ECN Capital Corp. (TSX:ECN)
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Apr 28, 2026, 1:26 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q2 2024

Aug 7, 2024

Katherine Mora Galusz
VP of Finance and Investor Relations, ECN Capital

...Welcome to the ECN Capital second quarter 2024 results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star then zero. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Katherine Mora Galusz, VP of Finance and Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Catherine.

Thank you, Brenda. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you all for joining this call. Joining us today on the call are Steve Hudson, Chief Executive Officer, Jackie Weber, Chief Financial Officer, Chris Johnson, Senior Vice President and Head of Capital Markets, Lance Hull, President of Triad Financial, Matt Heidelberg, Chief Operating Officer of Triad Financial, Mike Opdahl, President of Source One, and Hans Kraaz, Founder and CEO of IFG. A news release summarizing these results was issued this afternoon, and the financial statements and MD&A for the three-month period ended June thirtieth, 2024, have been filed with SEDAR. These documents are available on our website at www.ecncapitalcorp.com. Presentation Slides to be referenced during the call are accessible in the webcast as well as in PDF format under the Presentation section of the company's website.

Before we begin, I want to remind our listeners that some of the information we are sharing with you today includes forward-looking statements. These statements are based on assumptions that are subject to significant risk and uncertainties. I will refer you to the Cautionary Statement section of the MD&A for a description of such risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, we can obviously give no assurance that the expectations of any forward-looking statements will prove to be correct. You should note that the company's earnings release, financial statements, MD&A, and today's call includes references to non-IFRS measures, which we believe help to present the company and its operations in ways that are useful to investors. A reconciliation of these non-IFRS measures to IFRS measures can be found in our MD&A. All figures are presented in U.S. dollars, unless explicitly noted.

With those introductory remarks complete, I will now turn the call over to Steve Hudson, CEO.

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Thank you, Cathy, and good evening, and welcome to our second quarter conference call. Turning to Slide 5, I'd like to just highlight three key takeaways, if I can. The second bullet, the scaled originator. It's now been three years since we've developed our first institutional flow program, and this last quarter, we got our first detailed look at both the credit and yield performance of the portfolios for our large institutional investors, and they came in both yield and credit came in much better than expected. As a result, demand exceeds supply, and we truly have a scarcity of our MH assets. Turning to the fourth bullet on diverse funding relationships, we have now completed our strategic flow shift to institutional versus bank credit unions, and that shift remains at 70% institutions and 30% banks and credit unions.

We think that's a healthy balance from the perspective of our liquidity and profitability. And finally, on the second last bullet, with respect to our investment grade-rated loan servicing business, we've now created three pillars within Triad, a retail pillar, commercial finance pillar, and our servicing pillar, leading to further diversification, and I believe improvement in the quality of earnings for the Triad business. Turning to Slide 6, a couple items I'd like to focus on. We're happy to report $0.03 of earnings per share and confirming our guidance of $0.10-$0.16. $20.2 million of operating income from Triad ahead of our plan, and origination revenues came at 7.5%, evidence of our path to returning to our former profitability. Our funding programs, Carlyle, our partnership with Carlyle was extended and expanded, which is great news.

I'm very pleased to announce that Monroe Capital has joined our partnership group with a $300 million forward rental funding program launched in late June. It came a little later, but better late than never. I wanna thank the team at Monroe, particularly our friend Kyle. Turning to RV Marine, it's nice to see growth coming back, up 14% year-over-year. Thank you, fellows. With $311 million originations. I do want to point out the two significant developments. First of all, we acquired a servicing platform, Paramount Capital, a great addition to our family, which will service our RV and marine assets. And as well, we've now, with Chris Johnson's leadership, we've now launched our institutional funding with a $250 million forward funding program with a triple-A-rated mutual insurance company.

That signals the movement away from credit unions and to institutional funding. With that, I'll pass to Lance.

