SSR Mining Inc. (TSX:SSRM)
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Sep 14, 2026, 11:04 AM EST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2022

Nov 8, 2022

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to SSR Mining's third quarter 2022 results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there'll be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star then zero. I would now like to turn the conference over to Alex Hunchak from SSR Mining. Please go ahead.

Alex Hunchak
VP of Investor Relations, SSR Mining

Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining SSR Mining's third quarter 2022 conference call, during which we'll provide an update on our business and a review of our financial performance. Our third quarter 2022 consolidated financial statements have been presented in accordance with the U.S. GAAP. These financial statements have been filed on EDGAR, SEDAR, the ASX, and are also available on our website. To accompany our call, there is an online webcast. You will find the information to access the webcast in our news release relating to this call. Please note that all figures discussed during the call are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated. Today's discussion will include forward-looking statements. Please read the disclosures in the relevant document. Joining us on the call today are Rod Antal, President and CEO, Alison White, CFO, and Stewart Beckman, COO.

Now, I will turn the call over to Rod for his opening remarks.

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

Great. Thanks, Alex. Hello to you all, and thanks for joining us. In the third quarter, our business was clearly impacted by the suspension of the Çöpler mine. I'm pleased to report that operations restarted at the end of September and ramped up smoothly. Despite the bump in the road at Çöpler, our business remains in incredibly strong position with a robust balance sheet that has enabled us a capital returns yield of more than 5% over two consecutive years. Looking forward, we're in excellent shape with all four of our assets poised for a strong quarter four, where we expect to return to significant free cash flow generation. Some key points from the quarter. Reflecting on the negligible contribution from Çöpler and the delayed ounces from Marigold, we produced 107,000 gold equivalent ounces.

Year-to-date production is now 441,000 gold equivalent ounces. Our third quarter all-in sustaining costs were $1,901 per gold equivalent ounce after absorbing more than $30 million in cash costs incurred at Çöpler during the quarter. Year to date, our all-in sustaining cost is $1,331 per gold equivalent ounce. I'm gonna speak a little bit more about guidance later on in the presentation. Financially, our balance sheet and free cash flow outlook supported the repurchase of $100 million in shares under our NCIB year to date. Our aggressive execution on the NCIB, which was only announced in June, has the company on track for nearly $160 million in capital returns in 2022, a +5% capital return yield.

On the growth front, we received the EIA for the stage 1 at the Çakmaktepe extension project at Çöpler in the quarter. With the infrastructure construction underway, it keeps us on track for first production in 2023. As a reminder, the project will add more than 1.2 million ounces to the Çöpler life of mine plan for an incremental CapEx of around $70 million. The results from the C2 PFS are expected next year in an updated technical report for Çöpler, and we are planning to publish a new technical report for Marigold that will incorporate exploration success and potential production growth. At close of the year, we are planning to release exploration updates for Marigold, Seabee, and Copper Hill. This is in addition to the positive drill results we just released for the Çakmaktepe extension.

Lastly, we continue to execute on our strategy of redeploying proceeds from non-core asset sales in our core jurisdictions with the announcement of the Kartaltepe transaction in October. Let's moving on to the next slide on ESG. Now, I want to highlight our core values in the relation to some of the initiatives that we have. In 2022, we have continued to deliver against the goals outlined in our annual sustainability report. As an example, we continue to roll out our integrated management systems where full implementation is expected by year-end. Furthermore, we are progressing the development of a water stewardship strategy as we seek to continually reduce our environmental footprint going forward. There'll be more to come in our update early next year. On slide number five.

As we advance into 2023, it's worth highlighting our long-term stable platform of 700,000 ounces of annual gold production. With all operations returning to steady state in the fourth quarter, we remain confident in our ability to maintain and grow on this production baseline through 2030 and possibly beyond. A solid foundation, coupled with the abundant growth targets being progressed across the portfolio, means that this production graph is just the baseline for us to continue to build on. On to slide six As a company, we've established a proven history of discipline and accretive M&A, as well as project development. This includes the sale of Pitarrilla, which closed in the third quarter and was another piece in our non-core asset sales that have generated $245 million in sale value since early 2021, more than 2 times the Street consensus ascribed to those assets.

