ADENTRA Inc. (TSX:ADEN)
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Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q2 2024

Aug 9, 2024

Operator

Good morning. My name is Ludy, and I will be your conference operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to the ADENTRA second quarter 2024 results conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star followed by one. With me on the call are Rob Brown, ADENTRA's President and CEO, and Faiz Karmally , Vice President and CFO. ADENTRA's Q1 2024 earnings release, financial statements, MD&A, and other quarterly filings are available on the investor section of our website at www.adentragroup.com. These statements have also been filed on ADENTRA's profile on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca.

I want to remind listeners that management's comments during this call may include forward-looking statements. These statements involve various known and unknown risks and uncertainties and are based on management's current expectations and beliefs, which may prove to be incorrect. Actual results could differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements. Please refer to the text in ADENTRA's earnings press release and financial filings for a discussion of the risks and uncertainties associated with these forward-looking statements. All dollar figures referred to today are in U.S. dollars unless stated otherwise. I would now like to turn the call over to Rob Brown. Please go ahead.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Nice job. Thanks, Ludy. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today as we report ADENTRA's financial and operating results for the second quarter of 2024. I'll start with our key business and financial highlights for the quarter. Faiz Karmally, our CFO, will then provide details of our Q2 financial results. I'll then finish off our prepared remarks with our outlook for 2024. As Ludy noted, I'll remind those listening, all dollar figures discussed today are in US dollars unless otherwise noted. This past quarter was eventful for ADENTRA, characterized by a number of significant and positive developments. First, after 11 years of dedicated service, Mr. Peter Bull stepped down from ADENTRA's board of directors in May and reduced his share position to just under 10% to fulfill personal, financial, and estate planning goals.

We anticipate that this change will enhance the company's market float and trading liquidity over time, benefiting all shareholders. We would like to thank Peter for his years of service to the company and his continuing support as a shareholder of ADENTRA. Second, we successfully completed a CAD 73 million equity offering in June. This initiative reinforced our balance sheet and positioned us to pursue acquisition targets in our promising M&A pipeline. Third, we were pleased to announce the CAD 130 million acquisition of Woolf Distributing in July. Woolf is an excellent strategic fit as it enhances our geographic footprint and product range by adding complementary millwork locations to our U.S. Midwest operations. It also introduces new branded specialty products in the outdoor living category and strengthens our access to the pro dealer customer channel. I'm excited to welcome Woolf and its employees to the ADENTRA team.

I'm also pleased that we deployed some of the capital from our equity raise in June expeditiously and towards an acquisition that is expected to be immediately accretive to both adjusted earnings per share and Adjusted EBITDA margin. The addition of Woolf advances us towards our Destination 2028 goals, which include achieving CAD 3.5 billion in annual run rate sales through a blend of organic and acquisition-driven growth. Fourth, on Wednesday of this week, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced the preliminary results of a further administrative review with respect to certain hardwood plywood products produced in Vietnam that were alleged to be circumventing a previously established antidumping and countervailing duty order against hardwood plywood from China.

Based on the preliminary results of this administrative review, we believe we may be eligible for a refund on a significant portion of the $25.7 million in duties that have been paid related to this matter. While the U.S. Department of Commerce's results are provisional and could change upon becoming final, we view this as a very encouraging development. Finally, the events in the quarter included solid financial and operating performance. We continued to strengthen our bottom-line results with second quarter sales of $549.5 million, adjusted EBITDA of $48.5 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.06.

While sales declined 6.2% compared to the same period last year, primarily due to product price deflation, our gross margin percentage increased by 130 basis points year-over-year to 21.7%. This is the 13th consecutive quarter of gross margin above 20%, which has been achieved through several strategic initiatives, including the addition of higher gross margin mix businesses in the acquisitions of Novo and MidAm, a focus on higher margin ready-to-install products, positive contributions from our global sourcing program, and efforts to leverage data analytics and our digital platforms so that we can better manage our assets and maintain strong discipline on our product pricing.