Lance Hull
President, Triad Financial

Thank you, Steve. Let me take you forward to Slide 9, where I'll hit just a few of our highlights from Triad. Our adjusted operating income was up 108% year-over-year to $20.2 million, while our origination revenue margin climbed to 7.5% from 5.2% in Q1, leading to a $23.4 million origination revenue for the quarter. Our managed assets continue to grow. We're now at $5.3 billion, which is a 13% increase year-over-year. The ongoing initiatives that I've been discussing for the last couple of quarters regarding our improvements into operational efficiencies have resulted in a modest quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year reduction in operating expenses.

As Steve mentioned, we have a new funding partner in Carlyle, which is very exciting for us, and, and the Monroe Capital rental program is gonna allow us to expand our operations further. Over to Slide 10. Steve also mentioned the three-pillared business that Triad is now operating under, reporting under, and I think it's important for just to spend just a minute kind of talking about each of these and how it's flowing into our path forward. When ECN acquired Triad in 2017, it was basically a retail-driven company, mid-size lender, specializing in prime and super prime borrowers.

We've been able to expand the retail program, which is the first pillar, to include, of course, everything that was done prior to ECN acquisition, but now with the addition of the silver and bronze program and a larger buy box, we're much more capable of serving a larger portion of the borrowers and buyers for manufactured housing. Our commercial lending program started with floor plan. Floor plan is an outstanding business for us to be in because it increases our engagement with our retailers, and it drives retail originations, which I'll speak to a little more in just a minute. Then lastly, our servicing business, which was very small back in 2017, but now serving nearly 50,000 borrowers and over $5.3 billion in managed assets.

These last two pillars, in particular, are so important because while today, about two-thirds of our revenue is driven off of our retail business, the commercial and servicing platforms are delivering recurring and stable revenues that will increase in the years to come. With that, I'm going to turn it over to Matt Heidelberg, our COO, to talk about some of the details and our results.

Matthew Heidelberg
COO, Triad Financial

Thank you, Lance. Over to Page 11. I was gonna walk you through a few more details on our results in the first half. Beginning on Page 11, I was gonna walk you through these three graphs you see, beginning with the one on the top right. I'd like to highlight our origination revenues of $23.4 million, which was up 19% year-over-year, and a margin of 7.5%. These results were above our internal budget and set us up very well for the remainder of the year. Next, on the bottom left, you'll see a decision to delay our Land Home relaunch and a later signing of a rental flow agreement than expected did impact originations in the first half. However, as these products are lower margin products, it had minimal impact on our financial results.

To the right, for the second half, we see chattel continuing to accelerate and the longer time to fund in Land Home, leading to still a small contribution for the second half. Turning to Page 12, tying these two halves together, we have a lower—we've lowered our origination guidance from $1.7 billion to $1.5 billion, primarily due to the Land Home and Community products, as I've just discussed. However, due to the increased chattel mix and margins, we're able to maintain both, reaffirming our originations revenue guidance of $95 million-$105 million, and reaffirming adjusted operating income guidance of $68 million-$80 million. Moving to Page 13, giving us confidence in this guidance and forward originations, I'd like to highlight total approval growth of 25% year-over-year in the quarter.

Breaking this down closer, chattel is up 28% and Land Home's up 30% following the relaunch, while Community is down 12% in the quarter. We believe approval growth of 25% relative to second half guidance of just 15% growth, positions us very well for the remainder of the year. Moving you to Page 14, to give you an industry update. On the left is the shipment update that you've seen previously. Second quarter shipments were up 18%, and this, in particular, has been benefiting our floor plan portfolio, which Lance is gonna get into more detail later. On the right, we have an analysis of annual shipments for the industry compared to both consumer sentiment and 10-year treasury.

What the analysis shows us is that historically, there's been no correlation, which leads us to believe that affordable housing, the need and demand is there despite market conditions. Moving you on to Page 15, you'll see that we've maintained loan rates at healthy premiums to market rates as we have the last several quarters. In our performance on to Page 16, we've also maintained consistent delinquency and net charge-offs while still building and growing our managed asset portfolio. With that, I'll turn it back over to you, Lance.

