclude our presentations, and I will hand over to Relindis for the Q&A session.

Relindis Wieser
Head Group Marketing and Communication, Rieter Holding AG

Ladies and gentlemen, we will now open the lines for the participants in the conference call. We will take the questions from the webcast. As usual, the Q&A session will be recorded. I kindly ask the participants to mention your name and the company you work for before asking your question. Sandra, may I kindly ask you to take the first question?

Operator

Thank you, Relindis . We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Questioners on the phone are requested to disable the loudspeaker mode and eventually turn off the volume of the webcast while asking a question. Webcast viewers may submit their questions in writing via the relative field. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. Our first question comes from Walter Baumert from Zürcher Kantonalbank. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Good morning, everybody. Exactly, this is Walter Baumert from Zürcher Kantonalbank. Can you hear me?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Very well.

Speaker 7

Good. Your biggest earnings contributor in the first half was a non-operational real estate sales gain. Why don't you adjust for it in the Operating EBIT , and why do you think you don't have to mention that in the press release?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Thank you all. Good question. You know, in the past, we have always had real estate transactions, and we had bigger ones and smaller ones, such as Ingolstadt or the sale of the Rieter area, which were really substantial. Apart from that, we always have other transactions which are of a smaller scale, and we considered the sale of a non-operational office building as not material in the context of the operations overall. That is why we did not mention it in the press release, but it is well explained in the annex of the half-year financial report.

Speaker 7

Is that the last real estate gain, and is that the house where we had the opera?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

That was the former headquarters that we had, you might recall. That was not sold when we sold the Rieter area overall. It's now rented by a third party, not used by us anymore. With regards to whether it is the last real estate transaction, we continue to review our footprint. There might be one or the other real estate transaction also in the future, but it's not to be expected that there are further major real estate transactions, such as we did in 2023 or in Ingolstadt.

Speaker 7

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Alessandro Foletti from Octavian. Please go ahead.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Yes, good morning, everybody. Thank you for taking my questions. Alessandro here from Octavian. I have a couple, if I may, and I would like to take them one by one. Maybe first on a very quick one. You mentioned that Q2 was much weaker than Q1. Would you be willing to give a bit of an indication of what was the difference between Q1 and Q2?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

I would always be happy to take that question. Normally, Q1 is a relatively weak quarter because you have the usual start into the year in Europe, and then you have Chinese New Year, so it's normally rather soft. In normal circumstances, it's actually the softest quarter of the year. This year it was different. It was a double-digit % amount better than the second quarter. Normally, the second quarter is much stronger. That is exactly what we elaborated before. I hope that helps.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Yes, it does. Thank you. On the after-sales, as you mentioned, I agree this is really the good part of the result. I was wondering, you mentioned also this Turkmenistan, and I was wondering, is there any sort of large order into this after-sales, or is it really just an operational advancement in that business segment?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

I think it's both. First of all, yes, we also mentioned that we had the first larger order in Turkmenistan. This is true. These were a couple of millions, so it does not explain the difference. The difference is really driven by a more repair business and by a more engineered solution business, whereas the value for installation of machines has been further reduced. There are some positive and negative elements, but it's mainly driven by higher repairs and engineered solutions. The engineered solutions are driven by automation solutions. That's the key driver there, our RoboSpin product. The repair is we are opening more repair stations everywhere in the world to be close to our customers, and this starts to pay off.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Right, okay. Do I get it right that spare parts would be part of that business line, or would it be rather in components?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Spare parts is part of the after-sales division. There was a slight growth, but not yet the growth we would like to have, to be clear.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Right. My last question, if I may. I think, Oliver, you mentioned that, I mean, you're still solidly financed in the $700 million credit line. However, from my perspective, if I look at the balance sheet in just pure numbers, you have now almost $300 million net debt. I understand part of it is exceptional due to working capital in my reverse. After the capital increase and the acquisition of Oerlikon Barmag AG , I calculate like you will be above $600 million net debt. Is that not high? At least it seems high to me. Do you have plans to reduce it further? What are your thoughts here, please?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

