Alamos Gold Inc. (TSX:AGI)
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57.05
-2.32 (-3.91%)
Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
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35th BMO Global Metals, Mining & Critical Minerals Conference

Feb 23, 2026

Brian Quast
Precious Metals Analyst, BMO

My name is Brian Quast. I'm one of the research analysts here at BMO. Our next company to present is Alamos Gold. Alamos Gold is a Canadian-based mid-tier gold producer that owns and operates the Young-Davidson Mine and Island Gold District in Canada, the Mulatos Mine in Mexico, has a strong portfolio of development assets, particularly in Canada. Here to give us an update today is John McCluskey, President, CEO, and Director. He will be making some formal remarks, and then we'll come down and have a bit of a fireside chat. If you guys would like to put in some questions in the app, I'm happy to read those out, and there will be opportunities to ask questions from the floor as well. With no further ado, please take it away, John.

John McCluskey
President, CEO, and Director, Alamos Gold

Thank you, Brian. Thanks again to BMO for having us here. I must admit, when I first came to BMO back in 2004 was my first conference, I could never imagine the day we'd be here at a $5,200 gold price. The way that's affected the whole market, it's just been, it's been spectacular. I have a few remarks I'm going to make today. Simply go through a set of slides at a very high level, and then Brian and I will sit down and do some Q&A. These are our cautionary notes. Please pay attention to those. Alamos as a company started in 2001, a really small exploration company at the time. We obtained an option to purchase the Mulatos project in Mexico.

That was our foundation asset. That mine's gone on to produce close to 4 million ounces of gold. It's generated $900 million in free cash flow. It's just been a fantastic asset, and it still has more than a decade of production in front of it, based on what we know. Every five years, we've made a new discovery there, and we took what was originally a six-year mine life, and we've extended it to 20 years, and we've got lots of additional production to come. We took the decision back in 2015 to diversify and essentially produce gold from more assets, and we focused on Canada, and that's where we picked up initially our Young-Davidson deposit.

We picked up Lynn Lake in northern Manitoba, and then we picked up the Island Gold project in 2017. We did all those acquisitions between 2015 and 2017, right near the bottom of the cycle at that time. Of course, everybody was asking, "How do you know that's the bottom of the cycle?" That's a very good question. We happened to be right on that one, though. It turned right after that, you know, look at the run we've been on. This gives us a great suite of assets. We will produce just over 600,000 ounces of gold this year from our producing mines. We're on our way to one million ounces of production.

We're going to get there by expanding our Island Gold District and ultimately building Lynn Lake, which we'll bring on by 2029, that'll take us over 1 million ounces of annualized production. Over that timeframe, our costs will decline as we put more capital into Island Gold and develop the shaft that we've been working on now for two years. It'll be finished later this year. We're practically at shaft bottom now, that's going to bring our costs down from this $1,500 range down to the $1,200 range. You can imagine if we have a $5,000 gold price, what amazing margins those that will be. Lynn Lake will add additional low cost because it's, it'll have all-in sustaining costs of roughly $1,000 an ounce.

At the moment, even though we started in Mexico, initially, 100% of our asset value was in Mexico. Now, 90% of our asset value is in Canada, and Mulatos represents about 10% of our NAV. We've had a tremendous run. This is just showing back to about 2001 or so. We've been a great outperformer of the gold price and of the index. you know, it's been predicated on a number of things going very, very well for us. We've done extraordinarily well on exploration. We've done very well at expanding our assets, and that growth is going to continue.

Growth is, I have to say, come in and out of fashion in the market, and at the time, we took a decision to grow and invest very heavily in our, in our future. It was not a very popular thing to do in the market. It's worth mentioning because it shows that Alamos isn't a company that basically just pursues the flavor of the month. We have a very specific and well-executed business strategy. It means acquiring things cheaply, investing heavily in exploration to expand on them, and then investing the capital in order to capitalize on the good results. This shows some of the value that we've created in M&A. I guess the most striking one is perhaps Mulatos, because we acquired it so cheaply.

It was about CAD 8 million at the time. Given what it's generated in terms of free cash flow and the valuation the market currently has on it, that's quite a dramatic amount of value we've created. Island Gold is probably the one that people know the most about because we acquired it at a very low price initially, and even adding the Magino acquisition, what it was versus what it is, it shows a huge amount of value creation for our shareholders. This is a track record that we've demonstrated over the course of the last 25 years. It's a discipline strategy. It's worked very well, and it's created amazing returns for our shareholders.

This sort of shows it in a bar chart fashion. It's interesting, if you go back to 2015 when we only owned Mulatos, we had about 1.8 million ounces or so of reserves remaining at Mulatos. That's at the point in time we decided to go on this very aggressive acquisition strategy and drilling off resources from our new acquisitions. You can see what we've done in terms of growth in reserves under 2 million ounces to now in excess of 16 million ounces. That's net of depletion. This is during a period of time where our industry has really had a problem replacing reserves, and in fact, most of the majors are having some real difficulty with that.

