ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (TPE:3711)
Taiwan flag Taiwan · Delayed Price · Currency is TWD
478.00
-10.50 (-2.15%)
Apr 30, 2026, 1:30 PM CST
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q1 2023

Apr 27, 2023

Ken Hsiung
Head of Investor Relations, ASE Technology

Hello, I am Ken Hsiung, the Head of Investor Relations for ASE Technology Holding. Welcome to our first quarter 2023 earnings release. Thank you for attending our conference call today. Please refer to our safe harbor notice on page 2. All participants consent to having their voices and questions broadcast via participation in this event. If participants do not consent, please disconnect at this time. I would like to remind everyone that the presentation that follows may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to a high degree of risk, our actual results may differ materially. For the purposes of this presentation, our dollar figures are generally stated in New Taiwan dollars unless otherwise indicated. As a Taiwan-based company, our financials are presented in accordance with Taiwan IFRS.

Results presented using Taiwan IFRS may differ materially from results using other accounting standards, including those presented by our subsidiary using Chinese GAAP. I am joined today by Joseph Tung, our CFO. For today's call, I will be going over our financial results and outlook. Joseph will be available to take your questions during the Q&A session to follow. During our year-end 2022 earnings release, we reported that the company and the overall semiconductor industry was entering a period of inventory digestion. We touched upon the impending soft environment and noted prognosticating outlooks can be incredibly difficult, especially when trying to spot the end of an inventory correction. Our business during the first quarter ran expectedly soft, given that we expected many customers were going to be drawing down product inventories. For the large part, our customers generally met their near-term plans.

However, towards the end of the first quarter, when many customers reviewed their channel inventory relative to their expectations, they realized their inventory depletion was happening slower than anticipated. Apparently, end markets had not performed as they expected, whether it be poor Lunar New Year sell-through or a missing corporate IT refresh, sluggishness and excess inventory persisted. For our ATM factories, during the quarter, key equipment utilization rates were hovering slightly above 60%. Given these levels are near-term record lows, our factories focused on how to lower ongoing expenses. Working hours and bonuses were trimmed. Raw materials pricing was scrubbed with our vendors. Projects were reviewed and reprioritized, all in the name of costing down. However, the soft loading environment did allow us to continue automating factory lines, scaling up new product introductions, and completing R&D projects. Our EMS business entered into its seasonally soft period.

The front half of the year generally acts as a preparation and build-up for the back half mass production builds. Our EMS business actually came in slightly better than our guidance last quarter. As you will see, the overall macro environment did appear to have an impact, albeit somewhat smaller than the impact to our ATM business. With that, please turn to page 3, where you will find our first quarter consolidated results. For the first quarter, we recorded fully diluted EPS of TWD 1.30 and basic EPS of TWD 1.36. Consolidated net revenues declined 26% sequentially and 9% year-over-year. We had a gross profit of TWD 19.3 billion, with a gross margin of 14.8%. Our gross margin declined 4.4 percentage points sequentially and 4.9 percentage points year-over-year.

The margin declines are principally the result of inventory digestion and a weak macro environment. Our operating expenses declined TWD 2.7 billion sequentially and TWD 0.7 billion annually. The declines were primarily attributable to lower profit sharing expenses across the company. Our operating expense percentage increased 0.8 percentage points sequentially and 0.3 percentage points year-over-year to 8.9%. The operating expense percentage increases were primarily related to lower revenues during the quarter. Operating profit was TWD 7.7 billion, down TWD 12.1 billion sequentially and TWD 8.4 billion year-over-year. Operating margin was 5.9%, declining 5.2 percentage points sequentially and 5.3 percentage points year-over-year. During the quarter, we had a net non-operating gain of TWD 0.2 billion.

This amount includes net interest expense of TWD 1.1 billion. Tax expense for the quarter was TWD 1.8 billion. The effective tax rate for the quarter was 22.6%. The rate variance during the quarter was largely due to incremental controlled foreign corporation tax expenses. We believe that our annual tax rate will be between 20.5%-21%. Net income for the quarter was TWD 5.8 billion, representing a decline of TWD 9.9 billion sequentially and TWD 7.1 billion year-over-year. The NT dollar appreciated 3.05% against the U.S. dollar during the first quarter. From a sequential perspective, we estimate the NT dollar appreciation had a 0.88 percentage point negative impact to the company's gross and operating margins.