I think it's premature to give you a guidance on the leverage levels post-closing and refinancing of the transaction. As indicated also in our roadshow in relation to the transaction, the leverage will be too high for us over the medium term. We will start rather on a high end, most likely above the three times net debt to EBITDA. We clearly plan to deleverage the business over the coming years. This is a must. As you can well imagine, if you combine two rather cyclical businesses rather at the trough of the market, it's unavoidable that it becomes a certain leverage with it. We clearly strive towards a much, much lower leverage figure over the medium term.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Okay good, as the way I understand it, is you sort of believe you will be able to reduce that leverage kind of operationally.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Yeah, to a big part.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Maybe it's business recovery, customer advances. I don't know.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

To a big part, yes. A key driver is certainly advanced payments. As you can also see in our balance sheet for the half-year closing, we had another headwind from advanced payments position.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Yes.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Payables in days, they increased. We did a good job operationally, but in absolute terms, they decreased due to the low operational load. If you have a couple of orders which shift and still sit in your inventories, you really have quite a strong headwind. You have the dividend and all other things. The upside potential with the transaction comes from a recovery of the market, higher advanced payments. I have to state again, we believe that Oerlikon Barmag AG has a structurally lower net working capital than ourselves. Together, it should be accretive also on the cash flow side.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Okay, good. Thank you.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Andy Schmider from Zest Capital . Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hi, gentlemen. I would be interested in some comments, not one-Q versus two-Q, but even monthly. What can you tell us about April, May, and June? It would be interesting to see how it developed after Liberation Day.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

I do not want to share now, you know, top line and bottom line figures per month, but I can give you an indication. The indication was that in April, with the Liberation Day, it was worldwide, everything was coming to a halt. It was just a full break in the machines and systems business, but also in the component business, I have to say. The first country which started to recover, and this was important for us, was China. After Mr. Trump and Xi Jinping somehow came to an agreement for the time being, the mentality now in China is the following: that they say, it seems we have done a good deal, and the Chinese customers are more and more anyway supplying the Chinese domestic market. We saw then in May the first orders coming back, mainly in China.

In June, the rest of the world was still quite on a stop because everybody was expecting what happens in July, when the final tariffs are coming. In June, what I saw was that besides China, now India is starting to recover. We anyway had in the first or by the end of 2024 and in the first quarter of 2025, India was very bullish. Then they stopped. In June, I saw that India was coming back, and I can say now in July, this is not yet in the half-year results, we booked the first bigger orders also in India. The rest of the world is quite damped, I have to say, not only for tariff reasons. You know, our third biggest market in the past was Turkey, and Turkey is just struggling to get out of the downturn because of this super, super high labor cost they have.

Also, Latin America somehow has not yet come back. When you look, you know what kind of tariff now Brazil got and Mexico got, which are somehow near-shore markets for the U.S., I think it will still take a couple of weeks and months until this is digested. We are, of course, all waiting what will be in some key markets for us final decisions by the Trump administration, because this will have impacts on Bangladesh, Vietnam, Latin America, not so much maybe on Turkey. It was a really super stop in April. China was coming first. India now was coming second. In the rest of the world, it's still very, very, very low levels.

Speaker 8

Thank you. I would like to get a sense of how you came up with the $750 to $800 million in sales. That implies a big improvement in sales in the second half. Obviously, you have the $510 million order backlog. Maybe you can talk a little bit about that backlog. How much of that is set to deliver into wage or longer-term orders? Do you think would address? I'm trying to get a sense of how we came up with the guidance.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

The 750 to 800 million are really solid. Of course, at today's time, you sometimes never know what happens. When we look at our order backlog, these 750 to 800 million are more or less secured. It includes a growth in our after-sales business, which should be possible because we also had a strong increase in our Order Intake in the first half of the year. It has the shortest lead time between Order Intake and sales execution. In the component part, those elements which are also more consumables, we have assumed just a straightforward continuation. In those elements where it is more project-driven, so our machines and systems business, we do have the backlog to be executed according to the contracts in the second half of the year.

This range of 750 to 800 for us is, at the moment, I don't see a reason we should not be able to achieve that. Now, why do we have a deviation of up to 100 million to the last year? Last year's guidance or March guidance we had, we always said also at the press conference that we need a strong first half. We were confident that we will have a strong Order Intake in the first half. We knew that certain products also in the machines and systems business and certain projects should be executed still in 2025. As those orders have not been, we have not lost them. They just have been postponed. They don't come into execution in the second half of the year. This impacts us up to 100 million Swiss. That was the reason why we took down this guidance of our sales volumes.

