Nexus Industrial REIT (TSX:NXR.UN)
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8.09
+0.02 (0.25%)
At close: May 8, 2026
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Earnings Call: Q1 2022

May 13, 2022

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Nexus Industrial REIT first quarter 2022 results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star and zero. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Kelly Hanczyk, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Great. Thanks. I'd like to welcome everyone to the 2022 first quarter results conference call for Nexus Industrial REIT. Joining me today is Robert Chiasson, Chief Financial Officer of the REIT. Before we begin, I'd like to caution with regard to forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures. Certain statements made during this conference call may constitute forward-looking statements, which reflect the REIT's current expectations and projections about future results. Also, during this call, we will be discussing non-GAAP measures. Please refer to our MD&A and the REIT's other securities filings, which can be found at sedar.com for cautions regarding forward-looking information for information about non-GAAP measures.

As we look forward to the balance of 2022, we continue to be focused on growing our platform, the continued high grading of our portfolio, and executing on a capital recycling program as we move out of some office and retail assets as well as some non-core industrial assets. In the first quarter, we have closed on an additional nine high-quality industrial buildings totaling CAD 236.5 million at a blended cap rate of 5.12%.

In addition, we are under contract for four additional properties, a brand new build, strong covenant distribution center in Ottawa to be completed in January of 2023, one in London, which is in the process of having a 150,000 sq ft new addition being built and expected to be completed by mid-2023, and approximately 85,000 sq ft building, new build-to-suit to be built in Balzac, Alberta, with one of the REIT's existing tenants, which is expected to be completed in the late fall of 2023. REIT is also in due diligence on a 94,000 sq ft strong tenanted industrial facility in Quebec City. There are several additional assets that were in varying stages of discussions, that we hope to come to fruition over the next several months.

As you can see, we have an active pipeline of deal flow. With our current liquidity and available funds from our capital recycling program, we'll be able to execute on a significant amount of additional industrial acquisitions throughout the balance of 2022. We have 22 acres of excess land at the Titan industrial site in Regina, one that we recently closed on, that was acquired in February 2022. We also have the option to transact on 10 additional acres of land at the Acropolis warehouse facility located on the Edmonton Airport grounds. We have engaged an architect, and they're having renderings created for these parcels of excess land. We plan on presenting these renderings to some existing tenants to find one that we can complete a build-to-suit.

One of the REIT's existing tenants in Edmonton has expressed a possible level of interest in both of the sites. We're also in the process of submitting to the city of London on a 100,000 sq ft spec addition at our property at 1,285 Hubrey and a 33,000 sq ft expansion for one of our existing tenants at 5 Cuddy in London. We're also exploring a development program with RFA Capital, where the REIT will participate in the development, which would provide a pipeline of high-quality distribution facilities in the future. In Richmond, BC, we continue with the redevelopment of our 60,000 sq ft building for two tenants. Both tenants' rent will commence once they take possession of the space. It's still expected completion and possession to occur sometime in July of this year.

As mentioned previously, upon completion, our NOI will increase by approximately CAD 165,000 a month. We also are planning the 74,000 sq ft addition, which would provide a significant lift to the REIT's NAV. We'll also be applying at the same time for bonus density, which, if approved, would allow for additional sq ft to be built in the future. In Montreal, we continue to work with a developer on the sale of some excess land at Ville Saint-Laurent. The developer is still moving along nicely with their approvals from the city, and it is still anticipated a closing of the transaction toward the end of the year, which will allow us to realize our first payment from the developer. In our recently acquired London portfolio, 2022 is a solid year for renewals and new leasing.

We'll see huge growth there. We have approximately 345,000 sq ft expiring throughout the year, and it looks like we're averaging an overall 30% increase in rental rates with significant yearly increases. The portfolio also has a similar renewal square foot profile in 2023, which we are expecting to renew at approximately, I'd say, 50%-75% premium to the existing rates. Vacancy in London continues to be an all-time low, and the fundamentals remain really strong. On the disposition front, we still have our three suburban Montreal office properties currently being marketed. A mixed-use office retail and a single tenant retail property are about to go under a purchase and sale agreement.

