Fiera Capital Corporation (TSX:FSZ)
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Apr 28, 2026, 1:18 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2024

Nov 7, 2024

Operator

Good morning. My name is Joana, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Fiera Capital's earnings call to discuss financial results for the third quarter of 2024. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw a question, please press star two. Thank you. I will now turn the conference over to Miss Marie-France Guay, Senior Vice President, Treasury and Investor Relations. Miss Guay, you may begin your conference.

Marie-France Guay
Senior Vice President, Treasury and Investor Relations, Fiera Capital

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Bonjour à tous. Bienvenue à l'appel de conférence de Fiera Capital pour discuter des résultats financiers du troisième trimestre de 2024. Welcome to the Fiera Capital conference call to discuss our financial results for the third quarter of 2024. Note that today's call will be held in English. Before we begin, I invite you to download a copy of today's presentation, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website at ir.fieracapital.com. Also, note that comments made on today's call, including replies to certain questions, may deal with forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from expectations. I would ask you to take a moment to read the forward-looking statements on page two of the presentation.

On today's call, we would discuss our Q3 2024 results, starting with an update on our AUM flows, followed by highlights of our public and private markets platforms, as well as our private wealth business. We will then review our financial performance. Our speakers today are Mr. Jean-Guy Desjardins, Chairman of the Board and Global CEO, and Mr. Lucas Pontillo, Executive Director and Global CFO. Also available to answer questions following the prepared remarks will be Jean-Michel, President and CIO, Public Markets, John Valentini, President and CEO, Private Markets, and Maxime Ménard, President and CEO of Fiera Canada and Global Private Wealth. With that, I will now turn the call over to Jean-Guy.

Jean-Guy Desjardins
Chairman and CEO, Fiera Capital

Thank you very much, Marie-France. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We are very pleased with our results for the third quarter, which showed continued improvement in our distribution, operational, and financial performance. The shift by central banks towards easing policies created a favorable environment for global markets in the third quarter. Equity markets benefited from the soft landing narrative, with major indices hitting new highs. Fixed income markets have responded positively to the dovish shifts in monetary policy, with yield curves steepening and short-term yields falling more sharply than long-term yields. Against this favorable backdrop, we reported assets under management of CAD 165.5 billion, which increased 4% in the quarter, reflecting rising equity and fixed income markets, along with positive net organic growth in both public markets, excluding PineStone, and private markets.

Our private markets platform saw assets under management maintain its growth trend, driven by new subscriptions of CAD 400 million, supporting positive net organic growth and by market appreciation. Public markets assets under management increased by CAD 6.3 billion, or 4.5%, as positive market impact was partly offset by net outflows of approximately CAD 400 million. Excluding PineStone, our public markets platform saw a 5.1% increase in assets under management and reported net inflows of approximately CAD 200 million. With respect to assets under management sub-advised by PineStone, we saw significant moderation in outflows in the quarter, with net negative flows of CAD 500 million related to ongoing client rebalancings. Also, it is important to note that on a year-over-year basis, assets under management in strategies sub-advised by PineStone have remained essentially flat, as favorable markets have offset outflows. I will now turn to highlights of our commercial and investment performance across our asset classes.

Starting with our public markets platform, we were pleased to be awarded CAD 500 million of gross mandates in the third quarter, primarily from Canadian and U.S. clients investing in our fixed income mandates, along with new mandates from private wealth clients in Canada. We are also pleased to report that public markets, excluding assets under management sub-advised by PineStone, returned to positive net organic growth in the quarter. We believe the improvement in flows, along with an increase in new mandate momentum that we have been seeing post-quarter end, are early testaments of the benefit of our regionalized distribution model. Turning to investment performance in public markets, it was a strong quarter for fixed income, with our flagship Canadian fixed income strategies all adding value.

