MDA Space Ltd. (TSX:MDA)
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Apr 28, 2026, 12:12 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q2 2023

Aug 11, 2023

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to MDA's conference call and webcast. This call is being recorded on August 11, 2023 at 11:00 A.M. Eastern Time. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question- and- answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time for you to queue up for questions. If anyone has difficulties hearing the conference, please press star followed by zero for the operator assistance at any time. I'd now like to turn the call over to Shereen Zahawi, Senior Director of Investor Relations at MDA.

Shereen Zahawi
Senior Director of Investor Relations, MDA Space

Thank you, operator. Good morning, welcome to MDA's Q2 2023 Earnings Call. Mike Greenley, our CEO, and Vito Culmone, our CFO, will lead today's call and share some prepared remarks before taking your questions. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that today's call will include estimates and other forward-looking information which may differ from actual results. Please review the cautionary language in today's press release and public filings regarding various factors, assumptions, and risks that could cause actual results to differ. In addition, during this call, we will refer to certain non-IFRS financial measures. Although we believe these measures provide useful supplemental information about our financial performance, these measures do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS, and our approach in calculating these measures may differ from that of other issuers and therefore may not be directly comparable.

Please see the company's quarterly report and other public filings for more information about these measures, including reconciliations to the nearest IFRS measures. With that, it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Mike.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thank you, Shereen. Good morning, and thank you to those joining us today to discuss our second quarter 2023 financial results. The team delivered another strong quarter in Q2 with double-digit revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, solid profitability, and robust operating cash flow generation. As we wrap up the first half of the year, we are off to a solid start. I'd like to thank and acknowledge the entire MDA team for their hard work and dedication, which helped drive these impressive results. As we look across our end markets, we continue to see healthy demand trends driving an expanded opportunity funnel in the space sector, boding well for MDA and our future growth. This morning, we announced that MDA has been selected as the prime satellite contractor for Telesat Lightspeed, Telesat's low Earth orbit satellite constellation.

Valued at approximately CAD 2.1 billion, MDA's contract includes the design, manufacture, assembly, and test of 198 satellites and options for Telesat to purchase up to 100 additional satellites. We're excited to partner with Telesat to leverage the world-leading talent and technology of both teams to bring the Telesat Lightspeed mission to life. This award, our second as prime satellite contractor in the past 18 months, following the Globalstar award early last year, showcases our ability to leverage MDA's strategic investments in our new digital satellite product portfolio and the advanced manufacturing capability to deliver significant cost and schedule benefits to the Telesat Lightspeed program. As a result of the strong execution through 2023 and the addition of the Telesat Lightspeed program, we are raising our guidance for 2023.

We now expect full-year 2023 revenues to be $785 million-$810 million, an increase of approximately 25% year-over-year at the midpoint of guidance. We are also increasing our adjusted EBITDA guidance to $155 million-$165 million, representing approximately 19%-20% adjusted EBITDA margin. For the full year, we expect capital expenditures to be $200 million-$220 million, primarily reflecting growth investments across our business areas. In line with our long-term strategic plan, we continue to invest in the business to meet current and future growth, leveraging our strong operating cash flow to fund Chorus, our next-generation Earth observation constellation, as well as other growth initiatives in our satellite systems and robotics businesses.

In satellite systems, we are continuing to make investments in new technologies and capabilities to accelerate our transition from analog to digital payloads and building up our high-volume satellite manufacturing capability as more low-Earth orbit, or LEO, constellation opportunities come to market. The Telesat award is another tangible example of how we are strengthening and securing MDA's position at the heart of the rapidly growing LEO constellation and satellite systems market. Other notable wins there include the Globalstar award, where MDA was selected as a prime contractor and is now executing the development of 17 LEO satellites to support satellite direct-to-handset functionality, as well as our multiple projects and repeat orders supporting the U.S. Space Development Agency's LEO constellations.

In robotics and space operations, we are leveraging our global leadership in space robotics innovation and long history of success with Canadarm to win follow-on space agency work, most notably securing the award to develop the Canadarm3 robotic arm, which is destined for NASA's Gateway, a lunar-orbiting International Space Station. In our Geointelligence business, we continue to see robust demand for our Earth observation data and analytics and are advancing work on MDA's next-generation Earth observation constellation, Chorus, which will provide even greater imaging capabilities and actionable insights for our customers.

I'll now quickly step through the financial highlights for the quarter, give you a view on the industry, an update on our three business areas, and then pass it to Vito for a deep dive on the financials. For the second quarter, MDA delivered revenues of $196 million, up 27% year-over-year. adjusted EBITDA was $40 million, up 16% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.6%. We generated $39 million in operating cash flow, which was reinvested in the business to drive current and future growth. Our backlog at quarter end stood at $1.1 billion, a healthy level for the company, driven by sizable awards in 2022. That $1.1 billion backlog figure does not include the Telesat Lightspeed award, which was announced post-quarter end.

