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Earnings Call: Q3 2013

Nov 8, 2013

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. Welcome to the Brookfield Asset Management 2013 third quarter results conference call and webcast. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, simply press star and one on your touchtone phone. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Amar Dhotar, Investor Relations for Brookfield Asset Management. Please go ahead.

Amar Dhotar
Investor Relations, Brookfield Asset Management

Thank you, Sachin, and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us for our third quarter webcast and conference call. On the call with me today are Bruce Flatt, our Chief Executive Officer, and Brian Lawson, our Chief Financial Officer. Brian will start this afternoon discussing the highlights of our financial and operating results. Bruce will then discuss our views on the current investment and market environment, as well as a number of our major growth initiatives in the quarter. At the end of our formal comments, we will turn the call over to Sachin to open the call up for questions. In order to accommodate all who want to ask questions, can we please ask you to refrain from asking multiple questions at one time to provide an opportunity for others in the queue.

We will be happy to respond to additional questions later in the conference call as time permits. I would, at this time, remind you that in responding to questions and in talking about our new initiatives and our financial and operating performance, we may make forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks, and future results may differ materially. For further information for investors, I would encourage you to review our annual information form or our annual report, both of which are available on our website. Thank you. I'd like to turn the call over to Brian.

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Thanks, Amar. Good afternoon. Funds from operations for the third quarter of 2013 were $1.2 billion. That's nearly $1 billion higher than the 2012 quarter. Much of the increase was due to several large realization gains, including the sale of Timberlands and several private equity investments, as well as the termination of a long-dated interest rate swap on favorable terms. It's worth noting that while gains such as these are often discounted as one-time events, in reality, these are anything but. In fact, they are the culmination of value creation that has gone on for several years. FFO, excluding the gains, also increased meaningfully, reflecting continued improvement in the operating results across the organization. Asset management and services FFO increased by $30 million to $145 million.

Fee-related earnings, an important measurement for us, increased by $47 million due to higher levels of fee-bearing capital, which stood at $80 billion on September 30th, compared to $60 billion at the beginning of the year. Notable increases during the period included the formation of Brookfield Property Partners in April, which added approximately $10 billion to our listed entities, and capital raised for our two large global property and infrastructure private funds, which represented most of the remaining $10 billion increase. Our target annual fee base now stands at approximately $1 billion. That represents $562 million of annualized base fees and incentive distributions and $375 million of target carried interest. Our operating margin on base fees and IDRs was 55% during the quarter, up from 45% last year.

The current period margins benefited from catch-up in transaction fees, nonetheless, and as expected, the early investment in our asset management capabilities has enabled us to increase fees at a faster rate than the associated costs. Notwithstanding, this investment resulted in lower margins in the prior years while we were building out the business. The amount of carried interest that we were entitled to receive based on fund performance to date increased to $812 million. We recently crystallized and collected in the fourth quarter $558 million of this on the reorganization of our GGP consortium. As I mentioned, this will be included in our fourth quarter results. We formed the consortium in 2009 to acquire our original stake in General Growth Properties when it emerged from bankruptcy.

You may recall we initially invested $2.3 billion. During the last three years, the increase in value for our clients and us has been just shy of $4 billion, resulting in a gross multiple of capital of 2.6 times and a gross IRR of 38%. As the manager of the consortium, we received a portion of the gain earned by our clients, which gave rise to the carried interest and was earned by a lot of hard work from a lot of people over the past number of years. The transaction also enabled Brookfield Property Partners to invest a further $1.4 billion into GGP. As a result, it now owns 32% of the company on a fully diluted basis.

Along with a select number of institutional clients who retained their GGP investment with us, we own 40% of this high-quality U.S. shopping mall portfolio, which we believe has significant unrealized potential. To finance the investment, we completed a $1.4 billion private placement in Brookfield Property Partners, which included $1 billion from ourselves, Brookfield Asset Management, and $435 million from two of our sovereign wealth fund clients. Turning now to the results from our invested capital in the underlying operating businesses. This represents the first full quarter of operations for Brookfield Property Partners, or BPY, through which we hold virtually all of our property operations. We reported $121 million of FFO from our interest in BPY, including the preferred share dividends.

