Kinross Gold Corporation (TSX:K)
Canada flag Canada · Delayed Price · Currency is CAD
39.25
-0.62 (-1.56%)
Sep 18, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q3 2020

Nov 5, 2020

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Kinross Gold Corporation third quarter 2020 results conference call and webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker for today, Mr. Tom Elliott, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead, sir.

Tom Elliott
SVP of Investor Relations and Corporate Development, Kinross Gold

Thank you. Good morning. With us today, we have Paul Rollinson, President and CEO, and the Kinross senior leadership team, Andrea Freeborough, Paul Tomory, and Geoff Gold. Before we begin, I'd like to bring to your attention the fact that we will be making forward-looking statements during this presentation. For a complete discussion of the risks, uncertainties, and assumptions which may lead to actual results and performance being different from estimates contained in our forward-looking information, please refer to page two of this presentation, our news release dated November fourth, 2020, MD&A for the period ending September 30th, 2020, and our most recently filed AIF, all of which are available on our website. I'll now turn the call over.

Paul Rollinson
President and CEO, Kinross Gold

Thanks, Tom, and thank you all for joining us today. I'd like to start by acknowledging all of our employees who have worked very hard to help us deliver another strong quarter in what continues to be a challenging environment caused by the ongoing pandemic. The safety of our employees, their families, and our host communities is, and always will be, our first priority. This morning, I'm pleased to report that Kinross delivered strong Q3 results and remains on track to meet our full-year guidance for the ninth consecutive year. This morning, you will hear how our company is technically strong with an excellent operational track record and is delivering very strong free cash flow with an attractive yield. Before turning the call over to Andrea for a financial review and to Paul for an operating review, I will comment briefly on the quarter and a few notable developments.

All of the company's operations performed well during the quarter, and we are pleased with the significant growth we have achieved in margins, earnings, and free cash flow. Once again, our three largest mines, Paracatu, Kupol-Dvoinoye, and Tasiast, accounted for 60% of total production and delivered among the lowest costs in the portfolio. During the quarter, our commitment to continuous improvement again delivered tangible results. Our margin per ounce increased 60% compared with last year, outpacing the 30% increase in the average realized gold price. This translated into a robust growth in free cash flow, which was approximately $330 million in Q3, our highest quarter in some time. As a result, our investment-grade balance sheet was further strengthened, and we finished the quarter with over $900 million in cash after fully repaying our revolver during Q3. Kinross had several notable accomplishments during the quarter.

In August, we released our sustainability report highlighting the company's strong record on ESG, which you can find a link to in last night's press release. On September 17th, we announced the following. First, our intention to repay the remaining balance on our revolver, which we have now done. Second, the reinstatement of our 2020 guidance and the introduction of a multiyear production guidance to 2023, which is expected to increase by 20% to approximately 2.9 million ounces over this timeframe. Third, the reinstatement of our quarterly dividend, which is a direct reflection of our operational success, financial strength, and strong outlooks. During the quarter, we also completed the acquisition of a 70% interest in the Peak project in Alaska. This transaction demonstrates our ability to find high-return, low-capital opportunities that leverage our existing infrastructure and technical expertise.

Finally, two weeks ago, we hosted an operations update that provided additional detail on our recent three-year production guidance and also provided visibility into our extensive pipeline of projects that we expect will sustain our production through the end of this decade. As you can see, it's been a very busy few months for us, and we are pleased to have delivered on a number of positive updates during the quarter. I'll now turn the call over to Andrea for a more detailed review of the financial results.

Andrea Freeborough
CFO, Kinross Gold

Thanks, Paul. I'll begin with a few financial highlights from the quarter, touch on capital expenditures, end by commenting on our balance sheet. During Q3, we produced approximately 603,000 attributable gold equivalent ounces and sold approximately 589,000 oz at an average cost of sales of $737 per oz and an All-In Sustaining Cost of $958 per oz. As expected, production had increased throughout the year, with the third quarter being the strongest year- to- date. We expect this trend to continue into Q4. We're pleased with our production and cost performance, which despite COVID-19 related challenges, continue to track within our guidance. Paul commented earlier on the increase in our margins outpacing the increase in gold price.

I will add that our AISC margin, which increased by $511 per oz to $950, also outpaced the $441 increase in our average realized gold price compared to the prior year, a testament to our disciplined cost control. We sold approximately 15,000 oz fewer than we produced, mainly as a result of the timing lag at Bald Mountain. The lag on timing of sales is not uncommon at Bald Mountain, and it is expected to even out over time. Our adjusted EPS of $0.25 and adjusted operating cash flow per share of $0.44 were both up significantly compared to the third quarter last year, due to strong operating performance and higher gold prices. These adjusted figures exclude approximately $17 million of COVID related costs during Q3, which was down from approximately $23 million in Q2. These costs are primarily driven by quarantine measures taken at sites.