We ended the quarter with a healthy balance sheet, which gives us the financial flexibility to run the business and invest in our strategic initiatives. This was another strong quarter, where our team has done a tremendous job of supporting our customers and capitalizing on market opportunities as they emerge. Next, I'd like to update you on developments within the broader space market. Taking our customary tour around the world, a few items worth highlighting. South of the border, we continue to see good activity levels from NASA to advance civil programs, including those related to Artemis and lunar exploration. On the defense side, the Space Development Agency is progressing multiple LEO constellations, including the Transport and Tracking Layers, building the foundation for an enhanced space infrastructure to secure national interests and resulting in repeat orders for core technology suppliers like MDA.

Closer to home, the Canadian Space Agency recently announced new funding to support advanced research and development in space and help build a successful space ecosystem here in Canada. These initiatives build on the Government of Canada's earlier announcement this year to commit CAD 2.3 billion in funding to continue Canada's participation in the International Space Station, and to develop and contribute a Lunar Utility Vehicle to support astronauts on the moon. Globally, we are seeing more countries express an active interest in space exploration. Argentina, Ecuador, India, Spain, and the Czech Republic were the latest countries to sign on to NASA's Artemis Accords, signaling their national commitment to safe, long-term, and ethical space exploration. These latest entries bring the group size to 28 nations now.

The Artemis Accords, which was unveiled in October 2020, to align nations on a common set of principles for space exploration, has more than tripled in size since 2020, with interest from many non-traditional space-faring nations, which are now building their own national space programs. All of this activity bodes well for MDA and our future opportunity funnel, which we would characterize as very healthy. I'll turn to our three business areas. In satellite systems, we are seeing good momentum in this market, with our teams working to advance multiple requests for communication satellite solutions and a growing number of constellation projects, particularly in the low Earth orbit segment of the market. Our opportunity funnel remains strong, and we are seeing good activity level from our customers. In Q2, we announced an award from L3Harris Technologies as part of the Space Development Agency's Tranche 1 Tracking Layer program.

Our contract with L3Harris will see MDA design and build 14 flight sets of Ka-band steerable antennas and control electronics for L3Harris as part of SDA's LEO constellation. The antennas and control electronics will be designed, built, assembled, and tested at MDA's state-of-the-art, high-volume satellite production facility in Montreal. This latest win builds on our earlier work with L3Harris and is aligned with our strategy of growing our presence south of the border with U.S.-based customers and ensuring we are well-positioned to secure follow-on opportunities on future SDA LEO constellations, supporting space security and communication satellites. As I noted previously, subsequent to quarter end, we announced an expanded role on the Telesat Lightspeed program.

The approximately $2.1 billion contract will see MDA act as prime satellite contractor, responsible for the design, manufacture, assembly, and test of 198 satellites, again, at MDA's high-volume satellite manufacturing facilities in Montreal. Additionally, with this contract, Telesat becomes the anchor customer for MDA's new and industry-leading digital satellite product. The fully integrated portfolio includes a complete range of modular digital products and components for space-based communication solutions, coupled with advanced high-volume manufacturing capability, capable of delivering two satellites a day in full rate production, helping dramatically to reduce production costs and schedules for our customers. Moving to other notable programs, the team continues to make good progress on advancing the detailed design phase for the Globalstar program, currently performing unit level and subsystem critical design reviews, to be followed by satellite critical design review.

The Globalstar program, MDA was selected as the satellite prime contractor to enhance Globalstar's LEO constellation through the addition of 17 satellites. This program award is aligned with our strategy to expand our offerings and position MDA as prime integrator for LEO constellations, providing advanced payload capabilities and systems engineering, as well as high-volume manufacturing. Moving to our Geointelligence business, customer demand for our Earth observation offerings remains robust, and we are seeing increased recognition of the role that commercial EO satellites can play to provide near real-time data and analytics to governments and private enterprise. During the quarter, we made two announcements related to our Geointelligence business. MDA was awarded a two-year contract with up to three optional years with the Government of Canada to help counter illegal, unregulated, and unreported fishing in the Indo-Pacific region.

By utilizing our Maritime Insights platform, we are able to leverage MDA's world-renowned RADARSAT-2 synthetic aperture radar and combine it with multiple satellite data sources to track and identify IUU fishing activity, including dark vessel detection, creating a powerful asset for combating illegal fishing. In Q2, we also announced that we are teaming with Thoth Technology to create a sovereign, made-in-Canada, deep space radar surveillance and space domain awareness capability. MDA's commercial data services will be integrated with Thoth's ground-based radar technology to provide unprecedented levels of sovereign monitoring and deep space over Canada, providing both detection and characterization of space objects. This type of collaboration is a natural fit for MDA. We also continue to advance work on our next-generation Earth observation constellation, Chorus, which will include a fourth-generation MDA-built C-band SAR satellite in addition to the X-band satellite.

During the quarter, we conducted the payload critical design review, and the team continues to advance unit and subsystem-level work for the platform, payload, and bus avionics, as well as building the ground segment subsystems and detailing constellation operation plans and processes. We are also seeing good response from the customer engagement as existing and new customers gain a better appreciation of the enhanced functionality and features that Chorus brings. We are looking forward to hosting our global customer community at the MDA Earth Insights event in October, where we'll discuss our latest technology developments and product plans. In terms of other notable programs, work on the Canadian Surface Combatant program, or CSC, one of our long-term government programs, continues to progress in line with our expectations.