You know, we think this is a really strong differentiator. We think it's a way that we'll continue to increase value for our shareholders. We don't only look on it at an aggregate basis, we also look at it on per share metrics, and you can see from these various bar charts that in terms of gold per ounce, in terms of cash flow per ounce, and so forth, if you look at it on a per share basis, all of the transactions that we've done have effectively been accretive, and they've added shareholder value. The striking ones on this chart are cash flow per share and the gold reserves per share. We've just done extraordinarily well on that front.

This is an overview of the Island Gold District. This is a great example of how we go about executing on this strategy when we acquired it for around $600 million. Frankly, at the time, the market thought this was a pretty high price to pay for the asset as it was. We've taken it from under 1 million ounces of reserves, to, on a combined basis, having consolidated the district, we're sitting on over 8 million ounces of reserves and another 3 million ounces in resources. Over that time, we've increased production from about 100,000 ounces.

We're currently doing about 160,000 ounces. You're gonna see this continue to grow as we complete the shaft and expand production to 2,400 tons per day from underground. We also have just produced a study that shows on an integrated basis, we're effectively gonna move the whole district to a 20,000 ton per day throughput rate, generating about 130,000 ounces or so from the open pit and roughly 400,000 ounces from underground. We're taking the whole district up over 500,000 ounces a year, 530,000 ounces a year, and at the same time, bringing costs down to about $1,200 an ounce. Based on our exploration success, you can see we can sustain this production for the long term.

This is sort of looking ahead, and we can sustain that, in excess of 500,000 ounces of production for the next 10 years, and you can rest assured that before we get to the end of that 10-year period, we'll have pushed that out for another 10 years. We've been thinking about this expansion to 20,000 tons a day for some time, and even though the discussion with the market was still on the Phase Three Expansion of Island Gold, which envisioned us going to 12,400 tons a day, while we were doing the construction work last year, we were building it as if it was gonna be a 20,000 ton per day operation.

This sort of shows the facility that we've built to house the mill, all the tanks. We would have needed about three to run it at 12,400 tons a day. We've put in all the tanks we're gonna need to run it at 20,000 tons a day. It's a good indication of the fact that we're not just planning to go to 20,000 ton today. At some point, we're fully permitted to go there, and all the construction work that we've been doing over the last year has essentially been servicing that wider outlook. We've invested very heavily in exploration in Island Gold since we acquired it.

We have a $100 million exploration budget this year, of which half is gonna go to Island Gold, you can see the success we've had. It was a relatively small reserve and a small operation when we started it, by now it hosts basically half the mineral inventory of the company, it's still growing fast. In addition to all the gold we're finding in close proximity to where we're mining, we've been exploring along strike, we've just been having some fantastic results. Probably the best worth noting is one we just announced recently from drilling that was done towards the end of the year, where we hit 178 grams over about 4 meters. That was a spectacular result.

That was in the Cline, Pick and Edwards area , about 10 K away from where we currently operate, and it's a good indicator of the future potential of the district. We have a very strong outlook looking forward. I've made reference to the fact that we want to build the production towards this million-ounce-a-year threshold and doing so at lower cost. This basically lays out how we're going to get there between our three operating mines and then finally, adding Lynn Lake. Depending on your gold price assumptions, you pick your bar off this chart. You can see our ability to generate cash flow is really significant. When we talk about growth, we're talking about fully funded growth, fully permitted growth.

The expansion work is underway right now, and that's effectively going to take us to this million-ounce threshold over the next few years. We see ourselves as being uniquely positioned with a leading costs, leading growth profile. Low risk, given 90% of our NAV is in Canada, 10% in Mexico. That's a very low risk profile in a world that I think doesn't even bear mentioning. It seems to be becoming an ever dangerous place. We are effectively, if you look at it across our peers, we've got one of the fastest growth profiles, we're gonna have one of the lowest cost profiles, one of the longest life reserve profiles, and I think that's a great differentiator. This is essentially where I'll conclude my talk.

I'll leave this slide up there. It's an exercise that we didn't invent last week. We've been working on this kind of strategy for close to 25 years now. It's sort of built into our DNA. We're very accustomed to delivering. You can rest assured we're gonna be doing everything we can to make sure we get to where we're going over the next few years. With that, I'll just conclude it. Thank you.

Brian Quast
Precious Metals Analyst, BMO

As John makes his way down to the chair here, I think you need this. Oh, you got a lapel mic.

John McCluskey
President, CEO, and Director, Alamos Gold

Yeah.