Despite softer pricing and what was a more muted spring seasonal activity in North American construction markets, our increased gross profit margin, combined with tight cost control, resulted in strong bottom line results, with Adjusted EBITDA increasing 5.1% and adjusted basic earnings per share growing 43.2% compared to the same period last year. During the quarter, we generated strong cash flow, with 79% of our Adjusted EBITDA converting into operating cash flow before changes in working capital. This was supported by our solid operating performance, as well as strategic efforts to reduce interest expenses via a combination of debt reduction and interest rate swap, and a reduction in cash taxes paid.

We ended the quarter with a leverage ratio of 2.2 x, which is at the lower end of our 2x-3 x range, and that positioned us to close on the Woolf transaction. We also declared a quarterly dividend of CAD 0.14 per share, payable to shareholders on October fifteenth, 2024. I'll now pass the call to Faiz to provide details of our Q2 financial results, and then I'll return to talk about our outlook before we open the call to questions. Faiz?

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Thanks, Rob, and good morning, everyone. I'm going to recap our financial results for the second quarter of 2024 and outline our financial position at quarter end. Again, I'll remind those listening that any dollar figures Rob and I use today are in US dollars unless we've stated otherwise. Starting with consolidated revenue, we generated sales of $549.5 million in Q2. This decrease of $36.4 million, or 6.2%, from sales levels in Q2 of 2023, was due primarily to product price deflation, as well as a 1% decline in year-over-year volumes. On a regional basis, sales in our US operations were $504.6 million, or 6.7% less than Q2 2023. This was driven by a 6% decrease in product prices and a slight decline in volumes.

Our Canadian operations posted Q2 2024 sales of CAD 61.4 million, which was 1.7% higher than Q2 sales in 2023. Canada experienced a 7% increase in volumes during the quarter, partially offset by a 5% decrease in product prices. Moving now to gross profit. We earned CAD 119.2 million in the second quarter, essentially flat versus Q2 2023. Lower sales were offset by a 130 basis point increase in gross margin to 21.7%, reflecting the positive impact of the strategic initiatives Rob discussed in his opening remarks, together with a reduction in inventory write-downs as compared to the same period last year.

Our operating expenses in Q2 were CAD 92.2 million, a 2.3% decrease compared to Q2 of 2023, with lower premises and administrative costs more than making up for inflationary cost pressures. Looking now at our Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2024, it was CAD 48.5 million, or a 5.1% improvement over the second quarter of 2023. The main drivers of the Adjusted EBITDA improvement were the increase in gross margin of 130 basis points and a CAD 2.5 million reduction in operating expenses before changes in depreciation, amortization, and office expense. And finally, Adjusted net income in the first quarter was CAD 24.4 million, an increase of 47.3% over Q2 2023.

The change was primarily driven by the growth in Adjusted EBITDA, a CAD 1.7 million decrease in finance expenses, and a CAD 4 million decrease in income tax expense. On a per-share basis, adjusted basic profit per share was CAD 1.06, which was 43.2% increase over the CAD 0.74 we reported in Q2 of last year. Looking at our cash flow position for the first quarter, we generated CAD 26.8 million of cash flows from operating activities as compared to CAD 52.8 million in the Q2 period in 2023. The year-over-year decrease was the result of Q2 working capital investments of CAD 10.7 million, compared with a CAD 28.1 million cash inflow from the release of working capital in Q2 of 2023, a period during which we were actively reducing our inventory levels.

The investment in working capital is normal for this time of year. Moving next to our balance sheet. Our cash flow generation in Q2 was primarily used to fund our investments in working capital, and combined with the CAD 73 million equity issue, resulted in a decline in our net bank debt at the end of the quarter to CAD 329.8 million. We exited the quarter in a solid financial position with a leverage ratio of 2.2 x and unused borrowing capacity of CAD 485 million, which gave us ample balance sheet capacity to fund the CAD 130 million Woolf transaction after quarter end, and still retain flexibility we need to advance our business strategies while managing any short-term headwinds.