Speaker 8

Of this $510 million backlog, roughly $100 million were set to deliver this year, but will not be delivered. Or are these $100 million not in the order backlog yet officially?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

These $100 million are not yet in the order backlog because the order has not been decided by the customers.

Speaker 8

Okay.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Some orders might come still this year, but they will not impact our sales. Some orders I know the customers have said, for example, in Vietnam, we will only take the final decision in 2026.

Speaker 8

Okay. If you would take the 750 and then take your EBIT guidance, am I right to assume that at 750 we will be at a zero for EBIT and at 800 probably 1% plus higher? That's how we should think about that.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Excluding your restructuring costs and transaction costs, as you may understand, it's really a comparable figure. I think this is a fair assumption, yes. Of course, it depends on the mixed developments, but this is in line more or less with our planning.

Speaker 8

Okay. That makes sense. Can you tell us about the operating leverage you have on any additional million of Swiss francs in sales? How much EBIT margins do you typically make, plus minus?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

It depends a little bit on the sales mix. You know, if you take our CM2 or our gross profit margin, let's take 25%, this also includes certain fixed costs. You are probably right when you take, let's say, $100 million top line impacts something like $40 million, $35 to $40 million EBIT. If you have $50 million, you can be $20 million better or $20 million worse. It has quite a big impact. It depends a little bit on the product mix or on the divisional mix. The impact on the after-sales division is higher and it is lower in the machine and systems business. Overall, you could take something like 35 to 40%.

Speaker 8

Perfect. Last question is an add-on question to Alessandro's question about after-sales. You said that you opened more repair stations, being a little bit closer to the buy-ins and getting some volume there. Any other measures you could tell us about that are already pushing this business higher, which is great?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Yeah, so there are several initiatives. One is the topic of repair stations, because not too much as a professor to elaborate on that, but repair means you take a part, you repair it in your repair station. This can be mechanical repairs or electrical repairs, and you bring it back and you put it into the machine. There, it's a lot about qualification. Are you able to do such a repair? The second is the speed. For the most important parts, we have now built up extra parts. We take a part to us, immediately fill in or replace it with an intermediate part, repair the original one, go back, and then exchange the part again. This is one driver. Second drivers are engineered solutions.

We are pushing a lot of these automation solutions, and especially in engineered solutions or modernization or upgrade of existing machines, it's mainly this topic of the RoboSpin . There, we could sell even more, but we also don't want to make a mistake. We have to build up our field resources that we don't land at the end that we have promised a lot, and then we cannot install these robots. This is definitely another key driver. When you come, the third big part is the parts, spare parts. In spare parts, we have two topics. One is the delivery time and availability in our warehouses. There, we have done a lot of analysis. We have not yet substantially improved our situation, but we know now what is the root cause.

I'm expecting more growth coming from spare parts due to the fact that we will be able to deliver faster the required spare parts. Spare parts also is a pricing issue. We have seen that in certain areas, we have completely outpriced ourselves, and we were not even selling those parts. We have done now certain pricing adjustments in areas where we were not competitive. It does not impact negatively our midst because we have anyway not sold those parts. Now we see that our offer and even order activity has increased. These are the key focus points: opening repair shops, pushing RoboSpin , and then working in the part on pricing and availability.

Speaker 8

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Leonid from UBS. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Yes. Hi, this is Leonid from UBS. Thank you for taking my question. The first question regarding the guidance would be a follow-up. You mentioned that you see or expect a slight market recovery or at least gradual improvement into the second half. Does this imply that you see already recovery in full swing in 2026? Also, do you see any other downside risk to the guidance except the slowed market recovery?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Downside risk to our guidance, I do not see. The only thing that can happen is, you know, today so many things are to a certain degree unpredictable. I cannot tell you what happens in certain, let's say, thoughts the next week or the next month. Yes, we do see that the market activity has started to increase again. Besides China, I mentioned it has started in India. We now have booked the first bigger order again in Bangladesh. This is a good sign. In our discussions with customers, the projects have not been canceled. They have been postponed. The decisions have been postponed. When I look on our offer pipeline, the offer pipeline is substantially higher than what we had by the end of 2024. This is an indication that once, let's say, the confidence comes back, there will be quite a sharp market increase.