Recall that MDA is responsible for the design and integration of the electronic warfare system for the ships, which comprises, a suite of sensors, including laser warning and electronic system technologies used to detect aerial threats to help protect the men and women of the Royal Canadian Navy. Moving to our robotics and space operations business, we continue to see good traction and activity levels on both government and commercial fronts. On the government side, we are advancing the design work of phase B of the Canadarm3 contract, which MDA was awarded in early 2022, and that will see us completing the preliminary design of Canadarm3's robotic system to be used aboard the NASA-led Lunar Gateway. The team is making good progress towards the preliminary design review milestone.

We are also progressing bids for the next phases of work, including detailed design, manufacture, integration, and test. Bids for these follow-on phases will be submitted in Q3, which provide continuity of work and growth through the development phase. On the commercial side, we are exploring a number of opportunities to incorporate our robotic technology on applications to support space exploration and mobility, and are encouraged by the level of customer activity in this market. The opportunities we are seeing reflect an emerging shift in the robotics commercial landscape as more non-government entities look to establish a foothold and hub in low Earth orbit for a variety of activities. Shifting to operations, we continue our hiring efforts to support the anticipated revenue ramp-up. Over the last year, we have added more than 800 new hires.

With more than 2,800 highly skilled MDA staff, we have the human capital to help propel our growth and give us the scale to execute on the market opportunities we see emerging. We also remain vigilant when it comes to our supply chain, keeping a close eye for potential business disruptions, and so far, these have been manageable. We continue to deploy a number of proactive measures that have served us well. These include designing around known shortages, finding alternatives that are more readily available, ordering materials as early as possible, and building up inventory for some components. For new programs, we are ensuring that our supply chain organization has full visibility early in the process to ensure orders are placed promptly and monitored constantly to mitigate delay risks. To recap, we're pleased with our performance this quarter.

With momentum building across our operations, our team is energized, and we remain laser-focused on our priorities. A strong focus on execution, converting the opportunities in our funnel to orders, and expanding our leadership in core markets while maintaining strong profitability and a healthy balance sheet to help us fund our growth initiatives. With that, I'll hand it over to Vito to walk us through the detailed financials.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Thank you, Mike. Good morning, everyone. I'd like to start by echoing Mike's remarks regarding the recent Telesat Lightspeed contract award. This is a strategic program for Telesat in Canada, and we're very excited to be supporting Telesat in making this constellation a reality. Congratulations to the entire MDA and Telesat teams for all your efforts to bring this across the finish line. For my update today, I'll walk you through our Q2 2023 financial results and provide more color on our outlook update. Overall, as Mike has said, Q2 was a strong quarter for MDA. We're pleased with how the team is executing. In the quarter, we saw strong revenue growth, with revenues up 27% year-over-year, slightly ahead of our guidance for the quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.6% exceeded our 19%-20% guidance range. Backlog at the end of the quarter stood at a healthy CAD 1.1 billion. Total revenues for the second quarter were CAD 196 million. This represents a CAD 41 million, or 27% increase over the same period last year. Year-over-year increase is driven by higher revenues across our businesses, with strong contributions from our satellite systems and robotic and space operations businesses. By business area, revenues in our Geointelligence business of CAD 47.9 million represents an increase of just under CAD 1 million, or 2% compared to Q2 2022. This was driven by slightly higher volumes of work.

Robotics and space operations, we saw a healthy year-over-year growth with revenues of $58.7 million in the latest quarter, representing $9.9 million or 20% increase versus Q2 of last year. Growth is largely attributable to a higher volume of work performed on the Canadarm3 program. Revenues in satellite systems of $89.4 million in the third quarter were $30.5 million, or 52% higher compared to the same quarter in 2022. The strong showing was driven by higher work volume as new programs ramp up, including the Globalstar program, which was awarded in Q1 of 2022. Moving to gross profit, as a reminder, gross profit represents our revenues less the cost of revenue, which includes materials, labors, allocated overhead, SRED credits, and depreciation.

For Q2, gross profit was CAD 61.3 million, representing a CAD 9.9 million or 19% increase over the same period last year. Gross margins in Q2 2022 was 31.3% compared to 33.2% for the same period in 2022, as a result of MDA's evolving program mix and in line with our expectations. Discussed in previous quarters, we do anticipate the mix of the programs in 2023 to cause a slight dip in gross margins as we make our way throughout the remaining part of the year.

Q2 operating expenses of CAD 42 million were CAD 5.2 million, or 14% higher than last year's metric of CAD 36.8 million, reflecting an expansion of our SG&A functions as our work volume grows and a steady pace of R&D investment as we advance our development work on Chorus, our next-generation Earth observation constellation, and other proprietary technology initiatives. Turning to adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA in the last latest quarter was CAD 40.4 million, compared to CAD 34.7 million in Q2 of 2022. This was driven by higher gross profit as we continue to execute on our backlog. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.6% in Q2 2023, compared to 22.4% in the same period last year. A slight decline in adjusted EBITDA margin is consistent with the variance in our gross margin year-over-year.