Our office portfolio benefited from a 1% increase in same-store rents, although results were lower on a quarter-over-quarter basis because the 2012 quarter included a $31 million dividend from our investment in Canary Wharf. We leased 1.2 million square feet during the quarter at rates that exceeded expiring rents by 9%, and we have reduced the percentage of leases that expire prior to 2018 by 480 basis points. The second phase of our Bay Adelaide Centre in Toronto is under construction and 60% leased, and we have secured substantial pre-leasing on new projects in Calgary and Perth to allow us to begin the development of these properties. Our U.S. retail business posted very strong results with a 23% increase in FFO, reflecting increases in both net rents and occupancy and lower financing costs.

Initial rents for new leases increased by 12% on a comparable basis. The mall occupancy was 96.6%, up 110 basis points from this time last year. In our renewable power operations, we recorded $61 million of FFO in the quarter, compared to a negligible contribution last year. This reflects a return to more typical water levels following extremely dry conditions in 2012. This alone contributed $56 million to the increase, although we also benefited from improved pricing and the contribution from new facilities. Generation overall was 4% above long-term averages. Our renewable power group continues to find attractively priced growth opportunities, and we recently announced plans to acquire 10 hydroelectric facilities in Maine and in California. We have locked in pricing for 71% of expected fourth-quarter generation and 66% of expected 2014 generation.

As we've noted before, this is a lower level than in the past and reflects our conviction that there's more upside than downside in the current price levels. In addition, we have acquired several large portfolios with shorter-dated contracts at these lower prices that provide us with the opportunity to reprice the contracts at higher levels should our convictions bear out. In our infrastructure segment, FFO increased to $216 million. That includes a gain of $163 million on the sale of North American Timberlands. Excluding gains, FFO was $53 million, and that reflects a 20% increase over the 2012 quarter. That increase was primarily driven by the completion of our rail expansion program and the contribution from recently acquired toll roads, both of which were not fully contributing to FFO in the prior period.

We deployed capital during the quarter to expand our South American toll road network and acquire district energy businesses in Texas and Louisiana. We also expect our electrical transmission network in Texas will be fully commissioned this quarter. Our infrastructure group continues to pursue a number of opportunities globally and is extremely well-positioned to fund new acquisitions on an accretive basis with an elevated level of liquidity following the sale of lower-yielding assets and our new $7 billion private infrastructure fund. FFO from our private equity operations increased by $8 million prior to disposition gains, as overall increases in revenues from strong volumes offset the reduction in FFO on a comparative basis from asset sales and reduced ownership levels as a result of a number of the favorable dispositions we've completed over the past 12 months.

FFO in the current quarter also included $245 million of disposition gains on the sale of the pulp and paper operation in our private equity fund and the partial disposition of our investment in Western Forest Products. One of our themes in private equity is investing in the natural gas sector. During the quarter, we committed $210 million to an acquisition of coal bed methane properties. We've built a significant gas platform that is profitable in current prices and positioned to do extremely well when the price of that commodity increases. The third quarter also included the settlement of a long-dated interest rate swap that was subject to litigation for a gain of $525 million on a pre-tax basis. We had accrued a liability based on the original terms in the amount of $1.4 billion and settled the contract for $905 million, giving rise to the gain.

While we were confident in our case, the outcome of a jury trial is always uncertain, we negotiated the settlement. Also as a result, future interest costs that were accruing at over $100 million annually have been replaced with carry costs at half the previous rate, enhancing future FFO by more than $50 million annually. Consolidated net income increased to nearly $1.5 billion, of which $813 million accrues to Brookfield shareholders. This too is up substantially over the 2012 quarter, wherein we earned $334 million for shareholders. The increase in FFO from operating activities and the impact of disposition gains was partially offset by a lower level of fair value changes and a higher level of deferred tax provisions. Before handing the call over to Bruce, I would like to make some comments on our dividend policy.