This should also translate into higher Order Intake . Now, the higher Order Intake , it's a question a little bit of timing. When does it impact our top line in sales? As normally, our lead time in the area of machines and systems is somewhere between 6 to 12 months. It is the question, when does it also start to increase our sales volumes? My assumption is this will happen not right at the beginning of 2026. It goes more into the second quarter, third quarter 2026. It's too early to do now a guidance on top line for 2026.

Speaker 6

Yes. Okay. Thank you. The second question, also follow-up regarding Turkmenistan. You mentioned that you had a big order there. Can we also expect a follow-up order? Generally on after-sales, you mentioned that this division is improving, which reflects your improved customer excellence strategy, let's say. I guess this improvement is also or can be interpreted as structurally, right? How should we think about this?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Yeah. Turkmenistan, I can confirm. We just had a follow-up order in July. What we have booked in the first half of the year was an after-sales order, but they are also planning new spinning mills. We just booked a small machines and system order now in July. According to my latest news I received yesterday, we will get also more orders early 2026 in the machines and systems business. Yes, there are follow-ups coming there. It's not only Turkmenistan. We see that also Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Tajikistan are trying now to copycat this Uzbekistan story. I'm expecting over the next one and a half years more orders to come there. Coming back to after-sales business, yes. In the capital market day last autumn, we tried to show what are our key initiatives to improve our after-sales offering. We are just following step by step this strategy.

These are structural changes: warehouse setup, more decentralized sales forces, and installation people. Yes, this will create a fundamental change in our after-sales business.

Speaker 6

Okay. Thank you. The last question would be on the restructuring costs and the $14 million non-recurring effect that you mentioned. Can you maybe explain a bit what is included in those $14 million? Is it a restructuring in preparation of the acquisition, or is there also advisory costs included or lawyer costs, or is it mostly only the standalone business that is included here in terms of restructuring expenses?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Sure. Hi, Leonid . Happy to give a bit of color. Roughly $10 million is related to restructuring costs. That is spread across the biggest manufacturing sites that we have, where we did some capacity adjustments, as you may understand, in the light of the lower volume. A bit over $4 million is related to the acquisition of Oerlikon Barmag AG. This includes advisor costs and other OpEx in relation to the transaction. Obviously, there are expected more costs to come in the second half of the year. On the restructuring side, there will also be a bit more restructuring still to be done, most likely not in the magnitude of the first half year.

Speaker 6

Okay. In sum, can we expect this to double for the full year or a bit less?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

The costs in relation to the transaction will most likely double, perhaps even a bit more. On the restructuring side, it very much depends what measures we will undertake, on what volume we will adjust the company for the coming year. We are in the middle of the preparation works, and you may understand that we cannot give an outlook on that yet.

Speaker 6

Okay. Thanks.

Operator

We have a follow-up question from Alessandro Foletti from Octavian. Please go ahead.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Yes, good morning. Thank you for taking my follow-up question. You mentioned that in one slide, I think that your profitability, sorry, that your customer profitability is not really top. I was wondering, why is that really? I saw the cotton prices have been coming off the bottom and they're going up. Your clients cannot push through the price increases?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

No, that's not the main reason. It always depends a little bit on the buying strategy of the customers. You know, our customers are also, to a certain degree, speculating on the cotton price. Some of them buy cotton in advance when they expect that cotton price will maybe still further increase, so they buy cotton on stock. Now they are sitting on that stock. Even if the cotton price goes down and the so-called spinners margin, so the difference between the cotton price and the yarn price, might go up, they still first have to use the cotton they have bought. To a certain degree, this is a little bit speculation on their side. In the long run, of course, if there is a structural improvement of the spinners margin, then once the stock is used, they start to benefit from that.