Lance Hull
President, Triad Financial

Thank you, Matt. I want to highlight again that second pillar that we mentioned earlier, which is our commercial business. We've increased our outstanding balances to $452 million, which is up 18% versus the same time a year ago. These are higher-yielding assets with an average yield of 11%, and they are floating and indexed to SOFR, so we'll continue to see positive returns there. I mentioned before that these programs are so important because they drive engagement and increase retail flow. And today, about three-quarters of this $452 million are floor plan, and then we know that as our floor plan business grows, so will our retail business grow because the average floor planning retailer that does business with Triad does about 2.5 times the amount of retail volume with us as well.

So the synergies that we gain by engaging them in multiple products will deliver better and better returns going forward. And then lastly, we did, as we've mentioned a couple of times, recently signed the Monroe Capital rental agreement, and we're beginning to add assets to the portfolio, and that will also, of course, increase our ongoing servicing portfolio. Flipping you over to Slide 18. We want to spend just a minute to talk about Land Home. It's been such a big part of our communication over the last couple of quarters, and Matt commented on our delayed relaunch of Land Home. But this period has allowed us to put the things in place and to implement the operational changes needed to ensure that we have a great go-forward business.

During this time, we have been able to consolidate our underwriting and processing teams and better align them with our retailers to ensure a very enhanced and positive construction process. We've also improved systems for faster decisioning and more efficient processing that have elevated our customers' experience and the buying experience overall for both the borrower and our retailer. These have paid dividends. As Matt alluded to earlier, we're now seeing our Land Home approvals up 30% in the second quarter, year-over-year. We have also significantly de-risked the platform by reducing the balance in our construction book, and have also, of course, seen much more attractive rates.

So we're in a tremendous position now to spring forward, and we anticipate that while we are seeing growth in Land Home approvals, we will see the originations from those late in 2024, and many of them, again, due to the nature of Land Home, and as Matt alluded to, the longer tail on the business, we'll see even more business throughout 2025 as this business continues to expand. On to Slide 19, just to very quickly talk about the Champion Finance update. We're so fortunate to have this relationship with Skyline Champion.

Just to recap, we had the original launch on the program was in January of this year in Louisville with our floor plan and commercial business, and then we followed that up a few months later with the retail launch at the Biloxi Show in March of 2024. Both of these are really picking up speed and beginning to show significant dividends. If you'll look down in the lower left-hand corner of this Slide, you'll see that our current active balance in our floor plan pipeline is at $57.8 million, which is more than double what it was just a quarter ago.

Again, to highlight the benefit of this, as we grow these outstanding floor plan balances and engage more retailers with us in floor plan, we know that's also gonna drive retail business to both us and, of course, Champion Finance product, as those retailers will typically do about 2.5 times the retail volume with us. Then I would like to comment that while our total approvals are up 28%, as you heard Matt allude to earlier, our approvals through the Champion Financing Group are up more than double that. So we're having a tremendous opportunity with some of the programs that we've put in place with them and some of the new products that have been launched to see the interest rise in both their products as well as our financing. So we're excited to see where this is gonna take us going forward.

On Slide 20, it's a Slide that we've included many times before. It's got some of the details, and I'll leave that with you. And with that, I will turn it over to Steve Hudson.

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Thanks, Lance. Slide 22, I think I've spoken to most of it, so I won't go through it again, other than the fact that it's nice to see growth returning to the RV marine business, Mike and Hans. The funding update, it's great to start the transition away from credit unions. We're never gonna leave credit unions entirely, but we're looking ultimately to get to that 70/30 mix. Now on the path forward to that, Chris Johnson will speak to that in a second. And then the second component, we run a four-component playbook at ECN for all of our businesses. The four components are making sure that we're licensed for all of our activities. The second is the systems in place to create a culture of compliance. The third is making sure we have internalized servicing, and the fourth is introducing full arrangement.

We now have those four components complete. Sorry, I had my mic off. You probably liked that anyhow. But we now have the four components complete for RV Marine. And I'm not gonna, well, I won't speak to 2023. You've seen it before, and with that, Mike.

