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Earnings Call: Q4 2019

Feb 14, 2020

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the IGM Financial Fourth Quarter 2019 earnings results call for Friday, February 14, 2020. Your host for today will be Mr. Keith Potter. Please go ahead, Mr. Potter.

Keith Potter
Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, IGM Financial

Thank you, Melanie. Good afternoon. I'm Keith Potter, Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, and welcome everyone to IGM Financial's 2019 fourth quarter earnings call. Joining me on the call today are Jeff Carney, President and CEO of IG Wealth Management and President and CEO of IGM Financial. We have Barry McInerney, President and CEO of Mackenzie Investments, and Luke Gould, Executive Vice President and CFO of IGM Financial. Before we get started, I'd like to draw your attention to the cautions concerning forward-looking statements on slide 3. Slide 4 summarizes non-IFRS measures used in the material. On slide 5, we provide a list of documents that are available to the public on our website related to the fourth quarter results of for IGM Financial.

With that, I'll turn it over to Jeff Carney to cover IGM's full year 2019 and fourth quarter results, starting on slide 7.

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

We finished the year with record high AUM of CAD 166.8 billion and AUA of CAD 190.2 billion, driven by the best financial markets improvement since 2009. We had investment fund net redemptions of CAD 142 billion. IGM's adjusted earnings per share were CAD 3.19 during 2019, which was down slightly from our record high in 2018. I'm pleased with the progress we've made in our business transformation in 2019, that is further improving the client and advisor experience. We achieved these enhancements while managing non-commission expenses growth to 3.3%, which was better than our guidance of 4%. We are maintaining our 2020 expense growth guidance of 3%. Turning to slide 8 for Q4 highlights.

Total AUM and AUA both increased 3% during the quarter. Investment fund net redemptions were CAD 141 million. IGM's Q4 2019 adjusted earnings per share increased 12% year-over-year to CAD 0.84, a record high Q4 result. IGM was recently named to CDP's A List as a leader in the disclosure and management of carbon emissions. We are the only Canadian company on this list. We are also been named to Corporate Knights' Top 100 Global Sustainability Leaders list. We see sustainability and climate-related topics of growing importance to all our stakeholders and will continue pursuing opportunities to make a positive impact. Slide 9 highlights the performance of major equity and fixed income indices.

Most equity markets were up during the first quarter of 2019, capping off a strong year during which our clients earned investment returns of 13%. January client returns were a positive 1.1%, and so far, February has been an even stronger month for client returns. Turning to slide 10. I start by reminding that the industry experienced just over CAD 15 billion of net redemptions during Q4 2018, with severe equity market declines. This large outflow has rolled off the twelve-month trailing net sales rate, driving the industry net sales rate up sharply. The industry advice channel experienced long-term mutual fund net redemptions of CAD 0.8 billion during Q4, up CAD 7.4 billion from Q4 2018. Strong equity market performance and improved industry flows should support a better RSP season than we saw last year.

Turning to slide 11 on our results for the fourth quarter. Record high average AUM of CAD 164.5 billion increased 7.6% year-over-year. Investment fund net redemptions were of CAD 141 million during Q4 2019, were an improvement over net redemptions of CAD 225 million last year. As I mentioned, IGM's Q4 2019 adjusted EPS were CAD 0.84, up 12% from Q4 last year, and represents the highest fourth quarter in our history. Slide 12 contains the breakdown of IGM's quarterly results across our segments. I'd highlight that earnings at IG Wealth Management and Mackenzie were up, both up in the quarter relative to Q4 2018.

I'd note that the corporate and other segment reflects the inclusion of IGM's share of Personal Capital losses of CAD 4.5 million, which we began equity accounting for January 2019. Excluding this amount, earnings increased strongly across all segments. Turning to IG Wealth Management's full year 2019 and Q4 2019 highlights on slide 14. AUM reached a record quarter and high of CAD 93.2 billion, up 2.6% during the fourth quarter and 12.1% for the full year of 2019. IG's Q4 gross client inflows increased 7.7% relative to last year, as we continue to have success attracting new high net worth households, which has driven improvements in consultant productivity. We're also seeing an improvement in gross and net sales during February relative to last year.

Finally, IG achieved a number of important milestones during 2019 on our journey to modernize the company and deliver better client and advisor experiences. On slide 15, we're introducing a new view of client activity, which covers total gross and net flows from IG clients. This view is now relevant with the recent launch of the IG Advisory Account during Q4. This new single fee, fee-based account enables all clients to hold our unbundled managed solutions, high interest savings accounts, and other assets. Going forward, fees will be earned on assets within the account. On this basis, gross client inflows of CAD 2.5 billion were up 7.7% year-over-year, and net client outflows were CAD 112 million. Slide 16 includes some additional perspectives of Q4 gross sales.

Sales into our high net worth solutions increased to 27%, and to CAD 1.3 billion. Better data also remains a focus, with managed solutions representing 84% of our long-term gross sales. Slide 17 provides more insight into how our client segmentation has shifted since 2016. I have two main points on the left chart. First, you can see that since 2016, we've increased the emphasis on acquiring new households with greater than CAD 500,000. Second, we tightened our recruiting standards and are acquiring fewer mass market households. This has created some headwinds in our flows, but we're confident of our strategy and that it is working with high net worth momentum accelerating in the recent quarters. And on the right, our National Service Centre now has CAD 1.7 billion in AUM and over 200,000 clients.