As long as quarantining is necessary, these costs will persist. Adjusted operating cash flow increased to $550 million from $295 million last year. As Paul mentioned earlier, free cash flow for the quarter was approximately $330 million, demonstrating continued growth in free cash flow throughout the year. We expect free cash flow to remain strong in Q4. Capital expenditures during the quarter were $212 million, which was roughly in line with Q2 expenditures. CapEx for the first nine months was approximately $618 million. We expect our CapEx spend in Q4 to be the highest of the year, and we still expect to finish 2020 within our guidance range of $900 million ±5%.

As previously stated, our slower pace of spending so far this year has been mainly related to delays in capital stripping at Tasiast, which has been impacted by COVID-related constraints on the movement of personnel, and also by the strike at site earlier in the year. Following another quarter of strong results and strong free cash flow, at September 30th, we had $934 million of cash and cash equivalents. This is after our purchase of the 70% interest in the Peak project for $94 million and after repaying the $750 million on our revolver. We've now fully repaid our revolver, which reflects a couple of key factors. One, the substantial free cash flow we're generating, combined with our strong operational outlook, has us well positioned from an available cash standpoint.

Two, while we recognize we'll be living with various pandemic related risks for some time, we're increasingly comfortable with the overall operating and financial environment globally. As of the end of September, our total debt was just over $1.9 billion, and our trailing 12-month net debt to EBITDA ratio improved once again and is now close to 0.5 x. At current gold prices, we expect to be approaching zero net debt at the end of 2021. Finally, as you know, we announced the reinstatement of our dividend during the quarter, with the board approving a plan to pay quarterly dividends of $0.03 per share going forward. This new dividend plan amounts to an annual payout of approximately $150 million and fits well within our financial capacity.

In summary, we're comfortable with Kinross's liquidity position, and we believe we have a strong base to continue funding our business in the current environment. I'll now turn the call over to Paul Tomory.

Paul Tomory
EVP and CTO, Kinross Gold

Thanks very much, Andrea. As Paul Rollinson mentioned, we hosted the detailed operations update a couple of weeks ago, and as such, I'll focus on our Q3 results today and won't go through any new detailed updates on our projects and exploration. As always, though, we'll be happy to take additional questions you may have on those topics. First, I'll spend a few minutes providing a brief update on COVID related topics, and then I'll give a brief summary of how the operations are performing. Broadly speaking, our portfolio of operations continues to manage very well through COVID-19. We acted early and took important measures that have allowed us to minimize the impacts of our business, and we continue to adjust to the new normal. To date, we've not experienced any material negative impacts and remain on track to achieve our guidance for the year on both operations and projects.

As Paul indicated, our three biggest mines continued their strong performance and accounted for 60% of Q3 production with a combined cost of sales just below $650 per oz. While still attractive, costs at the big three were up slightly compared with Q2, largely due to Paracatu. It was once again our largest producer and continues to deliver strong results. However, production decreased by approximately 8,000 ounces over the previous quarter. Lower production was a result of lower throughput during the quarter because of planned maintenance, and recoveries were also slightly lower as a result of anticipated changes in ore characteristics, but once again, in line with our overall plan in the technical report. Production is expected to improve as we move into higher grade ore in the fourth quarter and into next year. Costs were up compared with last quarter due to the lower throughput and lower recovery.

Turning to Russia, Kupol and Dvoinoye delivered another excellent quarter with cost of sales below $550 per oz, the lowest in the portfolio. Production was largely in line with last quarter, however, reduced mining activity at Dvoinoye and favorable foreign exchange rates drove cost of sales down just below $550 per oz, the lowest level in two and a half years. As we said on October 20th, we're very pleased with our exploration results in Russia and our ability to extend mine life at Kupol. Tasiast had a good quarter operationally as mining rates continued to ramp up and production improved with record mill grades and higher throughput. Production of 46,000 oz for the month of August was a record at Tasiast. Following the strike and COVID-related impacts early in the year, mining rates are now near back to full capacity.

However, as a result of these issues, approximately 100,000 oz of production is expected to be deferred from 2021 to 2022. Turning to our U.S. operations, which delivered an excellent quarter of higher production and lower cost at all three sites. At Fort Knox, we're very pleased with the results achieved during the quarter and are happy to say we expect a continuation of strong results going forward. It delivered a 30% increase in mill throughput compared with Q2, and despite slightly lower grades, production and costs both improved substantially. These are due to several factors. We've opportunistically lowered the cut-off grade, which is allowing us to economically send more ore to the mill that would have previously gone to leach pad, and of course, achieving higher recoveries.

We caught up on the mine plan following a period of very challenging weather, and we've also seen some positive reconciliation in the current mining zones. We're also pleased to say that the work on the infrastructure and processing facilities components of the Gilmore project have now been substantially completed on time and slightly under budget, with first ore stacked on the new Barnes Creek heap leach pad in October. At Round Mountain, production was in line with Q2, with cost of sales decreasing mainly due to lower contractor costs. While at Bald Mountain, both production and costs improved slightly compared with the second quarter and the operation is performing in line with our expectations from a technical perspective. Concluding with Ghana, at Chirano, throughput improved compared with Q2, as some unplanned downtime at the process plant last quarter was resolved.