Mike Opdahl
President and CEO, Source One

Thank you, Steve. Good afternoon. Please turn to Slide 24. As Steve mentioned, we are executing the ECN playbook, and I'm very pleased to report that the initiatives launched last year are starting to pay off. Looking at the marine and RV market in totality, momentum is definitely shifting. Both the RV Association and towable manufacturers are reporting that shipments of new RVs are up. In marine, a recently released industry survey reported that almost 70% of marine lenders originated higher Q2 loan volume year-over-year. In fact, it was the highest quarterly increase since pre-COVID. IFG and Source One are seeing the same, significant increases in applications, approvals, and fundings in the second quarter. As evidenced by our Q2 results, ECN's marine and RV businesses are on plan, with quarterly approvals up over 21% and originations up almost 14%.

We saw this positive momentum continuing through July. Turning to Slide 25. A couple of highlights here. As the top right graph shows, even in the face of elevated rates, RV and marine assets continue to deliver substantial yield premiums versus automotive. As the bottom right chart illustrates, Source One's held-for-sale portfolio continues to experience extremely low losses, and our lending partners are reporting similar results. As a result of this superior performance, both IFG and Source One enjoy strong lender support and are fully funded through 2024. With Source One's entry into the capital markets, we have the capacity to accelerate our growth plans, and we are very well positioned to take advantage of the coming lower rate environment. Please turn to Slide 26, and let's focus on some of the accomplishments of, for Source One this past quarter....

We've added four new sales reps to our team, and we are now originating in 44 states. Our take share strategy is working very well as we focus on capturing significant volume once we've entered a new market. Examples of our success include tripling our market share in the U.S.'s three largest RV markets, and we are now the number one lender for one of the nation's largest RV groups. Our momentum is definitely building. Second quarter originations were up 42% year-over-year, and that positive trend continued in July, as we're up 48% versus 2023. Our investments in technology continue to bear fruit. Our industry-leading e-contracting platform has improved capture rates and dealer efficiencies. We anticipate launching our proprietary scorecard and pricing model in Q3. This will improve improved dealer experience and a stronger portfolio performance.

With that, I'll turn it over to Hans to bring everyone up to speed on IFG's accomplishments and talk about our cross-company initiatives.

Hans Kraaz
Founder and CEO, IFG

Thanks, Mike. Well done on a great quarter at Source One. Turning to Slide 27. We also had several very positive developments across IFG, on which I'm very, very proud of. Beginning with the second quarter results. Originations for the quarter were up 4% year-over-year, largely driven by strong May and June months, and a continuation of an upward trend in the number of transactions, with a 7% increase versus the same period last year. This is a great sign for our business. We're seeing strong demand from the consumer, as well as appetite from our loans from our bank partners. In terms of dealers, we have signed up more new dealers this year than any time in the company's history. And more dealers will ultimately lead to more volume. This is clearly evidenced by a 30% increase in volume for the month of June versus 2023.

On that note, we have executed on our take share plan and have expanded into new markets with the addition of seven new sales agents. We'll begin to see this impact almost immediately and are anticipating an incremental $75 million in originations on an annualized basis from this group. The new hires bring 150 years of combined experience and will significantly expand key markets from the East to the West Coast. It's important to note that July's positive performance was not impacted by the addition of our new sales team. Next Slide. Last quarter, we reported the purchase of First Approval Source. This acquisition fits squarely in the ECN playbook. Although this was a smaller purchase, I'm confident this will bring significant value to IFG and across the RV and marine platform.

For a purchase price of $800,000, we have picked up over 30 dealers and $40 million worth of annualized origination volume. But that's not all. We've also added an industry-leading front-end and underwriting technology platform. The First Approval Source system, or FAS, in short, will unlock value by enhancing the customer experience. This will be achieved by providing our team with enhanced underwriting tools and decision engines. The result will be a reduction in time from application to funding and maximum profit, profit per transaction. The platform is built for scale, which ties into our sales expansion strategy, and will allow us to benefit from enhanced data collection. From a funding perspective, demand for IFG paper continues to outpace supply. That said, we see incremental benefits in accessing Source One's unique funding arrangements, which will further our competitive advantage versus our peers.

