Quarterhill Inc. (TSX:QTRH)
Canada flag Canada · Delayed Price · Currency is CAD
1.490
+0.020 (1.36%)
May 1, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q4 2023

Mar 15, 2024

Operator

Good morning and welcome to Quarterhill's Q4 and Fiscal 2023 Financial Results Conference Call. On this morning's call we have Chuck Myers, CEO, and Kyle Chriest, Chief Financial Officer. At this time all participants are in listen-only mode. Following management's presentation we will conduct a question-and-answer session during which analysts are invited to ask questions. To ask a question please press star one on your touch phone to register. Should you require assistance during the call please press star zero. Earlier this morning Quarterhill issued a news release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31st, 2023. This news release along with the company's MD&A and financial statements are available on Quarterhill's website and on SEDAR+. Certain matters discussed during today's conference call or answers that may be given to questions could constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated.

Risk factors that could affect results are detailed in the company's annual information form and other public filings that are available on SEDAR+. During this conference call, Quarterhill will refer to adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS. Please refer to the company's Fiscal 2023 MD&A for full cautionary notes regarding the use of forward-looking statements and non-IFRS measures. Finally, please note that all financial information provided is in Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified. I will now turn the meeting over to Mr. Myers. Please go ahead, sir.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Great, thank you. Good morning everyone and thanks for joining us on today's call. In terms of the agenda today I'll discuss the results for the quarter and the year as well as our acquisition announcement today of Red Fox I.D. after which Kyle will take a look at key financial results and after Kyle we'll open it up for questions. So thanks, we'll get started. 2023 was a year of transition for Quarterhill as most of us know with important changes made to the Board and management and that really set the stage for a greater focus on the operational excellence throughout the company. 2023 wasn't without its challenges but we finished strong in Q4 and we believe we've entered 2024 with a stronger foundation in place to kind of drive top-line growth and margin expansion.

I joined the Board in May of last year and became CEO in September. Kyle was named Interim CFO in May. A nd as noted in our earnings release today, Kyle, I'd like to congratulate, is now our permanent CFO. He's done a fantastic job in helping me clean up and fine-tune operations and getting us positioned for our next growth phase. At the Board level in 2023 Rusty Lewis was named Chair and Bill Morris and I were both appointed as Directors. The Board currently stands of six members, four of whom have been added in the past two years. A number of these changes naturally coincided with the sale of Wi-LAN, the patent licensing firm. With that transaction completed we are now a pure-play ITS business in tightened strategic focus and simplified profile to the street.

The transaction laid the groundwork for my joining as CEO and it added our cash balance sheet in support of organic growth as well as tuck-in acquisitions. As I discussed on our Q3 call, my focus since becoming a CEO has been to visit our facilities, customers, and teams with an eye on finding efficiencies, optimizing operations, and continuing the integration of our ITS business units. I've been impressed with the depth and the collaboration amongst the team and with the assets and opportunities we have to capitalize on. As expected this has led to a few other changes within the organization here in 2024 as we fine-tune the leadership team. Earlier this week David Sparks joined Quarterhill as Executive Vice President of Strategy and Rish Malhotra who led our enforcement unit departed the company.

These changes were made with an eye to further integrating the company, streamlining our structure, and executing on our growth plan. With the enforcement unit, we won't be naming a new CEO per se and for the time being the unit is being co-led by a couple of veterans on the team. Dave Sparks is a great addition. He's a recognized thought leader in the transportation industry and his experience in ITS, tolling, and RFD transit and more. Most recently he was Senior Vice President at WSP, one of the world's top engineering and professional services firms. His deep ITS roots a nd early in his career, Dave worked with Rusty Lewis and I at TransCore. Dave has experience managing large projects, identifying and executing client opportunities, and developing strategies to expand business into new markets.