In addition, our retail mall in Victoriaville will be launched for sale once we have completed a lease extension and expansion with one of our largest tenants, which is expected to be in our hands shortly. We're also in the process of dealing with an unsolicited offer for a portfolio of non-core assets that would allow us to recycle this capital in the future. I'm also pleased to announce, as part of their semi-annual review announced last evening, Nexus Industrial REIT has been added to the MSCI Small Cap Index, which changes will take effect on May 31st, so very positive for us. Now I'm going to hand it over to Robert Chiasson to give greater detail of the REIT's financials.

Robert Chiasson
CFO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Thanks, Kelly. In November 2021, we issued approximately 13.4 million units, primarily in respect of a bought deal equity offering. Roughly half those units were included in our weighted average units outstanding for Q4, and they were fully included in Q1 2022. We started Q1 2022 with CAD 82.3 million of cash on our balance sheet, which was deployed as partial purchase price consideration in the completion of CAD 236.4 million of acquisitions. At the end of Q1, we had CAD 150 million of recently acquired properties that were unlevered, representing capital to deploy for future acquisitions. Acquisitions completed in Q1 2022 generated approximately CAD 1.6 million of cash NOI and are expected to generate approximately CAD 1.5 million of additional cash NOI in Q2 2022.

The timing of our RSU grant, with one-third vesting in the quarter, increased G&A expense for Q1 2022. G&A expense related to RSUs will be approximately CAD 500,000 lower in Q2 2022. In connection with the acquisitions completed in the first quarter, we entered into mortgages totaling approximately CAD 130 million, including three mortgages with an aggregate value of CAD 109 million, which were financed for terms of seven and ten years at rates of 3.18% and 3.28%. Our same-store NOI for the quarter was impacted by vacancies at our office property in New Brunswick, where the impact of the pandemic had 25,000 sq ft come back to us last April and a further 13,000 sq ft come back to us at the end of November.

We had a 22,000 sq ft industrial space that was vacated on November 1st. There are currently discussions with three potential tenants for this space. Acquisitions completed over the course of the last year were the primary contributors of approximately CAD 800,000 of straight line rent in the quarter. Properties acquired have embedded steps in rent. As Kelly mentioned, we expect to see some significant lift in new leases and lease renewals in the second half of the year, particularly in London, Ontario, which will bolster our same-store NOI. A 100,000 sq ft addition at the Ajax property that we co-own was completed at the beginning of the quarter. This brought online approximately CAD 100,000 of quarterly NOI.

The redevelopment of the 60,000 sq ft space at our Richmond, BC property is expected to be completed in the second half of the year, and we'll see approximately CAD 165,000 a month of incremental NOI. For the remainder of 2022, we have approximately CAD 24.5 million of mortgages at a weighted average 3.17% interest rate that will mature. In 2023, we'll have approximately CAD 49 million of mortgages with a weighted average interest rate of 4.26% that will mature. We're not significantly exposed to the recent rising interest rate environment. I'll now turn it back to Kelly.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Thanks, Rob. We'll open up the line for any questions that you may have.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. You will hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. We will pause for a moment as callers join the queue. The first question comes from Brad Sturges of Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Hey, guys. I'm gonna apologize in advance. I was trying to keep up with some of so many initiatives you're working on and trying to keep pace with that. You've got a lot going on. I guess I just wanna start with on the intensification of the excess land, the expansion opportunity. Can you just walk through some of the opportunities again on Edmonton and Regina, the size and scope of the projects potentially, and what type of returns you could get there?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah, I'm not 100% sure yet. Regina has 22 acres of land, and we're in the process of getting, we've got an architect drafting for that and possibly in Edmonton, so on the 10 acres. I'm not sure the size and scale yet. It's a separate parcel. We have the choice of we could do one facility or we could do three, the way it's laid out. I don't know on the square footage yet, and we haven't gone on pricing. But I would imagine it would be somewhere with costs where they are probably in a, in the 6%-7% yield, I would say, or maybe closer to 7%.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. It's still too early to

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Too early for you to provide guidance on that yet. Okay.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah. London's a little different. London, where we actually are in the process of going to the city with 100,000 sq ft of spec, and I would think somewhere around 7% development yield we can get on that one. Our 33,000 sq ft expansion, that's pretty far down the line as well, and we know that's going to be somewhere between around a 10% yield.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