The capital allocation priorities are the continued responsible management of our balance sheet, funding our growth, both through acquisitions as well as organically, and providing incremental total returns to shareholders through dividends. With that, I will hand the call back over to Rob. Rob?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Very good. Thanks, Faiz. I'll finish up my prepared comments today with our outlook and details on our strategy to continue building the long-term value of ADENTRA. As we move into the second half of 2024, we expect that the combination of inflation and elevated interest rates will continue to have moderate impacts on the residential repair and remodel and commercial construction markets. However, the size, scale, and sophistication of our business model allows us to implement comprehensive initiatives that drive our success and are difficult to replicate by smaller regional competitors. Such key strategies include our global sourcing program and our vendor management programs that provide us access to branded, exclusive, and semi-exclusive products with attractive terms.

Our digital engagement initiatives with customers, with approximately 20% of our transactions occurring online, and our proprietary ADENTRA University training programs, that further ensure our team is well equipped to deliver exceptional service and maintain our competitive advantage. These strategies will contribute to solid performance, and we anticipate that on an organic basis, third quarter adjusted EBITDA will be similar to what we achieved in Q2 of 2024. Acquisition-based growth is expected to build on that performance as we benefit from the inclusion of Woolf's operations for August and September of 2024. These strategies are core components of our Destination 2028 plan, which targets an additional CAD 800 million in run rate acquired revenues between 2024 and 2028. The acquisition of Woolf puts us right on pace to achieve this goal, and we will continue to evaluate acquisition opportunities going forward.

As one of the largest distributors of architectural building products in North America, with approximately a 6% market share, there remains significant opportunity for growth, and we maintain a robust pipeline of acquisition targets. Over the longer term, our business is supported by strong end market fundamentals. This includes historic under-building of homes, positive demographic factors, strong home equity, and an aging housing stock. Decreases in interest rates could further support end market demand for our products. We continue to see a multi-year runway for growth in our core repair and remodel, residential and commercial markets. With that, I just wanna thank you for your time this morning. I'll now turn it back to our operator, Ludy Tu, to provide instructions for the Q&A period.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press the star followed by the number two. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from the line of Ariana Milan with CIBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Hello, good morning.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Good morning.

Speaker 9

I was wondering if you could provide some visibility on pricing by product category. Have you seen prices begin to stabilize in certain categories? Then overall, when do you expect to lap negative pricing comps?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

So, I think most folks on the call know, we've got a very broad and deep SKU mix. We carry a lot of products, and there are different pricing dynamics across categories, you know. So it would probably be tough and a little too freestyling to go too granular by product category. I would offer this, that we are seeing the rate of product price deflation is slowing. The first quarter, it was, you know, high single digits, 9%. In the second quarter, it was 6% year-over-year. So we are seeing that slowing, which is very positive.

You know, I would say there are some product categories, this is a broad statement, where we have seen prices stabilize and in some cases, some modest and early upticks. I would call out MDF moldings and doors as examples there. But, you know, past that, we are still facing some downward pressure on the pricing, but we do think that it's nearing the finish line.

Speaker 9

Okay, great. Thanks. And then turning to your acquisition of Woolf, can you provide any insight on the expected magnitude of synergies, and over what time frame we should expect these synergies to fully materialize?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Yeah, we haven't put a number out there on the synergies. You have to exercise some degree of caution when doing that and going through the HSR process, approval, which obviously we approved, and then we closed shortly thereafter. So we do have identified synergy areas. We are doing the work now to, from an internal perspective, quantify those. And as has been our practice in all past acquisitions, we will then execute against those on a timeline. Generally, that timeline depends on what it is. You know, there's usually some immediate cost savings, just by virtue of a larger company such as ADENTRA being able to provide certain services more efficiently than a smaller regional player, and we get those in a matter of months.