In particular, the Active Core Strategy outperformed by more than 70 basis points, and Strategic Core beat its benchmark by more than 80 basis points. All three flagship strategies have outperformed their benchmark over the one, three, and five-year periods. Our Global Multi-Sector Income Strategy also performed well, generating over 140 basis points of added value in the third quarter due to strong security selection, as well as active duration and curve positioning. The strategy continues to outperform by over 300 basis points year to date. Our equity strategies had mixed relative performance in the third quarter. For Canadian strategies, it is worth noting that the TSX rose 10% in the quarter, marking only the third time this has happened in the last 14 years. Our absolute performance in equities was solid, but it was a challenging quarter to outperform.

Despite this, the majority of our equity strategies continue to generate top quartile returns for investors, outpacing their benchmark by healthy margins over one, three, and five years. We were pleased with the performance of our Atlas Global Equity Strategy, which added 110 basis points of value in the third quarter, helped by security selection in the information technology and financial sectors, and no allocation to energy. Since its inception in 2017, this strategy ranks well relative to peers and has outperformed its benchmark by over 400 basis points. Lastly, despite our emerging markets strategies having a challenging quarter due to significant upswings in Chinese markets late in the third quarter, our frontier market strategy still managed to outperform its benchmark on the back of strong security selection in Vietnam and Kazakhstan.

Now, turning to our private markets platform, private markets delivered positive net organic growth of approximately CAD 200 million during the quarter after returning capital of CAD 170 million to investors. Growth was driven by new mandates of CAD 400 million, primarily from Canadian clients into private credit mandates and European clients into real estate. In addition to the CAD 400 million in new mandates in the quarter, more than CAD 500 million was deployed, and we maintain a pipeline with CAD 1.4 billion of commitments available for deployment into future opportunities. With respect to investment performance, our private market strategies performed really well in the quarter. Nearly all of our private credit strategies generated positive returns, benefiting from favorable lending conditions from lower interest rates and central banks signaling further rate reductions. Our infrastructure debt fund, in particular, posted strong results in the third quarter and a 14% return over one year.

Private equity also performed well, contributing to a one-year return of 19%. Our approach here remains focused on selective investment in mid-market high-growth sectors. Within our global agriculture and timber strategies, key partnerships have performed well, and the team continues to actively pursue strategic acquisitions and exposure to new partnerships to capitalize on global market opportunities, especially in the Middle East. Our Canadian infrastructure strategy has generated very strong returns this quarter at 2.6%, showing resilience amid variable macroeconomic conditions. Lastly, in real estate, the performance of the Canadian and U.K. strategies suggests recovery as property valuations benefit from recent interest rate cuts and improved liquidity. This improvement is most notable in the multi-residential and industrial sectors, where Fiera strategies are more heavily concentrated. Now, moving on to private wealth. Private wealth assets under management increased by CAD 200 million in the third quarter to close at CAD 14.3 billion.

We secured new mandates of close to CAD 90 million, of which approximately half was from First Nations relationships. We continue to deepen and strengthen these relationships and have seen good mandate activity in this space post-quarter. With that, I will now turn it over to Lucas for a review of our financial performance.

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Thank you, Jean-Guy, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased with our strong financial performance during the third quarter of 2024, with both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter improvements across many of our key financial metrics. Improvements in both our public and private market platforms, which were supported by an increase in our average management fee rate as a result of new mandates generating higher fees. The diversity of our revenue streams also improved during the quarter, with performance fees and share of earnings in joint ventures. Starting with total revenues, across our investment platforms, total revenues of CAD 172 million in the third quarter increased by CAD 13 million, or 8% year-over-year, fueled by strong growth in private markets revenues of 17% and 4% growth in revenues from public markets.

On a year-to-date basis, total revenues increased to just under CAD 505 million, representing a 6% increase compared to the first nine months of 2023. This was largely thanks to the growth in private markets. Base management fees rose to just over CAD 154 million during the quarter, an increase of 5% year-over-year, reflecting growth both in public and private markets AUM. On a year-to-date basis, base management fees were CAD 455 million, up 2% year-over-year, and driven by higher fees in private markets and change in asset mix. This resulted in an improved average fee rate of 37.3 basis points compared to an average of 36.4 basis points over the same period last year. Turning to public market revenues, base management fees increased by CAD 4 million, or 4% year-over-year, to end the quarter close to CAD 107 million, primarily due to higher revenues from financial intermediary clients in the U.S.