The center is staffed with salaried financial advisors, providing clients with smaller accounts, a value proposition, and great service levels. At the same time, this has freed time for consultants to focus on segments with more complex needs. On slide 18, first, I mentioned that we've been focused on hiring fewer but higher quality recruits. Gross sales per consultant with less than 4 years increased by 17% in Q4 relative to last year, and we saw even stronger growth of 26% from consultants in their first year with IG. We had another strong quarter of recruiting, up over 50% from the same quarter in 2018. These recruits are coming from traditional sources as well as experienced financial planning-focused advisors.

We're also focused on increasing sales productivity of our experienced consultant practices, which saw gross sales per practice increase by 24% in Q4 of 2019 relative to Q4 of 2018. As I mentioned, IG completed a number of important milestones during 2019 on our journey to transform the company, as you can see listed on slide 19. These initiatives will enhance our competitiveness, fee transparency, consultant productivity, and overall efficiency as they get fully rolled out in 2020. We also have other exciting initiatives planned to further transform our business. Some of these include digitizing key processes and forms, further modernization of our client portal, enhancing our high net worth products and services, and accelerating our high net worth household acquisition with continued client segmentation efforts.

Before passing the call over to Barry, I'll close my remarks on slide 20 by providing some perspective on the strength of IG's investment product offering. As I mentioned, we now have unbundled pricing and options, options available to all clients. These solutions are expected to account for virtually all of IG's sales in the near future. With that context, I'm pleased to share an example of the print and digital promotions we've been running earlier this month. The ads feature the strong performance of our managed solutions, with 9 of 14 of IG Wealth Management portfolios rated 4 or 5 stars by Morningstar for Series U. Over to you, Barry.

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

Thank you, Jeff, and good afternoon, everyone. Turning to slide 22, which shows Mackenzie's full year and fourth quarter highlights for 2019. Mackenzie's investment fund AUM reached CAD 64 billion at the end of last year, a new record high level and a 15% increase over the course of the year. We saw strong growth in a number of our categories, and two I'd like to highlight here are our ETF platform and our alternatives products. Since launching our ETF business in April 2016, just under four years ago, we've experienced rapid growth to CAD 4.7 billion. Mackenzie has built the sixth largest ETF platform in Canada through a successful organic strategy. We've also continued to be a leader in the alternatives products category, which reached CAD 1.3 billion in December.

2017 to 2019 combined, was the best three-year period in Mackenzie's history on a number of key metrics, including record high total mutual fund gross sales and record and record retail mutual fund gross and net sales were also the highest. During 2019 alone, we generated over CAD 1.4 billion of investment fund net sales at a time when advice channel peers experienced meaningful outflows. Mackenzie's rankings by financial advisors is among the best in the country, driving strong retail net sales and increasing IIROC and MFDA sales penetration. Focusing on the fourth quarter, Mackenzie saw record high mutual fund gross sales. We also recorded Mackenzie's 13th consecutive quarter of positive retail mutual fund net sales, and ETFs saw the 15th consecutive quarter of positive retail net creations.

Mackenzie won four Lipper Fund Awards during the fourth quarter and twelve Fundata Awards, last month, which we're very proud of. These awards honor funds that lead in delivering strong, risk-adjusted performance relative to their peers.... Slide 23 highlights Mackenzie's operating results. Mackenzie continues to capture market share versus peers in the advice channel. Our long-term investment funds, which includes both ETFs and long-term mutual funds, had a net sales rate of 2.4% during the 12 months ending December 31, 2019. Record high Q4 adjusted mutual fund gross sales of CAD 2.5 billion, increased 5.6% year-over-year. Total investment fund net sales were CAD 301 million during Q4, and last week, we announced January's net sales of CAD 338 million. Mackenzie experienced net redemptions of CAD 86 million in the institutional, supervisory, and other category.

I spoke on our last call about our strong institutional pipeline, and I'm happy to report that our team continued to add new wins during the fourth quarter. As of end of last year, we had over CAD 1 billion of unfunded institutional and strategic alliance net inflows that are expected to fund over the next 3-9 months. CAD 200 million of this funded in January and is included in the mutual fund sales reported in our January press release. Our retail results are highlighted on slide 24. Mackenzie's retail sales captured 6.5% of advice channel long-term mutual fund gross sales during the fourth quarter, and 7% for the full year. As I mentioned earlier, mutual funds and ETFs are consistently attracting positive retail net flows quarter after quarter.

And we've seen our strong retail net flows momentum continue into January and February. Turning to slide 25, net flows into ETFs continued to be strong during the fourth quarter. I mentioned earlier that Mackenzie's ETF AUM was CAD 4.7 billion at the end of 2019. During January, we exceeded CAD 5 billion in assets, and we're nearing CAD 6 billion halfway through February. Our ETF assets continue to be diversified across client type and investment strategy, with retail making up approximately 45% of Mackenzie's ETF AUM. On slide 26, you will see that Mackenzie's investment performance remains strong. At the end of the quarter, more than 50% of Mackenzie's mutual fund assets were above median in the 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods, and 47% of Mackenzie's AUM is in 4- or 5-star rated funds.

And finally, turning to slide 27, to look at investment performance and net sales across our investment boutiques. Value-oriented strategies remain out of favor, and the source of our retail net sales results are consistent with that. Mackenzie's growth-oriented boutiques continue to have the majority of their assets rated 4 or 5 stars and are attracting significant net sales in the retail channel. Our global equity and income team and fixed income team are also performing very well in attracting assets. With that, I'll turn it over to Luke to review IGM's financial results.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Great. Thank you, Barry. Just going to move to page 29, and I'll echo the remarks earlier from Jeff Carney.

