MTY Food Group Inc. (TSX:MTY)
Canada flag Canada · Delayed Price · Currency is CAD
40.40
+0.20 (0.50%)
Apr 28, 2026, 3:50 PM EST
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q4 2021

Feb 17, 2022

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the MTY Food Group Inc. Q4 2021 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time for you to queue up for questions. If anyone has any difficulties during the conference, please press star followed by zero for operator assistance at any time. Before turning the meeting over to management, please be advised that this conference call will contain statements that are forward-looking and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded on Thursday, February 17th, 2022.

I would now like to turn the call over to Eric Lefebvre, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for MTY 2021 fourth quarter results conference call. The press release and MD&A with complete financial statements and related notes, as well as the annual information form, were issued earlier this morning and are also available on our website as well as on SEDAR. During the call, we will be referring to forward-looking statements and to certain indicators that are non-IFRS measures. You can refer to our MD&A for more details. I also remind you that all figures presented on today's call are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated. After nearly two years of navigating through the COVID-19 pandemic, the incredible resilience of our franchise partners and staff made it possible for MTY to once again deliver robust financial results in fiscal 2021, demonstrating the strength of its business model and the benefits of having a diversified portfolio of great brands.

Those results were highlighted by recorded adjusted EBITDA and cash flows from operations of CAD 168.6 million and CAD 139.3 million, respectively, for the year ended November 30, 2021. Altogether, system sales improved 5% in 2021 to reach CAD 3.6 billion, despite the adverse impact of foreign exchange rates, capitalizing on the momentum some of our brands gained during 2020 and on the opportunities offered by the growing appetite for online takeout or delivery ordering. All this while many of our brands are still in recovery mode following heavy restrictions resulting from the pandemic.

Turning to our fourth quarter results in 2021, adjusted EBITDA increased 22% year-over-year to CAD 42.8 million, mainly driven by a sharp increase in high quality recurring revenue streams. Major brands such as Cold Stone, sweetFrog, Taco Time, Thaï Express, and Sushi Shop, for example, continued to perform exceptionally well while many casual dining brands recovered their 2019 sales levels and food court restaurants were getting gradually stronger. The network's overall scalability allowed margins to increase to 55% for the franchising division, highlighting the high quality of revenue generated and MTY's discipline when it comes to cost management. System sales, meanwhile, grew 8% in Q4 2021, mainly due to a reduction of the impact of government-imposed restrictions during the period, which led to increased customer traffic in the most recent quarter.

The casual dining concepts contributed CAD 41.7 million to the increase, a surge of 36% year-over-year, despite still facing some restrictions. The geographical split of MTY system sales remained relatively stable in 2020, with 62% in the United States, 35% in Canada, and 3% international. For the fourth quarter, these proportions were 57% for United States, 40% for Canada, and 3% for international. Moving on to our network, we opened 60 locations and permanently closed 189 in the fourth quarter of 2021 for a net store loss of 129. MTY ended the fourth quarter with 6,719 locations, of which 6,603 were franchises, 93 were corporate, and 23 were joint ventures.

Although delays to open new locations have significantly increased due to supply chain disruptions and scarcity of labor, we are very pleased with the strong pipeline of future new locations to be opened by new and existing franchise partners in North America and internationally. Altogether, 259 locations were closed at least one day because of COVID-related issues during the fourth quarter of 2021, which resulted in approximately 9,500 lost business days. Although this number has fallen to its lowest level during the pandemic, we expect this figure to increase in Q1 2022 due to additional government-mandated restrictions that started in December 2021 in Canada.

On the bright side, many governments have since announced plans to lift these restrictions in upcoming weeks, so the impact should be limited to the first quarter of 2022. The pandemic also has numerous side effects that are impacting our industry on a daily basis. MTY has not been immune to supply chain and labor issues which are affecting many industries worldwide. We are proactively helping staff and franchisees mitigate supply chain constraints by introducing novel workarounds and pricing increases on menu offerings while labor shortage issues are being addressed with a more global approach involving, in some cases, menu reductions or streamlining, working with suppliers to provide products requiring less employee hours in the restaurants, rethinking operations, enhanced training offered to our crew, etc .