From a year-over-year perspective, we estimate that the depreciating NT dollar had a 2.63 percentage point positive impact to gross and operating margins. As a rule of thumb, for every % the NT dollar appreciates, we see a corresponding 0.29 percentage point impact to our holding company gross margin. On the bottom of the page, we provide key P&L line items without the inclusion of PPA related expenses. Consolidated gross profit excluding PPA expenses would be TWD 20.3 billion, with a 15.5% gross margin. Operating profit would be TWD 8.9 billion with an operating margin of 6.8%. Net profit would be TWD 7 billion with a 5.3% net margin. Basic EPS excluding PPA expenses would be TWD 1.63. On page 4 is a graphical presentation of our consolidated financial performance.

You can see the impact of the current weak environment here. Unusually soft loading, even for a correction environment, are leading to lower revenues and a low utilization rate environment impacting our ATM and EMS businesses. On page 5 is our ATM P&L. It is worth noting here that the ATM revenue reported here contains revenue eliminated at the holding company level related to intercompany transactions between our ATM and EMS businesses. For the first quarter of 2023, revenues for our ATM business were TWD 73.3 billion, down TWD 21 billion from the previous quarter and TWD 10.7 billion from the same period last year. This represents a 22% decline sequentially and a 13% decline year-over-year. This decline, though steep, was in line with our outlook.

Gross profit for our ATM business was TWD 14.7 billion, down TWD 11.5 billion sequentially and TWD 8.4 billion year-over-year. Gross profit margin for our ATM business was 20.1%, down 7.7 percentage points sequentially and 7.4 percentage points year-over-year. The overall margin declines are the result of lower loading due to customer inventory digestion in the weak macro environment. During the first quarter, operating expenses were TWD 8.3 billion, down TWD 2.1 billion sequentially and TWD 0.7 billion year-over-year. The declines in operating expenses were primarily driven by lower labor costs due to lower profit sharing and bonus accrual. Despite having significantly lower absolute operating expenses, their declines did not keep up with the pace that revenues declined.

Our operating expense % for the quarter was 11.4%, up 0.4 percentage points sequentially and 0.6 percentage points year-over-year. During the first quarter, operating profit was TWD 6.4 billion, representing a decline of TWD 9.4 billion quarter-over-quarter and TWD 7.6 billion year-over-year. Operating margin was 8.7%, declining 8 percentage points sequentially and year-over-year. For foreign exchange, we estimate that the NT dollar to U.S. dollar exchange rate had a 1.52 percentage point impact on our ATM sequential margins and a 4.55 percentage point impact on a year-over-year basis. Without the impact of PPA-related depreciation and amortization, ATM gross profit margin would be 21.3% and operating profit margin would be 10.3%.

On page six, you'll find a graphical representation of our ATM P&L. You'll note here the impact of a semi-fixed cost base with a low correction level loading. On page seven is our ATM revenue by market segment. Even though the current softer loading environment is fairly broad-based, we do see the communications market segment inventory digestion to be more pronounced than other market segments. On page eight, you will find our ATM revenue by service type. There isn't a significant change here, but the advanced packaging side of the business is somewhat more impacted. On page nine, you can see the first quarter results of our EMS business and a graphical representation of its market segment allocation. During the quarter, demand was impacted by an overall weaker SIP demand environment along with our typical seasonality.

During the first quarter, EMS revenues were TWD 57.7 billion, declining TWD 26.2 billion or 31% sequentially and TWD 3.4 billion or 6% year-over-year. Our EMS business' gross margin declined 1.4 percentage points, while our operating margin sequentially declined 2.4 percentage points. These sequential declines were primarily driven by seasonally soft loading and to a smaller extent, a soft electronics demand environment. Our EMS first quarter operating profit was TWD 1.3 billion, down TWD 2.7 billion sequentially, and TWD 0.9 billion annually. Given the overall quarter decline significantly as compared to last quarter, the percentage share information here may be somewhat biased. For our EMS market segment, our consumer and communication segments declined off of their seasonal peaks into their typical trough periods, while our computing segment was also impacted by inventory corrections.