We modified our dividend payment schedule in order to begin paying dividends on the last day of each calendar quarter, commencing in the second quarter of 2014. The purpose of this change is to create a consistent quarterly dividend record date and payment date with our three flagship public entities and the payment dates for most of our preferred shares. To achieve this, the board of directors today declared a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share, payable at the end of February 2014. It's important to note that this dividend does not represent an increase in the current annualized rate because it is intended to represent the four-month period up to and including March 31st, 2014. The board anticipates that the next quarterly dividend will be paid on June 30th, 2014, representing the three-month period then ended. Thank you.

With that, I will turn the call over to Bruce.

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Thank you, Brian, good afternoon, everyone. I'll add a few comments and then we'll take questions. The first is that during the quarter, we closed a number of funds, or during the quarter and immediately afterwards. The first was our $7 billion flagship infrastructure fund. We also closed a billion-dollar timber fund, which brings fundraising to about $16 billion. We continue to raise capital throughout our operations for our investing strategies. Our observation is that flows of capital into alternatives, but more specifically, real estate and infrastructure globally, are very positive, both with respect to our private funds and our listed entities, which bodes well for fee income looking forward, as well as other things. With respect to these real asset allocations globally, we believe that for many reasons, allocations by institutional clients to real assets are going to continue to increase.

You can both see that emanate itself in the success of our global funds being marketed recently. Maybe more importantly, the discussions we've had and we continue to have with our global sovereign wealth in institutional clients is very positive. Based on these discussions, we believe that we're still only in the early stages of this shift of allocations to real assets. Our goal has been to continue to establish one of the global managers with clients' trust, relationships, and, maybe most specifically, the scale to invest capital for these institutions in large sizes into real assets across the world. We continue to build our organization to accomplish this in as many places as we feel comfortable with. Furthermore, with instability everywhere in the world, in particular, you saw it emanate itself in many places in the most recent three to five months.

There isn't many other places to hide with either low risk or with proper yield. One place people used to go was the gold market, which also has been very volatile and in our view, is just too small to be meaningful in any way, given the size of the institutional capital that needs to get put to work in real assets. All of these trends, therefore, continue to fuel greater allocations to the type of assets we invest in, and we continue with our efforts in this fashion. The third point I want to make was that during the quarter, we launched the merger of BPY, or Brookfield Property Partners, and our office company, which I'll refer to as BPO. The proposal is a one-for-one share offer for any and all of BPO shares not owned by Brookfield Property Partners.

The aggregate value upon launch was $5 billion, of which BPY made available $1.7 billion of cash and $3.3 billion of shares at the announcement date to provide flexibility to BPO shareholders. We believe that the merger and a number of the other exciting initiatives going on in our property group will position BPY as a global real estate investment business. BPO shareholders were offered, firstly, a 15% premium to the trading price before the transaction. They're receiving an 18% increase to tangible IFRS value. Post-transaction, the dividend based off of BPY's dividend will go up by 79%. I guess most importantly, 11% of the public float committed to the transaction prior to announcement. Since then, the BPY management and Brian and I, and others, have met with a number of shareholders since that time and received very favorable feedback.

Post-transaction, BPY will be one of the premier office and retail businesses in the world and will have a growing multifamily and industrial business. In addition, with our client institutional relationships, the combined business will virtually have unparalleled access to capital. As many of you know, this business now residing in BPY has been 20 years in the making by us, or over 20 years in the making, and has earned us over a 15% compound return during this period. We believe that BPY and fully establishing it in the market will be the next breakthrough for this business. Turning now to investments, as Brian alluded to, we generally invest along themes within our business that complement our overall strategy of acquiring high-quality assets of attractive values. Over the next year or two, we anticipate one of those major themes will be the emerging markets.

It's certainly not the popular strategy today, as there's been a great deal of negative news from markets such as Brazil, India, and China. I guess we think there's really three factors that we think are important to this. The first one is that we have found, based on our investment experience, that when capital becomes scarce in a sector of investment or a region of investment, it often produces opportunities to buy assets that you would not have otherwise available. This was the backdrop when we invested in U.S. shopping malls in 2009, in our infrastructure business in 2009 and 2010. I guess I'd contrast to the better part of the last decade when all of these countries had enormous access to capital, and that's no longer the case.