In the near term he is focused on advancing some of our large tolling projects and will ultimately shift the majority of his focus to strategy and growth. Integration was a big theme in 2023 and our efforts continue into 2024. We are near completion of our One Company initiative where we are shedding IRD and ETC banners in favor of one name which is Quarterhill. This means a more streamlined, simplified organizational structure with one public-facing presence, one website. This will roll out shortly. IRD and ETC are respected brands in the industry. B ut there's a continuity of key relationships between teams, customers, and industry contracts and we don't anticipate any disruption at all. This is a logical evolution of the integration that began last year and frankly one that's long overdue.

While our core operations in North America, Quarterhill is a number of smaller businesses worldwide, predominantly in the business. As part of our integration, I've done a deep dive on these operations to identify those that aren't really strategically important and don't make us that much money and consume a lot of management time. The goal is to exit businesses that check those boxes. Transaction in our PAT Traffic operations in Chile and Mexico in the fourth quarter. This was a relatively small transaction valued in the low single-digit millions that generated some cash. Over the course of this year there could be more that we look at doing something similar with. In our 2023 financial review touch on our strategy and outlook more in a moment, but first a quick review of the 2023 financial.

I'm very pleased with how we.. And a half.. [audio distortion] CAD 1.5 million in Q4 last year. So full year revenue was $194.3 million up 22% a djusted EBITDA.. 2022 [audio distortion] margin improvement. This was due to steady performance from our enforcement business, improved execution in our tolling implementation, and keeping close eye on expenses. Looking more closely at our business units at the start of 2023, we had seven major tolling projects in the implementation phase which helped generate that significant backlog I just mentioned. While we spoke previously of the challenges on a few projects in 2023 we nonetheless made important progress advancing each of these through implementation and towards the operations phase. Several have moved into the operations phase while others such as Orange County, Alameda have one or two roads go live with us [audio distortion] in the past five years. [audio distortion] 2024.

[audio distortion] t he first six months just on cleanup, stabilizing operation, and continuing the business to grow including opportunities such as Red Fox. From this point forward I'll be pivoting to spend most of my time driving growth in the business. Quarterhill is very well positioned to be a lead in ITS but simply we want to be number one or number two in the markets [audio distortion]. As I mentioned on our last call not to expect any major shifts in strategy in the near term we focused on growing our tolling and enforcement units. I want to talk about three areas where we continue to strengthen our existing operations and expanding our capability. In Europe [audio distortion] o f the opportunity we're looking at. We're a global business today.

Our enforcement unit operates in more than 80 countries around the world and we look to leverage its deep... revenue center.

Operator

I apologize for interruption, Chuck. We're having some audio issues on your line. Is it possible that you can try reconnecting because your line's breaking up quite badly?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Yeah. I'll redial in.

Operator

Okay. Apologies for that and apologies to the attendees. We'll restart as soon as we have Mr. Myers back on the line.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Hello. I've rejoined the conference. Hopefully you guys can hear me okay. Can the moderator please give me clearance on that?

Operator

Thank you for joining Mr. Myers. Your line is sounding better. If you wouldn't mind if you can start at the integration section. That's where you started to break up.

Kyle Chriest
CFO, Quarterhill

Page six, Chuck. Top of page six.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Please jump in sooner if I start to break up. Thank you. I'm going to start with integration again, folks. Sorry about that. Integration was the biggest thing for me and we're near completion of our One Company initiative where we'll be shedding the IRD and ETC banners in favor of one name which is going to be Quarterhill. This means a more streamlined and simplified structure with one public-facing business, one website, and toll rollout beginning this spring. IRD and ETC are respected brands in the industry but there's continuity of relationships, contracts, and we don't anticipate.

Operator

I'm sorry Mr. Myers. It's the operator again. Your line is starting to break up again.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Okay. Hey. Bear with me folks. I'm not quite sure what to tell you but I'll try without Wi-Fi. How does this sound right?

Operator

It's still breaking up. Currently. I'm not hearing you at the moment.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Yeah. Can you hear me now?