As noted, we ended the quarter with $1.1 million in backlog, representing a decrease of 20% on a year-to-date basis. The decrease in backlog was driven by strong execution on key programs, including the aforementioned Canadarm3 and Globalstar. As Mike noted earlier, the $1.1 billion backlog figure clearly does not include the recent Telesat award, which will be added to backlog in forthcoming Q3 2023. Moving to CapEx. A real privilege. We remain focused on making the right investments in the business to support our strategic growth initiatives. In Q2 of 2023, we spent $45.7 million on gross capital expenditures.

This was down slightly from $55 million last year, due primarily to timing of payments on certain CapEx programs, primarily related to our new headquarters in Brampton, while investments in Chorus remain on track. Growth CapEx was $41 million in the latest quarter, compared to $52 million in Q2 of 2022. Consistent with our plan, we expect to see year-over-year growth in CapEx spend as we advance course and invest in initiatives to support our growing business, including expanding and modernizing our physical infrastructure. Cash from operations during the quarter was a generation of just under $39 million, compared to cash usage of $5 million in Q2 of 2022. Year-over-year increase was driven by positive working capital contributions and higher adjusted EBITDA versus the prior quarter.

Really important to note that on a last twelve-month basis, we converted approximately 80% of our adjusted EBITDA into operating cash flow. A big number, with the latter helping fund our growth investments. Free cash flow was a use of CAD 6.8 million in the latest quarter. Free cash flow, after adjusting our growth CapEx investments, was positive CAD 34 million in Q2 2023. Cash from financing activities in the quarter was a usage of CAD 22 million, which reflects the repayments made to our revolving credit facility during the quarter, compared to a generation of CAD 9 million in Q2 2022, when the company refinanced its credit facilities. Our balance sheet, we ended the quarter with a strong financial position.

Net debt was $209.7 million, available liquidity of over $330 million, and net debt to trailing twelve-month adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.2x. In summary, the team executed well this quarter, and we are seeing positive inflection in our top line as we execute on our backlog. Turning briefly to outlook for fiscal 2023, we are raising our financial outlook. This reflects strong execution in the first half and, to a lesser extent, contributions from the recently announced Telesat Lightspeed program. We now expect full-year revenues to be $785 million-$810 million, representing robust year-over-year growth of approximately 25% at the midpoint of guidance. For the full year, we now expect that adjusted EBITDA to be $155 million-$165 million, representing approximately 19%-20% adjusted EBITDA margin.

We now expect capital expenditures to be CAD 200 million-CAD 220 million in 2023, primarily comprising of growth investments to support Chorus and the previously outlined growth initiatives across our three business areas. In terms of Q3-2023, we expect revenues to grow by approximately 10%-15% compared to Q3-2022 levels, as we continue to execute on our backlog. With the announcement of the Telesat Lightspeed award and a number of large programs in our backlog, our book of business is strong. We remain focused on executing well on our customer commitments and leveraging our expansive capabilities and technology to grow profitably and capitalize on emerging opportunities in our end markets. Mike, with that, I'll turn it back to you.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thanks, Vito. I think with that, operator, we can open it up to questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll now begin the question-and-answer session. Should you have a question, please press star, followed by the one on your touch tone phone. You will hear a three-tone prompt acknowledging your request, and your questions will be pulled in the order they are received. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by the two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. Your first question comes from... One moment, please. Ken Herbert with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Ken Herbert
Managing Director, Senior Aerospace and Defense Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah, hey, good morning. really nice quarter, and congrats on the on the Telesat contract.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thanks.

Ken Herbert
Managing Director, Senior Aerospace and Defense Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hey, Mike, Mike Vito, maybe, just two questions on that. First, how do we think about the, the revenue recognition on that contract, either in the second half of this year, and then what it could potentially imply for, for 2024? Then also, it sounds like initial investments are, are not significant, but how do we think about the required investments to support, support Telesat in particular on the satellite side?

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Maybe, maybe I'll take the second one first, Mike. You know, I think in terms of the revenue recognition, I think it'll be really helpful for Mike perhaps to take the community through a typical program from a stages perspective. Mike, go do that in a second. Ken, in terms of capital, we've been investing significantly along the way. As we look at this program, there's no outages versus our current plan and on our current expectations as we look at our strategic plan. More specifically, in terms of 2024 CapEx, we consistently have been saying that we expect 2024 CapEx to be in line with 2023. This announcement and program does not change that in any way, shape, or form.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

In terms of the revenue profile side, on any project, you, you tend to like, you know, ramp up slowly before you get into, like, full steam. The early phases of a project, you know, will require us to be able to start to engage the supply chain. We have a number of engineering design activities that we have to go through. You'll always hear us going through our, our phases of design in terms of getting through and signing off on our, our requirements reviews and our preliminary designs and our critical designs, and then moving out in production. You know, you'll, you'll see us, this is just like any other program, so you'll see us go through all those same phases.

We ramp up a bit slow and go through these design phases, the requirements and design phases, to make sure we have everything right, gradually engaging our supply chain as we build up that ramp. And then we get into, you know, full rates of production and implementation after that. You've, you've seen us just sort of lift guidance a touch for 2023, and that includes consideration of, of, you know, what we see happening on Lightspeed as part of that. Certainly as we start 2024, we'll make sure we're issuing guidance going into that year.