Source One's drive for efficiency, speed, and execution will bring new options for our customers, dealers, and brokers nationwide. I continue to work closely with Mike Opdahl to capitalize on cross synergies across the RV and marine platform. This will help us benefit from our joint internal capabilities, whether it's the lowest cost given scale, IFG's in-house title department, cross sales, or Source One's funding, all of which will ultimately lead to margin improvement across the platform and greater number of originations. In summary, with the platform and technology improvements in place, we're winning customers and increasing our market share. We are attracting new and experienced people to our team and expanding funding. With that, I will pass it back to Jackie.

Jacqueline Weber
CFO, ECN Capital

Thank you, Hans. Turning to Page 30 for our consolidated operating highlights. Overall, our Q2 operating results are on plan as we continue to improve from 2023, with adjusted EBITDA of $31.5 million and adjusted operating income of $14.5 million. Overall, revenues were up across each of our businesses, while consolidated operating expenses stayed flat, which drove the improvement in EBITDA. I would also add that there were no fair value provisions in the current quarter. Adjusted net income was $8.2 million, or 3 cents per share, consistent with our guidance of 2 to 4 cents per share. Turning to Page 31, looking at the balance sheet. Our total balance sheet remains down over $200 million from the prior year quarter.

Comparing to the first quarter of 2024, finance assets and debt were up due to the timing of pooled loan sales that were subsequently completed in July. Turning to Page 32, we continue to stay on track to deliver our 2024 business plan. Loan origination revenues were $30.7 million in the quarter, up from $25.9 million in 2023, which reflects margin improvement at Triad and growth in origination volumes at RV and Marine. The improvement in adjusted operating income reflects higher overall revenue and flat overall operating expenses. Interest expense and interest income each decreased as a result of lower on-balance sheet finance assets in 2024. On Page 33, manufactured housing operating expenses decreased modestly from the prior year, reflecting operational efficiencies. RV and Marine operating expenses were up as a result of continued investments in growth and operational improvements.

Corporate operating expenses decreased to $2.5 million. Lastly, on Page 34, our held for trading portfolio remains down from $440 million at the end of 2023 to $375 million at the end of Q2. Subsequent to the end of the quarter, we completed additional sales that further reduced the held for trading balance down to approximately $325 million. I'll turn to Chris Johnson, our Head of Capital Markets, for comments on funding.

Chris Johnson
SVP and Head of Capital Markets, ECN Capital Corp.

Thank you, Jackie. Turning to Slide 35. ECN continues to diversify its financing sources with well-respected, sophisticated institutional investors that appreciate the quality of our assets. Our Triad business continues the path it has been on for the past three years. We secured a $300 million funding program for our rental assets with Monroe Capital, a premier credit manager with $20 billion in managed capital. We extended and increased the commitment size of our Carlyle funding program on May thirtieth, and we also extended our Blackstone funding agreement for chattel and other products this past March. As mentioned before, as we continue to increase originations in RV Marine, we are diversifying funding. In that regard, we executed last month a $250 million flow agreement with a triple A-rated mutual insurance company for Source One's originated assets.

This agreement, which is a monthly flow agreement, also included a sale of Source One seasoned assets totaling $36 million late last month. For RV Marine, we're working on other programs for further funding diversification, which will be executed in the remainder of 2024. I will now turn this back to Steve.

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Thanks, Chris. I think I've spoken to every bullet on the Slide, but let me just close by thanking ECN's partners and employees for your exceptional commitment, focus, and execution on producing a solid Q1 and Q2. And, many of you, some of you know, I'm an old football player and terrible football player. Hans was a good one. I was bad. But I liken ECN to a football game. We've had two strong quarters, Q1 and Q2. We are at halftime, but we're not ready to announce victory. We have to punch out the last two quarters and restore our credibility and continue our path of profitability. Thank you. Operator, with that, we'd like to take questions.