Operator

You broke up halfway through that sentence.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

How do I sound now?

Operator

That's sounding good.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Can you hear me now?

Operator

Yeah. You're sounding good.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Okay. Back to ETC. Please jump in if you don't hear me well. Your respective brands.. anticipating the disruption at all, is it logical?

Operator

You're still breaking up so.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Okay. I'm not quite sure what to do here. I'll be redialing back in.

Operator

Okay. Hey Chuck. Okay. Apologies for the delay to the audience. We now have Chuck back on the line.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Hello? Hello?

Operator

Yep. We can hear you.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Okay. Great. Sorry about that, guys. I've tried three different networks now, so hopefully this one's going to work. I'm going to start with our 2023 financial review. I'll touch on our strategy and outlook more at the moment. B ut first, quickly, a review of our 2023 financial and operational results. At a high level, I'm pleased with how we finished the year. Revenue for the quarter was CAD 58.5 million, up 46%. W hile adjusted EBITDA was CAD 3.2 million, up from -CAD 1.5 million in Q4 last year. For the year, revenue was CAD 194.3 million, up 22%. Adjusted EBITDA was CAD 3.8 million, up significantly from -CAD 10.5 million in 2022. A nd our revenue backlog stood at more than $520 million at the year-end. Kyle will discuss our numbers in more detail in a section.

The bottom line is that we made solid progress in 2023 with top-line growth and margin improvement due to steady performance from our enforcement business, improved execution on our tolling implementations, and keeping a close eye on expenses. Looking more closely at our business units at the start of 2023, we had seven major tolling projects in the implementation phase which helped generate that significant backlog I just mentioned. While we spoke previously of the challenges of the few projects in 2023, we nonetheless made important progress advancing each of these through the implementation towards the operations phase. Several have moved into the operations phase while others such as Orange County, Alameda, CTRMA have had one or two roads go live with others in progress and are on deck for transitions later this year.

Our enforcement business had a good year in 2023 and has largely been a measure of consistency and steady modest growth over the past five years or six years. Among other things, we expanded our footprint by closing businesses in two states in 2023, New Hampshire and Rhode Island. A nd in the first part of 2024, we completed a CAD 5.3 million contract in Tennessee, which is also a new state for us. So, strategy. I've spent the first six months focused on cleanup, stabilizing operation, and positioning the business to grow, including M&A opportunities such as Red Fox. From this point forward, I'll be pivoting to spend most of my time driving growth in the business. Quarterhill is very well positioned to be a leader in the ITS, simply put.

We want to be number one or number two in our markets and we think we have the foundation in place to achieve that. As I mentioned on our last call not to expect any major shifts in strategy in the near term as we remain focused on growing the world-class tolling enforcement units. While this largely remains the case, I want to talk about the three areas where we'll work to strengthen our existing operations and expand our capabilities in the addressable market. So hopefully folks are hearing me okay still. The first is to pursue tolling opportunities in Europe, where we're a global business today. Our enforcement unit operates in more than 80 countries around the world and we look to leverage its deeper presence in Europe to seek Tolling business there.

This is an area of integration and revenue synergy for the business that has potential to be a new growth driver. It involves drawing on the expertise and servicing capabilities of both tolling enforcement units. We'll do it at a reasonable pace. We're looking to make a bid or two in 2024 when I am putting shovels in the ground in 2025. We're going to focus on software. A second area of focus is R&D. I'm driving the focus on software development to support both the tolling and enforcement businesses and our penetration into other verticals. This is in keeping with my background as many of you know I've been in technology most of my life and recently ran an AI company that's building out its computer vision platform for transportation sectors of automotive, railway, and logistics. This is an area where we'd like to make a push.