Our industrial and automotive segments were more resilient and flattish on an absolute TWD perspective. From a % of business perspective, their relative % share increased sharply. It is worth noting here that from a year-over-year perspective, our automotive segment grew close to 30% year-over-year. On page 10, you will find key line items from our balance sheet. At the end of the quarter, we had cash equivalents, and current financial assets of TWD 68.4 billion. Our total interest-bearing debt was down TWD 12 billion to TWD 190.3 billion. Total unused credit lines amounted to TWD 337.2 billion. Our EBITDA for the quarter was TWD 23.8 billion. Net debt to equity was 42% at the end of the quarter. On page 11, you will find our equipment CapEx.

Machinery and equipment capital expenditures for the first quarter in U.S. dollars totaled $231 million, of which $101 million were used in packaging operations, $90 million in testing operations, $32 million in EMS operations, and $8 million in interconnect material operations and others. Given the overall slowdown within the industry, we are taking incremental action to push out more of our originally planned capital expenditures during the year. However, we will continue to spend on implementing incremental automation capabilities, including additional investments in our lights-out factories. Current EBITDA was $0.9 billion relative to our capital expenditures of $0.2 billion. For our outlook, we will first address our EMS business. Our EMS business will continue its typically soft season during the first half of the year.

Based on continued relative strength within its automotive business, paired with some order improvement in our consumer and computing segments, we're looking for a slight pickup in business during the second quarter relative to the first. Margins should move off our expected trough and improve roughly 50 basis points. From a longer perspective, we continue to expect a strong ramp during the third quarter with a peak during the fourth quarter, primarily driven by new product launches. Continuing our earlier comments about our ATM business, at the end of the first quarter, what became more apparent was that the expected improvement in the macroeconomic environment did not materialize. World governments continued aggressive policy trying to curb hyperinflation. This even led to separate banking crises in the U.S. and surprisingly in Switzerland.

Meanwhile, more and more consumers and businesses around the world are grappling with spreading higher energy prices that initially stemmed from supply shocks related to the Russia-Ukraine war. Rather than seeing an overall post-COVID recovery and a return of electronic spending during and post the Lunar New Year, we, along with our customers, saw consumers instead catching up on spending on other items like services, travel, and leisure. It should be noted that our customers' sell-through of their devices are generally not visible to us, and usually, inventory draw and a replenishment are in sync. With this current inventory digestion period, customers are selling inventory without the action of replenishing inventory, which gives us even less visibility. With wafer banks fully loaded, we basically can only wait for our customers' signal to restart production.

Given the lack of recovery, a broad set of customers have communicated to us that their restocking will most likely happen later than anticipated. What was originally scheduled to ramp during the May, June timeframe now has been pushed back into the third quarter. On a somewhat more positive note, we do see some level of rush orders sporadically happening across our ATM factories. We remain optimistic and expect that rush orders should continue to rise during the second quarter as various product restocking and new product launches start to happen. With a large amount of orders being pushed out for the second quarter as a whole, we expect continued sluggishness and a suboptimal loading environment. We effectively see revenues much the same as the first quarter. From our cost perspective, we are actively pursuing various avenues to trim costs, including expanding our automation efforts.

However, given the higher utility rates instituted by the Taiwan government effective April 1st, increasing electricity rates by 17% and the higher summer rates in the back half of the 2nd quarter, our utility costs will rise sequentially. We currently see the rate increase and the start of the summer rate season is expected to have a 0.5 percentage point negative impact to our gross margin when compared to the 1st quarter. However, we are hopeful that a number of cost savings efforts will bear fruit during the quarter, and we will be able to offset most, if not all, of the impact of the utility rate increases. Such offset is not guaranteed, but we are targeting to keep our gross margin at a similar level with the 1st quarter.

If we step back and look at the bigger picture at this point, despite all the distracting noise related to this correction, we believe we are in the process of proving that we have a fundamentally improved business. We've already seen higher margins through the cycle peak. Now we are seeing structurally higher trough margins going through the cycle bottom. We are seeing pricing resiliency and the minimization of irrational competition. We also see our scale of manufacturing continue to give us competitive advantages in the form of lower manufacturing costs, thereby maintaining customer resilience. We basically see an industry possessing a wider moat with ASE outpacing its competition. We would like to summarize our outlook for the second quarter as follows.