In the past year, as the economic growth slowed in these markets, currencies dropped as foreign capital left them against both the dollar and the euro, and a number of institutions have exited the market. As these institutions retrench, we think there are assets and portfolios that we will possibly be able to invest in at values not usually available in the marketplace. Second, we're focused on markets where we have considerable expertise and continue to build that expertise. We like to invest like locals but have a very global outlook. What that allows us to be is very selective, flexible, and deliberate into which places we place capital and be opportunistic when transactions come up with a greater theme overriding it.

Our local relationships, in addition to that, often translate into opportunities to buy assets in the U.S., Europe, or other markets outside of the local business where we have people. Third, I guess maybe just to comment on these markets. Our belief is that all of these countries are going to be very important places in the next 10, 20, 30, 50 years of the world. We believe that Brazil, in particular, in our experience there, has shown that countries with resources, an improving rule of law, a well-educated middle class can create enormous wealth within a country. While sometimes the growth can be uneven and politically changes can happen, we believe that buying assets at less than replacement cost at a time when currencies are favorable against your home base currency are often great times to invest capital.

Just three small examples, I guess I'd note that in Brazil we've continued to invest in virtually all of our businesses over the past 18 months. In India, where we've been operating for 5 years, with modest amounts of capital, we're enthused about some of the opportunities that may come along. In China, we recently committed to a strategic partnership with a company called Shui On Land with respect to its commercial portfolio in Shanghai. We committed $750 million, $500 million which will be invested on closing, and we have an option to put another $250 million in over time. This investment will be made with a number of institutional clients. In addition, we plan to invest a further $500 million in future opportunities with China Xintiandi.

This portfolio that we're investing in is truly one of the great portfolios of real estate in the world, and we feel fortunate to be involved with it. With that comment, operator, we'll turn it back to you and see if there are any questions from people.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star and one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a tone to indicate you're in queue. For participants using a speaker phone, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing any keys. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. There will be a brief moment while we poll for questions. The first question is from Bert Powell of BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Bert Powell
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thanks. Bruce, a lot of focus on emerging markets. What happened with Europe? Was it just not fertile ground? Was it too competitive, just not enough opportunity materialized out of Europe and what happened there?

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Bert, I'd say the following. We focused just because in this letter, I focused my comments on that because I'd say that's been more of an increasing focus for us over the last while. That's not to say that we don't think there are more opportunities in Europe. In fact, I'd say the opposite. I would say that we've done a number of deals over the last two years in Europe, our experience right now is that the number of transactions that will occur in Europe over the next couple of years are going to increase in pace.

Bert Powell
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay.

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

That's because the markets are settling, valuations are coming back from extremes. Buyers now can take some of the risks off the table that they thought might've been there. Therefore, we think that a lot of transactions will occur. Actually, the valuations will allow people to transact. I made those comments with respect to emerging markets. I'd say that's not to take away the fact that we think there are a number of opportunities to continue to crystallize on in Europe.

Bert Powell
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Thank you for that clarification. Brian, just on the gross margin on the fee business, 55% in the quarter. At the Analyst Day, you delineated 50%-60%. Are you finding better scalability in that business, or are we going to hit a step function change in costs as that ramps?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

No, we don't see any step change on the cost side. Certainly not at this stage. We definitely had a good pickup this quarter, we also did have some nice transaction fees that came through in the quarter and also a catch-up fee. When you actually close these funds and you've been raising capital over a period of time You collect the fees over that full period of time in one quarter. We're about $5 million to the good on that as well. That helps out. The margins are probably a little healthier than they might otherwise have been, they're still trending very nicely.

Bert Powell
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Thanks for that.