We expect these headwinds to persist in 2022, and further solutions are being looked at to address the situation. During the fourth quarter of 2021, MTY repaid a further CAD 22.7 million in long-term debt, bringing the total repayments for the year to CAD 102.2 million and to CAD 211.4 million during the last two years, despite all the turbulence that affected our business. These repayments bring our leverage to a very comfortable level, allowing us to repurchase MTY shares for cancellation, restore and subsequently increase the dividend paid to our shareholders, and aggressively pursue new positions. MTY's capital strategy, our priority remains to find attractive strategic acquisitions to enhance our network and provide more opportunities to grow in the future.

Aligned with our growth strategy, we closed the acquisition of Küto Comptoir à Tartares, a fast-growing chain of tartare restaurants, following quarter end. I will now turn the call over to Renée, who will discuss MTY's financial results in greater details.

Renée St-Onge
CFO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Thank you, Eric, and good morning, everyone. Let's start with our network. As mentioned by Eric, in total, 259 locations were closed at least one day during the fourth quarter of 2021, which resulted in approximately 9,500 lost business days. Although this number has fallen to its lowest level during the pandemic, it still affected our recurring revenue streams and adjusted EBITDA. Although we had an increase in temporary closed locations during our first quarter due to additional government restrictions in Quebec, Ontario, and the Maritimes, we are happy to report that currently we have 71 restaurants temporarily closed, a decrease of 11 since November 30th, 2021. We expect this number to further decrease over the course of the next couple of weeks as more of these government restrictions are lifted.

In the fourth quarter of 2021, total revenues grew by 15% to CAD 146.3 million, mainly due to the recovery in Canada from the onset of the pandemic's second wave and related government-imposed restrictions in the same period of 2020. Franchising revenues in Canada improved 22% year-over-year to CAD 33.7 million, while food processing, distribution, and retail revenues increased 40% to CAD 34.6 million. As mentioned by Eric, the growth in the franchising segment comes primarily from recurring revenue streams, which we expect to continue to grow as restrictions are further lifted and the world adjusts to the new normal of living with COVID. In the U.S. and international, franchising revenues decreased 2% to CAD 39.7 million, largely caused by a negative foreign exchange impact.

Recurring revenue streams were in fact up CAD 1.8 million year-over-year in the U.S. and international segments. What is promising is that although our recurring revenue streams increased by CAD 6.3 million and CAD 1.8 million for Canada and the U.S. respectively during the quarter, our recurring controllable and non-controllable expenses only increased by CAD 1.2 million and CAD 0.3 million, showcasing the true cost management efforts we put into place and the continued positive impacts it is having on our results. Quarterly adjusted EBITDA increased 22% year-over-year to CAD 42.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The Canadian segment contributed 47% of total adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2021, representing a year-over-year increase of CAD 5.8 million, while the US and international segments contributed 53% of total adjusted EBITDA, accounting for a year-over-year increase of CAD 1.8 million. We are extremely pleased with our overall franchising EBITDA margin of 55%, which not only surpassed our 2020 margin of 46%, but also our 2019 margin of 51%. For our retail processing and distribution segment, although we had a drop in our margins from 16% to 11% due to an increase in input, labor, and transportation costs, we are happy to report a revenue growth of 39% for the segment.

Net income attributable to owners reached CAD 24.9 million or CAD 1 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to CAD 20.1 million or CAD 0.81 per diluted share for the same period last year. Now turning to liquidity and capital resources. Cash flows from operations amounted to CAD 31.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to CAD 44.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The decrease comes mostly from an increase in tax installments made during the fourth quarter of 2021, as well as higher than normal collections of accounts receivable in 2020 due to the deferred royalties we provided earlier in that year.

Free cash flows reached CAD 35.6 million or CAD 1.44 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to CAD 43.9 million or CAD 1.78 per diluted share for the same period last year. During the fourth quarter, we used cash to reduce our debt by CAD 22.7 million, paid out a dividend of CAD 0.185 per share, and repurchased 36,600 shares for a total consideration of CAD 2.2 million under our NCIB program. Following the quarter end, we raised our dividend by 14% to CAD 0.21 per share. This represents our ninth increase over the past 12 years when we first introduced dividends. At the end of the fourth quarter, long-term debt, mainly in the form of bank facilities and holdbacks on acquisitions, stood at CAD 347.6 million.

We also ended the quarter with CAD 61.2 million of cash on hand. With that, I'll turn it back to Eric for the conclusion.