At this time, would more or less of this pipeline be starting construction maybe 2023 at this point?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

For sure. Yeah.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Yeah.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah. Once we get approval, right, then we would have to order the steel and whatever. The steel is quite a steal, apparently quite a lead time.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Understood on that front. Can you just touch on a little bit more to the extent you can on the unsolicited offer for some of the non-core assets?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Sure.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

I assume that's more on the some of the, I guess, the industrial assets that you identified last call that could be a potential for a capital recycling, but could you just touch on that a bit more?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah. It's fairly significant. I wanted to mention it because it is something we're looking at doing. We do have an offer in our hands. We haven't press released it, so I'm not going to say the size and scale, but it would be what we would call our non-core distribution, you know, our core assets and our distribution centers and things like that. It would have been earlier assets that we picked up. There's still, you know, a fair bit of negotiation back and forth that has to be done. I'm hoping to have more information relatively soon, which at that point we would issue a press release.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Yeah. Okay. Makes sense. Just last question before I turn it back. Just on the asset sale side for the I guess the CAD 55 million listed for sale. Does the changing or evolving interest rate environment has that impact the potential pricing at all there? Are you still pretty comfortable in terms of achieving your expectations for pricing there?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

It's affecting it. I think things are changing slightly. We did have two of them under contract that have dropped off with someone. We've remarketed them, and we have significant interest in them. It's whether we get what we want. That's what. It's going to be close, I think, to our ask, is my best guess. There is still significant interest. I think the big one that will help garner the most will be the mall in Victoriaville, because that has very strong tenant base with good term and, you know, service oriented, the entire Dollarama, Metro. Very, very well tenanted. There's pretty good demand for that type of product.

I think that one will garner a huge amount of interest, and I think that pricing on that will still be pretty good.

Brad Sturges
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. That's great. I'll turn it back. Thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from Kyle Stanley from Desjardins. Please go ahead.

Kyle Stanley
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Real Estate, Desjardins

Thanks. Morning, guys.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Hey, good morning.

Robert Chiasson
CFO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Morning.

Kyle Stanley
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Real Estate, Desjardins

Just one question with regards to the mark-to-market and the leasing spreads you're seeing. I mean, it sounds like the rent growth opportunity in London and your Montreal industrial portfolio is very strong. If you had to today, where would you peg the mark-to-market portfolio-wide?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

We're in the process and we don't have it done. We'll hopefully have it out there for next quarter. On the industrial, it gets mixed up with some of the retail, and we do have a large number of retail tenants right now still. You know, the London, you know that's the big one, right? In Montreal too, but we just don't have as much expiry in the short term in Montreal. But I still got stuff that we have done. We've done, I think, a new lease with, I don't know, 10,000 or 15,000 sq ft, where I think we achieved CAD 12 rents, where the expiring rent was CAD 6. And one of the tenants who took it is our existing tenant, and he's expanded.

He's done an early renewal, and he wanted to secure the rate. I think he's locked in at 12% and is expiring at around 6% as well. In Montreal on things that we do have coming up or expiring, we'll see, you know, 50%-100% increase in rent from where we are. In London, you know, we're pretty close on all these deals here, so it looks to be a blended overall, like about a 30%. But then with some significant yearly increases as we get guys right up to market. Next year, when I look at that profile expiring there, it's over 300,000 sq ft again.

I think that one's more towards a 50%-75% premium to the existing rates, because some of them are pretty low compared to market. Those are our big expiries coming up, and those are the ones that are big drivers of growth.

Kyle Stanley
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Real Estate, Desjardins

Okay. Makes sense. Thanks for that. Just moving to, I guess, the acquisition side of the business. Your commentary suggests, you know, the pipeline remains very strong. It sounds like you've got some more deals under contract that are new. You know, in the context of the rising rate environment, do you expect that to impact volumes? You know, acquisition volumes this year and, you know, are there any larger portfolios out there that maybe you could take a run at? Or is it really gonna be kind of one-off, two-off type transactions?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Well, it's. Let me put it in context. I think the cap rate environment has changed things a little bit. I've seen things on some of the pricing. Maybe it's 50 basis points on a cap rate here and there, where guys were looking for 4%, now they're, you know, at 4.5% or whatever. The things that we're looking at here or that we have are, I'd say, some of them we had already done. There are future PSAs, but newer deals are in the 5s. We are looking at something, believe it or not, in the seven. We're kind of targeting in that 5% cap range now. That's overall product that we're trying to secure unless they have some significant rent growth opportunity in it.