Brian Quast
Precious Metals Analyst, BMO

I do have some prepared questions here. Once again, if you do need any other questions answered, please feel free to raise your hand or fire them in via the app. Maybe I'll start with one of the questions I have here that sort of relates to one of the conversations we were having just before you started your talk there. How are you thinking today about mine planning, short, medium, long term, given that, you know, we're sitting here and we're well over $5,000 an ounce, and if we were talking last year, we were under $3,000 an ounce? The world has changed for gold miners. Is Alamos changing with it, or is there a different game in place?

John McCluskey
President, CEO, and Director, Alamos Gold

Well, I think we're changing in all the right ways. We're certainly not changing our strategy. That's a strategy... I didn't even invent that strategy. That was a Glamis strategy, and those guys were growing in that fashion back in the 1980s and 1990s. I certainly can't claim ownership of it. I did learn the lessons well, and I've been very disciplined about the way I've run the company over the last 25 years. I will say that you will see, as an industry, we'll do what we've typically done in order to maximize reserve life, especially on assets that are depleting their reserves quickly. They're going to take advantage of higher gold prices to essentially factor that in order to extend their mine lives. That's not really what we need to do.

For Young-Davidson Island Gold, there's very discrete lines between what we mine and what, effectively, is waste, what we leave behind. It's not really sensitive to the gold price. About the only thing that we mine that is, would be Magino. To just give you some insight into that, I think with all the reserve calculation we did to arrive at that 16 million ounce figure, about 200,000 ounces was brought into that pit by virtue of the gold price. It's not really being driven by that. We've got certain physical limitations in terms of how we want to develop that pit anyway, and so it's pretty much fixed. No, we're not really, you're not using the gold price in order to gussy up your reserves.

It's not going that way.

Brian Quast
Precious Metals Analyst, BMO

Maybe, worth noting, and you mentioned it in your remarks there, that you're in a fairly enviable position with having organic growth in a time when the gold price is moving higher. Just a couple of things to go through on some of those growth projects. You mentioned that you've gotten to the bottom of the shaft for Island Gold. What should investors be looking for in terms of press releases going forward to, you know? Given that the industry has a fairly poor track record of being on time and on budget, what should we be looking forward to to be comfortable that you meet the timelines for Island Gold's expansion?

John McCluskey
President, CEO, and Director, Alamos Gold

Yeah, I get you. You know, the industry is guilty of a lot of sins. I would say that we've done our best over the tenure that I've had to not commit those sins. You know, we don't buy at the top of the cycle, we buy at the bottom. We operate in a very disciplined way, and we're quite consistent in terms of meeting our guidance. Having said that, you know, last year was the exception that proved the rule. After 14 straight quarters of either meeting or exceeding guidance, we ran into some operational difficulties at our Canadian operations over the course of the winter and, you know, that did cause us to miss guidance for the first time in five years. We take that very personally.

You know, we don't like to put numbers out and miss them. We certainly won't do that going forward. We've been much more conservative in our guidance as far as putting in a wider guidance range. We were so confident in what we were doing, having so consistently hit our guidance for such a long time, that we had a relatively narrow band to capture the low end and the high end of what we might do. The danger of doing that is, you know, the so-called, you know, what hits you out of nowhere, and that's the kind of thing we ran into over the course of last year. Sort of one-offs that, you know, had an effect on the quarters we were in.

In sort of second and third quarter, we ran into a couple of difficulties, albeit temporary, but they were enough to essentially make us miss our production and ultimately fall short of what we intended to produce back in over the course of 2025. What we've done this year is we've set a wider band, and we've set it lower at the low end to capture, you know, the unknown. You know, people ask me, you know, we have lots of loyal shareholders, and they say, "Well, how do you know for sure you're gonna get?" You never know what you're gonna get hit with, but I think we've taken into account, you know, the how bad could it possibly get factor and put that into our guidance going forward.

If there was a lesson learned for us, that was it. As we go on, we're making our operations safer anyway. I mean, one of the things that dogged us in the Island District was the Magino Mill right now runs off of Compressed Natural Gas that relies on deliveries, which meant when they closed the road, we couldn't get Compressed Natural Gas into site, and that shut us down. We'll be on grid power by the end of the year. At the front end of that whole setup, no offense, Brian, it was designed by an Australian engineering company that I think would have...

This would have worked beautifully in Australia, but making big stockpiles at the front end of your line doesn't work in northern Canada because those stockpiles freeze, and the difficulty we had was with the ore flow. We have a workaround for it right now, but ultimately, we're going to a big gyratory crusher feeding the two lines that will ultimately produce the 20,000 tons of material that we process over the course of any given day. That gyratory crusher, that requires a complete redesign of the front end, and we'll sort of mitigate the issue that the misdesign that we're dealing with right now. I'll admit we did underestimate it.