Operator

The next question is from Brendan Maiorana of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Brendan Maiorana
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thanks. Good afternoon. Bruce, I just wanted to get your perspective on China. It seems like there's a little bit of a change there. I think your prior strategy was to get exposure to China indirectly through Australia and some of the South American economies, and now with the investment in Shui On Land, it's a direct investment. One, why the change, and two, how did you get comfortable with the regulatory and local outlook there, given that the typical BAM strategy is to hold assets for a very long time and accrue asset value, growth, and appreciation over time. How do you get comfortable with the local regulations and government in China with that as your long-term strategy or typical long-term strategy?

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Thanks for the question. I'll try to answer both. On Australia, I guess, or Asia and Australia, we started in Australia eight years ago, nine years ago, and have made, as you know, an enormous number of investments in the country. Our intention always was to use that base as the place to grow into Asia. We have had an office in Hong Kong for a long time with a number of people in it and haven't done very much other than monitor the markets there and base some of our other activities out of that office in conjunction with Australia. I guess the change that's happening now is that five years ago, there was tremendous access to money in those markets. In more recent times, access to money is less robust.

It's really just we're value investors, we struggle when markets have substantial amounts of money. As a result of that, the opportunities coming along today are just different than they were before. We're probably more comfortable given we've been in the market for much, much longer. Which goes to your second question, which is, how do we get comfortable with the regimes of ownership in the country? I guess what we're comfortable with is we found a very reputable local partner who's Hong Kong-based but has been investing in China through this entity for 20 years. They've built up one of the finest portfolios of office retail assets in the country. Arguably, this is maybe one of the primest assets in all of China that we're buying into.

We just feel, given the quality of the asset, the place it's in, the evolution of what's going on in the country, and the partner that we have, that odds favor us making a good return with them. You can never be sure, just like everything, but we feel pretty good about it.

Brendan Maiorana
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Yeah. That's helpful. Can you just maybe give us a sense of the return outlook there versus maybe where it would be in. Is it comparable to the returns that you expect in other emerging markets?

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Yeah. I would just say our thesis of investing generally in our opportunity funds is to earn on equity 20% returns, where we try to protect our downside but invest with people to earn those returns over a long period of time. We hope to achieve that with this.

Brendan Maiorana
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Michael Goldberg of Desjardins Securities. Please go ahead.

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Thanks. Couple of questions. To what extent would the large third quarter realization gains and the fourth quarter crystallization add to your net asset value?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Well, let's see, I guess it depends on how you want to approach that. Certainly, if you're thinking of a net asset value in terms of the taking our IFRS values and adjusting them for certain things. The carried interest gain will accumulate in our equity within our IFRS values. I guess that's perhaps part of the question. I think really what it comes down is to what extent some of those gains have been reflected either in net asset values that have accumulated to date or perhaps stock market values, depending on how you want to approach it. Certainly, some of the gains on the private equity investments have not been reflected in any of our book values. If you wanted to use that as a proxy, then I'd say certainly two-thirds of the three-quarters are going to be a direct uplift to the book values.

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Okay. I have another question also. What balance sheet assets and what amount of assets do you plan to monetize, and how much do you foresee using to actually buy back stock over the next one to two years?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Well, Michael, I think the comments that we make around that, I would take as being directional and indicative of how we see the financial profile of the business evolving. What's clear over the past period of time is that our balance sheet has become increasingly liquid. I think we've quoted the statistic of it being roughly 85% of our invested capital being in the form of listed securities. We have the flexibility to monetize significant amounts of capital, and really the decision to do that is going to be based on our investment objectives and return objectives. We'll take them as they go. We've indicated an objective and an opportunity to realize some substantial gains within some of the businesses related to the U.S. house building. You've seen us do some of that.

We have the other side of it is, where do we put the money to work, specifically in terms of share repurchases? We've certainly done more of that this year than we have in the past, and we have the ability going forward over the next few years to look at that in earnest, as well as putting money to work and growing the business. There's a number of different opportunities. We're not really providing any specific guidance because we'll take each of them as they come.