As I noted, we have successfully redeployed those proceeds into our core jurisdictions. First, with the Taiga acquisition, expanding our Seabee land package earlier this year, and most recently with the Kartaltepe transaction that expands our ownership in the entire Çöpler district to 80%. This more recent transaction provides material, operational, financial, and exploration synergies, including the elimination of future ore purchases, payments to account for the previously existing ownership differential. Çöpler is our cornerstone asset, and we are pleased to increase our exposure to the district's longer-term growth and excellent exploration potential. Given our strong track records of operations and project execution, as well as our robust balance sheet, we continue to thoughtfully evaluate strategic opportunities across the sector, but we remain disciplined in our approach. On to slide seven.

Over the last two years, we have returned our strong free cash flow generation, which is reflected in our capital returns programs. To that effect, so far this year, we've returned $144 million to shareholders through the base dividend and share buyback program. More impressive, since the beginning of 2021, we have returned more than 90% of our free cash flow generation to shareholders, which is delivering on one of the key promises post the merger. I just want to move on to slide eight and discuss the quarter. The key points that are relevant to consider at the end of the third quarter. Çöpler restarted, as I mentioned at the end of the quarter, and ramp-up of the sulfide plant has gone extremely well, which was a significant achievement for our team.

The year-to-date production of 441,000 ounces and all-in sustaining costs of $1,331 reflects the suspension of Çöpler and the delays of recovering gold at Marigold. With our operations back to steady state, we expect to return to strong free cash flow in quarter four and beyond. We're definitely excited by the stable of low capital intensity growth opportunities and continue to advance each one of these, where a number of updates are expected before year-end. Moving on to slide nine. Just want to make a few comments on guidance. We are on track for a strong quarter four, but have been unable to claw back the lost production and are now revising our full-year production guidance to 620,000 to 655,000 ounces. This reflects the slower-than-expected leaching of the stacked higher-grade ounces at Marigold, which Stu will elaborate on further, as well as the shutdown at Çöpler.

At Puna, they have done a great job in meeting the original guidance, but unfavorable metal prices have impacted the gold to silver ratio, meaning less GEOs on a conversion as compared to our original guidance. Finally, Seabee remains on track for the previously announced improved production guidance that was announced last quarter, which is a great result for that team. Our all-in sustaining cost guidance has increased to $1,315-$1,345 for gold equivalent ounce to reflect this new production guidance. This implies a quarter four production of around 200,000 ounces, and thus far in quarter four, we are on track to meet that target. As I mentioned, we have a number of exploration updates due before year-end. Moving into next year, we plan on releasing the PFS for C2 and a new technical report for Marigold.

Internally, we're encouraged about the future for each one of the assets and the exploration results this year continues to support this view. With that, I'm going to now turn the call over to Alison, who will then discuss our financial performance starting on slide number 10.

Alison White
CFO, SSR Mining

Thank you, Rod, and good afternoon or good day to everyone on the call. This quarter, we produced nearly 107,000 gold equivalent ounces, bringing year-to-date production to 444,000 gold equivalent ounces. Gold equivalent sales of 97,000 ounces in the quarter drove revenue of $167 million. Attributable net loss for the quarter was $26 million or a $0.12 loss per diluted share. Adjusted attributable net loss was negative $14 million, or a $0.07 loss per diluted share. It is worth highlighting that attributable and adjusted attributable losses include more than $40 million in care and maintenance costs incurred at Çöpler during the suspension of operations that occurred for almost the entire quarter. On the right side of the slide, I will touch on the reported $0.07 loss per diluted share that is calculated based on the company's definition of adjusted attributable net income or loss per share.

Attributable net loss of $0.12 per share was adjusted for transaction costs associated with the sale of Pitarrilla Tax adjustments and minor adjustments for foreign exchange fluctuations during the quarter. Turning to slide 11, we can talk about SSR's financial position. At the end of the quarter, the company maintained a cash and cash equivalent balance of nearly $800 million, with net cash of more than $450 million. The strong cash balance reflects $100 million in share repurchases, $44 million in dividend payments to shareholders, $53 million in debt repayment, and $35 million in dividends to joint venture partners thus far during 2022. With our existing net cash position and the expectation of a strong fourth quarter of free cash flow, I would like to reiterate our three priorities with respect to capital allocation within the business.