My goal for Quarterhill is to drive a greater percentage of revenue and act a little bit more of a software company. It's not necessarily radical thinking. Our toll unit has invested more than CAD 50 million in its back office software. Both units offer some mild machine learning solutions within the product portfolio, so software is already a big part of what we do. Y ou can see that with the Red Fox acquisition as well. But we're doing more focused strategy in place to expand our capabilities. We have an excellent CTO in Mike Childress and established platform to work with . But with some modest investment in the team and technology, I think we could do a lot more for our customers and earn a lot more from them.

AI and machine learning will play a big role in our development and really the development of the transportation industry . And we really want to focus on these areas around visual technology, vehicle ID and classification as well as data mining and analytics. These two areas could have a positive impact on, or positive applications for both of our business units and the demand from the customers is there. Since joining Quarterhill, I've met most of our tolling customers. And they kind of crave new technology, and they have expressed a willingness to pay for it. The announcement of our acquisition of Red Fox falls into this category. Red Fox is a profitable growing provider of Automatic Vehicle Detection and Classification system software, AVDC, to the tolling industry. AVDC is responsible for the detection, classification, and tracking of a vehicle as it enters and exits a tolling facility.

AVDC is at the front end of any tolling transaction where accuracy and flexibility are essential. Red Fox Quantum software platform has a detection accuracy of up to 99.96%, and the ability to process captured data from both LiDAR and "in the pavement" loop makes it unique in the market at the forefront of advanced AVDC solutions. Our tolling unit is a customer of Red Fox Quantum software so we have firsthand experience with the quality, the performance, and the untapped potential of the product and the quality. Quantum is a type of solution we have on our technology roadmap and with Red Fox we're presented a compelling buy versus build opportunity.

With attractive financial terms, a recurring revenue model, and strong opportunities for growth, we think Red Fox is an excellent fit for Quarterhill and we want to welcome Steve and Andy and their team to the Quarterhill family. The next area we're going to be looking at in the future with no specific IDs at this point is to penetrate verticals in transportation ITS space such as logistics. Our increased focus on technology will be a key step in helping us penetrate this market and it's been largely the foundational technology to do it today. We'll be looking at intermodal terminals, ports, borders, asset management, and it's a logical extension of our tolling enforcement business today.

We're in the early stages of our go-to-market strategy and logistics but we believe the addressable market is here and it's probably larger than enforcement and tolling combined, and that developing these solutions is complementary to our existing verticals. In our outlook in terms of our outlook in 2023, we settled things down, grew our top line, and generated positive EBITDA for the year versus a big loss in 2022. In 2024, we look to build on this progress by harvesting our contracts, winning strategic opportunities, and growing both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. We plan to achieve this by remaining focused on growing our world-class ITS franchises in tolling enforcement while investing in our higher margin software applications and seeking expansion opportunities in the European tolling market and the logistics vertical.

Our goal is to achieve growth while generating reliable cash flow in order to build a healthy and sustainable balance sheet capable of supporting both our organic and acquisitive growth strategies. To sum things up, I'm really excited with our potential here at Quarterhill. We have a great team, deep industry experience, growth ambitions, and strong customer commitment. We have excellent ITS assets with good organic growth potential and opportunities through M&A to accelerate the growth or elevate our technology. We have a significant revenue backlog that provides good revenue visibility, and provides good visibility when integration changes we've made . And we have a good line of sight to becoming a positive cash flowing major player in the ITS industry.

Finally, as we execute our plan we think we bring a compelling investment and the opportunity to the street , and I look forward to being more active. This year telling our story and evangelizing the Quarterhill name. In fact, next week Kyle and I will be at the 36th Annual ROTH Conference in California participating in a one-on-one meeting with investors which will be Quarterhill's first time at that conference. We expect and continue to be active at the conference front in 2024 and keep you posted as those opportunities materialize. With that I'll pass it over to Kyle. Kyle?

Kyle Chriest
CFO, Quarterhill

Thank you, Chuck, and good morning, everyone. Before we get into the financials I want to let everyone know that with our Q1 2024 results, we will switch our reporting from Canadian dollars to U.S. dollars.