What we look at is we look on the spinners margin. We are investigating into this, and we also look on the top line and bottom line development of the bigger companies. Interestingly enough, the bigger companies have an improvement in their profitability because in many cases, they are vertically integrated or downstream integrated. They do not only spinning, but also more weaving, knitting, dyeing, garmenting, and they have an increase in their margins. The small ones they are suffering.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Okay. Do you have a bit of a guess maybe when this profitability could start improving when we consider all sort of all elements?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

I believe, but this is now, let's say, our hypothesis. My hypothesis is that our customers have to make a strategic choice. One is the small ones will only survive if they are in the niche. They make very specific yarns where they have a high price for the yarn, and they can somehow occupy a specific niche. The small spinners, which are in the, let's say, mainstream business, will not be competitive anymore. I believe that there will be a consolidation happening. Bigger companies will survive, and smaller ones might struggle in all fairness. If they are not in a very specific niche, they will sooner or later disappear, and there will be a consolidation happening on our customer side. What is now the impact for us?

The impact for us, as much as this is, of course, sad for the smaller customers, is good because we have a stronger relationship with the large customers. Two years ago, we started to set up a key account management program in our organization where all the top customers worldwide have an executive sponsor in the Executive Committee. Oliver Streuli has his own customers. He is visiting minimum once or twice a year. We see that our top customers have a substantial share in our sales volumes. Not the top 10, but if you go to the top 50, then you already cross the 50% line in our top line development. This means if smaller ones are much more price sensitive, they usually go, for example, in India and in China, for very local competitors of us.

The bigger ones have a long-time relationship with us, and they trust in our technology. They trust in our service capabilities. For us, this trend is a positive trend.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Okay. Understood. Maybe if I may, one final follow-up. Are there major differences on a regional basis? Or somehow this story is sort of valid, let's say, in Asia and Turkey really?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

You mean the.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

This consolidation and changes between large and small customers, and the profitability of them.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

The biggest consolidation, in my opinion, will happen in Turkey because there the customers will have to invest into automation because labor costs are so high. The smaller customers don't have the funds to invest into the existing spinning mills, so they are suffering a lot. I know that our customers in Turkey have a mill utilization of roughly 60%. This was once at 90%. This difference is driven by lower markets in the European Union, but more than half of this difference is because they can't finance people or they do not even find people. The bigger ones are more putting money into automation, so their relative labor needs are lower. Bigger customers of us in Turkey have a mill utilization above 90%, so they will survive. They will survive. What then happens is these smaller mills, which will disappear, the overall production capacity will go down.

The bigger ones will invest into expansion, which then will drive Order Intake for us. That's our forecast going the way forward. This is valid for other markets as well. This is valid for Latin America. This is also valid for other countries in the Orient, whether this is Pakistan or Bangladesh or also Vietnam. India and China is different because there, especially in India, the labor costs are still very low. This disadvantage of not finding people or they are too expensive is for the smaller ones not so dramatic, so they can survive. In China, it's very obvious there is a move from the coastal area to the western area because there are government incentives and also labor costs are lower than in the coastal area. Even within these big countries, you will see movements.

Alessandro Foletti
Senior Research Analyst, Octavian

Thank you very much. It was very interesting. Thank you.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question on the phone. I hand back over to Relindis for the written question. Please, you may proceed.

Relindis Wieser
Head Group Marketing and Communication, Rieter Holding AG

Thank you.

Speaker 9

Thank you, Sandra. The question comes from Dennis Petra. In view of the considerable increase in net debt expected in the future, would you consider discontinuing the dividend payment?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Maybe I answer first as CEO, and then I answer as Chairman. Yes, it is true. We will have an increase in net debt. I would like to add one comment to the explanations Oliver has done in two, three questions before. It's the ideal timing for such an acquisition because when you look on the cyclicity of our business, when there is an upswing coming in the market, we are highly cash generating. Highly cash generating for two reasons. First of all, and this is our absolute ambition, it will improve our profitability because we have done so many things, and we still will continue to do a lot of cost measures. When the volume is coming, and I come back to the question of Andy Schmider from Zest Capital , then you have an operating leverage which will boost our profitability.