It took the coldest winter Canada's seen in 50 years in order to really bring out just how problematic that could be. You know, this is mining, and you can never-- If you're a Canadian miner, you can never complain: "Well, jeez, I wasn't prepared for the weather." That's the most absurd thing. We're very prepared for the weather. We've been operating in this climate for a very long time, and we were less prepared for the, you know, the engineering problems that we were having to deal with. We've sort of got it, got it on track now.

Brian Quast
Precious Metals Analyst, BMO

Maybe, returning to the guidance conversation we were having before, once again, in light of the, gold price where it is now, how do you stay confident on costs in the guidance?

John McCluskey
President, CEO, and Director, Alamos Gold

Well, that's, it's a great question. You know, we're facing the same kind of inflationary pressures as every other mining company. Why we're confident that we're gonna be bringing costs down is we're gonna realize those gains primarily through economies of scale. You know, we're taking the Island District, as I've mentioned, to a 20,000 tons per day throughput rate. In order to get from the 1,200 tons a day we're doing from underground to 3,000 tons a day, we're gonna be utilizing a shaft. That shaft right now, we're 29 meters from shaft bottom, so we're about 1,350 meters deep.

We're actually working on the shaft bottom infrastructure right now. As soon as that's completed, they do the last 29 meters after that. That'll be good to go, and that'll be finished by year-end. That just allows you to operate much more efficiently, lower cost, and lower cost over time. If you're running on a ramp, the deeper you go, the more expensive it gets. Right now, it takes a truck, for example, to go from surface down to the 1,100 meter level, was the lowest point we're mining right now, it takes a truck an hour. The shaft will be able to do it in a few minutes. There is where, you know, increasing your scale, increasing your efficiency, that's where your costs are gonna come down.

Going from CNG to grid power, for example, we're talking about like a 60% cost savings just in from that alone. That's what gives us confidence. Lynn Lake was just designed to be a very low-cost project. It's open pit, feeding a mill, but the mill is running on the cheapest power in the world. You know, northern Manitoba, I think, costs around $0.045 per kilowatt-hour. It's about as cheap as it gets, you know, we know that's gonna be a very low-cost operation. We see a lot of potential in that district as well. We're starting it off at roughly 200,000 ounces a year, but I would won't be surprised to see reserves and production in that district grow over time.

Brian Quast
Precious Metals Analyst, BMO

Maybe sticking with the topic of Canadian weather, because I guess complaining about the weather is a Canadian national pastime. You also had some wildfires up in Manitoba that delayed some of the Lynn Lake progress there. I know you had a large investor day a couple of weeks ago. Is there anything that investors should be looking forward to in terms of the milestones that you're working forward to getting to that up towards 1 million ounces of production per year as well?

John McCluskey
President, CEO, and Director, Alamos Gold

To get that final 200,000 ounces, we need Lynn Lake up and running. It was originally scheduled for 2028, given the unprecedented fires in Manitoba last year, basically, they evacuated Lynn Lake, and no one was going in and out of Lynn Lake until September rolled around. Everybody went back home to pick up the pieces and clean up the mess, we've certainly been a big help in that regard as far as the community's concerned. It just doesn't make sense to start a project of that size, you know, a $900 million project, you're gonna kick it off in September. You know, that makes zero sense given the climate in Canada.

We decided to postpone it until the spring of 2026. That's given us some additional time to think about things and also factor in another year of drilling, which has boosted reserves to over 3 million ounces now. It extended mine life there at the rate we would go to 27 years, which, as you know, makes very little sense. Without really any modifications to the permits required, we've decided to take it to 9,000 tons a day as opposed to 8,000 tons a day. That was something we were able to think about and work on over the course of this winter. In other words, we're trying to take advantage of the fact that we were faced with a delay. You know, what can you say?

You know, northern Manitoba is a very challenging part of the world. You've never seen a prairie fire till you've seen a prairie fire. You know, I'm from BC, and the type of fires we're used to are the ones you get in the mountains, and those great big trees and so forth, and they're kind of slow-burning, and they're kind of confined to certain areas. A prairie fire, the winds were blowing at 80 kilometers an hour in those gusts, and that just spread the fire so fast. There's not as much to burn, but everything in sight kind of gets burned up, and it can cover a big area in a very short time.

That was a sort of a stark welcome for us, in Manitoba. We'll get past that, and the community's still very much behind the project. It means lots of employment and economic opportunities that don't currently exist there. The community, the province of Manitoba, their premier is probably the best premier I've ever met, for a Canadian province. They've got great leadership there. They understand the importance of economic development. Gives me a lot of confidence in Manitoba going forward.

Brian Quast
Precious Metals Analyst, BMO

That does take us completely to the end of time. Thank you very much, John, for joining us.

John McCluskey
President, CEO, and Director, Alamos Gold

Thank you, Brian. Thank you very much.

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