First and foremost, we will continue to reinvest in growth within the business, including our exceptionally high return C2 and Çakmaktepe extension projects, which will account for approximately $300 million in total growth capital through 2025. Second, we are committed to maintaining a robust balance sheet to weather volatility in the commodity price environment and to ensure all of our capital commitments, debt servicing requirements, and base dividend payments are fully funded even in the event of a potential downturn in the gold price cycle. Our base dividend at $0.07 a share can also weather gold price downturns, as it is payable to a gold reserve price of $1,350 per ounce. We expect $88 million remaining on the term loan to be repaid in full by the end of 2023.

Overall, we have generated $371 million in free cash flow or $300 per gold equivalent ounce produced since the start of 2021. We remain committed to capital returns to our shareholders as the third pillar of our allocation program. This year, we have repurchased $100 million in shares year to date. Coupled with our 40% dividend increase that was announced earlier this year, we have returned nearly $150 million to shareholders, marking our second consecutive year with a capital returns yield above 5%. Since the start of 2021, we have returned approximately $335 million to shareholders and produced 1.2 million ounces during the same period, returning $270 to shareholders per gold equivalent ounce produced in that period of time.

Considered in aggregate, we have a clear capital allocation framework in place that we routinely execute on, we will continue to be disciplined in our approach to capital returns well into the future. With that, I'll turn it over to Stu for an operational update.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Thank you, Alison. As always, I'll start with the HSMS. We were pleased to restart operations at Çöpler at the end of the quarter, following the completion of improvement initiatives required by the Turkish authorities. The suspension was disappointing, but did allow us to revisit a number of our processes and systems to improve our performance. The smooth start-up of operations is a testament to the work by the team. Positively and separately, we received a number of outstanding permits in Türkiye during the quarter. We will continue to work hard to maintain and build upon these relationships, ensuring positive contributions to our stakeholders and host communities. Safety and the care of our teams, communities, and the environment are core values, we believe are also foundational to the business performance. Moving on to slide 13, I'll talk about Çöpler.

At Çöpler, the operation ramped up smoothly in the third quarter, an impressive accomplishment by our team given the length of the suspension. As discussed on the Q2 call, we were able to accelerate maintenance on the autoclave one during the suspension, including the completion of partial relining of the face bricks. As a result, there is no scheduled major planned maintenance in the sulfide plant for the remainder of the year, allowing us to operate the autoclaves without major interruption throughout fourth quarter. Operating time and production was very limited in the third quarter, per ounce costs are not really meaningful. For the full year, we expect to produce 180,000 to 190,000 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,345-$1,375 per ounce. The reduced production guidance reflects our careful and measured restart of the operations, as well as later than expected access to oxide ounces.

With respect to the growth initiatives, we've received the EIA for the first phase of the operation at Çakmaktepe extension, and construction on infrastructure is well underway, and we remain on track to deliver first production in 2023. We are also progressing the C2 project through a PFS and expect to release the results of this more optimized project to the market next year. We're excited by the potential of both these high return, low capital intensity growth projects. The previously discussed Kartaltepe transaction will also help us to drive long-term costs and operational synergies while allowing the exploration team to sink their teeth into a number of highly potential exploration targets across the district without the extra complexity of mixed ownership proportions.

For example, at Çakmaktepe extension, half of the holes drilled in the October exploration release were on Kartaltepe grounds, growing the deposit across the lease boundary and further reinforcing our rationale for the transaction. Moving on to slide 14, we'll update on Marigold. Marigold again delivered quarter-on-quarter improvement, though production timing continues to be impacted by the stacking of finer material from the north pits. Production of 52,000 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,444 per ounce was behind expectations, but we are starting to see a positive trend with respect to leaching in the fourth quarter. A couple of the drivers for the slower than previously predicted leach rate were that we ended up with more tons of fine material presenting in the north pits than scheduled.

This is a good thing, and it was coincidental with less durable material coming from the Mackay Pit and drove the proportional fines in the heap leach up. Also, on advice from some subject matter experts, based on experience at other sites, we've started slowing the application of the leach solution when leaching is first started, with an aim to improve overall performance of the heap leach. As a result, reflecting on the year-to-date leach cycle delays due to the stacking of finer ore, as well as the lingering challenges with shovel availability, we now expect full-year production of 195 to 205 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,410 to $1,440 per ounce. The very poor performance of the Komatsu PC7000 shovels has been compensated for by delayed retirement of older dig units and we expect to stack at about the budgeted ounces by the end of the year.