There are some big portfolios. There are some out there right now. There's some CAD 300 million-CAD 400 million portfolios that are floating around. I would say the odds of us going after one is slim right now, just considering our cost of capital and the size of them. Now in saying that, if we're lucky in recycling the capital that we think we could, that's this thing. It's kind of a moving puzzle right now to put all the pieces together. We're kind of doing it as some deals come to fruition. If we're successful on recycling the capital, well, that puts us in a fairly liquid position. Really going to depend.

Kyle Stanley
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Real Estate, Desjardins

Okay. Just last one for me, looking at Richmond, you mentioned applying for maybe some additional development space. Are you able to provide any details there?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah, sure. We are going to go in and redo for a permit for the 74,000 sq ft addition. I've put it on hold for now, but I think we will go because I think the amount of lift that we can get from that project is huge. Getting the bonus density and going for it now, whether we build it or whether we just have that value attached to the project, it's extremely valuable. As you know, Richmond has no land. Land is CAD 8 million-CAD 10 million an acre.

To be able to have that density, too, whether we stayed in the project or we moved on or we kept going because I don't see that many opportunities that you can get that type of lift just from the demand for product there. Cap rate's really low, rental rate's really high. It's a good combination for us. That would be down the line. Getting the bonus density and having that would just be extremely valuable.

Kyle Stanley
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Real Estate, Desjardins

Okay, great. That's it from me. I'll turn it back.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from Gaurav Mathur from iA Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Gaurav Mathur
Director and Equity Research Analyst, IA Private Wealth

Thank you, and good morning, everyone.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Good morning.

Gaurav Mathur
Director and Equity Research Analyst, IA Private Wealth

I have two quick questions, and I'll begin with the first one. Now, we've seen, you know, the Amazon jitters persist among equity market investors. Just from your viewpoint, how do you think investors should think about the Amazon narrative and focusing on in a market such as London and some of the industrial markets that you're targeting in your acquisition pipeline?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Listen, the London, our London portfolio, I'm extremely high on. The demand is through the roof right now, and there's no supply, so there's not much coming on either. We're hugely positive on Southwestern Ontario. We mentioned some development opportunities with RFA Capital were in Hamilton area, which I think is another future node right by the airport. That's going to be hugely successful for us. Edmonton and Calgary, we're starting to see rental rate traction in growth there. That we were in there before was great. You know, Amazon, I think maybe they had with COVID and the amount of demand on online, I think them slowing down, I don't think is a huge deal, to be honest.

Like, they're still building 3 million sq ft in London, and that's a huge project. I think slowing down still means they're still taking on a huge amount of space. When you look at the market as a whole, right, I think where we're situated, you know, if we're going to go into Hamilton, if we're in Southwestern Ontario, these moves by Amazon into London can only benefit the existing guys that we have. Right?

Gaurav Mathur
Director and Equity Research Analyst, IA Private Wealth

Right.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

I'm hugely positive on the market's going.

Gaurav Mathur
Director and Equity Research Analyst, IA Private Wealth

Okay, great. I think that's in line with what we're thinking here as well. Last question, I'm just going to come back to the acquisition pipeline again. You mentioned, you know, you're looking at going in cap rate, which is at a 5 cap or at max at a 7 cap. Just out of curiosity, what would that mean on a stabilized basis?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah. You know, when we're looking at some of these, let me just think. One of them we have, it's in the 5 cap, and I believe it has 2.5%-3% increases. The one that would be the higher cap rate one is, I think, one. It's at that cap rate, but it's in a bit of a new market for us. It also has some vacancy that could come up in 2-3 years that I think we could turn and get a higher rate on that.

The other two new builds are kind of more stabilized assets. I mean, our London one, we know we have it at a 6 cap with a 150,000 sq ft new addition. That'll be at a six, but it has also the ability to build another 150,000 sq ft on it. We've just been a little bit more picky, I guess, on assets we're chasing. I think we've seen it across the board in the acquisition. Some guys have dropped out where maybe they're smaller investors, they're taking a breather and dropping out, and we're not chasing 4.25 caps anymore. It's pretty tough to make that accretive. We're just looking at different opportunities and leveraging the relationships that we have.