This reflects the fact that the majority of our revenue is contracted and paid for in U.S. dollars as well as our desire to add a senior U.S. exchange listing at the appropriate time. Secondly, please note that all discussion on quarterly and year-to-date financial numbers reflects only the results of our ITS business. Wi-LAN's financial results in 2023 and 2022 are reflected in the discontinued operations line items in our P&L and cash flow statement, as that business was sold in June 2023. With that I'll start with a look at revenue in the quarter. Q4 revenue was $58.5 million up 46% year-over-year. For the year, revenue was $194.3 million up 22%. We are very pleased with the strong finish to the year.

The increases for the quarter end year were due to growth from both tolling and enforcement units with some revenue pickup from Q3 as discussed on our last call. This was revenue generated by timing of materials and subcontractor deliveries on our tolling implementation projects. In the Tolling business, we did make good progress and had partial go-lives from CTRMA in Orange County that helped boost revenue in the fourth quarter. As Chuck touched on in his section, at the end of the year we had significant backlog of more than $520 million providing good visibility into revenue for the next several years. Of note a large portion of the backlog is higher margin contracted maintenance revenue versus implementation revenue.

With that said, for those tolling projects that have recently moved into the operations phase, margins tend to start out lower at the launch date and then rise over a period of a few quarters before stabilizing. Gross margin percentage in Q4 was 20% and 21% for the year compared to 25% and 24% in the comparative periods last year. The decrease in gross margin for two periods is primarily due to tolling implementation expense overruns that we've discussed throughout the year. Of note, the decrease in gross profit margin was partially offset by continuing steady performance in our enforcement operations. Selling, General, and Administrative expenses or SG&A were down significantly in Q4 and for the fiscal year. SG&A was CAD 9.2 million in Q4 compared to CAD 11.9 million in Q4 of 2022. For the year SG&A was CAD 35 million compared to CAD 48.6 million in 2022.

SG&A as a percentage of revenue in Q4 was 16% compared to 30% in Q4 last year. The decrease in SG&A largely reflects savings from our restructuring and integration activity in 2023 along with our ongoing focus on driving efficiencies and controlling costs. Looking ahead we anticipate that our SG&A expenses will increase year-over-year as we strategically invest in key areas of our business to drive long-term growth and innovation. We plan to allocate additional resources towards research and development initiatives and support some one-time initiatives aimed at fostering sustainable growth. With that said we have proven successful in eliminating costs from the business and driving efficiencies and we will be monitoring our R&D spend going forward very closely and I expect we will hold SG&A cost increases to under 10%.

Q4 adjusted EBITDA was positive for the third quarter in a row with CAD 3.2 million or 5.5% of revenue up from -CAD 1.5 million in Q4 of last year. For the year, adjusted EBITDA was CAD 3.8 million, a CAD 14.3 million improvement from 2022. Quarterly and fiscal 2023 adjusted EBITDA were up over their respective 2022 periods due to top line growth from both the tolling and enforcement units and from the integration and cost control initiatives completed over the last four to five quarters. For the outlook, we expect adjusted EBITDA to grow this year and to trend upward as we move throughout the year. As you know, Q1 is typically a seasonally slower period primarily due to lighter scheduling of projects in the winter and to weather-related delays. This generally results in a sequential dip in margin from Q4.

Further, I had mentioned the tolling projects that have recently moved into the operations phase for which margins tend to start out lower and then rise over a period of a few years before stabilizing. Turning now to the balance sheet. We ended the year with cash and cash equivalents of CAD 56.6 million compared to CAD 66.4 million at the end of 2022. December 31, 2023, we had working capital of CAD 104.6 million, which is up from CAD 71.5 million at the end of 2022. Cash used in continuing operations in Q4 was CAD 1.6 million compared to cash generated from continuing operations in Q4 last year of CAD 7.7 million. At the time of our Q3 call we had expected the cash flow would be relatively flat from Q3 to Q4.