Stacking of higher grade material continued in the quarter with more than 135,000 recoverable ounces stacked at a grade of 0.63 grams per ton, which is very high for Marigold, over the second and third quarters. In addition, October was a monster month with 48,000 recoverable ounces stacked to the pad in just one month. As a result, we are forecasting a strong production in late Q4, which will carry into the first half of 2023. Just as a comment, another comment, we have had a number of internal and external reviews of the heap leach performance across the year and are confident that the gold will be recovered and that it is just timing. Permitting continued to advance at Valmy, and the EA is expected of the expanded Valmy pit remains on track for 2024.

We have an exploration release coming in the next few weeks, which aims to bring more mineralization and ultimately reserve within the Valmy EA areas. We will build as much of this as possible into the updated Marigold technical report that we expect to release to the market in 2023. Move on to slide 15, please. CC&V Q3 was generally in line with plan. Following the record first half production, the mine continued to improve its underlying performance, but grades were lower. As a result of Q3, we expect to hit the lower end of our previously upgraded full-year production of 150,000-160,000 ounces, an extremely impressive outcome for the operation. All-in sustaining costs of $715-$745 an ounce is also in line with prior expectations. We are slightly ahead of schedule to mine a reserve area of very high grade later in Q4.

We are advancing exploration of the extension of that very high-grade zone that delivered the out of reserves spectacular first half production. This zone pinched out just below the last slope but appears to open back up a couple of levels down, and we expect that we will be able to mine this area in 2023. We just need to do a bit more drilling and prove up the zone before we can commit it to the mine plan. The plant has been operating at record throughputs, and it has a good-sized run-of-mine stockpile in front of it. Just as a reminder that the CC&V plant typically has capacity beyond that of the mine and usually operates with little to no ROM stockpile. There are many highly prospective targets for the future development of CC&V.

We have continued to advance drilling and modeling at the Porky West target, which is potentially open pit option for CC&V. If successful, Porky, along with extensions to the resource now being exploited, could potentially provide an exciting pathway to reframe CC&V. Most importantly, we continue to push hard on extending our understanding of the resources and reserves around the current mining areas, such as the testing of the very high-grade area that I mentioned earlier. Supporting the longer-term vision for CC&V, we are also judiciously exploring the many targets within the very large and CC&V and recently acquired Taiga tenement, aiming to bring more into our medium and long-term resource pipeline. Move on to slide 16, and I will briefly discuss Puna.

Puna continued its steady production and remains well on track for guidance of 8.25-8.75 million ounces of silver at an improved all-in sustaining cost guidance of $1,550 an ounce. Q4 has been another strong quarter so far for the asset, and we are really pleased with the team and their success in Argentina despite a number of local headwinds. Let's jump to slide 17. To highlight some of the exploration initiatives that we progressed through the quarter. We progressed exploration programs across the business in the third quarter and are preparing to release results from these efforts in the coming months. As you saw, resource development and extension drilling yielded a number of exciting results at Çakmaktepe extension, as we eye additional growth of the ore body to complement the production profile already outlined in the last technical report back in Q1.

In Türkiye, we have been having some great success drilling at the Copper Hill target, which is our copper prospect, surprisingly, in the Black Sea region. An update on that project is expected by the end of the year. I've already discussed Seabee exploration. In Nevada, exploration progressed both near mine and regionally. Drilling continues at Trenton Canyon and Buffalo Valley, and near-pit drilling at New Millennium is showing encouraging results. We have six rigs on site and are undertaking geophysical studies to grow our understanding of the opportunities. An update of these exploration wins is expected imminently, and some proportion of the New Millennium drilling should be included in our next update of reserves and resources. Lastly, at Puna, we kicked off drilling for the first time since 2018.

We're currently focusing on in-pit and near-mine targets, the team are really energized by some of the intercepts and grades that we've seen so far. The aim is obviously to grow the mine reserve and extend the current known life of the Chinchillas mine and Puna. Currently, we are exploring the distal and regional targets that show promise, delivering a much longer life at Puna. Drilling of some of the more regional targets around Chinchillas and Pirquitas will begin in the coming months. In summary, we plan to release exploration updates for Copper Hill, Seabee, and Marigold in the next few months, with the release of Puna next year. These exploration programs all aim to deliver a high return build-out of our medium and longer-term production profiles. Before I hand it over to Q&A, a goodbye.