Operator

We will now take analyst questions from the telephone line. If you have a question, please press star then one on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before pressing any key. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. There will be a brief pause while the participants register for questions. Thank you for your patience. The first question comes from Nik Priebe with CIBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Nik Priebe
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Yeah, thanks. Just want to start the question on the acquisition of Paramount Capital. I don't know if I've overlooked it, but, can you say what the transaction value was there? And just based on the unchanged full-year earnings guidance, is it reasonable to assume any incremental earnings contribution associated with that business will be relatively modest overall?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Yeah. Good evening, Nick. It's Steve. The acquisition will close... We've committed and closed, and we're waiting for final regulatory approval, so its first month of operation will be September. There'll be modest, very modest income in 2024. We expect profitability in 2025, and when we provide guide-- updated guidance, we'll provide it. But the acquisition price was $10 million, $6 million of cash from us, and the management team founders took $4 million in stock. So modest, but it's a-- it has a very strong, proven technology platform. It's a rated servicer by KBRA, and we think it'll do amazing things for us.

Nik Priebe
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Understood. Okay, very good. And then a few quarters ago, I think you made the comment that, if you add $500 million of incremental funding, it would add a couple cents of earnings per share that's currently not in the forecast. And there were some comments in the prepared remarks just around how the demand for paper from the RV and marine financing business outstrips the supply. So what is the limiter on growth in the business today? Like, is it funding availability, or is it your ability to source loans? Like, which is the, which is the limiter to the, to the growth of the business?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

... The limiter is if we had $3 billion of paper, we could sell $3 billion of paper. But Lance's leadership is to run a platform with reduced risk in a very prudent fashion, so as evidenced, Nick, by slowing down Land Home and waiting an extra quarter to turn it back on. So it's the limiting factor is the origination of assets. We think Land Home is a great growth asset for 2025, and rental was even larger, just took two quarters. We had planned on closing a rental flow arrangement in early 2024. It got closed in late June.

Nik Priebe
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Got it. Okay. All right, that, that's it for me for now. I'll pass the line. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Jaeme Gloyn with National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Yeah, thanks. First question, just on the Champion Finance. Some, you know, positive developments there and growth from what you've disclosed in the past. I'm just-- I just wanna clarify. Are these pipeline numbers actually hitting anything on the balance sheet for ECN or the financial statements? Or is this just sort of building the outlook for 2025? I guess, like, the question is, are we generating income from Champion Finance at this stage?

Lance Hull
President, Triad Financial

This is Lance Hull. The answer to that question is yes. There is the arrangement with Skyline Champion is that we're generating loans that flow through the JV for which we share in the economic benefit of those loans. So yes, it's generating income.

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

I think it's fair to say that it was launched in two components. The first was floor plan, and the second was retail program. The floor plan is now, as Matt has gone through the numbers with you, very active and on track. Retail was probably a quarter late, Jimmy, but it's now launched with a national buydown. There was a commentary in the Skyline Champion conference call early this morning that's saying that you know, activity is exceeding expectations. I'll leave. You can pull up the comment or we can send you the link. So we think it's a significant driver of profitability in latter part of this year and particularly into 25.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. And just from an accounting perspective, is this showing up across the three revenue lines within manufactured housing within Triad?

Jacqueline Weber
CFO, ECN Capital

It's primarily in the other revenue line at Triad.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Other revenue. Okay. Good. Just in terms of maybe a bit more of a macro refresh here, as maybe we're getting into a lower interest rate environment from a Fed perspective, can you just refresh us on, let's say, sensitivity of the two business lines to lower overnight interest rates?

Matthew Heidelberg
COO, Triad Financial

Hi, James, it's Matt. For Triad, if you recall, we just added that additional Slide with some information about MH shipments relative to the 10-year treasury. From what that data showed us was that there really is no correlation. You know, what we're looking to serve and provide people is affordable housing need, and the financing for that. So we haven't seen a correlation ourselves as a Triad business.