However, due primarily to the timing on collections on certain contract milestone payments and to foreign exchange adjustments on cash, cash dipped at year-end. Our outlook for cash for 2024 is that we expect to generate positive cash flow for the year and to begin doing so in Q2. Due to the nature of our business, operating cash flows may vary significantly between periods due to changes in timing and working capital balances mainly with collections and payments and timing of milestones. Regarding the Red Fox acquisition, the total purchase consideration is $10.2 million for all the issued and outstanding shares of the company. As Chuck mentioned, Red Fox is growing and is profitable and we expected to generate approximately $1.4 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2024. As such, the acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive in both adjusted EBITDA and net income.

In closing on the heels of a strong Q4, our goal for 2024 and beyond is to generate robust cash flows and to manage expenses to build a balance sheet that can support both our organic and acquisitive initiatives. We believe we're making progress on this front, which we expect to continue during 2024. This concludes my review of the financial results and I'll now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question please dial star one on your telephone keypads now to enter the queue. Once your name has been announced, you can ask your question. If you find it's answered before it's your turn to speak, you can dial star two to cancel. Our first question comes from the line of Gavin Fairweather at Cormark. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Hey, good morning. Maybe to start with Chuck. N ow that you've had kind of six months to assess the end markets, the products, and the competitive landscape, curious if you have any kind of updated guideposts for organic growth, CAGRs, for ITS kind of over the long term. Can you guys hear me?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

There we go. Sorry about that. I had it on mute after all the shenanigans we had a few minutes ago. We expect the margins and the growth to continue somewhat what they've been. We still have some, as I mentioned before, I use the term "dust bunnies" that we're working on. B ut we feel much, much stronger where we are today than obviously we did a few months ago. Does that answer your question or you want to take another step on that?

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Yeah. I mean, I think we've talked in the past about maybe like a high single- digit organic gross CAGR. Do you feel like that's reasonable to achieve given the demand that you're seeing and where you sit competitively?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

I would say yeah, I would say we'll probably have a little more visibility into that, in the middle of the year. B ut we continue to see good opportunities. This past few months has really been about stabilizing the existing business, not spending a lot of time on bidding new projects. B ut that going into the new year where our aggressiveness level is going to go up in terms of how we pursue new opportunities.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Got it. Good to hear. And then, just on the tolling side, just curious around the initial margins after you kind of go live. W ould it be fair to say that they're still kind of higher than what you were seeing in the implementation phase and then kind of move higher from there, or are they kind of starting out equivalent to the implementation phase?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

That's a good [question]. We've had some reasonable success on renegotiating some contracts in the O&M phase with some higher margins. Even in the opportunities that we've a few opportunities we've been looking at, we're definitely bidding things at a little higher margin to take advantage of what we think is there . And maybe take advantage of what we think is some underappreciated benefits that we have inside the company. So, we intend to see those continue to improve.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

You've mentioned a bit of an increased pace of bidding on ETC accounts here. So, I guess I'm just curious what the volume of kind of pre-RFP opportunities or that your sales guys are in discussions on and whether you're seeing any kind of significant tenders that are in the market as well?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Yeah. It's two different things. We continue to see good movement in the enforcement business pretty consistent. We do in the Tolling business as people know there's a pretty strong backlog of bids coming up here in the future of RFPs to be issued. I think I always want to be cautious about when they come out because a lot of these customers are state and local contractors or public-private roads or public-private partnerships, that do tend to get a lot of let's call it dispersion in when they issue things. You might think something's coming out in March, and it comes out in June. So that's a tough question for me to answer. It's almost an annual type question rather than a quarter and a quarter question.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Okay, but you're still seeing good kind of.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Oh yeah, we see good opportunity. Yeah, there's definitely good activity, and we see a reasonably big pipeline coming out over the next 24 months-36 months for sure. 12 months-36 months.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