For our ATM business in NT dollar terms, our ATM second quarter 2023 revenues and gross margin should be similar with the revenues and gross margin of the first quarter 2023. For our EMS business in NT dollar terms, our EMS second quarter 2023 revenues should increase mid-single digit percentage-wise quarter-over-quarter. Our EMS second quarter 2023 operating margin should improve by 0.5 percentage points versus the first quarter 2023. This concludes our prepared remarks. I'd like to open up the floor for Q&A.

Operator

If you have any question, please raise your hand. When you ask questions, please limit two questions at a time. Thank you. Our first question is from Mr. Randy Abrams of Credit Suisse.

Randy Abrams
Managing Director and Head of Taiwan Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Okay. Yes, thank you. Wanted to ask the first question, if you could talk a little more about the outlook. First, for rush orders, if you could talk about the areas you're seeing rush orders. For the area of resilience, if you could go through the view, automotive. If you see auto, and I think you mentioned industrial, if you see those areas holding up. The second part of that first question is for the spillover. How much do you see the weakness spilling into third quarter? Do you think we're back to normal seasonal third quarter? What do you view as a reasonable normal for third quarter? Just, yeah, curious to that as well. Thank you.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think in terms of rush orders, I think we've been seeing sporadic rush orders in different areas, although more seems to be in the consumer sector. We believe that we'll continue to see some rush orders coming in in second quarter as well. In terms of its volume and magnitude, I think it's difficult to predict at this point. Overall, I think the overall market softness seems to be persisting into second quarter. Going into third, I think we'll definitely see a rebound because of the new products being launched.

Some of the customers, as Ken pointed out, the restocking for new products launches will be starting in the third quarter. We'll be seeing a uptick in third quarter. Although for the whole year, I think the overall situation is softer than what we've been expecting. I think in the beginning of the first quarter, we were projecting that we were kind of estimating that for the whole year, we could be seeing a flat year to a high single-digit decline in terms of our overall ATM revenue. Now we are of the view that the full year prospect should look like a high single to low -teen kind of a decline in the for the whole year.

In terms of the automotive, I think we have made very good progress in terms of expanding that part of the business, both in, from a ATM as well as an EMS perspective. I think that momentum is still going on. I think, comparing to the other sectors, automotive continues to be more resilient than the others. We're expecting a double-digit growth for this year, and we will continue to try to penetrate this market further through our automation of our factory and also expanding our product line or service offerings.

Randy Abrams
Managing Director and Head of Taiwan Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Okay. Second question, just on the cost structure. Actually, a good progress to bring it down, the OpEx, especially ATM. Sounds like most of it was the bonus accrual. From this level, though, because you mentioned the ongoing cost reductions, how should we see the OpEx trending? Is there anything you've taken out beyond the bonus expense that brings this to you?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Well, I think we're actually facing a quite a challenging environment from the cost factor, cost aspect. We're looking at, you know, higher material costs that we've that's continued to roll forward. We're seeing higher utility costs. We're seeing higher net interest expenses because of the rate hike. You know, it's quite challenging, but we have been implementing quite a bit of cost reduction programs throughout the factories. We are kind of confident that we can maintain our OpEx ratio for for the for ATM as well as EMS businesses. Our target is to maintain the OpEx ratio at the same level as last year.

Operator

Our next question is from Mr. Gokul Hariharan of J.P. Morgan.

Gokul Hariharan
Managing Director, Co-Head of Asia Pacific TMT Equity Research, and Head of Taiwan Equity Research, JPMorgan

Right. Thanks for taking my questions. First of all, could you talk a little bit more on where are the areas you're seeing? I think previously we were looking for a double-digit growth in Q2. Is it mainly in communication that you're seeing the slower than expected momentum, or is it a little bit more broad-based? Given that the pricing, sorry, the weakness has been more persistent, could you also give us some view on how you think about pricing and what should we be expecting for CapEx this year? Looks like CapEx already come down a fair bunch in Q1, but maybe some outlook for CapEx this year.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think it's fair to say that we were banking on a better situation with the communication sector, particularly when we're seeing most of the Taiwanese customers started the inventory digestion earlier. I think the overall macro economic situation did not improve and the end demand seems to be still remain to be soft. We're seeing the softness persisting into second quarter, and hopefully this will start to turn around in third quarter.