Financial markets were very good to our clients this year, it was 2019, up 13%, and that continued into January, now to February, with very robust markets and a really confident environment. Going to page 30, the results were pretty uncomplicated this quarter. You can see on the right, our net revenue rate has been trending stable at about 1.21% throughout the year. And you can also see the impact of the operating leverage, with the unit costs going down significantly and our EBITDA margin increasing from 52 basis points in Q4 2018 to 57 basis points this quarter. Going to page 31, which has IGM's consolidated income statement.

I highlight first at the bottom left, net earnings of CAD 228 million, up 11.6%, and EPS up 12%, reflecting an all-time record high Q4 result. I have two comments on this slide. First, you can see in point two, that non-commissioned expenses are down 1.1% from last year, and our full year result was better than our guidance. Q4 did have some of the benefit of our fund services outsourcing arrangement that we announced last quarter. And as Jeff indicated, we are keeping our guidance of no more than 3% growth in this line during 2020, and we will expect to provide guidance in H1 around expense outlook for 2021 and beyond, as we continue our transformation program.

Second, I would highlight one small thing that we had in Q4 2019, a few small non-recurring adjustments in the tax provision line were just over CAD 1 million, and we would expect this line to be running closer to a 22.4% effective tax rate in future quarters. Moving to page 32, two quick comments on IGM's margins and fee rates. You can see net management and fee rates of 197.8 basis points in the quarter, continue the trend as expected. We do continue to see an increasing composition of high net worth clientele with our asset mix, and this is continued to impact the fee rate.

On asset-based comp, I give guidance for next year that as DSC, which we discontinued selling in 2016, but as the existing block continues to mature, we do see upward pressure in the asset-based comp rate and would expect this to be around 53-53.5 basis points during 2020. Offsetting that, on the right chart, the sales commission rate, which has been running at about 155 basis points, will be closer to 125 basis points throughout 2020. Moving to page 33, you can see the income statement for IG. Earnings before interest and taxes of CAD 206.3 million were up 19.9% from last year.

The only comments I'd have on this slide is to remind that net investment income and other, in Q4 2018-

... was depressed because of a few, a few fair value adjustments in the period, and the CAD 16.8 million recorded during Q4 2019 is more reflective of our run rate from this point on. I've also given a guidance earlier on non-cash expenses. They were down 4.8% in the quarter. Part of this was timing of expenditures in Q4 of 2018, and we have given our guidance for 2020 of keeping that within that 3% growth. On page 34, you can see Mackenzie's net revenue rate is stable, and this reflects continued strength in retail as well as a greater proportion of assets in equity products. And then moving to page 35, I just highlighted Mackenzie's income statement that we had earnings before interest and taxes of CAD 41.4 million.

This was up 16.9% from last year, and we do expect continued meaningful earnings growth in 2020, given the operating leverage inherent in the business and the continued growth we're seeing. That concludes my comments. I'll pass it back to Keith.

Keith Potter
Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, IGM Financial

Yeah, thank you, Luke. Melanie, we'll open up the line for calls.

Operator

Certainly. We will now take questions from the telephone lines. If you have a question and you're using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before making your selection. If you have a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If at any time you wish to cancel your question, please press the pound sign. Please press star one at this time if you have a question. There will be a brief pause for the participants register. Thank you for your patience.

Keith Potter
Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, IGM Financial

Melanie, is the line open?

Operator

I'm sorry, can you hear me now?

Keith Potter
Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, IGM Financial

Yeah, we can hear you. We have, we haven't been able to hear if there's been any questions.

Operator

Okay, I'm sorry. There must have been a problem with the sound. So if you're hearing me now, did you hear the instructions for the participants on how to queue up?

Keith Potter
Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, IGM Financial

No. If you could repeat, please.

Operator

Yes, certainly. I'll repeat the instructions. We will now take questions from the telephone lines. If you have a question and you're using a speakerphone, please lift up the handset before making your selection. If you have a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If at any time you wish to cancel your question, please press the pound sign. Please press star one at this time if you have a question. There will be a brief pause for the participants register. Thank you for your patience. The first question is from Geoff Kwan.

Speaker 10

Hi, good afternoon. Jeff, as we get closer to or making progress on this transformation, if we're having this conversation a year from now, I'm just wondering how you would define a successful 2020, whether or not there's certain milestones regarding the transformation, any sort of specific numerical metrics, as to how you kind of think about benchmarking 2020?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Yeah. I mean, we're excited about our momentum and the quality of the work we've done and the investments that we've made into our value proposition, obviously, with the Salesforce implementation, which is going really well, which is gonna scale our consultants and we'll have modern technology to be able to have better conversations with our clients and be on top of all of our information. And so we're really excited with that. That's already in motion, so that's being rolled out as we speak. We've got a great team working on it and working closely with Salesforce. From a product standpoint, there's lots of great things going on with our product shelf, and it's inspired our consultants by bringing in, you know, BlackRock and T. Rowe Price and other big manufacturers.

They've been taking advantage of those new products and sharing those with their clients as we go forward. But it's a lot. There's a lot going on behind the scenes that will be coming out in the months to come. But we definitely have momentum. We're landing some projects already, and we're excited about what that's gonna do to our value proposition.