You know, I can only reemphasize the characterization of, you know, slower ramp-ups, and then we get into, like, full steam production in that sort of 2025, 2026 period, because you heard Telesat say, you know, that we're going to have, you know, satellites being launched in 2026 towards full operational capability in 2027. That's where you start to get the big ramp, the, the big production levels in, in 2025, 2026, 2027. Does that make sense, Ken?

Ken Herbert
Managing Director, Senior Aerospace and Defense Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah, that makes perfect sense. I appreciate that. If I could then, just on the second half margins, you kept the 19%-20% adjusted EBITDA in the guidance. Is there anything unique going on, or does that really just reflect sort of ongoing mix headwinds as you obviously continue to see better growth in satellite systems in the back half of the year?

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Yeah. Nothing unique going on at all, Ken. We've been very, very pleased with the performance of our programs. I wouldn't even call them necessarily headwinds because I think all business areas contribute in a meaningful way, and other than, you know, maybe periodic revenue recognition and cost incurrences on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Very, very pleased with the performance year-to-date, and we expect the back half to be equally strong. Again, as Mike has alluded to, we'll, we'll take all the information, a lot of moving pieces with the businesses and the programs, all very, very healthy, incorporate that into continued revised outlooks as we look into 2024 and give the market the best view of our business. At this point, very, very pleased.

Ken Herbert
Managing Director, Senior Aerospace and Defense Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks. I'll pass it back there.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thanks a lot.

Operator

Your next question comes from Doug Taylor with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Doug Taylor
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Yeah, Thanks. Good morning.

I'll echo the congratulations on the Telesat win. I'm gonna continue what I assume is gonna be, you know, a barrage of questions on how we should factor that into our financial models. You mentioned there the design phase and then the implementation phase being, you know, sort of 2023, a balance in 2024, and then production in 2025, 2026. Can you, you know, potentially help us think about what percentage of, you know, the revenue would come from these phases to help us kinda build that in appropriately?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

I, I think for now, probably not. I think for now, we could just say, like, we, we, we've got what's going in 2023 in our guidance there. I think it's important to let us play out a little bit, the, the rest of the year and, you know, give some meaningful guidance for 2024 as we enter 2024. We, you know, there's a few more- you know, a lot, lot of stuff going on in the business, so it'd be nice to be able to play out a few more months before we start to characterize what 2024 would look like, in its entirety, not, not just from a one program perspective.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Maybe, Doug, I'll just add there. I mean, we clearly recognize, you know, when you get a program of this size, the, the market's requirements to, to get a bit of a breakdown and, and, and know what that looks like. Echo everything that Mike just described. I will say, again, we'll, we'll defer guidance, obviously, until later in this calendar year, into the new year with respect to 2024. As we've consistently said in the marketplace, you know, we're a significant growth company, both top line and bottom line here in the, in the near future. We expect double-digit growth, outpacing the market growth here, in 2024, and we'll come back and give some more further visibility to that as we move forward.

Doug Taylor
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, we'll stay tuned for that. In terms of the margin profile of that contract, any reason to think that over the course of the entire program, that wouldn't, you know, meet the, the current margin profile of the business, as a whole? You know, should we be expecting the different phases to carry a different margin profile?

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Maybe I, I can't speak to the different phases right now, although the way we do revenue recognition, that, that I'd be, I'd be surprised if there were lumpiness in, in from a program perspective. You know, to the, to the more important part of, I think, your question, Doug, which is, how do we see this factoring into our overall profitability? You know, very, very consistent with our current levels of profitability in both in sat systems, and we expect that to be to be the case as we roll through the next few years.

Doug Taylor
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Maybe one more question then on, on this program before I pass the line. Telesat and its disclosure talks about, you know, a number of different financing arrangements supporting this program, including, you know, some vendor financing that they reference. I just wanted to ask to what extent, you know, that's, you know, some arrangement between MDA and Telesat, if at all?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Nope

Doug Taylor
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

They're referring to something else.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Nope, no MDA. They're referring to other vendors, so MDA has no vendor financing. No.

Doug Taylor
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Thanks for clarifying. I'll pass the line.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thanks, Doug.

Operator

Your next question comes from Konark Gupta with Scotia Capital. Please go ahead.

Konark Gupta
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Scotia Capital

Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone, and I echo the congratulations on, on, on the big win. My first question is just to kind of follow up on, on the Telesat. I understand, you know, it's a big contract. You guys had been in discussion historically as well. What's your confidence level in Telesat's ability to bring this Lightspeed project to reality, you know, despite all the hiccups they have seen?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah, we're very confident in this. We, you know, obviously believe in the technical solution as the satellite prime. We're very, very pleased that our software-defined digital satellite product is has been selected here by Telesat as the foundation for this constellation. We obviously believe in the technology that we're putting to market here. It brings tremendous technological and operational advantages to Telesat, which has, you know, for them, created the savings that they needed to be able to be able to have a fully funded program. We believe in the funding sources that they have. We're very confident as we move forward.