Gokul Hariharan
Managing Director, Co-Head of Asia Pacific TMT Equity Research, and Head of Taiwan Equity Research, JPMorgan

Pricing model?

Okay.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think the right now we're still seeing a low price elasticity, meaning that, you know, even we lower our prices, it doesn't really bring us more volume. I think at this point, we still think the pricing is resilient, particularly for, in our case, being the preferred vendor of our customers. I think the we are, we're more resilient in protecting our pricing. We will continue to pursue or seek for suitable pricing structure, to meet both our customers, ourselves, meeting our goals and try to protect our margin and return better.

Gokul Hariharan
Managing Director, Co-Head of Asia Pacific TMT Equity Research, and Head of Taiwan Equity Research, JPMorgan

Got it. Could you also talk a little bit about the CapEx outlook for the year? Also, there were certain customers and certain capacity that you had some loading guarantees and loading arrangement agreements. How have those progressed, given that the overall utilization, like Ken mentioned, is closer to the 60% mark? Are customers still kind of retaining those or are you already renegotiated most of those? If they are renegotiated, how do the terms look like today compared to maybe a year back?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think the LTAs has served its purposes. It's being run down per its expiring period. You know, as I mentioned, we will continue to seek for suitable pricing structure for, to serve both our customers as well as our own needs. In terms of CapEx, I think in the first quarter, we already mentioned that whole year CapEx for the year will be a few hundred million dollars lower than previous year. But at this point, given the softness persisting, we are lowering that CapEx budget by another couple of hundred millions for the year. Also the combination of the CapEx will be a bit different from we previously anticipated.

I think, right now, in terms of assembly, it will be about 53% of the overall. Tests, last year we have about 34% of our CapEx being spent on tests. The ratio will be reduced to about 25% for this year. In terms of material, we'll maintain at 3%-4%. For EMS, actually we are expanding the CapEx because of the new projects that we are taking on, particularly in the automotive sector. The EMS CapEx will represent roughly 15%-16% of overall.

Operator

We have a question from Mr. Rick Hsu of Daiwa Securities.

Rick Hsu
Head of Regional Technology Research and Head of Taiwan Research, Daiwa Securities

Yeah, hi, Joseph. Can you hear me?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Yeah, you're kind of breaking off, so. Yeah, I can hear you now.

Rick Hsu
Head of Regional Technology Research and Head of Taiwan Research, Daiwa Securities

Okay, sorry for that. There's technical issue here. Hi, Joseph. just want to double check on the housekeeping questions about your utilization rate, 60% roughly. That's for the Q1 across the board of your packaging and testing, right?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Yeah, pretty much it's across the board. I think the same level of utilization will persist into second quarter. Going into second half of the year, I think it was second and third quarter, it should substantially improve. We're expecting at some point, the utilization rate should reach around 80% in the back half of the year.

Rick Hsu
Head of Regional Technology Research and Head of Taiwan Research, Daiwa Securities

Okay, great. Thank you so much. That's pretty helpful. The second question is about your profitability, you know, especially the, your gross margin. Would that still be above the pre-COVID-19 level, when we, when you guys move into second half, when all the operations improve and the utilization rates go to the optimal level, is that still effective?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think our target is still try to maintain our gross profit margin to the new structural margin range of mid-20% to 30%. I think we still have a shot in maintaining that. If, if the overall decline, revenue decline exceeds around 10%, I think we could look at another 1%-2% drop on this from our or original target.

Rick Hsu
Head of Regional Technology Research and Head of Taiwan Research, Daiwa Securities

Okay, fair enough. All right, that's all I have. Thank you so much again.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

No problem.

Operator

We have a question from Laura Chen of Citigroup. Next question is from Brad Lin of Bank of America.