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Just to clarify, though, when you talk about your balance sheet having become increasingly liquid as a result of the formations of BIP, BEP and BPY, I want to clarify that that's not what you intend to monetize. It would be other assets that still reside on your balance sheet. Is that a fair way to look at it?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

We certainly have the ability to monetize the listed issuers, and as you would know, we've done that twice with Brookfield Renewable Partners. We certainly have the ability to do that, again, this is all about allocating capital to reallocating capital and rotating capital to increase returns. It doesn't rule those out either.

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Okay. Thank you.

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Thanks.

Operator

Next question is from Andrew Kuske of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Andrew Kuske
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you. Good afternoon. I guess my question just relates to the timber side of your business, and you had great success in raising a billion-dollar fund, which in that world is fairly sizable. At the same time, you also monetized a significant amount of assets. Just wondering, in the process of trying to attract clients into the billion-dollar fund, how'd that sales pitch go, essentially, with selling large-scale assets? Was that really the validation of your business model in timber and really helpful in raising the funds?

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Andrew, I'd make the comment that our business increasingly is putting money to work for clients and over time monetizing their returns out of them for them. Our clients want to see that. The good news for us is that our business is about the 600 investment people we have and the 25,000 operating employees, and we can sell assets from time to time and still carry on with the business. During this year, we monetized two major assets, but we're buying others in the timber business. It's not to say we're out of the timber business. In fact, we're just recycling money into other assets from our own behalf.

It doesn't indicate anything other than it was the right time to monetize assets in those two funds that we had assets in, but we're still out buying others, and I think it helps. In fact, if there's anything, it's the opposite with us. Often, people think we keep assets forever. From time to time, we're always looking at opportunities to take capital out of things.

Andrew Kuske
Analyst, Credit Suisse

That's helpful. Just as a follow-up, is the timber universe just globally a little too small and maybe a bit esoteric that you look to have maybe a larger agri land fund or the optionality of a timber and ag fund all in one in the future?

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

It's a good question. What I'd say about timber is it'll never be the size of real estate or infrastructure. It's just not as big of a universe of properties in the world to invest into. Having said that, many institutional clients have got very comfortable with timber as an asset class. We think there's being one of the few people that can put money to work in timber properly. We think there's a business that can be highly profitable for us and good for our clients, and therefore it's a good business to run. I don't know whether we can ever mix. In addition, as you know, we have a private agricultural fund in Brazil, and it's been very successful over the years. That, with respect to agri lands and timber, I think they're probably different investors and different universes of investors, even though they're similar.

I don't know whether they can be put together, but it's possible. We'll have to, from time to time, we talk to our clients to see if that's what they'd like.

Andrew Kuske
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Okay. That's very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Cherilyn Radbourne of TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Cherilyn Radbourne
Analyst, TD Securities

Thanks very much. Good afternoon. The first question I wanted to ask was just around some of the changes you made to your disclosure in property, power and infrastructure this quarter. Can you just talk us through your thought process a little bit and what you were hoping to achieve there with the new format?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Sure. Thanks, Cherilyn. It's Brian. Following on the launch of Brookfield Property Partners and establishing those three platforms with having the flagship listed issuer in each of them, what we wanted to do was to really try and simplify the disclosure, was to allow people to have good visibility on how the results of those three entities track up into Brookfield Asset Management through our ownership interest. Really, in its most simplest form is these entities earn X amount of FFO and our share of it is Y. That's really where we're trying to get to. I'd say this quarter is a bit of a bridge into that, where we give some transparency into the composition of those numbers at the BPY level, and then we show our share, and that may evolve over time.

The numbers aren't exactly the same because they're slightly different bases of presentation. Fundamentally, that's what we're trying to get at, just to further simplify the whole thing.

Cherilyn Radbourne
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Second question is a lot more general. Obviously, you've just made your first investments of some meaningful size in India and China, and there's often a debate about democracy versus state control. I wonder if you could just speak a little bit about how you view the relative scale of opportunities in both of those places and the relative risk profile.