Speaker 10

Okay. And then just on the retail side, at IG Wealth, do you feel comfortable that at some point in 2020, you'll be able to consistently get back into the positive flows?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Yeah, I'm feeling very good about this. I mean, unless something happens in the market in the next month, but we feel very good about the momentum we have. We've been building out for the RSP season, and we expect to get our share, and we're excited about that. And our teams are ready to go, and they're calling their clients and prospects, and so we expect to have a strong couple of months here.

Speaker 10

And then maybe, just my last question, dovetailing off of that, this commentary, because you, you talked about having a better RSP season, and it sounds like you're, you know, sounds like you've got some momentum into RSP season. Also curious as to Barry's comments, but when you take a look at it overall within the industry, like, given what we've seen in the industry in terms of improving overall flows, do you feel like it, it's gonna be kind of a normal-ish RSP season? Are you feeling, you know, this could be a more optimistic RSP season than usual?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

... Yeah, I think it's going to be above average. I think so, because we had a tough year, and then we sort of you know, had some balancing. And then now it's starting to get better again, and the markets are giving people confidence. And hopefully we'll have a long path of the markets behaving this way so that we can get through it. But we're optimistic. We think that there's a lot of opportunities for us to dislocate relationships with other providers, and we're going after all those opportunities. Our consultants are very excited about what's ahead of us. And with now having more capabilities to move around them, they feel more confident in going after those high-net-worth clients that we want.

We're seeing our significant growth in our high-net-worth area.

Speaker 10

Barry, your thoughts?

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

Same, same sentiments. You know, as we all know, when we came into the RSP season in 2019 from the market downturn of Q4 2018, it was -- the investor sentiment was the confidence was not there. And what was there was, you know, focused quite a bit on fixed income flows. So, this time around, and if we're a barometer reading Mackenzie, you probably noticed our Q4 in 2019 was quite strong. And we felt that coming back very nicely from a confidence perspective. And then, of course, this has just continued into January and mid-February, and the confidence, the momentum is right there. So, so much better year-over-year, certainly. And to Jeff's comment, probably, yeah, probably above average, you know.

We have a little ways to go here on the RSP season. As you know, us, Mackenzie, being a manufacturer, we tend to get RSP flows in March as well because, you know, the advisors are taking in deposits and made deployment in March. So we have three months to see how it is. We're feeling very, very, very good about that. And if I may, because you had a great question on the IG side about how you would define success for 2020. For us, as we indicated, we, for Mackenzie, we're having a good run here. We've had three consecutive years, our best three years on many, many measures. And so for success would be for that to continue into 2020.

We don't see why that would not. It could accelerate a little bit more in 2020 versus the prior two years, which would be a good thing. Lead with performance, lead with innovation, keep advisors, investors happy. You know, we'd like to see the flows come from multiple channels and multiple vehicles, mutual funds and ETFs, and nicely geographically dispersed across the country. And also, you know, having a number of our boutiques succeed. And so with that as well gives us some business diversification. So yeah, you know, overall, you know, but just to echo Jeff, just one proviso, you know, the markets are still remaining quite buoyant and confidence is there.

And, so, you know, if that takes a turn, then, I think we're all confident we'll gain market share, but that might, that might pull back some of the flows a bit, so.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The following question is from Gary Ho of Desjardins Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Gary Ho
Equity Research Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Thanks. Good afternoon. Just a question for Luke, just on the non-commission expense. You know, it has jumped around a bit from quarter to quarter. Luke, can you help us out in terms of timing of how, you know, this will trend in fiscal 2020? And also, can you provide a bit more color in terms of the Mackenzie number this quarter? It was quite a bit higher, CAD 92.6 million.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yeah. Sounds good, Gary. So, seasonality, you can expect it to be similar to 2019 going into 2020. We do have normal seasonality into Q1, with it high, and it does taper off, and then come back a bit in Q4, again, the seasonality of our business and our promotions. Mackenzie did have some severance in the fourth quarter. And so that's something that was in the results. But that said, we gave guidance for the full year and we're on overall. And so as far as Mackenzie into 2020, we're expecting 3% growth or better. And yeah, the seasonality should be in line with the history.

Gary Ho
Equity Research Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Can you quantify that one-time severance?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yeah, it was, it's approximately CAD 3 million.

Gary Ho
Equity Research Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Perfect. And then just related to this, just looking out maybe beyond 2020 and into 2021, is kind of 3% growth how we should think about this line item looking out?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

I'd say right now, Gary, so 3% or better is what we've put out there for 2020, and we're going to meet that. In the first half of 2020, we are expecting to give further guidance for 2021 and beyond. And we are working through our transformation program. We have a number of exciting opportunities to work on to improve client advisor experience, but also to run our business more effectively. So we'll have greater transparency to provide to all of our stakeholders later on this year. But we do expect before June to come out with that announcement of guidance for 2021 and beyond.

Gary Ho
Equity Research Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Got it. Okay, and then next question is going to the IG consultant count. It was down again three percent versus Q3. You know, I thought the tone from the last call that that's what's going to stabilize the level off. Just want to hear kind of what the plans are looking out. I just see offsetting this, you know, the consultant productivity; this did improve year-over-year.