Brad Lin
Director and Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Hello. Hi, hi. Thank you for taking my question. I have two questions. one is on the testing part. The mix of our CapEx on the, testing lowered to around 25%. I remember, last time we talked about that, we would like this testing business to be one of our key drivers going forward. Well, would you please discuss what were the barriers there and what changed the minds for our testing business target? That's my first question. Thank you.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

You know, yeah, I think our drive into test business is continuing, although there will be periodic modifications in our, or revisions in our CapEx plan, based on the current capacity as well as the incoming demand for our services. There will be periodic or adjustments in terms of CapEx. The overall goal is remains the same. We'll continue to build that part of the business, and we still believe that the potential of test business is greater than assembly. Our target remains that we want to bring our test business to its historical peak of about 18% of overall ATM business.

Brad Lin
Director and Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Got it. Thank you very much for the clarification. My second question will be on the ABF substrate. Last time, SEMCO mentioned that the ABF supply improved but not completely loosened. Would you please tell us that what will it be like for the second half of the year with the potential demand rebound? Thank you.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think most of the items have returned to a normal lead time, and we are not seeing for the ABF constraint at this point. If we look at the second half, I think ABF should not continue to be a constraint for us now.

Operator

Our next question is from Laura Chen of Citigroup.

Laura Chen
Equity Research Analyst, Citigroup

Hello. Hi. Can you hear me?

Operator

Yes.

Laura Chen
Equity Research Analyst, Citigroup

Oh, thank you. Thank you, gentlemen, good afternoon. My line seems just dropped previously. I got a question on the automotive revenue. Just wondering, do you have any breakdown between the ATM and also the EMS business of your automotive sales? Do you see any potential softness would happen in second half since some of the foundry makers, they cited earlier, like automotive orders seems to be slowing down into second half. The IDMs, their inventory level and also lead time seems also kind of slower right now. I'm just wondering your view on the automotive business so far seems to be resilient at the moment, but do you see any potential softness into second half?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

For last year, I think the overall automotive revenue for us is over $1.6 billion with the split between ATM and EMS. ATM is close to $1 billion, and EMS is over close to, somewhere close to $700 million. We're expecting this to this part of the business to have a relatively resilient growth for the year. We're still looking at double-digit growth for both EMS and ATM. As, in terms of the overall automotive business prospect, I think, there is a lot of noises, you know, but so far from our own forecast or from the business outlook that we are seeing from our end, I think, it still looks very resilient.

I think part of the reason is that, Aside from the organic growth, we are also gaining shares in this part of the business. There may or may not be some softness going into the second half of the year. As far as our own business, I think the combination of organic as well as share gaining, I think that's really the laid off the prospect for us in terms of our automotive business.

Laura Chen
Equity Research Analyst, Citigroup

Okay. Thank you. My second question is also about the ATM business. We know that given the weakness, we probably will slow down the CapEx expansion in this phase. On the other hand, we are seeing like a high computing PC or AI, the trend seems to be more structured. From ASE Group perspective, just wondering that what's your position now and any chance you may also break into this like a AI chip or high computing PC, maybe find some way to cooperate with the foundry makers or to pursue your own solution. Can you elaborate more on your strategy and your business plan on this space?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think the AI chips definitely presents a good potential for us. Although as this is still at a very early stage, we cannot it's kind of difficult to quantify the impact. As a whole, I think it does create a good business op potential for us, both in terms of the so-called advanced packaging test, but also in for the peripheral chips that requires traditional packaging tests. They all fall into our strengths, we believe that creates a good opportunity for us going forward.

In terms of the ultra-advanced type of packagings, I think, for any type of new prod, technology, I think, because of the characteristic of it, because most of these new packaging is more of a wafer process. We believe in the earlier stage, it should be the foundries that are taking the lead in developing this technology. Whereas, when we come in, we need to wait until this applications becomes has a wider adoption and with the volume becomes a real volume production type of business. There will be a natural division of works between us and the foundries.

I think it's a, it's good opportunity, and we do have a natural migration of technology from foundry to OSAT players including us. In this environment, I think being the largest and the most technologically advanced OSAT player in the field, I think we will gain the most potential from this business.

Operator

Our next question is from Sunny Lin of UBS.

Sunny Lin
Equity Research Analyst of Semiconductors, UBS

Hello, could you hear me?

Operator

Yes.