It's been very gratifying being part of the team building up and transforming Alacer and then subsequently SSR. I leave the business in great hands with a fantastic management team, bolstered by my role being split into EVP Growth role, which John Ebbett is leading, and the new EVP Operations and ESG role. We have a fantastic business with huge potential. Both John and the new EVP Ops are very accomplished and capable, I'm sure that they'll leverage off our successes so far and lead the business to bigger and brighter achievements in the future. Thank you very much. Back to you, Rod.

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

Great. Thanks, Stewart, and thanks, Alison. I also just want to take the opportunity to recognize the significant contribution Stewart's made to the business, as he leaves all four operations in excellent shape and poised for a strong fourth quarter and beyond. We all wish him nothing but success for the future and note that Stewart's replacement will be announced very shortly. Our business is in very strong position, we're moving forward at full stride into the last quarter. With all assets back to steady state, we expect to return to strong free cash flow and have a number of potentially positive catalysts ahead. We look forward to sharing these updates in a steady flow of news releases over the coming months and presenting a much stronger result when we speak again early next year.

With that, I'm now gonna turn the call over to the operator for questions. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Antal. We'll now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Our first question is from Ovais Habib with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks, operator. Hi, Rod and SSR team. Just a couple of questions from me. At Marigold, Stewart touched on the fines that's at Marigold. I believe these are towards the north pits. Question is, do you have enough met test work completed around and in the north pits to be comfortable going forward in dealing with the fines? Also, is the high grade mostly located around the north pits as well?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Yes to all of your questions. Yes, the high grade came out of the north pits. We have done the test work, and as I said in my talk, we've had a number of different people review those, and we don't believe that we have any problem with the heap leach. Based on their experience from other sites, we expect that we'll eventually see this, the gold. As you can see, we've sacked quite a lot of gold. We did sack it quite late as well. We're expecting this wave of gold to come out to us over this quarter and into the next quarter. We have practically finished mining the fine material as well.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

That's the mining of the fine material was ended in Q4? Was that at the end of Q3 or that's?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

It's ending imminently. We're almost at the end.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Got it. Do you have other high-grade areas within these pits that you're gonna be targeting going into 2023?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Not in the north pits. We've finished those pits.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

They were only ever small pits. It's as per the mine schedule it has.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Perfect. Okay, thanks Stu for that. Just that Çöpler. In terms of Çöpler, are you now back at nameplate capacity at the sulfide plant? In terms of, or is there a wrap-up that we should expect in Q4?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

No, the sulfide plant came up very well and came up quite quickly. In fact, I was extremely pleased, and given my experience of starting these types of things up after a long shutdown, and I think that reflected the work that we did. I think you just need to remember we shut everything down, so unfortunately, we had to shut down the mining of the oxide mining works exploration, and we even shut down the infrastructure work in the district. As we restarted, the sulfide plant came up well and really quickly. It's very stable and it's running very well. I couldn't expect better. We also had to restart the mine operations, so that took a bit longer because we had to rally the troops. For obvious reasons, we didn't keep an idle, very large mining workforce on-site.

Getting them back to site and getting the mine ramped back up meant that took a little bit of time, and that impacted the grade that we're feeding the plant and also delayed us getting a bit of access up to Çakmaktepe to bring down some ounces there that we were planning to bring in. We also added back end waiting for gold grade towards the end of the year. Given that we were delayed for that period, that's pushed out as well. We are mining in the pits. We are mining from the Çakmaktepe area and hauling that down. The other thing that we did was when we brought the sulfide plant back online, given that's where we'd had the issue very carefully.

We first started recirculating it and stacking it, then once we were comfortable with it, we then brought the cyanide back on just to make sure that we didn't have any little hiccups as we were doing that. As a result, that's delayed some of the leaching out of the oxide plant as well. Just to give you a bit of perspective, we still haven't seen the cyanide and gold coming out since we started the leaching there. That leaching cycle just takes a little while to restart. Again, we're very confident that we're in a very solid position and the place is running really well. It's just going to take a little bit of time for us to get the oxide all coming out and get the grades back up in the sulfide.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Stu, thanks for that update as well. On Çakmaktepe, in terms of accessing the oxide material, do we see you guys start processing that material in Q1 of next year? This is kind of moving towards-

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Okay

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

as you wrap up, going towards the second half of the year?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