And the private wealth channel in Canada as a result of our fee optimization initiative. This was partly offset by lost PineStone equity mandates. On a year-to-date basis, fees remained flat year-over-year at CAD 316 million, despite the large PineStone outflows experienced during the first half of the year. Other revenues of CAD 4 million in the third quarter increased by CAD 1 million year-over-year, and on a year-to-date basis, other revenues of CAD 11 million increased by CAD 6 million. The increase in other revenues includes insurance related to a prior year claim. Turning to private market revenues, base management increased by CAD 3 million, or 7% year-over-year, to CAD 47.5 million for the quarter, mostly driven by higher institutional assets under management and mainly from new subscriptions into our agriculture strategies. On a year-to-date basis, base management fees increased by CAD 10 million, or 8% year-over-year, to reach almost CAD 139 million for the nine-month period.

This was thanks to new subscriptions in our Agriculture, Real Estate, and our Diversified Private Markets Solution strategies, which form part of our competitive feeder fund offering. Performance fees were CAD 5 million during the quarter and almost CAD 9 million on a year-to-date basis, which were CAD 3 million higher than last year on both a quarterly and on a year-to-date basis. This increase is largely related to the recognition of performance fees in our Agriculture Strategies. Year-over-year, commitment and transaction fees increased by CAD 1 million for the quarter to CAD 3.6 million, reflecting higher transaction fees from our EMEA clients, while year-to-date commitment and transaction fees were just over CAD 9 million, were down CAD 2 million year-over-year, largely driven by lower deal activity from our private debt and infrastructure platforms in Canada.

Share of earnings in joint ventures related to our U.K. real estate business were up slightly in the third quarter on a year-over-year basis to CAD 1.7 million and reached CAD 10.7 million on a year-to-date basis, increasing by over eight million. In summary, on a year-to-date basis, our private markets platform has contributed revenues of over CAD 173 million, up CAD 23 million, or 16% from the same period last year. Private market revenues comprise 34% of total revenues, despite accounting for only 12% of total assets under management. Not only does our private markets platform remain an outsized contributor to our revenue growth, it also provides us with greater revenue diversification, providing stability and growth during times of financial markets volatility.

Turning to SG&A in the quarter, SG&A expenses were just over CAD 123 million for the quarter, compared to CAD 118 million for the same period last year, representing an increase of just 4.4%. On a year-to-date basis, SG&A expenses of CAD 374 million were up 4.7% from the same period last year. The increase in expenses was largely due to higher travel and marketing related to our ongoing regional expansion, some higher vendor and data costs, and some increased compensation. SG&A growth for both the quarter and year-to-date was lower than revenue growth, allowing us to deliver solid growth in our adjusted EBITDA. Turning to adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted EBITDA of CAD 51.7 million increased 18% year-over-year, and on a year-to-date basis, was up 11% to end the nine-month period at just over CAD 142 million.

On a last 12-month basis, our Adjusted EBITDA is the highest it has been in two years, supported by continued growth in our private markets platform. This, despite outflows related to strategies sub-advised by PineStone. Our Adjusted EBITDA margin was 30.1% for the quarter, up from 27.7% in the same quarter last year. On a year-to-date basis, our margin was 28.2%, an increase of 120 basis points from the same period last year, demonstrating our commitment to cost management even after accounting for investments made in expanding our distribution model. Now, looking at earnings, net earnings attributable to the company shareholders of CAD 13 million in the last quarter increased from net earnings of CAD 11 million in the same quarter last year. On a year-to-date basis, net earnings of CAD 25 million were up more than 32% compared to CAD 19 million during the same period last year.