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Yeah, it's Jeff. We're excited. We've got... historically, we've been an organic organization where we've brought in, you know, people from other-

... that came into our organization, and that's great. And but now we also are recruiting experienced consultants, and so we're seeing a lot of pickup on that. They like the culture of what we have, and they're really excited about being a part of IG Wealth. And so that's a new opportunity for us. And we're, you know, the talent that's coming in is generally from the bank, but others, other competitors as well. So I think you'll see that continue to go. And I said in a call before that we wanted to get to 2,000 in 2018, and that's still our goal. And we'll be working on that as we go forward.

So, but it'll take time obviously to get there, and which doesn't say do it in the first year, but it'll be done over time. But we still wanna hold the standards that we've done for new people coming in through the career path versus the opportunity to have them come from the industry. So I think you'll see a lot of good things coming out of that, and it'll elevate our proposition as well.

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

And Gary, so maybe I'd add too, just set expectations. The math of how we set up our field now with consultant practices, representing those practices over four years, I make two comments. One, we tightened our recruiting standards significantly. And so to get in that bucket requires, you know, a four-year graduation. And so over time, we're recruiting about 350 people per year, and we have the capacity to recruit more if they make the standard. But they do have to graduate in four years to get in that number. At the same time, we have natural attrition of people just retiring or otherwise leaving the industry, and their clientele is being reallocated to our existing practices. And Jeff said, those practices are focused on improving their productivity.

The average practice size right now is CAD 45 million, and there's a lot of room for upside here as we, as we cater to high net worth clientele. So, that's our focus, is productivity. And there is some math going on now, where there is normal attrition of people leaving the business or otherwise retiring, and we're only recruiting at a certain level. Now, one geographical comment to add to what Jeff said is right now on recruiting experienced advisors, we have been including them in the under four-year line. Next quarter, we are looking to reclassify them. Over the last 2 years, we've recruited just under 100 of those people. They are very productive. The survivorship is gonna be extremely high, obviously, given that they have experience.

We are targeting a little over 2,000, but there's that geographical issue that we have a very attractive proposition at IG, and for the first time ever for a number of reasons, we are able to attract experienced people to our platform, and we'll be providing greater transparency into that next quarter.

Gary Ho
Equity Research Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Okay, perfect. And then just last question for me. Obviously, you know, the model generates decent free cash flow. Just in the past, I know you have invested in Personal Capital, Wealthsimple, et cetera. Just looking at 2020, you know, what are your priorities for capital or free cash flow allocation? You know, will you look at buying back stock at these levels?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Right, we obviously feel our stock is a bargain. We always obviously always feel that way. We're very bullish on our future. We do feel that we've got a noticeable amount of excess capital, and we will be evaluating over the period, you know, how we deploy it. Share buybacks would be a consideration, and we're looking at a number of opportunities to really enhance our business. And we've tried to be clear with the things that would be attractive to us, whether it be expanding distribution reach or the product and service capabilities of our core firms.

So as the year unfolds, we'll give guidance on how we do deploy that capital, but more than anything, we do not look for it, just like you don't, to having it sit on our balance sheet, you know, unproductively.

Gary Ho
Equity Research Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Will you provide that in your Investor Day, perhaps?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Absolutely.

Gary Ho
Equity Research Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Okay, perfect. That's it for me. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The following question is from Graham Ryding of TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Hi, good afternoon. Just follow on the consultant conversation. You gave some color that you're recruiting experienced advisors as well as people sort of coming from different industries. For the advisors that are leaving IG, are they moving to other competitors or are they shifting out of the industry altogether into the mix?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

That, like, there's always people coming and going, it's humans. But there's no material thing going on there. It's just people are, you know, we're always recruiting, so is everybody else. But we've got a very stable consultant force.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Okay, got it. And then IG, just on the, the sales trend, it sounds like the, the improvement you're seeing on the high net worth side is, is not enough right now to offset the lower sales from the more mass market households. Is, is that the dynamic? And, and I guess why is it, why is it offsetting more, so you're not in a net sales positive level?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Yeah, it's just the math of you know, turning over the smaller accounts into larger accounts, and that's playing out as we go. So it takes a little bit of time. So it was a drag because we used to go after smaller accounts, and now we're not doing that anymore. So that's just rolling through, and that'll go away, and then our flows, our net flows will go up.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

And Graham, just on the strength of on page 16 and 17, Jeff walked through some of the highlights. The gross sales were up 6% in the quarter, but it was 27% to high net worth. And so right now that's 6% overall. As we're heading into 2020, we're now running at 20% up year-over-year, and that high net worth acquisition is really driving it. So we have worked through not taking on clients we shouldn't be taking on with under CAD 100,000. And so you've seen the headwind there, and we're doing that for the long-term health of the business. But the high net worth strategy is working, and we see a lot of momentum there. We tried to illustrate on some of these slides.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

So when I look at the sort of the market share of IG relative to the banks and the advice channel, is that why you're sort of giving up some market share because of that shift away from the mass market?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yeah, it's, and there's two elements to that, Graham. One is not taking on clients that traditionally we're taking on as we've changed our emphasis, and the other is not recruiting people who otherwise would make it in the business. And those people did used to bring in clientele, and most of the clientele were in that same segment. So that is a short-term headwind, but the long-term tailwind is happening with the high net worth improvement. The other thing we would guide is just around comparing us to the industry, the IG as a dealer. And one of the enhancements that Jeff walked through is that we will be more focused on giving disclosures around our AUA as opposed to our AUM.