Konark Gupta
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Scotia Capital

Yeah, that's great, Mike, thanks. Then my second one is on Chorus. Can you remind us, where is that program right now in terms of investments to date, and, you know, what are the next milestones with respect to capital spending left on that program?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah, we're probably a little bit past the midpoint.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Yeah, I'd say that.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Just a bit past the midpoint of the spend on Chorus. I mentioned in my remarks the big user community conference coming up in October, where the global user community at RADARSAT-2 and, you know, a lot of the future user community, of course, will all be together. We'll hope to make some updates to the community at that time, in terms of some things we haven't talked about on the project and share some additional news. The project is doing well. It's right in line with expectations, and we're a little bit halfway through the spend.

Konark Gupta
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Scotia Capital

Great. That's it for me. Thanks for, for the answers.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Sid Dilawari with Cormark. Please go ahead.

Sid Dilawari
Equity Research Associate, Cormark Securities

Hey, guys. Congrats on the Telesat program again.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thanks.

Sid Dilawari
Equity Research Associate, Cormark Securities

Just firstly, just following along the same theme on the question regarding Telesat. You know, on the Telesat call this morning, they stated that they have secured the funding for 156 satellites, so that's approximately CAD 1.65 billion of revenue. Can you maybe just clarify in terms of what your confidence level is for the rest of the program, given that it's contingent on the cash flows that they'll derive from the program itself?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

The program itself and, or even just their own operations, I would imagine. Telesat's a strong operating business, as you would have heard from their results. We've, we're aware of all their sources of financing that they talked about, in their discussion, and we're very confident in it. We're confident in their ability to fund from operations, and/or, you know, raise additional capital. Certainly, the interest, in the project, I would expect to be increased, now that we are moving out with a fully funded project to get us to initial operations. I would imagine Telesat will have all kinds of new conversations out there in their community, so both with customers that will fund operations and with potential future investors.

Sid Dilawari
Equity Research Associate, Cormark Securities

Got it. Just in terms of backlog growth for Q3, how much can we expect in terms of growth from the Telesat program? Maybe just a rough number or any guidance in terms of the ramp. Again, I know you mentioned that the design phase is typically a slower ramp, I guess the first 12 months-24 months will be somewhat of a slower ramp. Just wondering how we should think about backlog for Q3.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Yeah, no, we expect the all or substantially, all of the $2.1 to go into our backlog here in Q3.

Sid Dilawari
Equity Research Associate, Cormark Securities

Okay. Then just last one for me. Any updates on the CSA program? Apologies if I missed that in your prepared remarks.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah, just that it continues along according to our expectations. You know, the program itself is, is still cleaning up some, you know, some, some work progresses like normal, and there's still some cleanup work here and there on the overall requirements and approach to the project as they, as they continue to finalize their design. The, the ship-level preliminary design was completed earlier in the year, and now they're working through into the critical design at, at the ship level. That still causes, you know, some churn on some of the subsystems. For us, we keep ticking along, doing all of our work, as we expected to, in support of the ongoing projects and the ongoing decisions that still need to be made as part of the design phase.

Sid Dilawari
Equity Research Associate, Cormark Securities

Okay, that's very helpful. Thanks, guys. I'll pass the line.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Thanos Moschopoulos with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director of Equity Research and Technology, BMO Capital Markets

Hi, good morning. Congrats as well on the Telesat win, clearly a, a landmark win. Mike, sounds your technology played a key role in terms of elevating your role from a subcontractor to a prime on this. You kind of alluded to it. Can you maybe expand and maybe provide some color on how this positions you as well for other new opportunities that you're seeing in the pipeline?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah, for sure. The, you know, the big technology shift is from analog to digital in the, from a beamforming technology perspective. And then our approach to all of this has been to come forward with a, you know, software-defined digital satellite design. This is us now having, you know, satellite as a product. You know, a software configurable digital satellite as a product, with Telesat as the anchor customer for that product. An incredible opportunity to have an anchor customer for a new product at these volumes. It's, it's beautiful in terms of our ability to be able to take this out into the market.

By having a digital satellite product now, this same technological solution, this product can be promoted, and we do promote it and bid it into multiple customers that are interested in next-generation communication satellites. Us moving into a more productized environment really helps us scale. It's a, it's a different mode of operations now for us, as we can pick up multiple constellation customers and be able to scale more effectively because we are delivering from a common base product into the market. It's a, it's a, it's a good shift for us in terms of scaling up to the next level at satellite systems business.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director of Equity Research and Technology, BMO Capital Markets

Great. question for Vito. Should the cash flow profile of the contract be comparable to, you know, a typical project, or are there any nuances to call out here?

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

No, no, no nuances whatsoever, and thank you for the question, Thanos, because, you know, I go out of my way to talk about our EBITDA, our, excuse me, our conversion of cash operating, operating cash flow off of our EBITDA numbers. As this business grows, that percentage is just gonna continue to expand. Strict, you know, great working capital management, contracts, milestones, all those are lined up, and we don't expect any anomalies whatsoever as we proceed through the Telesat program.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director of Equity Research and Technology, BMO Capital Markets

Finally, when we look at the dollar amount, what proportion might represent subcontract work? Or maybe to ask it differently, you know, would there be a disproportionately high level of subcontract work now that you're the prime, as we think about translating that into our, our EBITDA forecasts?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah. To, to be honest, it's a, it's a bit premature to give direction on that. Right now, we have a very solid design, and we have optionality that we have to work through over the next several months in terms of selecting and finalizing vendors in our supply chain, and also finalizing make buy decisions in terms of areas where we might make something versus buy from others. We're, we have a fully kicked-off project here. The team will be very, very focused on finalizing these sources of supply for the various elements. All of our contracts and pricing we're very, very confident in, but we have optionality in terms of how we do these things, which would affect the mix of what you're asking.