Secondly, we also then have much more down payments to come in. Especially on the Oerlikon Barmag AG side, it is even more impressive than on our side. It will generate more cash inflows. When we presented our acquisition in May, we said that plus minus, and yes, give me a year plus, maybe not a year minus, but it could be a year plus, depends when really the market is coming back. Within plus minus four years, we will be debt-free because of cash flow generation through net working capital and cash flow generation through improved EBIT and EBITDA margins. First of all, I do not worry about cash generation in the future. The second topic is dividend. Dividends are decided by the Board of Directors or proposed by the Board of Directors and then decided by our General Assembly. We have a clear dividend policy.

We would like to pay out above 40% of our net profits. We would like to pay out to our shareholders. We will see what we have to decide in the year 2025 because it's a special year. We have some restructuring costs. This is maybe not so special, but I think it is more special when you have a tough year. Of course, we have this huge acquisition. Yes, we will have substantial costs within the EBIT, but also in the financing area. I'm not sure, and we will have to discuss whether we should punish shareholders who agreed to do such a major transaction that we then say, but now we have to save the money and we don't get a dividend because of that. This will be a delicate discussion we have. We want to be attractive as an investment case.

This also means we have to take care about our employees. We have to take care about our customers. We have to take care about our shareholders. We will see how we decide at the end of the year.

Speaker 9

Okay, there's one additional question from Walter Baumert. Back to you, Sandra, again.

Operator

We have a follow-up question from Walter Baumert from Zürcher Kantonalbank. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Thank you very much. I'm referring to the $100 million revenue slippage into the second half or the next year. I understand that's rather into the next year, mainly related to Turkey and not a fault of Rieter. Is it more a financing issue that the client wants to pay later? Is it project development? I try to find better out when we can assume that and what is going on in the market. Is that a general theme with the delays, or is it just single projects which have the usual delays?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Thank you, Walter. This is a nicer question than the first one you have. Let's go to this revenue slippage. To be clear, this is not only Turkey. It's very important. This was not only a Turkey case. That would be too simple for us, I have to say. It was in April.

We needed until May, we needed Order Intake in machines and systems that we can still execute until the end of the year. We knew those projects. We knew all the projects. Yes, there were two projects in Turkey, but there were also projects in Egypt. There were projects in Vietnam, and there were projects in Bangladesh, Pakistan, and to a smaller degree also in India. It was much wider. It was not only Turkey. We needed those projects to be booked until May because we selected the projects we still can execute until the end of the year. We have a list of all the major projects where we believe we can still get sales in the year 2025. None of them we have lost. Not a single one. All of them have been postponed.

They have been postponed either they say, maybe in the second half of 2025 when we know how much the tariffs are, or the one or the other even has said, listen, at the moment, I'm so uncertain, I only decide in 2026. It's important to know it's mainly the hits in April and May, which did not then allow us to still execute in 2025. None of those projects have been lost. They either should be decided in the second half of the year or in the first half of 2026. That has impacted our sales recognition. You might remember in March, we said we need Order Intake until May so we can deliver still our sales volume in 2025. This was not happening. In all fairness, yes, it's not our fault, but we have not managed to reach the break-even level. I think we have done a lot.

You mentioned correctly, we try everything, whether this is now direct business, restructuring, whether this is the one or the other opportunity to sell a piece of land or whatever. We want to be positive by the end of the year in our operating profit.

Speaker 7

Exactly. Regarding that, you also have a lot of momentum in your order book. It seems that you had more orders at the beginning of July than in the first half of the year. Can you add that up? How much is it in July already? When will you give an update on your recent development in the second half? Will you have a nine-month figure? Can you make an update before you have the EGM ? I think you can use some momentum for the capital increase.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

We have to be very careful because now, as we are in a, let's say, transition phase, until we have the capital increase, we have to take care that from a governance point of view, we are behaving absolutely correctly. The type of messages we are giving, of course, are very important that we do not somehow manipulate anything. This is not our style at all. I can say July was, I think it is, so it's not yet over. I can say, yes, we had some good orders in July. I mentioned the follow-up in Turkmenistan. This was not so big, but there I believe bigger ones will come. We also had a very good order in India. We are expecting another good or large order in China. If it happens, it would be the best month so far this year.

On the other side, orders are good, but the question is when are they executed? They are not executed. An order in July is difficult still to execute in 2025. However, one of these orders will be executed in 2025. This was also planned in our figure of $750 to $800 million.