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Thank you, Renée. Just a few takeaways before we open the lines for questions. First, MTY delivered solid financial results in the fourth quarter in fiscal 2021, while still improving its balance sheet. Our balance sheet is in great shape and is ready for potential acquisitions, large or small. Second, both staff and franchises have responded proactively to pandemic-related challenges, along with macro-global supply chain and labor issues. Our teams are doing a phenomenal job every day to keep the lights on and make sure our franchisees face as little disruptions as possible.

Our sound growth strategy, combined with a sustainable business model, should generate stronger profitable growth as key end markets begin to reopen on a large-scale basis in 2022. Finally, I'm pleased to report that MTY will publish its first ESG report during fiscal 2022, highlighting our commitment to sustainability, diversity, and good governance practices.

We are currently in the process of laying the foundation for our ESG objectives, understanding where we're at, and establishing priorities for the next months, years, and decades. Our goal is to ensure our targets are measurable, tangible, and that we work on what matters most to the communities we operate in and the various stakeholders that are involved with MTY. Ultimately, this will allow MTY to integrate ESG considerations into our daily operations and strategic decision-making. In closing, I would like to sincerely thank our employees, franchise partners, customers, and suppliers for their ongoing support. With that being said, we will now open the lines for questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question will come from Derek Lessard from TD Securities. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Derek Lessard
Senior Research Associate, TD Securities

Yeah, thanks, and good morning, everybody. Congratulations on a good quarter. I guess my first question is impressive growth on the distribution side. Maybe if you could just talk about some of those drivers. I think in the MD&A, you also said that the improvement is tied to the higher restaurant sales. I was wondering if you could talk to that. Finally, you know, what is the long-term plan for this business in particular?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. Good morning, Derek. On the distribution side, you know, we have two small distribution centers that serve two of our brands, Valentine, and the other one is Casa Grecque. Casa Grecque, obviously, in Q4 of this year was doing better than the year before, so that helped a great deal with growing the distribution revenue. But that being said, that segment also has the retail revenues in it and also has the manufacturing revenues in it. Most of the increase you see, obviously, Casa Grecque caused a substantial amount of the growth, but retail is also a segment that's very strategic for us. A portion of the growth you're gonna see in the future is going to come from retail more than the distribution.

Yeah, retail is a key strategic component for us of our growth. We believe that there's a really good market for branded products, high-quality products that we can sell to the end customers that might not be visiting restaurants. We'll push on that for sure in the future.

Derek Lessard
Senior Research Associate, TD Securities

Okay. No, that's helpful, Eric. One more and I'll queue. On your digital sales, I was just wondering if you think if this sales opportunity has peaked for you. I mean, the revenue was pretty flat year-over-year.

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. No, certainly not. In the U.S., we're still investing in new technologies. For example, at Papa Murphy's, we're investing heavily in new technologies to drive more digital. We believe that digital is the way of the future, not only because of the skip-the-line aspect of it, but more so with the amount of time customers are allowed, you know, have at their disposal. If they decide to go digital, they can look at the menu, spend a little bit more time on it, and maybe buy different things. We'll certainly push on digital. Papa Murphy's is investing for a lot of our brands in the U.S.

We are, you know, with Kahala, we have a number of our brands also where we're changing certain aspects of the digital world, you know, marketing, loyalty, online ordering. In Canada, it's still the untapped potential for us. We have basically undone everything we've done in the past because we wanted to start over in Canada for the most part. That happened in November, and now we're relaunching digital and online ordering opportunities for a lot of our brands. We're still working on the kinks here, but I think in the next few months you're gonna see a little bit more marketing around it. There's certainly very large opportunity.

One of the aspects that's really interesting is to look at the amount of our digital sales that are coming from aggregators versus the ones that are coming from our own platforms. In the U.S., you're looking at about a third of our orders coming from aggregators and two-thirds coming from our own platforms, which is really a desirable mix. In Canada, it's about the opposite, a lot more coming from aggregators, which is a lot less profitable, and about a third coming from our own platforms, which is, you know, the segment that we want to push. It tells us that there's ways to grow in Canada.

The fact that we're now investing in the right technologies, and that the brands have the capabilities to really expand on that, I think is really promising for the future.