Costs increased approximately $40 per oz due to higher milling costs. At Chirano, like Kupol, we are very happy with our exploration success this year and are optimistic about continued mine life extensions. To wrap up on operations and projects, our priorities continue to be focusing on the health and safety of our employees, particularly during this pandemic period, delivering strong, consistent operating results, and delivering our projects on time and on budget. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Paul.

Paul Rollinson
President and CEO, Kinross Gold

Thank you, Paul. I want to reiterate my gratitude to our employees, suppliers, communities, and host governments, who have all continued to work together to help us stay safe and productive. As a result of everyone's hard work, all of our sites are operating, and our projects continue to advance on time and on budget. Notwithstanding COVID, our business remains very well-positioned. Our commodity prices and currencies are favorable. We have an attractive global portfolio of operations coupled with a robust pipeline of projects and exploration opportunities. We have a proven track record for operational excellence and project execution, and we continue to build on that record across all of our geographies. We continue to grow our free cash flow and further strengthen our balance sheet.

With these characteristics, we are in great shape to continue to drive meaningful value creation and share price appreciation over the coming quarters and years. With that, operator, I'd now like to open up the call to questions.

Operator

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, you will need to press star one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster.

Paul Rollinson
President and CEO, Kinross Gold

Crickets.

Operator

Your first question comes on the line of Carey MacRury with Canaccord Genuity.

Carey MacRury
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Hi, good morning, everyone. Congrats on a good quarter there. Just a question on the CapEx. It looks like you're sort of tracking under your guidance for the year. I'm just wondering, should we be expecting a pickup in Q4?

Andrea Freeborough
CFO, Kinross Gold

Hi, Carey, it's Andrea. Yeah, we've typically picked up CapEx. It has picked up in the past in Q4, and we do expect that this year as well. One of the reasons for the slowdown has been stripping at Tasiast, and that's getting back up to our planned rate.

Carey MacRury
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Any other-

Andrea Freeborough
CFO, Kinross Gold

We do expect to come in within our guidance of $900 million ±5%.

Carey MacRury
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Do you think it'll be the sort of the lower end of that range, or?

Andrea Freeborough
CFO, Kinross Gold

We're just sticking with that range. It'll be within the range.

Paul Tomory
EVP and CTO, Kinross Gold

Carey, just to give you some numbers on that, stripping at Tasiast in Q3 was around $50 million. We're looking at nearly a double on that in Q4. We've commenced works on the power plant at Tasiast, which is a pretty big dollar item. Tasiast will drive a pretty big step up.

Carey MacRury
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

I guess in the MD&A, you talked about intermittent power issues at Tasiast. Is that a resolved issue, or is that something that's going to carry forward into Q4?

Paul Tomory
EVP and CTO, Kinross Gold

No, it's resolved. It was one of the impacts to throughput. Just to take a step back, two of the impacts to throughput at Tasiast were one is more than anticipated downtime because we didn't have enough people at site at various times due to COVID-related travel impacts. There was some pretty extreme wind and rain events. Believe it or not, rain at Tasiast. We do periodically get big rain events and some downtimes on the mill as a result of that.

Carey MacRury
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Maybe one last one from me, just on other operating costs. I know the guidance at the start of the year was around $100 million. I think half of that is due to care and maintenance costs in Chile and Kettle River. Wondering how that should evolve going forward. Presumably, I guess when La Coipa comes up, does that take care of some of that? That's more related to American Rare, I suppose.

Andrea Freeborough
CFO, Kinross Gold

Yeah. Well, first I'll just comment on the guidance. The guidance was $100 million at the start of the year, and we've increased that to $140 million, which is really related to the additional COVID costs that we've been seeing this year. In terms of care and maintenance, we're just in our budgeting process now, so we'll come out with our guidance for 2021 early next year.

Carey MacRury
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

I guess just philosophically, should care and maintenance come down at some point in time? It seems like a pretty heavy run rate. Is that too much?

Paul Rollinson
President and CEO, Kinross Gold

You're probably right. I guess, Carey, why don't just leave that with us? We'll take it from there. We haven't updated that at this point, but directionally, I see where you're coming from.

Paul Tomory
EVP and CTO, Kinross Gold

At American Rare, we are working on the optimized plan there for the next several years. One of the focus there is on reducing ongoing costs.

Carey MacRury
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, great. That's it for me. Thanks, guys.

Paul Rollinson
President and CEO, Kinross Gold

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, you'll need to press star one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. There appears to be no questions at this time.

Paul Rollinson
President and CEO, Kinross Gold

Okay. Well, thank you, Leshana. Thank you, operator, and thanks, everyone, for joining us this morning. We look forward to catching up with you in the coming weeks. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.