Speaker 7

Okay. A small question on the restructuring cost of $10 million in the first half. That is not yet cash relevant. That will happen later? Or was that cash out?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Yeah, part of it was already cash out. Part of it was not cash out. It also will not be cash out. You know, if you do, for instance, an impairment on a machine because you don't need the machine anymore, it's rather difficult to give you a precise figure on that. It's mixed. Part of it is, part of it is not yet.

Speaker 7

Okay. Your restructured debit of the first half of 2024, will there also be a restatement of the full year figures?

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Yes, there will be, because it's very important for us to provide you with comparable figures, apart from, of course, the reported figures, but comparable figures which allow you to assess the operating performance of the company. We continue to take out any extraordinary transaction costs and also any extraordinary restructuring costs.

Speaker 7

Okay. Last but not least, the Trump trade. I mean, direct tariff impacts you have none.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

It is not none. When you look at the U.S., shipments of our machines are coming to the U.S. either out of Germany, out of the Czech Republic, or out of China. All our preparatory machines are produced in China. Our rotor and air-jet machines are produced in the Czech , and our binders are produced in Germany. There is not a lot of business for machines in the U.S., so this is very limited. Our spare parts and our components coming out of Switzerland and Germany are, of course, impacted by the tariffs. The good thing is this is the same story for everybody, so everybody has that issue. With the actual tariffs, which are very moderate, and we will see what at the end will be there, the yearly annual direct impact would be a mid-single-digit million maximum, because it depends a little bit who is the importer.

If the customer is importing directly, the customer has to pay the tariffs. If we first ship the material to our company in the U.S., then, of course, we are by ourselves the importer and have to pay the tariff. What we have done immediately, all our contracts now have a clause in the spare part area that the change in the tariffs, we will increase or decrease the prices to the customers. Whether we can push that through all the time is another question. Direct impact is limited. The indirect impact is much more important because our customers are exporting their products directly or indirectly to the U.S. The U.S. is money-wise the biggest garment market in the world. It is by far the biggest garment market in the world. The whole European Union is slightly larger if you take all the countries together, but the U.S.

is the biggest market. Our customers, especially in Southeast Asia, in Egypt and Turkey, are mainly exporting either to the European Union and/or to the U.S. They are not knowing whether they can sell their products still to the U.S. because when you have, like in Vietnam, the first round of tariffs, 67%, nobody buys your clothes anymore. That was the reason why they said, I first have to manage how is my business going on before I do a $20 million investment. You have to know, a very simple calculation. If you make a medium normal expansion of a spinning mill, you invest about $20 million into machines. You invest $20 million into the building, air conditioning, and so on. You invest $20 million at the beginning into net working capital . Because you have to buy the cotton, you have to train your people.

If someone invests $20 million for us, the real investment for the customer is $50 to $60 million. In all fairness, in such unpredictable times, I understand that someone says, hey, wait a minute, give me some month's time. I'm not willing to do now. I first have to check what it really means for us. It's the indirect impact which has created this hesitation.

Speaker 7

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

There are no more questions.

Thomas Oetterli
CEO and Chairman, Rieter Holding AG

Very good.

Thank you very much.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you so much for attending this call. Thank you also for the questions you have raised. I just want to say, you know, our ambition is to strengthen further our resilience in the current market environment. Even if markets are coming back, it does not hinder us to work on our cost structure and to work on our supply chain footprint, to work on our customer service and on our technology leadership. Because independent of where we are in the cycle, we want to deliver as committed, and we have committed that we want to deliver a positive EBITDA even in a year which is, again, very, very challenging. This is in line with our disciplined execution of the strategy, which is even more important in turbulent times. Besides all the day-to-day operational activities, we have to drive our strategic agenda forward.

Besides that, we have to capture market opportunities. Last but not least, we will stay further cost-conscious. We will do our homework to become super, super fit in order to get then the operating leverage once the market is coming back. Thank you so much. With this, I close this semi-annual media and investor call. Once again, thank you for your interest and goodbye from Oliver and myself and, of course, from Rieter Relindis. Thanks a lot and have a nice day. Bye-bye.

Oliver Streuli
CFO, Rieter Holding AG

Thanks.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. Thank you for choosing Chorus Call and thank you for participating in the conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.

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