Sunny Lin
Equity Research Analyst of Semiconductors, UBS

Thank you very much. Thank you for taking my questions. My first question is on second half. Just want to better understand the trajectory of your recovery. I think, Joseph, earlier you mentioned for your IC ATM utilization rate may get back to 80% or higher in late this year. I understand it's still a bit early. Based on your current communication with the customers, would you expect a similar recovery pace for Q3 and Q4? Or do you think potentially it will be very back-end loaded, meaning Q4, the recovery will be a lot more significant?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Third quarter being the highest, sequential growth rate. And then, going to fourth quarter we're still expecting growth on a quarterly basis but to a lesser magnitude. B ut all in all, I think I already mentioned that from a whole year perspective I think the softness. Because of this softer than expected second quarter, I think for the whole year we are, we're now taking a more conservative view from originally expecting a flat to high single digit decline ATM revenue to a high single digit to mid teens, kind of a decline for the whole year. L ow teens.

Sunny Lin
Equity Research Analyst of Semiconductors, UBS

Got it.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Sorry.

Sunny Lin
Equity Research Analyst of Semiconductors, UBS

Got it. Got it. Thank you. That's very helpful. Just to follow up for second half, any particular areas that you're seeing better strengths?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I'm sorry?

Sunny Lin
Equity Research Analyst of Semiconductors, UBS

For second half recovery, any particular applications that you're seeing better strengths?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I think it's should be a broad-based recovery. I think a lot of the new products in all segments should be brought out. I think the customer will resume to a restocking type of mode to meet these new product launches.

Operator

Next question is from Szeho Ng of China Renaissance.

Szeho Ng
Managing Director, China Renaissance

Oh, hello. Hey, Joseph. Two questions from my side. The first one, within the ATM business, what are the major applications that are driving the automotive momentum?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Driving the automotive?

Szeho Ng
Managing Director, China Renaissance

Yeah, business, within the ATM portfolio.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

The IDMs, MCUs, sensors, infotainment processors, telematics. There's pretty wide application. For EMS, I think it's a large chunk of it, a better chunk of it is for power module and so power management type of products, and also telematics and infotainment.

Szeho Ng
Managing Director, China Renaissance

I see. Basically it's on the wire bond applications, right? For those products.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Huh? Yeah. What?

Szeho Ng
Managing Director, China Renaissance

Most, mostly on a wire bond, right? For those products.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Right. Right. At this point.

Szeho Ng
Managing Director, China Renaissance

All right. I see.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Although

Szeho Ng
Managing Director, China Renaissance

Okay. Okay.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

it is migrating into flip chip as well.

Szeho Ng
Managing Director, China Renaissance

I see. All right. Yeah. Second question, on the financial side, on the gearing ratio. Right now, the company has been driving down the gearing ratio to go quite healthy level. Is this something that we are comfortable or do we want to bring it down further?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

We are comfortable with the current level. Although the because of the rate hikes, I think the interest burden on us it's increasing quite a bit. If given the circumstance, I think we will try our best to continue to bring down our interest bearing debt level so that we can have some savings on interest.

Operator

Our next question is from Bruce Lu of Goldman Sachs.

Bruce Lu
VP and Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hello, sir. Thank you for taking my question. Can you hear me?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Yes.

Bruce Lu
VP and Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. I wanna follow up with Laura's question, but I want to focus on the Arm-based CPU where you have higher market share. Do we see some kind of dollar content increase for you to do this kind of business, whether you got like, you know, better packaging ASP or longer testing time, or even have wafer-level testing opportunities?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Like I said, it's in the early stage. We don't really have a number in our mind, except, you know, it's, it's more complicated and it's more technologically advanced. I think the overall value should be, value content should be higher than the other chips involved. I think not just on the these most advanced chips, but also there will be also peripheral chips coming out using mature packaging, that is also another good potential for us.

Bruce Lu
VP and Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

I see. Well, do you see a emerging SOT business? Is that ROE accredited business for ASE?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

SOT?

Bruce Lu
VP and Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

System Level Testing.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I need to get back to you on this. I'm not that familiar with it.