Derek Lessard
Senior Research Associate, TD Securities

Thanks for that, Eric.

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Glen from Raymond James. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Michael Glen
Managing Director, Raymond James

Hey, thanks for taking the question. Maybe just to start, Eric, with things transitioning to a more normalized environment, how do you think about where your corporate SG&A sits and where you would like that level to be?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

I think in terms of SG&A, we're pretty much where we're going to be. We obviously, like every other company, have a number of vacant positions that we need to fill. Unfortunately, I think for every position we fill, we're gonna have another one that we're gonna need to fill. I think SG&A is probably at the right level now. There's pluses and minuses here. You know, there's a certain portion of it that's not necessarily controllable. You know, I think now would be a good baseline for the SG&A.

Michael Glen
Managing Director, Raymond James

Okay. Your balance sheet, it looks like you're sub two times net debt to EBITDA. Maybe correct me on that if I'm not right. Is there something specific out there that's perhaps holding up M&A for MTY, or is it a more competitive market? Is it the opportunity set? Just trying to gauge what's happening there.

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah, it's a little bit of everything you mentioned. Certainly our balance sheet is not holding MTY back in terms of acquisitions, so I think we need to see the deal flow become a little bit more dynamic. From the deals we've seen, a lot of it is, you know, very large companies owned by private equities that are in harvest mode now. Unfortunately, you've seen some of the multiples that some of our competitors have paid for acquisitions. MTY is just not. We're not playing in these types of acquisitions where people pay over 20x EBITDA for a deal. We're gonna be a little bit more patient here. We are seeing some movement in terms of deal flow.

Whether or not it ends up in two opportunities for MTY, time will tell. I think, you know, among the factors, the multiples and the competitive market is certainly one, especially for the larger deals. The deal flow needs to become a little bit more dynamic, but I have a feeling that this is starting to become a little bit more normal.

Michael Glen
Managing Director, Raymond James

If we're thinking about where M&A might be, do you have a preference right now between Canada and the U.S. for M&A?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

No, we're very agnostic when it comes to M&A, geography. I don't think we'd go overseas necessarily, so we're happy with North America for now. Yeah, there's plenty of opportunities. I think naturally there's gonna be more deal flow in the U.S. just because of how deep the market is. There are still good companies in Canada that we're also interested in, and if they ever become for sale, we'll certainly be listening. We're very agnostic when it comes to geography, but I think naturally the U.S. will become a little bit bigger just because of the depth of that market.

Michael Glen
Managing Director, Raymond James

Okay, thanks for taking the questions.

Operator

Our next question comes from John Zamparo from CIBC. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

John Zamparo
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC

Thank you very much. Good morning. I wanted to start with the impact of labor shortages and the supply chain that you referenced, Eric. Beyond the stores that were closed solely because of government restrictions, can you quantify the impact of reductions to operating hours from staffing shortages in the quarter and subsequent to it? Is this being a drag on system sales?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah, for sure it's a drag. There's no question about it. It's really hard for us to quantify it because we don't always know. Sometimes we find out after the fact that, you know, operating hours were reduced or, you know, a day or two was closed during a certain week, or labor shortages are everywhere. They're affecting our suppliers. They're affecting our distributors. They're affecting even construction of restaurants. So we're seeing it a little bit everywhere, but to quantify the impact would be tough. I mean, we even had situations where, you know, our franchisee is short of staff, and they have to work all the hours. They catch COVID, and they have nobody else to open the store, so they need to close for a week.

We've had quite a few of those. I wouldn't necessarily speculate on how much it represents, but I can certainly say for sure that it's a drag on system sales.

John Zamparo
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC

Okay, that's helpful. Thanks. I appreciate the disclosure on the different restaurant types year over year. I was wondering if you can say where casual restaurants and malls and office towers are versus Q4 2019, even if just approximately, just to get a sense of how those are faring versus pre-pandemic.

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. Well, the good news is for casual dining, and not all of our concepts, but many of them have recovered 2019 levels, or even exceeded them. Unfortunately, we had to suffer more closures and more restrictions in Q1 for Quebec and Ontario and Atlantic provinces. It's really encouraging to see that our franchisees have been able to, you know, find staff and find a rhythm to be able to operate and generate sales. Before we had to close again in December, the sales were for a lot of our concepts, exceeding 2019. Now, that's not for all our concepts. That's not for all our restaurants.