And then you touched on logistics in the script. Maybe we can just flesh out a little bit more fully why you view that as kind of a natural extension of the capabilities that you have in tolling and enforcement. And I'm also kind of curious how far along the path are you? Are you still kind of mapping out the strategy or are you starting to maybe look for some acquisition targets?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

I would say a little bit of both. I think that, the Tolling business in our enforcement business, is uniquely positioned. As you look at kind of how you do data plays in the logistics space and do tracking and monitoring of vehicles for various purposes in and out of ports, things like that, in and out of airports, you name it, shipping facilities. One of the hardest problems in those businesses is always getting the, let's call it, the land space. A lot of times if you're looking at things with cameras or with RF, the customers want it. They're willing to pay for it but they don't own the land or the space that you want to deploy on.

The advantage that this business has and we have so much "real estate" around the country in tolling and enforcement business we already have the access and the ability to harvest said data and that's why we see logistics as such a good side play for us. And so we do continue right now to look actively in some acquisition opportunities in the logistics space and also opportunities in the data area that could really be good corollaries and additives to our tolling and commercial vehicle business.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Okay and then just lastly maybe for Kyle. Congrats on the permanent role. Maybe one for you. We have seen a decent working capital build in 2023. Do you think that that can kind of mostly reverse here in 2024 as you kind of get your milestone payments?

Kyle Chriest
CFO, Quarterhill

Thank you very much Gavin and good question. Yeah, working capital is something we're keeping a close eye on. It has built up here. During the first quarter, we got enough visibility now 15 days out to know that we'll be dipping a bit. But certainly through Q2- Q3 we expect the working capital to be normalizing back to a reduced level, and to be bringing down the unbilled revenues and receivables. We're at the back end of several milestones on implementation contracts and some of these that were negotiated years ago had back-end weighted milestones that are to come on completion here.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Okay, thanks. I will pass the line.

Operator

Thank you. Just as a reminder if you do wish to ask a question please dial star one now. Our next question comes from the line of Todd Coupland of CIBC. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Yeah, good morning everyone. I wanted to talk to you about the market and the TAM, and Chuck you've been in the role now a little bit and you've followed this sector for a while as everyone knows. What's the right growth rate for this market and then how does that fit with your plans for Quarterhill's top line?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

I think that as you know Todd I like to be conservative on these things. So I think that there's the market has probably some pretty good growth rates in it. Obviously, the TAM of the Toll business as a whole is pretty large or still just in the SAM, just even in the U.S. market . There's definitely a $2 billion of pent-up demand right now . And I think that you're going to see a pretty consistent historical growth rate.

The exact growth rate I can't recall off the top of my head but it's 20% kind of thing. I do think the logistics and some of the data plays that sit on top of those are significantly higher growth rates as we move on and there is a lot of demand for frankly just information that comes off of our commercial vehicle systems, our tolling systems, and logistics systems. So I think there's an expansion of the wallet in the customer's wallet that may be bigger than the actual growth rate of new toll projects per se.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

And when you think about logistics, ports, and borders and things like that, you're in Texas and you're going to U.S. dollars. Is it U.S. buy requirements? I can imagine you'll probably satisfy those. What about the customer? Is it a crossover? Do you have to learn a new customer list or stand up a new go-to-market motion in terms of logistics? Talk about.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

You mean moving from Canadian dollars to U.S. dollars?

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Well, I don't think that probably matters very much but just.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

No.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

But the Buy American point.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Oh, going to European?

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Well, the Buy American point, I would imagine would be fairly strong in border deals and ports. Is that..

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

No, I don't suspect that's going to impose an issue.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Okay. Okay. And what about, is there knowledge of this market built into Quarterhill now or is it a full acquisition that's going to get you that?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

I think there's probably some tuck-ins. There's definitely some acquisitions that we've seen kind of get tossed over the transom. B ut we really want to get things settled down, and I think we've done. We still got work to do, but I think you can see that we settled things out a bit. A nd now we're going to spend more time in this year in looking at those, but making sure, very similar to the Red Fox . We're looking for accretive deals that we can afford, that the balance sheet can support, and those are the kind of deals that we're looking at. And it's going to be a different thing if we do a big acquisition in that area.