It is also important to note that net earnings last year also included a one-time gain of over CAD 5 million related to the sale of mutual funds to New York Life. On an adjusted basis, net earnings were CAD 29 million, or CAD 0.25 per diluted share, up from CAD 24 million, or CAD 0.18 per share in the same quarter last year. On a year-to-date basis, adjusted net earnings were close to CAD 80 million, up 5% from the prior year, or CAD 0.73 per diluted share, up from CAD 0.70 per share. Turning now to our financial leverage, net debt was CAD 655 million at the end of the third quarter, up CAD 31 million from the same period last year, while our net debt ratio decreased to just below three times in the current quarter, down from over 3.4 times in the same period last year.

Our funded debt, as defined by a credit facility, remained at 2.9 times. Turning to free cash flow, our last 12-month free cash flow of CAD 95 million is down CAD 3 million from the same period last year, but comfortably above the last 12-month dividend paid. The decrease reflects changes in our non-cash working capital, mainly from an increase in accounts receivable from higher revenues. This was largely offset by an increase of CAD 33 million in cash generated by operating activities before the impact of working capital over the last 12 months. We remain committed to delivering value to our shareholders as a fundamental pillar of our strategy. In this regard, we repurchased approximately 650,000 shares under our normal course issuer bid in the third quarter for a total consideration of CAD 5.2 million, representing a weighted average purchase price of CAD 7.79.

Lastly, I am pleased to announce that the board has declared a quarterly dividend of CAD 0.216 per share payable on December 19, 2024, to shareholders of record on November 19, 2024. The dividend represents an increase of CAD 0.001 per share, allowing us to remain in the Canadian Dividend Aristocrats Index. I'll now turn the call back to Jean-Guy for his closing remarks.

Jean-Guy Desjardins
Chairman and CEO, Fiera Capital

Thank you, Lucas. Overall, we are very pleased with our third-quarter results. Growth in both public and private markets assets under management has enabled us to achieve strong financial performance, resulting in an improvement across all of our key financial metrics. Momentum is quite positive as we have seen a marked improvement in our flows as we enter the last quarter of the year. Our pipeline remains promising, with significant mandates expected to fund in the next few months. And as cash rates decline, we are seeing increased interest in our fixed income and alternative strategies as investors look to reallocate away from cash accounts. Our proactive adaptation to the monetary policies and economic developments observed this year have positioned us well to manage potential risks and seize growth opportunities ahead. We continue to build on providing our clients with multi-asset solutions from our diverse and broad range of strategies.

The depth and breadth of our offering, along with strong performance and track record, provides a unique opportunity for our clients, as well as enables us to remain resilient in the face of uncertainty. I will now turn the call back to the operator for the question period. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. We will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press star followed by the one on your touch-tone phone. You will hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by the two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from Nik Priebe with CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Nik Priebe
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC Capital Market

Thanks. We've had a lot of market-related AUM growth this year. In the past, you've alluded to certain revenue-sharing agreements with key PMs, which provide an automatic stabilizer to the cost base when markets decline. And then conversely, on the way up, you'll see some associated inflation in your cost base, which is a net positive because earnings are growing. But what would you estimate your expense beta is? Or, I guess, in other words, if AUM increases 1% because of market-related tailwinds, roughly speaking, how much would you expect SG&A to increase?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

It's a good question. I'll have to get back to you on the calculus, but I can give you the range in terms of the revenue sharing, whether it be on base management fees or performance fees, can range anywhere between 20%-50%, again, depending on the nature of revenue. So, as I say, it's off the cuff. It's a bit of a tougher answer to give you because, as I say, it depends on the type of revenue and where it's flexing. And as you know, performance fees have a larger impact in our fourth quarter. And so, again, that's on a much different revenue model or expense model than our base management fees would be.