If we're in major urban centers, for example, workers and, you know, Christmas parties haven't recovered. For a lot of our concepts, it's really positive. When it comes to malls and food courts and office towers in general, that's still a struggle. The sales are creeping up, so we're going in the right direction, and we're certainly making leaps and bounds with pretty large numbers in terms of increases, but we're still way short of 2019. The traffic hasn't recovered. A lot of these are located in major urban centers, again, that are dependent on lunch hour for office workers or for tourists, and we just haven't recovered that yet.

We still have a little bit of struggle with these situations, but we're also going in the right direction. If we're getting better every month, then I think we'll eventually recover 2019 and exceed it. There's still a little bit of ways to go.

John Zamparo
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC

Okay. As a follow-up to that, we did see an elevated level of closures in the quarter, and that was disproportionately skewed towards office towers and food courts and malls. I'm wondering, when you have conversations with these franchisees, do you get a sense that that elevated closure level could sustain in 2022 because of the roll-off of subsidies? Or is there a level of confidence that these franchisees actually have relatively healthy operations and can keep operating even without the subsidies?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. For the vast majority of our franchisees, financially, they're doing well. I think the mental strain of opening and closing is probably more difficult than the financial aspect. Yeah, the closures are related to a number of different, you know, different items that happen. It's really case by case. I will say in terms of closures, Q4 is always a little bit heavier than the other quarters historically. We always have a little bit more. You know, our seasonal frozen treats, for example, will tend to close after the summer if they have to close. We've lost a few there. We also, you know, unfortunately, we have one of our partners internationally that's not doing well financially. They've gone insolvent.

We have a certain number of closures that are related to that partner. You know, they all happen at one time, at the same time, so it looks like a bigger number. There's also a pretty thorough review we did in Q4 of our temp closed locations because we wanted to see that, you know, after nearly two years of pandemic, these temp closed locations, are they ever reopening? There were some adjustments there where we found out that some of these restaurants will not reopen. Even though we had hope and even though our franchise partner kept saying that they were going to reopen, there were a certain number of them that, after discussion, we come to the conclusion that they are not going to reopen.

There was a certain adjustment there also in terms of which store we believe will reopen and which store we believe won't. Obviously those I don't expect to carry into 2022. I don't have a crystal ball. I don't know what's going to happen in the future, but I do expect that this very high number of closures is gonna be more a one-timer than something that's going to reoccur in the future.

John Zamparo
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC

Okay. That's great color. Then the last one for me, a follow-up on a prior question. I wonder how you think about the leverage ratio, with the balance sheet where it is, and in a period where you're seeing maybe lighter M&A deal flow and higher valuations, and then you take a pause on M&A versus what you've done in the past. Would you lean more on the NCIB, and do you have a target leverage ratio in mind?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. Well, you know, the target ratio right now we're comfortable with our debt. We'd like to have acquisitions and add a little bit more, not because we like debt, but because we like acquisitions. We're very comfortable where we are. We did continue to acquire shares of MTY after year-end. You saw that we have a small number in November, and we continued that after November. We did buy back shares, we increased our dividend. In terms of capital allocation, at the moment, the priority is really to find good strategic acquisitions that we can really make a difference for MTY and for the franchise partners.

Yeah, we'd like to add leverage in the right circumstances for acquisitions. That's top priority for us.

John Zamparo
Equity Research Analyst, CIBC

Okay. I appreciate the color. I'll pass it on. Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from George Doumet from Scotiabank. Please go ahead, your line is open.

George Doumet
Equity Research Analyst, Scotiabank

Yeah. Hi, good morning, guys. How did Papa Murphy's do this quarter, Eric, on a year-over-year basis? If I ask you to maybe look at your crystal ball, do you think we've seen the toughest of the comps for that banner or do you maybe think that they're coming up?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. My crystal ball is pretty muddy, George, so I don't trust it much. Yeah, Papa Murphy's did better in Q4 than it did in Q3. Pretty reasonable Q4 comping against very difficult numbers, but in general, comping well, a little bit off of 2020 levels. Now, you know, the only thing I can say is that Q1 returned to more Q3 levels or Q1 at the moment is a little bit more off than we'd like it to be. Have we seen the worst? I hope we've seen the worst. I think we have a lot of good stuff in store for Papa Murphy's.