Some of the synergies around cross-selling and, cross-brand, you know, kind of product, sharing generally take a little bit more time. I would say that- that's more, you know, within a year, or it can be a little bit more. But you've seen in the past, on other acquisitions, we've been able to take, you know, up, up to a turn out of, our EBITDA multiple with these efforts, but it will take a little bit of time.

Speaker 9

Okay, thanks. That's helpful. That's all I have for now. I'll get back in the queue.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Yuri Lynk with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Yuri Lynk
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Good morning, and congrats on the good quarter.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Thanks for your-

Yuri Lynk
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Hey. So I would like to just get some additional color on what you're expecting for Q3 and the second half of 2024. How has your outlook evolved in the last few months, compared to your prior expectation of modest organic EBITDA growth for the full year?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Yeah. So I mean, we had said earlier in the year that we expected the comps to get easier in the second half or to improve in the second half relative to the first. I would say I made the comment in my opening statements that it was a relatively muted uptick in seasonal sales activity between Q1 and Q2, not as much as I think traditionally building products space would anticipate. So, you know, the way we've looked at it and phrased it is, when we stare at Q3, and of course, putting the results out yesterday, we have the benefit of visibility of July. So far, and our expectation is that Q3 probably looks similar to Q2, so that's what we've put out there.

We've not said anything specifically about the fourth quarter. I would just make the comment that I think we all that are familiar with the company, understand that's typically a seasonally slower quarter, but as we're looking at, at Q3, we're viewing it as, as steady as she builds at this point.

Yuri Lynk
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Thanks for that. And perhaps just turning to the Woolf acquisition, I understand it expands your presence in the outdoor living category, which has been somewhat more impacted by the current environment, at least in my understanding. So could you just share what you're seeing in that business and what your growth expectations for it are going forward?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Yeah, we're very excited about that. We already, you know, were in outdoor living. This isn't our first foray into that category. But what I would say about Woolf is they do it extremely well, and they've got a real track record of success and growth in what they're doing there. This is, you know, predominantly decking and railing and, you know, connectors and accessories that go with that space. If you've snooped on the Woolf website, which I'm sure, you know, some folks have, you'll see that they're an AZEK TimberTech distributor. That's a, you know, a premium line, and it has performed very well. And, you know, I'd maybe point you at AZEK's recent reporting, which was quite positive moving forward, you know, in that space.

Yuri Lynk
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Great. Thanks. That's great. I'll turn it over.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Pleasure.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Gabriel Moreau with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Gabriel Moreau
Investment Banking Associate, Scotiabank

Hi, good morning.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Good morning.

Gabriel Moreau
Investment Banking Associate, Scotiabank

So I'm calling for, Jonathan Goldman. Just a quick follow-up on the first question on price deflation. Do you have a sense about how much higher current price level are versus 2019?

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Yeah. Hi there, Gabrielle. It's a pleasure. I can take that one. They're still elevated. But again, Rob's comment around just the intensive SKU mix and the variety of products we have, it's more of a ballpark range, but it could still be mid-teens, roughly, in terms of where prices are relative to the period you know you noted. Rob mentioned that the rate has been slowing the last number of quarters. We think we're near the finish line. You may have heard us mention this before, but we don't expect prices to fall back to sort of those pre-COVID levels that you're referencing.

The inputs to the products just cost more today than they do if you think about things like wages, what you pay people, what you're paying for space, you know, a manufacturing facility, what capital in the ground costs today with higher interest rates, what freight costs are doing. We don't see that going back to pre-COVID levels, and that should provide some support to, you know, prices closer to where they are today, as opposed to, you know, where they were pre-COVID.