Nik Priebe
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC Capital Market

Just on that topic, we are getting closer to year-end. It's been an exceptionally strong year for global equity markets. Are you able to give us an update on how the performance fee outlook is shaping up as we approach the crystallization event at year-end? Directionally speaking, all things equal, would you expect it to be higher than last year?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

At this point, it's been just even within the last quarter. In fact, the last month, we've seen a lot of volatility. I would say going into the third quarter, it was looking quite strong. The China rebound that we had in the month of October really had an impact on emerging markets returns. So that kind of took us a step back, and with the latest election results that we just saw come through, you might see that go the other way again between now and the end of the year, so, as I say, like the election, it's really too early to call at this point, and I won't make any comment in terms of where we end, but it's been a strong first six months of the year. We'll see how the latter half treats us, particularly the last two months.

Nik Priebe
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC Capital Market

Okay. Yeah, no, fair enough. Last one for me. You made reference to an increase in new mandate activity subsequent to quarter-end. Just wondering if you could elaborate on that a little bit. Was that a reference to a particularly chunky mandate that was won, or just a broader comment on the build that you're seeing in RFI and RFP activity?

Maxime Ménard
President and CEO, Fiera Canada and Global Private Wealth, Fiera Capital

It's Max. For Canada, we've actually been awarded a few chunky, a few very large mandates that we can't speak of for now. We've also seen a significant pickup in two of our public market strategy, namely Canadian equities, where we see a lot of attention. It's a very high-rated, top quartile mandate. We see a lot of activity on the consulting side, and we've been in many finals, and we're winning those finals. We've also seen lots of success also with our Atlas mandate performance. We have a great pipeline and also some good results in terms of won mandates and not yet funded, but coming through the pipeline.

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Okay. That's great. Thanks. I'll turn it over.

Operator

Your next question comes from Etienne Ricard with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Étienne Ricard
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thank you, and good morning. To circle back on your comment that new mandate activity is increasing, could you please share for what fixed income mandates are you seeing stronger demand?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Yeah, we've seen good activities across the board, but I would say that we're seeing activities in the mandate that are less traditional, like the Core Plus mandate and Multi-Sector Strategies. We've seen some demand for that. It's a bit across the board, but the market is looking for things that are slightly less traditional from the fixed income side.

Étienne Ricard
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. And in terms of geographies, net flows from EMEA clients have been better for a few quarters now. So two questions on my end. The first is, for what strategies in this geography are you seeing strong demand? And second part of the question, what early results have you seen from the new office locations in Switzerland and the Middle East?

Jean-Guy Desjardins
Chairman and CEO, Fiera Capital

Okay. On the EMEA side, the activity is on the emerging market strategies, especially the frontier ones. Also, on the U.S. SMID strategy, there's quite a lot of activity there. And specifically on the intermediary side, which is the focus of our Switzerland office, the Zurich office, it's on the U.S. SMID strategy that there's quite a bit of activity. And on the Middle East side, it's a mix. We have activity on Middle East equity markets out of Abu Dhabi. We have activity on the real estate side. And out of Saudi Arabia, a lot of interest in our Ag and timber strategies.

Étienne Ricard
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Thank you, Jean-Guy. And Lucas, on capital allocation, with the stock at CAD 10, how do you plan to balance paying down debt relative to share buybacks to the extent free cash flow exceeds the dividend?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

I mean, obviously, we were quite opportunistic when the share was below CAD 8, and we took advantage of that. We'll have to certainly reevaluate. We haven't been back up at this level for a while, so it's a nice place to be. We still think there's more room to go, but we have money allocated for the buyback at this point, and we'll continue to watch it.

Étienne Ricard
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thank you very much.

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

At this stage, debt would be the priority.