Because that is really the measure of the clientele coming into our dealer.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

On that last bit, the fees that you get on the AUA, where does that flow through on the administration line in IG, or where do we see that?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

I think that's a question that we were expecting. It's with the announcement of the IG Advisory Account and the move to unbundled, we are now charging advisory fees on third-party business, and so we are enhancing our disclosures the next quarter. And I highlighted that on a few quarters previously on the call, that because the change in the character of our business, we will be changing our disclosures to better reflect the fact that we're charging our advisory fees, which is the largest component of our revenue, on products that go beyond our AUM.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Got it. So it's already in there right now, we're just- you're going to break it out?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Right now, it's and it's a good question. Right now, it's embedded to the extent that we have unbundled, it's embedded in the management fee line. Going forward, we will have a wealth management revenues line, and we'll provide the detailing of the advisory fee as opposed to the product program fee.

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

We're also fully transparent in our fees.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Understood. Okay. That's it for me. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The following question is from Tom MacKinnon of BMO Capital. Please go ahead.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Yeah, thanks. Good afternoon. Just asking further about the transition at IG Wealth and the impact on the flows. When you embarked on this movement more into high net worth, did you envision that the flows would suffer? And when will you declare victory in that, "Okay, now we have the platform that we want," and would there be a lag impact you would see on flows, like, after that? Like, how long before this transition in terms of your business, and then this transition in terms of flows would be expected?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Yeah, it's happening right now. Like, it's, we're just going through it, so it's, it won't take that long. But we're going through that process right now.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Is your plan to ultimately service only high net worth clients?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Yeah, clients over CAD 500,000. Exactly.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

When you embarked on this thing, did you envision this, this transition plan? Did you envision that it was going to hurt flows?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Yeah.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Okay, then maybe-

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

I mean, I've tried to say this on the calls many times, but we're competing against 500 now. I think that's where we're taking the model. That's why we're investing in all this technology and Salesforce and everything else, is, you know, we believe by having our every one of our consultants have a CFP, so that they can unlock the full potential of every one of our clients. And that's our whole strategy, and we're using the best resources globally to do it, including Salesforce and other suppliers, including BlackRock and others. And we're just the puzzle that puts it all together and using all of these incredible capabilities differentiates us from everybody else.

Then, our consultants are going to become much more productive as a result of that, and they'll be using the skills that they actually have that we're using for clients who are over CAD 100,000. Now they're doing it with millions and CAD 5 million and CAD 10 million dollar clients, because that's what their expertise is. And we think we can be the very best at that. And it's why I love this company from the day I came here, is that we're grounded in all the knowledge you need to unlock the full potential of every client. And we want to make sure, and I use this word, but it's we want to make sure there's no leakage in their savings.

So we want to be able to unlock every possible capability of how they can save for their families and what they're trying to achieve, or their charities or whatever else it is. And it's by making sure that you monetize the full potential of that client. And everybody wins, obviously, because if we do that, the client wins, which is the most important thing, and their families. The consultant certainly wins because they're monetizing the whole potential, so then they can be able to do that, and that'll drive their compensation. And obviously, the firm wins huge because we've already got a lot of clients on the books, and we're bringing in more clients now than we have historically in two ways.

taking consultants away from other firms, but also our ongoing organic growth of our consultants. You know, when we get that 2,000 teams, and they're all productive, and they're delivering that value proposition, I don't know how anyone beats us.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Well, I appreciate the color and the passion there. Luke, I think you mentioned something on slide 31 about tax guidance. Should we just expect the same kind of tax rate, or did I hear you mention something different?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yeah, right, right now, the effective tax rate was a little bit elevated this quarter because of some one-time items. So I just want to give that guidance that we're running closer to 22.4% in effective tax rate. So I want to make sure people are clear on that. And obviously, there's a few things that cause it to bounce around, including the proportionate share of equity account for investment. But I just want to give that guidance because it was a bit higher in the quarter.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

What is the guide for the tax rate then?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

22.3%-22.4%.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Yeah. Okay.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Quarter three.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Great. And then the last question is, you know, we saw your majority shareholder restructure, and, you know, they're working towards more of a financial services focus now, at least, somewhat of a change in strategy or a more focused strategy, looking at building out their alternative asset platforms as well. Is there any way that you guys see IGM fitting into that mix going forward, or is it just sort of business as usual for IGM, given the restructuring of your parent?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Is the question on the simplification of their structure, which we thought-

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Well, not necessarily simple, but then the more focus on financial services, is there any kind of way of, as they focus on alternative funds, is there anything that, is there any way that you guys benefit as a downstream company from that?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Obviously, we have ongoing conversations with all of our group companies and all the leaders and, you know, share what's going on, and if there's ways to partner with any of them, we're going to definitely have that opportunity. I know that there's some work being done on that, and there's certainly more demand for alternatives, and sort of liquid alternatives, which Mackenzie's already done a great job at. But we, we want to be in that space, too, and we want to be able to offer that to our consultants within IG Wealth because, you know, they're going to—the clients will demand it, and we want to make sure we have it.