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Those are good points, and I'm far from an expert, and we're all still learning. I would have to say that all of our experience over the years, in Asia and specifically in China, is that there's just a lot of entrepreneurs trying to make a lot of money. While they're overriding, I guess it's a state-controlled country. It's a very entrepreneurial environment. Business at the grassroots level is very entrepreneurial. The good thing about real estate is it's not an asset that gets mixed up in a whole pile of political bureaucracy or other things. You can buy discrete assets, and they're not important to any state or country. Our observation is that specifically in China, the real estate business is a pretty entrepreneurial business. India is different because it isn't as large of a place.

Even though it's a big country with a lot of people, its infrastructure is lesser built out, and therefore there's a lot less opportunities. In addition to that, a lot of the real estate and infrastructure is strata title and owned in odd ways. As a result of that, the opportunity set is lower. Also over time may be interesting for us. We're still learning and making small investments to continue to grow the business.

Cherilyn Radbourne
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay, thanks. That's my cue.

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Thank you.

Operator

Next question is from Mario Saric of Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Mario Saric
Analyst, Scotiabank

Hi. Good afternoon. Brian, I'm just looking at your base management kind of FFO, it was up substantially quarter-over-quarter, $27 million to $93 million from $66 million. I suppose a vast majority or a big chunk of that relates to the second infrastructure fund. Is there anything else that's really driving that on a quarter-over-quarter basis?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Yes. Really, the three components are the three large funds that were raised or established. Brookfield Property Partners definitely contributes to that, as does the infrastructure fund, as does the Real Estate Opportunity Fund. Those are the three big ones. Then, as I mentioned, there was a catch-up fee involved there as well on the Real Estate Opportunity Fund.

Mario Saric
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay. That does. Would the fee associated with the $2.8 billion of capital that's going to be committed by BEP and BIP to the infrastructure fund, would those be included in that quarter-over-quarter change?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

No. We actually don't because that capital goes in from BIP. There are no fees associated with that get recognized at the BAM level.

Mario Saric
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay. Maybe a second question just on capital deployment. We're all kind of wondering how big the emerging markets may become for you. Your dry powder is up almost $1 billion to close to $10 billion. I know you're generally an opportunistic investor. Out of that $10 billion looking out, can you give us a sense as to what percentage of that may be invested in markets like Brazil, China, and India going forward?

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

I guess the comment I have to that is one should recognize that we have an enormous business in the U.S., Australia, Canada, and other developed markets in Europe. Therefore, a lot of our capital will continue to be deployed within those markets, both organically and on acquisitions, because we're just in those markets. You're not going to see a major shift in capital because it takes a long period of time to do it. We try to grow organically and prudently as we build our business. You're not going to see a huge shift in that, although you're definitely going to see more transactions than you've seen in the past.

Mario Saric
Analyst, Scotiabank

Great. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Michael Smith of Macquarie Capital. Please go ahead.

Michael Smith
Analyst, Macquarie Capital

Thank you. For your $7 billion global infrastructure fund, I think the Brookfield commitment is going to come from BIP and BEP. I know it's early on, but what proportion do you anticipate will be coming from each?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Oh, gosh. This all is dependent on opportunities, obviously, Michael. Yeah, I think the general sense of it was around 25%-40% could be on the power side and the balance on the infrastructure side, that would drive the funding. Again, it really is dependent on the opportunities.

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Yeah. Michael, just for everyone's benefit, we have Renewable Energy Partners and Infrastructure Partners that are publicly traded. The private infrastructure fund, we have the two investment strategies mixed in one private fund, it's discretionary as to where that capital in the private fund goes. We can put it in anything. It's possible 100% of it was infrastructure. It's possible 100% of it was renewable power. It's all, as Brian says, opportunistic. The capital is drawable as a side-by-side investment by either one of those listed entities.

Michael Smith
Analyst, Macquarie Capital

Given the universe for infrastructure is much bigger, you think it might be more leaning towards there?

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Yeah. I think if you had to guess, you'd say, as Brian said, 60%-75% will be infrastructure and 25%-40% will be power.

Michael Smith
Analyst, Macquarie Capital

Thank you.