Gabriel Moreau
Investment Banking Associate, Scotiabank

Thank you. That's helpful. On the macro, today, how would you describe your outlook versus where we were maybe three months ago?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Yeah, I would say that, you know, in residential, the single family continues to form, you know, reasonably well with some growth. I think there was an expectation that that growth might have been a little bit more robust than it has proven to be. But it's still good. You know, the multifamily has come off. That was expected. It was coming off an extremely strong high and is now what I would call more of a reversion to a regular level. They're still good levels. The repair and remodel, you know, I think anybody who's following that will see that's proven to be a little bit softer than was probably expected coming into the year. If you look at the large home centers and, you know, Lowe's is a key partner for our company.

If you look at their expectations coming into the year versus current performance, you know, it's a few points, I would say, probably weaker than the outlook statements coming into the year. Having said that, you know, we've continued to enjoy decent performance in that sector because of being in the millwork aisle, which is, I would say, proportionately performed or relatively performed better than rest of store. That's been still a reasonably strong aisle. So I would say a little bit of a shift, as we proceeded through the year, and you've seen it in some outlook statements with other issuers to probably softer than entering the year.

Gabriel Moreau
Investment Banking Associate, Scotiabank

Thank you. Thanks for the call. That's it for me.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jeff Fenwick with Cormark Securities. Please go ahead.

Jeff Fenwick
Managing Director and Co-Head of Institutional Equity Research, Cormark Securities

Hi, good morning, everyone.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Hey, Jeff.

Jeff Fenwick
Managing Director and Co-Head of Institutional Equity Research, Cormark Securities

So just another follow-up here on Woolf and I guess related to the integration effort here. Could you just give us a sense when you take on a business like this, the level of sort of management effort and time required to integrate it? You know, is it a similar ERP system that you can plug in and kind of get to work right away out of the gate? Is there a lot of time and effort from your end to make sure it's all working well? And I'm just sort of asking that question with respect to then the ability, of course, to look forward to the next step that you wanna take when you're contemplating future acquisition opportunities.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Yeah, no, it's a good question. Totally get it. And while I wouldn't describe this as a transformative acquisition, you know, it's a chunky acquisition for us, so I think that's very fair. The answer would differ based on target, obviously. But specifically to Woolf, this is going to be a very smooth onboarding. We are already on the same ERP systems both from an overall ERP system and even our you know our payroll and HR information systems line up very well on the same platform. So that distraction is taken off the table right away. And then, you know, we're keeping all the folks at Woolf. They've joined the team, and they're going to be there to maintain continuity of the business.

So it may be a little bit of a cliché that people say business as usual, but literally, you know, from the day we announced that, it's, it's business as usual. We know and understand the customer base, the vendor base, and the geographic methodology that's, you know, utilized in the Midwest. The learning curve is not steep here, and we've got the same folks in place. So this should be one that does not slow us down from continuing our acquisitions program.

Jeff Fenwick
Managing Director and Co-Head of Institutional Equity Research, Cormark Securities

Okay. That's very, very helpful color. Thanks, thanks for that. And then I wanted to ask about, operating expenses. I mean, that was seemed like a standard in the quarters to able to find, you know, a couple million dollars of savings. Just sort of any commentary on what's going on there? Are you seeing some, maybe some deflation on some of the costs now, or is this just about finding some incremental efficiencies?

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Yeah. Hey, Jeff, it's Faiz. I can take that one. I think we're in a range, you know, about half our costs, roughly, are people costs. Now, of course, there's a salary and a benefits component to it, but there's an hourly wage component to it as well. We can flex that a little. I know you're comparing the same period in prior year, but if you just look at the last couple of quarters on a trend basis, you know, we've sort of been in that low 90s in terms of total operating expenses as they show on the, you know, in the MD&A table in section 2. I think that's our range here, at least in the short term. You know, we've done the-...

The optimizing or the things you mentioned, we did that actually several quarters ago, whether it was consolidating certain smaller facilities, doing the things we needed to do, around people and maybe headcount, you know, as we saw more of a flatter, stable environment, as opposed to a little bit more of a growth environment we were anticipating. I think all those things are done. I think our run rate now, right now is really matched well to the pace that we expect, here heading into the third quarter.