You know, there are things that are happening in the market that we can't control. I do believe that we're doing the right thing for this brand, and I'm pretty bullish about the future. I won't read into a week or a month or even a quarter whether the brand is doing well or not. I'll evaluate the performance of the team over a longer period of time. We're not off by numbers that are, you know, causing very big concerns for us. It's not like we were off double digits or something. We're not anywhere close to that.

Doing the right things, trust the process and make sure you do everything right and everything you can and the rest will happen. You know, we just need to keep plugging and figure it out.

George Doumet
Equity Research Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay. I saw some activity in the corporate stores in that banner. Can you talk a little bit about where we are in terms of selling those or franchising those?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. We franchised a large number of corporate stores in the last few months. We have a few pockets of corporate stores left for that brand, but we don't have that many. If you remember when we acquired the brand, we had over 100 corporate stores. We're not anywhere close to that now. We franchised in some really good markets. Minneapolis was the latest, with over 25 stores being franchised at one time. We're really happy to have this new franchise partner in the MTY family, and we're gonna work with them to do the best we can. Now the few markets that we have left are markets that are a little bit more difficult.

We're gonna work hard to turn them around and make them franchisable.

George Doumet
Equity Research Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay, that's helpful. On your commentary about the, I guess, store locations that you have accelerated a little bit, can you comment a little bit on the temporary closed locations? I think there's a smidge over 70 there. Can you talk a little bit about, you know, the likelihood, I guess, that those can close over the near term or make any commentary there?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. Well, the temp closed locations are, I mean, they're getting easier and easier to track. A large number of those are, for example, movie theaters in Canada. We do expect those to reopen at some point. I guess the owners of movie theaters are waiting for the next blockbuster or they're waiting to be able to operate at full capacity. I'm not sure exactly what's happening there and how their restaurants are performing. There's a large number that are related to movie theaters.

There's also a number of that are related to, for example, if you're familiar with Toronto, you know, restaurants that are in the Path, where the Path is supposed to be really busy at the moment. It's not that busy. We have some there. Major urban centers where you'd find normally a lot of tourists and a lot of office workers that are just not present at the moment. Those make up the bulk of our temp closed locations. After very thorough review, we do believe that the ones that are temp closed at the moment will reopen, and we're working with our franchise partners to get that done. Yeah, we're pretty optimistic about the ones that are left.

George Doumet
Equity Research Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay. Free cash flow conversion has been jumping around quite a bit, Eric, I guess, in fiscal 2020 and fiscal 2021. If you were to look at this year, how should we think of conversion from your outlook for free cash? Is that kind of more normalized or you can maybe provide there?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah. Well, free cash flow conversion has been really high in the last two years. I think probably more than normal. You know, normally you'd have your EBITDA and then you pay your interest on the debt and the normal rate of income taxes, and that should be pretty much our free cash flow conversion for MTY because we don't have much CapEx at all. And in the past few years, in the past two years, we've paid less in taxes. We've really optimized the working cap. Maybe numbers are a little bit higher than they should be in terms of percentage conversion. We'll probably go back to normal, I guess, in 2022. The numbers should be a little bit lower than what we've experienced recently.

George Doumet
Equity Research Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay. Just one last one before I go. On general on M&A, have you noticed the gap between acquisition multiples in Canada and the U.S. maybe widened more than usual? Maybe as a result, should we expect maybe a higher cadence of smaller deals in Canada? Just your thoughts there.

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Well, for a certain period of time, the SPAC market was really hot for restaurants, so the expectations of multiples became really high in the U.S. I think now that the SPAC market is not completely dry, but I think it's a little bit cooled down on you know restaurants. I think the multiples are going back to multiples that are you know to you know numbers that are a little bit closer to historical averages. Yeah, there's always been a certain gap between U.S. and Canada. It's not different than it was historically.

I think the gap is more where in terms of the size of the deal, where, you know, the smaller deals will command normal multiples, and the larger the deal, the larger the multiple is going to get because private equities are getting more excited. We've seen some going for over 20x EBITDA. The size was gigantic, but 20x EBITDA is also really impressive. I think the larger the deal, the higher the multiple regardless of geography at the moment. I think we're going back towards normal levels, except for very large deals.