Barry's got a great experience in that space and knows a lot about it, so we'll definitely be a big player in that space.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Yeah, but there hasn't been any specific discussions in terms of their revised strategy now with you guys at all, has there?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Well, for us, it's really, as IG Wealth, where we can hire anyone, right? So we can go and look and find places to go. But, you know, we've already got liquid alt, I'm sure Barry's looking at that space as well. And, you know, again, he's got a lot of experience in that space, so, we'll see how that plays out over time. But it's obviously, there's more demand for it. You can see the clients are asking for it, and, so, you know, we want to be a big part of it.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Great. Okay.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

If I can add,

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Yeah.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

To Jeff's comments, you know, just independent of that, as he mentioned, the alternative space is obviously very large and growing very fast globally. And we've been trying at Mackenzie, from a manufacturer perspective, to continue to monitor trends globally that may or may not come to Canada. You've obviously seen us build an organic ETF platform quite successfully. We've launched a number of socially responsible investing funds now that are growing very, very nicely. And then in the alternative space, obviously, we've launched and are focused quite a bit on the liquid alts side because that's sort of how the individual investor can access these return patterns.

But we're always watching and looking and, you know, assessing the attractiveness of the alternative space, independent, you know, of our parent company, because it as a full service asset management company, it's an area that, you know, we need to monitor and evaluate, and we'll, you know, we'll get to that, I think, over time.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, BMO Capital

Okay. Thank you.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, please press star one at this time if you have a question. The following question is from Scott Chan of Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Good afternoon. On your 2020 SG&A 3% or better guide, you know, if you look at an IGM and Mackenzie platform in isolation, is there one of the platforms where you're spending more, say, on the IG transformation plan?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yeah, good question, Scott. So right now it's clearly at IG. So a lot of the things we're embarking on, then let's just start with the move to unbundled, and that's accompanied with the migration of all of our clientele to our nominee platform, our dealer platform. So that's been a lot of work. That's been over six years, and especially the last two, that will have been CAD 140 million program. And we're just nearing the completion of it in the coming few months.

So that's been a lot of investment, and it really does not only enhance the products that we'll bring to market and the ability to have a fee-based account, but it really does enhance the advisor client experience. And we're so pleased that that migration could be done mid-2020. On top of that, the advisor portal with Salesforce was another big investment for the IG network to really accelerate their relationship with the clients. And another big investment beyond the brand relaunch and enhanced marketing was the financial well-being score, and all the work around helping to quantify on a 100-point scale, you know, how optimized our clientele's financial well-being is.

And we believe that's industry leading. So those have been some of the key things that we've been working on at IG specifically. And then on top of that is all the transformation work around IGM's operation. And we've planted a number of flags over the last few quarters, and giving you updates on that. And there is more in the works, as Mike Dibden and all of us are working on bringing that five-year transformation program to life, and really realizing all those opportunities to outsource or automate, and really drive efficiency.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Barry- Oh, go ahead.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Go ahead.

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

Well, let me add Mackenzie perspective, sure. And so we're, you know, Mackenzie, feeling good about our ongoing investments we're making in the business to remain relevant ahead of the curve. We've, you've probably seen us launch the new products, 'cause it's all about innovation and attracting scale. So we've been launching 2, 3 years now, again, ETFs and SRI and liquid alternatives. We've announced late last year the formation of a dedicated alternatives team under Michael Schnitman. We announced also a dedicated SRI team under Fate Saghir. A lot of work we're doing with our Chinese partners, the ChinaAMC. We continue to expand our distribution, retail distribution, and our institutional distribution.

So that's not been a constraint for us at all to do that. Looking at more digital wholesaling in Canada, using more data and more virtual digital applications and approach to enhance productivity of our wholesalers. So yeah, it's for us, it's the ongoing investments of the organization at Mackenzie and the firm to remain relevant and continue to fuel this nice trajectory, and we think multi-year momentum that we're part of. That some of the investments aren't as significant and transformational as our IG partners. But as Luke mentioned, there's the IGM transformation, outsourcing of fund services and other aspects. That benefits all the operating companies within IGM, including Mackenzie, and obviously IG and others. So thanks for the question.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Barry, just on the institutional side, the CAD 1 billion that's unfunded, can you give us a flavor of what asset classes that might have been in?

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

Yeah. What we're happy with is that we're getting a nice variety. We don't mind getting a billion plus in one strategy anytime, but we're actually, it's been a combination of emerging market equities, global fixed income, U.S. long, short, in the alternative space, and global equities. So, it's a nice variety. We've got... So the pipeline's strong, the pipeline's strong. We expect, you know, more wins, in the next little while, which we'll announce for you, but those are all wins announced. And as you know, in the institutional world, then you, you want to start to show you the pipeline in terms of formal approved wins, and then there's the funding period, where you have to onboard those assets.

So what we'll do going forward, which we've done last several calls, now say: Here's what the wins are, and here's how much is funded, here's how much is unfunded. So for instance, CAD 200 million of that came in January. And so we announced that in our flows in January, so we've got so we still have over, over CAD 1 billion unfunded wins that are coming in Q2 and Q3.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Do you think that the strong pipeline can offset just the general headwinds on the institutional side, including at Mackenzie, in terms of?

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

Yeah

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

turning into positive flows?

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

So you raise, if you don't mind, you raise a good topic in terms of definition of institutional. So, we probably should parse it up into two, two categories, and which, which we do because we have an institutional team. And they go after... One group are, you know, Canadian platforms, dealers, et cetera, and the bank platforms and others, who are very sophisticated, consumers, and they actually evaluate and hire managers with an institutional lens. We call it institutional, sub-advisory, let's call that. And then there's the pure, it's called the traditional institutional, which we're also winning in. Where those are pension plans and the investment consultants who are very influential in those buying decisions with their clients. And those are in Canada, but also outside Canada, U.S. and Europe, also.