Gaurav Mathur
Director and Equity Research Analyst, IA Private Wealth

That's great. Thank you for the color on that, Kelly. I'll turn it back to the operator.

Operator

The next question comes from Matt Kornack from National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Matt Kornack
Real Estate Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Hey, guys. Just wanted to quickly follow up on that line of thought with regards to cap rate expansion. I mean, for a market like London, where it seems like rent growth expectations have been outstripping inflation and expectations generally, like, are you still seeing guys willing to bid aggressively? I mean, you saw some pretty dramatic cap rate compression in that market. But is it markets where you're not expecting to get the same level of rent growth that are seeing the expansion? Or is it across the board?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

I'd say, London is still a pretty active market. You know, if anything, maybe some smaller guys have dropped out, but there's still a lot chasing. There isn't a lot of product for sale right now, there, so it's kind of stable. I think where I saw some of the cap rate, you know, it's maybe in the Edmonton area or Calgary, and it's minor. Like, you gotta understand that Edmonton went from sleepy, where no one wanted to be in it, to where all of a sudden a bunch of guys came in because the cap rate differentiation between there and Ontario, for example. We saw new faces in there bidding against us, and it started to push things up.

I think it's just kind of leveled off there a little bit. I'd say in Western Canada, where rents aren't growing as rapidly, but they're starting to grow, and I think it actually looks like they're getting significant traction now. I just feel that the market there was, you know, everyone was pushing forecasts and, you know, that was it was still Edmonton and the growth wasn't as robust as Ontario. I think it's just come off, you know, for the brand-new high quality assets come off a little bit there. When I say come off, when you look at those quarter-over-quarter CBRE reports or whatever, I always feel they're lagging a quarter or two. It'll all come out in the next, I guess, several quarters.

I think the expectation if someone was out with a 4.25 cap portfolio that, you know, they're now thinking maybe it's 4.5, 4.6. It has affected it there. I don't think it's affected it in Ontario at all.

Matt Kornack
Real Estate Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Fair enough. No, that absolutely makes sense. Now, on the flip side, does that present maybe an opportunity to reengage in those markets or look back at them? Because I don't know what your thoughts are, but looking just at the occupancy trend in both Edmonton and Calgary, it seems like we may have a Ontario-type rent growth situation there a few years out from now if that continues. Yeah, just thoughts on that market generally.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah, 100%. You know, we were one of the first guys in there. I think we'll be beneficial for us, especially on a lot of the assets that we just closed on. We have a fairly strong network there, so we're seeing a lot of assets there. I think we'll still be highly active because I think you will start to see the rent growth occur there a little. I don't think you're gonna get Ontario-like rent growth, but you're gonna get pretty significant rent growth is my guess.

Matt Kornack
Real Estate Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Fair enough. Just your commentary around London and the near-term maturities. It looks like it's a little bit over half or around half of your maturing space. Is the rest of that a mix of retail and industrial, or is it more retail heavy? Just trying to gauge what spreads would be and what impact that would have. I think Kyle addressed it, but any further color you can provide there would be helpful.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Yeah, I'm trying to think of. Of the main portfolio, it's about 1.2 million sq ft, so call it half of it is expiring, right, in this year and next year. In the rest, and I'm looking, there's some longer-term deals, you know, 2028s. Nothing too huge in 2024. The next two years, I think, are the big turn that we have. The rest of it is longer term, but it's all industrial.

Matt Kornack
Real Estate Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. No, no, fair enough. I'm just thinking relative to your total lease maturity profile over the next two years. It seemed like London was around half of the amount of space maturing. Is the remainder industrial space outside of London, or is it retail and office assets that are coming to maturity?

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

I would say it's a mixture of retail, office, but the majority is on the industrial side.

Matt Kornack
Real Estate Equity Research Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Fair enough. That's great. Appreciate the color and, congrats on the quarter.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Hanczyk for any closing remarks.

Kelly Hanczyk
CEO, Nexus Industrial REIT

I wanna thank everybody for attending, and we'll talk to you next quarter.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.

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