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

In the RV marine business, interest rates matter, and in particular, payments driven by interest rates. I think in July, IFG and Source One had their best Julys ever. Again, that's not because we're hedged, but that's because the overall payments to the consumer are coming down, which is driving significant business activity for both of our RV marine finance businesses.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay, so that was a comment on activity impacts. I'm and, you know, I guess maybe do you have a comment on the impact of the existing book? So kind of like, you know, in reverse. In the last few quarters, last year, we had some hiccups, let's say, with rising interest rates quickly. So what are we— what's the impact to existing book, existing originations on the balance sheet, in your held for trading assets, things of that nature, that would give us a bit more perspective on the financial impacts of lower interest rates rather than just—

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Yeah

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

... impacts on consumer demand?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

I think you're being kind when you use the word hiccup, so I have another word for it, but I won't repeat it. The book is hedged, so you're not gonna see a mark on the book due to lower interest rates. The lower interest rates impact, particularly RV marine, because of the lower payment factors. People are now buying more boats and more RVs. And as Matt mentioned, there doesn't. We ran a correlation analysis on interest rates and consumer sentiment, and there is no correlation. I think the R factor is 0.02 for both of those.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay, no financial impacts is the takeaway.

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Well, no, I think you're—no, no, no. So, yeah, there's no mark coming on the book, so expect the balance sheet. And I think you're gonna see a significant lift in RV marine business activity and originations. You know, in July, Honda's business went from $44 million last year to $68 million in July. And that's the impact of lower interest rates and lower payments.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Yeah, understood. Okay, I'll turn it over. Thanks.

Operator

... The next question comes from Stephen Boland with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Stephen Boland
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Apologies, I'm jumping around a little bit tonight. Just on the Triad servicing margin, it just kind of eyeballing it. Did it jump up this quarter compared to past quarters? And if it didn't, maybe is the margin where you want it to be, I guess?

Yeah, we, you know, there are a few things that go into the servicing margin there and the servicing income yield. It depends on mix, right? Silver and Bronze products, as you've heard us say before, come at a much higher servicing fee. There's some fee income that's in there, too, that we're able to pick up. The second quarter was a particularly higher servicing yield for us. If you were to think about modeling it, I'd think about more about the average of the first half into the second half.

Okay. That's, that's really helpful. And just going back to Skyline. When, when I look back, it's a year since you pretty much announced the deal. And, you know, there was talking about 30% penetration and, you know, maybe $40 million of income if that happened. You know, obviously there's been good progress, but is it, is it going, you know, as expected as you thought when you, when you contemplated the deal a year ago, Steve?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

I'd say, Steve, it's going as expected. It was just late. To get—you know, it was maybe I was too ambitious thinking about the launch of floor plan, and Lance, as usual, was more measured, but it's got launched and it's now up to where it should be. Retail launched. The buy down was probably three to four months late. It's now launched and it's performing as it's planned. You know, if you look to our heritage as a company, we created Dell Financial Services and a bunch of other captive finance companies. I think this one is going to be as good as, you know... At our competitor, Clayton, they have both 21st Mortgage and Vanderbilt, and we think this business will be as strong as those two combined groups.

Stephen Boland
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. And when I look at the change in guidance on originations for Triad, basically, what your comments, I think, on the call have been that you're just pushing it out a little bit later into 2024. You know, it's almost like a catch-up in 2025. Is that a fair comment?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Yeah, I think that's fair, Steve. Lance came to me and said he wanted an extra quarter, 3 or 4 months to relaunch Land Home. It's now launched as of... You'll see the approvals going up in the approval sheet that Matt referenced. So we gave Lance the time he needed to launch it. We are not going to repeat 2023 again. And rental was simply that the flow program came took longer to get structured and closed. But you're going to see a strong second half of originations. And more importantly, because of our focus on profitability on origination revenue, I think you're going to have Triad outperform.