Operator

Next is a follow-up question from Brendan Maiorana of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Brendan Maiorana
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thanks. Brian, the third party committed capital, $9.8 billion. If you look at what BAM's commitments would be to those strategies, direct BAM, not, say, the BREP or BIP. How much is their BAM commitments into raised funds that haven't been deployed yet?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

That figure would be less than $1 billion because most of those would be funded out of the three listed issuers. It's really the private equity funds, the Brookfield Capital Partners funds, and the timber and ag funds that would get funded directly out of Brookfield Asset Management at this stage.

Brendan Maiorana
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Yeah. If I think about that and I think about your ownership in both in BPY and BEP, that's probably above the long-term target levels, meaning you probably sell those entities down, as I think you indicated earlier in the call. BIP is probably, I think you're around 30% of BIP today, so that's maybe more of a long-term target. I guess, the question is, it doesn't seem that there's much in terms of capital commitment or even likely to be direct capital deployment at the BAM level over the next few years, if I'm sort of thinking about the investment landscape correctly. Is that a fair statement?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

That is fair, that is a very good way to think about it is one of the things that is influencing our thinking about capital deployment and the ability to pursue opportunities at the BAM level is because of the important role that the listed issuers play as cornerstone investors in those funds.

Brendan Maiorana
Analyst, Wells Fargo

I mean, outside of share repurchases, where would you be likely to take the free cash flow that's generated at the BAM level? Would you do direct private equity investments, or is there something else that we're not seeing? Because I would think the three main strategies would all happen at the publicly listed level.

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

Yeah. Our capital at the top will either be returned to shareholders in one way or the other. Secondly, the big business which doesn't have a list entity that we fund off of our balance sheet is our private equity business, and we do intend to scale up that business significantly over the next two to three years. Some of that capital will be devoted to those efforts.

Brendan Maiorana
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. All right. Thank you.

Bruce Flatt
CEO, Brookfield Asset Management

You're welcome.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star and one. The next question is from Michael Goldberg of Desjardins Securities. Please go ahead.

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Thanks. Now that you've crystallized the GGP related carried interest, does that change the $375 million target carried interest that you show in your annualized fees?

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

No, it doesn't, Michael. That's more of an average rate at which that we should be accumulating carry on the funds that we have under management. As much as we've returned some of that capital to our investors, we've also raised more capital.

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

You had that $375 million level in the second quarter also.

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Yeah.

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

I'm just trying to get a better idea of how you come up with that number and how it either includes or wouldn't have included the carried interest associated with GGP.

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Right. I'll try and keep this simple. Maybe we can follow up offline. There's two separate concepts here. One is, the number that we report each quarter as the accumulated carry that we've, I'll say, entitled ourselves to based on the performance of the funds. We give a very specific number of that. That builds up. Then every once in a while, increasingly so, it gets crystallized. We collect it in cash. That draws it down. That's kind of the one comment. That's on a bit more of a real-time, concrete accrual and collection basis based on actual performance as at date.

The $375 million number that we disclose is, I'll say, what that's really supposed to point to is the potential value to us in raising capital, because it gives us the opportunity, should we hit our target investment returns, to earn carried interest. The reality is those tend to accumulate later in life and get collected later in life. It's actually, I'll say, it's on a quite different basis than the numbers I was talking about at the beginning there. In essence, what it is, very simple example, is if you've got a fund and you're supposed to be earning a 20% return and you have a 20% carry, then you should be, if you hit your target return, earning 4% over the life of the fund should be building up in the form of carried interest.

It tends to be more back-ended. What we wanted to do is get the point out there that as we increase our capital under management, that we are increasing the opportunity to earn these carried interest. That's why we call it target carried interest. Does that help?

Michael Goldberg
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Yep. Thank you.

Brian Lawson
CFO, Brookfield Asset Management

Great.

Operator

There are no more questions at this time. I will now hand the call back over to Mr. Dhotar.

Amar Dhotar
Investor Relations, Brookfield Asset Management

Thank you for all joining us today. We look forward to updating you in the new year. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.