Bruce Lu
VP and Equity Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. I wanna switch gear to another question. Do you consider to do some kind of, like, capacity expansion in United States given there is like, you know, tariff stake approach from the government?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Well, you know, we're not ruling out anything. I think we're evaluating different options, try to find a suitable option for us, not just in the U.S., but also in the other part of the world. As you know, we do have worldwide footprints and we are expanding in Singapore, Malaysia, and in Korea as well in terms of ATM. We are expanding from EMS perspective, expanding in Vietnam, Poland, even some other areas.

We'll continue to monitor the situation and try to find a suitable option for us to meet our customer request and also to meet the overall, you know, kind of, environment, geopolitical environment type of requirements.

Operator

If you have any question, please raise your hand. Our next question is from Charlie Chan, Morgan Stanley.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Hello, Joseph and Ken and also Iris. Good afternoon. First of all, just some follow-ups to the previous questions. In terms of the advanced packaging, would the company consider to do some kind of wafer process, for example, interposer? Can I, as you said, follow-up question?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Yeah. I think there will be some kind of alliances with the wafer producers and we already have the wafer process here.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Okay. It's still in early stage as you just mentioned. Got it. Thanks. The next follow-up is to Sunny's question about utilization back to 80%. I think, do you mean that by the end of this year it will be 80% or at the beginning of second half you can see? Yeah, because just, you know, based on the utilization calculation, right, from 60% to 80% is like a 30% sequential growth. Can you clarify?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Yeah. I think what we're saying is at some point, we will reach 80%. I think that's based on the forecast that we're looking at. It's too early to say when exactly that will happen and how long it will last, you know, I think we still need to monitor the situation a bit more.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Yeah, just thanks for the clarification. Lastly, kind of pricing and also your structural margin improvement. This question could be a little bit more complex. In terms of pricing, I understand that lower prices don't really drive the end demand, but your key customers are quite suffering, right? Meaning, they're cutting price with their competitors, their margin get squeezed. Also, our understanding is that some of your Chinese competitors, they are indeed cutting price for some mature, you know, for example, wire bond business, right? How to address all those kind of pressures from no matter customers and also your competitors.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

I'm trying to look at the, to find the right word. Fee for, buy for . I think because of the, supply chain.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Fabrication.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Fabrication. I think the the price competition from the Chinese sources that's is less than.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Okay.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

We're actually not feeling that much of a pressure from the Chinese competitors at this point. In terms of a customer, I think the value add, in terms of the back-end service is much smaller than the front end. I think most of the, most of the pressing pressures should be more on the fab level rather than us. Given our scale and technology leadership and also the high degree of customer reliance on us, I think the, comparing to our competitors, we are, we're, we have a better pricing leverage. We're saying the prices seems to be still resilient.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Okay.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

In case, we still need to find, you know. The suitable pricing strategy, to serve our customers' needs. Also to maintain the strategic relationship we have with our customers.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Sure. Yeah. Thanks. thanks for that. Last one, attached to your, comments about your pricing strategy. I'm wondering when you talk about or Ken, talk about higher trough margin versus previous c ycle. Do you refer to the ATM business only or ATM and EMS? Also, do you think if that is the industry-wide, the trough margin would be higher or is just more about ASE?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

No.

Charlie Chan
Managing Director and Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Why?

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Compared to our competitors, I think from ATM's perspective, we are in a much stronger position than our competitors. Because of our scale, because of the higher degree of customer reliance on us, I think the also the synergistic cost savings that we have, after the SPIL combination, I think it does raise our overall margin prospect for us. That's why we're saying that our structural margin range has improved from, you know, historically around 20% to 25%. Now we're moving that range from to mid-20s% to 30%.

Even with this trough, cycle, we're still, I think we're still maintaining that margin range, for the whole year, although, there is more uncertainties and, the overall environment is more challenging. As I had mentioned, we're facing higher utility costs, we're facing higher financing, financial costs, so on and so forth. The challenge is higher. You know, given our position, we still believe that we do have the buffer to try to maintain that, structurally improve the margin.

Operator

If you have any question, please raise your hand. It seems like there's no more question.

Joseph Tung
CFO, ASE Technology

Thank you very much for attending this conference call. You know, I think the whole year is remains to be challenging, but we believe, we will continue to be the leader of the industry and we will be the first to rise. We remain confident and, whether through this down cycle nicely and, we'll continue to make the necessary investments. Thank you very much.

Powered by