Stephen Boland
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. That's great. That's all for me. Thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from Tom MacKinnon with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Yeah, thanks very much. Just sticking on the new guide for originations at Triad. Why was Land Home temporarily paused? And what would make it not pause again? Or what would make it not pause any of these programs again, or reconsider any of these programs again?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Hi, Tom, it's Steve. As you remember, in 2023, it wasn't a hiccup, that it takes, you know, 4-6 months to build a Land Home mortgage. The home is ordered, as ordered, we enter into a commitment for the mortgage, but then the house has to be built, the site has to be serviced, the services come in. It takes a period of 4-6 months to do that. In 2023, under prior management, they did not effectively hedge that 4-6-month build. 600 basis points increase gave us that horrendous mark to market. This time, under Lance's leadership, we have a system where the moment we sign that commitment, we are hedging that mortgage, whether rates go up or go down.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Yeah. Okay, thanks for reminding me. Second is, just with respect to the guide, does it include any revenue in corporate? Because we seem to always be getting, you know, gains and losses from corporate investments. So, how should we be thinking about that going forward?

Stephen Boland
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Hi, Tom. So other revenue did benefit again this quarter from investment income and also unrealized gains on an interest rate hedge. I would just guide you that, you know, these items vary from quarter to quarter, and those gains right now are unrealized, so we don't model in additional income for the second half.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, thanks. And then the final is, with respect to just interest rate expenses, if we get a knockdown in rates at the shorter end, are we going to get any lower interest expenses, or how should we be thinking about modeling that, particularly in corporate?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Overall, Tom, we do have floating rate debt, but we also have floating rate assets. If interest rates do stay down, as they have been very recently, we do expect some decrease in overall interest expense, but that would be also offset by lower interest income. On a net basis, you know, we don't think it would be material to our overall guidance. But again, that's based on, you know, where rates are today.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

...Okay, and then I guess maybe one final is, I think there was a time when there was a discussion of any kind of strategic review here, maybe, as it related to RV and Marine. It seems like you're pretty excited about this business and making additional spends here to continue to build it. It's suffice to say, is this going to be both a manufactured home and as well as an RV and Marine finance company going forward?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Yeah, I think, Tom, your, your memory is better than mine, but you're 100% right. So at one point, we did take a look at RV Marine. Over the last six months, we've been able, with, with both Hans and, and with Mike, to, to really replicate, albeit on a smaller scale, replicate the four components that Triad has been successful with. So I'm sitting here, and myself and the board had a conversation about this. We're feeling much better about the RV Marine business. We also think there's opportunities for vendor finance relationships in RV Marine, where those discussions are ongoing. Nothing to report yet, but that would be the, the next leg to the, to the growth of this business. So we, we, we like the business. We think it's coming into its own.

We, you know, $10-$12 million of profitability this year. We think it could be double of that in the next 12-18 months.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from Geoffrey Kwan with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Geoffrey Kwan
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hi, good afternoon. Just I wanted to follow up on Tom's last question, on the strategic review. Because my impression at the time was, you know, there were things in that business you wanted to kind of fix up. I mean, it sounds like you want to keep it here. The numbers seem to be improving. Are you at a point where you this is where you wanted it to be when you kind of concluded the initial part of the strategic review? Or kind of what, what else do you want to accomplish to kind of feel like, you know, you've got everything kind of set up the way you want to, to try and execute on growth?

Steven Hudson
CEO, ECN Capital

Yeah, I think, Geoff , what we've accomplished since the strategic review is that we've... In Source One, we changed leadership, and Mike came in, which has been a significant improvement in the business. Hans has been able to, he referenced the 8 new originators he brought on, and I think equally as important is adding the servicer, which we've announced this evening, was the third step, and fourth, Chris's leadership on adding institutional flow investors. So it feels like it came together in the second, third quarter, and I think you're gonna see the impact of that in the latter part of 2024 and certainly 2025. I think from perspective of creating wealth for our shareholders, we need to continue to grow this business for the next 12-18 months.

I think we will be rewarded for having done it.

Geoffrey Kwan
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Once again-

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