George Doumet
Equity Research Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay, thanks. Bye-bye.

Operator

Our next question comes from Sabahat Khan from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Sabahat Khan
Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets

Hey, thanks and good morning. Just a commentary earlier around some pricing that you took. I guess, what did you find the net impact to be? Are consumers generally accepting of price in this environment? Was there any surrounding traffic at all? Any comments on maybe different trends by banner when you took pricing?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah, we do take pricing. We have taken pricing in last year, and we are taking pricing at the moment as well. It's something we can't avoid, unfortunately, and our competitors are seeing the same thing. It's hard to know exactly the impact of pricing on traffic because there's just so many other factors that are at play, especially at the moment with COVID and restrictions and the new variants and government saying one thing one day and saying a different thing the next day. It's hard to really isolate the impact of pricing on traffic. Obviously customers, you know, prefer low prices. I'm certainly one of them. I think customers at the moment expect the price to go higher.

We are taking price the same way everybody else is taking price, so it doesn't necessarily mean anything in terms of our competitive positioning because everybody's taking very similar price increases. I don't believe the decline in traffic related to pricing is really material. I might be wrong. Again, it's hard to measure with everything that's going on at the moment. Yeah, I think customers are expecting pricing. You go to the grocery store, you see the prices go through the roof. You go pretty much anywhere, and inflation is really important. Restaurants are no different, and I don't think the impact on traffic is so material at the moment.

Sabahat Khan
Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, great. Just on the M&A, there's quite a bit of discussion on this earlier, but, you know, just in terms of the volume of deals, is it, you know, relative to what you may have expected a little while ago, just is there just a generally less, deal activity in the space? Do you think it's because, you know, restaurants are generally faring better coming out of the pandemic than maybe we would have thought? Just your comment on the volume of activity across North America.

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

It's starting to get back to normal. For a while it was really quiet. You had these restaurant operations that did really well, that wanted to ride the wave a little longer, and you had these restaurant operations that really struggled and didn't want to go for fire sale prices. Everybody was just sitting on their assets. I think now the deal flow is going back towards something a little bit closer to normal. Pretty optimistic about the future. Obviously, there's no guarantees that we're gonna be able to make deals, but we're certainly happy to see deal flow and to have discussions with owners and bankers about potential acquisitions.

Sabahat Khan
Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks very much for the call.

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Glen from Raymond James. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Michael Glen
Managing Director, Raymond James

Hey, Eric, as you think about the past and your franchisee recruitment network, like the desire among new franchisees to come in and open new restaurants, like how would you characterize that? Has there been a change there? Do you see as strong demand in the past? Do you think it could be improved? Like how would you think about that?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

Yeah, we're really happy with that in terms of not only in terms of new franchisee acquisition, but also in terms of the desire of existing franchisees to open more stores. I think both are probably as close to historical highs that we've had. The pipeline is really good. It's a challenge now to find good real estate at reasonable prices and to build the stores. You know, there are some pieces of equipment that just don't exist on the market anymore, so we need to be patient. It takes time to convert a sale of a franchise into an existing store.

Where we used to have stores open in, you know, in 3 to six months, now we're talking about 18-24 months in some cases. It takes a lot longer. A lot of the sales and a lot of the new franchises that we've signed in, even in 2020, some of them are not even in a store yet just because construction and real estate is a little bit more complicated. We're really happy with where the pipeline sits. It's you know it's pretty good for the future.

Michael Glen
Managing Director, Raymond James

If we're thinking about this coming year, do you think that you can track closer to a net neutral type number on store openings and closures?

Eric Lefebvre
CEO, MTY Food Group Inc.

That's always our goal. You know, it's hard to control the closures. It's easier to control the openings, but at the moment, even the openings are hard to control because, you know, we have restaurants. There's an example now of a restaurant, a casual dining restaurant that's ready to open and the HVAC equipment won't be available for another six months. I mean, it's hard to open without an HVAC system even though the restaurant is ready. Even the openings are a little bit more difficult to control now. We're always pushing to be net positive, and that's been an objective of ours for a long time. I think we'll get there at some point.

When exactly that's going to happen, I wouldn't be able to make a prediction on that.

Michael Glen
Managing Director, Raymond James

Okay. That's all for me.

Operator

We have no further questions in queue. This will conclude today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Powered by