I think just to remember, by its knowledge, you talk about it in detail, there's two parts of Çakmaktepe. There's the old residual mine that we had up there that we produced gold from a couple of years ago that has some residual ounces that we had expected to bring into this quarter. Then there's the new Çakmaktepe extension. Just not to confuse people, because I think they're two different things. One's a new project, which is earmarked for next year. One is the residual ounces that we're going up there to mine the last piece of this quarter.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks for the clarity on that, Rod. Yeah, I'm talking about the new Çakmaktepe. Can you give us a little bit more color on how things are progressing there?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Progressing well. We've been doing the infrastructure work, we have to move some public roads. We've constructed some overpasses so that we can separate our mine fleet from our whole fleet from the public roads. We've been building some separate roads. We're in the process of doing the preliminary work for relocating. We have to remove a telecommunications tower. We have to move some power lines and some water lines. We're busy doing that work at the moment, and that's progressing quite well. Our expectation has always been late in 2023 for the start of it.

Ovais Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Perfect. That's it for me, guys. Thanks for taking my questions.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Thanks, guys.

Operator

Once again, if you have a question, please press star one. The next question is from Cosmos Chiu with CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Sorry, I was muted. Hi, Rod. Thanks, Alison, All the best, Stu. Maybe my first question is on the Marigold. I was going to ask about the sustainability of the higher grade being stacked to 0.63 gram per ton versus your 0.48 gram per ton reserves. It sounds like it's positively correlated, the grade with the fines and the North Pit. Stu, as you mentioned, as you come to an end in terms of mining out the North Pit, should we see sort of the grade revert back to the mean fairly soon?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Cosmos, you're exactly right. We will revert to the mean. That's why it's the mean.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Okay.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

We will go back there. We actually had a windfall in the oxide, Sorry, in those North Pits, They reconciled high. We ended up with more material coming out of those pits than was in the reserves. We were pretty happy with that. Those areas have finished now, we had expected to have higher grades through this period while we were treating them.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Great. I might have missed it, Stu, did you mention how much longer these fines are taking in terms of the leach cycle for the gold to come out? I know you're expecting it to come out in Q4 into 2023, how much longer is it?

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

I don't think we've actually quantified it in months because it doesn't come out necessarily in a step, so it sort of drags on with a relatively long tail. I did also mention one of the directives we got from, I think it came from John Marsh, and the experience from some of the other sites when they have the fine material, was when you initially start the leaching, to start at a much lower rate and saturate the pile first so it doesn't mobilize the finer material within that and then cause stratification and then sort of make it take even longer to leach out. We've got two impacts in this quarter.

We've got the impact of us stacking more fine material, plus we've also started the leach cycles slower, so we're putting less leach liquor on it for the first couple of weeks and then stepping it up. It's a bit hard to put it in exact weeks. As you know, it depends, given that we're coming towards the end of the year, we try to stack in the narrowest parts of the heap leach so that we can get it out by year end. It's also a function of where on the pile it's stacked. It is a pretty difficult question.

We have been doing work with Forte Dynamics as well, which is work that's been going over the whole year, to put together three-dimensional leach plans and a much higher fidelity of what was placed where exactly on the heaps to get a better prediction of what is coming off the heap.

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

Yeah. I think the other thing I'd just say, Cos, the work that Stu's talked about just gives us a high level of confidence moving into this next phase. Having the ounces stacked is a great position to be in. Having back-end loaded plans, when things like this happen, it really doesn't give you any time to recover. I think we're a little bit of a consequence of that as well. I just wanted to alleviate anyone's fears out there that gold's not going to come. We backed ourselves to the end of the year. We got the gold up on the pads. The leach cycle's been slower than we had anticipated in our models, and we don't have time to catch it, is really simply what's happened.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Got it. Maybe moving on to Çöpler here. You might have answered this question as well, as I work through the math, it's great to hear that you did 18,000 ounces in the month of October, it sounds like, from my math, you still need to increase that on average of about 16% in November and December. Is that a function of tonnage and grade? From Stu and Rod, your comments, it sounds like it is both, but I just want to confirm.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Sorry, can you repeat that? We didn't quite understand the question.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

You did 18,000 ounces. I think you need, in October, you need 60,000 ounces to hit your guidance for Çöpler for the year, 60,000 ounces in Q4. If I work out the math, you need to improve by about 16% from the 18,000 ounces in October. I'm just wondering if that improvement in November and December, on average, is based on tonnage, grade, or both. I think, Stu, I think you did kind of mention that it might be both. I just want to confirm.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Yeah.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Just Çöpler.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Yeah. At Çöpler, we're seeing the oxide coming down a bit later, and we're seeing the grades a bit lower as a result of the mine ramping up and some work we've had to do to try and rearrange the mine plan. It won't be tonnage that drives it. It'll be timing and a bit of grade.