Jeff Fenwick
Managing Director and Co-Head of Institutional Equity Research, Cormark Securities

Okay, thanks. That's great color. And then maybe just a question here on your distribution channels. Are you seeing much variability between what's happening between pro dealer retail and your manufacturing base, or is there any sort of themes that we can sort of tease out in terms of what you're seeing right now?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Nothing that I would call out as kind of schematic there, Jeff. It's been steady. I mean, that's how we've described it, and as I've mentioned, you know, through the start of the quarter. So until we see something that indicates otherwise, that's how we're looking at it.

Speaker 9

Okay, thank you. That's all I had.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Zachary Evershed with National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Zachary Evershed
Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Good morning, everyone. Congrats on the quarter.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Hey, thanks, Zach. Good morning.

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Hey, Zach.

Zachary Evershed
Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

What kind of Adjusted EBITDA contribution are you expecting from Woolf in August and September?

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Hey, Zach, Faiz here. So when we, when we announced the deal, you recall, we, we noted, it was accretive to our adjusted EBITDA margin. You know, we've roughly been operating about 9%, let's say, plus or minus. So, so they would be a little higher than that. You know, you know, we've not disclosed that, but, you can sort of make, make your assumptions there. I think in terms of, how that pencils out, you know, over the course of the year, similar to our business, you know, their first half is gonna be just a little stronger than their second half, primarily because of that Q4 seasonality that Rob highlighted earlier. That's gonna apply equally to Woolf as it does to our own business.

So, you know, you'll have an EBITDA estimate, and maybe 45% of that happens in H2 of 2024. And then recall, we own them for 5 months, essentially, of 2024. So we're expecting very solid EBITDA contribution from them. What we expect, when we went through the deal, as Rob mentioned, they've sort of hit the ground running. That's our plan, and it's been working that way so far. But for Q3, you should really think of it as 2 months of 3 months of contribution. And then in Q4, we'll have the full benefit, albeit that is going to be, again, a seasonally slower quarter for them as well.

Makes sense, thanks. And then as we're looking at your balance sheet and your tuck-in expectations, what are you doing in terms of fielding inbounds versus still being on the hunt? And would you consider anything more commoditized SKU-wise, or are you still focused on specialty products and services that can raise your margins?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

So the pipeline is active. You know, we've got that fully staffed and very capable full-time leader of that, who's active in the market every week. You know, inbounds versus outbounds, but we're always doing outbounds, but the inbounds are also healthy in this environment. So we cast a really wide net and look at all the opportunities that are out there to make sure we have a match for what's right for us. In terms of what's right for us, you are quite right. We've been leaning towards upscaling to more specialty, higher margin product offerings. As we look at new acquisitions, that is one criteria.

But we will, you know, consider, you know, other things that a transaction could bring to the table, even if it's got some more commoditized products within the mix. But, you know, if we think about the long-term destination, it's going to be to continue to, you know, move upward with margin, and that'll be reflective in the acquisitions that we end up closing off.

Zachary Evershed
Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Perfect, thanks. For the tax impacts in Canada, what are your expectations for use of Loss carryforwards?

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Yeah, Zach, we're gonna expect to use them. Is the short answer. We've recognized most of them now. They were previously unrecognized because we didn't think we would use them, at least over the planning horizon that we used to evaluate the tax loss carryforwards. What's changed, as I mentioned in the note, is there are some new Canadian tax rules that very well foreshadowed, but finally here. And so that will increase our taxable income in Canada, but we do have these losses we can now use. So you saw the recognition in the quarter, roughly CAD 4 million after tax, that we think we can, you know, we can now shelter. There's maybe a little more we haven't recognized.

Again, you know, that's gonna tie into our estimates of taxable income that we'll continue to refine, but most of that now has been recognized in the quarter year.