So don't want to confuse the issue, but we could parse that out going forward, but those are two types of institutional wins. It is common for managers to classify institutional business to include both sub-advisory as well as the traditional pension plan and endowments, foundations, sovereign wealth fund type of wins. So we

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

And, uh-

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

we only categorize it as one whole, so.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Yeah, definitely. Out of those two, which one is, you know, kind of in more demand at Mackenzie? I assume it's the former, the sub-advisory into the bigger institutions?

Barry McInerney
President and CEO, Mackenzie Investments

Yeah, I mean, you know, they're both, we're winning in both. I mean, again, it's not we're very focused, like we're not, we're not out there, you know, trying to be machine gun, looking at all of our strategies. There are very handful selective institutional quality strategies from our boutiques that we're marketing. And we've been actually successful right now in both of those categories. The latter one has been just recently. We've been building that out hard to get out there and consultants get on their radar screen and get on long list, get on short list. The sales cycle is quite long. So we're getting some nice traction there. Still early days, and it's very focused.

But yeah, the former is the one that also is; it's been growing nicely for us with some advisory, and it has been across multiple mandates.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

And just last question for Jeff. In your opening remarks, you talked about, you know, we've seen the best equity markets in 2019 since the credit crisis. But yet your EPS was CAD 3.19, and the prior year was CAD 3.29. So how do we kind of think of kind of growth during this transition at IGM, earnings growth?

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Of earnings or growth?

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Earnings growth.

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Oh, yeah, well, that's. We're all here for that. So, yeah, we're excited about our value propositions, as I said. You know, it's we got to print, like, at the end of the day, you'll have to see how we do. But, I can't give you forward-looking results here, so I'm not going to go there. But, you know, we've put a lot over the last three or four years into IG Wealth to make it, you know, the leader in the industry. And, you know, the value proposition is we've told you about the clients that we're going after, and we're getting traction, and our consultants are getting more confidence. And so, the momentum is building.

You'll judge us every quarter, and we'll see how we do, but we believe that we were going to have a long run here, because of the value proposition, but also because of the quality of our team and the consultants that we have.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, thanks.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

There's a lot of, a lot of operating leverage here. I would highlight with the 2019 remark. Average assets were only up 3%, a result of the timing of equity markets coming down in Q4 2018 and then coming back up.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Right.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

So there's a lot of lift going into 2020. And with the fixed cost base, there is just a ton of operating leverage to the business, and we're here for double-digit earnings growth, and that's what we hold ourselves accountable to.

Scott Chan
Managing Director, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, got it. Have a nice weekend, long weekend.

Jeff Carney
President and CEO, IG Wealth Management and IGM Financial

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The following question is from Graham Ryding of TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Hi, I'll try to be brief. Two follow-up questions. Just, Luke, on you threw out some numbers, just want to make sure I heard them correctly. Asset-based rate is going up from 52 to 53 or 53.5 basis points. Is that right?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yeah, that's right.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

And then the other one you said, I think, was the sales-based commission rate was dropping down?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yeah, that's right. So we're still going through that. So we discontinued DSC in 2016, so we still have some legacy DSC on the books. As the DSC continues to mature, asset-based comp goes up at that time. And so that's going to continue to go up. At the same time, sales-based compensation is coming down, and so that'll be about 125 basis points next year, and you have the right numbers for the asset-based guidance we gave.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

And that compares to that sales-based rate?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

Yes.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

About 156 this year?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

5, so it'd be closer to 125.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Yeah. Okay. And then, and then my last question is, do you guys provide any numbers, or have you talked to about sort of the number of households that your consultants are servicing that are greater than 500,000, relative to the number of households that are less than 100,000, and sort of how that's evolving?

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

The best disclosure we have is the, we've obviously provided, rich disclosure on the component of our sales that are high net worth solutions versus not. And we have given the share of our assets that also, relate to those different client segments. So and, and that's, that's the level which we'll continue to do that. The other thing we've done in our investor, materials is, is to actually show our market share in each of those, those segments. And, and so in the, what we call the mass affluent, being CAD 100,000-CAD 1,000,000, our, our share is 5% of all Canadian savings.

Where in the, we call- what we call high net worth, as opposed to ultra high net worth, the CAD 1 million-CAD 10 million category, our, our share of Canadian savings is 2%, and that's where we're focused. We know that our, our financial planning is, is most suited to those with complicated needs. And as Jeff said, we, we believe we're, we're the best at it. And, and so that's, that's where we're focused, is building our share in those categories. And, and we will help to, to furnish you with transparency into, to where our flows are coming from and, and growing.

Right now, as you've seen, we have really moved our practices not to emphasize households with under CAD 100,000, unless they have the character that they are going to grow into a client with more complicated needs. So you see that headwind, which is a near-term phenomenon, and we're still pleased with the success we're seeing and actually seeing that amplification of acquisition of high net worth clientele, because that's where our strategy is about.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Okay.

Luke Gould
Executive Vice President and CFO, IGM Financial

So, said another way, we're now at 58% of our sales activity going to high net worth solutions, and we're also over 50% of our assets sitting with high net worth clientele. And that's going to be the continuation of the trend.

Graham Ryding
Senior Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Okay, that helps. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions registered at this time. I'd like to turn the meeting back over to Mr. Potter.

Keith Potter
Treasurer and Head of Investor Relations, IGM Financial

Thank you, Melanie, and thanks for those joining the call today. Wish everyone a good weekend, and with that, I'll close the call.

Operator

Thank you. The conference has now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.

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