It's probably maybe a quarter or too early to be able to, to, you know, give any information on that.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director of Equity Research and Technology, BMO Capital Markets

Agree, I'll pass the line. Thank you.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from Kristine Liwag with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Kristine Liwag
Executive Director and Head of Aerospace and Defense Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Hey, Mike, Vito. You know, echoing everyone, congratulations on that Telesat contract. Maybe following it, following up a little bit deeper on the contract structure. I mean, with uncertain macro environment and also inflation being unpredictable, can you discuss, you know, tell us that, in terms of its contract structure, are there aspects of this that is cost-plus, where you can pass through costs to customers to manage some of your risk? Also, you know, being prime on a fairly large contract like this, how do you think about execution risk, and what are you doing differently to make sure you can mitigate any potential, you know, charges in the future?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah, I think that in, in the overall structure of these things is largely firm fixed-price contract for us with Telesat, as it is with most of our customers. Certainly our customers appreciate our ability to be able to estimate accurately and deliver against firm fixed-prices. That's a key element of our business, as you know. In terms of, like, how we manage that, it's the normal way that we always manage it, in terms of making sure we've got realistic and up-to-date estimates, that our suppliers to us are firm fixed-price, and that we've incorporated in, you know, any of our internal cost escalation in our thinking, you know, based on, based on current experiences in the market.

In terms of the execution risk side of it, it's very important to pay attention to this notion of a product. The modularity of this, really, really, is gonna help us in terms of execution risk, in terms of how we're organizing that business area now to be able to build the modular components of the digital satellite as products, and not just for this program, but for other programs as well. We're very comfortable that we've got a pretty slick strategy here for moving out on this, and that not only we'll be able to execute well on Telesat, but also be able to scale into other orders, hopefully, as they come in for this product.

Kristine Liwag
Executive Director and Head of Aerospace and Defense Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Thanks, Mike. Maybe Vito, as a follow-up, you mentioned that the, you know, the cash profile for this program is similar to other contracts. When we think about working capital requirements, CapEx requirements, and balancing that with the customer cash milestones, does that mean that this year and next year you'll be, you know, a positive cash impact from the program? Is, is that what? I just want to clarify what, what you meant by that statement.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Yeah. In terms of the program itself, yeah, from a working capital perspective, we, we expect to be totally cash flow positive, as we move really through the entire program. I mean, that's the way these things are structured. We don't get excited about quarter-over-quarter, but over reasonable periods of time, that's the objective. And, to your question around this program and balance of this year in 2024, that would be definitely my expectation. In terms of CapEx, I, I, I take us back to our earlier comment in, in the call. We expect 2024 sort of CapEx to be at the levels of 2023. Some of that CapEx definitely will be related to, continuing to expand SAT systems capabilities, across the board.

That's very consistent with, you know, where we, where we started, the conversations, even pre-Telesat programming. Hopefully that's helpful for you, Kristine.

Kristine Liwag
Executive Director and Head of Aerospace and Defense Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. If I could sneak a third one. You know, you guys mentioned picking up future constellation customers with this new satellite offering. Does that mean you could have another contract on top of the Telesat LEO contract at the same time? How much of a commonality could there be in terms of manufacturing? How many potential customers could you have with this type of constellation project? Ultimately, right, if you get even more volume, that could potentially give you more economies of scale. Just want to understand that opportunity set a little bit better.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah, sure. We, we definitely, that's, that's our position in the market. Like, this has been a strategy for us, and we've invested in and are very much intentionally moving forward in accordance with our strategy. It's a, it's a very comfortable space here at the moment. Being satellite prime with Globalstar has been great. Now we're stepping up to a larger scale with the new digital satellite with Telesat. This product is being offered into multiple customers in the market. We would hope to sign multiple of them up. That would be great. The commonality question could be as high as 80% in some cases with other customers.

So that you get into some, some pretty good efficiencies there and the ability to to scale as we move forward, which to your point, you know, can drive some, it has the potential to drive some economies in the future. We'll see how it goes.

Kristine Liwag
Executive Director and Head of Aerospace and Defense Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thanks, guys.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have a question, please press star followed by the one. Your next question comes from Jason Gursky with Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Hey, good morning, Mike. Congrats.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Hey, Jason.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

You, you, you won the war of attrition on this one. Congrats.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

No way! No way. It's pure, pure excellence coming up the middle here. What are you saying?