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

Yeah. I think, Kos. I don't know. I think you came in a little bit later.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

That's true

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

discussion. That's okay. Just again, just to clarify. In Stewart discussion, we talked about getting the mining contractor back on site, getting the mining going was a little bit slower than we anticipated, and getting that ramp up to access the higher grade, which we expect to sort of now start to come for the sulfides I'm talking about. We're moving down that direction. All things are pointing to us meeting that restarted guidance.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Got it. Thanks, Rod. I did come in a bit late. It took me 10 minutes to sign on. Maybe something on the financial front. Hopefully, I'm not shooting myself in the foot again. I read something in the MD&A. I don't think it's a big deal, you did mention that as a result of what happened at Çöpler, not in compliance with the term loan covenants. You don't have a lot due on that, just want to confirm, should we be concerned?

Alison White
CFO, SSR Mining

No, I wouldn't be concerned, Cosmos. The fact of the matter is that's where we were at the end of the quarter, we felt that from a disclosure perspective, it was important to inform everybody. We have continued to make payments on the loan as they've come due, even during the closure. As I mentioned in my comments, too, I'm sorry if you missed this as well, we do anticipate actually being able to close out that loan by the end of next year.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Great. Alison, since I have you here, the cash cost and the unsustaining cost in the quarter was impacted by a $31.1 million sort of costs related to the Çöpler suspension. I just want to make sure, are there any costs that we should be aware of that's bleeding into Q4? I would imagine these are one-time costs. I just want to make sure that none of these one-time costs are bleeding into Q4. It doesn't sound like it since it's already restarted, but I just want to confirm.

Alison White
CFO, SSR Mining

Your assumption is correct. None of those costs are going to bleed into Q4, Cosmos. Those were all one-time costs specifically related to the closure, and standby type costs for labor and other things, so that we could ramp up as quickly as possible once we got the okay to reopen.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Great. Then maybe one last question. This might be a difficult question, but I might ask you anyways. Rod, when you restarted, when you got the permits back on September 22nd, restarted Çöpler. At that point in time, did you consider updating guidance? If you did, what has changed between then and now?

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

No, it's a good question, Cosmos. Look, I think when we did the, you remember, the quarter 2 results call, we said we're gonna do everything we can to claw back the lost time, the lost production. We had a plan, as we always do. There's a few levers that we had in the business to help us, to try to chase that as a goal. As it transpired, with the clarity around the slower leaching at Marigold, the impacts of the gold to silver ratio at Puna, some of the other initiatives that we had around chasing those residual answers at Chalcocite, we just don't have the time to be able to do it. Unfortunately, we did a lot of things to try to capture it, but chasing the high grade in Seabee that Stu mentioned, we just haven't been able to catch it.

No, it wasn't considered. We wanted then to see how the operations were traveling so we could have a more accurate representation. If we're going to recut guidance, obviously we want to be able to hit it. It wasn't the appropriate timing. Look, we did everything we could. It's disappointing to us all that we couldn't capture it. If, for instance, Marigold hadn't underperformed in this last quarter in terms of the gold production, then we'd probably been in good position, but we're not. That's where we are. Look, I think the business fundamentally is very strong. Coming out of this into the fourth quarter, which is going to be around a 200,000 ounce consolidated view of the business, moving into a really good 2023.

All the good things that come with that with free cash flow and other things, we're in good shape. We've had a bump in the road and now we're looking forward.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Great. Thanks, Rod, perfectly understand. Once again, thanks for answering my questions and all the best, Stu.

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

Thanks.

Stewart Beckman
COO, SSR Mining

Good on you, Cosmos. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Antal for any closing remarks.

Rod Antal
President and CEO, SSR Mining

Great. Thanks, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. As we mentioned, look, we're looking forward to a much more positive full year results in early next year and closing this year off in a very strong position to set us up for what will be a great 2023. With that, good day to you all, and thanks for joining us.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.