We'll probably definitely take a pretty hard look at things and make sure it's going to fit with the business. We don't want to make many mistakes in that area.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

And then when you look at your backlog how much of the 2024 would you say is already booked and how much do you have to go?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Maybe I'll let, I want to I know the number but I don't want to steal Kyle's thunder. You want to talk about that Kyle in round numbers?

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Hey, thanks. Yeah it's my first day on the job here so I can feel that one. Todd, we're expecting I'd say about 70% of our 2024 is already cooked in our backlog. But we also on top of that, there's a lot of contracts that have some significant renewals year-to-year. where we've been on site for a number of years and the renewals are relatively assured. A nd there's another 15%-20% of those contracts as well. They're not backlog until the date they're signed, but they're renewals that have been coming for a number of years.

I see. Sorry. Sorry, that's within the 70% or that's on top of the 70%?

Kyle Chriest
CFO, Quarterhill

On top. On top.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Okay. So you more or less have visibility on 2024. So what are the upside or downside levers beyond what you have visibility now? How should we think about that?

Kyle Chriest
CFO, Quarterhill

Some of it is still customer timing. We have the contract signed. They have some subcontract non-labor components and given customer demands, delays, infrastructure being ready ahead of us that could slip things out between the quarters. A nd we've seen that, I think just in Q3 last year, with the timing on some deliverables slipping into Q4 this year. That's one of the main drivers.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Okay. T hen if you have 70%-90% more or less line of sight for the backlog, what's the, if you can answer this question, the target EBITDA within that mix. Is it double digits? Is it high single digits? Can you give any color on that?

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

You want me to take that or you want to take that, Kyle?

Kyle Chriest
CFO, Quarterhill

No. Go ahead, Chuck.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

No, I was just going to say it's the same thing we've kind of said before. We want to get to double digit as quick as we can. A nd we kind of look at where our peers are, and if you look out, our kind of target is to get up to 20%. How fast we get there, we're kind of looking over a horizon of a couple of years to get there. S o, I don't really want to give much more than that because there's just so many, there's so many sensitivities from where we are and what kind of acquisitions and things that we do.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Very last question for me. So you obviously have a good size backlog. Maybe talk about the funnel. You're going to focus more aggressively on closing deals. Could we actually see the backlog with that stance grow faster than the revenue? Just talk a little bit about that. Thanks a lot.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

I would say it's good. That's possible. I think if you've noticed that I think Kyle's got in there right now about $520 million in contracted backlog and you'll notice that's up already. I think in the last quarter, I think we were at right around $500 million, so that has grown. In all honesty, Todd, I haven't looked at the deltas on that. That might be something we have to get back to you on.

Todd Coupland
Managing Director and Senior Technology Equity Analyst, CIBC

Appreciate it. Look forward to the year. Thanks a lot.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Hey, thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And there are currently no further questions in the queue, so I'll hand the floor back to Mr. Myers for the closing comments.

Chuck Myers
CEO, Quarterhill

Great. Hey. I wanted to welcome Kyle aboard. He's been working hard and has been working essentially as the CFO for the entire time I've been here as a regular CFO and done a terrific job. A nd I have to thank our team; it has just been spectacular. It's one of the most enjoyable companies I've ever worked at in my career, in terms of the quality of people that are here, so and I want to thank obviously thank our investors. We're here for the investors. We're really trying to put our best foot forward and do a great job for you and grow this company. A nd we're all super excited to be here, so thanks for taking your time. Thanks for putting up with our call in services technical difficulties and we look forward to a long relationship with our investors.

Operator

Thank you. This now concludes the conference. Thank you all very much for attending. You may now disconnect your line.

Powered by