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

I know it's been a long road on this one, so, congrats on that. Hey, just a quick, two quick questions for you. Look, you've got Chorus, Globalstar, Telesat, all in the mix here, going on now. I'm just kind of curious what the labor situation looks like for you all up there and, and the ability to onboard all the talent that you're gonna need to execute these programs?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah. It's, it's, it's, obviously, like anything in the market right now, everybody's in the, the war for talent. We're all trying to hire, the best talent. We've done very, very well. We've hired hundreds of people, over the last, over the last period of time. In the last 12 months, we've hired about 800 people across the company. We're up at about 2,800 people now in the business. We continue to hire, engineers and, technical staff on a, on a monthly basis and in a consistent profile. We're gonna continue leaning into that. With the Lightspeed project and with other projects around this new digital satellite, you know, we'll have to hire hundreds of folks.

The, you know, the, the hiring business is still in full swing in Montreal and our satellite manufacturing facilities. We're absolutely doing great. The team is doing excellent in both talent acquisition and the direct hiring managers in our satellite systems business, and we expect to be able to keep up with it.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Mm-hmm. You just mentioned Montreal in your remarks there. Just kind of curious on the capacity side of things, again, Chorus, Globalstar, Telesat, you know, you're gonna be doing a lot of work there. I'm just kind of curious, Vito, you've mentioned 2024 CapEx is flat. What about 2025? Do we need to continue to invest in the business to take on all of this volume?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Well, I'll, I'll, I'll say that we will continue to invest in the business, for sure, but that was already in our plan. We have plans to expand the Montreal facility. You'll probably remember that with, with Globalstar, we added an additional building. We, we've added another building across the street. We have a plan right now to expand the Montreal, the, the, the historical Montreal facility for expanded manufacturing for this digital satellite, product line and for the Telesat production. We, you know, we will expand as we need to, to be able to move up to this new growth. I think that the overall levels of CapEx, Vito can talk to it, but is, is still in, you know, consistent with our plan.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Yeah.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

You might want to characterize that a bit more.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Well, all I, all I'll add there, Jason, is, you know, by the time 2025 rolls around, the revenue will be substantially higher, the EBITDA will be meaningfully higher, and the operating cash flow will also be significantly higher. I think as we, as we look at all these things, you know, there's, there's the absolute, what do you think your CapEx is gonna be? It's too early for us to put a marker on 2025. Then there's the relative component of, of what does it mean from a free cash flow generation and leverage and all the rest of it.

As I look at our plan out to 2025, I'm incredibly comfortable with what that balance sheet, cash flow profile, but most importantly, what enables us also to do, as Mike has said, in leaning in and doing the right thing for this company, its customers, and shareholders for, you know, the foreseeable future. Stay tuned a little bit on that-

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Mm-hmm.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

But we'll, we'll be, we'll be just fine.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Yeah, it sounds to me like, CapEx, as a % of revenue, comes down, but the dollar numbers may not move all that.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

I agree.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

I think it's-

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

I agree.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Yeah. All right, that makes good sense. Then, Mike, on the digital payload, can you just talk a little bit about where we are in the development of it, and the maturation of that technology? Because this is obviously key to your ability to execute on, on Telesat and then, you know, win further business. I think it's gonna be important for us all to, on the outside, to kind of get an understanding, baseline where we are now, and then maybe get some updates over time as you guys retire risk around the development of that.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah. For us, yeah, for us, we have a solid design. The, the design elements, that are in there, in terms of some of the key enabling technologies, from some of our suppliers there, are in flight. And then the, the, the next generation of some of those technologies, which we might use, are, are, are definitely, in mature phases of development at the moment. We're, we're, you know, we're basing our solutions, around, you know, capabilities that have been proven and designs or that are mature.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Okay, it sounds like there's a lot of suppliers that are involved here in this-

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Sorry, say again?

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

It sounds like there are a lot of suppliers, you know?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

There, there, there will be.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Yeah.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

There, there will be.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

So-

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

In some cases, there are multiple alternatives for those suppliers. Yeah.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Right. Okay, that, you know, hopefully reduces risk around the development of this.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah. Yep.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Yeah.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Because there's options, it reduces risk. That's part of the next phase, is to like, you know, finalize, finalize, make, buy, and finalize sourcing, to be able to get the best combinations of, like you say, risk reduction in addition to price. Yeah.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Yeah. Okay, then last one for me. Vito, when do you expect the contract with Telesat to be definitized, meaning kind of signed? I think it's... I think I saw in the announcement today that they expect, you know, things to get signed here in short order, but I just wanna make sure we all kind of understand when that thing gets signed?

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

I, I, I, I signed one yesterday before we put out a press release, so we're, we're, we're working now. Yep.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Okay. It's completely definitized, and, and you're off to the races. There's nothing more to do on that.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah, we have a contract. Yep. Yep, absolutely.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Okay.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Yeah.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Awesome.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

That was, like, the whole, the whole thing on Telesat was we wouldn't talk about Telesat again until we had a contract. Now we have a contract, we're talking about Telesat. That's it. Yep.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior U.S. Aerospace and Defense Analyst, Citigroup

Okay, great. All right. Congrats, everybody.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Thanks.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed.

Mike Greenley
CEO, MDA Space

Okay. Thank you, operator. Thanks, everybody, for your time this morning. We certainly look forward to updating everyone on our progress. There's lots to make progress on. We will continue to make progress, and we'll, we'll do this again in November and report on another quarter and where we are with all these things. Thanks very much for your time.

Vito Culmone
CFO, MDA Space

Bye now.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect.

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