Zachary Evershed
Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Gotcha. Thanks. Then just one last one on the macro. Housing start trends, given months of supply running at higher than normal levels for new homes.

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Are you worried at all about oversupply over the next two years or air pockets in demand? And then maybe looking at the rate cycle, how quickly did housing activity react to 25 basis points or 50 basis points of cuts in past cycles?

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

I feel privileged you're asking us that question. That's a lot of crystal ball, and opinion probably, that goes with it. But, yeah, I don't think we envision, you know, air pockets or oversubscription of demand until something kind of gives a little bit. And the theme, you know, with our volumes and setting aside product pricing, which you said is decelerating, but, you know, it's been steady, for us. So that until we see something different, that's the theme. Having said that, you know, I'm tremendously optimistic that, interest rates, when they do roll over, that's gonna be really, helpful. And, I assume it'll be at a bit of a measured, pace.

But, you know, there's that will provide some relief and some entry points for folks that are looking to get into the market. It's real dollars in terms of, you know, after-tax monthly payments. And I feel like there's, you know, some folks that are just waiting for that to happen. So I do feel like that will be an important catalyst, you know, practically speaking, as well as psychologically, when it, when it occurs. The last we looked, it looked to be a lock that there's going to be a, a decrease in the U.S. in September. We can argue around what, what size, but if you look at, you know, kind of forward indicators, it's, it seems like that's what the market expectation is, and we, we would welcome that, obviously.

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Thank you very much for the color. Appreciate the crystal ball. I'll turn it over.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Okay, thanks, Matt.

Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask a question, simply press star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Ian Gillis with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Ian Gillies
Analyst, Stifel

Morning, everyone.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Hi, Ian.

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Hey, good morning.

Ian Gillies
Analyst, Stifel

This may be challenging to answer, but do you have any sense out of your SKU mix, what your leverage is like to high-end products versus, call it, mid-end products and low-end products? And I'm just asking this in the context of we're seeing changing consumer preferences across all three income brackets.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Well, I mean, we've talked about, we've continued to upsize the proportion of our products that we would consider to be specialty. And, you know, we think of that as branded or exclusive or semi-exclusive products. So, you know, the Woolf acquisition is just another helper within the mix on that journey. I would say on your comments in terms of consumer consumption, we're obviously not in a consumer packaged good discussion here, but our SKU mix does cover the range, so we've got good, better, best. And, you know, when I say good, that is, it's still good, but it is, there are lower cost alternatives all the way up through the premium products, where you've got folks that frankly have wealth and are gonna be price- more price insensitive.

So that's a little bit of how we approach that by making sure we're participating in all the markets, and then within those markets, at price points that are gonna suit the participants.

Ian Gillies
Analyst, Stifel

Got it. That's helpful. I apologize, I missed the first few minutes of the call. There seems to be some positive developments as it pertains to the trade case in Vietnam. Faiz, can you just remind us how much cash is tied up in the balance sheet right now as it relates to that case, and whether it's accruing interest, while it sits there?

Faiz Karmally
CFO, ADENTRA

Yeah, there's $25.7 million of duties that we've paid. You know, we paid 15, rough numbers, $15 million of it last year, and another $10 million through the first five months of this year. Our expectation is that it does accrue interest, yes. So, you know, we've noted on the preliminary, we think we may be eligible for a refund of a significant portion. If that were to happen, it's probably not until at least 2025, but our expectation is there would be interest payable on that as well.

Ian Gillies
Analyst, Stifel

That's, that's helpful. Thanks very much. That's all I had. Everything else was asked. I'll turn the call back over.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Thanks, Ian.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn it back to Rob Brown for closing remarks.

Rob Brown
President and CEO, ADENTRA

Okay. Well, we will wrap then. Thanks everyone for joining us today on the line. As always, appreciate your interest in the company, and as always, reach out to Faiz, Maggie, or myself if you've got follow-on questions, happy to chat with you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.

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