Étienne Ricard
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Gary Ho with Desjardins Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Gary Ho
Research Analyst, Financial Services, Desjardins

Thanks. Good morning. Maybe just going back to the performance fees question. Lucas, can you maybe identify a couple of strategies? I think I heard you say the emerging fund that could be accruing performance fees. Maybe just help us out so we can maybe dig into that a little bit. Which of these strategies is currently accruing performance fees?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Yeah. So on the public market side, that would definitely be the one, and we've spoken about that historically. And that's really one that, I mean, unless we have a crystallization event during the year, it's more traditionally always accrued for and reviewed in the fourth quarter once it's effectively earned. But what you're starting to see on the private market side, and I think I've alluded to it in my comments in terms of agriculture in particular, that's one strategy where, by virtue of the vintages of the funds that we had, if you really look at when the agriculture platform started to expand between 2021 and 2022, we're starting to hit the strides of those vintages in terms of them giving off performance fees. So, as a result, you saw some come through this quarter. Historically, that platform probably generated about four million a year of performance fees.

You saw that we've done that year to date already. And so we do expect a slight increase between now and the end of the year. But that is one platform that you can expect that going forward, assuming returns maintain, which, again, are quite stable in agriculture, but is a platform that performance fees could easily double in that category over the next three years.

Gary Ho
Research Analyst, Financial Services, Desjardins

Okay. Great. And then while I have you, Lucas, just on the, I was wondering if you can help me triangulate this. So your LTM free cash flow against dividends was roughly 96%, yet you repaid off some debt and bought back 600,000 shares. And all that, your leverage is down in the quarter. What am I missing there?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Yeah. So you should look at it on an LTM basis because if you're comparing the LTM cash flow, you should look at the LTM change in the debt. And in which case, you'll see that the net debt actually went up by CAD 30 million year over year. And in fact, as you alluded to, there was closer to, when you look over the full year, there was closer to CAD 10 million of buybacks. There was capital investment that we made, particularly in seed capital for the funds, which largely account for sort of that extra CAD 30 million. So if you take the fact that the LTM free cash flow at CAD 95 million pretty well covered the dividend and then some, as I say, then you've got the extra type of CapEx and capital allocation decisions that we made that account for that CAD 30 million increase.

Gary Ho
Research Analyst, Financial Services, Desjardins

Got it. Okay. Thanks for that. And then just last one. Margin's very strong this quarter. That's great to see. You were able to hit that 30% mark. And that's despite ongoing investment in decentralizing your distribution team. Any one-time item there to note, to call out? And how sustainable is that 30% looking out?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

It's certainly sustainable going into the fourth quarter. And then, again, depending on how performance fees land, it could be much higher than that. There's nothing one-timey in there. I would say that the performance fees for private markets that came in in the quarter going forward will be more systemic in that regard in terms of just, as I say, particularly the agriculture platform as it continues to mature and we start getting the carry on those funds. So you'll see that replicate more frequently going forward than it has historically, obviously adding to the margin expansion.

Gary Ho
Research Analyst, Financial Services, Desjardins

Got it. Okay. That makes sense. Those are my questions. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Graham Ryding with TD Securities. Your line is now open.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst, TD Securities

Hi. Good morning. Just to follow on that, Lucas, the performance fees in the quarter, did they come from the agriculture fund, or where did they come from?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Yes, from the agriculture fund.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Great. Can you just talk about the alternatives business? This question is for Max or anybody. Just any noticeable change over the last sort of recent period versus maybe six to 12 months ago in terms of your pipeline for new mandates and also investor interest in particular strategies?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Yeah. Why don't I let John take that one? We had a good discussion around real estate opportunities going forward.

Maxime Ménard
President and CEO, Fiera Canada and Global Private Wealth, Fiera Capital

Yeah. So as Max was alluding to, the pipeline is quite strong in terms of we've been awarded mandates, but obviously, you've got to sign up the mandates on subscription agreements. We will reach. I mean, we're at $19.5 billion in AUM. We do expect continued growth and expect to hit the $20 billion mark in our private markets based on the pipeline and deals we've been awarded. So that gives you some good visibility on the short term of new flows. And I would say in terms of flows or forecast, even heading into 2025, the macroeconomic environment of decreasing interest rates and inflation is very favorable to our real assets platform, which is our biggest platform that comprises over two-thirds of our private markets business. So the macroeconomic environment bodes well for this asset base, which was a bit of an unfavorable environment over the last several years.

If you just look at real estate, I mean, growth in real estate was stagnant over the last several years. That has changed. The pipeline of real estate mandates we're being solicited for has picked up substantially, strongest it's been over the last several years. And I expect that to continue into 2025. I think our Canadian real estate platform is going to hold very well for that. I mean, we've got the number one and two performing funds this year over one year, three year, and five years. So we're very, very well positioned and feel very confident that we're going to basically get new capital into that platform over the next 12 to 24 months. We're very well positioned relative to our peers. So in general, we feel very confident. The performance is there. Even we've been speaking about agriculture.

I mean, if you just take agriculture, the NCREIF Index is at zero. Our year-to-date performance is over close to 8%. On a 12-month trailing, it's over 10%. So we're very well positioned and very confident.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Great. Yeah. No, that's helpful. That's good color. And maybe just to build on that, though, so for Q4 overall, it sounds like you have some mandates on the public market side that you expect to fund. John, you're talking about some decent activity here on the.

Maxime Ménard
President and CEO, Fiera Canada and Global Private Wealth, Fiera Capital

Yeah. I'm talking about, yeah, I was referring to private markets.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst, TD Securities

Yeah. I'm just taking a step further and just saying overall for Fiera and Q4 here, if we include what you're talking about on the alternative side, and then I think you've got some public markets that might be some mandates that might be funding. Overall, is that enough to offset any potential redemptions from Pinestone in Q4? Are you setting up for positive inflows overall in Q4? Do you have that visibility?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Yeah. Our sense is we're not as concerned about the Pinestone outflows for the rest of the year. Rebalancings that could happen at the end of the year across any strategies, that's always the concern, right? And again, particularly with the economic change that we're going into, that could have an impact. But it's hard to have visibility on that, quite frankly.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Okay. Fair enough. And then my last one, just Lucas on the free cash flow. Anything to call out in Q4, or would you expect this sort of last 12-month free cash flow trend to remain above the dividend payout?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

No, we're comfortable that it should remain above the dividend payout.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. That's it for me. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have a question, please press star one. Your next question comes from Jaeme Gloyn with National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Yes. Thanks. A couple of, let's say, housekeeping questions. If I look at the dilution impact of the 8.25 hybrids, would they, obviously, no dilution this quarter, but would they be dilutive in Q4?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

That's going to be hard to tell, Jim, until we actually see the numbers for the quarter. As you know, the accounting treatment for it is you have to retest it every quarter depending on the impact. So without having modeled that out, I couldn't tell you at this point.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Okay. Got it. And then in terms of the drip, is that something, obviously, we're buying back stock, is the drip something that you'll keep in? I know it's not big, but just curious on that.

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

Yeah. No intentions to change it, but it is quite modest in terms of its uptake.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Great. And then I think I was just wanting to confirm what I was hearing from Graham's last question there just around, obviously, excited on the new mandate activity, but you don't have any visibility whatsoever on, let's say, net contributions or lost mandates or anything along those lines up to this point. That's something that's more of a December decision for your clients, or is there anything you can share up to this point?

Lucas Pontillo
CFO, Fiera Capital

As I say, that's usually the wild card, right? That's sort of whatever rebalancing happens before year-end when clients are repositioning portfolios. So at this stage, it's a bit early to tell. And as I say, I think a lot of it will be predicated on sort of the path forward from the latest U.S. election, which was just a couple of days ago at this stage. So hard to tell.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. That's good. All right. Thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call over to Marie-France for closing remarks.

Marie-France Guay
Senior Vice President, Treasury and Investor Relations, Fiera Capital

Thank you, Joan. That concludes today's call. If you need for more information or any other details, do not hesitate to take advantage of our website at ir.fieracapital.com. Thank you for joining us. Merci.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. Thank you for participating, and as I say, please disconnect your line.

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